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Vulnerable brain regions in adolescent major depressive disorder:A resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging activation likelihood estimation meta-analysis
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作者 Hui Ding Qin Zhang +6 位作者 Yan-Ping Shu Bin Tian Ji Peng Yong-Zhe Hou Gang Wu Li-Yun Lin Jia-Lin Li 《World Journal of Psychiatry》 SCIE 2024年第3期456-466,共11页
BACKGROUND Adolescent major depressive disorder(MDD)is a significant mental health concern that often leads to recurrent depression in adulthood.Resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging(rs-fMRI)offers uniqu... BACKGROUND Adolescent major depressive disorder(MDD)is a significant mental health concern that often leads to recurrent depression in adulthood.Resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging(rs-fMRI)offers unique insights into the neural mechanisms underlying this condition.However,despite previous research,the specific vulnerable brain regions affected in adolescent MDD patients have not been fully elucidated.AIM To identify consistent vulnerable brain regions in adolescent MDD patients using rs-fMRI and activation likelihood estimation(ALE)meta-analysis.METHODS We performed a comprehensive literature search through July 12,2023,for studies investigating brain functional changes in adolescent MDD patients.We utilized regional homogeneity(ReHo),amplitude of low-frequency fluctuations(ALFF)and fractional ALFF(fALFF)analyses.We compared the regions of aberrant spontaneous neural activity in adolescents with MDD vs healthy controls(HCs)using ALE.RESULTS Ten studies(369 adolescent MDD patients and 313 HCs)were included.Combining the ReHo and ALFF/fALFF data,the results revealed that the activity in the right cuneus and left precuneus was lower in the adolescent MDD patients than in the HCs(voxel size:648 mm3,P<0.05),and no brain region exhibited increased activity.Based on the ALFF data,we found decreased activity in the right cuneus and left precuneus in adolescent MDD patients(voxel size:736 mm3,P<0.05),with no regions exhibiting increased activity.CONCLUSION Through ALE meta-analysis,we consistently identified the right cuneus and left precuneus as vulnerable brain regions in adolescent MDD patients,increasing our understanding of the neuropathology of affected adolescents. 展开更多
关键词 Major depressive disorder Resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging ADOLESCENT Activation likelihood estimation META-ANALYSIS
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Simulating Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm to Estimate Likelihood Function of ARMA(1, 1) Model
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作者 Basad Ali Hussain Al-sarray 《Journal of Mathematics and System Science》 2015年第10期399-410,共12页
This paper present a simulation study of an evolutionary algorithms, Particle Swarm Optimization PSO algorithm to optimize likelihood function of ARMA(1, 1) model, where maximizing likelihood function is equivalent ... This paper present a simulation study of an evolutionary algorithms, Particle Swarm Optimization PSO algorithm to optimize likelihood function of ARMA(1, 1) model, where maximizing likelihood function is equivalent to maximizing its logarithm, so the objective function 'obj.fun' is maximizing log-likelihood function. Monte Carlo method adapted for implementing and designing the experiments of this simulation. This study including a comparison among three versions of PSO algorithm “Constriction coefficient CCPSO, Inertia weight IWPSO, and Fully Informed FIPSO”, the experiments designed by setting different values of model parameters al, bs sample size n, moreover the parameters of PSO algorithms. MSE used as test statistic to measure the efficiency PSO to estimate model. The results show the ability of PSO to estimate ARMA' s parameters, and the minimum values of MSE getting for COPSO. 展开更多
关键词 Particle Swarm Optimization algorithm likelihood function ARMA(1 1) Model
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Vulnerable brain regions in adolescent attention deficit hyperactivity disorder:An activation likelihood estimation meta-analysis
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作者 Yan-Ping Shu Qin Zhang +4 位作者 Da Li Jiao-Ying Liu Xiao-Ming Wang Qiang He Yong-Zhe Hou 《World Journal of Psychiatry》 2025年第4期298-309,共12页
BACKGROUND Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder(ADHD)is a prevalent neurodevelopmental disorder in adolescents characterized by inattention,hyperactivity,and impulsivity,which impact cognitive,behavioral,and emoti... BACKGROUND Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder(ADHD)is a prevalent neurodevelopmental disorder in adolescents characterized by inattention,hyperactivity,and impulsivity,which impact cognitive,behavioral,and emotional functioning.Resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging(rs-fMRI)provides critical insights into the functional architecture of the brain in ADHD.Despite extensive research,specific brain regions consistently affected in ADHD patients during these formative years have not been comprehensively delineated.AIM To identify consistent vulnerable brain regions in adolescent ADHD patients using rs-fMRI and activation likelihood estimation(ALE)meta-analysis.METHODS We conducted a comprehensive literature search up to August 31,2024,to identify studies investigating functional brain alterations in adolescents with ADHD.We utilized regional homogeneity(ReHo),amplitude of low-frequency fluctuations(ALFF),dynamic ALFF(dALFF)and fractional ALFF(fALFF)analyses.We compared the regions of aberrant spontaneous neural activity in adolescents with ADHD with those in healthy controls(HCs)using ALE.RESULTS Fifteen studies(468 adolescent ADHD patients and 466 HCs)were included.Combining the ReHo and ALFF/fALFF/dALFF data,the results revealed increased activity in the right lingual gyrus[LING,Brodmann Area(BA)18],left LING(BA 18),and right cuneus(CUN,BA 23)in adolescent ADHD patients compared with HCs(voxel size:592-32 mm³,P<0.05).Decreased activity was observed in the left medial frontal gyrus(MFG,BA 9)and left precuneus(PCUN,BA 31)in adolescent ADHD patients compared with HCs(voxel size:960-456 mm³,P<0.05).Jackknife sensitivity analyses demonstrated robust reproducibility in 11 of the 13 tests for the right LING,left LING,and right CUN and in 11 of the 14 tests for the left MFG and left PCUN.CONCLUSION We identified specific brain regions with both increased and decreased activity in adolescent ADHD patients,enhancing our understanding of the neural alterations that occur during this pivotal stage of development. 展开更多
关键词 Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder ADOLESCENT Resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging Activation likelihood estimation META-ANALYSIS Medial frontal gyrus PRECUNEUS Cuneus Lingual gyrus
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A Class of Strong Limit Theorems and Moment Generating Function Method 被引量:1
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作者 Wen Hart LI Gao Rong LI Nan Bin CAO 《Journal of Mathematical Research with Applications》 CSCD 2012年第1期76-82,共7页
In virtue of the notion of likelihood ratio and moment generating function, the limit properties of the sequences of absolutely continuous random variables are studied, and a class of strong limit theorems represented... In virtue of the notion of likelihood ratio and moment generating function, the limit properties of the sequences of absolutely continuous random variables are studied, and a class of strong limit theorems represented by inequalities with random bounds are obtained. 展开更多
关键词 likelihood ratio strong limit theorem moment generating function.
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Brain pathways of pain empathy activated by pained facial expressions: a meta-analysis of fMRI using the activation likelihood estimation method 被引量:2
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作者 Ruo-Chu Xiong Xin Fu +4 位作者 Li-Zhen Wu Cheng-Han Zhang Hong-Xiang Wu Yu Shi Wen Wu 《Neural Regeneration Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第1期172-178,共7页
OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to summarize and analyze the brain signal patterns of empathy for pain caused by facial expressions of pain utilizing activation likelihood estimation, a meta-analysis method.... OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to summarize and analyze the brain signal patterns of empathy for pain caused by facial expressions of pain utilizing activation likelihood estimation, a meta-analysis method. DATA SOURCES: Studies concerning the brain mechanism were searched from the Science Citation Index, Science Direct, PubMed, DeepDyve, Cochrane Library, SinoMed, Wanfang, VIP, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, and other databases, such as SpringerLink, AMA, Science Online, Wiley Online, were collected. A time limitation of up to 13 December 2016 was applied to this study. DATA SELECTION: Studies presenting with all of the following criteria were considered for study inclusion: Use of functional magnetic resonance imaging, neutral and pained facial expression stimuli, involvement of adult healthy human participants over 18 years of age, whose empathy ability showed no difference from the healthy adult, a painless basic state, results presented in Talairach or Montreal Neurological Institute coordinates, multiple studies by the same team as long as they used different raw data. OUTCOME MEASURES: Activation likelihood estimation was used to calculate the combined main activated brain regions under the stimulation of pained facial expression. RESULTS: Eight studies were included, containing 178 subjects. Meta-analysis results suggested that the anterior cingulate cortex(BA32), anterior central gyrus(BA44), fusiform gyrus, and insula(BA13) were activated positively as major brain areas under the stimulation of pained facial expression. CONCLUSION: Our study shows that pained facial expression alone, without viewing of painful stimuli, activated brain regions related to pain empathy, further contributing to revealing the brain's mechanisms of pain empathy. 展开更多
关键词 nerve regeneration facial expression pain empathy functional magnetic resonance imaging GringleALE activation likelihood estimation brain function imaging anterior cingulate cortex anterior central gyrus fusiform gyrus INSULA neural regeneration
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MAXIMUM ORTHOGONAL COMPLEMENT LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION FOR VARIANCE COMPONENTS
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作者 Qin Hui(Department of Architectural Engineering,Wuyi University,Jiangmen 529020) 《中国有色金属学会会刊:英文版》 EI CSCD 1995年第4期22-25,共4页
MAXIMUMORTHOGONALCOMPLEMENTLIKELIHOODESTIMATIONFORVARIANCECOMPONENTSQinHui(DepartmentofArchitecturalEngineer... MAXIMUMORTHOGONALCOMPLEMENTLIKELIHOODESTIMATIONFORVARIANCECOMPONENTSQinHui(DepartmentofArchitecturalEngineering,WuyiUniversit... 展开更多
关键词 ORTHOGONAL COMPLEMENT likelihood function variance COMPONENT estimation FORMULA
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Maximum likelihood spectrum estimation method and its application in seismo-magnet-icrelation
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作者 曾小苹 林云芳 +5 位作者 赵跃辰 赵明 续春荣 于明鑫 汪江田 王居云 《Acta Seismologica Sinica(English Edition)》 CSCD 1996年第3期153-157,共5页
Maximumlikelihoodspectrumestimationmethodanditsapplicationinseismo┐magnet┐icrelationXIAO-PINGZENG1)(曾小苹),YUN... Maximumlikelihoodspectrumestimationmethodanditsapplicationinseismo┐magnet┐icrelationXIAO-PINGZENG1)(曾小苹),YUN-FANGLIN1)(林云芳),... 展开更多
关键词 Maximum likelihood spectrum estimation method transfer function.
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Likelihood Ratio and Strong Limit Theorems for the Discrete Random Variable
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作者 Wenhan Li Wei Wang Zhiqiang Liu 《Open Journal of Discrete Mathematics》 2012年第4期169-172,共4页
This in virtue of the notion of likelihood ratio and the tool of moment generating function, the limit properties of the sequences of random discrete random variables are studied, and a class of strong deviation theor... This in virtue of the notion of likelihood ratio and the tool of moment generating function, the limit properties of the sequences of random discrete random variables are studied, and a class of strong deviation theorems which represented by inequalities between random variables and their expectation are obtained. As a result, we obtain some strong deviation theorems for Poisson distribution and binomial distribution. 展开更多
关键词 likelihood Ratio STRONG LIMIT THEOREM MOMENT GENERATING function
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Empirical Likelihood Inference for Generalized Partially Linear Models with Longitudinal Data
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作者 Jinghua Zhang Liugen Xue 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2020年第2期188-202,共15页
In this article, we propose a generalized empirical likelihood inference for the parametric component in semiparametric generalized partially linear models with longitudinal data. Based on the extended score vector, a... In this article, we propose a generalized empirical likelihood inference for the parametric component in semiparametric generalized partially linear models with longitudinal data. Based on the extended score vector, a generalized empirical likelihood ratios function is defined, which integrates the within-cluster?correlation meanwhile avoids direct estimating the nuisance parameters in the correlation matrix. We show that the proposed statistics are asymptotically?Chi-squared under some suitable conditions, and hence it can be used to construct the confidence region of parameters. In addition, the maximum empirical likelihood estimates of parameters and the corresponding asymptotic normality are obtained. Simulation studies demonstrate the performance of the proposed method. 展开更多
关键词 Longitudinal Data GENERALIZED PARTIALLY Linear Models Empirical likelihood QUADRATIC INFERENCE function
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Likelihood Methods for Basic Stratified Sampling, with Application to Von Bertalanffy Growth Model Estimation
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作者 Nan Zheng Noel Cadigan 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2019年第6期623-642,共20页
This paper mainly addresses maximum likelihood estimation for a response-selective stratified sampling scheme, the basic stratified sampling (BSS), in which the maximum subsample size in each stratum is fixed. We deri... This paper mainly addresses maximum likelihood estimation for a response-selective stratified sampling scheme, the basic stratified sampling (BSS), in which the maximum subsample size in each stratum is fixed. We derived the complete-data likelihood for BSS, and extended it as a full-data likelihood by incorporating incomplete data. We also similarly extended the empirical proportion likelihood approach for consistent and efficient estimation. We conducted a simulation study to compare these two new approaches with the existing estimation methods in BSS. Our result indicates that they perform as well as the standard full information likelihood approach. Methods were illustrated using a growth model for fish size at age, including between-individual variability. One of our major conclusions is that the fully observed BSS data, the partially observed data used for stratification, and the sampling strategy are all important in constructing a consistent and efficient estimator. 展开更多
关键词 Length-Stratified Age Sampling Response-Selective Sampling Basic STRATIFIED Sampling complete-data likelihood Empirical PROPORTION likelihood
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Odorant discrimination using functional near-infrared spectroscopy of the main olfactory bulb in rats
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作者 Inwon Jung Kyungjin You +3 位作者 Hyunchool Shin Chinsu Koh Hyungcheul Shin Jaewoo Shin 《Journal of Measurement Science and Instrumentation》 CAS 2013年第1期89-93,共5页
We characterize the hemodynamic response changes near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) during the presentation of in the main olfactory bulb (MOB) of anesthetized rats with three different odorants: (i) plain air a... We characterize the hemodynamic response changes near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) during the presentation of in the main olfactory bulb (MOB) of anesthetized rats with three different odorants: (i) plain air as a reference (Blank), (ii) 2-heptanone (HEP), and (iii) isopropylbenzene (Ib). Odorants generate different changes in the concentrations of oxy- hemoglobin. Our results suggest that NIRS technology might be useful in discriminating various odorants in a non-invasive manner using animals with a superb olfactory system. 展开更多
关键词 brain-machine interface(BMI) functional near-infrared spectroscopy(fNIRS) main olfactory bulb(MOB) oxyhemoglobin(HbO2) Beer-Lambert law maximum likelihood estimation(MLE)
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Some Likelihood Based Properties in Large Samples: Utility and Risk Aversion, Second Order Prior Selection and Posterior Density Stability
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作者 Michael Brimacombe 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2016年第6期1037-1049,共14页
The likelihood function plays a central role in statistical analysis in relation to information, from both frequentist and Bayesian perspectives. In large samples several new properties of the likelihood in relation t... The likelihood function plays a central role in statistical analysis in relation to information, from both frequentist and Bayesian perspectives. In large samples several new properties of the likelihood in relation to information are developed here. The Arrow-Pratt absolute risk aversion measure is shown to be related to the Cramer-Rao Information bound. The derivative of the log-likelihood function is seen to provide a measure of information related stability for the Bayesian posterior density. As well, information similar prior densities can be defined reflecting the central role of likelihood in the Bayes learning paradigm. 展开更多
关键词 Arrow-Pratt Theorem Expected Utility Information Similar Priors likelihood function Prior Stability Score function Risk Aversion
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P-norm Semi-parametric Maximum Likelihood Regression Model
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作者 X. Pan S.L. Yuan 《Journal of Environmental Science and Engineering》 2010年第3期48-53,共6页
In this paper, using the kernel weight function, we obtain the parameter estimation of p-norm distribution in semi-parametric regression model, which is effective to decide the distribution of random errors. Under the... In this paper, using the kernel weight function, we obtain the parameter estimation of p-norm distribution in semi-parametric regression model, which is effective to decide the distribution of random errors. Under the assumption that the distribution of observations is unimodal and symmetry, this method can give the estimates of the parametric. Finally, two simulated adjustment problem are constructed to explain this method. The new method presented in this paper shows an effective way of solving the problem; the estimated values are nearer to their theoretical ones than those by least squares adjustment approach. 展开更多
关键词 P-norm distributions semi-parametric regression kernel weight function maximum likelihood adjustment.
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Local calibration of JPCP transverse cracking and IRI models using maximum likelihood estimation
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作者 Rahul Raj Singh Syed Waqar Haider James Bryce 《Journal of Road Engineering》 2024年第4期433-445,共13页
The calibration of transfer functions is essential for accurate pavement performance predictions in the PavementME design. Several studies have used the least square approach to calibrate these transfer functions. Lea... The calibration of transfer functions is essential for accurate pavement performance predictions in the PavementME design. Several studies have used the least square approach to calibrate these transfer functions. Least square is a widely used simplistic approach based on certain assumptions. Literature shows that these least square approach assumptions may not apply to the non-normal distributions. This study introduces a new methodology for calibrating the transverse cracking and international roughness index(IRI) models in rigid pavements using maximum likelihood estimation(MLE). Synthetic data for transverse cracking, with and without variability, are generated to illustrate the applicability of MLE using different known probability distributions(exponential,gamma, log-normal, and negative binomial). The approach uses measured data from the Michigan Department of Transportation's(MDOT) pavement management system(PMS) database for 70 jointed plain concrete pavement(JPCP) sections to calibrate and validate transfer functions. The MLE approach is combined with resampling techniques to improve the robustness of calibration coefficients. The results show that the MLE transverse cracking model using the gamma distribution consistently outperforms the least square for synthetic and observed data. For observed data, MLE estimates of parameters produced lower SSE and bias than least squares(e.g., for the transverse cracking model, the SSE values are 3.98 vs. 4.02, and the bias values are 0.00 and-0.41). Although negative binomial distribution is the most suitable fit for the IRI model for MLE, the least square results are slightly better than MLE. The bias values are-0.312 and 0.000 for the MLE and least square methods. Overall, the findings indicate that MLE is a robust method for calibration, especially for non-normally distributed data such as transverse cracking. 展开更多
关键词 Mechanistic empirical pavement design guide Transfer function Maximum likelihood estimation Transverse cracking International roughness index Rigid pavements
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感觉神经性耳聋局部自发脑活动异常的静息态功能MRI激活似然估计荟萃分析
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作者 王爱杰 黄冉冉 +3 位作者 王春业 李韵昕 包相华 张国伟 《国际医学放射学杂志》 2025年第3期270-276,共7页
目的通过激活似然估计(ALE)的荟萃分析方法探讨感觉神经性耳聋(SNHL)病人的脑自发活动改变特点,进一步了解SNHL可能存在的脑功能损伤及重塑的神经机制。方法检索2023年8月21日之前Web of Science、PubMed、CNKI、万方医学网、中华医学... 目的通过激活似然估计(ALE)的荟萃分析方法探讨感觉神经性耳聋(SNHL)病人的脑自发活动改变特点,进一步了解SNHL可能存在的脑功能损伤及重塑的神经机制。方法检索2023年8月21日之前Web of Science、PubMed、CNKI、万方医学网、中华医学期刊全文数据库中采用局部一致性(ReHo)及低频振幅/分数低频振幅(ALFF/fALFF)分析SNHL病人脑功能改变的文献,按照纳排标准对文献筛选后,采用激活似然估计法(ALE)纳入研究中SNHL病人自发脑神经活动异常的脑区进行Meta分析。结果共纳入22篇29项研究(SNHL 736例,对照487例),其中ReHo研究11项,ALFF/fALFF研究18项。联合ReHo/ALFF/fALFF分析方法且不区分耳聋侧别结果显示SNHL病人左侧丘脑背内侧核自发脑活动增加,左侧颞上回、左侧额下回岛盖部及左侧背外侧前额叶自发脑活动减低。分别依次对左/右耳SNHL病人、ReHo和ALFF/fALFF方法进行ALE分析,结果均未见任何异常活动脑区。结论运用ALE荟萃分析方法证实SNHL病人多个脑区存在自发活动异常,有助于进一步了解SNHL脑功能损伤及重塑的规律及特征,为其后续诊疗评估提供重要依据。 展开更多
关键词 感觉神经性耳聋 静息态功能磁共振成像 激活似然估计法 自发脑活动
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商标指示性正当使用的制度建构
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作者 高飞 李金花 《北方法学》 2025年第4期115-130,共16页
商标的表达性功能是商标指示性正当使用的本质。尽管商标指示性正当使用中使用的是商标权人的商标,但其目的是描写或说明商标使用人商品的特征,因此,商标指示性正当使用制度的实质是商标符号的商标意义基础上的语用分配。商标的社会性... 商标的表达性功能是商标指示性正当使用的本质。尽管商标指示性正当使用中使用的是商标权人的商标,但其目的是描写或说明商标使用人商品的特征,因此,商标指示性正当使用制度的实质是商标符号的商标意义基础上的语用分配。商标的社会性与文化性及公众对商标形成的贡献表明商标指示性正当使用具有正当性基础。商标指示性正当使用具有不同于商标描述性正当使用的对象、制度性质和混淆可能性程度,其是一种独立的商标侵权抗辩制度,而非混淆可能性测试的替代方法。商标指示性正当使用的条件包括使用商标的客观必要性、善意、符合商业惯例,但不包括“不存在混淆可能性”。 展开更多
关键词 商标指示性正当使用 商标表达性功能 商标的社会性 混淆可能性
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地震动预测模型评价研究——以2023年2月6日土耳其地震为例
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作者 张博涵 王宏伟 +1 位作者 任叶飞 温瑞智 《震灾防御技术》 北大核心 2025年第1期77-85,共9页
地震动预测模型(GMM)是利用强震动记录拟合的具有一定物理意义的函数关系式,可表征强震动参数随震级、距离、场地等因素变化规律,是预估强震动参数的有效工具。以2023年2月6日土耳其连续发生的M_(W)7.8、M_(W)7.5地震为例,选用断层距200... 地震动预测模型(GMM)是利用强震动记录拟合的具有一定物理意义的函数关系式,可表征强震动参数随震级、距离、场地等因素变化规律,是预估强震动参数的有效工具。以2023年2月6日土耳其连续发生的M_(W)7.8、M_(W)7.5地震为例,选用断层距200 km以内的自由场强震动记录,对比观测值与9个GMM预测值的差异,应用似然函数法和对数似然函数法对GMM进行选择、排序和加权,得到适用于该地区大震的加权预测模型,并对该预测模型的适用性进行验证。研究结果表明,适用于土耳其地区或者包括土耳其的更大区域地震的GMM预测效果较好,验证了GMM具有区域性差异;似然函数法和对数似然函数法对于GMM的选择与排序结果具有一致性;加权预测模型较好地预测了PGA随距离的衰减规律,并且对2次地震短周期反应谱的预测精确性更高;加权预测模型显著降低了2次地震事件间残差的离散性,预测结果更加稳定,说明加权预测模型提供了整体最优的预测结果,预测模型加权方案合理有效。 展开更多
关键词 地震动预测模型 土耳其地震 似然函数法 对数似然函数法
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基于蒙特卡罗法的极地船舶冰载荷概率特性研究
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作者 董海波 冯士超 +1 位作者 刘俊杰 夏劲松 《船舶力学》 北大核心 2025年第8期1250-1260,共11页
考虑极地船舶与海冰作用过程中的不确定性因素,开展冰载荷的概率特性研究。通过将冰载荷估算公式和统计特性分析方法相结合,给出一种基于蒙特卡罗法的极地船舶冰载荷概率特性研究方法。针对典型海域和航线,分别考虑船舯、船艏与海冰作... 考虑极地船舶与海冰作用过程中的不确定性因素,开展冰载荷的概率特性研究。通过将冰载荷估算公式和统计特性分析方法相结合,给出一种基于蒙特卡罗法的极地船舶冰载荷概率特性研究方法。针对典型海域和航线,分别考虑船舯、船艏与海冰作用的场景,在研究相关变量概率分布类型和统计参数基础上,采用本文方法计算不同位置的冰载荷,获得对应的概率密度函数。研究表明,舯部的冰作用力可使用正态分布来描述其概率特性;艏部的水平冰作用力和垂直冰作用力均可使用威布尔分布来描述其概率特性;海冰压溃破坏时,船舶受到的水平冰作用力远大于其弯曲破坏时对应的冰作用力。研究结果可为船舶结构安全性评估提供更为精确的输入载荷。 展开更多
关键词 冰载荷概率特性 蒙特卡罗法 概率密度函数 概率图纸 极大似然估计
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基于深度神经网络与注意力机制的端到端说话人识别 被引量:1
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作者 刘鹏展 王华朋 《刑事技术》 2025年第3期235-242,共8页
为进一步提高说话人识别的准确率,同时避免传统说话人识别方法需要手动设计特征提取工作的复杂过程,本文提出了一种基于CBAM注意力机制与深度神经网络相结合的端到端说话人识别方法。在深度神经网络结构中引入轻量级的通用模块CBAM,将... 为进一步提高说话人识别的准确率,同时避免传统说话人识别方法需要手动设计特征提取工作的复杂过程,本文提出了一种基于CBAM注意力机制与深度神经网络相结合的端到端说话人识别方法。在深度神经网络结构中引入轻量级的通用模块CBAM,将其无缝集成到网络架构中,增加网络对音频信息的敏感程度,并使用端到端损失函数将整个模型看作整体进行训练;同时,提出基于广义端到端损失函数训练的嵌入的法庭说话人识别方法,通过改进模型训练的嵌入的余弦相似性得分得到似然比,为法庭提供直观且强大的证据力量;最后,以深度神经网络Bi-LSTM与GRU为例,使用主流数据集CN-Celeb对模型进行训练,并使用Zhvoice的子集Zhaishell和实战案件音频进行实战检验。结果表明,本文所提出的方法有效提高了识别精度,并且能快速地构建模型,提高泛化能力。 展开更多
关键词 说话人识别 广义端到端损失函数 注意力机制 余弦相似性 似然比
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基于混合似然函数的融雪径流模拟不确定性分析
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作者 吴吉天 曾献奎 吴吉春 《高校地质学报》 北大核心 2025年第2期123-130,共8页
由于模型参数及观测数据等影响,水文模型通常存在显著不确定性,开展融雪径流模拟不确定性定量分析可控制模拟结果的不确定性,提高模型的预测性能,对于寒旱山区的水资源科学管理具有重要意义。文章以新疆南部的策勒河流域为研究区,基于... 由于模型参数及观测数据等影响,水文模型通常存在显著不确定性,开展融雪径流模拟不确定性定量分析可控制模拟结果的不确定性,提高模型的预测性能,对于寒旱山区的水资源科学管理具有重要意义。文章以新疆南部的策勒河流域为研究区,基于马尔科夫链蒙特卡洛方法(MCMC)进行融雪径流模型的参数不确定性分析。针对MCMC中似然函数的零膨胀误差(zero flatted error)及残差结构等难题,采用二项分布和正态分布组合的混合似然函数来描述残差结构,并与传统高斯似然函数的结果进行对比分析。均方根误差、决定系数和预测区间覆盖率等评价指标显示,基于混合似然函数的不确定性分析结果具有更好的预测性能。因此,混合似然函数能够更合理的刻画融雪径流模拟残差的结构,显著提升水文模型的预测性能,有利于实施科学、精准的水资源管理和保护。 展开更多
关键词 水文模拟不确定性 混合似然函数 融雪径流模型 MCMC 零膨胀误差
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