To enhance the accuracy and efficiency of bridge damage identification,a novel data-driven damage identification method was proposed.First,convolutional autoencoder(CAE)was used to extract key features from the accele...To enhance the accuracy and efficiency of bridge damage identification,a novel data-driven damage identification method was proposed.First,convolutional autoencoder(CAE)was used to extract key features from the acceleration signal of the bridge structure through data reconstruction.The extreme gradient boosting tree(XGBoost)was then used to perform analysis on the feature data to achieve damage detection with high accuracy and high performance.The proposed method was applied in a numerical simulation study on a three-span continuous girder and further validated experimentally on a scaled model of a cable-stayed bridge.The numerical simulation results show that the identification errors remain within 2.9%for six single-damage cases and within 3.1%for four double-damage cases.The experimental validation results demonstrate that when the tension in a single cable of the cable-stayed bridge decreases by 20%,the method accurately identifies damage at different cable locations using only sensors installed on the main girder,achieving identification accuracies above 95.8%in all cases.The proposed method shows high identification accuracy and generalization ability across various damage scenarios.展开更多
Conical picks are important tools for rock mechanical excavation.Mean cutting force(MCF)of conical pick determines the suitability of the target rock for mechanical excavation.Accurate evaluation of MCF is important f...Conical picks are important tools for rock mechanical excavation.Mean cutting force(MCF)of conical pick determines the suitability of the target rock for mechanical excavation.Accurate evaluation of MCF is important for pick design and rock cutting.This study proposed hybrid methods composed of boosting trees and Bayesian optimization(BO)for accurate evaluation of MCF.220 datasets including uniaxial compression strength,tensile strength,tip angle(θ),attack angle,and cutting depth,were collected.Four boosting trees were developed based on the database to predict MCF.BO optimized the hyper-parameters of these boosting trees.Model evaluation suggested that the proposed hybrid models outperformed many commonly utilized machine learning models.The hybrid model composed of BO and categorical boosting(BO-CatBoost)was the best.Its outstanding performance was attributed to its advantages in dealing with categorical features(θincluded 6 types of angles and could be considered as categorical features).A graphical user interface was developed to facilitate the application of BO-CatBoost for the estimation of MCF.Moreover,the influences of the input parameters on the model and their relationship with MCF were analyzed.Whenθincreased from 80°to 90°,it had a significant contribution to the increase of MCF.展开更多
BACKGROUND Development of distant metastasis(DM)is a major concern during treatment of nasopharyngeal carcinoma(NPC).However,studies have demonstrated im-proved distant control and survival in patients with advanced N...BACKGROUND Development of distant metastasis(DM)is a major concern during treatment of nasopharyngeal carcinoma(NPC).However,studies have demonstrated im-proved distant control and survival in patients with advanced NPC with the addition of chemotherapy to concomitant chemoradiotherapy.Therefore,precise prediction of metastasis in patients with NPC is crucial.AIM To develop a predictive model for metastasis in NPC using detailed magnetic resonance imaging(MRI)reports.METHODS This retrospective study included 792 patients with non-distant metastatic NPC.A total of 469 imaging variables were obtained from detailed MRI reports.Data were stratified and randomly split into training(50%)and testing sets.Gradient boosting tree(GBT)models were built and used to select variables for predicting DM.A full model comprising all variables and a reduced model with the top-five variables were built.Model performance was assessed by area under the curve(AUC).RESULTS Among the 792 patients,94 developed DM during follow-up.The number of metastatic cervical nodes(30.9%),tumor invasion in the posterior half of the nasal cavity(9.7%),two sides of the pharyngeal recess(6.2%),tubal torus(3.3%),and single side of the parapharyngeal space(2.7%)were the top-five contributors for predicting DM,based on their relative importance in GBT models.The testing AUC of the full model was 0.75(95%confidence interval[CI]:0.69-0.82).The testing AUC of the reduced model was 0.75(95%CI:0.68-0.82).For the whole dataset,the full(AUC=0.76,95%CI:0.72-0.82)and reduced models(AUC=0.76,95%CI:0.71-0.81)outperformed the tumor node-staging system(AUC=0.67,95%CI:0.61-0.73).CONCLUSION The GBT model outperformed the tumor node-staging system in predicting metastasis in NPC.The number of metastatic cervical nodes was identified as the principal contributing variable.展开更多
During the COVID-19 pandemic,the treatment of aortic dissection has faced additional challenges.The necessary medical resources are in serious shortage,and the preoperative waiting time has been significantly prolonge...During the COVID-19 pandemic,the treatment of aortic dissection has faced additional challenges.The necessary medical resources are in serious shortage,and the preoperative waiting time has been significantly prolonged due to the requirement to test for COVID-19 infection.In this work,we focus on the risk prediction of aortic dissection surgery under the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic.A general scheme of medical data processing is proposed,which includes five modules,namely problem definition,data preprocessing,data mining,result analysis,and knowledge application.Based on effective data preprocessing,feature analysis and boosting trees,our proposed fusion decision model can obtain 100%accuracy for early postoperative mortality prediction,which outperforms machine learning methods based on a single model such as LightGBM,XGBoost,and CatBoost.The results reveal the critical factors related to the postoperative mortality of aortic dissection,which can provide a theoretical basis for the formulation of clinical operation plans and help to effectively avoid risks in advance.展开更多
This paper aims to design an optimizer followed by a Kawahara filter for optimal classification and prediction of employees’performance.The algorithm starts by processing data by a modified K-means technique as a hie...This paper aims to design an optimizer followed by a Kawahara filter for optimal classification and prediction of employees’performance.The algorithm starts by processing data by a modified K-means technique as a hierarchical clustering method to quickly obtain the best features of employees to reach their best performance.The work of this paper consists of two parts.The first part is based on collecting data of employees to calculate and illustrate the performance of each employee.The second part is based on the classification and prediction techniques of the employee performance.This model is designed to help companies in their decisions about the employees’performance.The classification and prediction algorithms use the Gradient Boosting Tree classifier to classify and predict the features.Results of the paper give the percentage of employees which are expected to leave the company after predicting their performance for the coming years.Results also show that the Grasshopper Optimization,followed by“KF”with the Gradient Boosting Tree as classifier and predictor,is characterized by a high accuracy.The proposed algorithm is compared with other known techniques where our results are fund to be superior.展开更多
Traditional 3Ni weathering steel cannot completely meet the requirements for offshore engineering development,resulting in the design of novel 3Ni steel with the addition of microalloy elements such as Mn or Nb for st...Traditional 3Ni weathering steel cannot completely meet the requirements for offshore engineering development,resulting in the design of novel 3Ni steel with the addition of microalloy elements such as Mn or Nb for strength enhancement becoming a trend.The stress-assisted corrosion behavior of a novel designed high-strength 3Ni steel was investigated in the current study using the corrosion big data method.The information on the corrosion process was recorded using the galvanic corrosion current monitoring method.The gradi-ent boosting decision tree(GBDT)machine learning method was used to mine the corrosion mechanism,and the importance of the struc-ture factor was investigated.Field exposure tests were conducted to verify the calculated results using the GBDT method.Results indic-ated that the GBDT method can be effectively used to study the influence of structural factors on the corrosion process of 3Ni steel.Dif-ferent mechanisms for the addition of Mn and Cu to the stress-assisted corrosion of 3Ni steel suggested that Mn and Cu have no obvious effect on the corrosion rate of non-stressed 3Ni steel during the early stage of corrosion.When the corrosion reached a stable state,the in-crease in Mn element content increased the corrosion rate of 3Ni steel,while Cu reduced this rate.In the presence of stress,the increase in Mn element content and Cu addition can inhibit the corrosion process.The corrosion law of outdoor-exposed 3Ni steel is consistent with the law based on corrosion big data technology,verifying the reliability of the big data evaluation method and data prediction model selection.展开更多
The Darjeeling Himalayan region,characterized by its complex topography and vulnerability to multiple environmental hazards,faces significant challenges including landslides,earthquakes,flash floods,and soil loss that...The Darjeeling Himalayan region,characterized by its complex topography and vulnerability to multiple environmental hazards,faces significant challenges including landslides,earthquakes,flash floods,and soil loss that critically threaten ecosystem stability.Among these challenges,soil erosion emerges as a silent disaster-a gradual yet relentless process whose impacts accumulate over time,progressively degrading landscape integrity and disrupting ecological sustainability.Unlike catastrophic events with immediate visibility,soil erosion’s most devastating consequences often manifest decades later through diminished agricultural productivity,habitat fragmentation,and irreversible biodiversity loss.This study developed a scalable predictive framework employing Random Forest(RF)and Gradient Boosting Tree(GBT)machine learning models to assess and map soil erosion susceptibility across the region.A comprehensive geo-database was developed incorporating 11 erosion triggering factors:slope,elevation,rainfall,drainage density,topographic wetness index,normalized difference vegetation index,curvature,soil texture,land use,geology,and aspect.A total of 2,483 historical soil erosion locations were identified and randomly divided into two sets:70%for model building and 30%for validation purposes.The models revealed distinct spatial patterns of erosion risks,with GBT classifying 60.50%of the area as very low susceptibility,while RF identified 28.92%in this category.Notable differences emerged in high-risk zone identification,with GBT highlighting 7.42%and RF indicating 2.21%as very high erosion susceptibility areas.Both models demonstrated robust predictive capabilities,with GBT achieving 80.77%accuracy and 0.975 AUC,slightly outperforming RF’s 79.67%accuracy and 0.972 AUC.Analysis of predictor variables identified elevation,slope,rainfall and NDVI as the primary factors influencing erosion susceptibility,highlighting the complex interrelationship between geo-environmental factors and erosion processes.This research offers a strategic framework for targeted conservation and sustainable land management in the fragile Himalayan region,providing valuable insights to help policymakers implement effective soil erosion mitigation strategies and support long-term environmental sustainability.展开更多
To investigate the travel time prediction method of the freeway, a model based on the gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) is proposed. Eleven variables (namely, travel time in current period T i , traffic flow in c...To investigate the travel time prediction method of the freeway, a model based on the gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) is proposed. Eleven variables (namely, travel time in current period T i , traffic flow in current period Q i , speed in current period V i , density in current period K i , the number of vehicles in current period N i , occupancy in current period R i , traffic state parameter in current period X i , travel time in previous time period T i -1 , etc.) are selected to predict the travel time for 10 min ahead in the proposed model. Data obtained from VISSIM simulation is used to train and test the model. The results demonstrate that the prediction error of the GBDT model is smaller than those of the back propagation (BP) neural network model and the support vector machine (SVM) model. Travel time in current period T i is the most important variable among all variables in the GBDT model. The GBDT model can produce more accurate prediction results and mine the hidden nonlinear relationships deeply between variables and the predicted travel time.展开更多
Accurate prediction ofmonthly oil and gas production is essential for oil enterprises tomake reasonable production plans,avoid blind investment and realize sustainable development.Traditional oil well production trend...Accurate prediction ofmonthly oil and gas production is essential for oil enterprises tomake reasonable production plans,avoid blind investment and realize sustainable development.Traditional oil well production trend prediction methods are based on years of oil field production experience and expertise,and the application conditions are very demanding.With the rapid development of artificial intelligence technology,big data analysis methods are gradually applied in various sub-fields of the oil and gas reservoir development.Based on the data-driven artificial intelligence algorithmGradient BoostingDecision Tree(GBDT),this paper predicts the initial single-layer production by considering geological data,fluid PVT data and well data.The results show that the GBDT algorithm prediction model has great accuracy,significantly improving efficiency and strong universal applicability.The GBDTmethod trained in this paper can predict production,which is helpful for well site optimization,perforation layer optimization and engineering parameter optimization and has guiding significance for oilfield development.展开更多
This study introduces and evaluates a novel artificial hummingbird algorithm-optimised boosted tree(AHAboosted)model for predicting the dynamic modulus(E*)of hot mix asphalt concrete.Using a substantial dataset from N...This study introduces and evaluates a novel artificial hummingbird algorithm-optimised boosted tree(AHAboosted)model for predicting the dynamic modulus(E*)of hot mix asphalt concrete.Using a substantial dataset from NCHRP Report-547,the model was trained and rigorously tested.Performance metrics,specifically RMSE,MAE,and R2,were employed to assess the model's predictive accuracy,robustness,and generalisability.When benchmarked against well-established models like support vector machines(SVM)and gaussian process regression(GPR),the AHA-boosted model demonstrated enhanced performance.It achieved R2 values of 0.997 in training and 0.974 in testing,using the traditional Witczak NCHRP 1-40D model inputs.Incorporating features such as test temperature,frequency,and asphalt content led to a 1.23%increase in the test R2,signifying an improvement in the model's accuracy.The study also explored feature importance and sensitivity through SHAP and permutation importance plots,highlighting binder complex modulus|G*|as a key predictor.Although the AHA-boosted model shows promise,a slight decrease in R2 from training to testing indicates a need for further validation.Overall,this study confirms the AHA-boosted model as a highly accurate and robust tool for predicting the dynamic modulus of hot mix asphalt concrete,making it a valuable asset for pavement engineering.展开更多
The uniaxial compressive strength(UCS)of rock is an essential property of rock material in different relevant applications,such as rock slope,tunnel construction,and foundation.It takes enormous time and effort to obt...The uniaxial compressive strength(UCS)of rock is an essential property of rock material in different relevant applications,such as rock slope,tunnel construction,and foundation.It takes enormous time and effort to obtain the UCS values directly in the laboratory.Accordingly,an indirect determination of UCS through conducting several rock index tests that are easy and fast to carry out is of interest and importance.This study presents powerful boosting trees evaluation framework,i.e.,adaptive boosting machine,extreme gradient boosting machine(XGBoost),and category gradient boosting machine,for estimating the UCS of sandstone.Schmidt hammer rebound number,P-wave velocity,and point load index were chosen as considered factors to forecast UCS values of sandstone samples.Taylor diagrams and five regression metrics,including coefficient of determination(R2),root mean square error,mean absolute error,variance account for,and A-20 index,were used to evaluate and compare the performance of these boosting trees.The results showed that the proposed boosting trees are able to provide a high level of prediction capacity for the prepared database.In particular,itwas worth noting that XGBoost is the best model to predict sandstone strength and it achieved 0.999 training R^(2) and 0.958 testing R^(2).The proposed model had more outstanding capability than neural network with optimization techniques during training and testing phases.The performed variable importance analysis reveals that the point load index has a significant influence on predicting UCS of sandstone.展开更多
The effects of the built environment factors on urban vitality have attracted wide attention in the urban planning fields in recent years,but few studies have considered the variables’relative importance and their no...The effects of the built environment factors on urban vitality have attracted wide attention in the urban planning fields in recent years,but few studies have considered the variables’relative importance and their nonlinear effects on urban vitality.Taking a Chinese metropolis—Hangzhou as a case study,this study applied the gradient boosting decision tree(GBDT)model to explore the nonlinear effects of the 5D factors of the urban built environment on urban social vitality and economic vitality and the importance of variables.The results show that the GBDT model has better goodness of fit than the traditional ordinary least squares(OLS)regression in the urban vitality models.The urban built environment plays an important role in affecting urban vitality,while built environment designs witness the most important effect.Specifically,the density of shopping facilities,medical facilities,and road networks are the most important factors affecting urban social vitality,while road network density,destination accessibility,and population density play the most important roles in affecting urban economic vitality.Finally,the urban built environment factors have nonlinear threshold effects on both urban economic and social vitality in Hangzhou,with differing nonlinear response patterns observed between social and economic dimensions.展开更多
The prediction of power grid faults based on meteorological factors is of great significance to reduce economic losses caused by power grid faults. However, the existing methods fail to effectively extract key feature...The prediction of power grid faults based on meteorological factors is of great significance to reduce economic losses caused by power grid faults. However, the existing methods fail to effectively extract key features and accurately predict fault types due to the complexity of meteorological factors and their nonlinear relationships. In response to these challenges, we propose the Feature-Enhanced XGBoost power grid fault prediction method (FE-XGBoost). Specifically, we first combine the gradient boosting decision tree and recursive feature elimination method to extract essential features from meteorological data. Then, we incorporate a piecewise linear chaotic map to enhance the optimization accuracy of the sparrow search algorithm. Finally, we construct an XGBoost-based model for the classification prediction of power grid meteorological faults and optimize the hyperparameters such as the optimal tree depth, optimal learning rate, and optimal number of iterations using an enhanced sparrow search algorithm. Experimental results demonstrate that our method outperforms the baseline models in predicting power grid faults accurately.展开更多
Understanding the impact of meteorological and topographical factors on snow cover fraction(SCF)is crucial for water resource management in the Qilian Mountains(QLM),China.However,there is still a lack of adequate qua...Understanding the impact of meteorological and topographical factors on snow cover fraction(SCF)is crucial for water resource management in the Qilian Mountains(QLM),China.However,there is still a lack of adequate quantitative analysis of the impact of these factors.This study investigated the spatiotemporal characteristics and trends of SCF in the QLM based on the cloud-removed Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer(MODIS)SCF dataset during 2000-2021 and conducted a quantitative analysis of the drivers using a histogram-based gradient boosting regression tree(HGBRT)model.The results indicated that the monthly distribution of SCF exhibited a bimodal pattern.The SCF showed a pattern of higher values in the western regions and lower values in the eastern regions.Overall,the SCF showed a decreasing trend during 2000-2021.The decrease in SCF occurred at higher elevations,while an increase was observed at lower elevations.At the annual scale,the SCF showed a downward trend in the western regions affected by westerly(52.84%of the QLM).However,the opposite trend was observed in the eastern regions affected by monsoon(45.73%of the QLM).The SCF displayed broadly similar spatial patterns in autumn and winter,with a significant decrease in the western regions and a slight increase in the central and eastern regions.The effect of spring SCF on spring surface runoff was more pronounced than that of winter SCF.Furthermore,compared with meteorological factors,a variation of 46.53%in spring surface runoff can be attributed to changes in spring SCF.At the annual scale,temperature and relative humidity were the most important drivers of SCF change.An increase in temperature exceeding 0.04°C/a was observed to result in a decline in SCF,with a maximum decrease of 0.22%/a.An increase in relative humidity of more than 0.02%/a stabilized the rise in SCF(about 0.06%/a).The impacts of slope and aspect were found to be minimal.At the seasonal scale,the primary factors impacting SCF change varied.In spring,precipitation and wind speed emerged as the primary drivers.In autumn,precipitation and temperature were identified as the primary drivers.In winter,relative humidity and precipitation were the most important drivers.In contrast to the other seasons,slope exerted the strongest influence on SCF change in summer.This study facilitates a detailed quantitative description of SCF change in the QLM,enhancing the effectiveness of watershed water resource management and ecological conservation efforts in this region.展开更多
In order to improve the accuracy of target intent recognition,a recognition method based on XGBoost(eXtreme Gradient Boosting)decision tree is proposed.This paper adopts relevant data and program of python to calculat...In order to improve the accuracy of target intent recognition,a recognition method based on XGBoost(eXtreme Gradient Boosting)decision tree is proposed.This paper adopts relevant data and program of python to calculate the probability of tactical intention.Then the sequence intention probability is obtained by applying Dempster-Shafer rule of combination.To verify the accuracy of recognition results,we compare the experimental results of this paper with the results in the literatures.The experiment shows that the probability of tactical intention recognition through this method is improved,so this method is feasible.展开更多
It is easy for teenagers to view pornographic pictures on social networks. Many researchers have studied the detection of real pornographic pictures, but there are few studies on those that are artificial. In this wor...It is easy for teenagers to view pornographic pictures on social networks. Many researchers have studied the detection of real pornographic pictures, but there are few studies on those that are artificial. In this work, we studied how to detect artificial pornographic pictures, especially when they are on social networks. The whole detection process can be divided into two stages： feature selection and picture detection. In the feature selection stage, seven types of features that favour picture detection were selected. In the picture detection stage, three steps were included. 1） In order to alleviate the imbalance in the number of artificial pornographic pictures and normal ones, the training dataset of artificial pornographic pictures was expanded. Therefore, the features which were extracted from the training dataset can also be expanded too. 2） In order to reduce the time of feature extraction, a fast method which extracted features based on the proportionally scaled picture rather than the original one was proposed. 3） Three tree models were compared and a gradient boost decision tree （GBDT） was selected for the final picture detection. Three sets of experimental results show that the proposed method can achieve better recognition precision and drastically reduce the time cost of the method.展开更多
红绿灯位置是道路上行人和车辆的交会点,极大影响着道路结构和交通运行,在城市路网中起着重要的枢纽作用。针对目前红绿灯位置检测方法准确率不够高、覆盖面区域不完整等问题,提出了一种基于轨迹数据的交通灯位置检测方法。该方法基于聚...红绿灯位置是道路上行人和车辆的交会点,极大影响着道路结构和交通运行,在城市路网中起着重要的枢纽作用。针对目前红绿灯位置检测方法准确率不够高、覆盖面区域不完整等问题,提出了一种基于轨迹数据的交通灯位置检测方法。该方法基于聚类-合并-分类-合并的四级模型,首先从清理过的轨迹数据中提取隐含的车辆行驶特征,再采用具有噪声的基于密度的聚类(density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise,DBSCAN)方法得到转向和停驻两类聚类中心,对这两类聚类中心进行合并,获得红绿灯位置的候选位置;根据候选位置一定范围内的轨迹点提取该区域的车流行驶特征,然后采用梯度提升决策树(gradient boosting decision tree,GBDT)算法进行分类,最后将候选位置的正样本融合,以检测红绿灯位置。采用成都市浮动车GPS轨迹数据进行实验,检测结果的F1分数为0.947,效果优于常规的机器学习方法。实验结果表明,基于GPS轨迹数据,采用提出的四层模型能有效检测出红绿灯的位置,该模型可被用于城市大范围红绿灯位置信息的快速获取和更新。展开更多
Sustainable intensification of cultivated land use(SICLU) and large-scale operations(LSO) are widely acknowledged strategies for enhancing agricultural performance.However,the existing literature has faced challenges ...Sustainable intensification of cultivated land use(SICLU) and large-scale operations(LSO) are widely acknowledged strategies for enhancing agricultural performance.However,the existing literature has faced challenges in precisely defining SICLU and constructing comprehensive indicators,which has hindered the exploration of factors influencing LSO within the SICLU framework.To address this gap,we integrated self-efficacy theory into the design of an index framework for evaluating SICLU.We subsequently employed econometric models to analyze the significant factors that impact LSO.Our findings reveal that SICLU can be divided into four key dimensions:intensive management,efficient output,resource conservation,and ecological environment optimization.Furthermore,it is crucial to incorporate belief-based cognitive factors into the index system,as farmers’ understanding of fertilizer and pesticide application significantly influences their willingness to engage in LSO.Moreover,we identify grain market turnover as the most influential factor in promoting LSO,with single-factor contribution rates reaching 70.9% for cultivated land transfer willingness and 62.5% for the total planting areas.Interestingly,unlike irrigation and agricultural machinery inputs,increased labor inputs correspond to larger planting areas for farmers.This trend may be attributed to reduced labor availability because of rural labor migration,whereas the reduction in irrigation and agricultural input is contingent on innovations in production practices and the transfer of cultivated land management rights.Importantly,SICLU dynamically influences LSO,with each index related to SICLU having an optimal range that fosters LSO.These insights offer valuable guidance for policymakers,emphasizing farmers as their central focus,with the adjustment of input and output factors as a means to achieve LSO as the ultimate goal.In conclusion,we propose research avenues for further enriching the SICLU framework to ensure that it aligns with the specific characteristics of regional agricultural development.展开更多
Hydraulic fracturing is an effective technology for hydrocarbon extraction from unconventional shale and tight gas reservoirs.A potential risk of hydraulic fracturing is the upward migration of stray gas from the deep...Hydraulic fracturing is an effective technology for hydrocarbon extraction from unconventional shale and tight gas reservoirs.A potential risk of hydraulic fracturing is the upward migration of stray gas from the deep subsurface to shallow aquifers.The stray gas can dissolve in groundwater leading to chemical and biological reactions,which could negatively affect groundwater quality and contribute to atmospheric emissions.The knowledge oflight hydrocarbon solubility in the aqueous environment is essential for the numerical modelling offlow and transport in the subsurface.Herein,we compiled a database containing 2129experimental data of methane,ethane,and propane solubility in pure water and various electrolyte solutions over wide ranges of operating temperature and pressure.Two machine learning algorithms,namely regression tree(RT)and boosted regression tree(BRT)tuned with a Bayesian optimization algorithm(BO)were employed to determine the solubility of gases.The predictions were compared with the experimental data as well as four well-established thermodynamic models.Our analysis shows that the BRT-BO is sufficiently accurate,and the predicted values agree well with those obtained from the thermodynamic models.The coefficient of determination(R2)between experimental and predicted values is 0.99 and the mean squared error(MSE)is 9.97×10^(-8).The leverage statistical approach further confirmed the validity of the model developed.展开更多
Cable-stayed bridges have been widely used in high-speed railway infrastructure.The accurate determination of cable’s representative temperatures is vital during the intricate processes of design,construction,and mai...Cable-stayed bridges have been widely used in high-speed railway infrastructure.The accurate determination of cable’s representative temperatures is vital during the intricate processes of design,construction,and maintenance of cable-stayed bridges.However,the representative temperatures of stayed cables are not specified in the existing design codes.To address this issue,this study investigates the distribution of the cable temperature and determinates its representative temperature.First,an experimental investigation,spanning over a period of one year,was carried out near the bridge site to obtain the temperature data.According to the statistical analysis of the measured data,it reveals that the temperature distribution is generally uniform along the cable cross-section without significant temperature gradient.Then,based on the limited data,the Monte Carlo,the gradient boosted regression trees(GBRT),and univariate linear regression(ULR)methods are employed to predict the cable’s representative temperature throughout the service life.These methods effectively overcome the limitations of insufficient monitoring data and accurately predict the representative temperature of the cables.However,each method has its own advantages and limitations in terms of applicability and accuracy.A comprehensive evaluation of the performance of these methods is conducted,and practical recommendations are provided for their application.The proposed methods and representative temperatures provide a good basis for the operation and maintenance of in-service long-span cable-stayed bridges.展开更多
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52361165658,52378318,52078459).
文摘To enhance the accuracy and efficiency of bridge damage identification,a novel data-driven damage identification method was proposed.First,convolutional autoencoder(CAE)was used to extract key features from the acceleration signal of the bridge structure through data reconstruction.The extreme gradient boosting tree(XGBoost)was then used to perform analysis on the feature data to achieve damage detection with high accuracy and high performance.The proposed method was applied in a numerical simulation study on a three-span continuous girder and further validated experimentally on a scaled model of a cable-stayed bridge.The numerical simulation results show that the identification errors remain within 2.9%for six single-damage cases and within 3.1%for four double-damage cases.The experimental validation results demonstrate that when the tension in a single cable of the cable-stayed bridge decreases by 20%,the method accurately identifies damage at different cable locations using only sensors installed on the main girder,achieving identification accuracies above 95.8%in all cases.The proposed method shows high identification accuracy and generalization ability across various damage scenarios.
基金Project(52374153)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2023zzts0726)supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of Central South University,China。
文摘Conical picks are important tools for rock mechanical excavation.Mean cutting force(MCF)of conical pick determines the suitability of the target rock for mechanical excavation.Accurate evaluation of MCF is important for pick design and rock cutting.This study proposed hybrid methods composed of boosting trees and Bayesian optimization(BO)for accurate evaluation of MCF.220 datasets including uniaxial compression strength,tensile strength,tip angle(θ),attack angle,and cutting depth,were collected.Four boosting trees were developed based on the database to predict MCF.BO optimized the hyper-parameters of these boosting trees.Model evaluation suggested that the proposed hybrid models outperformed many commonly utilized machine learning models.The hybrid model composed of BO and categorical boosting(BO-CatBoost)was the best.Its outstanding performance was attributed to its advantages in dealing with categorical features(θincluded 6 types of angles and could be considered as categorical features).A graphical user interface was developed to facilitate the application of BO-CatBoost for the estimation of MCF.Moreover,the influences of the input parameters on the model and their relationship with MCF were analyzed.Whenθincreased from 80°to 90°,it had a significant contribution to the increase of MCF.
文摘BACKGROUND Development of distant metastasis(DM)is a major concern during treatment of nasopharyngeal carcinoma(NPC).However,studies have demonstrated im-proved distant control and survival in patients with advanced NPC with the addition of chemotherapy to concomitant chemoradiotherapy.Therefore,precise prediction of metastasis in patients with NPC is crucial.AIM To develop a predictive model for metastasis in NPC using detailed magnetic resonance imaging(MRI)reports.METHODS This retrospective study included 792 patients with non-distant metastatic NPC.A total of 469 imaging variables were obtained from detailed MRI reports.Data were stratified and randomly split into training(50%)and testing sets.Gradient boosting tree(GBT)models were built and used to select variables for predicting DM.A full model comprising all variables and a reduced model with the top-five variables were built.Model performance was assessed by area under the curve(AUC).RESULTS Among the 792 patients,94 developed DM during follow-up.The number of metastatic cervical nodes(30.9%),tumor invasion in the posterior half of the nasal cavity(9.7%),two sides of the pharyngeal recess(6.2%),tubal torus(3.3%),and single side of the parapharyngeal space(2.7%)were the top-five contributors for predicting DM,based on their relative importance in GBT models.The testing AUC of the full model was 0.75(95%confidence interval[CI]:0.69-0.82).The testing AUC of the reduced model was 0.75(95%CI:0.68-0.82).For the whole dataset,the full(AUC=0.76,95%CI:0.72-0.82)and reduced models(AUC=0.76,95%CI:0.71-0.81)outperformed the tumor node-staging system(AUC=0.67,95%CI:0.61-0.73).CONCLUSION The GBT model outperformed the tumor node-staging system in predicting metastasis in NPC.The number of metastatic cervical nodes was identified as the principal contributing variable.
基金This work was supported in part by the Key Research and Development Plan of Hunan Province under Grant 2019SK2022,author H.T,http://kjt.hunan.gov.cn/in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of Hunan under Grant 2019JJ50866,author L.T,and Grant 2020JJ4140,author Y.T,http://kjt.hunan.gov.cn/.
文摘During the COVID-19 pandemic,the treatment of aortic dissection has faced additional challenges.The necessary medical resources are in serious shortage,and the preoperative waiting time has been significantly prolonged due to the requirement to test for COVID-19 infection.In this work,we focus on the risk prediction of aortic dissection surgery under the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic.A general scheme of medical data processing is proposed,which includes five modules,namely problem definition,data preprocessing,data mining,result analysis,and knowledge application.Based on effective data preprocessing,feature analysis and boosting trees,our proposed fusion decision model can obtain 100%accuracy for early postoperative mortality prediction,which outperforms machine learning methods based on a single model such as LightGBM,XGBoost,and CatBoost.The results reveal the critical factors related to the postoperative mortality of aortic dissection,which can provide a theoretical basis for the formulation of clinical operation plans and help to effectively avoid risks in advance.
文摘This paper aims to design an optimizer followed by a Kawahara filter for optimal classification and prediction of employees’performance.The algorithm starts by processing data by a modified K-means technique as a hierarchical clustering method to quickly obtain the best features of employees to reach their best performance.The work of this paper consists of two parts.The first part is based on collecting data of employees to calculate and illustrate the performance of each employee.The second part is based on the classification and prediction techniques of the employee performance.This model is designed to help companies in their decisions about the employees’performance.The classification and prediction algorithms use the Gradient Boosting Tree classifier to classify and predict the features.Results of the paper give the percentage of employees which are expected to leave the company after predicting their performance for the coming years.Results also show that the Grasshopper Optimization,followed by“KF”with the Gradient Boosting Tree as classifier and predictor,is characterized by a high accuracy.The proposed algorithm is compared with other known techniques where our results are fund to be superior.
基金supported by the National Nat-ural Science Foundation of China(No.52203376)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2023YFB3813200).
文摘Traditional 3Ni weathering steel cannot completely meet the requirements for offshore engineering development,resulting in the design of novel 3Ni steel with the addition of microalloy elements such as Mn or Nb for strength enhancement becoming a trend.The stress-assisted corrosion behavior of a novel designed high-strength 3Ni steel was investigated in the current study using the corrosion big data method.The information on the corrosion process was recorded using the galvanic corrosion current monitoring method.The gradi-ent boosting decision tree(GBDT)machine learning method was used to mine the corrosion mechanism,and the importance of the struc-ture factor was investigated.Field exposure tests were conducted to verify the calculated results using the GBDT method.Results indic-ated that the GBDT method can be effectively used to study the influence of structural factors on the corrosion process of 3Ni steel.Dif-ferent mechanisms for the addition of Mn and Cu to the stress-assisted corrosion of 3Ni steel suggested that Mn and Cu have no obvious effect on the corrosion rate of non-stressed 3Ni steel during the early stage of corrosion.When the corrosion reached a stable state,the in-crease in Mn element content increased the corrosion rate of 3Ni steel,while Cu reduced this rate.In the presence of stress,the increase in Mn element content and Cu addition can inhibit the corrosion process.The corrosion law of outdoor-exposed 3Ni steel is consistent with the law based on corrosion big data technology,verifying the reliability of the big data evaluation method and data prediction model selection.
文摘The Darjeeling Himalayan region,characterized by its complex topography and vulnerability to multiple environmental hazards,faces significant challenges including landslides,earthquakes,flash floods,and soil loss that critically threaten ecosystem stability.Among these challenges,soil erosion emerges as a silent disaster-a gradual yet relentless process whose impacts accumulate over time,progressively degrading landscape integrity and disrupting ecological sustainability.Unlike catastrophic events with immediate visibility,soil erosion’s most devastating consequences often manifest decades later through diminished agricultural productivity,habitat fragmentation,and irreversible biodiversity loss.This study developed a scalable predictive framework employing Random Forest(RF)and Gradient Boosting Tree(GBT)machine learning models to assess and map soil erosion susceptibility across the region.A comprehensive geo-database was developed incorporating 11 erosion triggering factors:slope,elevation,rainfall,drainage density,topographic wetness index,normalized difference vegetation index,curvature,soil texture,land use,geology,and aspect.A total of 2,483 historical soil erosion locations were identified and randomly divided into two sets:70%for model building and 30%for validation purposes.The models revealed distinct spatial patterns of erosion risks,with GBT classifying 60.50%of the area as very low susceptibility,while RF identified 28.92%in this category.Notable differences emerged in high-risk zone identification,with GBT highlighting 7.42%and RF indicating 2.21%as very high erosion susceptibility areas.Both models demonstrated robust predictive capabilities,with GBT achieving 80.77%accuracy and 0.975 AUC,slightly outperforming RF’s 79.67%accuracy and 0.972 AUC.Analysis of predictor variables identified elevation,slope,rainfall and NDVI as the primary factors influencing erosion susceptibility,highlighting the complex interrelationship between geo-environmental factors and erosion processes.This research offers a strategic framework for targeted conservation and sustainable land management in the fragile Himalayan region,providing valuable insights to help policymakers implement effective soil erosion mitigation strategies and support long-term environmental sustainability.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51478114,51778136)
文摘To investigate the travel time prediction method of the freeway, a model based on the gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) is proposed. Eleven variables (namely, travel time in current period T i , traffic flow in current period Q i , speed in current period V i , density in current period K i , the number of vehicles in current period N i , occupancy in current period R i , traffic state parameter in current period X i , travel time in previous time period T i -1 , etc.) are selected to predict the travel time for 10 min ahead in the proposed model. Data obtained from VISSIM simulation is used to train and test the model. The results demonstrate that the prediction error of the GBDT model is smaller than those of the back propagation (BP) neural network model and the support vector machine (SVM) model. Travel time in current period T i is the most important variable among all variables in the GBDT model. The GBDT model can produce more accurate prediction results and mine the hidden nonlinear relationships deeply between variables and the predicted travel time.
文摘Accurate prediction ofmonthly oil and gas production is essential for oil enterprises tomake reasonable production plans,avoid blind investment and realize sustainable development.Traditional oil well production trend prediction methods are based on years of oil field production experience and expertise,and the application conditions are very demanding.With the rapid development of artificial intelligence technology,big data analysis methods are gradually applied in various sub-fields of the oil and gas reservoir development.Based on the data-driven artificial intelligence algorithmGradient BoostingDecision Tree(GBDT),this paper predicts the initial single-layer production by considering geological data,fluid PVT data and well data.The results show that the GBDT algorithm prediction model has great accuracy,significantly improving efficiency and strong universal applicability.The GBDTmethod trained in this paper can predict production,which is helpful for well site optimization,perforation layer optimization and engineering parameter optimization and has guiding significance for oilfield development.
文摘This study introduces and evaluates a novel artificial hummingbird algorithm-optimised boosted tree(AHAboosted)model for predicting the dynamic modulus(E*)of hot mix asphalt concrete.Using a substantial dataset from NCHRP Report-547,the model was trained and rigorously tested.Performance metrics,specifically RMSE,MAE,and R2,were employed to assess the model's predictive accuracy,robustness,and generalisability.When benchmarked against well-established models like support vector machines(SVM)and gaussian process regression(GPR),the AHA-boosted model demonstrated enhanced performance.It achieved R2 values of 0.997 in training and 0.974 in testing,using the traditional Witczak NCHRP 1-40D model inputs.Incorporating features such as test temperature,frequency,and asphalt content led to a 1.23%increase in the test R2,signifying an improvement in the model's accuracy.The study also explored feature importance and sensitivity through SHAP and permutation importance plots,highlighting binder complex modulus|G*|as a key predictor.Although the AHA-boosted model shows promise,a slight decrease in R2 from training to testing indicates a need for further validation.Overall,this study confirms the AHA-boosted model as a highly accurate and robust tool for predicting the dynamic modulus of hot mix asphalt concrete,making it a valuable asset for pavement engineering.
基金funded by Act 211 Government of the Russian Federation,Contract No.02.A03.21.0011.
文摘The uniaxial compressive strength(UCS)of rock is an essential property of rock material in different relevant applications,such as rock slope,tunnel construction,and foundation.It takes enormous time and effort to obtain the UCS values directly in the laboratory.Accordingly,an indirect determination of UCS through conducting several rock index tests that are easy and fast to carry out is of interest and importance.This study presents powerful boosting trees evaluation framework,i.e.,adaptive boosting machine,extreme gradient boosting machine(XGBoost),and category gradient boosting machine,for estimating the UCS of sandstone.Schmidt hammer rebound number,P-wave velocity,and point load index were chosen as considered factors to forecast UCS values of sandstone samples.Taylor diagrams and five regression metrics,including coefficient of determination(R2),root mean square error,mean absolute error,variance account for,and A-20 index,were used to evaluate and compare the performance of these boosting trees.The results showed that the proposed boosting trees are able to provide a high level of prediction capacity for the prepared database.In particular,itwas worth noting that XGBoost is the best model to predict sandstone strength and it achieved 0.999 training R^(2) and 0.958 testing R^(2).The proposed model had more outstanding capability than neural network with optimization techniques during training and testing phases.The performed variable importance analysis reveals that the point load index has a significant influence on predicting UCS of sandstone.
基金National Social Science Foundation of China,No.20FJLB025National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.42471207,No.42471203Zhejiang Province Philosophy and Social Science Planning,Zhijiang Youth Special Project,24ZJQN118Y。
文摘The effects of the built environment factors on urban vitality have attracted wide attention in the urban planning fields in recent years,but few studies have considered the variables’relative importance and their nonlinear effects on urban vitality.Taking a Chinese metropolis—Hangzhou as a case study,this study applied the gradient boosting decision tree(GBDT)model to explore the nonlinear effects of the 5D factors of the urban built environment on urban social vitality and economic vitality and the importance of variables.The results show that the GBDT model has better goodness of fit than the traditional ordinary least squares(OLS)regression in the urban vitality models.The urban built environment plays an important role in affecting urban vitality,while built environment designs witness the most important effect.Specifically,the density of shopping facilities,medical facilities,and road networks are the most important factors affecting urban social vitality,while road network density,destination accessibility,and population density play the most important roles in affecting urban economic vitality.Finally,the urban built environment factors have nonlinear threshold effects on both urban economic and social vitality in Hangzhou,with differing nonlinear response patterns observed between social and economic dimensions.
基金supported by the Science and Technology Project of State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co.,Ltd.(Research on Power Meteorology Digitalization Application for Future Climate Scenarios and New Energy Operation Risks,J2023076).
文摘The prediction of power grid faults based on meteorological factors is of great significance to reduce economic losses caused by power grid faults. However, the existing methods fail to effectively extract key features and accurately predict fault types due to the complexity of meteorological factors and their nonlinear relationships. In response to these challenges, we propose the Feature-Enhanced XGBoost power grid fault prediction method (FE-XGBoost). Specifically, we first combine the gradient boosting decision tree and recursive feature elimination method to extract essential features from meteorological data. Then, we incorporate a piecewise linear chaotic map to enhance the optimization accuracy of the sparrow search algorithm. Finally, we construct an XGBoost-based model for the classification prediction of power grid meteorological faults and optimize the hyperparameters such as the optimal tree depth, optimal learning rate, and optimal number of iterations using an enhanced sparrow search algorithm. Experimental results demonstrate that our method outperforms the baseline models in predicting power grid faults accurately.
基金funded by the Key Research and Development Project for Ecological Civilization Construction in Gansu Province(24YFFA010)the Gansu Province Major Science and Technology Project(22ZD6FA005)+2 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Gansu Province(24JRRA091)the Shanxi Province Basic Research Program(Free Exploration Category)Youth Project(202403021212316)the Science and Technology Innovation Program for Universities in Shanxi Province(2024L327)。
文摘Understanding the impact of meteorological and topographical factors on snow cover fraction(SCF)is crucial for water resource management in the Qilian Mountains(QLM),China.However,there is still a lack of adequate quantitative analysis of the impact of these factors.This study investigated the spatiotemporal characteristics and trends of SCF in the QLM based on the cloud-removed Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer(MODIS)SCF dataset during 2000-2021 and conducted a quantitative analysis of the drivers using a histogram-based gradient boosting regression tree(HGBRT)model.The results indicated that the monthly distribution of SCF exhibited a bimodal pattern.The SCF showed a pattern of higher values in the western regions and lower values in the eastern regions.Overall,the SCF showed a decreasing trend during 2000-2021.The decrease in SCF occurred at higher elevations,while an increase was observed at lower elevations.At the annual scale,the SCF showed a downward trend in the western regions affected by westerly(52.84%of the QLM).However,the opposite trend was observed in the eastern regions affected by monsoon(45.73%of the QLM).The SCF displayed broadly similar spatial patterns in autumn and winter,with a significant decrease in the western regions and a slight increase in the central and eastern regions.The effect of spring SCF on spring surface runoff was more pronounced than that of winter SCF.Furthermore,compared with meteorological factors,a variation of 46.53%in spring surface runoff can be attributed to changes in spring SCF.At the annual scale,temperature and relative humidity were the most important drivers of SCF change.An increase in temperature exceeding 0.04°C/a was observed to result in a decline in SCF,with a maximum decrease of 0.22%/a.An increase in relative humidity of more than 0.02%/a stabilized the rise in SCF(about 0.06%/a).The impacts of slope and aspect were found to be minimal.At the seasonal scale,the primary factors impacting SCF change varied.In spring,precipitation and wind speed emerged as the primary drivers.In autumn,precipitation and temperature were identified as the primary drivers.In winter,relative humidity and precipitation were the most important drivers.In contrast to the other seasons,slope exerted the strongest influence on SCF change in summer.This study facilitates a detailed quantitative description of SCF change in the QLM,enhancing the effectiveness of watershed water resource management and ecological conservation efforts in this region.
文摘In order to improve the accuracy of target intent recognition,a recognition method based on XGBoost(eXtreme Gradient Boosting)decision tree is proposed.This paper adopts relevant data and program of python to calculate the probability of tactical intention.Then the sequence intention probability is obtained by applying Dempster-Shafer rule of combination.To verify the accuracy of recognition results,we compare the experimental results of this paper with the results in the literatures.The experiment shows that the probability of tactical intention recognition through this method is improved,so this method is feasible.
基金Projects(61573380,61303185) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProjects(2016M592450,2017M612585) supported by the China Postdoctoral Science FoundationProjects(2016JJ4119,2017JJ3416) supported by the Hunan Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘It is easy for teenagers to view pornographic pictures on social networks. Many researchers have studied the detection of real pornographic pictures, but there are few studies on those that are artificial. In this work, we studied how to detect artificial pornographic pictures, especially when they are on social networks. The whole detection process can be divided into two stages： feature selection and picture detection. In the feature selection stage, seven types of features that favour picture detection were selected. In the picture detection stage, three steps were included. 1） In order to alleviate the imbalance in the number of artificial pornographic pictures and normal ones, the training dataset of artificial pornographic pictures was expanded. Therefore, the features which were extracted from the training dataset can also be expanded too. 2） In order to reduce the time of feature extraction, a fast method which extracted features based on the proportionally scaled picture rather than the original one was proposed. 3） Three tree models were compared and a gradient boost decision tree （GBDT） was selected for the final picture detection. Three sets of experimental results show that the proposed method can achieve better recognition precision and drastically reduce the time cost of the method.
文摘红绿灯位置是道路上行人和车辆的交会点,极大影响着道路结构和交通运行,在城市路网中起着重要的枢纽作用。针对目前红绿灯位置检测方法准确率不够高、覆盖面区域不完整等问题,提出了一种基于轨迹数据的交通灯位置检测方法。该方法基于聚类-合并-分类-合并的四级模型,首先从清理过的轨迹数据中提取隐含的车辆行驶特征,再采用具有噪声的基于密度的聚类(density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise,DBSCAN)方法得到转向和停驻两类聚类中心,对这两类聚类中心进行合并,获得红绿灯位置的候选位置;根据候选位置一定范围内的轨迹点提取该区域的车流行驶特征,然后采用梯度提升决策树(gradient boosting decision tree,GBDT)算法进行分类,最后将候选位置的正样本融合,以检测红绿灯位置。采用成都市浮动车GPS轨迹数据进行实验,检测结果的F1分数为0.947,效果优于常规的机器学习方法。实验结果表明,基于GPS轨迹数据,采用提出的四层模型能有效检测出红绿灯的位置,该模型可被用于城市大范围红绿灯位置信息的快速获取和更新。
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42071226,41671176)Taishan Scholars Youth Expert Support Plan of Shandong Province(No.TSQN202306183)。
文摘Sustainable intensification of cultivated land use(SICLU) and large-scale operations(LSO) are widely acknowledged strategies for enhancing agricultural performance.However,the existing literature has faced challenges in precisely defining SICLU and constructing comprehensive indicators,which has hindered the exploration of factors influencing LSO within the SICLU framework.To address this gap,we integrated self-efficacy theory into the design of an index framework for evaluating SICLU.We subsequently employed econometric models to analyze the significant factors that impact LSO.Our findings reveal that SICLU can be divided into four key dimensions:intensive management,efficient output,resource conservation,and ecological environment optimization.Furthermore,it is crucial to incorporate belief-based cognitive factors into the index system,as farmers’ understanding of fertilizer and pesticide application significantly influences their willingness to engage in LSO.Moreover,we identify grain market turnover as the most influential factor in promoting LSO,with single-factor contribution rates reaching 70.9% for cultivated land transfer willingness and 62.5% for the total planting areas.Interestingly,unlike irrigation and agricultural machinery inputs,increased labor inputs correspond to larger planting areas for farmers.This trend may be attributed to reduced labor availability because of rural labor migration,whereas the reduction in irrigation and agricultural input is contingent on innovations in production practices and the transfer of cultivated land management rights.Importantly,SICLU dynamically influences LSO,with each index related to SICLU having an optimal range that fosters LSO.These insights offer valuable guidance for policymakers,emphasizing farmers as their central focus,with the adjustment of input and output factors as a means to achieve LSO as the ultimate goal.In conclusion,we propose research avenues for further enriching the SICLU framework to ensure that it aligns with the specific characteristics of regional agricultural development.
文摘Hydraulic fracturing is an effective technology for hydrocarbon extraction from unconventional shale and tight gas reservoirs.A potential risk of hydraulic fracturing is the upward migration of stray gas from the deep subsurface to shallow aquifers.The stray gas can dissolve in groundwater leading to chemical and biological reactions,which could negatively affect groundwater quality and contribute to atmospheric emissions.The knowledge oflight hydrocarbon solubility in the aqueous environment is essential for the numerical modelling offlow and transport in the subsurface.Herein,we compiled a database containing 2129experimental data of methane,ethane,and propane solubility in pure water and various electrolyte solutions over wide ranges of operating temperature and pressure.Two machine learning algorithms,namely regression tree(RT)and boosted regression tree(BRT)tuned with a Bayesian optimization algorithm(BO)were employed to determine the solubility of gases.The predictions were compared with the experimental data as well as four well-established thermodynamic models.Our analysis shows that the BRT-BO is sufficiently accurate,and the predicted values agree well with those obtained from the thermodynamic models.The coefficient of determination(R2)between experimental and predicted values is 0.99 and the mean squared error(MSE)is 9.97×10^(-8).The leverage statistical approach further confirmed the validity of the model developed.
基金Project(2017G006-N)supported by the Project of Science and Technology Research and Development Program of China Railway Corporation。
文摘Cable-stayed bridges have been widely used in high-speed railway infrastructure.The accurate determination of cable’s representative temperatures is vital during the intricate processes of design,construction,and maintenance of cable-stayed bridges.However,the representative temperatures of stayed cables are not specified in the existing design codes.To address this issue,this study investigates the distribution of the cable temperature and determinates its representative temperature.First,an experimental investigation,spanning over a period of one year,was carried out near the bridge site to obtain the temperature data.According to the statistical analysis of the measured data,it reveals that the temperature distribution is generally uniform along the cable cross-section without significant temperature gradient.Then,based on the limited data,the Monte Carlo,the gradient boosted regression trees(GBRT),and univariate linear regression(ULR)methods are employed to predict the cable’s representative temperature throughout the service life.These methods effectively overcome the limitations of insufficient monitoring data and accurately predict the representative temperature of the cables.However,each method has its own advantages and limitations in terms of applicability and accuracy.A comprehensive evaluation of the performance of these methods is conducted,and practical recommendations are provided for their application.The proposed methods and representative temperatures provide a good basis for the operation and maintenance of in-service long-span cable-stayed bridges.
