Economic losses and catastrophic casualties may occur once super high-rise structures are struck by low-probability but high-consequence scenarios of concurrent earthquakes and winds. Therefore, accurately predicting ...Economic losses and catastrophic casualties may occur once super high-rise structures are struck by low-probability but high-consequence scenarios of concurrent earthquakes and winds. Therefore, accurately predicting multi-hazard dynamic responses to super high-rise structures has significant engineering and scientific value. This study performed a parametric global sensitivity analysis (GSA) for multi-hazard dynamic response prediction of super high-rise structures using the multiple-degree-of-freedom shear (MFS) model. Polynomial chaos Kriging (PCK) was introduced to build a surrogate model that allowed GSA to be combined with Sobol’ indices. Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) is also conducted for the comparison to verify the accuracy and efficiency of the PCK method. Parametric sensitivity analysis is performed for a wide range of aleatory uncertainty (intensities of coupled multi-hazard), epistemic uncertainty (bending stiffness, k_(m);shear stiffness, kq;density, ρ;and damping ratio, ξ), probability distribution types, and coefficients of variation. The results indicate that epistemic uncertainty parameters, k_(m), ρ, and ξ dramatically affect the multi-hazard dynamic responses of super high-rise structures;in addition, Sobol’ indices between the normal and lognormal distributions are insignificant, while the variation levels have remarkably influenced the sensitivity indices.展开更多
This paper presents a framework for constructing surrogate models for sensitivity analysis of structural dynamics behavior.Physical models involving deformation,such as collisions,vibrations,and penetration,are devel-...This paper presents a framework for constructing surrogate models for sensitivity analysis of structural dynamics behavior.Physical models involving deformation,such as collisions,vibrations,and penetration,are devel-oped using the material point method.To reduce the computational cost of Monte Carlo simulations,response surface models are created as surrogate models for the material point system to approximate its dynamic behavior.An adaptive randomized greedy algorithm is employed to construct a sparse polynomial chaos expansion model with a fixed order,effectively balancing the accuracy and computational efficiency of the surrogate model.Based on the sparse polynomial chaos expansion,sensitivity analysis is conducted using the global finite difference and Sobol methods.Several examples of structural dynamics are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method in addressing structural dynamics problems.展开更多
As a crucial component of intelligent chassis systems,air suspension significantly enhances driver comfort and vehicle stability.To further improve the adaptability of commercial vehicles to complex and variable road ...As a crucial component of intelligent chassis systems,air suspension significantly enhances driver comfort and vehicle stability.To further improve the adaptability of commercial vehicles to complex and variable road conditions,this paper proposes a linear motor active suspension with quasi-zero stiffness(QZS)air spring system.Firstly,a dynamic model of the linear motor active suspension with QZS air spring system is established.Secondly,considering the random uncertainties in the linear motor parameters due to manufacturing and environmental factors,a dynamic model and state equations incorporating these uncertainties are constructed using the polynomial chaos expansion(PCE)method.Then,based on H_(2) robust control theory and the Kalman filter,a state feedback control law is derived,accounting for the random parameter uncertainties.Finally,simulation and hardware-in-the-loop(HIL)experimental results demonstrate that the PCE-H_(2) robust controller not only provides better performance in terms of vehicle ride comfort compared to general H_(2) robust controller but also exhibits higher robustness to the effects of random uncertain parameters,resulting in more stable control performance.展开更多
The uncertainties can generate fluctuations with aerodynamic characteristics. Uncertainty Quantification（UQ） is applied to compute its impact on the aerodynamic characteristics.In addition, the contribution of each ...The uncertainties can generate fluctuations with aerodynamic characteristics. Uncertainty Quantification（UQ） is applied to compute its impact on the aerodynamic characteristics.In addition, the contribution of each uncertainty to aerodynamic characteristics should be computed by uncertainty sensitivity analysis. Non-Intrusive Polynomial Chaos（NIPC） has been successfully applied to uncertainty quantification and uncertainty sensitivity analysis. However, the non-intrusive polynomial chaos method becomes inefficient as the number of random variables adopted to describe uncertainties increases. This deficiency becomes significant in stochastic aerodynamic analysis considering the geometric uncertainty because the description of geometric uncertainty generally needs many parameters. To solve the deficiency, a Sparse Grid-based Polynomial Chaos（SGPC） expansion is used to do uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis for stochastic aerodynamic analysis considering geometric and operational uncertainties. It is proved that the method is more efficient than non-intrusive polynomial chaos and Monte Carlo Simulation（MSC） method for the stochastic aerodynamic analysis. By uncertainty quantification, it can be learnt that the flow characteristics of shock wave and boundary layer separation are sensitive to the geometric uncertainty in transonic region. The uncertainty sensitivity analysis reveals the individual and coupled effects among the uncertainty parameters.展开更多
To improve the vibration isolation performance of suspensions,various new structural forms of suspensions have been proposed.However,there is uncertainty in these new structure suspensions,so the deterministic researc...To improve the vibration isolation performance of suspensions,various new structural forms of suspensions have been proposed.However,there is uncertainty in these new structure suspensions,so the deterministic research cannot refect the performance of the suspension under actual operating conditions.In this paper,a quasi-zero stifness isolator is used in automotive suspensions to form a new suspension−quasi-zero stifness air suspension(QZSAS).Due to the strong nonlinearity and structural complexity of quasi-zero stifness suspensions,changes in structural parameters may cause dramatic changes in suspension performance,so it is of practical importance to study the efect of structural parameter uncertainty on the suspension performance.In order to solve this problem,three suspension structural parameters d_(0),L_(0) and Pc_(0) are selected as random variables,and the polynomial chaos expansion(PCE)theory is used to solve the suspension performance parameters.The sensitivity of the performance parameters to diferent structural parameters was discussed and analyzed in the frequency domain.Furthermore,a multi-objective optimization of the structural parameters d_(0),L_(0) and Pc_(0) of QZSAS was performed with the mean and variance of the root-mean-square(RMS)acceleration values as the optimization objectives.The optimization results show that there is an improvement of about 8%−1_(0)%in the mean value and about 4_(0)%−55%in the standard deviation of acceleration(RMS)values.This paper verifes the feasibility of the PCE method for solving the uncertainty problem of complex nonlinear systems,which provide a reference for the future structural design and optimization of such suspension systems.展开更多
Uncertainty is common in the life cycle of an aircraft, and Robust Aerodynamic Optimization(RAO) that considers uncertainty is important in aircraft design. To avoid the curse of dimensionality in surrogate-based opti...Uncertainty is common in the life cycle of an aircraft, and Robust Aerodynamic Optimization(RAO) that considers uncertainty is important in aircraft design. To avoid the curse of dimensionality in surrogate-based optimization, this study proposes an adjoint RAO technique called “R-Opt”. Polynomial Chaos Expansion(PCE) is coupled with the R-Opt technique to quantify uncertainty in the responses of the target(including its mean and standard deviation). Only one process of PCE model construction is required in each iteration, and the gradients of uncertainty can be inferred via chain rules. The proposed method is more efficient than prevalent methods,and avoids the problem of a disagreement over the best PCE basis from among a number of PCE models(especially in case of sparse PCE). It also supports the application of sparse PCE.Two benchmark tests and two airfoil cases were used to verify R-Opt, and the optimal solutions were deemed to be robust. It improved the mean aerodynamic performance and reduced the standard deviation of the target.展开更多
The classic polynomial chaos method（PCM）, characterized as an intrusive methodology,has been applied to uncertainty propagation（UP） in many dynamic systems. However, the intrusive polynomial chaos method（IPCM） r...The classic polynomial chaos method（PCM）, characterized as an intrusive methodology,has been applied to uncertainty propagation（UP） in many dynamic systems. However, the intrusive polynomial chaos method（IPCM） requires tedious modification of the governing equations, which might introduce errors and can be impractical. Alternative to IPCM, the non-intrusive polynomial chaos method（NIPCM） that avoids such modifications has been developed. In spite of the frequent application to dynamic problems, almost all the existing works about NIPCM for dynamic UP fail to elaborate the implementation process in a straightforward way, which is important to readers who are unfamiliar with the mathematics of the polynomial chaos theory. Meanwhile, very few works have compared NIPCM to IPCM in terms of their merits and applicability. Therefore, the mathematic procedure of dynamic UP via both methods considering parametric and initial condition uncertainties are comparatively discussed and studied in the present paper. Comparison of accuracy and efficiency in statistic moment estimation is made by applying the two methods to several dynamic UP problems. The relative merits of both approaches are discussed and summarized. The detailed description and insights gained with the two methods through this work are expected to be helpful to engineering designers in solving dynamic UP problems.展开更多
Face stability is an essential issue in tunnel design and construction.Layered rock masses are typical and ubiquitous;uncertainties in rock properties always exist.In view of this,a comprehensive method,which combines...Face stability is an essential issue in tunnel design and construction.Layered rock masses are typical and ubiquitous;uncertainties in rock properties always exist.In view of this,a comprehensive method,which combines the Upper bound Limit analysis of Tunnel face stability,the Polynomial Chaos Kriging,the Monte-Carlo Simulation and Analysis of Covariance method(ULT-PCK-MA),is proposed to investigate the seismic stability of tunnel faces.A two-dimensional analytical model of ULT is developed to evaluate the virtual support force based on the upper bound limit analysis.An efficient probabilistic analysis method PCK-MA based on the adaptive Polynomial Chaos Kriging metamodel is then implemented to investigate the parameter uncertainty effects.Ten input parameters,including geological strength indices,uniaxial compressive strengths and constants for three rock formations,and the horizontal seismic coefficients,are treated as random variables.The effects of these parameter uncertainties on the failure probability and sensitivity indices are discussed.In addition,the effects of weak layer position,the middle layer thickness and quality,the tunnel diameter,the parameters correlation,and the seismic loadings are investigated,respectively.The results show that the layer distributions significantly influence the tunnel face probabilistic stability,particularly when the weak rock is present in the bottom layer.The efficiency of the proposed ULT-PCK-MA is validated,which is expected to facilitate the engineering design and construction.展开更多
The uncertainty quantification of flows around a cylinder is studied by the non-intrusive polynomial chaos method. Based on the validation with benchmark results, discussions are mainly focused on the statistic proper...The uncertainty quantification of flows around a cylinder is studied by the non-intrusive polynomial chaos method. Based on the validation with benchmark results, discussions are mainly focused on the statistic properties of the peak lift and drag coefficients and base pressure drop over the cylinder with the uncertainties of viscosity coefficient and inflow boundary velocity. As for the numerical results of flows around a cylinder, influence of the inflow boundary velocity uncertainty is larger than that of viscosity. The results indeed demonstrate that a five-order degree of polynomial chaos expansion is enough to represent the solution of flow in this study.展开更多
Full lifecycle high fidelity digital twin is a complex model set contains multiple functions with high dimensions and multiple variables.Quantifying uncertainty for such complex models often encounters time-consuming ...Full lifecycle high fidelity digital twin is a complex model set contains multiple functions with high dimensions and multiple variables.Quantifying uncertainty for such complex models often encounters time-consuming challenges,as the number of calculated terms increases exponentially with the dimensionality of the input.This paper based on the multi-stage model and high time consumption problem of digital twins,proposed a sparse polynomial chaos expansions method to generate the digital twin dynamic-polymorphic uncertainty surrogate model,striving to strike a balance between the accuracy and time consumption of models used for digital twin uncertainty quantification.Firstly,an analysis and clarification were conducted on the dynamic-polymorphic uncertainty of the full lifetime running digital twins.Secondly,a sparse polynomial chaos expansions model response was developed based on partial least squares technology with the effectively quantified and selected basis polynomials which sorted by significant influence.In the end,the accuracy of the proxy model is evaluated by leave-one-out cross-validation.The effectiveness of this method was verified through examples,and the results showed that it achieved a balance between maintaining model accuracy and complexity.展开更多
This paper presents a new computational method for forward uncertainty quantification(UQ)analyses on large-scale structural systems in the presence of arbitrary and dependent random inputs.The method consists of a gen...This paper presents a new computational method for forward uncertainty quantification(UQ)analyses on large-scale structural systems in the presence of arbitrary and dependent random inputs.The method consists of a generalized polynomial chaos expansion(GPCE)for statistical moment and reliability analyses associated with the stochastic output and a static reanalysis method to generate the input-output data set.In the reanalysis,we employ substructuring for a structure to isolate its local regions that vary due to random inputs.This allows for avoiding repeated computations of invariant substructures while generating the input-output data set.Combining substructuring with static condensation further improves the computational efficiency of the reanalysis without losing accuracy.Consequently,the GPCE with the static reanalysis method can achieve significant computational saving,thus mitigating the curse of dimensionality to some degree for UQ under high-dimensional inputs.The numerical results obtained from a simple structure indicate that the proposed method for UQ produces accurate solutions more efficiently than the GPCE using full finite element analyses(FEAs).We also demonstrate the efficiency and scalability of the proposed method by executing UQ for a large-scale wing-box structure under ten-dimensional(all-dependent)random inputs.展开更多
In this paper,an adaptive polynomial chaos expansion method(PCE)based on the method of moments(MoM)is proposed to construct surrogate models for electromagnetic scattering and further sensitivity analysis.The MoM is a...In this paper,an adaptive polynomial chaos expansion method(PCE)based on the method of moments(MoM)is proposed to construct surrogate models for electromagnetic scattering and further sensitivity analysis.The MoM is applied to accurately solve the electric field integral equation(EFIE)of electromagnetic scattering from homogeneous dielectric targets.Within the bistatic radar cross section(RCS)as the research object,the adaptive PCE algorithm is devoted to selecting the appropriate order to construct the multivariate surrogate model.The corresponding sensitivity results are given by the further derivative operation,which is compared with those of the finite difference method(FDM).Several examples are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm for sensitivity analysis of electromagnetic scattering from homogeneous dielectric targets.展开更多
To address the seismic face stability challenges encountered in urban and subsea tunnel construction,an efficient probabilistic analysis framework for shield tunnel faces under seismic conditions is proposed.Based on ...To address the seismic face stability challenges encountered in urban and subsea tunnel construction,an efficient probabilistic analysis framework for shield tunnel faces under seismic conditions is proposed.Based on the upper-bound theory of limit analysis,an improved three-dimensional discrete deterministic mechanism,accounting for the heterogeneous nature of soil media,is formulated to evaluate seismic face stability.The metamodel of failure probabilistic assessments for seismic tunnel faces is constructed by integrating the sparse polynomial chaos expansion method(SPCE)with the modified pseudo-dynamic approach(MPD).The improved deterministic model is validated by comparing with published literature and numerical simulations results,and the SPCE-MPD metamodel is examined with the traditional MCS method.Based on the SPCE-MPD metamodels,the seismic effects on face failure probability and reliability index are presented and the global sensitivity analysis(GSA)is involved to reflect the influence order of seismic action parameters.Finally,the proposed approach is tested to be effective by a engineering case of the Chengdu outer ring tunnel.The results show that higher uncertainty of seismic response on face stability should be noticed in areas with intense earthquakes and variation of seismic wave velocity has the most profound influence on tunnel face stability.展开更多
One of the open problems in the field of forward uncertainty quantification(UQ)is the ability to form accurate assessments of uncertainty having only incomplete information about the distribution of random inputs.Anot...One of the open problems in the field of forward uncertainty quantification(UQ)is the ability to form accurate assessments of uncertainty having only incomplete information about the distribution of random inputs.Another challenge is to efficiently make use of limited training data for UQ predictions of complex engineering problems,particularly with high dimensional random parameters.We address these challenges by combining data-driven polynomial chaos expansions with a recently developed preconditioned sparse approximation approach for UQ problems.The first task in this two-step process is to employ the procedure developed in[1]to construct an"arbitrary"polynomial chaos expansion basis using a finite number of statistical moments of the random inputs.The second step is a novel procedure to effect sparse approximation via l1 minimization in order to quantify the forward uncertainty.To enhance the performance of the preconditioned l1 minimization problem,we sample from the so-called induced distribution,instead of using Monte Carlo(MC)sampling from the original,unknown probability measure.We demonstrate on test problems that induced sampling is a competitive and often better choice compared with sampling from asymptotically optimal measures(such as the equilibrium measure)when we have incomplete information about the distribution.We demonstrate the capacity of the proposed induced sampling algorithm via sparse representation with limited data on test functions,and on a Kirchoff plating bending problem with random Young’s modulus.展开更多
The author studies the effect of uncertain conductivity on the electroencephalography （EEG） forward problem. A three-layer spherical head model with different and random layer conductivities is considered. Polynomia...The author studies the effect of uncertain conductivity on the electroencephalography （EEG） forward problem. A three-layer spherical head model with different and random layer conductivities is considered. Polynomial Chaos （PC） is used to model the randomness. The author performs a sensitivity and correlation analysis of EEG sensors influenced by uncertain conductivity. The author addressed the sensitivity analysis at three stages： dipole location and moment averaged out, only the dipole moment averaged out, and both fixed. On average, the author observes the least influenced electrodes along the great longitudinal fissure. Also, sensors located closer to a dipole source, are of greater influence to a change in conductivity. The highly influenced sensors were on average located temporal. This was also the case in the correlation analysis. Sensors in the temporal parts of the brain are highly correlated. Whereas the sensors in the occipital and lower frontal region, though they are close together, are not so highly correlated as in the temporal regions. This study clearly shows that intrinsic sensor correlation exists, and therefore cannot be discarded, especially in the inverse problem. In the latter it makes it possible not to specify the conductivities. It also offers an easy but rigorous modeling of the stochastic propagation of uncertain conductivity to sensorial potentials （e.g., making it suited for research on optimal placing of these sensors）.展开更多
The key to achieving the optimal design of towed cables,maintaining numerical simulation accuracy,and achieving precise control of the towed body lies in sensitivity analysis.However,the traditional global sensitivity...The key to achieving the optimal design of towed cables,maintaining numerical simulation accuracy,and achieving precise control of the towed body lies in sensitivity analysis.However,the traditional global sensitivity analysis method presents challenges such as high calculation costs and low accuracy.To ad-dress these issues,this paper introduces polynomial chaos expansion(PCE)to quantitatively analyze the impact of uncertainties in physical and environmental parameters on the position and attitude of the towed cable.Latin hypercube sampling is employed to obtain sample sets of input parameters,and these samples are applied to the lumped mass method to calculate the end position coordinates of the towed cable,which serves as the output response.PCE is utilized to quantitatively compute the Sobol global sensitivity index of the towed cable parameters.The accuracy of the PCE model is verified,and the op-timal degree of basis functions is selected using the bias-variance trade-off.The advantages of PCE are demonstrated by comparing it with the Monte Carlo and Morris methods.The results indicate that PCE accurately calculates the global sensitivity index of towed cable parameters even with a limited sample size.Under the condition of a fixed cable length,the position and attitude of the towed cable are sensi-tive to the current rate,liquid density,cable diameter,normal drag coefficient,and specific gravity.The feasibility and efficiency of PCE applied to the sensitivity analysis of towed cable parameters is verified,and recommendations for the engineering application of towed cables are summarized.展开更多
Renewable energy sources(RES)have strong uncertainties,which significantly increase the risks of power imbalance and load shedding in composite power systems.It is thus necessary to evaluate the operational reliabilit...Renewable energy sources(RES)have strong uncertainties,which significantly increase the risks of power imbalance and load shedding in composite power systems.It is thus necessary to evaluate the operational reliability for guiding economic dispatch and reducing the risks.Current methods cannot meet the requirement for the operational timeliness of reliability evaluations due to the high computa-tional complexity of the optimal power flow(OPF)calculations of massive contingencies.This paper pro-poses a fully analytical approach to construct fast-to-run analytical functions of reliability indices and avoid reassessments when the load and RES change.The approach consists of uniform design(UD)-based contingency screening and a modified stochastic response surface method(mSRSM).The contin-gency screening method is used to select critical contingencies while considering the uncertainties.The mSRSM is used to construct the analytical functions of the load shedding to the load and RES gener-ation for the selected contingencies.An analytical function of a smooth virtual variable that maps to the load shedding is established in such a way that,when the load and RES vary,the reliability can be assessed within a very short time rather than using laborious OPF calculations.Case studies illustrate the excellent performance of the proposed method for real-time reliability evaluation.展开更多
Process variations can reduce the accuracy in estimation of interconnect performance. This work presents a process variation based stochastic model and proposes an effective analytical method to estimate interconnect ...Process variations can reduce the accuracy in estimation of interconnect performance. This work presents a process variation based stochastic model and proposes an effective analytical method to estimate interconnect delay. The technique decouples the stochastic interconnect segments by an improved decoupling method. Combined with a polynomial chaos expression （PCE）, this paper applies the stochastic Galerkin method （SGM） to analyze the system response. A finite representation of interconnect delay is then obtained with the complex approximation method and the bisection method. Results from the analysis match well with those from SPICE. Moreover, the method shows good computational efficiency, as the running time is much less than the SPICE simulation＇s.展开更多
Uncertainties denote the operators which describe data error, numerical error and model error in the mathematical methods. The study of aeroelasticity with uncertainty embedded in the subsystems, such as the uncertain...Uncertainties denote the operators which describe data error, numerical error and model error in the mathematical methods. The study of aeroelasticity with uncertainty embedded in the subsystems, such as the uncertainty in the modeling of structures and aerodynamics, has been a hot topic in the last decades. In this paper, advances of the analysis and design in aeroelasticity with uncertainty are summarized in detail. According to the non-probabilistic or probabilistic uncer- tainty, the developments of theories, methods and experiments with application to both robust and probabilistic aeroelasticity analysis are presented, respectively. In addition, the advances in aeroelastic design considering either probabilistic or non-probabilistic uncertainties are introduced along with aeroelastic analysis. This review focuses on the robust aeroelasticity study based on the structured singular value method, namely the ~t method. It covers the numerical calculation algo- rithm of the structured singular value, uncertainty model construction, robust aeroelastic stability analysis algorithms, uncertainty level verification, and robust flutter boundary prediction in the flight test, etc. The key results and conclusions are explored. Finally, several promising problems on aeroelasticity with uncertainty are proposed for future investigation.展开更多
An efficient and accurate uncertainty propagation methodology for mechanics problems with random fields is developed in this paper.This methodology is based on the stochastic response surface method(SRSM)which has bee...An efficient and accurate uncertainty propagation methodology for mechanics problems with random fields is developed in this paper.This methodology is based on the stochastic response surface method(SRSM)which has been previously proposed for problems dealing with random variables only.This paper extends SRSM to problems involving random fields or random processes fields.The favorable property of SRSM lies in that the deterministic computational model can be treated as a black box,as in the case of commercial finite element codes.Numerical examples are used to highlight the features of this technique and to demonstrate the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method.A comparison with Monte Carlo simulation shows that the proposed method can achieve numerical results close to those from Monte Carlo simulation while dramatically reducing the number of deterministic finite element runs.展开更多
基金Dalian Municipal Natural Science Foundation under Grant No.2019RD01。
文摘Economic losses and catastrophic casualties may occur once super high-rise structures are struck by low-probability but high-consequence scenarios of concurrent earthquakes and winds. Therefore, accurately predicting multi-hazard dynamic responses to super high-rise structures has significant engineering and scientific value. This study performed a parametric global sensitivity analysis (GSA) for multi-hazard dynamic response prediction of super high-rise structures using the multiple-degree-of-freedom shear (MFS) model. Polynomial chaos Kriging (PCK) was introduced to build a surrogate model that allowed GSA to be combined with Sobol’ indices. Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) is also conducted for the comparison to verify the accuracy and efficiency of the PCK method. Parametric sensitivity analysis is performed for a wide range of aleatory uncertainty (intensities of coupled multi-hazard), epistemic uncertainty (bending stiffness, k_(m);shear stiffness, kq;density, ρ;and damping ratio, ξ), probability distribution types, and coefficients of variation. The results indicate that epistemic uncertainty parameters, k_(m), ρ, and ξ dramatically affect the multi-hazard dynamic responses of super high-rise structures;in addition, Sobol’ indices between the normal and lognormal distributions are insignificant, while the variation levels have remarkably influenced the sensitivity indices.
基金support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.52174123&52274222).
文摘This paper presents a framework for constructing surrogate models for sensitivity analysis of structural dynamics behavior.Physical models involving deformation,such as collisions,vibrations,and penetration,are devel-oped using the material point method.To reduce the computational cost of Monte Carlo simulations,response surface models are created as surrogate models for the material point system to approximate its dynamic behavior.An adaptive randomized greedy algorithm is employed to construct a sparse polynomial chaos expansion model with a fixed order,effectively balancing the accuracy and computational efficiency of the surrogate model.Based on the sparse polynomial chaos expansion,sensitivity analysis is conducted using the global finite difference and Sobol methods.Several examples of structural dynamics are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method in addressing structural dynamics problems.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.51875256)Open Platform Fund of Human Institute of Technology(Grant No.KFA22009).
文摘As a crucial component of intelligent chassis systems,air suspension significantly enhances driver comfort and vehicle stability.To further improve the adaptability of commercial vehicles to complex and variable road conditions,this paper proposes a linear motor active suspension with quasi-zero stiffness(QZS)air spring system.Firstly,a dynamic model of the linear motor active suspension with QZS air spring system is established.Secondly,considering the random uncertainties in the linear motor parameters due to manufacturing and environmental factors,a dynamic model and state equations incorporating these uncertainties are constructed using the polynomial chaos expansion(PCE)method.Then,based on H_(2) robust control theory and the Kalman filter,a state feedback control law is derived,accounting for the random parameter uncertainties.Finally,simulation and hardware-in-the-loop(HIL)experimental results demonstrate that the PCE-H_(2) robust controller not only provides better performance in terms of vehicle ride comfort compared to general H_(2) robust controller but also exhibits higher robustness to the effects of random uncertain parameters,resulting in more stable control performance.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.11572252)the ‘‘111" Project of China(No.B17037)the National Science Fund for Excellent Young Scholars(No.11622220)
文摘The uncertainties can generate fluctuations with aerodynamic characteristics. Uncertainty Quantification（UQ） is applied to compute its impact on the aerodynamic characteristics.In addition, the contribution of each uncertainty to aerodynamic characteristics should be computed by uncertainty sensitivity analysis. Non-Intrusive Polynomial Chaos（NIPC） has been successfully applied to uncertainty quantification and uncertainty sensitivity analysis. However, the non-intrusive polynomial chaos method becomes inefficient as the number of random variables adopted to describe uncertainties increases. This deficiency becomes significant in stochastic aerodynamic analysis considering the geometric uncertainty because the description of geometric uncertainty generally needs many parameters. To solve the deficiency, a Sparse Grid-based Polynomial Chaos（SGPC） expansion is used to do uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis for stochastic aerodynamic analysis considering geometric and operational uncertainties. It is proved that the method is more efficient than non-intrusive polynomial chaos and Monte Carlo Simulation（MSC） method for the stochastic aerodynamic analysis. By uncertainty quantification, it can be learnt that the flow characteristics of shock wave and boundary layer separation are sensitive to the geometric uncertainty in transonic region. The uncertainty sensitivity analysis reveals the individual and coupled effects among the uncertainty parameters.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.51875256)Open Platform Fund of Hunan Institute of Technology of China(Grant No.KFA20009)Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan Science and Technology Cooperation Project in Jiangsu Province of China(Grant No.BZ2020050)。
文摘To improve the vibration isolation performance of suspensions,various new structural forms of suspensions have been proposed.However,there is uncertainty in these new structure suspensions,so the deterministic research cannot refect the performance of the suspension under actual operating conditions.In this paper,a quasi-zero stifness isolator is used in automotive suspensions to form a new suspension−quasi-zero stifness air suspension(QZSAS).Due to the strong nonlinearity and structural complexity of quasi-zero stifness suspensions,changes in structural parameters may cause dramatic changes in suspension performance,so it is of practical importance to study the efect of structural parameter uncertainty on the suspension performance.In order to solve this problem,three suspension structural parameters d_(0),L_(0) and Pc_(0) are selected as random variables,and the polynomial chaos expansion(PCE)theory is used to solve the suspension performance parameters.The sensitivity of the performance parameters to diferent structural parameters was discussed and analyzed in the frequency domain.Furthermore,a multi-objective optimization of the structural parameters d_(0),L_(0) and Pc_(0) of QZSAS was performed with the mean and variance of the root-mean-square(RMS)acceleration values as the optimization objectives.The optimization results show that there is an improvement of about 8%−1_(0)%in the mean value and about 4_(0)%−55%in the standard deviation of acceleration(RMS)values.This paper verifes the feasibility of the PCE method for solving the uncertainty problem of complex nonlinear systems,which provide a reference for the future structural design and optimization of such suspension systems.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.11721202)。
文摘Uncertainty is common in the life cycle of an aircraft, and Robust Aerodynamic Optimization(RAO) that considers uncertainty is important in aircraft design. To avoid the curse of dimensionality in surrogate-based optimization, this study proposes an adjoint RAO technique called “R-Opt”. Polynomial Chaos Expansion(PCE) is coupled with the R-Opt technique to quantify uncertainty in the responses of the target(including its mean and standard deviation). Only one process of PCE model construction is required in each iteration, and the gradients of uncertainty can be inferred via chain rules. The proposed method is more efficient than prevalent methods,and avoids the problem of a disagreement over the best PCE basis from among a number of PCE models(especially in case of sparse PCE). It also supports the application of sparse PCE.Two benchmark tests and two airfoil cases were used to verify R-Opt, and the optimal solutions were deemed to be robust. It improved the mean aerodynamic performance and reduced the standard deviation of the target.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51105034)the Doctoral Thesis Build Project of Beijing 2012 (China)
文摘The classic polynomial chaos method（PCM）, characterized as an intrusive methodology,has been applied to uncertainty propagation（UP） in many dynamic systems. However, the intrusive polynomial chaos method（IPCM） requires tedious modification of the governing equations, which might introduce errors and can be impractical. Alternative to IPCM, the non-intrusive polynomial chaos method（NIPCM） that avoids such modifications has been developed. In spite of the frequent application to dynamic problems, almost all the existing works about NIPCM for dynamic UP fail to elaborate the implementation process in a straightforward way, which is important to readers who are unfamiliar with the mathematics of the polynomial chaos theory. Meanwhile, very few works have compared NIPCM to IPCM in terms of their merits and applicability. Therefore, the mathematic procedure of dynamic UP via both methods considering parametric and initial condition uncertainties are comparatively discussed and studied in the present paper. Comparison of accuracy and efficiency in statistic moment estimation is made by applying the two methods to several dynamic UP problems. The relative merits of both approaches are discussed and summarized. The detailed description and insights gained with the two methods through this work are expected to be helpful to engineering designers in solving dynamic UP problems.
基金supported by Science and Technology Project of Yunnan Provincial Transportation Department(Grant No.25 of 2018)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.52279107)The authors are grateful for the support by the China Scholarship Council(CSC No.202206260203 and No.201906690049).
文摘Face stability is an essential issue in tunnel design and construction.Layered rock masses are typical and ubiquitous;uncertainties in rock properties always exist.In view of this,a comprehensive method,which combines the Upper bound Limit analysis of Tunnel face stability,the Polynomial Chaos Kriging,the Monte-Carlo Simulation and Analysis of Covariance method(ULT-PCK-MA),is proposed to investigate the seismic stability of tunnel faces.A two-dimensional analytical model of ULT is developed to evaluate the virtual support force based on the upper bound limit analysis.An efficient probabilistic analysis method PCK-MA based on the adaptive Polynomial Chaos Kriging metamodel is then implemented to investigate the parameter uncertainty effects.Ten input parameters,including geological strength indices,uniaxial compressive strengths and constants for three rock formations,and the horizontal seismic coefficients,are treated as random variables.The effects of these parameter uncertainties on the failure probability and sensitivity indices are discussed.In addition,the effects of weak layer position,the middle layer thickness and quality,the tunnel diameter,the parameters correlation,and the seismic loadings are investigated,respectively.The results show that the layer distributions significantly influence the tunnel face probabilistic stability,particularly when the weak rock is present in the bottom layer.The efficiency of the proposed ULT-PCK-MA is validated,which is expected to facilitate the engineering design and construction.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No 11371069the Young Foundation of Institute of Applied Physics and Computational Mathematics under Grant No ZYSZ1518-13the Science Foundation of China Academy of Engineering Physics under Grant No 2013A0101004
文摘The uncertainty quantification of flows around a cylinder is studied by the non-intrusive polynomial chaos method. Based on the validation with benchmark results, discussions are mainly focused on the statistic properties of the peak lift and drag coefficients and base pressure drop over the cylinder with the uncertainties of viscosity coefficient and inflow boundary velocity. As for the numerical results of flows around a cylinder, influence of the inflow boundary velocity uncertainty is larger than that of viscosity. The results indeed demonstrate that a five-order degree of polynomial chaos expansion is enough to represent the solution of flow in this study.
基金co-supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.51875014,U2233212 and 51875015)the Natural Science Foundation of Beijing Municipality,China(No.L221008)+1 种基金the Science,Technology Innovation 2025 Major Project of Ningbo of China(No.2022Z005)the Tianmushan Laboratory Project,China(No.TK-2023-B-001).
文摘Full lifecycle high fidelity digital twin is a complex model set contains multiple functions with high dimensions and multiple variables.Quantifying uncertainty for such complex models often encounters time-consuming challenges,as the number of calculated terms increases exponentially with the dimensionality of the input.This paper based on the multi-stage model and high time consumption problem of digital twins,proposed a sparse polynomial chaos expansions method to generate the digital twin dynamic-polymorphic uncertainty surrogate model,striving to strike a balance between the accuracy and time consumption of models used for digital twin uncertainty quantification.Firstly,an analysis and clarification were conducted on the dynamic-polymorphic uncertainty of the full lifetime running digital twins.Secondly,a sparse polynomial chaos expansions model response was developed based on partial least squares technology with the effectively quantified and selected basis polynomials which sorted by significant influence.In the end,the accuracy of the proxy model is evaluated by leave-one-out cross-validation.The effectiveness of this method was verified through examples,and the results showed that it achieved a balance between maintaining model accuracy and complexity.
基金Project supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea(Nos.NRF-2020R1C1C1011970 and NRF-2018R1A5A7023490)。
文摘This paper presents a new computational method for forward uncertainty quantification(UQ)analyses on large-scale structural systems in the presence of arbitrary and dependent random inputs.The method consists of a generalized polynomial chaos expansion(GPCE)for statistical moment and reliability analyses associated with the stochastic output and a static reanalysis method to generate the input-output data set.In the reanalysis,we employ substructuring for a structure to isolate its local regions that vary due to random inputs.This allows for avoiding repeated computations of invariant substructures while generating the input-output data set.Combining substructuring with static condensation further improves the computational efficiency of the reanalysis without losing accuracy.Consequently,the GPCE with the static reanalysis method can achieve significant computational saving,thus mitigating the curse of dimensionality to some degree for UQ under high-dimensional inputs.The numerical results obtained from a simple structure indicate that the proposed method for UQ produces accurate solutions more efficiently than the GPCE using full finite element analyses(FEAs).We also demonstrate the efficiency and scalability of the proposed method by executing UQ for a large-scale wing-box structure under ten-dimensional(all-dependent)random inputs.
基金supported by the Young Scientists Fund of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.62102444)a Major Research Project in Higher Education Institutions in Henan Province(No.23A560015).
文摘In this paper,an adaptive polynomial chaos expansion method(PCE)based on the method of moments(MoM)is proposed to construct surrogate models for electromagnetic scattering and further sensitivity analysis.The MoM is applied to accurately solve the electric field integral equation(EFIE)of electromagnetic scattering from homogeneous dielectric targets.Within the bistatic radar cross section(RCS)as the research object,the adaptive PCE algorithm is devoted to selecting the appropriate order to construct the multivariate surrogate model.The corresponding sensitivity results are given by the further derivative operation,which is compared with those of the finite difference method(FDM).Several examples are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm for sensitivity analysis of electromagnetic scattering from homogeneous dielectric targets.
基金Project([2018]3010)supported by the Guizhou Provincial Science and Technology Major Project,China。
文摘To address the seismic face stability challenges encountered in urban and subsea tunnel construction,an efficient probabilistic analysis framework for shield tunnel faces under seismic conditions is proposed.Based on the upper-bound theory of limit analysis,an improved three-dimensional discrete deterministic mechanism,accounting for the heterogeneous nature of soil media,is formulated to evaluate seismic face stability.The metamodel of failure probabilistic assessments for seismic tunnel faces is constructed by integrating the sparse polynomial chaos expansion method(SPCE)with the modified pseudo-dynamic approach(MPD).The improved deterministic model is validated by comparing with published literature and numerical simulations results,and the SPCE-MPD metamodel is examined with the traditional MCS method.Based on the SPCE-MPD metamodels,the seismic effects on face failure probability and reliability index are presented and the global sensitivity analysis(GSA)is involved to reflect the influence order of seismic action parameters.Finally,the proposed approach is tested to be effective by a engineering case of the Chengdu outer ring tunnel.The results show that higher uncertainty of seismic response on face stability should be noticed in areas with intense earthquakes and variation of seismic wave velocity has the most profound influence on tunnel face stability.
基金supported by the NSF of China(No.11671265)partially supported by NSF DMS-1848508+4 种基金partially supported by the NSF of China(under grant numbers 11688101,11571351,and 11731006)science challenge project(No.TZ2018001)the youth innovation promotion association(CAS)supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant No.DMS-1439786the Simons Foundation Grant No.50736。
文摘One of the open problems in the field of forward uncertainty quantification(UQ)is the ability to form accurate assessments of uncertainty having only incomplete information about the distribution of random inputs.Another challenge is to efficiently make use of limited training data for UQ predictions of complex engineering problems,particularly with high dimensional random parameters.We address these challenges by combining data-driven polynomial chaos expansions with a recently developed preconditioned sparse approximation approach for UQ problems.The first task in this two-step process is to employ the procedure developed in[1]to construct an"arbitrary"polynomial chaos expansion basis using a finite number of statistical moments of the random inputs.The second step is a novel procedure to effect sparse approximation via l1 minimization in order to quantify the forward uncertainty.To enhance the performance of the preconditioned l1 minimization problem,we sample from the so-called induced distribution,instead of using Monte Carlo(MC)sampling from the original,unknown probability measure.We demonstrate on test problems that induced sampling is a competitive and often better choice compared with sampling from asymptotically optimal measures(such as the equilibrium measure)when we have incomplete information about the distribution.We demonstrate the capacity of the proposed induced sampling algorithm via sparse representation with limited data on test functions,and on a Kirchoff plating bending problem with random Young’s modulus.
文摘The author studies the effect of uncertain conductivity on the electroencephalography （EEG） forward problem. A three-layer spherical head model with different and random layer conductivities is considered. Polynomial Chaos （PC） is used to model the randomness. The author performs a sensitivity and correlation analysis of EEG sensors influenced by uncertain conductivity. The author addressed the sensitivity analysis at three stages： dipole location and moment averaged out, only the dipole moment averaged out, and both fixed. On average, the author observes the least influenced electrodes along the great longitudinal fissure. Also, sensors located closer to a dipole source, are of greater influence to a change in conductivity. The highly influenced sensors were on average located temporal. This was also the case in the correlation analysis. Sensors in the temporal parts of the brain are highly correlated. Whereas the sensors in the occipital and lower frontal region, though they are close together, are not so highly correlated as in the temporal regions. This study clearly shows that intrinsic sensor correlation exists, and therefore cannot be discarded, especially in the inverse problem. In the latter it makes it possible not to specify the conductivities. It also offers an easy but rigorous modeling of the stochastic propagation of uncertain conductivity to sensorial potentials （e.g., making it suited for research on optimal placing of these sensors）.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.52071215)ponsored by the Oceanic Interdisciplinary Program of Shanghai Jiao Tong University(project number SL2022MS003).
文摘The key to achieving the optimal design of towed cables,maintaining numerical simulation accuracy,and achieving precise control of the towed body lies in sensitivity analysis.However,the traditional global sensitivity analysis method presents challenges such as high calculation costs and low accuracy.To ad-dress these issues,this paper introduces polynomial chaos expansion(PCE)to quantitatively analyze the impact of uncertainties in physical and environmental parameters on the position and attitude of the towed cable.Latin hypercube sampling is employed to obtain sample sets of input parameters,and these samples are applied to the lumped mass method to calculate the end position coordinates of the towed cable,which serves as the output response.PCE is utilized to quantitatively compute the Sobol global sensitivity index of the towed cable parameters.The accuracy of the PCE model is verified,and the op-timal degree of basis functions is selected using the bias-variance trade-off.The advantages of PCE are demonstrated by comparing it with the Monte Carlo and Morris methods.The results indicate that PCE accurately calculates the global sensitivity index of towed cable parameters even with a limited sample size.Under the condition of a fixed cable length,the position and attitude of the towed cable are sensi-tive to the current rate,liquid density,cable diameter,normal drag coefficient,and specific gravity.The feasibility and efficiency of PCE applied to the sensitivity analysis of towed cable parameters is verified,and recommendations for the engineering application of towed cables are summarized.
基金supported by the Joint Research Fund in Smart Grid under cooperative agreement between the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)and the State Grid Cooperation of China(SGCC,U1966601)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China(2023CDJYXTD-004).
文摘Renewable energy sources(RES)have strong uncertainties,which significantly increase the risks of power imbalance and load shedding in composite power systems.It is thus necessary to evaluate the operational reliability for guiding economic dispatch and reducing the risks.Current methods cannot meet the requirement for the operational timeliness of reliability evaluations due to the high computa-tional complexity of the optimal power flow(OPF)calculations of massive contingencies.This paper pro-poses a fully analytical approach to construct fast-to-run analytical functions of reliability indices and avoid reassessments when the load and RES change.The approach consists of uniform design(UD)-based contingency screening and a modified stochastic response surface method(mSRSM).The contin-gency screening method is used to select critical contingencies while considering the uncertainties.The mSRSM is used to construct the analytical functions of the load shedding to the load and RES gener-ation for the selected contingencies.An analytical function of a smooth virtual variable that maps to the load shedding is established in such a way that,when the load and RES vary,the reliability can be assessed within a very short time rather than using laborious OPF calculations.Case studies illustrate the excellent performance of the proposed method for real-time reliability evaluation.
文摘Process variations can reduce the accuracy in estimation of interconnect performance. This work presents a process variation based stochastic model and proposes an effective analytical method to estimate interconnect delay. The technique decouples the stochastic interconnect segments by an improved decoupling method. Combined with a polynomial chaos expression （PCE）, this paper applies the stochastic Galerkin method （SGM） to analyze the system response. A finite representation of interconnect delay is then obtained with the complex approximation method and the bisection method. Results from the analysis match well with those from SPICE. Moreover, the method shows good computational efficiency, as the running time is much less than the SPICE simulation＇s.
基金co-supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos. 11302011 and 11172025)the Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education of China (No. 20131102120051)
文摘Uncertainties denote the operators which describe data error, numerical error and model error in the mathematical methods. The study of aeroelasticity with uncertainty embedded in the subsystems, such as the uncertainty in the modeling of structures and aerodynamics, has been a hot topic in the last decades. In this paper, advances of the analysis and design in aeroelasticity with uncertainty are summarized in detail. According to the non-probabilistic or probabilistic uncer- tainty, the developments of theories, methods and experiments with application to both robust and probabilistic aeroelasticity analysis are presented, respectively. In addition, the advances in aeroelastic design considering either probabilistic or non-probabilistic uncertainties are introduced along with aeroelastic analysis. This review focuses on the robust aeroelasticity study based on the structured singular value method, namely the ~t method. It covers the numerical calculation algo- rithm of the structured singular value, uncertainty model construction, robust aeroelastic stability analysis algorithms, uncertainty level verification, and robust flutter boundary prediction in the flight test, etc. The key results and conclusions are explored. Finally, several promising problems on aeroelasticity with uncertainty are proposed for future investigation.
基金The project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(10602036)
文摘An efficient and accurate uncertainty propagation methodology for mechanics problems with random fields is developed in this paper.This methodology is based on the stochastic response surface method(SRSM)which has been previously proposed for problems dealing with random variables only.This paper extends SRSM to problems involving random fields or random processes fields.The favorable property of SRSM lies in that the deterministic computational model can be treated as a black box,as in the case of commercial finite element codes.Numerical examples are used to highlight the features of this technique and to demonstrate the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method.A comparison with Monte Carlo simulation shows that the proposed method can achieve numerical results close to those from Monte Carlo simulation while dramatically reducing the number of deterministic finite element runs.
