Permutation polynomials is a hot topic in finite fields,they have many applications in different areas.Permutation binomials and trinomials over finite fields were studied recently.In thispaper,by using a powerful lem...Permutation polynomials is a hot topic in finite fields,they have many applications in different areas.Permutation binomials and trinomials over finite fields were studied recently.In thispaper,by using a powerful lemma given by Zieve and some degree 5 and 6 permutation polynomials over Fq,we construct somepermutation binomials over Fqm.展开更多
n-to-1 mappings have many applications in combinatorial design,coding theory and cryptography.In this paper,by using piecewise method and monomials on subsets of q+1-th roots of unity,we show a class of n-to-1 binomia...n-to-1 mappings have many applications in combinatorial design,coding theory and cryptography.In this paper,by using piecewise method and monomials on subsets of q+1-th roots of unity,we show a class of n-to-1 binomials having the form x^(r)(a+x^(s(q-1)))over F_(q^(2)).展开更多
The twisted T -adic exponential sum associated with xd + λx is studied. If λ = 0, then an explicitarithmetic polygon is proved to be the Newton polygon of the C-function of the twisted T-adic exponential sum.It give...The twisted T -adic exponential sum associated with xd + λx is studied. If λ = 0, then an explicitarithmetic polygon is proved to be the Newton polygon of the C-function of the twisted T-adic exponential sum.It gives the Newton polygons of the L-functions of twisted p-power order exponential sums.展开更多
The central trinomial coefficient T_(n)denotes the coefficient of x^(n)in the expansion of(1+x+x^(2))^(n).We prove a congruence related to the sums of the central trinomial coefficient and the central binomial coeffic...The central trinomial coefficient T_(n)denotes the coefficient of x^(n)in the expansion of(1+x+x^(2))^(n).We prove a congruence related to the sums of the central trinomial coefficient and the central binomial coefficient,which was conjectured by Z.-W.Sun.展开更多
We evaluate some series with summands involving a single binomial coefficient(^6k 3k).For example,we prove that■Motivated by Galois theory,we introduce the so-called Duality Principle for irrational series of Ramanu...We evaluate some series with summands involving a single binomial coefficient(^6k 3k).For example,we prove that■Motivated by Galois theory,we introduce the so-called Duality Principle for irrational series of Ramanujan’s type or Zeilberger’s type,and apply it to find 26 new irrational series identities.For example,we conjecture that■where ■for any integer d≡0,1 (mod 4) with (d/k) the Kronecker symbol.展开更多
As the world grapples with increasing environmental challenges,innovative technologies are essential for promoting sustainability and accountability.This study examined the impact of environmental performance indices(...As the world grapples with increasing environmental challenges,innovative technologies are essential for promoting sustainability and accountability.This study examined the impact of environmental performance indices(EPIs)on the growth and investment trends of blockchain-based sustainability-focused companies in 15 countries(Belgium,Czechia,Denmark,Estonia,Finland,France,Germany,Italy,Norway,Poland,Sweden,Spain,Switzerland,the United Kingdom,and the United States)from Europe and America during 2010-2022.This study used the negative binomial regression model to assess the relationship between EPIs and blockchain-based sustainability-focused companies based on the data from the CrunchBase and EarthData.Results indicated that in ecosystem vitality,national terrestrial biome protection efforts were negatively correlated the formation of blockchain-based sustainability-focused companies,while global terrestrial biome protection efforts and marine protected areas had a positive impact on the formation of these companies and the number of funding rounds.In environmental health,PM2.5 exposure had a positive impact on the number of funding rounds.Conversely,pollutants such as sulfur dioxide(SO_(2))and ocean plastics deterred the formation of blockchain-based sustainability-focused companies and reduced the number of funding rounds.In climate change performance,adjusted emission growth rate for carbon dioxide(CO_(2)),adjusted emission growth rate for F-gases,and adjusted emission growth rate for black carbon had a significantly positive impact on the formation of blockchain-based sustainability-focused companies.Conversely,adjusted emission growth rate for Nitrous Oxide(N_(2)O)and projected greenhouse gas emissions in 2050 negatively affected the formation of these companies.These findings highlight the dual role of EPIs as driving factors and barriers in the development and investment of blockchain-based sustainability-focused companies in countries from Europe and America.展开更多
By using asymptotic method,we verify the existence on the slowly growing solutions to second order difference equations discussed by Ishizaki-Yanagihara’s Wiman-Valiron method and Ishizaki-Wen’s binomial series meth...By using asymptotic method,we verify the existence on the slowly growing solutions to second order difference equations discussed by Ishizaki-Yanagihara’s Wiman-Valiron method and Ishizaki-Wen’s binomial series method.The classical problem on finding conditions on the polynomial coefficients P_(j)(z)(j=0,1,2)and F(z)to guarantee that all nontrivial solutions of complex second order difference equation P_(2)(z)f(z+2)+P_(1)(z)f(z+1)+P_(0)(z)f(z)=F(z)has slowly growing solutions with order 1/2 is detected.展开更多
By using a certain hybrid-type convolution operator,we first introduce a new subclass of normalized analytic functions in the open unit disk.For members of this analytic function class,we then derive several propertie...By using a certain hybrid-type convolution operator,we first introduce a new subclass of normalized analytic functions in the open unit disk.For members of this analytic function class,we then derive several properties and characteristics including(for example)the modified Hadamard products,Holder's inequalities and convolution properties as well as some closure properties under a general family of integral transforms.展开更多
In order to improve crash occurrence models to account for the influence of various contributing factors, a conditional autoregressive negative binomial （CAR-NB） model is employed to allow for overdispersion （tackl...In order to improve crash occurrence models to account for the influence of various contributing factors, a conditional autoregressive negative binomial （CAR-NB） model is employed to allow for overdispersion （tackled by the NB component）, unobserved heterogeneity and spatial autocorrelation （captured by the CAR process）, using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and the Gibbs sampler. Statistical tests suggest that the CAR-NB model is preferred over the CAR-Poisson, NB, zero-inflated Poisson, zero-inflated NB models, due to its lower prediction errors and more robust parameter inference. The study results show that crash frequency and fatalities are positively associated with the number of lanes, curve length, annual average daily traffic （AADT） per lane, as well as rainfall. Speed limit and the distances to the nearest hospitals have negative associations with segment-based crash counts but positive associations with fatality counts, presumably as a result of worsened collision impacts at higher speed and time loss during transporting crash victims.展开更多
In order to improve the prediction precision of the safety performance function （SPF） of freeway basic segments, design and crash data of 640 segments are collected from different institutions. Three negative binomi...In order to improve the prediction precision of the safety performance function （SPF） of freeway basic segments, design and crash data of 640 segments are collected from different institutions. Three negative binomial （NB） regression models and three generalized negative binomial （GNB） regression models are built to prove that the interactive influence of explanatory variables plays an important role in fitting goodness. The effective use of the GNB model in analyzing the interactive influence of explanatory variables and predicting freeway basic segments is demonstrated. Among six models, the two models （one is the NB model and the other is the GNB model. ） which consider the interactive influence of the annual average daily traffic （AADT） and length are more reasonable for predicting results. Furthermore, a comprehensive study is carried out to prove that when considering the interactive influence, the NB and GNB models have almost the same fitting performance in estimating the crashes, among which the GNB model is slightly better for prediction performance.展开更多
We generalize the Eulerian numbers ?to sets of numbers Eμ(k,l), (μ=0,1,2,···) where the Eulerian numbers appear as the special case μ=1. This can be used for the evaluation of generalizations Eμ(k,Z...We generalize the Eulerian numbers ?to sets of numbers Eμ(k,l), (μ=0,1,2,···) where the Eulerian numbers appear as the special case μ=1. This can be used for the evaluation of generalizations Eμ(k,Z) of the Geometric series G0(k;Z)=G1(0;Z) by splitting an essential part (1-Z)-(μK+1) where the numbers Eμ(k,l) are then the coefficients of the remainder polynomial. This can be extended for non-integer parameter k to the approximative evaluation of generalized Geometric series. The recurrence relations and for the Generalized Eulerian numbers E1(k,l) are derived. The Eulerian numbers are related to the Stirling numbers of second kind S(k,l) and we give proofs for the explicit relations of Eulerian to Stirling numbers of second kind in both directions. We discuss some ordering relations for differentiation and multiplication operators which play a role in our derivations and collect this in Appendices.展开更多
Using datasets on high-tech industries in Beijing as empirical studies, this paper attempts to interpret spatial shift of high-tech manufacturing firms and to examine the main determinants that have had the greatest e...Using datasets on high-tech industries in Beijing as empirical studies, this paper attempts to interpret spatial shift of high-tech manufacturing firms and to examine the main determinants that have had the greatest effect on this spatial evolution. We aimed at merging these two aspects by using firm level databases in 1996 and 2010. To explain spatial change of the high-tech firms in Beijing, the Kernel density estimation method was used for hotspot analysis and detection by comparing their locations in 1996 and 2010, through which spatial features and their temporal changes could be approximately plotted. Furthermore, to provide quantitative results, Ripley′s K-function was used as an instrument to reveal spatial shift and the dispersion distance of high-tech manufacturing firms in Beijing. By employing a negative binominal regression model, we evaluated the main determinants that have significantly affected the spatial evolution of high-tech manufacturing firms and compared differential influence of these locational factors on overall high-tech firms and each sub-sectors. The empirical analysis shows that high-tech industries in Beijing, in general, have evident agglomeration characteristics, and that the hotspot has shifted from the central city to suburban areas. In combination with the Ripley index, this study concludes that high-tech firms are now more scattered in metropolitan areas of Beijing as compared with 1996. The results of regression model indicate that the firms′ locational decisions are significantly influenced by the spatial planning and regulation policies of the municipal government. In addition, market processes involving transportation accessibility and agglomeration economy have been found to be important in explaining the dynamics of locational variation of high-tech manufacturing firms in Beijing. Research into how markets and the government interact to determine the location of high-tech manufacturing production will be helpful for policymakers to enact effective policies toward a more efficient urban spatial structure.展开更多
Objective To explore the associations between the monthly number of dengue fever（DF） cases and possible risk factors in Guangzhou, a subtropical city of China. Methods The monthly number of DF cases, Breteau Index ...Objective To explore the associations between the monthly number of dengue fever（DF） cases and possible risk factors in Guangzhou, a subtropical city of China. Methods The monthly number of DF cases, Breteau Index （BI）, and meteorological measures during 2006-2014 recorded in Guangzhou, China, were assessed. A negative binomial regression model was used to evaluate the relationships between BI, meteorological factors, and the monthly number of DF cases. Results A total of 39,697 DF cases were detected in Guangzhou during the study period. DF incidence presented an obvious seasonal pattern, with most cases occurring from June to November. The current month＇s BI, average temperature （Tare）, previous month＇s minimum temperature （Train）, and Tare were positively associated with DF incidence. A threshold of 18.25℃ was found in the relationship between the current month＇s Tmin and DF incidence. Conclusion Mosquito density, Tove, and Tmin play a critical role in DF transmission in Guangzhou. These findings could be useful in the development of a DF early warning system and assist in effective control and prevention strategies in the DF epidemic.展开更多
The estimation of generalized exponential distribution based on progressive censoring with binomial removals is presented, where the number of units removed at each failure time follows a binomial distribution. Maximu...The estimation of generalized exponential distribution based on progressive censoring with binomial removals is presented, where the number of units removed at each failure time follows a binomial distribution. Maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters and their confidence intervals are derived. The expected time required to complete the life test under this censoring scheme is investigated. Finally, the numerical examples are given to illustrate some theoretical results by means of Monte-Carlo simulation.展开更多
The occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires during a time period is count data featuring over-dispersion （i.e., variance is larger than mean） and a high frequency of zero counts. In this study, we used six gene...The occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires during a time period is count data featuring over-dispersion （i.e., variance is larger than mean） and a high frequency of zero counts. In this study, we used six generalized linear models to examine the relationship between the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires and meteorological factors in the Northern Daxing＇an Mountains of China. The six models included Poisson, negative binomial （NB）, zero- inflated Poisson （ZIP）, zero-inflated negative binomial （ZINB）, Poisson hurdle （PH）, and negative binomial hurdle （NBH） models. Goodness-of-fit was compared and tested among the six models using Akaike information criterion （AIC）, sum of squared errors, likelihood ratio test, and Vuong test. The predictive performance of the models was assessed and compared using independent validation data by the data-splitting method. Based on the model AIC, the ZINB model best fitted the fire occurrence data, followed by （in order of smaller AIC） NBH, ZIP, NB, PH, and Poisson models. The ZINB model was also best for pre- dicting either zero counts or positive counts （〉1）. The two Hurdle models （PH and NBH） were better than ZIP, Poisson, and NB models for predicting positive counts, but worse than these three models for predicting zero counts. Thus, the ZINB model was the first choice for modeling the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires in this study, which implied that the excessive zero counts of lightning- induced fires came from both structure and sampling zeros.展开更多
In this paper, a compound binomial model with a constant dividend barrier and random income is considered. Two types of individual claims, main claims and by-claims, are defined, where every by-claim is induced by the...In this paper, a compound binomial model with a constant dividend barrier and random income is considered. Two types of individual claims, main claims and by-claims, are defined, where every by-claim is induced by the main claim and may be delayed for one time period with a certain probability. The premium income is assumed to another binomial process to capture the uncertainty of the customer＇s arrivals and payments. A system of difference equations with certain boundary conditions for the expected present value of total dividend payments prior to ruin is derived and solved. Explicit results are obtained when the claim sizes are Kn distributed or the claim size distributions have finite support. Numerical results are also provided to illustrate the impact of the delay of by-claims on the expected present value of dividends.展开更多
A complex mechatronics system Bayesian plan of demonstration test is studied based on the mixed beta distribution.During product design and improvement various information is appropriately considered by introducing in...A complex mechatronics system Bayesian plan of demonstration test is studied based on the mixed beta distribution.During product design and improvement various information is appropriately considered by introducing inheritance factor,moreover,the inheritance factor is thought as a random variable,and the Bayesian decision of the qualification test plan is obtained,and the correctness of a Bayesian model presented is verified.The results show that the quantity of the test is too conservative according to classical methods under small binomial samples.Although traditional Bayesian analysis can consider test information of related or similar products,it ignores differences between such products.The method has solved the above problem,furthermore,considering the requirement in many practical projects,the differences among this method,the classical method and Bayesian with beta distribution are compared according to the plan of reliability acceptance test.展开更多
基金Supported Partially by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11926344)Science and Technology Research Projects of Chongqing Municipal Education Commission(KJQN201901402,KJQN201900506)Fund Project of Chongqing Normal University(17XWB021)。
文摘Permutation polynomials is a hot topic in finite fields,they have many applications in different areas.Permutation binomials and trinomials over finite fields were studied recently.In thispaper,by using a powerful lemma given by Zieve and some degree 5 and 6 permutation polynomials over Fq,we construct somepermutation binomials over Fqm.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11926344)。
文摘n-to-1 mappings have many applications in combinatorial design,coding theory and cryptography.In this paper,by using piecewise method and monomials on subsets of q+1-th roots of unity,we show a class of n-to-1 binomials having the form x^(r)(a+x^(s(q-1)))over F_(q^(2)).
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.10671015)
文摘The twisted T -adic exponential sum associated with xd + λx is studied. If λ = 0, then an explicitarithmetic polygon is proved to be the Newton polygon of the C-function of the twisted T-adic exponential sum.It gives the Newton polygons of the L-functions of twisted p-power order exponential sums.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(11971222,12071208)Jiangsu Qinglan ProjectProject of Guangzhou Huashang College(2022HSDS27)。
文摘The central trinomial coefficient T_(n)denotes the coefficient of x^(n)in the expansion of(1+x+x^(2))^(n).We prove a congruence related to the sums of the central trinomial coefficient and the central binomial coefficient,which was conjectured by Z.-W.Sun.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.12371004)。
文摘We evaluate some series with summands involving a single binomial coefficient(^6k 3k).For example,we prove that■Motivated by Galois theory,we introduce the so-called Duality Principle for irrational series of Ramanujan’s type or Zeilberger’s type,and apply it to find 26 new irrational series identities.For example,we conjecture that■where ■for any integer d≡0,1 (mod 4) with (d/k) the Kronecker symbol.
文摘As the world grapples with increasing environmental challenges,innovative technologies are essential for promoting sustainability and accountability.This study examined the impact of environmental performance indices(EPIs)on the growth and investment trends of blockchain-based sustainability-focused companies in 15 countries(Belgium,Czechia,Denmark,Estonia,Finland,France,Germany,Italy,Norway,Poland,Sweden,Spain,Switzerland,the United Kingdom,and the United States)from Europe and America during 2010-2022.This study used the negative binomial regression model to assess the relationship between EPIs and blockchain-based sustainability-focused companies based on the data from the CrunchBase and EarthData.Results indicated that in ecosystem vitality,national terrestrial biome protection efforts were negatively correlated the formation of blockchain-based sustainability-focused companies,while global terrestrial biome protection efforts and marine protected areas had a positive impact on the formation of these companies and the number of funding rounds.In environmental health,PM2.5 exposure had a positive impact on the number of funding rounds.Conversely,pollutants such as sulfur dioxide(SO_(2))and ocean plastics deterred the formation of blockchain-based sustainability-focused companies and reduced the number of funding rounds.In climate change performance,adjusted emission growth rate for carbon dioxide(CO_(2)),adjusted emission growth rate for F-gases,and adjusted emission growth rate for black carbon had a significantly positive impact on the formation of blockchain-based sustainability-focused companies.Conversely,adjusted emission growth rate for Nitrous Oxide(N_(2)O)and projected greenhouse gas emissions in 2050 negatively affected the formation of these companies.These findings highlight the dual role of EPIs as driving factors and barriers in the development and investment of blockchain-based sustainability-focused companies in countries from Europe and America.
文摘By using asymptotic method,we verify the existence on the slowly growing solutions to second order difference equations discussed by Ishizaki-Yanagihara’s Wiman-Valiron method and Ishizaki-Wen’s binomial series method.The classical problem on finding conditions on the polynomial coefficients P_(j)(z)(j=0,1,2)and F(z)to guarantee that all nontrivial solutions of complex second order difference equation P_(2)(z)f(z+2)+P_(1)(z)f(z+1)+P_(0)(z)f(z)=F(z)has slowly growing solutions with order 1/2 is detected.
文摘By using a certain hybrid-type convolution operator,we first introduce a new subclass of normalized analytic functions in the open unit disk.For members of this analytic function class,we then derive several properties and characteristics including(for example)the modified Hadamard products,Holder's inequalities and convolution properties as well as some closure properties under a general family of integral transforms.
基金The National Science Foundation by Changjiang Scholarship of Ministry of Education of China(No.BCS-0527508)the Joint Research Fund for Overseas Natural Science of China(No.51250110075)+1 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province(No.SBK200910046)the Postdoctoral Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province(No.0901005C)
文摘In order to improve crash occurrence models to account for the influence of various contributing factors, a conditional autoregressive negative binomial （CAR-NB） model is employed to allow for overdispersion （tackled by the NB component）, unobserved heterogeneity and spatial autocorrelation （captured by the CAR process）, using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and the Gibbs sampler. Statistical tests suggest that the CAR-NB model is preferred over the CAR-Poisson, NB, zero-inflated Poisson, zero-inflated NB models, due to its lower prediction errors and more robust parameter inference. The study results show that crash frequency and fatalities are positively associated with the number of lanes, curve length, annual average daily traffic （AADT） per lane, as well as rainfall. Speed limit and the distances to the nearest hospitals have negative associations with segment-based crash counts but positive associations with fatality counts, presumably as a result of worsened collision impacts at higher speed and time loss during transporting crash victims.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51408229,51278202)the Program of the Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering of the Ministry of Education,Tongji University(No.K201204)the Science and Technology Program of Guangdong Communication Department(No.2013-02-068)
文摘In order to improve the prediction precision of the safety performance function （SPF） of freeway basic segments, design and crash data of 640 segments are collected from different institutions. Three negative binomial （NB） regression models and three generalized negative binomial （GNB） regression models are built to prove that the interactive influence of explanatory variables plays an important role in fitting goodness. The effective use of the GNB model in analyzing the interactive influence of explanatory variables and predicting freeway basic segments is demonstrated. Among six models, the two models （one is the NB model and the other is the GNB model. ） which consider the interactive influence of the annual average daily traffic （AADT） and length are more reasonable for predicting results. Furthermore, a comprehensive study is carried out to prove that when considering the interactive influence, the NB and GNB models have almost the same fitting performance in estimating the crashes, among which the GNB model is slightly better for prediction performance.
文摘We generalize the Eulerian numbers ?to sets of numbers Eμ(k,l), (μ=0,1,2,···) where the Eulerian numbers appear as the special case μ=1. This can be used for the evaluation of generalizations Eμ(k,Z) of the Geometric series G0(k;Z)=G1(0;Z) by splitting an essential part (1-Z)-(μK+1) where the numbers Eμ(k,l) are then the coefficients of the remainder polynomial. This can be extended for non-integer parameter k to the approximative evaluation of generalized Geometric series. The recurrence relations and for the Generalized Eulerian numbers E1(k,l) are derived. The Eulerian numbers are related to the Stirling numbers of second kind S(k,l) and we give proofs for the explicit relations of Eulerian to Stirling numbers of second kind in both directions. We discuss some ordering relations for differentiation and multiplication operators which play a role in our derivations and collect this in Appendices.
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.40971075)
文摘Using datasets on high-tech industries in Beijing as empirical studies, this paper attempts to interpret spatial shift of high-tech manufacturing firms and to examine the main determinants that have had the greatest effect on this spatial evolution. We aimed at merging these two aspects by using firm level databases in 1996 and 2010. To explain spatial change of the high-tech firms in Beijing, the Kernel density estimation method was used for hotspot analysis and detection by comparing their locations in 1996 and 2010, through which spatial features and their temporal changes could be approximately plotted. Furthermore, to provide quantitative results, Ripley′s K-function was used as an instrument to reveal spatial shift and the dispersion distance of high-tech manufacturing firms in Beijing. By employing a negative binominal regression model, we evaluated the main determinants that have significantly affected the spatial evolution of high-tech manufacturing firms and compared differential influence of these locational factors on overall high-tech firms and each sub-sectors. The empirical analysis shows that high-tech industries in Beijing, in general, have evident agglomeration characteristics, and that the hotspot has shifted from the central city to suburban areas. In combination with the Ripley index, this study concludes that high-tech firms are now more scattered in metropolitan areas of Beijing as compared with 1996. The results of regression model indicate that the firms′ locational decisions are significantly influenced by the spatial planning and regulation policies of the municipal government. In addition, market processes involving transportation accessibility and agglomeration economy have been found to be important in explaining the dynamics of locational variation of high-tech manufacturing firms in Beijing. Research into how markets and the government interact to determine the location of high-tech manufacturing production will be helpful for policymakers to enact effective policies toward a more efficient urban spatial structure.
基金supported by grants from the National Institutes of Health,USA(R01 AI083202,D43 TW009527)National Nature Science Foundation of China(81273139)+1 种基金the Project for Key Medicine Discipline Construction of Guangzhou Municipality(2013-2015-07)Technology Planning Project of Guangdong Province,China(2013B021800041)
文摘Objective To explore the associations between the monthly number of dengue fever（DF） cases and possible risk factors in Guangzhou, a subtropical city of China. Methods The monthly number of DF cases, Breteau Index （BI）, and meteorological measures during 2006-2014 recorded in Guangzhou, China, were assessed. A negative binomial regression model was used to evaluate the relationships between BI, meteorological factors, and the monthly number of DF cases. Results A total of 39,697 DF cases were detected in Guangzhou during the study period. DF incidence presented an obvious seasonal pattern, with most cases occurring from June to November. The current month＇s BI, average temperature （Tare）, previous month＇s minimum temperature （Train）, and Tare were positively associated with DF incidence. A threshold of 18.25℃ was found in the relationship between the current month＇s Tmin and DF incidence. Conclusion Mosquito density, Tove, and Tmin play a critical role in DF transmission in Guangzhou. These findings could be useful in the development of a DF early warning system and assist in effective control and prevention strategies in the DF epidemic.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(70471057)
文摘The estimation of generalized exponential distribution based on progressive censoring with binomial removals is presented, where the number of units removed at each failure time follows a binomial distribution. Maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters and their confidence intervals are derived. The expected time required to complete the life test under this censoring scheme is investigated. Finally, the numerical examples are given to illustrate some theoretical results by means of Monte-Carlo simulation.
基金funded by Asia–Pacific Forests Net(APFNET/2010/FPF/001)National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.31400552)
文摘The occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires during a time period is count data featuring over-dispersion （i.e., variance is larger than mean） and a high frequency of zero counts. In this study, we used six generalized linear models to examine the relationship between the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires and meteorological factors in the Northern Daxing＇an Mountains of China. The six models included Poisson, negative binomial （NB）, zero- inflated Poisson （ZIP）, zero-inflated negative binomial （ZINB）, Poisson hurdle （PH）, and negative binomial hurdle （NBH） models. Goodness-of-fit was compared and tested among the six models using Akaike information criterion （AIC）, sum of squared errors, likelihood ratio test, and Vuong test. The predictive performance of the models was assessed and compared using independent validation data by the data-splitting method. Based on the model AIC, the ZINB model best fitted the fire occurrence data, followed by （in order of smaller AIC） NBH, ZIP, NB, PH, and Poisson models. The ZINB model was also best for pre- dicting either zero counts or positive counts （〉1）. The two Hurdle models （PH and NBH） were better than ZIP, Poisson, and NB models for predicting positive counts, but worse than these three models for predicting zero counts. Thus, the ZINB model was the first choice for modeling the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires in this study, which implied that the excessive zero counts of lightning- induced fires came from both structure and sampling zeros.
基金supported by the NSFC(11171101)Doctoral Fund of Education Ministry of China(20104306110001)the Graduate Research and Innovation Fund of Hunan Province(CX2011B197)
文摘In this paper, a compound binomial model with a constant dividend barrier and random income is considered. Two types of individual claims, main claims and by-claims, are defined, where every by-claim is induced by the main claim and may be delayed for one time period with a certain probability. The premium income is assumed to another binomial process to capture the uncertainty of the customer＇s arrivals and payments. A system of difference equations with certain boundary conditions for the expected present value of total dividend payments prior to ruin is derived and solved. Explicit results are obtained when the claim sizes are Kn distributed or the claim size distributions have finite support. Numerical results are also provided to illustrate the impact of the delay of by-claims on the expected present value of dividends.
基金National Advanced Research Project of China(No.51319030302)National Advanced Research Foundation of China(No.9140A 19030506KG0166)
文摘A complex mechatronics system Bayesian plan of demonstration test is studied based on the mixed beta distribution.During product design and improvement various information is appropriately considered by introducing inheritance factor,moreover,the inheritance factor is thought as a random variable,and the Bayesian decision of the qualification test plan is obtained,and the correctness of a Bayesian model presented is verified.The results show that the quantity of the test is too conservative according to classical methods under small binomial samples.Although traditional Bayesian analysis can consider test information of related or similar products,it ignores differences between such products.The method has solved the above problem,furthermore,considering the requirement in many practical projects,the differences among this method,the classical method and Bayesian with beta distribution are compared according to the plan of reliability acceptance test.
