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THE SPATIOTEMPORAL CHARACTERISTICS OF LIGHT RAIN DAYS AND LOW CLOUD COVER UNDER HEAVY POLLUTION OVER SOUTH CHINA 被引量:1
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作者 符传博 丹利 +1 位作者 陈红 何鑫 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2017年第2期229-236,共8页
By using the data set of light rain days and low cloud cover at 51 stations in South China(SC), and the method of linear regression and correlative analysis, we analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of the light ... By using the data set of light rain days and low cloud cover at 51 stations in South China(SC), and the method of linear regression and correlative analysis, we analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of the light rain days and low cloud cover including annual variation and long-term seasonal change. The results are as follows:(1) The trends of light rain days and low cloud cover over SC are opposite(light rain days tended to decrease and low cloud cover tended to increase in the past 46 years). The value distributed in east is higher than that in west, and coastal area higher than inland area.(2) The regression coefficients of light rain days and low cloud cover during 1960-2005 are4.88 d/10 years and 1.14%/10 years respectively, which had all passed the 0.001 significance level.(3) Variations of light rain days are relatively small in spring and summer, but their contributions are larger for annual value than that of autumn and winter.(4) There are two regions with large values of aerosol optical depth(AOD), which distribute in central and southern Guangxi and Pearl River Delta(PRD) of Guangdong, and the value of AOD in PRD is up to 0.7.The aerosol index distributed in coastal area is higher than in the inland area, which is similar to the light rain days and low cloud cover over SC. Aerosol indexes in SC kept increasing with fluctuation during the past 27 years. The GDP of the three provinces in SC increased obviously during the past 28 years, especially in Guangdong, which exhibited that there is simultaneous correlation between light rain days with the variables of low cloud cover and release of aerosols over SC during 1960 to 2005. 展开更多
关键词 light rain days low cloud cover AOD Aerosol index South China
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Variability and Long-Term Trend of Total Cloud Cover in China Derived from ISCCP, ERA-40, CRU3, and Ground Station Datasets 被引量:1
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作者 ZONG Xue-Mei WANG Pu-Cai XIA Xiang-Ao 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 CSCD 2013年第3期133-137,共5页
Total Cloud Cover (TCC) over China deter- mined from four climate datasets including the Interna- tional Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP), the 40-year Re-Analysis Project of the European Centre for Medi... Total Cloud Cover (TCC) over China deter- mined from four climate datasets including the Interna- tional Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP), the 40-year Re-Analysis Project of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ERA-40), Climate Research Unit Time Series 3.0 (CRU3), and ground sta- tion datasets are used to show spatial and temporal varia- tion of TCC and their differences. It is demonstrated that the four datasets show similar spatial pattern and seasonal variation. The maximum value is derived from ISCCE TCC value in North China derived from ERA-40 is 50% larger than that from the station dataset; however, the value is 50% less than that in South China. The annual TCC of ISCCP, ERA-40, and ground station datasets shows a decreasing trend during 1984-2002; however, an increasing trend is derived from CRU3. The results of this study imply remarkable differences of TCC derived from surface and satellite observations as well as model simu- lations. The potential effects of these differences on cloud climatology and associated climatic issues should be carefully considered. 展开更多
关键词 total cloud cover ISCCE ERA-40 CRU3 ground station dataset
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Spatio-temporal differences in cloud cover of Landsat-8 OLI observations across China during 2013–2016 被引量:3
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作者 肖池伟 李鹏 +1 位作者 封志明 吴兴元 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2018年第4期429-444,共16页
Currently, the historical archive images of Landsat family sensors are probably the most effective data products for tracking global longitudinal changes since the 1970 s. However, the issue of the degree and extent o... Currently, the historical archive images of Landsat family sensors are probably the most effective data products for tracking global longitudinal changes since the 1970 s. However, the issue of the degree and extent of cloud coverage is always a challenge and varies distinctively worldwide. So far, acquisition probability(AP) analyses of cloud cover(CC) of Landsat observations have been conducted with different sensors at regional scale. To our knowledge, CC probability analysis for the newly-launched Landsat-8 Operational Land Imager(OLI) across China is not reported. In this paper, monthly, seasonal, and annual APs for Landsat OLI(44,228 in total) images over China acquired from April 2013 to October 2016 with various CC thresholds were analyzed. The results showed that: first, the cumulative average APs of all OLI data over China at the CC thresholds ≤30% was about 49.6% which illustrated the availability of OLI imagery across China. Second, the spatial patterns of 10%, 20%, and 30% CC thresholds of OLI observations, coincided well with the precipitation distributions separated by the respective 200 mm, 400 mm, and 800 mm isohyetal lines. Third, the APs of images with the 30% CC threshold are the highest in autumn and winter especially in October of 58.7%, while the corresponding lowest probability occurred in June of 41.0%. Finally, the spatial differences in APs of targeted images with ≤30% CC thresholds were quite significant. At regional scales, the arid and semi-arid areas, Inland River and Songliao River basins, and northwestern side of the Hu Huanyong population line had the larger probabilities of obtaining high-quality images. Our study suggested that OLI imagery satisfy the data requirements needed for land surface monitoring, although there existed obvious spatio-temporal differences in APs over China at the 30% CC threshold. 展开更多
关键词 cloud cover(CC) spatio-temporal changes Landsat-8 OLI acquisition probability(AP) China
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Comparison between MODIS-derived Day and Night Cloud Cover and Surface Observations over the North China Plain
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作者 Xiao ZHANG Saichun TAN Guangyu SHI 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2018年第2期146-157,共12页
Satellite and human visual observation are two of the most important observation approaches for cloud cover. In this study, the total cloud cover (TCC) observed by MODIS onboard the Terra and Aqua satellites was com... Satellite and human visual observation are two of the most important observation approaches for cloud cover. In this study, the total cloud cover (TCC) observed by MODIS onboard the Terra and Aqua satellites was compared with Synop meteorological station observations over the North China Plain and its surrounding regions for 11 years during daytime and 7 years during nighttime. The Synop data were recorded eight times a day at 3-h intervals. Linear interpolation was used to interpolate the Synop data to the MODIS overpass time in order to reduce the temporal deviation between the satellite and Synop observations. Results showed that MODIS-derived TCC had good consistency with the Synop observations; the correlation coefficients ranged from 0.56 in winter to 0.73 in summer for Terra MODIS, and from 0.55 in winter to 0.71 in summer for Aqua MODIS. However, they also had certain differences. On average, the MODIS-derived TCC was 15.16% higher than the Synop data, and this value was higher at nighttime (15.58%-16.64%) than daytime (12.74%-14.14%). The deviation between the MODIS and Synop TCC had large seasonal variation, being largest in winter (29.53%-31.07%) and smallest in summer (4.46%-6.07%). Analysis indicated that cloud with low cloud-top height and small cloud optical thickness was more likely to cause observation bias. Besides, an increase in the satellite view zenith angle, aerosol optical depth, or snow cover could lead to positively biased MODIS results, and this affect differed among different cloud types. 展开更多
关键词 cloud cover MODIS cloud-top height cloud optical thickness aerosol optical depth view zenith angle
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Variations and Influence of Cloud Cover in Heze Region in Recent 52 Years
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作者 Dou Kun 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2015年第11期6-8,15,共4页
Based on the data of cloud cover, precipitation, temperature, sunshine hours and relative humidity from nine ground meteorological stations in Heze region in the southwest of Shandong Province from 1961 to 2012, chang... Based on the data of cloud cover, precipitation, temperature, sunshine hours and relative humidity from nine ground meteorological stations in Heze region in the southwest of Shandong Province from 1961 to 2012, changes of total and low cloud cover and its relationship with climatic factors associated in the southwest of Shandong Province in recent 52 years were analyzed. The results showed that average total cloud cover in- creased by 0.89%/10 a, but average low cloud cover decreased by 1.1%/10 a in Heze region in recent 52 years. The positive correlation between the average total cloud cover and temperature in autumn and winter was obvious, that is, when cloud cover increased by 10%, the average temper- ature increased by 0.48 ~C in autumn and increased by 0.83~(3 in winter. The average low. cloud cover negatively correlated with the average tam- perature in each season, and the negative correlation was very significant in spring. When cloud cover increased by 10%, the average temperature decreased by 1.49 ~C. The positive correlation between the average cloud cover and average precipitation was significant. The annual precipitation increased by 148.1 mm when annual mean total cloud cover increased by 10%. When seasonal mean cloud cover increased by 10%, the precipita- tion increased by 48.4, 107.1,55.4 and 12.2 mm in spring, summer, autumn and winter respectively. The annual average total cloud cover and low cloud cover had significantly positive correlation with 〉~0.1, ~〉1.0, ~〉10 and ~〉25 mm precipitation days respectively. The sunshine hours were seriously influenced by cloud cover, and when cloud cover increased by 10%, the sunshine hours decreased by 54.5 h in spring, 134.2 h in sum- mer, 154.3 h in autumn and 60.6 h in winter. The total cloud cover significantly positively correlated with relative humidity in summer and autumn, and when cloud cover increased by 10%, the relative humidity increased by 3.3% in summer and 4.1% in autumn. 展开更多
关键词 cloud cover Variation features Climatic factors Correlation analysis Heze region China
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Temporal and spatial variation of cloud cover in arid regions of Central Asia in the last 40 years
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作者 KaiLiang Zhao GuoFeng Zhu +7 位作者 LiYuan Sang JiaWei Liu Lei Wang YuWei Liu YuanXiao Xu XinRui Lin WenHao Zhang LinLin Ye 《Research in Cold and Arid Regions》 CSCD 2023年第2期66-72,共7页
Water resources are one of the key factors restricting the development of arid areas,and cloud water resources is an important part of water resources.The arid region of central Asia is the core region of the current ... Water resources are one of the key factors restricting the development of arid areas,and cloud water resources is an important part of water resources.The arid region of central Asia is the core region of the current national green silk road construction,and is the largest arid region in the world.Based on cloud cover data of ECMWF,the current study analyzed temporal and spatial characteristics of cloud properties in arid regions of Central Asia between 1980 and 2019.Our findings show that:(1)From the point of view of spatial distribution,total cloudiness in arid regions of Central Asia was low in the south and high in the north.The distribution of high cloud frequency and medium cloud frequency was higher in the south and lower in the north,while low cloud frequency distribution was low in the south and high in the north.(2)In terms of time,the variation of cloud cover and cloud type frequency had obvious seasonal characteristics.From winter to spring,cloud cover increased,and the change of cloud type frequency increased.From spring to summer,cloud cover continued to increase and the change of cloud type frequency increased further.Cloud cover began to decrease from summer to autumn,and the change of cloud type frequency also decreased.(3)Generally,average total cloud cover decreased in most of central Asia,and high and medium cloud cover increased while low cloud cover decreased.This study provides a reference for the rational development of cloud resources in the region. 展开更多
关键词 Central Asia cloud cover Temporal and spatial changes cloud type frequency
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Absence of the Impact of the Flux of Cosmic Rays and the Cloud Cover on the Energy Balance of the Earth
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作者 H.I.Abdussamatov 《Journal of Atmospheric Science Research》 2020年第3期1-7,共7页
The energy of solar radiation absorbed by the Earth,as well as the thermal radiation of the Earth’s surface,which is released to the space through the atmospheric transparency window,depends on variations of the area... The energy of solar radiation absorbed by the Earth,as well as the thermal radiation of the Earth’s surface,which is released to the space through the atmospheric transparency window,depends on variations of the area of the cloud cover.Svensmark et al.suggest that the increase in the area of the cloud cover in the lower atmosphere,presumably caused by an increase in the flux of galactic cosmic rays during the quasi-bicentennial minimum of solar activity,results only in an increase in the fraction of the solar radiation reflected back to the space and weakens the flux of the solar radiation that reached the Earth surface.It is suggested,without any corresponding calculations of the variations of the average annual energy balance of the EarthЕ,that the consequences will include only a deficit of the solar energy absorbed by the Earth and a cooling of the climate up to the onset of the Little Ice Age.These suggestions ignore simultaneous impact of the opposite aspects of the increase in the area of the cloud cover on the climate warming.The latter will result from a decrease in the power of thermal radiation of the Earth’s surface released to the space,and also in the power of the solar radiation reflected from the Earth’s surface,due to the increase in their absorption and reflection back to the surface.A substantial strengthening in the greenhouse effect and the narrowing of the atmospheric transparency window will also occur.Here,we estimate the impact of all aspects of possible long-term 2%growth of the cloud cover area in the lower atmosphere byЕ.We found that an increase in the cloud cover area in the lower atmosphere will result simultaneously both in the decrease and in the increase in the temperature,which will virtually compensate each other,while the energy balance of the Earth E before and after the increase in the cloud cover area by 2%will stay essentially the same:E1-E0≈0. 展开更多
关键词 CLIMATE Cosmic rays cloud cover Energy Balance Little Ice Age Solar Irradiance Greenhouse Effect Atmospheric Transparency Window
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Changes in Global Cloud Cover Based on Remote Sensing Data from 2003 to 2012 被引量:7
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作者 MAO Kebiao YUAN Zijin +3 位作者 ZUO Zhiyuan XU Tongren SHEN Xinyi GAO Chunyu 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2019年第2期306-315,共10页
As is well known,clouds impact the radiative budget,climate change,hydrological processes,and the global carbon,nitrogen and sulfur cycles.To understand the wide-ranging effects of clouds,it is necessary to assess cha... As is well known,clouds impact the radiative budget,climate change,hydrological processes,and the global carbon,nitrogen and sulfur cycles.To understand the wide-ranging effects of clouds,it is necessary to assess changes in cloud cover at high spatial and temporal resolution.In this study,we calculate global cloud cover during the day and at night using cloud products estimated from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer(MODIS)data.Results indicate that the global mean cloud cover from 2003 to 2012 was 66%.Moreover,global cloud cover increased over this recent decade.Specifically,cloud cover over land areas(especially North America,Antarctica,and Europe)decreased(slope=–0.001,R^2=0.5254),whereas cloud cover over ocean areas(especially the Indian and Pacific Oceans)increased(slope=0.0011,R^2=0.4955).Cloud cover is relatively high between the latitudes of 36°S and 68°S compared to other regions,and cloud cover is lowest over Oceania and Antarctica.The highest rates of increase occurred over Southeast Asia and Oceania,whereas the highest rates of decrease occurred over Antarctica and North America.The global distribution of cloud cover regulates global temperature change,and the trends of these two variables over the 10-year period examined in this study(2003–2012)oppose one another in some regions.These findings are very important for studies of global climate change. 展开更多
关键词 GLOBAL cloud cover CLIMATE CHANGE REMOTE sensing MODIS GLOBAL CHANGE
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Comparisons of GCM cloud cover parameterizations with cloud-resolving model explicit simulations 被引量:4
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作者 WANG XiaoCong LIU YiMin +1 位作者 BAO Qing WU GuoXiong 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第4期604-614,共11页
Three kinds of the widely-used cloudiness parameterizations are compared with data produced from the cloud-resolving model(CRM) simulations of the tropical cloud system. The investigated schemes include those based on... Three kinds of the widely-used cloudiness parameterizations are compared with data produced from the cloud-resolving model(CRM) simulations of the tropical cloud system. The investigated schemes include those based on relative humidity(RH), the semi-empirical scheme using cloud condensate as a predictor, and the statistical scheme based on probability distribution functions(PDFs). Results show that all three schemes are successful in reproducing the timing of cloud generation, except for the RH-based scheme, in which low-level clouds are artificially simulated during cloudless days. In contrast, the low-level clouds are well simulated in the semi-empirical and PDF-based statistical schemes, both of which are close to the CRM explicit simulations. In addition to the Gaussian PDF, two alternative PDFs are also explored to investigate the impact of different PDFs on cloud parameterizations. All the PDF-based parameterizations are found to be inaccurate for high cloud simulations, in either the magnitude or the structure. The primary reason is that the investigated PDFs are symmetrically assumed, yet the skewness factors in deep convective cloud regimes are highly significant, indicating the symmetrical assumption is not well satisfied in those regimes. Results imply the need to seek a skewed PDF in statistical schemes so that it can yield better performance in high cloud simulations. 展开更多
关键词 cloud cover relative humidity statistical cloud scheme PDFs CRM KWAJEX
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A new MODIS daily cloud free snow cover mapping algorithm on the Tibetan Plateau 被引量:7
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作者 XiaoDong Huang XiaoHua Hao +2 位作者 QiSheng Feng Wei Wang TianGang Liang 《Research in Cold and Arid Regions》 CSCD 2014年第2期116-123,共8页
Because of similar reflective characteristics of snow and cloud, the weather status seriously affects snow monitoring using optical remote sensing data. Cloud amount analysis during 2010 to 2011 snow seasons shows tha... Because of similar reflective characteristics of snow and cloud, the weather status seriously affects snow monitoring using optical remote sensing data. Cloud amount analysis during 2010 to 2011 snow seasons shows that cloud cover is the major limitation for snow cover monitoring using MOD10A1 and MYD10A1. By use of MODIS daily snow cover products and AMSR-E snow wa- ter equivalent products (SWE), several cloud elimination methods were integrated to produce a new daily cloud flee snow cover product, and information of snow depth from 85 climate stations in Tibetan Plateau area (TP) were used to validate the accuracy of the new composite snow cover product. The results indicate that snow classification accuracy of the new daily snow cover product reaches 91.7% when snow depth is over 3 cm. This suggests that the new daily snow cover mapping algorithm is suitable for monitoring snow cover dynamic changes in TP. 展开更多
关键词 MODIS snow cover cloud contamination elimination Tibetan Plateau
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综合多气象要素与GNSS-PWV的北京“7·31”暴雨过程分析
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作者 赵兴旺 王旭 +2 位作者 张涛 陈健 刘超 《导航定位学报》 北大核心 2025年第3期154-161,共8页
针对受多种因素影响,暴雨形成过程复杂且危害巨大,而暴雨降雨预报不准的问题,在分析“7·31”暴雨过程中大气可降水量(PWV)、相对湿度、温度与总云量变化特征的基础上,探讨它们与降雨的耦合关系。研究结果表明:暴雨发生前,温度较高... 针对受多种因素影响,暴雨形成过程复杂且危害巨大,而暴雨降雨预报不准的问题,在分析“7·31”暴雨过程中大气可降水量(PWV)、相对湿度、温度与总云量变化特征的基础上,探讨它们与降雨的耦合关系。研究结果表明:暴雨发生前,温度较高加速水汽蒸发与空气上升运动,促进相对湿度增长与低压云系形成,总云量提前达到100%;PWV保持1.02 mm/h的速率快速增加到峰值66.75 mm,4 h内气象条件充足时暴雨发生;暴雨期间,PWV与降雨量均呈现先增后减的整体趋势,PWV始终高于65 mm,进而引发持续性暴雨降雨;相对湿度与温度的单日特征变化明显,单日的相对湿度谷值先升后降,最低为87%,单日的温度峰值先降后升,最高达到28.67℃,二者时序基本呈现负相关;暴雨结束前的2~5 h内总云量降低至谷值,可通过暴雨期间总云量的变化特征大致判断暴雨结束时间。 展开更多
关键词 大气可降水量(PWV) 降雨量 相对湿度 温度 总云量
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Evaluating the regional consistency of astronomical observing conditions across Dome A
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作者 Kaiwen Zheng Kun Ma +6 位作者 Jiali Chen Haosi Song Tiancong Zhang Shiyi Wang Han Wang Peng Jiang Xiaoyan Li 《Astronomical Techniques and Instruments》 2025年第6期388-399,共12页
With excellent seeing conditions,ultra-low infrared background noise,high frequency of space debris transits,and continuous polar night coverage,Dome A in Antarctica has become an ideal platform for ground-based astro... With excellent seeing conditions,ultra-low infrared background noise,high frequency of space debris transits,and continuous polar night coverage,Dome A in Antarctica has become an ideal platform for ground-based astronomy and space situational monitoring.As a crucial observatory site for international deep space,deep Earth,deep sea,and polar exploration,it is very important to evaluate the suitability of Dome A as an observatory site.However,owing to extreme environmental constraints,the evaluation of site conditions is mainly based on single-point measurements,making it challenging to comprehensively evaluate the effective site range and uniformity.This study integrated satellite remote sensing data to develop a cross-comparison framework for diverse indicators across Dome A,to evaluate its spatial uniformity.We find that the area surrounding the Dome A site,defined within a roughly 1°×1°latitude and longitude range,possesses excellent astronomical observation conditions. 展开更多
关键词 Dome A cloud cover Vertical wind shear Skin temperature Net solar radiation Climate stability
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FY-4A卫星地表太阳辐射产品在新疆地区的适用性研究
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作者 王宇鹏 贺千山 +3 位作者 刘鑫 刘琼 陈勇航 孙琳琳 《太阳能学报》 北大核心 2025年第5期428-439,共12页
基于新疆地区不同下垫面类型的肖塘、和田、阿勒泰站辐射观测数据,评估FY-4A地表太阳辐射产品在该区域的适用性,并结合FY-4A的云覆盖率和沙尘检测数据,分析其误差来源。结果表明:从一致性来看,FY-4A与3个站点地面观测辐照度的相关系数均... 基于新疆地区不同下垫面类型的肖塘、和田、阿勒泰站辐射观测数据,评估FY-4A地表太阳辐射产品在该区域的适用性,并结合FY-4A的云覆盖率和沙尘检测数据,分析其误差来源。结果表明:从一致性来看,FY-4A与3个站点地面观测辐照度的相关系数均在0.8以上,肖塘站一致性最好,阿勒泰站次之,和田站最差。从误差方面看,FY-4A总体数值偏高且有着“高值低估,低值高估”的特点,其适用性在肖塘站最好,阿勒泰站次之,和田站最差,绝对误差分别为93.62、103.47、135.38 W/m^(2),FY-4A在3个站点的绝对误差均在夏季达到最大值(大于114.08 W/m^(2)),在冬季达到最小值(小于102.21 W/m^(2));相较于11:00—14:00,3个站点在07:00—10:00和15:00—18:00对FY-4A的误差会更大。从误差来源看,云覆盖率大于80%时两者之间相对误差大于90%的最小占比为17.05%;晴空条件下,和田站无沙尘像元,肖塘和阿勒泰站沙尘像元较非沙尘像元绝对误差分别增大38.20和15.02 W/m^(2),有云条件下和田和阿勒泰站沙尘像元较非沙尘像元绝对误差分别增大43.43和22.37 W/m^(2),而肖塘站减小80.67 W/m^(2),这是由于该站点沙尘像元样本数超过一半分布在FY-4A辐射反演效果最好的范围。 展开更多
关键词 入射太阳辐射 卫星数据 地面观测 FY-4A 云覆盖率
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ENSO对中国中东部不同季节太阳能资源的可能影响
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作者 袁心仪 耿新 +3 位作者 张敏 王博妮 孙明 夏新露 《气候与环境研究》 北大核心 2025年第4期402-414,共13页
作为最重要的可再生清洁能源之一,太阳能资源受到气候因子的显著影响。本文利用1979~2023年英国Hadley中心逐月海表温度和欧洲中期天气预报中心第5代逐月大气再分析资料,采用相关、回归和合成等方法,研究了ENSO对中国中东部不同季节太... 作为最重要的可再生清洁能源之一,太阳能资源受到气候因子的显著影响。本文利用1979~2023年英国Hadley中心逐月海表温度和欧洲中期天气预报中心第5代逐月大气再分析资料,采用相关、回归和合成等方法,研究了ENSO对中国中东部不同季节太阳总辐射(TotalSolarIrradiation,TSI)的影响特征,并探讨了这种影响的可能物理机制。结果表明,我国中东部TSI存在显著的年际变率,与ENSO事件息息相关。在ElNiño发展期夏秋季,我国中东部TSI异常总体呈“华北多华南少”的南北偶极型分布;成熟期冬季TSI整体偏少,大值区位于华南地区;衰减期春季则呈现“华东少、西南多”的东西偶极型分布;衰减期夏季主要表现为长江中上游地区的显著偏少。当La Niña发生时,各季节TSI异常分布与El Niño年基本相反,但强度较弱,表现出一定的ENSO影响非对称性。进一步研究表明,ENSO对我国中东部不同季节TSI的影响主要与ENSO相关的环流和水汽异常引起的总云量变化对太阳直接辐射的反射作用有关。本研究对于太阳能光伏发电潜能预测以及预期收益评估等问题具有重要意义。 展开更多
关键词 ENSO 太阳总辐射 总云量 大气环流
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Development of Cloud Movement Prediction Method for Solar Photovoltaic System 被引量:1
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作者 Fei Lu Siaw Yaw Yoong Sia Mallikarachchi Dilshani 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 CAS 2022年第1期64-69,共6页
Variability of power generation due to the prevalence of cloud cover over solar photovoltaics(PV)power plants is a challenge faced by grid operators and independent system operators(ISOs)in the integration of solar en... Variability of power generation due to the prevalence of cloud cover over solar photovoltaics(PV)power plants is a challenge faced by grid operators and independent system operators(ISOs)in the integration of solar energy into the grid.Solar forecasts generated through ground⁃based sky imaging systems are useful for short⁃term cloud motion predictions.However,the cost of sky imaging systems currently available in industries is relatively high.Hence,a ground⁃based camera system utilizing a simple webcam is proposed in this study.The proposed method can produce predictions with high levels of accuracy.Forecasts were generated through video analysis using MATLAB for the computation of cloud motion predictions.The image processing involved in the implementation of the proposed system is based on the detection of cloud regions in the form of a cluster of white pixels within individual frames and tracking their motion through comparison of subsequent frames.This study describes the techniques and processes used in the development of the proposed method,along with the evaluation of performance through analysis of the results.The predictions were carried out over multiple time horizons.The time horizons selected include 5,10,15,20,25,and 30 s.The overall results computed showed promising accuracy levels above 94.60%,which makes it adequate for generating reliable forecasts. 展开更多
关键词 FORECAST solar photovoltaic cloud cover MATLAB
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基于递减平均法的中卫市春季最低气温和霜冻精细化格点预报产品订正及检验
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作者 庞婷婷 杨苑 +1 位作者 张亚刚 陈星宜 《河南科技》 2025年第19期106-115,共10页
【目的】针对ECMWF细网格模式在宁夏中卫市春季最低气温预报中的系统性偏差,通过递减平均法构建多模型订正体系,提升霜冻灾害防御能力。【方法】利用2021—2023年春季0.05°×0.05°ECMWF预报数据和实况资料,建立DAM_EC、DA... 【目的】针对ECMWF细网格模式在宁夏中卫市春季最低气温预报中的系统性偏差,通过递减平均法构建多模型订正体系,提升霜冻灾害防御能力。【方法】利用2021—2023年春季0.05°×0.05°ECMWF预报数据和实况资料,建立DAM_EC、DAM_TMIN_ECT和DAM_TMIN_PRE等3种预报模型,并与中央台指导预报EC模式进行格点检验对比,系统评估其对中卫市春季最低气温及霜冻的预报性能。【结果】结果表明:①最低温度预报方面,DAM_TMIN_ECT和DAM_TMIN_PRE较EC模式准确率分别提升7.6%~1.5%和7.8%~1.6%,其中3月上旬至4月中旬降水因子影响显著,DAM_TMIN_PRE准确率最高(63%~78%);4月下旬至5月下旬云量因子作用增强,DAM_TMIN_ECT准确率最高(77%~80%)。②霜冻预报方面,24 h时效订正效果最佳,轻度、中度和重度霜冻的订正技巧分别达24%、8%和23%;经DAM系列方法订正后,大部分区域误差普遍≤2℃,其中轻度霜冻在沙坡头区东北部、香山乡及海原县甘盐池等区域改善显著;中度霜冻在沙坡头区南北部和海原县中北部误差明显减小;重度霜冻在海原县中西部预报精度显著提升。区域对比表明,DAM_TMIN_ECT在中北部、DAM_TMIN_PRE在南部表现最佳,整体预报精度较EC模式有显著提高。【结论】基于两种模型在不同气象条件下的互补优势,建议采用动态集成方案,以进一步提升中卫市春季霜冻预报准确率,为精细化气象服务提供可靠技术支撑。 展开更多
关键词 递减平均法 降水 云量 春季最低气温 春季霜冻
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Observation of clouds and solar radiation over the Pacific Ocean as relation to global climate
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作者 Farn Parungo Clarence Nagamoto +1 位作者 Cecilia M. I. R. Girz Jeff Torgerson and Zhou Mingyu (Science and Technology Corporation, Boulder, CO, U. S. A.Air Resources Laboratory, NOAA, Boulder, CO, U. S. A.Forecast Systems Laboratory, NOAA, Boulder, CO, U. S. A.U 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1995年第2期201-207,共7页
During a research cruise over the Pacific Ocean in 1989, solar irradiance was measured with a broad-band pyranometer along the cruise track. Cloud cover was photographed with an all-sky time-lapse came ra. Cloud types... During a research cruise over the Pacific Ocean in 1989, solar irradiance was measured with a broad-band pyranometer along the cruise track. Cloud cover was photographed with an all-sky time-lapse came ra. Cloud types were observed and recorded. The data show that both the types and the amounts of clouds affect radiation fluxes on the sea surface. For low-level and middle-level clouds, the correlations (r) between measured irradiance (in Percent of calculated maximum irradiance) and cloud amount (in fraction of sky) were significant: r=-0. 79 and - 0. 66, respectively. For high-level clouds, the correlation was not significant: r=-0. 21. The results indicate that cloud shortwave forcing is a major modifier of the earth's surface insolation and change of cloud amount may affect global climate. 展开更多
关键词 Solar irradiance cloud type cloud cover earth's surface insolation global climate
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基于NB-IoT的城市井盖监测系统设计
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作者 冯少华 李峥 慕灯聪 《宿州学院学报》 2025年第3期1-5,39,共6页
为了实现监管部门对于城市井盖的智能化管理,设计了一种基于NB-IoT的城市井盖监测系统。系统通过主控芯片STM32L151C8T6结合RCWL-1670超声波、MPU6050倾角测量和MEMSJND102可燃气体等传感器定时采集井盖倾角井下液位、可燃气体浓度和环... 为了实现监管部门对于城市井盖的智能化管理,设计了一种基于NB-IoT的城市井盖监测系统。系统通过主控芯片STM32L151C8T6结合RCWL-1670超声波、MPU6050倾角测量和MEMSJND102可燃气体等传感器定时采集井盖倾角井下液位、可燃气体浓度和环境信息,并通过BC26 NB-IoT通信模块将所采集的数据信息上传到阿里云平台,管理人员可通过云平台实时查看井盖状态、井下液位和可燃气体浓度数据,以提高管理人员后续的检修效率。经实验验证,该系统稳定性高,具有低功耗、智能化以及便于管理等优点。 展开更多
关键词 井盖 阿里云平台 BC26 STM32L151C8T6 低功耗
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Decomposition of Fast and Slow Cloud Responses to Quadrupled CO_(2)Forcing in BCC–AGCM2.0 over East Asia
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作者 Xixun ZHOU Bing XIE +2 位作者 Hua ZHANG Jingyi HE Qi CHEN 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2022年第12期2188-2202,共15页
In this study,the decomposed fast and slow responses of clouds to an abruptly quadrupled CO_(2)concentration(approximately 1139 ppmv)in East Asia(EA)are obtained quantitatively by using a general circulation model,BCC... In this study,the decomposed fast and slow responses of clouds to an abruptly quadrupled CO_(2)concentration(approximately 1139 ppmv)in East Asia(EA)are obtained quantitatively by using a general circulation model,BCC–AGCM2.0.Our results show that in the total response,the total cloud cover(TCC),low cloud cover(LCC),and high cloud cover(HCC)all increased north of 40°N and decreased south of 40°N except in the Tibetan Plateau(TP).The mean changes of the TCC,LCC,and HCC in EA were–0.74%,0.38%,and–0.38%in the total response,respectively;1.05%,–0.03%,and 1.63%in the fast response,respectively;and–1.79%,0.41%,and–2.01%in the slow response,respectively.By comparison,we found that changes in cloud cover were dominated by the slow response in most areas in EA due to the changes in atmospheric temperature,circulation,and water vapor supply together.Overall,the changes in the cloud forcing over EA related to the fast and slow responses were opposite to each other,and the final cloud forcing was dominated by the slow response.The mean net cloud forcing(NCF)in the total response over EA was–1.80 W m^(–2),indicating a cooling effect which partially offset the warming effect caused by the quadrupled CO_(2).The total responses of NCF in the TP,south China(SC),and northeast China(NE)were–6.74 W m^(–2),6.11 W m^(–2),and–7.49 W m^(–2),respectively.Thus,the local effects of offsetting or amplifying warming were particularly obvious. 展开更多
关键词 cloud cover cloud forcing quadrupled CO_(2) fast and slow responses
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FY-4A云覆盖率产品在宁夏的检验评估及订正
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作者 袁瑞瑞 王坤 高睿娜 《干旱气象》 2025年第5期799-809,共11页
开展卫星反演云量的准确率评估是业务应用的基础,对于有效发挥卫星遥感高时空分辨率的优势以及弥补地面观测资料的不足具有重要意义。以处于典型干旱半干旱区域的宁夏为研究区,利用2019年08:00、11:00、14:00、17:00、20:00(北京时,下... 开展卫星反演云量的准确率评估是业务应用的基础,对于有效发挥卫星遥感高时空分辨率的优势以及弥补地面观测资料的不足具有重要意义。以处于典型干旱半干旱区域的宁夏为研究区,利用2019年08:00、11:00、14:00、17:00、20:00(北京时,下同)5个时次的地面观测总云量资料对风云四号A星(简称“FY-4A”)云覆盖率产品进行检验和评估,并利用归一化混合订正法对逐月云覆盖率产品进行订正,在此基础上分析宁夏日间云覆盖率的时空分布特征。结果表明:1)宁夏区域FY-4A云覆盖率产品与地面人工观测总云量的逐月、逐日变化趋势具有较高的一致性,全区平均及各气象站FY-4A云覆盖率与人工观测总云量的相关系数普遍为0.7~0.9,但总体上低于总云量值。2)从5个时次总云量和云覆盖率一致率来看,11:00、14:00、17:00的一致率高于08:00和20:00;从云量分级检验来看,一致率依次为晴天>阴天>少云>多云。3)归一化混合订正方法能有效降低FY-4A云覆盖率产品与地面人工观测总云量的偏差,订正后各月的平均值与气象站云量基本吻合。4)宁夏年平均日间云覆盖率为30%~70%,贺兰山沿山、引黄灌区(中卫市沙坡头区—银川一带)、中卫市海原县及固原市云覆盖率较高,石嘴山市惠农区、大武口区东部、平罗县东部云覆盖率最低;5—6月全区云覆盖率普遍较高,12月云覆盖率最低。 展开更多
关键词 FY-4A云覆盖率产品 检验评估 订正 时空分布
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