The security of the seed industry is crucial for ensuring national food security.Currently,developed countries in Europe and America,along with international seed industry giants,have entered the Breeding 4.0 era.This...The security of the seed industry is crucial for ensuring national food security.Currently,developed countries in Europe and America,along with international seed industry giants,have entered the Breeding 4.0 era.This era integrates biotechnology,artificial intelligence(AI),and big data information technology.In contrast,China is still in a transition period between stages 2.0 and 3.0,which primarily relies on conventional selection and molecular breeding.In the context of increasingly complex international situations,accurately identifying core issues in China's seed industry innovation and seizing the frontier of international seed technology are strategically important.These efforts are essential for ensuring food security and revitalizing the seed industry.This paper systematically analyzes the characteristics of crop breeding data from artificial selection to intelligent design breeding.It explores the applications and development trends of AI and big data in modern crop breeding from several key perspectives.These include highthroughput phenotype acquisition and analysis,multiomics big data database and management system construction,AI-based multiomics integrated analysis,and the development of intelligent breeding software tools based on biological big data and AI technology.Based on an in-depth analysis of the current status and challenges of China's seed industry technology development,we propose strategic goals and key tasks for China's new generation of AI and big data-driven intelligent design breeding.These suggestions aim to accelerate the development of an intelligent-driven crop breeding engineering system that features large-scale gene mining,efficient gene manipulation,engineered variety design,and systematized biobreeding.This study provides a theoretical basis and practical guidance for the development of China's seed industry technology.展开更多
With the rapid development of the global economy, maritime transportation has become much more convenient due to large capacities and low freight. However, this means the sea lanes are becoming more and more crowded,l...With the rapid development of the global economy, maritime transportation has become much more convenient due to large capacities and low freight. However, this means the sea lanes are becoming more and more crowded,leading to high probabilities of marine accidents in complex maritime environments. According to relevant historical statistics, a large number of accidents have happened in water areas that lack high precision navigation data, which can be utilized to enhance navigation safety. The purpose of this work was to carry out ship route planning automatically, by mining historical big automatic identification system(AIS) data. It is well-known that experiential navigation information hidden in maritime big data could be automatically extracted using advanced data mining techniques;assisting in the generation of safe and reliable ship planning routes for complex maritime environments. In this paper, a novel method is proposed to construct a big data-driven framework for generating ship planning routes automatically, under varying navigation conditions. The method performs density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise first on a large number of ship trajectories to form different trajectory vector clusters. Then, it iteratively calculates its centerline in the trajectory vector cluster, and constructs the waterway network from the node-arc topology relationship among these centerlines. The generation of shipping route could be based on the waterway network and conducted by rasterizing the marine environment risks for the sea area not covered by the waterway network. Numerous experiments have been conducted on different AIS data sets in different water areas, and the experimental results have demonstrated the effectiveness of the framework of the ship route planning proposed in this paper.展开更多
This study introduces an innovative“Big Model”strategy to enhance Bridge Structural Health Monitoring(SHM)using a Convolutional Neural Network(CNN),time-frequency analysis,and fine element analysis.Leveraging ensemb...This study introduces an innovative“Big Model”strategy to enhance Bridge Structural Health Monitoring(SHM)using a Convolutional Neural Network(CNN),time-frequency analysis,and fine element analysis.Leveraging ensemble methods,collaborative learning,and distributed computing,the approach effectively manages the complexity and scale of large-scale bridge data.The CNN employs transfer learning,fine-tuning,and continuous monitoring to optimize models for adaptive and accurate structural health assessments,focusing on extracting meaningful features through time-frequency analysis.By integrating Finite Element Analysis,time-frequency analysis,and CNNs,the strategy provides a comprehensive understanding of bridge health.Utilizing diverse sensor data,sophisticated feature extraction,and advanced CNN architecture,the model is optimized through rigorous preprocessing and hyperparameter tuning.This approach significantly enhances the ability to make accurate predictions,monitor structural health,and support proactive maintenance practices,thereby ensuring the safety and longevity of critical infrastructure.展开更多
This paper addresses urban sustainability challenges amid global urbanization, emphasizing the need for innova tive approaches aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals. While traditional tools and linear models ...This paper addresses urban sustainability challenges amid global urbanization, emphasizing the need for innova tive approaches aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals. While traditional tools and linear models offer insights, they fall short in presenting a holistic view of complex urban challenges. System dynamics (SD) models that are often utilized to provide holistic, systematic understanding of a research subject, like the urban system, emerge as valuable tools, but data scarcity and theoretical inadequacy pose challenges. The research reviews relevant papers on recent SD model applications in urban sustainability since 2018, categorizing them based on nine key indicators. Among the reviewed papers, data limitations and model assumptions were identified as ma jor challenges in applying SD models to urban sustainability. This led to exploring the transformative potential of big data analytics, a rare approach in this field as identified by this study, to enhance SD models’ empirical foundation. Integrating big data could provide data-driven calibration, potentially improving predictive accuracy and reducing reliance on simplified assumptions. The paper concludes by advocating for new approaches that reduce assumptions and promote real-time applicable models, contributing to a comprehensive understanding of urban sustainability through the synergy of big data and SD models.展开更多
Integrating machine learning and data mining is crucial for processing big data and extracting valuable insights to enhance decision-making.However,imbalanced target variables within big data present technical challen...Integrating machine learning and data mining is crucial for processing big data and extracting valuable insights to enhance decision-making.However,imbalanced target variables within big data present technical challenges that hinder the performance of supervised learning classifiers on key evaluation metrics,limiting their overall effectiveness.This study presents a comprehensive review of both common and recently developed Supervised Learning Classifiers(SLCs)and evaluates their performance in data-driven decision-making.The evaluation uses various metrics,with a particular focus on the Harmonic Mean Score(F-1 score)on an imbalanced real-world bank target marketing dataset.The findings indicate that grid-search random forest and random-search random forest excel in Precision and area under the curve,while Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost)outperforms other traditional classifiers in terms of F-1 score.Employing oversampling methods to address the imbalanced data shows significant performance improvement in XGBoost,delivering superior results across all metrics,particularly when using the SMOTE variant known as the BorderlineSMOTE2 technique.The study concludes several key factors for effectively addressing the challenges of supervised learning with imbalanced datasets.These factors include the importance of selecting appropriate datasets for training and testing,choosing the right classifiers,employing effective techniques for processing and handling imbalanced datasets,and identifying suitable metrics for performance evaluation.Additionally,factors also entail the utilisation of effective exploratory data analysis in conjunction with visualisation techniques to yield insights conducive to data-driven decision-making.展开更多
We propose an integrated method of data-driven and mechanism models for well logging formation evaluation,explicitly focusing on predicting reservoir parameters,such as porosity and water saturation.Accurately interpr...We propose an integrated method of data-driven and mechanism models for well logging formation evaluation,explicitly focusing on predicting reservoir parameters,such as porosity and water saturation.Accurately interpreting these parameters is crucial for effectively exploring and developing oil and gas.However,with the increasing complexity of geological conditions in this industry,there is a growing demand for improved accuracy in reservoir parameter prediction,leading to higher costs associated with manual interpretation.The conventional logging interpretation methods rely on empirical relationships between logging data and reservoir parameters,which suffer from low interpretation efficiency,intense subjectivity,and suitability for ideal conditions.The application of artificial intelligence in the interpretation of logging data provides a new solution to the problems existing in traditional methods.It is expected to improve the accuracy and efficiency of the interpretation.If large and high-quality datasets exist,data-driven models can reveal relationships of arbitrary complexity.Nevertheless,constructing sufficiently large logging datasets with reliable labels remains challenging,making it difficult to apply data-driven models effectively in logging data interpretation.Furthermore,data-driven models often act as“black boxes”without explaining their predictions or ensuring compliance with primary physical constraints.This paper proposes a machine learning method with strong physical constraints by integrating mechanism and data-driven models.Prior knowledge of logging data interpretation is embedded into machine learning regarding network structure,loss function,and optimization algorithm.We employ the Physically Informed Auto-Encoder(PIAE)to predict porosity and water saturation,which can be trained without labeled reservoir parameters using self-supervised learning techniques.This approach effectively achieves automated interpretation and facilitates generalization across diverse datasets.展开更多
Viral infectious diseases,characterized by their intricate nature and wide-ranging diversity,pose substantial challenges in the domain of data management.The vast volume of data generated by these diseases,spanning fr...Viral infectious diseases,characterized by their intricate nature and wide-ranging diversity,pose substantial challenges in the domain of data management.The vast volume of data generated by these diseases,spanning from the molecular mechanisms within cells to large-scale epidemiological patterns,has surpassed the capabilities of traditional analytical methods.In the era of artificial intelligence(AI)and big data,there is an urgent necessity for the optimization of these analytical methods to more effectively handle and utilize the information.Despite the rapid accumulation of data associated with viral infections,the lack of a comprehensive framework for integrating,selecting,and analyzing these datasets has left numerous researchers uncertain about which data to select,how to access it,and how to utilize it most effectively in their research.This review endeavors to fill these gaps by exploring the multifaceted nature of viral infectious diseases and summarizing relevant data across multiple levels,from the molecular details of pathogens to broad epidemiological trends.The scope extends from the micro-scale to the macro-scale,encompassing pathogens,hosts,and vectors.In addition to data summarization,this review thoroughly investigates various dataset sources.It also traces the historical evolution of data collection in the field of viral infectious diseases,highlighting the progress achieved over time.Simultaneously,it evaluates the current limitations that impede data utilization.Furthermore,we propose strategies to surmount these challenges,focusing on the development and application of advanced computational techniques,AI-driven models,and enhanced data integration practices.By providing a comprehensive synthesis of existing knowledge,this review is designed to guide future research and contribute to more informed approaches in the surveillance,prevention,and control of viral infectious diseases,particularly within the context of the expanding big-data landscape.展开更多
This study examines the Big Data Collection and Preprocessing course at Anhui Institute of Information Engineering,implementing a hybrid teaching reform using the Bosi Smart Learning Platform.The proposed hybrid model...This study examines the Big Data Collection and Preprocessing course at Anhui Institute of Information Engineering,implementing a hybrid teaching reform using the Bosi Smart Learning Platform.The proposed hybrid model follows a“three-stage”and“two-subject”framework,incorporating a structured design for teaching content and assessment methods before,during,and after class.Practical results indicate that this approach significantly enhances teaching effectiveness and improves students’learning autonomy.展开更多
Deep-time Earth research plays a pivotal role in deciphering the rates,patterns,and mechanisms of Earth's evolutionary processes throughout geological history,providing essential scientific foundations for climate...Deep-time Earth research plays a pivotal role in deciphering the rates,patterns,and mechanisms of Earth's evolutionary processes throughout geological history,providing essential scientific foundations for climate prediction,natural resource exploration,and sustainable planetary stewardship.To advance Deep-time Earth research in the era of big data and artificial intelligence,the International Union of Geological Sciences initiated the“Deeptime Digital Earth International Big Science Program”(DDE)in 2019.At the core of this ambitious program lies the development of geoscience knowledge graphs,serving as a transformative knowledge infrastructure that enables the integration,sharing,mining,and analysis of heterogeneous geoscience big data.The DDE knowledge graph initiative has made significant strides in three critical dimensions:(1)establishing a unified knowledge structure across geoscience disciplines that ensures consistent representation of geological entities and their interrelationships through standardized ontologies and semantic frameworks;(2)developing a robust and scalable software infrastructure capable of supporting both expert-driven and machine-assisted knowledge engineering for large-scale graph construction and management;(3)implementing a comprehensive three-tiered architecture encompassing basic,discipline-specific,and application-oriented knowledge graphs,spanning approximately 20 geoscience disciplines.Through its open knowledge framework and international collaborative network,this initiative has fostered multinational research collaborations,establishing a robust foundation for next-generation geoscience research while propelling the discipline toward FAIR(Findable,Accessible,Interoperable,Reusable)data practices in deep-time Earth systems research.展开更多
Research into metamorphism plays a pivotal role in reconstructing the evolution of continent,particularly through the study of ancient rocks that are highly susceptible to metamorphic alterations due to multiple tecto...Research into metamorphism plays a pivotal role in reconstructing the evolution of continent,particularly through the study of ancient rocks that are highly susceptible to metamorphic alterations due to multiple tectonic activities.In the big data era,the establishment of new data platforms and the application of big data methods have become a focus for metamorphic rocks.Significant progress has been made in creating specialized databases,compiling comprehensive datasets,and utilizing data analytics to address complex scientific questions.However,many existing databases are inadequate in meeting the specific requirements of metamorphic research,resulting from a substantial amount of valuable data remaining uncollected.Therefore,constructing new databases that can cope with the development of the data era is necessary.This article provides an extensive review of existing databases related to metamorphic rocks and discusses data-driven studies in this.Accordingly,several crucial factors that need to be taken into consideration in the establishment of specialized metamorphic databases are identified,aiming to leverage data-driven applications to achieve broader scientific objectives in metamorphic research.展开更多
In this paper,the application of agricultural big data in agricultural economic management is deeply explored,and its potential in promoting profit growth and innovation is analyzed.However,challenges persist in data ...In this paper,the application of agricultural big data in agricultural economic management is deeply explored,and its potential in promoting profit growth and innovation is analyzed.However,challenges persist in data collection and integration,limitations of analytical technologies,talent development,team building,and policy support when applying agricultural big data.Effective application strategies are proposed,including data-driven precision agriculture practices,construction of data integration and management platforms,data security and privacy protection strategies,as well as long-term planning and development strategies for agricultural big data,to maximize its impact on agricultural economic management.Future advancements require collaborative efforts in technological innovation,talent cultivation,and policy support,to realize the extensive application of agricultural big data in agricultural economic management and ensure sustainable industrial development.展开更多
A data-driven model ofmultiple variable cutting(M-VCUT)level set-based substructure is proposed for the topology optimization of lattice structures.TheM-VCUTlevel setmethod is used to represent substructures,enriching...A data-driven model ofmultiple variable cutting(M-VCUT)level set-based substructure is proposed for the topology optimization of lattice structures.TheM-VCUTlevel setmethod is used to represent substructures,enriching their diversity of configuration while ensuring connectivity.To construct the data-driven model of substructure,a database is prepared by sampling the space of substructures spanned by several substructure prototypes.Then,for each substructure in this database,the stiffness matrix is condensed so that its degrees of freedomare reduced.Thereafter,the data-drivenmodel of substructures is constructed through interpolationwith compactly supported radial basis function(CS-RBF).The inputs of the data-driven model are the design variables of topology optimization,and the outputs are the condensed stiffness matrix and volume of substructures.During the optimization,this data-driven model is used,thus avoiding repeated static condensation that would requiremuch computation time.Several numerical examples are provided to verify the proposed method.展开更多
The outstanding comprehensive mechanical properties of newly developed hybrid lattice structures make them useful in engineering applications for bearing multiple mechanical loads.Additive-manufacturing technologies m...The outstanding comprehensive mechanical properties of newly developed hybrid lattice structures make them useful in engineering applications for bearing multiple mechanical loads.Additive-manufacturing technologies make it possible to fabricate these highly spatially programmable structures and greatly enhance the freedom in their design.However,traditional analytical methods do not sufficiently reflect the actual vibration-damping mechanism of lattice structures and are limited by their high computational cost.In this study,a hybrid lattice structure consisting of various cells was designed based on quasi-static and vibration experiments.Subsequently,a novel parametric design method based on a data-driven approach was developed for hybrid lattices with engineered properties.The response surface method was adopted to define the sensitive optimization target.A prediction model for the lattice geometric parameters and vibration properties was established using a backpropagation neural network.Then,it was integrated into the genetic algorithm to create the optimal hybrid lattice with varying geometric features and the required wide-band vibration-damping characteristics.Validation experiments were conducted,demonstrating that the optimized hybrid lattice can achieve the target properties.In addition,the data-driven parametric design method can reduce computation time and be widely applied to complex structural designs when analytical and empirical solutions are unavailable.展开更多
The Underwater Acoustic(UWA)channel is bandwidth-constrained and experiences doubly selective fading.It is challenging to acquire perfect channel knowledge for Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplexing(OFDM)communica...The Underwater Acoustic(UWA)channel is bandwidth-constrained and experiences doubly selective fading.It is challenging to acquire perfect channel knowledge for Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplexing(OFDM)communications using a finite number of pilots.On the other hand,Deep Learning(DL)approaches have been very successful in wireless OFDM communications.However,whether they will work underwater is still a mystery.For the first time,this paper compares two categories of DL-based UWA OFDM receivers:the DataDriven(DD)method,which performs as an end-to-end black box,and the Model-Driven(MD)method,also known as the model-based data-driven method,which combines DL and expert OFDM receiver knowledge.The encoder-decoder framework and Convolutional Neural Network(CNN)structure are employed to establish the DD receiver.On the other hand,an unfolding-based Minimum Mean Square Error(MMSE)structure is adopted for the MD receiver.We analyze the characteristics of different receivers by Monte Carlo simulations under diverse communications conditions and propose a strategy for selecting a proper receiver under different communication scenarios.Field trials in the pool and sea are also conducted to verify the feasibility and advantages of the DL receivers.It is observed that DL receivers perform better than conventional receivers in terms of bit error rate.展开更多
When assessing seismic liquefaction potential with data-driven models,addressing the uncertainties of establishing models,interpreting cone penetration tests(CPT)data and decision threshold is crucial for avoiding bia...When assessing seismic liquefaction potential with data-driven models,addressing the uncertainties of establishing models,interpreting cone penetration tests(CPT)data and decision threshold is crucial for avoiding biased data selection,ameliorating overconfident models,and being flexible to varying practical objectives,especially when the training and testing data are not identically distributed.A workflow characterized by leveraging Bayesian methodology was proposed to address these issues.Employing a Multi-Layer Perceptron(MLP)as the foundational model,this approach was benchmarked against empirical methods and advanced algorithms for its efficacy in simplicity,accuracy,and resistance to overfitting.The analysis revealed that,while MLP models optimized via maximum a posteriori algorithm suffices for straightforward scenarios,Bayesian neural networks showed great potential for preventing overfitting.Additionally,integrating decision thresholds through various evaluative principles offers insights for challenging decisions.Two case studies demonstrate the framework's capacity for nuanced interpretation of in situ data,employing a model committee for a detailed evaluation of liquefaction potential via Monte Carlo simulations and basic statistics.Overall,the proposed step-by-step workflow for analyzing seismic liquefaction incorporates multifold testing and real-world data validation,showing improved robustness against overfitting and greater versatility in addressing practical challenges.This research contributes to the seismic liquefaction assessment field by providing a structured,adaptable methodology for accurate and reliable analysis.展开更多
Hydraulic fracturing technology has achieved remarkable results in improving the production of tight gas reservoirs,but its effectiveness is under the joint action of multiple factors of complexity.Traditional analysi...Hydraulic fracturing technology has achieved remarkable results in improving the production of tight gas reservoirs,but its effectiveness is under the joint action of multiple factors of complexity.Traditional analysis methods have limitations in dealing with these complex and interrelated factors,and it is difficult to fully reveal the actual contribution of each factor to the production.Machine learning-based methods explore the complex mapping relationships between large amounts of data to provide datadriven insights into the key factors driving production.In this study,a data-driven PCA-RF-VIM(Principal Component Analysis-Random Forest-Variable Importance Measures)approach of analyzing the importance of features is proposed to identify the key factors driving post-fracturing production.Four types of parameters,including log parameters,geological and reservoir physical parameters,hydraulic fracturing design parameters,and reservoir stimulation parameters,were inputted into the PCA-RF-VIM model.The model was trained using 6-fold cross-validation and grid search,and the relative importance ranking of each factor was finally obtained.In order to verify the validity of the PCA-RF-VIM model,a consolidation model that uses three other independent data-driven methods(Pearson correlation coefficient,RF feature significance analysis method,and XGboost feature significance analysis method)are applied to compare with the PCA-RF-VIM model.A comparison the two models shows that they contain almost the same parameters in the top ten,with only minor differences in one parameter.In combination with the reservoir characteristics,the reasonableness of the PCA-RF-VIM model is verified,and the importance ranking of the parameters by this method is more consistent with the reservoir characteristics of the study area.Ultimately,the ten parameters are selected as the controlling factors that have the potential to influence post-fracturing gas production,as the combined importance of these top ten parameters is 91.95%on driving natural gas production.Analyzing and obtaining these ten controlling factors provides engineers with a new insight into the reservoir selection for fracturing stimulation and fracturing parameter optimization to improve fracturing efficiency and productivity.展开更多
In the rapidly evolving technological landscape,state-owned enterprises(SOEs)encounter significant challenges in sustaining their competitiveness through efficient R&D management.Integrated Product Development(IPD...In the rapidly evolving technological landscape,state-owned enterprises(SOEs)encounter significant challenges in sustaining their competitiveness through efficient R&D management.Integrated Product Development(IPD),with its emphasis on cross-functional teamwork,concurrent engineering,and data-driven decision-making,has been widely recognized for enhancing R&D efficiency and product quality.However,the unique characteristics of SOEs pose challenges to the effective implementation of IPD.The advancement of big data and artificial intelligence technologies offers new opportunities for optimizing IPD R&D management through data-driven decision-making models.This paper constructs and validates a data-driven decision-making model tailored to the IPD R&D management of SOEs.By integrating data mining,machine learning,and other advanced analytical techniques,the model serves as a scientific and efficient decision-making tool.It aids SOEs in optimizing R&D resource allocation,shortening product development cycles,reducing R&D costs,and improving product quality and innovation.Moreover,this study contributes to a deeper theoretical understanding of the value of data-driven decision-making in the context of IPD.展开更多
This paper focuses on the numerical solution of a tumor growth model under a data-driven approach.Based on the inherent laws of the data and reasonable assumptions,an ordinary differential equation model for tumor gro...This paper focuses on the numerical solution of a tumor growth model under a data-driven approach.Based on the inherent laws of the data and reasonable assumptions,an ordinary differential equation model for tumor growth is established.Nonlinear fitting is employed to obtain the optimal parameter estimation of the mathematical model,and the numerical solution is carried out using the Matlab software.By comparing the clinical data with the simulation results,a good agreement is achieved,which verifies the rationality and feasibility of the model.展开更多
Based on the educational evaluation reform,this study explores the construction of an evidence-based value-added evaluation system based on data-driven,aiming to solve the limitations of traditional evaluation methods...Based on the educational evaluation reform,this study explores the construction of an evidence-based value-added evaluation system based on data-driven,aiming to solve the limitations of traditional evaluation methods.The research adopts the method of combining theoretical analysis and practical application,and designs the evidence-based value-added evaluation framework,which includes the core elements of a multi-source heterogeneous data acquisition and processing system,a value-added evaluation agent based on a large model,and an evaluation implementation and application mechanism.Through empirical research verification,the evaluation system has remarkable effects in improving learning participation,promoting ability development,and supporting teaching decision-making,and provides a theoretical reference and practical path for educational evaluation reform in the new era.The research shows that the evidence-based value-added evaluation system based on data-driven can reflect students’actual progress more fairly and objectively by accurately measuring the difference in starting point and development range of students,and provide strong support for the realization of high-quality education development.展开更多
The impacts of lateral boundary conditions(LBCs)provided by numerical models and data-driven networks on convective-scale ensemble forecasts are investigated in this study.Four experiments are conducted on the Hangzho...The impacts of lateral boundary conditions(LBCs)provided by numerical models and data-driven networks on convective-scale ensemble forecasts are investigated in this study.Four experiments are conducted on the Hangzhou RDP(19th Hangzhou Asian Games Research Development Project on Convective-scale Ensemble Prediction and Application)testbed,with the LBCs respectively sourced from National Centers for Environmental Prediction(NCEP)Global Forecast System(GFS)forecasts with 33 vertical levels(Exp_GFS),Pangu forecasts with 13 vertical levels(Exp_Pangu),Fuxi forecasts with 13 vertical levels(Exp_Fuxi),and NCEP GFS forecasts with the vertical levels reduced to 13(the same as those of Exp_Pangu and Exp_Fuxi)(Exp_GFSRDV).In general,Exp_Pangu performs comparably to Exp_GFS,while Exp_Fuxi shows slightly inferior performance compared to Exp_Pangu,possibly due to its less accurate large-scale predictions.Therefore,the ability of using data-driven networks to efficiently provide LBCs for convective-scale ensemble forecasts has been demonstrated.Moreover,Exp_GFSRDV has the worst convective-scale forecasts among the four experiments,which indicates the potential improvement of using data-driven networks for LBCs by increasing the vertical levels of the networks.However,the ensemble spread of the four experiments barely increases with lead time.Thus,each experiment has insufficient ensemble spread to present realistic forecast uncertainties,which will be investigated in a future study.展开更多
基金partially supported by the Construction of Collaborative Innovation Center of Beijing Academy of Agricultural and Forestry Sciences(KJCX20240406)the Beijing Natural Science Foundation(JQ24037)+1 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(32330075)the Earmarked Fund for China Agriculture Research System(CARS-02 and CARS-54)。
文摘The security of the seed industry is crucial for ensuring national food security.Currently,developed countries in Europe and America,along with international seed industry giants,have entered the Breeding 4.0 era.This era integrates biotechnology,artificial intelligence(AI),and big data information technology.In contrast,China is still in a transition period between stages 2.0 and 3.0,which primarily relies on conventional selection and molecular breeding.In the context of increasingly complex international situations,accurately identifying core issues in China's seed industry innovation and seizing the frontier of international seed technology are strategically important.These efforts are essential for ensuring food security and revitalizing the seed industry.This paper systematically analyzes the characteristics of crop breeding data from artificial selection to intelligent design breeding.It explores the applications and development trends of AI and big data in modern crop breeding from several key perspectives.These include highthroughput phenotype acquisition and analysis,multiomics big data database and management system construction,AI-based multiomics integrated analysis,and the development of intelligent breeding software tools based on biological big data and AI technology.Based on an in-depth analysis of the current status and challenges of China's seed industry technology development,we propose strategic goals and key tasks for China's new generation of AI and big data-driven intelligent design breeding.These suggestions aim to accelerate the development of an intelligent-driven crop breeding engineering system that features large-scale gene mining,efficient gene manipulation,engineered variety design,and systematized biobreeding.This study provides a theoretical basis and practical guidance for the development of China's seed industry technology.
文摘With the rapid development of the global economy, maritime transportation has become much more convenient due to large capacities and low freight. However, this means the sea lanes are becoming more and more crowded,leading to high probabilities of marine accidents in complex maritime environments. According to relevant historical statistics, a large number of accidents have happened in water areas that lack high precision navigation data, which can be utilized to enhance navigation safety. The purpose of this work was to carry out ship route planning automatically, by mining historical big automatic identification system(AIS) data. It is well-known that experiential navigation information hidden in maritime big data could be automatically extracted using advanced data mining techniques;assisting in the generation of safe and reliable ship planning routes for complex maritime environments. In this paper, a novel method is proposed to construct a big data-driven framework for generating ship planning routes automatically, under varying navigation conditions. The method performs density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise first on a large number of ship trajectories to form different trajectory vector clusters. Then, it iteratively calculates its centerline in the trajectory vector cluster, and constructs the waterway network from the node-arc topology relationship among these centerlines. The generation of shipping route could be based on the waterway network and conducted by rasterizing the marine environment risks for the sea area not covered by the waterway network. Numerous experiments have been conducted on different AIS data sets in different water areas, and the experimental results have demonstrated the effectiveness of the framework of the ship route planning proposed in this paper.
文摘This study introduces an innovative“Big Model”strategy to enhance Bridge Structural Health Monitoring(SHM)using a Convolutional Neural Network(CNN),time-frequency analysis,and fine element analysis.Leveraging ensemble methods,collaborative learning,and distributed computing,the approach effectively manages the complexity and scale of large-scale bridge data.The CNN employs transfer learning,fine-tuning,and continuous monitoring to optimize models for adaptive and accurate structural health assessments,focusing on extracting meaningful features through time-frequency analysis.By integrating Finite Element Analysis,time-frequency analysis,and CNNs,the strategy provides a comprehensive understanding of bridge health.Utilizing diverse sensor data,sophisticated feature extraction,and advanced CNN architecture,the model is optimized through rigorous preprocessing and hyperparameter tuning.This approach significantly enhances the ability to make accurate predictions,monitor structural health,and support proactive maintenance practices,thereby ensuring the safety and longevity of critical infrastructure.
基金sponsored by the U.S.Department of Housing and Urban Development(Grant No.NJLTS0027-22)The opinions expressed in this study are the authors alone,and do not represent the U.S.Depart-ment of HUD’s opinions.
文摘This paper addresses urban sustainability challenges amid global urbanization, emphasizing the need for innova tive approaches aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals. While traditional tools and linear models offer insights, they fall short in presenting a holistic view of complex urban challenges. System dynamics (SD) models that are often utilized to provide holistic, systematic understanding of a research subject, like the urban system, emerge as valuable tools, but data scarcity and theoretical inadequacy pose challenges. The research reviews relevant papers on recent SD model applications in urban sustainability since 2018, categorizing them based on nine key indicators. Among the reviewed papers, data limitations and model assumptions were identified as ma jor challenges in applying SD models to urban sustainability. This led to exploring the transformative potential of big data analytics, a rare approach in this field as identified by this study, to enhance SD models’ empirical foundation. Integrating big data could provide data-driven calibration, potentially improving predictive accuracy and reducing reliance on simplified assumptions. The paper concludes by advocating for new approaches that reduce assumptions and promote real-time applicable models, contributing to a comprehensive understanding of urban sustainability through the synergy of big data and SD models.
基金support from the Cyber Technology Institute(CTI)at the School of Computer Science and Informatics,De Montfort University,United Kingdom,along with financial assistance from Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia and the UTHM Publisher’s office through publication fund E15216.
文摘Integrating machine learning and data mining is crucial for processing big data and extracting valuable insights to enhance decision-making.However,imbalanced target variables within big data present technical challenges that hinder the performance of supervised learning classifiers on key evaluation metrics,limiting their overall effectiveness.This study presents a comprehensive review of both common and recently developed Supervised Learning Classifiers(SLCs)and evaluates their performance in data-driven decision-making.The evaluation uses various metrics,with a particular focus on the Harmonic Mean Score(F-1 score)on an imbalanced real-world bank target marketing dataset.The findings indicate that grid-search random forest and random-search random forest excel in Precision and area under the curve,while Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost)outperforms other traditional classifiers in terms of F-1 score.Employing oversampling methods to address the imbalanced data shows significant performance improvement in XGBoost,delivering superior results across all metrics,particularly when using the SMOTE variant known as the BorderlineSMOTE2 technique.The study concludes several key factors for effectively addressing the challenges of supervised learning with imbalanced datasets.These factors include the importance of selecting appropriate datasets for training and testing,choosing the right classifiers,employing effective techniques for processing and handling imbalanced datasets,and identifying suitable metrics for performance evaluation.Additionally,factors also entail the utilisation of effective exploratory data analysis in conjunction with visualisation techniques to yield insights conducive to data-driven decision-making.
基金supported by National Key Research and Development Program (2019YFA0708301)National Natural Science Foundation of China (51974337)+2 种基金the Strategic Cooperation Projects of CNPC and CUPB (ZLZX2020-03)Science and Technology Innovation Fund of CNPC (2021DQ02-0403)Open Fund of Petroleum Exploration and Development Research Institute of CNPC (2022-KFKT-09)
文摘We propose an integrated method of data-driven and mechanism models for well logging formation evaluation,explicitly focusing on predicting reservoir parameters,such as porosity and water saturation.Accurately interpreting these parameters is crucial for effectively exploring and developing oil and gas.However,with the increasing complexity of geological conditions in this industry,there is a growing demand for improved accuracy in reservoir parameter prediction,leading to higher costs associated with manual interpretation.The conventional logging interpretation methods rely on empirical relationships between logging data and reservoir parameters,which suffer from low interpretation efficiency,intense subjectivity,and suitability for ideal conditions.The application of artificial intelligence in the interpretation of logging data provides a new solution to the problems existing in traditional methods.It is expected to improve the accuracy and efficiency of the interpretation.If large and high-quality datasets exist,data-driven models can reveal relationships of arbitrary complexity.Nevertheless,constructing sufficiently large logging datasets with reliable labels remains challenging,making it difficult to apply data-driven models effectively in logging data interpretation.Furthermore,data-driven models often act as“black boxes”without explaining their predictions or ensuring compliance with primary physical constraints.This paper proposes a machine learning method with strong physical constraints by integrating mechanism and data-driven models.Prior knowledge of logging data interpretation is embedded into machine learning regarding network structure,loss function,and optimization algorithm.We employ the Physically Informed Auto-Encoder(PIAE)to predict porosity and water saturation,which can be trained without labeled reservoir parameters using self-supervised learning techniques.This approach effectively achieves automated interpretation and facilitates generalization across diverse datasets.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(32370703)the CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences(CIFMS)(2022-I2M-1-021,2021-I2M-1-061)the Major Project of Guangzhou National Labora-tory(GZNL2024A01015).
文摘Viral infectious diseases,characterized by their intricate nature and wide-ranging diversity,pose substantial challenges in the domain of data management.The vast volume of data generated by these diseases,spanning from the molecular mechanisms within cells to large-scale epidemiological patterns,has surpassed the capabilities of traditional analytical methods.In the era of artificial intelligence(AI)and big data,there is an urgent necessity for the optimization of these analytical methods to more effectively handle and utilize the information.Despite the rapid accumulation of data associated with viral infections,the lack of a comprehensive framework for integrating,selecting,and analyzing these datasets has left numerous researchers uncertain about which data to select,how to access it,and how to utilize it most effectively in their research.This review endeavors to fill these gaps by exploring the multifaceted nature of viral infectious diseases and summarizing relevant data across multiple levels,from the molecular details of pathogens to broad epidemiological trends.The scope extends from the micro-scale to the macro-scale,encompassing pathogens,hosts,and vectors.In addition to data summarization,this review thoroughly investigates various dataset sources.It also traces the historical evolution of data collection in the field of viral infectious diseases,highlighting the progress achieved over time.Simultaneously,it evaluates the current limitations that impede data utilization.Furthermore,we propose strategies to surmount these challenges,focusing on the development and application of advanced computational techniques,AI-driven models,and enhanced data integration practices.By providing a comprehensive synthesis of existing knowledge,this review is designed to guide future research and contribute to more informed approaches in the surveillance,prevention,and control of viral infectious diseases,particularly within the context of the expanding big-data landscape.
基金2024 Anqing Normal University University-Level Key Project(ZK2024062D)。
文摘This study examines the Big Data Collection and Preprocessing course at Anhui Institute of Information Engineering,implementing a hybrid teaching reform using the Bosi Smart Learning Platform.The proposed hybrid model follows a“three-stage”and“two-subject”framework,incorporating a structured design for teaching content and assessment methods before,during,and after class.Practical results indicate that this approach significantly enhances teaching effectiveness and improves students’learning autonomy.
基金Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,No.XDB0740000National Key Research and Development Program of China,No.2022YFB3904200,No.2022YFF0711601+1 种基金Key Project of Innovation LREIS,No.PI009National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.42471503。
文摘Deep-time Earth research plays a pivotal role in deciphering the rates,patterns,and mechanisms of Earth's evolutionary processes throughout geological history,providing essential scientific foundations for climate prediction,natural resource exploration,and sustainable planetary stewardship.To advance Deep-time Earth research in the era of big data and artificial intelligence,the International Union of Geological Sciences initiated the“Deeptime Digital Earth International Big Science Program”(DDE)in 2019.At the core of this ambitious program lies the development of geoscience knowledge graphs,serving as a transformative knowledge infrastructure that enables the integration,sharing,mining,and analysis of heterogeneous geoscience big data.The DDE knowledge graph initiative has made significant strides in three critical dimensions:(1)establishing a unified knowledge structure across geoscience disciplines that ensures consistent representation of geological entities and their interrelationships through standardized ontologies and semantic frameworks;(2)developing a robust and scalable software infrastructure capable of supporting both expert-driven and machine-assisted knowledge engineering for large-scale graph construction and management;(3)implementing a comprehensive three-tiered architecture encompassing basic,discipline-specific,and application-oriented knowledge graphs,spanning approximately 20 geoscience disciplines.Through its open knowledge framework and international collaborative network,this initiative has fostered multinational research collaborations,establishing a robust foundation for next-generation geoscience research while propelling the discipline toward FAIR(Findable,Accessible,Interoperable,Reusable)data practices in deep-time Earth systems research.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42220104008)。
文摘Research into metamorphism plays a pivotal role in reconstructing the evolution of continent,particularly through the study of ancient rocks that are highly susceptible to metamorphic alterations due to multiple tectonic activities.In the big data era,the establishment of new data platforms and the application of big data methods have become a focus for metamorphic rocks.Significant progress has been made in creating specialized databases,compiling comprehensive datasets,and utilizing data analytics to address complex scientific questions.However,many existing databases are inadequate in meeting the specific requirements of metamorphic research,resulting from a substantial amount of valuable data remaining uncollected.Therefore,constructing new databases that can cope with the development of the data era is necessary.This article provides an extensive review of existing databases related to metamorphic rocks and discusses data-driven studies in this.Accordingly,several crucial factors that need to be taken into consideration in the establishment of specialized metamorphic databases are identified,aiming to leverage data-driven applications to achieve broader scientific objectives in metamorphic research.
基金Supported by Research and Application of Soil Collection Software and Soil Ecological Big Data Platform in Guangxi Woodland(GUILINKEYAN[2022ZC]44)Construction of Soil Information Database and Visualization System for Artificial Forests in Central Guangxi(2023GXZCLK62).
文摘In this paper,the application of agricultural big data in agricultural economic management is deeply explored,and its potential in promoting profit growth and innovation is analyzed.However,challenges persist in data collection and integration,limitations of analytical technologies,talent development,team building,and policy support when applying agricultural big data.Effective application strategies are proposed,including data-driven precision agriculture practices,construction of data integration and management platforms,data security and privacy protection strategies,as well as long-term planning and development strategies for agricultural big data,to maximize its impact on agricultural economic management.Future advancements require collaborative efforts in technological innovation,talent cultivation,and policy support,to realize the extensive application of agricultural big data in agricultural economic management and ensure sustainable industrial development.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.12272144).
文摘A data-driven model ofmultiple variable cutting(M-VCUT)level set-based substructure is proposed for the topology optimization of lattice structures.TheM-VCUTlevel setmethod is used to represent substructures,enriching their diversity of configuration while ensuring connectivity.To construct the data-driven model of substructure,a database is prepared by sampling the space of substructures spanned by several substructure prototypes.Then,for each substructure in this database,the stiffness matrix is condensed so that its degrees of freedomare reduced.Thereafter,the data-drivenmodel of substructures is constructed through interpolationwith compactly supported radial basis function(CS-RBF).The inputs of the data-driven model are the design variables of topology optimization,and the outputs are the condensed stiffness matrix and volume of substructures.During the optimization,this data-driven model is used,thus avoiding repeated static condensation that would requiremuch computation time.Several numerical examples are provided to verify the proposed method.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.52375380)National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2022YFB3402200)the Key Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.12032018).
文摘The outstanding comprehensive mechanical properties of newly developed hybrid lattice structures make them useful in engineering applications for bearing multiple mechanical loads.Additive-manufacturing technologies make it possible to fabricate these highly spatially programmable structures and greatly enhance the freedom in their design.However,traditional analytical methods do not sufficiently reflect the actual vibration-damping mechanism of lattice structures and are limited by their high computational cost.In this study,a hybrid lattice structure consisting of various cells was designed based on quasi-static and vibration experiments.Subsequently,a novel parametric design method based on a data-driven approach was developed for hybrid lattices with engineered properties.The response surface method was adopted to define the sensitive optimization target.A prediction model for the lattice geometric parameters and vibration properties was established using a backpropagation neural network.Then,it was integrated into the genetic algorithm to create the optimal hybrid lattice with varying geometric features and the required wide-band vibration-damping characteristics.Validation experiments were conducted,demonstrating that the optimized hybrid lattice can achieve the target properties.In addition,the data-driven parametric design method can reduce computation time and be widely applied to complex structural designs when analytical and empirical solutions are unavailable.
基金funded in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 62401167 and 62192712in part by the Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Survey Technology and Application,Ministry of Natural Resources,P.R.China under Grant MESTA-2023-B001in part by the Stable Supporting Fund of National Key Laboratory of Underwater Acoustic Technology under Grant JCKYS2022604SSJS007.
文摘The Underwater Acoustic(UWA)channel is bandwidth-constrained and experiences doubly selective fading.It is challenging to acquire perfect channel knowledge for Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplexing(OFDM)communications using a finite number of pilots.On the other hand,Deep Learning(DL)approaches have been very successful in wireless OFDM communications.However,whether they will work underwater is still a mystery.For the first time,this paper compares two categories of DL-based UWA OFDM receivers:the DataDriven(DD)method,which performs as an end-to-end black box,and the Model-Driven(MD)method,also known as the model-based data-driven method,which combines DL and expert OFDM receiver knowledge.The encoder-decoder framework and Convolutional Neural Network(CNN)structure are employed to establish the DD receiver.On the other hand,an unfolding-based Minimum Mean Square Error(MMSE)structure is adopted for the MD receiver.We analyze the characteristics of different receivers by Monte Carlo simulations under diverse communications conditions and propose a strategy for selecting a proper receiver under different communication scenarios.Field trials in the pool and sea are also conducted to verify the feasibility and advantages of the DL receivers.It is observed that DL receivers perform better than conventional receivers in terms of bit error rate.
文摘When assessing seismic liquefaction potential with data-driven models,addressing the uncertainties of establishing models,interpreting cone penetration tests(CPT)data and decision threshold is crucial for avoiding biased data selection,ameliorating overconfident models,and being flexible to varying practical objectives,especially when the training and testing data are not identically distributed.A workflow characterized by leveraging Bayesian methodology was proposed to address these issues.Employing a Multi-Layer Perceptron(MLP)as the foundational model,this approach was benchmarked against empirical methods and advanced algorithms for its efficacy in simplicity,accuracy,and resistance to overfitting.The analysis revealed that,while MLP models optimized via maximum a posteriori algorithm suffices for straightforward scenarios,Bayesian neural networks showed great potential for preventing overfitting.Additionally,integrating decision thresholds through various evaluative principles offers insights for challenging decisions.Two case studies demonstrate the framework's capacity for nuanced interpretation of in situ data,employing a model committee for a detailed evaluation of liquefaction potential via Monte Carlo simulations and basic statistics.Overall,the proposed step-by-step workflow for analyzing seismic liquefaction incorporates multifold testing and real-world data validation,showing improved robustness against overfitting and greater versatility in addressing practical challenges.This research contributes to the seismic liquefaction assessment field by providing a structured,adaptable methodology for accurate and reliable analysis.
基金funded by the Key Research and Development Program of Shaanxi,China(No.2024GX-YBXM-503)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51974254)。
文摘Hydraulic fracturing technology has achieved remarkable results in improving the production of tight gas reservoirs,but its effectiveness is under the joint action of multiple factors of complexity.Traditional analysis methods have limitations in dealing with these complex and interrelated factors,and it is difficult to fully reveal the actual contribution of each factor to the production.Machine learning-based methods explore the complex mapping relationships between large amounts of data to provide datadriven insights into the key factors driving production.In this study,a data-driven PCA-RF-VIM(Principal Component Analysis-Random Forest-Variable Importance Measures)approach of analyzing the importance of features is proposed to identify the key factors driving post-fracturing production.Four types of parameters,including log parameters,geological and reservoir physical parameters,hydraulic fracturing design parameters,and reservoir stimulation parameters,were inputted into the PCA-RF-VIM model.The model was trained using 6-fold cross-validation and grid search,and the relative importance ranking of each factor was finally obtained.In order to verify the validity of the PCA-RF-VIM model,a consolidation model that uses three other independent data-driven methods(Pearson correlation coefficient,RF feature significance analysis method,and XGboost feature significance analysis method)are applied to compare with the PCA-RF-VIM model.A comparison the two models shows that they contain almost the same parameters in the top ten,with only minor differences in one parameter.In combination with the reservoir characteristics,the reasonableness of the PCA-RF-VIM model is verified,and the importance ranking of the parameters by this method is more consistent with the reservoir characteristics of the study area.Ultimately,the ten parameters are selected as the controlling factors that have the potential to influence post-fracturing gas production,as the combined importance of these top ten parameters is 91.95%on driving natural gas production.Analyzing and obtaining these ten controlling factors provides engineers with a new insight into the reservoir selection for fracturing stimulation and fracturing parameter optimization to improve fracturing efficiency and productivity.
文摘In the rapidly evolving technological landscape,state-owned enterprises(SOEs)encounter significant challenges in sustaining their competitiveness through efficient R&D management.Integrated Product Development(IPD),with its emphasis on cross-functional teamwork,concurrent engineering,and data-driven decision-making,has been widely recognized for enhancing R&D efficiency and product quality.However,the unique characteristics of SOEs pose challenges to the effective implementation of IPD.The advancement of big data and artificial intelligence technologies offers new opportunities for optimizing IPD R&D management through data-driven decision-making models.This paper constructs and validates a data-driven decision-making model tailored to the IPD R&D management of SOEs.By integrating data mining,machine learning,and other advanced analytical techniques,the model serves as a scientific and efficient decision-making tool.It aids SOEs in optimizing R&D resource allocation,shortening product development cycles,reducing R&D costs,and improving product quality and innovation.Moreover,this study contributes to a deeper theoretical understanding of the value of data-driven decision-making in the context of IPD.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(Project No.:12371428)Projects of the Provincial College Students’Innovation and Training Program in 2024(Project No.:S202413023106,S202413023110)。
文摘This paper focuses on the numerical solution of a tumor growth model under a data-driven approach.Based on the inherent laws of the data and reasonable assumptions,an ordinary differential equation model for tumor growth is established.Nonlinear fitting is employed to obtain the optimal parameter estimation of the mathematical model,and the numerical solution is carried out using the Matlab software.By comparing the clinical data with the simulation results,a good agreement is achieved,which verifies the rationality and feasibility of the model.
基金This paper is the research result of“Research on Innovation of Evidence-Based Teaching Paradigm in Vocational Education under the Background of New Quality Productivity”(2024JXQ176)the Shandong Province Artificial Intelligence Education Research Project(SDDJ202501035),which explores the application of artificial intelligence big models in student value-added evaluation from an evidence-based perspective。
文摘Based on the educational evaluation reform,this study explores the construction of an evidence-based value-added evaluation system based on data-driven,aiming to solve the limitations of traditional evaluation methods.The research adopts the method of combining theoretical analysis and practical application,and designs the evidence-based value-added evaluation framework,which includes the core elements of a multi-source heterogeneous data acquisition and processing system,a value-added evaluation agent based on a large model,and an evaluation implementation and application mechanism.Through empirical research verification,the evaluation system has remarkable effects in improving learning participation,promoting ability development,and supporting teaching decision-making,and provides a theoretical reference and practical path for educational evaluation reform in the new era.The research shows that the evidence-based value-added evaluation system based on data-driven can reflect students’actual progress more fairly and objectively by accurately measuring the difference in starting point and development range of students,and provide strong support for the realization of high-quality education development.
基金supported by the Strategic Research and Consulting Project of the Chinese Academy of Engineering[grant number 2024-XBZD-14]the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers 42192553 and 41922036]the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities–Cemac“GeoX”Interdisciplinary Program[grant number 020714380207]。
文摘The impacts of lateral boundary conditions(LBCs)provided by numerical models and data-driven networks on convective-scale ensemble forecasts are investigated in this study.Four experiments are conducted on the Hangzhou RDP(19th Hangzhou Asian Games Research Development Project on Convective-scale Ensemble Prediction and Application)testbed,with the LBCs respectively sourced from National Centers for Environmental Prediction(NCEP)Global Forecast System(GFS)forecasts with 33 vertical levels(Exp_GFS),Pangu forecasts with 13 vertical levels(Exp_Pangu),Fuxi forecasts with 13 vertical levels(Exp_Fuxi),and NCEP GFS forecasts with the vertical levels reduced to 13(the same as those of Exp_Pangu and Exp_Fuxi)(Exp_GFSRDV).In general,Exp_Pangu performs comparably to Exp_GFS,while Exp_Fuxi shows slightly inferior performance compared to Exp_Pangu,possibly due to its less accurate large-scale predictions.Therefore,the ability of using data-driven networks to efficiently provide LBCs for convective-scale ensemble forecasts has been demonstrated.Moreover,Exp_GFSRDV has the worst convective-scale forecasts among the four experiments,which indicates the potential improvement of using data-driven networks for LBCs by increasing the vertical levels of the networks.However,the ensemble spread of the four experiments barely increases with lead time.Thus,each experiment has insufficient ensemble spread to present realistic forecast uncertainties,which will be investigated in a future study.
