The deformation energy(Wd)of soil-like tectonic coal is crucial for investigating the mechanism of coal and gas outbursts.Tectonic coal has a significant nonlinear constitutive relationship,which makes traditional ela...The deformation energy(Wd)of soil-like tectonic coal is crucial for investigating the mechanism of coal and gas outbursts.Tectonic coal has a significant nonlinear constitutive relationship,which makes traditional elastic-based models for computing Wdunsuitable.Inspired by critical state soil mechanics,this study theoretically established a new calculation model of Wdsuitable for the coal with nonlinear deformation characteristics.In the new model,the relationship between energy and stress no longer follows the square law(observed in traditional linear elastic models)but exhibits a power function,with the theoretical value of the power exponent ranging between 1 and 2.Hydrostatic cyclic loading and unloading experiments were conducted on four groups of tectonic coal samples and one group of intact coal samples.The results indicated that the relationship between Wdand stress for both intact and tectonic coal follows a power law.The exponents for intact and tectonic coal are close to 2 and 1,respectively.The stress-strain curve of intact coal exhibits small deformation and linear characteristics,whereas the stress-strain curves of tectonic coal show large deformation and nonlinear characteristics.The study specifically investigates the role of coal viscosity in the cyclic loading/unloading process.The downward bending in the unloading curves can be attributed to the time-dependent characteristics of coal,particularly its viscoelastic behavior.Based on experimental statistics,the calculation model of Wdwas further simplified.The simplified model involves only one unknown parameter,which is the power exponent between Wdand stress.The measured Wdof the coal samples increases with the number of load cycles.This phenomenon is attributed to coal's viscoelastic deformation.Within the same stress,the Wdof tectonic coal is an order of magnitude greater than that of intact coal.The calculation model of Wdproposed in this paper provides a new tool for studying the energy principle of coal and gas outbursts.展开更多
Saline soils are significantly affected by water-salt phase changes,evaporation,and groundwater during seasonal freezing and thawing.For the study of physical and mechanical properties of saline soils,solubility is an...Saline soils are significantly affected by water-salt phase changes,evaporation,and groundwater during seasonal freezing and thawing.For the study of physical and mechanical properties of saline soils,solubility is an important indicator that varies with temperature.However,there have been very limited computational studies on solubility at low temperatures.The model for calculating the solubility of Na_(2)SO_(4)-NaCl-H_(2)O ternary system under low temperature conditions was constructed in this paper,based on the Pitzer and BET models.Improvements were made to the parametersФandγin the Pitzer model,while improvements were made to the parameters c,r,and aw in the BET model.The solubility changes within the range of 273.15 K–373.15 K were calculated and validated by combining them with indoor experiments.It was found that both the improved Pitzer model and BET model accurately predicted relative equilibrium solubility data of the Na_(2)SO_(4)-NaCl-H_(2)O ternary system at temperatures ranging from 273.15 K to 373.15 K.Additionally,compared with the Pitzer model,the BET model had advantages such as easy parameter acquisition and wider application range.The findings from this research hold great significance for understanding the process and patterns of salt analysis during soil freeze-thaw cycles as well as providing a scientific foundation for further comprehension of phase change laws and physical properties related to saline soils.展开更多
The adsorptive denitrification performance of MIL-101(Cr)-0.5 toward pyridine,aniline or quinoline in simulated fuels with basic nitrogen content of 1732μg/g was evaluated separately.Furthermore,the effects of adsorp...The adsorptive denitrification performance of MIL-101(Cr)-0.5 toward pyridine,aniline or quinoline in simulated fuels with basic nitrogen content of 1732μg/g was evaluated separately.Furthermore,the effects of adsorption temperature,adsorption time and adsorbent dosage on their adsorptive denitrification performance were systematically investigated.The experimental results demonstrated that under a fixed adsorbent dosage of 0.05 g and a simulated fuel volume of 10 mL,the optimal removal efficiency for aniline was achieved at 30℃ within 30 min,whereas higher temperatures and longer times(40℃and 40 min)were required for effective removal of pyridine and quinoline.Density Functional Theory(DFT)calculations were conducted via Materials Studio(MS)software to study the adsorptive denitrification mechanism of MIL-101(Cr)toward these three basic nitrogen-containing compounds.The simulation calculation results revealed that the interaction between pyridine and MIL-101(Cr)primarily involved coordination adsorption.In contrast,the interaction between aniline or quinoline and MIL-101(Cr)proceeded mainly through coordination,with additional contributions fromπ-complexation and hydrogen bonding.The overall adsorption strength order is pyridine>aniline>quinoline.During the adsorption process,pyridine and quinoline transfer electrons to the MIL-101(Cr)surface through the H→C→N→Cr^(3+)pathway,while aniline transfers electrons to the MIL-101(Cr)surface through various pathways,including N→Cr^(3+),N→C→Cr^(3+)and N→H→O.Furthermore,adsorption kinetics studies indicated that the adsorption processes for all three basic nitrogen-containing compounds followed the quasi second order kinetic models.The experimental results on the effect of benzene on the adsorptive denitrification performance of MIL-101(Cr)-0.5 demonstrated that benzene exerted a more significant impact on the adsorption of aniline and quinoline.Finally,the adsorbent was regenerated using ethanol washing.It was found that MIL-101(Cr)-0.5 retained stable denitrification performance after two regeneration cycles.展开更多
In chemical science,the vertical ionization potential(VIP)is a crucial metric for understanding the electronegativity,hardness and softness of chemical material systems as well as the electronic structure and stabilit...In chemical science,the vertical ionization potential(VIP)is a crucial metric for understanding the electronegativity,hardness and softness of chemical material systems as well as the electronic structure and stability of molecules.Ever since the last century,the model chemistry composite methods have witnessed tremendous developments in computing the thermodynamic properties as well as the barrier heights.However,their performance in realm of the vertical electron processes of molecular systems has been rarely explored.In this study,we for the first time benchmarked the model chemistry composite methods(e.g.,CBS-QB3,G4 and W1BD)in comparison with the commonly used Koopmans's theorem(KT),electron propagator theory(e.g.,OVGF,D2,P3 and P3+)and CCSD(T)methods in calculating the VIP for up to 613 molecular systems with available experimental measurements.The large-scale test calculations strongly showed that the CBS-QB3 model chemistry composite technique can be well recommended to calculate VIP from the perspectives of accuracy,economy and applicability.Notably,the VIP values of up to 7 molecules were identified to have the absolute errors of larger than 0.3 e V at all calculation levels,which have strong hints that their VIP experimental values should be re-investigated.展开更多
Model evaluation using benchmark datasets is an important method to measure the capability of large language models(LLMs)in specific domains,and it is mainly used to assess the knowledge and reasoning abilities of LLM...Model evaluation using benchmark datasets is an important method to measure the capability of large language models(LLMs)in specific domains,and it is mainly used to assess the knowledge and reasoning abilities of LLMs.Therefore,in order to better assess the capability of LLMs in the agricultural domain,Agri-Eval was proposed as a benchmark for assessing the knowledge and reasoning ability of LLMs in agriculture.The assessment dataset used in Agri-Eval covered seven major disciplines in the agricultural domain:crop science,horticulture,plant protection,animal husbandry,forest science,aquaculture science,and grass science,and contained a total of 2283 questions.Among domestic general-purpose LLMs,DeepSeek R1 performed best with an accuracy rate of 75.49%.In the realm of international general-purpose LLMs,Gemini 2.0 pro exp 0205 standed out as the top performer,achieving an accuracy rate of 74.28%.As an LLMs in agriculture vertical,Shennong V2.0 outperformed all the LLMs in China,and the answer accuracy rate of agricultural knowledge exceeded that of all the existing general-purpose LLMs.The launch of Agri-Eval helped the LLM developers to comprehensively evaluate the model's capability in the field of agriculture through a variety of tasks and tests to promote the development of the LLMs in the field of agriculture.展开更多
In this paper,we establish and study a single-species logistic model with impulsive age-selective harvesting.First,we prove the ultimate boundedness of the solutions of the system.Then,we obtain conditions for the asy...In this paper,we establish and study a single-species logistic model with impulsive age-selective harvesting.First,we prove the ultimate boundedness of the solutions of the system.Then,we obtain conditions for the asymptotic stability of the trivial solution and the positive periodic solution.Finally,numerical simulations are presented to validate our results.Our results show that age-selective harvesting is more conducive to sustainable population survival than non-age-selective harvesting.展开更多
It is an important standard to judge the flood disaster in the basin whether the rainfall at the flood-inducing interface is reached.In this paper,the Xin'anjiang model,Topmodel model and SCS model were selected t...It is an important standard to judge the flood disaster in the basin whether the rainfall at the flood-inducing interface is reached.In this paper,the Xin'anjiang model,Topmodel model and SCS model were selected to calculate and compare the rainfall at the flood-inducing interface in the Zhanghe Reservoir basin in Hubei Province.The results showed that average relative error and average absolute error of Xin'anjiang model were-3.36%and-21.46×10^(5)m^(3),which were the minimum,followed by Topmodel model with 5.72%and 26.22×10^(5)m^(3),SCS model with 11.33%and 58.13×10^(5)m^(3).The minimum absolute error of the three hydrological models in calculating the rainfall at the critical interface was 3.26 mm,while the maximum was 49.24 mm.When the initial water level exceeded 120 m,the difference among the three models in calculating the rainfall at the critical interface became more and more obvious.When the reservoir water level was lower than 120 m,it mainly referred to the calculation results of Xin'anjiang model.When the reservoir water level was higher than 120 m,it mainly referred to the calculation results of Topmodel model.The research conclusion can provide reference for small and medium-sized basins selecting hydrological model to calculate the rainfall at the flood-inducing interface.展开更多
In their recent paper Pereira et al.(2025)claim that validation is overlooked in mapping and modelling of ecosystem services(ES).They state that“many studies lack critical evaluation of the results and no validation ...In their recent paper Pereira et al.(2025)claim that validation is overlooked in mapping and modelling of ecosystem services(ES).They state that“many studies lack critical evaluation of the results and no validation is provided”and that“the validation step is largely overlooked”.This assertion may have been true several years ago,for example,when Ochoa and Urbina-Cardona(2017)made a similar observation.However,there has been much work on ES model validation over the last decade.展开更多
In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and cha...In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and change.Likewise,this period has seen a significant increase in our understanding of the physical processes and mechanisms that drive precipitation and its variability across different regions of Africa.By leveraging a large volume of climate model outputs,numerous studies have investigated the model representation of African precipitation as well as underlying physical processes.These studies have assessed whether the physical processes are well depicted and whether the models are fit for informing mitigation and adaptation strategies.This paper provides a review of the progress in precipitation simulation overAfrica in state-of-the-science climate models and discusses the major issues and challenges that remain.展开更多
Background:Large language models(LLMs)have shown considerable promise in supporting clinical decision-making.However,their adoption and evaluation in dermatology remains limited.This study aimed to explore the prefere...Background:Large language models(LLMs)have shown considerable promise in supporting clinical decision-making.However,their adoption and evaluation in dermatology remains limited.This study aimed to explore the preferences of Chinese dermatologists regarding LLM-generated responses in clinical psoriasis scenarios and to assess how they prioritize key quality dimensions,including accuracy,traceability,and logicality.Methods:A cross-sectional,web-based survey was conducted between December 25,2024,and January 22,2025,following the Checklist for Reporting Results of Internet E-Surveys guidelines.A total of 1247 valid responses were collected from practicing dermatologists across 33 of China's provincial-level administrative divisions.Participants evaluated responses to five categories of clinical questions(etiology,clinical presentation,differential diagnosis,treatment,and case study)generated by five LLMs:ChatGPT-4o,Kimi.ai,Doubao,ZuoYiGPT,and Lingyi-agent.Statistical associations between participant characteristics and model preferences were examined using chi-square tests.Results:ChatGPT-4o(Model 1)emerged as the most preferred model across all clinical tasks,consistently receiving the highest number of votes in case study(n=740),clinical presentation(n=666),differential diagnosis(n=707),etiology(n=602),and treatment(n=656).Significant variation in model preference by professional title was observed only for the differential diagnosis task(χ^(2)=21.13,df=12,p=0.0485),while no significant differences were found across hospital tiers(p>0.05).In terms of evaluation dimensions,accuracy was most frequently rated as“very important”(n=635).A significant association existed between hospital tier and the most valued dimension(χ^(2)=27.667,df=9,p=0.0011),with dermatologists in primary hospitals prioritizing traceability more than their peers in higher-tier hospitals.No significant associations were found across professional titles(p=0.127).Conclusions:Chinese dermatologists suggest a strong preference for ChatGPT-4o over domestic LLMs in psoriasis-related clinical tasks.While accuracy remains the primary criterion,traceability and logicality are also critical,particularly for clinicians in lower-tier hospitals.These findings suggest that future clinical LLMs should prioritize not only content accuracy but also source transparency and structural clarity to meet the diverse needs of different clinical settings.展开更多
The Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes(RANS)technique enables critical engineering predictions and is widely adopted.However,since this iterative computation relies on the fixed-point iteration,it may converge to unexpec...The Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes(RANS)technique enables critical engineering predictions and is widely adopted.However,since this iterative computation relies on the fixed-point iteration,it may converge to unexpected non-physical phase points in practice.We conduct an analysis on the phase-space characteristics and the fixed-point theory underlying the k-ε turbulence model,and employ the classical Kolmogorov flow as a framework,leveraging its direct numerical simulation(DNS)data to construct a one-dimensional(1D)system under periodic/fixed boundary conditions.The RANS results demonstrate that under periodic boundary conditions,the k-ε model exhibits only a unique trivial fixed point,with asymptotes capturing the phase portraits.The stability of this trivial fixed point is determined by a mathematically derived stability phase diagram,indicating the fact that the k-ε model will never converge to correct values under periodic conditions.In contrast,under fixed boundary conditions,the model can yield a stable non-trivial fixed point.The evolutionary mechanisms and their relationship with boundary condition settings systematically explain the inherent limitations of the k-ε model,i.e.,its deficiency in computing the flow field under periodic boundary conditions and sensitivity to boundary-value specifications under fixed boundary conditions.These conclusions are finally validated with the open-source code OpenFOAM.展开更多
Utilizing finite element analysis,the ballistic protection provided by a combination of perforated D-shaped and base armor plates,collectively referred to as radiator armor,is evaluated.ANSYS Explicit Dynamics is empl...Utilizing finite element analysis,the ballistic protection provided by a combination of perforated D-shaped and base armor plates,collectively referred to as radiator armor,is evaluated.ANSYS Explicit Dynamics is employed to simulate the ballistic impact of 7.62 mm armor-piercing projectiles on Aluminum AA5083-H116 and Steel Secure 500 armors,focusing on the evaluation of material deformation and penetration resistance at varying impact points.While the D-shaped armor plate is penetrated by the armor-piercing projectiles,the combination of the perforated D-shaped and base armor plates successfully halts penetration.A numerical model based on the finite element method is developed using software such as SolidWorks and ANSYS to analyze the interaction between radiator armor and bullet.The perforated design of radiator armor is to maintain airflow for radiator function,with hole sizes smaller than the bullet core diameter to protect radiator assemblies.Predictions are made regarding the brittle fracture resulting from the projectile core′s bending due to asymmetric impact,and the resulting fragments failed to penetrate the perforated base armor plate.Craters are formed on the surface of the perforated D-shaped armor plate due to the impact of projectile fragments.The numerical model accurately predicts hole growth and projectile penetration upon impact with the armor,demonstrating effective protection of the radiator assemblies by the radiator armor.展开更多
Coordinate transformation models often fail to account for nonlinear and spatially dependent distortions,leading to significant residual errors in geospatial applications.Here,we propose a residual-based neural correc...Coordinate transformation models often fail to account for nonlinear and spatially dependent distortions,leading to significant residual errors in geospatial applications.Here,we propose a residual-based neural correction(RBNC)strategy,in which a neural network learns to model only the systematic distortions left by an initial geometric transformation.By focusing solely on residual patterns,RBNC reduces model complexity and improves performance,particularly in scenarios with sparse or structured control point configurations.We evaluate the method using both simulated datasets(with varying distortion intensities and sampling strategies)and real-world image georeferencing tasks.Compared with direct neural network coordinate converters and classical transformation models,RBNC delivers more accurate and stable results under challenging conditions,while maintaining comparable performance in ideal cases.These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of residual modelling as a light-weight and robust alternative for improving coordinate transformation accuracy.展开更多
Recommendation systems are key to boosting user engagement,satisfaction,and retention,particularly on media platforms where personalized content is vital.Sequential recommendation systems learn from user-item interact...Recommendation systems are key to boosting user engagement,satisfaction,and retention,particularly on media platforms where personalized content is vital.Sequential recommendation systems learn from user-item interactions to predict future items of interest.However,many current methods rely on unique user and item IDs,limiting their ability to represent users and items effectively,especially in zero-shot learning scenarios where training data is scarce.With the rapid development of Large Language Models(LLMs),researchers are exploring their potential to enhance recommendation systems.However,there is a semantic gap between the linguistic semantics of LLMs and the collaborative semantics of recommendation systems,where items are typically indexed by IDs.Moreover,most research focuses on item representations,neglecting personalized user modeling.To address these issues,we propose a sequential recommendation framework using LLMs,called CIT-Rec,a model that integrates Collaborative semantics for user representation and Image and Text information for item representation to enhance Recommendations.Specifically,by aligning intuitive image information with text containing semantic features,we can more accurately represent items,improving item representation quality.We focus not only on item representations but also on user representations.To more precisely capture users’personalized preferences,we use traditional sequential recommendation models to train on users’historical interaction data,effectively capturing behavioral patterns.Finally,by combining LLMs and traditional sequential recommendation models,we allow the LLM to understand linguistic semantics while capturing collaborative semantics.Extensive evaluations on real-world datasets show that our model outperforms baseline methods,effectively combining user interaction history with item visual and textual modalities to provide personalized recommendations.展开更多
The National Geophysical Data Center(NGDC)of the United States has collected aeromagnetic data for input into a series of geomagnetic models to improve model resolution;however,in the Tibetan Plateau region,ground-bas...The National Geophysical Data Center(NGDC)of the United States has collected aeromagnetic data for input into a series of geomagnetic models to improve model resolution;however,in the Tibetan Plateau region,ground-based observations remain insufficient to clearly reflect the characteristics of the region’s lithospheric magnetism.In this study,we evaluate the lithospheric magnetism of the Tibetan Plateau by using a 3D surface spline model based on observations from>200 newly constructed repeat stations(portable stations)to determine the spatial distribution of plateau geomagnetism,as well as its correlation with the tectonic features of the region.We analyze the relationships between M≥5 earthquakes and lithospheric magnetic field variations on the Tibetan Plateau and identify regions susceptible to strong earthquakes.We compare the geomagnetic results with those from an enhanced magnetic model(EMM2015)developed by the NGDC and provide insights into improving lithospheric magnetic field calculations in the Tibetan Plateau region.Further research reveals that these magnetic anomalies exhibit distinct differences from the magnetic-seismic correlation mechanisms observed in other tectonic settings;here,they are governed primarily by the combined effects of compressional magnetism,thermal magnetism,and deep thermal stress.This study provides new evidence of geomagnetic anomalies on the Tibetan Plateau,interprets them physically,and demonstrates their potential for identifying seismic hazard zones on the Plateau.展开更多
The electric double layer(EDL)at the electrochemical interface is crucial for ion transport,charge transfer,and surface reactions in aqueous rechargeable zinc batteries(ARZBs).However,Zn anodes routinely encounter per...The electric double layer(EDL)at the electrochemical interface is crucial for ion transport,charge transfer,and surface reactions in aqueous rechargeable zinc batteries(ARZBs).However,Zn anodes routinely encounter persistent dendrite growth and parasitic reactions,driven by the inhomogeneous charge distribution and water-dominated environment within the EDL.Compounding this,classical EDL theory,rooted in meanfield approximations,further fails to resolve molecular-scale interfacial dynamics under battery-operating conditions,limiting mechanistic insights.Herein,we established a multiscale theoretical calculation framework from single molecular characteristics to interfacial ion distribution,revealing the EDL’s structure and interactions between different ions and molecules,which helps us understand the parasitic processes in depth.Simulations demonstrate that water dipole and sulfate ion adsorption at the inner Helmholtz plane drives severe hydrogen evolution and by-product formation.Guided by these insights,we engineered a“water-poor and anion-expelled”EDL using 4,1’,6’-trichlorogalactosucrose(TGS)as an electrolyte additive.As a result,Zn||Zn symmetric cells with TGS exhibited stable cycling for over 4700 h under a current density of 1 mA cm^(−2),while NaV_(3)O_(8)·1.5H_(2)O-based full cells kept 90.4%of the initial specific capacity after 800 cycles at 5 A g^(−1).This work highlights the power of multiscale theoretical frameworks to unravel EDL complexities and guide high-performance ARZB design through integrated theory-experiment approaches.展开更多
(Quasi-)closed-form results for the statistical properties of unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)airto-ground channels are derived for the first time using a novel spatial-vector-based method from a threedimensional(3-D)arbi...(Quasi-)closed-form results for the statistical properties of unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)airto-ground channels are derived for the first time using a novel spatial-vector-based method from a threedimensional(3-D)arbitrary-elevation one-cylinder model.The derived results include a closed-form expression for the space-time correlation function and some quasi-closed-form ones for the space-Doppler power spectrum density,the level crossing rate,and the average fading duration,which are shown to be the generalizations of those previously obtained from the two-dimensional(2-D)one-ring model and the 3-D low-elevation one-cylinder model for terrestrial mobile-to-mobile channels.The close agreements between the theoretical results and the simulations as well as the measurements validate the utility of the derived channel statistics.Based on the derived expressions,the impacts of some parameters on the channel characteristics are investigated in an effective,efficient,and explicable way,which leads to a general guideline on the manual parameter estimation from the measurement description.展开更多
Effective management of mining areas in the Luo River Basin,located in the eastern Qinling Mountains,is vital for the integrated protection and restoration needed to support the high-quality development of the Yellow ...Effective management of mining areas in the Luo River Basin,located in the eastern Qinling Mountains,is vital for the integrated protection and restoration needed to support the high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin.Using the‘cupball'model,this study analyzes the limiting factors and restoration characteristics across four mining areas and proposes a conceptual model for selecting appropriate restoration approaches.A second conceptual model is then introduced to address regional development needs,incorporating ecological conservation,safety protection,and people's wellbeing.The applicability of the integrated model selection framework is demonstrated through a case study on the south bank of the Qinglongjian River.The results indicate that:(1)The key limiting factors are similar across cases,but the degree of ecological degradation varies.(2)Mildly degraded areas are represented by a shallower and narrower‘cup',where natural recovery is the preferred approach,whereas moderately and severely degraded systems call for assisted regeneration and ecological reconstruction,respectively.(3)When the restoration models determined based on limiting factors and development needs are consistent,the model is directly applicable;if they differ,the option involving less artificial intervention is preferred;(4)Monitoring of the restored mining area on the Qinglongjian River's south bank confirms significant improvements in soil erosion control and vegetation coverage.This study provides a transferable methodology for balancing resource extraction with ecosystem conservation,offering practical insights for other ecologically vulnerable mining regions.展开更多
Accurate forecasting of tropical cyclone(TC)tracks and intensities is essential.Although the TianXing large weather model,a six-hourly forecasting model surpassing operational forecasts,exhibits superior performance,i...Accurate forecasting of tropical cyclone(TC)tracks and intensities is essential.Although the TianXing large weather model,a six-hourly forecasting model surpassing operational forecasts,exhibits superior performance,its TC forecasts still require enhancement.Prediction errors persist due to biases in the training data and smoothing effects in data-driven methods.To address this,we introduce CycloneBCNet,a deep-learning model designed to correct TianXing’s TC forecast biases by leveraging spatial and temporal data.CycloneBCNet utilizes the SimVP(simpler yet better video prediction)framework with spatial attention to highlight cyclone core regions in forecast fields.It also incorporates TC trend information(center position,maximum wind speed,and minimum sea level pressure)via an LSTM(long short-term memory)module.These TC vectors are derived from post-processed TianXing forecasts.By fusing features from forecast fields and TC vectors,CycloneBCNet corrects biases across multiple lead times.At a 96-h lead time,the track error reduces from 162.4 to 86.4 km,the wind speed error from 17.2 to 6.69 m s^(-1),and the pressure error from 22.2 to 9.36 hPa.Interpretability analysis shows that CycloneBCNet adjusts its attention across forecast lead times.Intensity corrections prioritize inner-core dynamics,particularly the eye and eyewall,while track corrections shift from lower-level variables and the cyclone’s core to broader environmental factors and mid-to upper-level features as the forecast duration increases.These findings demonstrate that CycloneBCNet effectively captures key TC dynamics consistent with meteorological principles,including the dominance of near-surface conditions for intensity and the increasing influence of steering currents on track prediction.展开更多
基金supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(No.2024QN11072)National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.52404264 and 52174217)State Key Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52034008)。
文摘The deformation energy(Wd)of soil-like tectonic coal is crucial for investigating the mechanism of coal and gas outbursts.Tectonic coal has a significant nonlinear constitutive relationship,which makes traditional elastic-based models for computing Wdunsuitable.Inspired by critical state soil mechanics,this study theoretically established a new calculation model of Wdsuitable for the coal with nonlinear deformation characteristics.In the new model,the relationship between energy and stress no longer follows the square law(observed in traditional linear elastic models)but exhibits a power function,with the theoretical value of the power exponent ranging between 1 and 2.Hydrostatic cyclic loading and unloading experiments were conducted on four groups of tectonic coal samples and one group of intact coal samples.The results indicated that the relationship between Wdand stress for both intact and tectonic coal follows a power law.The exponents for intact and tectonic coal are close to 2 and 1,respectively.The stress-strain curve of intact coal exhibits small deformation and linear characteristics,whereas the stress-strain curves of tectonic coal show large deformation and nonlinear characteristics.The study specifically investigates the role of coal viscosity in the cyclic loading/unloading process.The downward bending in the unloading curves can be attributed to the time-dependent characteristics of coal,particularly its viscoelastic behavior.Based on experimental statistics,the calculation model of Wdwas further simplified.The simplified model involves only one unknown parameter,which is the power exponent between Wdand stress.The measured Wdof the coal samples increases with the number of load cycles.This phenomenon is attributed to coal's viscoelastic deformation.Within the same stress,the Wdof tectonic coal is an order of magnitude greater than that of intact coal.The calculation model of Wdproposed in this paper provides a new tool for studying the energy principle of coal and gas outbursts.
基金supported by the National key research&development program of China(Grant no.2021YFD1900600)the National Natural Science Foundation of Ningxia(2023AAC05014)+1 种基金the Ningxia Key Research and Development Program(Special Talents)(2023BSB03021)the Scientific Research Program of University of Ningxia Education Department(NYG2024049)。
文摘Saline soils are significantly affected by water-salt phase changes,evaporation,and groundwater during seasonal freezing and thawing.For the study of physical and mechanical properties of saline soils,solubility is an important indicator that varies with temperature.However,there have been very limited computational studies on solubility at low temperatures.The model for calculating the solubility of Na_(2)SO_(4)-NaCl-H_(2)O ternary system under low temperature conditions was constructed in this paper,based on the Pitzer and BET models.Improvements were made to the parametersФandγin the Pitzer model,while improvements were made to the parameters c,r,and aw in the BET model.The solubility changes within the range of 273.15 K–373.15 K were calculated and validated by combining them with indoor experiments.It was found that both the improved Pitzer model and BET model accurately predicted relative equilibrium solubility data of the Na_(2)SO_(4)-NaCl-H_(2)O ternary system at temperatures ranging from 273.15 K to 373.15 K.Additionally,compared with the Pitzer model,the BET model had advantages such as easy parameter acquisition and wider application range.The findings from this research hold great significance for understanding the process and patterns of salt analysis during soil freeze-thaw cycles as well as providing a scientific foundation for further comprehension of phase change laws and physical properties related to saline soils.
基金Supported by Basic Scientific Research Project of the Liaoning Provincial Department of Education Has Been Unveiled to Facilitate Local Project Funding (JYTMS20230835)Enhanced Scientific Research Project Funded by the Departmentof Higher Education in Liaoning Province (General program)(JYTMS20230852)。
文摘The adsorptive denitrification performance of MIL-101(Cr)-0.5 toward pyridine,aniline or quinoline in simulated fuels with basic nitrogen content of 1732μg/g was evaluated separately.Furthermore,the effects of adsorption temperature,adsorption time and adsorbent dosage on their adsorptive denitrification performance were systematically investigated.The experimental results demonstrated that under a fixed adsorbent dosage of 0.05 g and a simulated fuel volume of 10 mL,the optimal removal efficiency for aniline was achieved at 30℃ within 30 min,whereas higher temperatures and longer times(40℃and 40 min)were required for effective removal of pyridine and quinoline.Density Functional Theory(DFT)calculations were conducted via Materials Studio(MS)software to study the adsorptive denitrification mechanism of MIL-101(Cr)toward these three basic nitrogen-containing compounds.The simulation calculation results revealed that the interaction between pyridine and MIL-101(Cr)primarily involved coordination adsorption.In contrast,the interaction between aniline or quinoline and MIL-101(Cr)proceeded mainly through coordination,with additional contributions fromπ-complexation and hydrogen bonding.The overall adsorption strength order is pyridine>aniline>quinoline.During the adsorption process,pyridine and quinoline transfer electrons to the MIL-101(Cr)surface through the H→C→N→Cr^(3+)pathway,while aniline transfers electrons to the MIL-101(Cr)surface through various pathways,including N→Cr^(3+),N→C→Cr^(3+)and N→H→O.Furthermore,adsorption kinetics studies indicated that the adsorption processes for all three basic nitrogen-containing compounds followed the quasi second order kinetic models.The experimental results on the effect of benzene on the adsorptive denitrification performance of MIL-101(Cr)-0.5 demonstrated that benzene exerted a more significant impact on the adsorption of aniline and quinoline.Finally,the adsorbent was regenerated using ethanol washing.It was found that MIL-101(Cr)-0.5 retained stable denitrification performance after two regeneration cycles.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.22073069,21773082)Science Research Project of Hebei Education Department(No.QN2024255)。
文摘In chemical science,the vertical ionization potential(VIP)is a crucial metric for understanding the electronegativity,hardness and softness of chemical material systems as well as the electronic structure and stability of molecules.Ever since the last century,the model chemistry composite methods have witnessed tremendous developments in computing the thermodynamic properties as well as the barrier heights.However,their performance in realm of the vertical electron processes of molecular systems has been rarely explored.In this study,we for the first time benchmarked the model chemistry composite methods(e.g.,CBS-QB3,G4 and W1BD)in comparison with the commonly used Koopmans's theorem(KT),electron propagator theory(e.g.,OVGF,D2,P3 and P3+)and CCSD(T)methods in calculating the VIP for up to 613 molecular systems with available experimental measurements.The large-scale test calculations strongly showed that the CBS-QB3 model chemistry composite technique can be well recommended to calculate VIP from the perspectives of accuracy,economy and applicability.Notably,the VIP values of up to 7 molecules were identified to have the absolute errors of larger than 0.3 e V at all calculation levels,which have strong hints that their VIP experimental values should be re-investigated.
文摘Model evaluation using benchmark datasets is an important method to measure the capability of large language models(LLMs)in specific domains,and it is mainly used to assess the knowledge and reasoning abilities of LLMs.Therefore,in order to better assess the capability of LLMs in the agricultural domain,Agri-Eval was proposed as a benchmark for assessing the knowledge and reasoning ability of LLMs in agriculture.The assessment dataset used in Agri-Eval covered seven major disciplines in the agricultural domain:crop science,horticulture,plant protection,animal husbandry,forest science,aquaculture science,and grass science,and contained a total of 2283 questions.Among domestic general-purpose LLMs,DeepSeek R1 performed best with an accuracy rate of 75.49%.In the realm of international general-purpose LLMs,Gemini 2.0 pro exp 0205 standed out as the top performer,achieving an accuracy rate of 74.28%.As an LLMs in agriculture vertical,Shennong V2.0 outperformed all the LLMs in China,and the answer accuracy rate of agricultural knowledge exceeded that of all the existing general-purpose LLMs.The launch of Agri-Eval helped the LLM developers to comprehensively evaluate the model's capability in the field of agriculture through a variety of tasks and tests to promote the development of the LLMs in the field of agriculture.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(12261018)Universities Key Laboratory of Mathematical Modeling and Data Mining in Guizhou Province(2023013)。
文摘In this paper,we establish and study a single-species logistic model with impulsive age-selective harvesting.First,we prove the ultimate boundedness of the solutions of the system.Then,we obtain conditions for the asymptotic stability of the trivial solution and the positive periodic solution.Finally,numerical simulations are presented to validate our results.Our results show that age-selective harvesting is more conducive to sustainable population survival than non-age-selective harvesting.
基金Supported by Open Project Fund of China Meteorological Administration Basin Heavy Rainfall Key Laboratory(2023BHR-Y26)Innovation Project Fund of Wuhan Metropolitan Area Meteorological Joint Science and Technology(WHCSQY202305)+1 种基金Innovation and Development Special Project of China Meteorological Administration(CXFZ2022J019)Project of Huanggang Meteorological Bureau's Scientific Research(2022Y02).
文摘It is an important standard to judge the flood disaster in the basin whether the rainfall at the flood-inducing interface is reached.In this paper,the Xin'anjiang model,Topmodel model and SCS model were selected to calculate and compare the rainfall at the flood-inducing interface in the Zhanghe Reservoir basin in Hubei Province.The results showed that average relative error and average absolute error of Xin'anjiang model were-3.36%and-21.46×10^(5)m^(3),which were the minimum,followed by Topmodel model with 5.72%and 26.22×10^(5)m^(3),SCS model with 11.33%and 58.13×10^(5)m^(3).The minimum absolute error of the three hydrological models in calculating the rainfall at the critical interface was 3.26 mm,while the maximum was 49.24 mm.When the initial water level exceeded 120 m,the difference among the three models in calculating the rainfall at the critical interface became more and more obvious.When the reservoir water level was lower than 120 m,it mainly referred to the calculation results of Xin'anjiang model.When the reservoir water level was higher than 120 m,it mainly referred to the calculation results of Topmodel model.The research conclusion can provide reference for small and medium-sized basins selecting hydrological model to calculate the rainfall at the flood-inducing interface.
文摘In their recent paper Pereira et al.(2025)claim that validation is overlooked in mapping and modelling of ecosystem services(ES).They state that“many studies lack critical evaluation of the results and no validation is provided”and that“the validation step is largely overlooked”.This assertion may have been true several years ago,for example,when Ochoa and Urbina-Cardona(2017)made a similar observation.However,there has been much work on ES model validation over the last decade.
基金the World Climate Research Programme(WCRP),Climate Variability and Predictability(CLIVAR),and Global Energy and Water Exchanges(GEWEX)for facilitating the coordination of African monsoon researchsupport from the Center for Earth System Modeling,Analysis,and Data at the Pennsylvania State Universitythe support of the Office of Science of the U.S.Department of Energy Biological and Environmental Research as part of the Regional&Global Model Analysis(RGMA)program area。
文摘In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and change.Likewise,this period has seen a significant increase in our understanding of the physical processes and mechanisms that drive precipitation and its variability across different regions of Africa.By leveraging a large volume of climate model outputs,numerous studies have investigated the model representation of African precipitation as well as underlying physical processes.These studies have assessed whether the physical processes are well depicted and whether the models are fit for informing mitigation and adaptation strategies.This paper provides a review of the progress in precipitation simulation overAfrica in state-of-the-science climate models and discusses the major issues and challenges that remain.
基金National Key Research and Development Program of China,Grant/Award Number:2024YFF0507404Special Clinical Business Fund for High-Level Hospitals of China-Japan Friendship Hospital,Grant/Award Number:2024-NHLHCRF-TS-01。
文摘Background:Large language models(LLMs)have shown considerable promise in supporting clinical decision-making.However,their adoption and evaluation in dermatology remains limited.This study aimed to explore the preferences of Chinese dermatologists regarding LLM-generated responses in clinical psoriasis scenarios and to assess how they prioritize key quality dimensions,including accuracy,traceability,and logicality.Methods:A cross-sectional,web-based survey was conducted between December 25,2024,and January 22,2025,following the Checklist for Reporting Results of Internet E-Surveys guidelines.A total of 1247 valid responses were collected from practicing dermatologists across 33 of China's provincial-level administrative divisions.Participants evaluated responses to five categories of clinical questions(etiology,clinical presentation,differential diagnosis,treatment,and case study)generated by five LLMs:ChatGPT-4o,Kimi.ai,Doubao,ZuoYiGPT,and Lingyi-agent.Statistical associations between participant characteristics and model preferences were examined using chi-square tests.Results:ChatGPT-4o(Model 1)emerged as the most preferred model across all clinical tasks,consistently receiving the highest number of votes in case study(n=740),clinical presentation(n=666),differential diagnosis(n=707),etiology(n=602),and treatment(n=656).Significant variation in model preference by professional title was observed only for the differential diagnosis task(χ^(2)=21.13,df=12,p=0.0485),while no significant differences were found across hospital tiers(p>0.05).In terms of evaluation dimensions,accuracy was most frequently rated as“very important”(n=635).A significant association existed between hospital tier and the most valued dimension(χ^(2)=27.667,df=9,p=0.0011),with dermatologists in primary hospitals prioritizing traceability more than their peers in higher-tier hospitals.No significant associations were found across professional titles(p=0.127).Conclusions:Chinese dermatologists suggest a strong preference for ChatGPT-4o over domestic LLMs in psoriasis-related clinical tasks.While accuracy remains the primary criterion,traceability and logicality are also critical,particularly for clinicians in lower-tier hospitals.These findings suggest that future clinical LLMs should prioritize not only content accuracy but also source transparency and structural clarity to meet the diverse needs of different clinical settings.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.12372214 and U2341231)。
文摘The Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes(RANS)technique enables critical engineering predictions and is widely adopted.However,since this iterative computation relies on the fixed-point iteration,it may converge to unexpected non-physical phase points in practice.We conduct an analysis on the phase-space characteristics and the fixed-point theory underlying the k-ε turbulence model,and employ the classical Kolmogorov flow as a framework,leveraging its direct numerical simulation(DNS)data to construct a one-dimensional(1D)system under periodic/fixed boundary conditions.The RANS results demonstrate that under periodic boundary conditions,the k-ε model exhibits only a unique trivial fixed point,with asymptotes capturing the phase portraits.The stability of this trivial fixed point is determined by a mathematically derived stability phase diagram,indicating the fact that the k-ε model will never converge to correct values under periodic conditions.In contrast,under fixed boundary conditions,the model can yield a stable non-trivial fixed point.The evolutionary mechanisms and their relationship with boundary condition settings systematically explain the inherent limitations of the k-ε model,i.e.,its deficiency in computing the flow field under periodic boundary conditions and sensitivity to boundary-value specifications under fixed boundary conditions.These conclusions are finally validated with the open-source code OpenFOAM.
文摘Utilizing finite element analysis,the ballistic protection provided by a combination of perforated D-shaped and base armor plates,collectively referred to as radiator armor,is evaluated.ANSYS Explicit Dynamics is employed to simulate the ballistic impact of 7.62 mm armor-piercing projectiles on Aluminum AA5083-H116 and Steel Secure 500 armors,focusing on the evaluation of material deformation and penetration resistance at varying impact points.While the D-shaped armor plate is penetrated by the armor-piercing projectiles,the combination of the perforated D-shaped and base armor plates successfully halts penetration.A numerical model based on the finite element method is developed using software such as SolidWorks and ANSYS to analyze the interaction between radiator armor and bullet.The perforated design of radiator armor is to maintain airflow for radiator function,with hole sizes smaller than the bullet core diameter to protect radiator assemblies.Predictions are made regarding the brittle fracture resulting from the projectile core′s bending due to asymmetric impact,and the resulting fragments failed to penetrate the perforated base armor plate.Craters are formed on the surface of the perforated D-shaped armor plate due to the impact of projectile fragments.The numerical model accurately predicts hole growth and projectile penetration upon impact with the armor,demonstrating effective protection of the radiator assemblies by the radiator armor.
基金National Council for Scientific and Technological Development,Grant No.421278/2023-4,No.309248/2025-6。
文摘Coordinate transformation models often fail to account for nonlinear and spatially dependent distortions,leading to significant residual errors in geospatial applications.Here,we propose a residual-based neural correction(RBNC)strategy,in which a neural network learns to model only the systematic distortions left by an initial geometric transformation.By focusing solely on residual patterns,RBNC reduces model complexity and improves performance,particularly in scenarios with sparse or structured control point configurations.We evaluate the method using both simulated datasets(with varying distortion intensities and sampling strategies)and real-world image georeferencing tasks.Compared with direct neural network coordinate converters and classical transformation models,RBNC delivers more accurate and stable results under challenging conditions,while maintaining comparable performance in ideal cases.These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of residual modelling as a light-weight and robust alternative for improving coordinate transformation accuracy.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China[2022YFF0902703]the State Administration for Market Regulation Science and Technology Plan Project(2024MK033).
文摘Recommendation systems are key to boosting user engagement,satisfaction,and retention,particularly on media platforms where personalized content is vital.Sequential recommendation systems learn from user-item interactions to predict future items of interest.However,many current methods rely on unique user and item IDs,limiting their ability to represent users and items effectively,especially in zero-shot learning scenarios where training data is scarce.With the rapid development of Large Language Models(LLMs),researchers are exploring their potential to enhance recommendation systems.However,there is a semantic gap between the linguistic semantics of LLMs and the collaborative semantics of recommendation systems,where items are typically indexed by IDs.Moreover,most research focuses on item representations,neglecting personalized user modeling.To address these issues,we propose a sequential recommendation framework using LLMs,called CIT-Rec,a model that integrates Collaborative semantics for user representation and Image and Text information for item representation to enhance Recommendations.Specifically,by aligning intuitive image information with text containing semantic features,we can more accurately represent items,improving item representation quality.We focus not only on item representations but also on user representations.To more precisely capture users’personalized preferences,we use traditional sequential recommendation models to train on users’historical interaction data,effectively capturing behavioral patterns.Finally,by combining LLMs and traditional sequential recommendation models,we allow the LLM to understand linguistic semantics while capturing collaborative semantics.Extensive evaluations on real-world datasets show that our model outperforms baseline methods,effectively combining user interaction history with item visual and textual modalities to provide personalized recommendations.
基金supported by the CAS Pioneer Hundred Talents Program and Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition Research Program(2019QZKK0708)as well as the Basic Research Program of Qinghai Province:Lithospheric Geomagnetic Field of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and the Relationship with Strong Earthquakes(2021-ZJ-969Q).
文摘The National Geophysical Data Center(NGDC)of the United States has collected aeromagnetic data for input into a series of geomagnetic models to improve model resolution;however,in the Tibetan Plateau region,ground-based observations remain insufficient to clearly reflect the characteristics of the region’s lithospheric magnetism.In this study,we evaluate the lithospheric magnetism of the Tibetan Plateau by using a 3D surface spline model based on observations from>200 newly constructed repeat stations(portable stations)to determine the spatial distribution of plateau geomagnetism,as well as its correlation with the tectonic features of the region.We analyze the relationships between M≥5 earthquakes and lithospheric magnetic field variations on the Tibetan Plateau and identify regions susceptible to strong earthquakes.We compare the geomagnetic results with those from an enhanced magnetic model(EMM2015)developed by the NGDC and provide insights into improving lithospheric magnetic field calculations in the Tibetan Plateau region.Further research reveals that these magnetic anomalies exhibit distinct differences from the magnetic-seismic correlation mechanisms observed in other tectonic settings;here,they are governed primarily by the combined effects of compressional magnetism,thermal magnetism,and deep thermal stress.This study provides new evidence of geomagnetic anomalies on the Tibetan Plateau,interprets them physically,and demonstrates their potential for identifying seismic hazard zones on the Plateau.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(52471240)the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province(LZ23B030003)+2 种基金the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(226-2024-00075)support from the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council(EPSRC,UK)RiR grant-RIR18221018-1EU COST CA23155。
文摘The electric double layer(EDL)at the electrochemical interface is crucial for ion transport,charge transfer,and surface reactions in aqueous rechargeable zinc batteries(ARZBs).However,Zn anodes routinely encounter persistent dendrite growth and parasitic reactions,driven by the inhomogeneous charge distribution and water-dominated environment within the EDL.Compounding this,classical EDL theory,rooted in meanfield approximations,further fails to resolve molecular-scale interfacial dynamics under battery-operating conditions,limiting mechanistic insights.Herein,we established a multiscale theoretical calculation framework from single molecular characteristics to interfacial ion distribution,revealing the EDL’s structure and interactions between different ions and molecules,which helps us understand the parasitic processes in depth.Simulations demonstrate that water dipole and sulfate ion adsorption at the inner Helmholtz plane drives severe hydrogen evolution and by-product formation.Guided by these insights,we engineered a“water-poor and anion-expelled”EDL using 4,1’,6’-trichlorogalactosucrose(TGS)as an electrolyte additive.As a result,Zn||Zn symmetric cells with TGS exhibited stable cycling for over 4700 h under a current density of 1 mA cm^(−2),while NaV_(3)O_(8)·1.5H_(2)O-based full cells kept 90.4%of the initial specific capacity after 800 cycles at 5 A g^(−1).This work highlights the power of multiscale theoretical frameworks to unravel EDL complexities and guide high-performance ARZB design through integrated theory-experiment approaches.
基金supported in part by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2021YFB2900501)in part by the Shaanxi Science and Technology Innovation Team(2023-CX-TD-03)+3 种基金in part by the Science and Technology Program of Shaanxi Province(2021GXLH-Z-038)in part by the Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province(2023JJ40607 and 2023JJ50045)in part by the Scientific Research Foundation of Hunan Provincial Education Department(23B0713 and 24B0603)in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62401371,62101275,and 62372070).
文摘(Quasi-)closed-form results for the statistical properties of unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)airto-ground channels are derived for the first time using a novel spatial-vector-based method from a threedimensional(3-D)arbitrary-elevation one-cylinder model.The derived results include a closed-form expression for the space-time correlation function and some quasi-closed-form ones for the space-Doppler power spectrum density,the level crossing rate,and the average fading duration,which are shown to be the generalizations of those previously obtained from the two-dimensional(2-D)one-ring model and the 3-D low-elevation one-cylinder model for terrestrial mobile-to-mobile channels.The close agreements between the theoretical results and the simulations as well as the measurements validate the utility of the derived channel statistics.Based on the derived expressions,the impacts of some parameters on the channel characteristics are investigated in an effective,efficient,and explicable way,which leads to a general guideline on the manual parameter estimation from the measurement description.
基金supported by Special major projects for research and development of Henan Provincial(Science and Technology Research Project)(No.252102321104)Humanities and Social Sciences Youth Foundation,Ministry of Education(24YJCZH410)。
文摘Effective management of mining areas in the Luo River Basin,located in the eastern Qinling Mountains,is vital for the integrated protection and restoration needed to support the high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin.Using the‘cupball'model,this study analyzes the limiting factors and restoration characteristics across four mining areas and proposes a conceptual model for selecting appropriate restoration approaches.A second conceptual model is then introduced to address regional development needs,incorporating ecological conservation,safety protection,and people's wellbeing.The applicability of the integrated model selection framework is demonstrated through a case study on the south bank of the Qinglongjian River.The results indicate that:(1)The key limiting factors are similar across cases,but the degree of ecological degradation varies.(2)Mildly degraded areas are represented by a shallower and narrower‘cup',where natural recovery is the preferred approach,whereas moderately and severely degraded systems call for assisted regeneration and ecological reconstruction,respectively.(3)When the restoration models determined based on limiting factors and development needs are consistent,the model is directly applicable;if they differ,the option involving less artificial intervention is preferred;(4)Monitoring of the restored mining area on the Qinglongjian River's south bank confirms significant improvements in soil erosion control and vegetation coverage.This study provides a transferable methodology for balancing resource extraction with ecosystem conservation,offering practical insights for other ecologically vulnerable mining regions.
基金supported by the Meteorological Joint Funds of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U2142211)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42075141,42341202 and 62088101)+1 种基金the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2020YFA0608000)the Shanghai Municipal Science and Technology Major Project(Grant No.2021SHZDZX0100).
文摘Accurate forecasting of tropical cyclone(TC)tracks and intensities is essential.Although the TianXing large weather model,a six-hourly forecasting model surpassing operational forecasts,exhibits superior performance,its TC forecasts still require enhancement.Prediction errors persist due to biases in the training data and smoothing effects in data-driven methods.To address this,we introduce CycloneBCNet,a deep-learning model designed to correct TianXing’s TC forecast biases by leveraging spatial and temporal data.CycloneBCNet utilizes the SimVP(simpler yet better video prediction)framework with spatial attention to highlight cyclone core regions in forecast fields.It also incorporates TC trend information(center position,maximum wind speed,and minimum sea level pressure)via an LSTM(long short-term memory)module.These TC vectors are derived from post-processed TianXing forecasts.By fusing features from forecast fields and TC vectors,CycloneBCNet corrects biases across multiple lead times.At a 96-h lead time,the track error reduces from 162.4 to 86.4 km,the wind speed error from 17.2 to 6.69 m s^(-1),and the pressure error from 22.2 to 9.36 hPa.Interpretability analysis shows that CycloneBCNet adjusts its attention across forecast lead times.Intensity corrections prioritize inner-core dynamics,particularly the eye and eyewall,while track corrections shift from lower-level variables and the cyclone’s core to broader environmental factors and mid-to upper-level features as the forecast duration increases.These findings demonstrate that CycloneBCNet effectively captures key TC dynamics consistent with meteorological principles,including the dominance of near-surface conditions for intensity and the increasing influence of steering currents on track prediction.
