Coastline changes were analyzed considering the land cover types and the analysis of the causes that have determined these changes during the past decades.Through the overlapping of aerial photographs and GIS an...Coastline changes were analyzed considering the land cover types and the analysis of the causes that have determined these changes during the past decades.Through the overlapping of aerial photographs and GIS analysis,the results showed that the land surface increased with respect to the previous stage,gaining terrain to the sea,but this increment was caused by anthropogenic processes.In fact,without human pressure,the land surface beside the coastal line would have decreased,especially on the sandy beaches and coastal dunes.Therefore,the beaches are one of the most vulnerable ecosystems and geomorphological systems due to erosion and lack of sediment supply associated with the modified river courses(i.e.by the construction of reservoirs,concrete channeling,etc.),the inner land use changes,and the effects of global warming on the sea level.Climate change studies predict specific increases in the sea level along the coast.The aim of this work is to know if anthropic activity can reverse the effects of sea level rise and coastal erosion.In fact,it has been done for decades with measures aimed to correct impacts and favour economic activity(i.e.maintaining tourism resources)and not from the environmental issues.展开更多
Coastal subsidence monitoring typically employs Global Navigation Satellite System(GNSS)positioning technology.This method provides information only about subsidence below the station base.Sediments in coastal areas t...Coastal subsidence monitoring typically employs Global Navigation Satellite System(GNSS)positioning technology.This method provides information only about subsidence below the station base.Sediments in coastal areas tend to accumulate quickly,and subsidence can change significantly due to compaction and alluvium.Therefore,monitoring subsidence above the base is essential to obtain overall coastal subsidence.A new technology called GNSS-Interferometric Reflectometry(GNSS-IR)has been recently developed,which can utilize multipath effects to monitor reflector height.Since the base of the GNSS station is deep and the base length remains constant,the height changes measured by the GNSS-IR technology can reflect subsidence above the base.Accordingly,this paper employs GNSS-IR technology to measure subsidence changes above the base.Additionally,GNSS positioning technology is used to obtain subsidence changes below the base,and the overall subsidence change is then calculated using both GNSS-IR and GNSS positioning technology.The Mississippi River Delta,known for its significant sediment thickness,was selected as the study area,and data from FSHS,GRIS,and MSIN stations was analyzed.The results demonstrate that GNSS-IR can be used to measure the subsidence rate above the base,and the corrected overall subsidence rate is equivalent to the relative sea level rise rate.展开更多
In order to improve the accuracy of prediction when using the empirical orthogonal function （EOF） method, this paper describes a novel approach for two-dimensional （2D） EOF analysis based on extrapolating both the...In order to improve the accuracy of prediction when using the empirical orthogonal function （EOF） method, this paper describes a novel approach for two-dimensional （2D） EOF analysis based on extrapolating both the spatial and temporal EOF components for long-term prediction of coastal morphological changes. The approach was investigated with data obtained from a process-based numerical model, COAST2D, which was applied to an idealized study site with a group of shore-parallel breakwaters. The progressive behavior of the spatial and temporal EOF components, related to bathymetric changes over a training period, was demonstrated, and EOF components were extrapolated with combined linear and exponential functions for long-term prediction. The extrapolated EOF components were then used to reconstruct bathymetric changes. The comparison of the reconstructed bathymetric changes with the modeled results from the COAST2D model illustrates that the presented approach can be effective for long-term prediction of coastal morphological changes, and extrapolating both the spatial and temporal EOF components yields better results than extrapolating only the temporal EOF component.展开更多
Assessment of coastal vulnerability to future environmental change has been emphasized in coastal nations or regions. The Jiangsu coastal plain, located to the north of the Yangtze River Delta in China, is most vulner...Assessment of coastal vulnerability to future environmental change has been emphasized in coastal nations or regions. The Jiangsu coastal plain, located to the north of the Yangtze River Delta in China, is most vulnerable to sea level rise and exacerbating coastal hazards. This paper develops the method of delimiting vulnerable scope and assessing coastal vulnerability through field observations and sampling and by applying remote sensing and GIS, which are suitable for great river delta and coastal plains with large area, relative complex micro-geomorphology and the protection of seawall. Applying this method, the coastal vulnerability of the Jiangsu coastal plain to relative sea level rise (approximately 50 cm up to the year 2050) and exacerbating storm surges have been assessed. The results show that, up to the year 2050, the Jiangsu coastal plain will probably lose 12.8 % of tidal flats (about 5.8x104 hm2) and 7.9 % of cultivated land (about 7.2x104 hm2). Meanwhile, 2.0 % of population, 3.8 % of original value of fixed assets, 3.2% of GDP (Gross Domestic Product), 40.3 % of salt industry and 5.8 % of aquiculture respectively will be affected due to coastal environmental change.展开更多
To evaluate the controlling factors for coastline change of the Changjiang（Yangtze River） Estuary since 1974,we extracted the mean high tide line from multi-temporal remote sensing images that span from 1974 to 2014...To evaluate the controlling factors for coastline change of the Changjiang（Yangtze River） Estuary since 1974,we extracted the mean high tide line from multi-temporal remote sensing images that span from 1974 to 2014 at 2-year intervals.We chose 42 scenes to constrain the changing pattern of the Changjiang Estuary coastline,and implemented GIS technology to analyze the area change of the Changjiang（Yangtze） Subaerial Delta.Runoff,sediment discharge and coastal engineering were withal considered in the analysis of the coastline changes.The coastline has transgressed seaward since 1974,and a part of it presents inter-annual variations.The area of the Changjiang Subaerial Delta increased by 871 km2,with a net accretion rate of 21.8 km2/a.Based on the change of sediment discharge due to the major projects in the Changjiang River Basin,we divided the changing pattern of the coastline into three stages：the slow accretion stage（1974–1986）,the moderate accretion stage（1987–2002）,and the rapid accretion stage（2003–2014）.Liner regression analysis illustrated that there is a significantly positive correlation between the area changes and sediment discharge in the Chongming Eastern Shoal and Jiuduansha.This suggested that sediment load has a fundamental effect on the evolution of the Changjiang Estuary.Construction of Deep Waterway in the North Passage of the Changjiang River（1998–2010） led to a rapid accretion in the Hengsha Eastern Shoal and Jiuduansha by influencing the hydrodynamics in North Passage.Coastal engineering such as reclamation and harbor construction can also change the morphology of the Changjiang Estuary.We defined a contribution rate of area change to assess the impact of reclamation on the evolution of Changjiang Estuary.It turned out that more than 45.3% of area increment of the Changjiang Estuary was attributed to reclamation.展开更多
基金Acknowledge to the National Geographic Institute for supporting the free access and availability of geographical data for researchers.
文摘Coastline changes were analyzed considering the land cover types and the analysis of the causes that have determined these changes during the past decades.Through the overlapping of aerial photographs and GIS analysis,the results showed that the land surface increased with respect to the previous stage,gaining terrain to the sea,but this increment was caused by anthropogenic processes.In fact,without human pressure,the land surface beside the coastal line would have decreased,especially on the sandy beaches and coastal dunes.Therefore,the beaches are one of the most vulnerable ecosystems and geomorphological systems due to erosion and lack of sediment supply associated with the modified river courses(i.e.by the construction of reservoirs,concrete channeling,etc.),the inner land use changes,and the effects of global warming on the sea level.Climate change studies predict specific increases in the sea level along the coast.The aim of this work is to know if anthropic activity can reverse the effects of sea level rise and coastal erosion.In fact,it has been done for decades with measures aimed to correct impacts and favour economic activity(i.e.maintaining tourism resources)and not from the environmental issues.
基金Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(No.B200202015)National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42004018)Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province(No.BK20190496)。
文摘Coastal subsidence monitoring typically employs Global Navigation Satellite System(GNSS)positioning technology.This method provides information only about subsidence below the station base.Sediments in coastal areas tend to accumulate quickly,and subsidence can change significantly due to compaction and alluvium.Therefore,monitoring subsidence above the base is essential to obtain overall coastal subsidence.A new technology called GNSS-Interferometric Reflectometry(GNSS-IR)has been recently developed,which can utilize multipath effects to monitor reflector height.Since the base of the GNSS station is deep and the base length remains constant,the height changes measured by the GNSS-IR technology can reflect subsidence above the base.Accordingly,this paper employs GNSS-IR technology to measure subsidence changes above the base.Additionally,GNSS positioning technology is used to obtain subsidence changes below the base,and the overall subsidence change is then calculated using both GNSS-IR and GNSS positioning technology.The Mississippi River Delta,known for its significant sediment thickness,was selected as the study area,and data from FSHS,GRIS,and MSIN stations was analyzed.The results demonstrate that GNSS-IR can be used to measure the subsidence rate above the base,and the corrected overall subsidence rate is equivalent to the relative sea level rise rate.
基金the School of Engineering at Cardiff University for providing the financial support of a Ph D studentship to accomplish the research
文摘In order to improve the accuracy of prediction when using the empirical orthogonal function （EOF） method, this paper describes a novel approach for two-dimensional （2D） EOF analysis based on extrapolating both the spatial and temporal EOF components for long-term prediction of coastal morphological changes. The approach was investigated with data obtained from a process-based numerical model, COAST2D, which was applied to an idealized study site with a group of shore-parallel breakwaters. The progressive behavior of the spatial and temporal EOF components, related to bathymetric changes over a training period, was demonstrated, and EOF components were extrapolated with combined linear and exponential functions for long-term prediction. The extrapolated EOF components were then used to reconstruct bathymetric changes. The comparison of the reconstructed bathymetric changes with the modeled results from the COAST2D model illustrates that the presented approach can be effective for long-term prediction of coastal morphological changes, and extrapolating both the spatial and temporal EOF components yields better results than extrapolating only the temporal EOF component.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.49871076 Excellent Doctoral Thesis Foundation of Chinese Academy of Sciences
文摘Assessment of coastal vulnerability to future environmental change has been emphasized in coastal nations or regions. The Jiangsu coastal plain, located to the north of the Yangtze River Delta in China, is most vulnerable to sea level rise and exacerbating coastal hazards. This paper develops the method of delimiting vulnerable scope and assessing coastal vulnerability through field observations and sampling and by applying remote sensing and GIS, which are suitable for great river delta and coastal plains with large area, relative complex micro-geomorphology and the protection of seawall. Applying this method, the coastal vulnerability of the Jiangsu coastal plain to relative sea level rise (approximately 50 cm up to the year 2050) and exacerbating storm surges have been assessed. The results show that, up to the year 2050, the Jiangsu coastal plain will probably lose 12.8 % of tidal flats (about 5.8x104 hm2) and 7.9 % of cultivated land (about 7.2x104 hm2). Meanwhile, 2.0 % of population, 3.8 % of original value of fixed assets, 3.2% of GDP (Gross Domestic Product), 40.3 % of salt industry and 5.8 % of aquiculture respectively will be affected due to coastal environmental change.
文摘To evaluate the controlling factors for coastline change of the Changjiang（Yangtze River） Estuary since 1974,we extracted the mean high tide line from multi-temporal remote sensing images that span from 1974 to 2014 at 2-year intervals.We chose 42 scenes to constrain the changing pattern of the Changjiang Estuary coastline,and implemented GIS technology to analyze the area change of the Changjiang（Yangtze） Subaerial Delta.Runoff,sediment discharge and coastal engineering were withal considered in the analysis of the coastline changes.The coastline has transgressed seaward since 1974,and a part of it presents inter-annual variations.The area of the Changjiang Subaerial Delta increased by 871 km2,with a net accretion rate of 21.8 km2/a.Based on the change of sediment discharge due to the major projects in the Changjiang River Basin,we divided the changing pattern of the coastline into three stages：the slow accretion stage（1974–1986）,the moderate accretion stage（1987–2002）,and the rapid accretion stage（2003–2014）.Liner regression analysis illustrated that there is a significantly positive correlation between the area changes and sediment discharge in the Chongming Eastern Shoal and Jiuduansha.This suggested that sediment load has a fundamental effect on the evolution of the Changjiang Estuary.Construction of Deep Waterway in the North Passage of the Changjiang River（1998–2010） led to a rapid accretion in the Hengsha Eastern Shoal and Jiuduansha by influencing the hydrodynamics in North Passage.Coastal engineering such as reclamation and harbor construction can also change the morphology of the Changjiang Estuary.We defined a contribution rate of area change to assess the impact of reclamation on the evolution of Changjiang Estuary.It turned out that more than 45.3% of area increment of the Changjiang Estuary was attributed to reclamation.
