The remaining useful life prediction of rolling bearing is vital in safety and reliability guarantee.In engineering scenarios,only a small amount of bearing performance degradation data can be obtained through acceler...The remaining useful life prediction of rolling bearing is vital in safety and reliability guarantee.In engineering scenarios,only a small amount of bearing performance degradation data can be obtained through accelerated life testing.In the absence of lifetime data,the hidden long-term correlation between performance degradation data is challenging to mine effectively,which is the main factor that restricts the prediction precision and engineering application of the residual life prediction method.To address this problem,a novel method based on the multi-layer perception neural network and bidirectional long short-term memory network is proposed.Firstly,a nonlinear health indicator(HI)calculation method based on kernel principal component analysis(KPCA)and exponential weighted moving average(EWMA)is designed.Then,using the raw vibration data and HI,a multi-layer perceptron(MLP)neural network is trained to further calculate the HI of the online bearing in real time.Furthermore,The bidirectional long short-term memory model(BiLSTM)optimized by particle swarm optimization(PSO)is used to mine the time series features of HI and predict the remaining service life.Performance verification experiments and comparative experiments are carried out on the XJTU-SY bearing open dataset.The research results indicate that this method has an excellent ability to predict future HI and remaining life.展开更多
Based on data from the Jilin Water Diversion Tunnels from the Songhua River(China),an improved and real-time prediction method optimized by multi-algorithm for tunnel boring machine(TBM)cutter-head torque is presented...Based on data from the Jilin Water Diversion Tunnels from the Songhua River(China),an improved and real-time prediction method optimized by multi-algorithm for tunnel boring machine(TBM)cutter-head torque is presented.Firstly,a function excluding invalid and abnormal data is established to distinguish TBM operating state,and a feature selection method based on the SelectKBest algorithm is proposed.Accordingly,ten features that are most closely related to the cutter-head torque are selected as input variables,which,in descending order of influence,include the sum of motor torque,cutter-head power,sum of motor power,sum of motor current,advance rate,cutter-head pressure,total thrust force,penetration rate,cutter-head rotational velocity,and field penetration index.Secondly,a real-time cutterhead torque prediction model’s structure is developed,based on the bidirectional long short-term memory(BLSTM)network integrating the dropout algorithm to prevent overfitting.Then,an algorithm to optimize hyperparameters of model based on Bayesian and cross-validation is proposed.Early stopping and checkpoint algorithms are integrated to optimize the training process.Finally,a BLSTMbased real-time cutter-head torque prediction model is developed,which fully utilizes the previous time-series tunneling information.The mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)of the model in the verification section is 7.3%,implying that the presented model is suitable for real-time cutter-head torque prediction.Furthermore,an incremental learning method based on the above base model is introduced to improve the adaptability of the model during the TBM tunneling.Comparison of the prediction performance between the base and incremental learning models in the same tunneling section shows that:(1)the MAPE of the predicted results of the BLSTM-based real-time cutter-head torque prediction model remains below 10%,and both the coefficient of determination(R^(2))and correlation coefficient(r)between measured and predicted values exceed 0.95;and(2)the incremental learning method is suitable for realtime cutter-head torque prediction and can effectively improve the prediction accuracy and generalization capacity of the model during the excavation process.展开更多
Turbofan engine is a critical aircraft component with complex structure and high-reliability requirements. Effectively predicting the remaining useful life(RUL) of turbofan engines has essential significance for devel...Turbofan engine is a critical aircraft component with complex structure and high-reliability requirements. Effectively predicting the remaining useful life(RUL) of turbofan engines has essential significance for developing maintenance strategies and reducing maintenance costs. Considering the characteristics of large sample size and high dimension of monitoring data, a hybrid health condition prediction model integrating the advantages of autoencoder and bidirectional long short-term memory(BLSTM) is proposed to improve the prediction accuracy of RUL. Autoencoder is used as a feature extractor to compress condition monitoring data. BLSTM is designed to capture the bidirectional long-range dependencies of features. A hybrid deep learning prediction model of RUL is constructed. This model has been tested on a benchmark dataset. The results demonstrate that this autoencoder-BLSTM hybrid model has a better prediction accuracy than the existing methods, such as multi-layer perceptron(MLP), support vector regression(SVR), convolutional neural network(CNN) and long short-term memory(LSTM). The proposed model can provide strong support for the health management and maintenance strategy development of turbofan engines.展开更多
The increasingly severe state of coal burst disaster has emerged as a critical factor constraining coal mine safety production,and it has become a challenging task to enhance the accuracy of coal burst disaster predic...The increasingly severe state of coal burst disaster has emerged as a critical factor constraining coal mine safety production,and it has become a challenging task to enhance the accuracy of coal burst disaster prediction.To address the issue of insufficient exploration of the spatio-temporal characteristic of microseismic data and the challenging selection of the optimal time window size in spatio-temporal prediction,this paper integrates deep learning methods and theory to propose a novel coal burst spatio-temporal prediction method based on Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory(Bi-LSTM)network.The method involves three main modules,including microseismic spatio-temporal characteristic indicators construction,temporal prediction model,and spatial prediction model.To validate the effectiveness of the proposed method,engineering application tests are conducted at a high-risk working face in the Ordos mining area of Inner Mongolia,focusing on 13 high-energy microseismic events with energy levels greater than 105 J.In terms of temporal prediction,the analysis indicates that the temporal prediction results consist of 10 strong predictions and 3 medium predictions,and there is no false alarm detected throughout the entire testing period.Moreover,compared to the traditional threshold-based coal burst temporal prediction method,the accuracy of the proposed method is increased by 38.5%.In terms of spatial prediction,the distribution of spatial prediction results for high-energy events comprises 6 strong hazard predictions,3 medium hazard predictions,and 4 weak hazard predictions.展开更多
There are two technical challenges in predicting slope deformation.The first one is the random displacement,which could not be decomposed and predicted by numerically resolving the observed accumulated displacement an...There are two technical challenges in predicting slope deformation.The first one is the random displacement,which could not be decomposed and predicted by numerically resolving the observed accumulated displacement and time series of a landslide.The second one is the dynamic evolution of a landslide,which could not be feasibly simulated simply by traditional prediction models.In this paper,a dynamic model of displacement prediction is introduced for composite landslides based on a combination of empirical mode decomposition with soft screening stop criteria(SSSC-EMD)and deep bidirectional long short-term memory(DBi-LSTM)neural network.In the proposed model,the time series analysis and SSSC-EMD are used to decompose the observed accumulated displacements of a slope into three components,viz.trend displacement,periodic displacement,and random displacement.Then,by analyzing the evolution pattern of a landslide and its key factors triggering landslides,appropriate influencing factors are selected for each displacement component,and DBi-LSTM neural network to carry out multi-datadriven dynamic prediction for each displacement component.An accumulated displacement prediction has been obtained by a summation of each component.For accuracy verification and engineering practicability of the model,field observations from two known landslides in China,the Xintan landslide and the Bazimen landslide were collected for comparison and evaluation.The case study verified that the model proposed in this paper can better characterize the"stepwise"deformation characteristics of a slope.As compared with long short-term memory(LSTM)neural network,support vector machine(SVM),and autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA)model,DBi-LSTM neural network has higher accuracy in predicting the periodic displacement of slope deformation,with the mean absolute percentage error reduced by 3.063%,14.913%,and 13.960%respectively,and the root mean square error reduced by 1.951 mm,8.954 mm and 7.790 mm respectively.Conclusively,this model not only has high prediction accuracy but also is more stable,which can provide new insight for practical landslide prevention and control engineering.展开更多
With the application of artificial intelligence technology in the power industry,the knowledge graph is expected to play a key role in power grid dispatch processes,intelligent maintenance,and customer service respons...With the application of artificial intelligence technology in the power industry,the knowledge graph is expected to play a key role in power grid dispatch processes,intelligent maintenance,and customer service response provision.Knowledge graphs are usually constructed based on entity recognition.Specifically,based on the mining of entity attributes and relationships,domain knowledge graphs can be constructed through knowledge fusion.In this work,the entities and characteristics of power entity recognition are analyzed,the mechanism of entity recognition is clarified,and entity recognition techniques are analyzed in the context of the power domain.Power entity recognition based on the conditional random fields (CRF) and bidirectional long short-term memory (BLSTM) models is investigated,and the two methods are comparatively analyzed.The results indicated that the CRF model,with an accuracy of 83%,can better identify the power entities compared to the BLSTM.The CRF approach can thus be applied to the entity extraction for knowledge graph construction in the power field.展开更多
In this paper,the recurrent neural network structure of a bidirectional long shortterm memory network(Bi-LSTM)with special memory cells that store information is used to characterize the deep features of the variation...In this paper,the recurrent neural network structure of a bidirectional long shortterm memory network(Bi-LSTM)with special memory cells that store information is used to characterize the deep features of the variation pattern between logging and seismic data.A mapping relationship model between high-frequency logging data and low-frequency seismic data is established via nonlinear mapping.The seismic waveform is infinitely approximated using the logging curve in the low-frequency band to obtain a nonlinear mapping model of this scale,which then stepwise approach the logging curve in the high-frequency band.Finally,a seismic-inversion method of nonlinear mapping multilevel well–seismic matching based on the Bi-LSTM network is developed.The characteristic of this method is that by applying the multilevel well–seismic matching process,the seismic data are stepwise matched to the scale range that is consistent with the logging curve.Further,the matching operator at each level can be stably obtained to effectively overcome the problems that occur in the well–seismic matching process,such as the inconsistency in the scale of two types of data,accuracy in extracting the seismic wavelet of the well-side seismic traces,and multiplicity of solutions.Model test and practical application demonstrate that this method improves the vertical resolution of inversion results,and at the same time,the boundary and the lateral characteristics of the sand body are well maintained to improve the accuracy of thin-layer sand body prediction and achieve an improved practical application effect.展开更多
Breast cancer is a significant threat to the global population,affecting not only women but also a threat to the entire population.With recent advancements in digital pathology,Eosin and hematoxylin images provide enh...Breast cancer is a significant threat to the global population,affecting not only women but also a threat to the entire population.With recent advancements in digital pathology,Eosin and hematoxylin images provide enhanced clarity in examiningmicroscopic features of breast tissues based on their staining properties.Early cancer detection facilitates the quickening of the therapeutic process,thereby increasing survival rates.The analysis made by medical professionals,especially pathologists,is time-consuming and challenging,and there arises a need for automated breast cancer detection systems.The upcoming artificial intelligence platforms,especially deep learning models,play an important role in image diagnosis and prediction.Initially,the histopathology biopsy images are taken from standard data sources.Further,the gathered images are given as input to the Multi-Scale Dilated Vision Transformer,where the essential features are acquired.Subsequently,the features are subjected to the Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory(Bi-LSTM)for classifying the breast cancer disorder.The efficacy of the model is evaluated using divergent metrics.When compared with other methods,the proposed work reveals that it offers impressive results for detection.展开更多
The problems in equipment fault detection include data dimension explosion,computational complexity,low detection accuracy,etc.To solve these problems,a device anomaly detection algorithm based on enhanced long short-...The problems in equipment fault detection include data dimension explosion,computational complexity,low detection accuracy,etc.To solve these problems,a device anomaly detection algorithm based on enhanced long short-term memory(LSTM)is proposed.The algorithm first reduces the dimensionality of the device sensor data by principal component analysis(PCA),extracts the strongly correlated variable data among the multidimensional sensor data with the lowest possible information loss,and then uses the enhanced stacked LSTM to predict the extracted temporal data,thus improving the accuracy of anomaly detection.To improve the efficiency of the anomaly detection,a genetic algorithm(GA)is used to adjust the magnitude of the enhancements made by the LSTM model.The validation of the actual data from the pumps shows that the algorithm has significantly improved the recall rate and the detection speed of device anomaly detection,with the recall rate of 97.07%,which indicates that the algorithm is effective and efficient for device anomaly detection in the actual production environment.展开更多
To enhance the refinement of load decomposition in power systems and fully leverage seasonal change information to further improve prediction performance,this paper proposes a seasonal short-termload combination predi...To enhance the refinement of load decomposition in power systems and fully leverage seasonal change information to further improve prediction performance,this paper proposes a seasonal short-termload combination prediction model based on modal decomposition and a feature-fusion multi-algorithm hybrid neural network model.Specifically,the characteristics of load components are analyzed for different seasons,and the corresponding models are established.First,the improved complete ensemble empirical modal decomposition with adaptive noise(ICEEMDAN)method is employed to decompose the system load for all four seasons,and the new sequence is obtained through reconstruction based on the refined composite multiscale fuzzy entropy of each decomposition component.Second,the correlation between different decomposition components and different features is measured through the max-relevance and min-redundancy method to filter out the subset of features with strong correlation and low redundancy.Finally,different components of the load in different seasons are predicted separately using a bidirectional long-short-term memory network model based on a Bayesian optimization algorithm,with a prediction resolution of 15 min,and the predicted values are accumulated to obtain the final results.According to the experimental findings,the proposed method can successfully balance prediction accuracy and prediction time while offering a higher level of prediction accuracy than the current prediction methods.The results demonstrate that the proposedmethod can effectively address the load power variation induced by seasonal differences in different regions.展开更多
The accuracy of photovoltaic(PV)power prediction is significantly influenced by meteorological and environmental factors.To enhance ultra-short-term forecasting precision,this paper proposes an interpretable feedback ...The accuracy of photovoltaic(PV)power prediction is significantly influenced by meteorological and environmental factors.To enhance ultra-short-term forecasting precision,this paper proposes an interpretable feedback prediction method based on a parallel dual-stream Temporal Convolutional Network-Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory(TCN-BiLSTM)architecture incorporating a spatiotemporal attention mechanism.Firstly,during data preprocessing,the optimal historical time window is determined through autocorrelation analysis while highly correlated features are selected as model inputs using Pearson correlation coefficients.Subsequently,a parallel dual-stream TCN-BiLSTM model is constructed where the TCN branch extracts localized transient features and the BiLSTM branch captures long-term periodic patterns,with spatiotemporal attention dynamically weighting spatiotemporal dependencies.Finally,Shapley Additive explanations(SHAP)additive analysis quantifies feature contribution rates and provides optimization feedback to the model.Validation using operational data from a PV power station in Northeast China demonstrates that compared to conventional deep learning models,the proposed method achieves a 17.6%reduction in root mean square error(RMSE),a 5.4%decrease in training time consumption,and a 4.78%improvement in continuous ranked probability score(CRPS),exhibiting significant advantages in both prediction accuracy and generalization capability.This approach enhances the application effectiveness of ultra-short-term PV power forecasting while simultaneously improving prediction accuracy and computational efficiency.展开更多
Early and accurate detection of bone cancer and marrow cell abnormalities is critical for timely intervention and improved patient outcomes.This paper proposes a novel hybrid deep learning framework that integrates a ...Early and accurate detection of bone cancer and marrow cell abnormalities is critical for timely intervention and improved patient outcomes.This paper proposes a novel hybrid deep learning framework that integrates a Convolutional Neural Network(CNN)with a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory(BiLSTM)architecture,optimized using the Firefly Optimization algorithm(FO).The proposed CNN-BiLSTM-FO model is tailored for structured biomedical data,capturing both local patterns and sequential dependencies in diagnostic features,while the Firefly Algorithm fine-tunes key hyperparameters to maximize predictive performance.The approach is evaluated on two benchmark biomedical datasets:one comprising diagnostic data for bone cancer detection and another for identifying marrow cell abnormalities.Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms standard deep learning models,including CNN,LSTM,BiLSTM,and CNN-LSTM hybrids,significantly.The CNNBiLSTM-FO model achieves an accuracy of 98.55%for bone cancer detection and 96.04%for marrow abnormality classification.The paper also presents a detailed complexity analysis of the proposed algorithm and compares its performance across multiple evaluation metrics such as precision,recall,F1-score,and AUC.The results confirm the effectiveness of the firefly-based optimization strategy in improving classification accuracy and model robustness.This work introduces a scalable and accurate diagnostic solution that holds strong potential for integration into intelligent clinical decision-support systems.展开更多
Accurately predicting motion responses is a crucial component of the design process for floating offshore structures.This study introduces a hybrid model that integrates a convolutional neural network(CNN),a bidirecti...Accurately predicting motion responses is a crucial component of the design process for floating offshore structures.This study introduces a hybrid model that integrates a convolutional neural network(CNN),a bidirectional long short-term memory(BiLSTM)neural network,and an attention mechanism for forecasting the short-term motion responses of a semisubmersible.First,the motions are processed through the CNN for feature extraction.The extracted features are subsequently utilized by the BiLSTM network to forecast future motions.To enhance the predictive capability of the neural networks,an attention mechanism is integrated.In addition to the hybrid model,the BiLSTM is independently employed to forecast the motion responses of the semi-submersible,serving as benchmark results for comparison.Furthermore,both the 1D and 2D convolutions are conducted to check the influence of the convolutional dimensionality on the predicted results.The results demonstrate that the hybrid 1D CNN-BiLSTM network with an attention mechanism outperforms all other models in accurately predicting motion responses.展开更多
Healthcare organizations rely on patients’feedback and experiences to evaluate their performance and services,thereby allowing such organizations to improve inadequate services and address any shortcomings.According ...Healthcare organizations rely on patients’feedback and experiences to evaluate their performance and services,thereby allowing such organizations to improve inadequate services and address any shortcomings.According to the literature,social networks and particularly Twitter are effective platforms for gathering public opinions.Moreover,recent studies have used natural language processing to measure sentiments in text segments collected from Twitter to capture public opinions about various sectors,including healthcare.The present study aimed to analyze Arabic Twitter-based patient experience sentiments and to introduce an Arabic patient experience corpus.The authors collected 12,400 tweets from Arabic patients discussing patient experiences related to healthcare organizations in Saudi Arabia from 1 January 2008 to 29 January 2022.The tweets were labeled according to sentiment(positive or negative)and sector(public or private),and thereby the Hospital Patient Experiences in Saudi Arabia(HoPE-SA)dataset was produced.A simple statistical analysis was conducted to examine differences in patient views of healthcare sectors.The authors trained five models to distinguish sentiments in tweets automatically with the following schemes:a transformer-based model fine-tuned with deep learning architecture and a transformer-based model fine-tuned with simple architecture,using two different transformer-based embeddings based on Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers(BERT),Multi-dialect Arabic BERT(MAR-BERT),and multilingual BERT(mBERT),as well as a pretrained word2vec model with a support vector machine classifier.This is the first study to investigate the use of a bidirectional long short-term memory layer followed by a feedforward neural network for the fine-tuning of MARBERT.The deep-learning fine-tuned MARBERT-based model—the authors’best-performing model—achieved accuracy,micro-F1,and macro-F1 scores of 98.71%,98.73%,and 98.63%,respectively.展开更多
Responding to the stochasticity and uncertainty in the power height of distributed photovoltaic power generation.This paper presents a distributed photovoltaic ultra-short-term power forecasting method based on Variat...Responding to the stochasticity and uncertainty in the power height of distributed photovoltaic power generation.This paper presents a distributed photovoltaic ultra-short-term power forecasting method based on Variational Mode Decomposition(VMD)and Channel Attention Mechanism.First,Pearson’s correlation coefficient was utilized to filter out the meteorological factors that had a high impact on historical power.Second,the distributed PV power data were decomposed into a relatively smooth power series with different fluctuation patterns using variational modal decomposition(VMD).Finally,the reconstructed distributed PV power as well as other features are input into the combined CNN-SENet-BiLSTM model.In this model,the convolutional neural network(CNN)and channel attention mechanism dynamically adjust the weights while capturing the spatial features of the input data to improve the discriminative ability of key features.The extracted data is then fed into the bidirectional long short-term memory network(BiLSTM)to capture the time-series features,and the final output is the prediction result.The verification is conducted using a dataset from a distributed photovoltaic power station in the Northwest region of China.The results show that compared with other prediction methods,the method proposed in this paper has a higher prediction accuracy,which helps to improve the proportion of distributed PV access to the grid,and can guarantee the safe and stable operation of the power grid.展开更多
Load forecasting is of great significance to the development of new power systems.With the advancement of smart grids,the integration and distribution of distributed renewable energy sources and power electronics devi...Load forecasting is of great significance to the development of new power systems.With the advancement of smart grids,the integration and distribution of distributed renewable energy sources and power electronics devices have made power load data increasingly complex and volatile.This places higher demands on the prediction and analysis of power loads.In order to improve the prediction accuracy of short-term power load,a CNN-BiLSTMTPA short-term power prediction model based on the Improved Whale Optimization Algorithm(IWOA)with mixed strategies was proposed.Firstly,the model combined the Convolutional Neural Network(CNN)with the Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory Network(BiLSTM)to fully extract the spatio-temporal characteristics of the load data itself.Then,the Temporal Pattern Attention(TPA)mechanism was introduced into the CNN-BiLSTM model to automatically assign corresponding weights to the hidden states of the BiLSTM.This allowed the model to differentiate the importance of load sequences at different time intervals.At the same time,in order to solve the problem of the difficulties of selecting the parameters of the temporal model,and the poor global search ability of the whale algorithm,which is easy to fall into the local optimization,the whale algorithm(IWOA)was optimized by using the hybrid strategy of Tent chaos mapping and Levy flight strategy,so as to better search the parameters of the model.In this experiment,the real load data of a region in Zhejiang was taken as an example to analyze,and the prediction accuracy(R2)of the proposed method reached 98.83%.Compared with the prediction models such as BP,WOA-CNN-BiLSTM,SSA-CNN-BiLSTM,CNN-BiGRU-Attention,etc.,the experimental results showed that the model proposed in this study has a higher prediction accuracy.展开更多
With the widespread use of blockchain technology for smart contracts and decentralized applications on the Ethereum platform, the blockchain has become a cornerstone of trust in the modern financial system. However, i...With the widespread use of blockchain technology for smart contracts and decentralized applications on the Ethereum platform, the blockchain has become a cornerstone of trust in the modern financial system. However, its anonymity has provided new ways for Ponzi schemes to commit fraud, posing significant risks to investors. Current research still has some limitations, for example, Ponzi schemes are difficult to detect in the early stages of smart contract deployment, and data imbalance is not considered. In addition, there is room for improving the detection accuracy. To address the above issues, this paper proposes LT-SPSD (LSTM-Transformer smart Ponzi schemes detection), which is a Ponzi scheme detection method that combines Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Transformer considering the time-series transaction information of smart contracts as well as the global information. Based on the verified smart contract addresses, account features, and code features are extracted to construct a feature dataset, and the SMOTE-Tomek algorithm is used to deal with the imbalanced data classification problem. By comparing our method with the other four typical detection methods in the experiment, the LT-SPSD method shows significant performance improvement in precision, recall, and F1-score. The results of the experiment confirm the efficacy of the model, which has some application value in Ethereum Ponzi scheme smart contract detection.展开更多
Power prediction has been critical in large-scale wind power grid connections.However,traditional wind power prediction methods have long suffered from problems,for instance low prediction accuracy and poor reliabilit...Power prediction has been critical in large-scale wind power grid connections.However,traditional wind power prediction methods have long suffered from problems,for instance low prediction accuracy and poor reliability.For this purpose,a hybrid prediction model(VMD-LSTM-Attention)has been proposed,which integrates the variational modal decomposition(VMD),the long short-term memory(LSTM),and the attention mechanism(Attention),and has been optimized by improved dung beetle optimization algorithm(IDBO).Firstly,the algorithm's performance has been significantly enhanced through the implementation of three key strategies,namely the elite group strategy of the Logistic-Tent map,the nonlinear adjustment factor,and the adaptive T-distribution disturbance mechanism.Subsequently,IDBO has been applied to optimize the important parameters of VMD(decomposition layers and penalty factors)to ensure the best decomposition signal is obtained;Furthermore,the IDBO has been deployed to optimize the three key hyper-parameters of the LSTM,thereby improving its learning capability.Finally,an Attention mechanism has been incorporated to adaptively weight temporal features,thus increasing the model's ability to focus on key information.Comprehensive simulation experiments have demonstrated that the proposed model achieves higher prediction accuracy compared with VMD-LSTM,VMD-LSTM-Attention,and traditional prediction methods,and quantitative indexes verify the efectiveness of the algorithmic improvement as well as the excellence and precision of the model in wind power prediction.展开更多
Accurate forecasting of electricity spot prices is crucial for market participants in formulating bidding strategies.However,the extreme volatility of electricity spot prices,influenced by various factors,poses signif...Accurate forecasting of electricity spot prices is crucial for market participants in formulating bidding strategies.However,the extreme volatility of electricity spot prices,influenced by various factors,poses significant challenges for forecasting.To address the data uncertainty of electricity prices and effectively mitigate gradient issues,overfitting,and computational challenges associated with using a single model during forecasting,this paper proposes a framework for forecasting spot market electricity prices by integrating wavelet packet decomposition(WPD)with a hybrid deep neural network.By ensuring accurate data decomposition,the WPD algorithm aids in detecting fluctuating patterns and isolating random noise.The hybrid model integrates temporal convolutional networks(TCN)and long short-term memory(LSTM)networks to enhance feature extraction and improve forecasting performance.Compared to other techniques,it significantly reduces average errors,decreasing mean absolute error(MAE)by 27.3%,root mean square error(RMSE)by 66.9%,and mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)by 22.8%.This framework effectively captures the intricate fluctuations present in the time series,resulting in more accurate and reliable predictions.展开更多
开展公路隧道结构状态精准预测是掌握隧道结构状态变化、识别潜在安全风险和保障安全运营的重要技术手段。针对隧道监控量测测点的空间分布与时序特性,提出了一种基于河马优化(Hippopotamus Optimization, HO)算法和卷积神经网络(Convol...开展公路隧道结构状态精准预测是掌握隧道结构状态变化、识别潜在安全风险和保障安全运营的重要技术手段。针对隧道监控量测测点的空间分布与时序特性,提出了一种基于河马优化(Hippopotamus Optimization, HO)算法和卷积神经网络(Convolutional Neural Network, CNN)的双向长短期记忆(Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory, BiLSTM)网络公路隧道结构状态预测方法。量化分析测点间关联性,结合温度特征构建模型输入矩阵;利用CNN挖掘各测点的空间关联性,采用BiLSTM提取时间序列特征,引入HO算法优化模型参数;将预测结果映射为隧道结构状态等级,展示隧道整体受力状态。结果表明,建立的HO-CNN-BiLSTM模型能够有效提取空间和温度特征,在预测精度和稳定性方面均优于对比模型,可实现隧道结构状态精确评估,为公路隧道的安全运营及分级管控措施制定提供技术支撑。展开更多
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Project(Grant Number 2023YFB3709601)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Numbers 62373215,62373219,62073193)+2 种基金the Key Research and Development Plan of Shandong Province(Grant Numbers 2021CXGC010204,2022CXGC020902)the Fundamental Research Funds of Shandong University(Grant Number 2021JCG008)the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province(Grant Number ZR2023MF100).
文摘The remaining useful life prediction of rolling bearing is vital in safety and reliability guarantee.In engineering scenarios,only a small amount of bearing performance degradation data can be obtained through accelerated life testing.In the absence of lifetime data,the hidden long-term correlation between performance degradation data is challenging to mine effectively,which is the main factor that restricts the prediction precision and engineering application of the residual life prediction method.To address this problem,a novel method based on the multi-layer perception neural network and bidirectional long short-term memory network is proposed.Firstly,a nonlinear health indicator(HI)calculation method based on kernel principal component analysis(KPCA)and exponential weighted moving average(EWMA)is designed.Then,using the raw vibration data and HI,a multi-layer perceptron(MLP)neural network is trained to further calculate the HI of the online bearing in real time.Furthermore,The bidirectional long short-term memory model(BiLSTM)optimized by particle swarm optimization(PSO)is used to mine the time series features of HI and predict the remaining service life.Performance verification experiments and comparative experiments are carried out on the XJTU-SY bearing open dataset.The research results indicate that this method has an excellent ability to predict future HI and remaining life.
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 52074258, 41941018, and U21A20153)
文摘Based on data from the Jilin Water Diversion Tunnels from the Songhua River(China),an improved and real-time prediction method optimized by multi-algorithm for tunnel boring machine(TBM)cutter-head torque is presented.Firstly,a function excluding invalid and abnormal data is established to distinguish TBM operating state,and a feature selection method based on the SelectKBest algorithm is proposed.Accordingly,ten features that are most closely related to the cutter-head torque are selected as input variables,which,in descending order of influence,include the sum of motor torque,cutter-head power,sum of motor power,sum of motor current,advance rate,cutter-head pressure,total thrust force,penetration rate,cutter-head rotational velocity,and field penetration index.Secondly,a real-time cutterhead torque prediction model’s structure is developed,based on the bidirectional long short-term memory(BLSTM)network integrating the dropout algorithm to prevent overfitting.Then,an algorithm to optimize hyperparameters of model based on Bayesian and cross-validation is proposed.Early stopping and checkpoint algorithms are integrated to optimize the training process.Finally,a BLSTMbased real-time cutter-head torque prediction model is developed,which fully utilizes the previous time-series tunneling information.The mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)of the model in the verification section is 7.3%,implying that the presented model is suitable for real-time cutter-head torque prediction.Furthermore,an incremental learning method based on the above base model is introduced to improve the adaptability of the model during the TBM tunneling.Comparison of the prediction performance between the base and incremental learning models in the same tunneling section shows that:(1)the MAPE of the predicted results of the BLSTM-based real-time cutter-head torque prediction model remains below 10%,and both the coefficient of determination(R^(2))and correlation coefficient(r)between measured and predicted values exceed 0.95;and(2)the incremental learning method is suitable for realtime cutter-head torque prediction and can effectively improve the prediction accuracy and generalization capacity of the model during the excavation process.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.51505288 and 51875359)the TBT Project of Shanghai(No.18TBT003)the Project of Shanghai Telecom(No.17C1ZA0069SH301)
文摘Turbofan engine is a critical aircraft component with complex structure and high-reliability requirements. Effectively predicting the remaining useful life(RUL) of turbofan engines has essential significance for developing maintenance strategies and reducing maintenance costs. Considering the characteristics of large sample size and high dimension of monitoring data, a hybrid health condition prediction model integrating the advantages of autoencoder and bidirectional long short-term memory(BLSTM) is proposed to improve the prediction accuracy of RUL. Autoencoder is used as a feature extractor to compress condition monitoring data. BLSTM is designed to capture the bidirectional long-range dependencies of features. A hybrid deep learning prediction model of RUL is constructed. This model has been tested on a benchmark dataset. The results demonstrate that this autoencoder-BLSTM hybrid model has a better prediction accuracy than the existing methods, such as multi-layer perceptron(MLP), support vector regression(SVR), convolutional neural network(CNN) and long short-term memory(LSTM). The proposed model can provide strong support for the health management and maintenance strategy development of turbofan engines.
基金supported by the National Research and Development Program(2022YFC3004603)the Jiangsu Province International Collaboration Program-Key National Industrial Technology Research and Development Cooperation Projects(BZ2023050)+1 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province(BK20221109)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(52274098).
文摘The increasingly severe state of coal burst disaster has emerged as a critical factor constraining coal mine safety production,and it has become a challenging task to enhance the accuracy of coal burst disaster prediction.To address the issue of insufficient exploration of the spatio-temporal characteristic of microseismic data and the challenging selection of the optimal time window size in spatio-temporal prediction,this paper integrates deep learning methods and theory to propose a novel coal burst spatio-temporal prediction method based on Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory(Bi-LSTM)network.The method involves three main modules,including microseismic spatio-temporal characteristic indicators construction,temporal prediction model,and spatial prediction model.To validate the effectiveness of the proposed method,engineering application tests are conducted at a high-risk working face in the Ordos mining area of Inner Mongolia,focusing on 13 high-energy microseismic events with energy levels greater than 105 J.In terms of temporal prediction,the analysis indicates that the temporal prediction results consist of 10 strong predictions and 3 medium predictions,and there is no false alarm detected throughout the entire testing period.Moreover,compared to the traditional threshold-based coal burst temporal prediction method,the accuracy of the proposed method is increased by 38.5%.In terms of spatial prediction,the distribution of spatial prediction results for high-energy events comprises 6 strong hazard predictions,3 medium hazard predictions,and 4 weak hazard predictions.
文摘There are two technical challenges in predicting slope deformation.The first one is the random displacement,which could not be decomposed and predicted by numerically resolving the observed accumulated displacement and time series of a landslide.The second one is the dynamic evolution of a landslide,which could not be feasibly simulated simply by traditional prediction models.In this paper,a dynamic model of displacement prediction is introduced for composite landslides based on a combination of empirical mode decomposition with soft screening stop criteria(SSSC-EMD)and deep bidirectional long short-term memory(DBi-LSTM)neural network.In the proposed model,the time series analysis and SSSC-EMD are used to decompose the observed accumulated displacements of a slope into three components,viz.trend displacement,periodic displacement,and random displacement.Then,by analyzing the evolution pattern of a landslide and its key factors triggering landslides,appropriate influencing factors are selected for each displacement component,and DBi-LSTM neural network to carry out multi-datadriven dynamic prediction for each displacement component.An accumulated displacement prediction has been obtained by a summation of each component.For accuracy verification and engineering practicability of the model,field observations from two known landslides in China,the Xintan landslide and the Bazimen landslide were collected for comparison and evaluation.The case study verified that the model proposed in this paper can better characterize the"stepwise"deformation characteristics of a slope.As compared with long short-term memory(LSTM)neural network,support vector machine(SVM),and autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA)model,DBi-LSTM neural network has higher accuracy in predicting the periodic displacement of slope deformation,with the mean absolute percentage error reduced by 3.063%,14.913%,and 13.960%respectively,and the root mean square error reduced by 1.951 mm,8.954 mm and 7.790 mm respectively.Conclusively,this model not only has high prediction accuracy but also is more stable,which can provide new insight for practical landslide prevention and control engineering.
基金supported by Science and Technology Project of State Grid Corporation(Research and Application of Intelligent Energy Meter Quality Analysis and Evaluation Technology Based on Full Chain Data)
文摘With the application of artificial intelligence technology in the power industry,the knowledge graph is expected to play a key role in power grid dispatch processes,intelligent maintenance,and customer service response provision.Knowledge graphs are usually constructed based on entity recognition.Specifically,based on the mining of entity attributes and relationships,domain knowledge graphs can be constructed through knowledge fusion.In this work,the entities and characteristics of power entity recognition are analyzed,the mechanism of entity recognition is clarified,and entity recognition techniques are analyzed in the context of the power domain.Power entity recognition based on the conditional random fields (CRF) and bidirectional long short-term memory (BLSTM) models is investigated,and the two methods are comparatively analyzed.The results indicated that the CRF model,with an accuracy of 83%,can better identify the power entities compared to the BLSTM.The CRF approach can thus be applied to the entity extraction for knowledge graph construction in the power field.
基金supported by the National Major Science and Technology Special Project(No.2016ZX05026-002).
文摘In this paper,the recurrent neural network structure of a bidirectional long shortterm memory network(Bi-LSTM)with special memory cells that store information is used to characterize the deep features of the variation pattern between logging and seismic data.A mapping relationship model between high-frequency logging data and low-frequency seismic data is established via nonlinear mapping.The seismic waveform is infinitely approximated using the logging curve in the low-frequency band to obtain a nonlinear mapping model of this scale,which then stepwise approach the logging curve in the high-frequency band.Finally,a seismic-inversion method of nonlinear mapping multilevel well–seismic matching based on the Bi-LSTM network is developed.The characteristic of this method is that by applying the multilevel well–seismic matching process,the seismic data are stepwise matched to the scale range that is consistent with the logging curve.Further,the matching operator at each level can be stably obtained to effectively overcome the problems that occur in the well–seismic matching process,such as the inconsistency in the scale of two types of data,accuracy in extracting the seismic wavelet of the well-side seismic traces,and multiplicity of solutions.Model test and practical application demonstrate that this method improves the vertical resolution of inversion results,and at the same time,the boundary and the lateral characteristics of the sand body are well maintained to improve the accuracy of thin-layer sand body prediction and achieve an improved practical application effect.
基金Deanship of Research and Graduate Studies at King Khalid University for funding this work through Small Group Research Project under Grant Number RGP1/261/45.
文摘Breast cancer is a significant threat to the global population,affecting not only women but also a threat to the entire population.With recent advancements in digital pathology,Eosin and hematoxylin images provide enhanced clarity in examiningmicroscopic features of breast tissues based on their staining properties.Early cancer detection facilitates the quickening of the therapeutic process,thereby increasing survival rates.The analysis made by medical professionals,especially pathologists,is time-consuming and challenging,and there arises a need for automated breast cancer detection systems.The upcoming artificial intelligence platforms,especially deep learning models,play an important role in image diagnosis and prediction.Initially,the histopathology biopsy images are taken from standard data sources.Further,the gathered images are given as input to the Multi-Scale Dilated Vision Transformer,where the essential features are acquired.Subsequently,the features are subjected to the Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory(Bi-LSTM)for classifying the breast cancer disorder.The efficacy of the model is evaluated using divergent metrics.When compared with other methods,the proposed work reveals that it offers impressive results for detection.
基金National Key R&D Program of China(No.2020YFB1707700)。
文摘The problems in equipment fault detection include data dimension explosion,computational complexity,low detection accuracy,etc.To solve these problems,a device anomaly detection algorithm based on enhanced long short-term memory(LSTM)is proposed.The algorithm first reduces the dimensionality of the device sensor data by principal component analysis(PCA),extracts the strongly correlated variable data among the multidimensional sensor data with the lowest possible information loss,and then uses the enhanced stacked LSTM to predict the extracted temporal data,thus improving the accuracy of anomaly detection.To improve the efficiency of the anomaly detection,a genetic algorithm(GA)is used to adjust the magnitude of the enhancements made by the LSTM model.The validation of the actual data from the pumps shows that the algorithm has significantly improved the recall rate and the detection speed of device anomaly detection,with the recall rate of 97.07%,which indicates that the algorithm is effective and efficient for device anomaly detection in the actual production environment.
文摘To enhance the refinement of load decomposition in power systems and fully leverage seasonal change information to further improve prediction performance,this paper proposes a seasonal short-termload combination prediction model based on modal decomposition and a feature-fusion multi-algorithm hybrid neural network model.Specifically,the characteristics of load components are analyzed for different seasons,and the corresponding models are established.First,the improved complete ensemble empirical modal decomposition with adaptive noise(ICEEMDAN)method is employed to decompose the system load for all four seasons,and the new sequence is obtained through reconstruction based on the refined composite multiscale fuzzy entropy of each decomposition component.Second,the correlation between different decomposition components and different features is measured through the max-relevance and min-redundancy method to filter out the subset of features with strong correlation and low redundancy.Finally,different components of the load in different seasons are predicted separately using a bidirectional long-short-term memory network model based on a Bayesian optimization algorithm,with a prediction resolution of 15 min,and the predicted values are accumulated to obtain the final results.According to the experimental findings,the proposed method can successfully balance prediction accuracy and prediction time while offering a higher level of prediction accuracy than the current prediction methods.The results demonstrate that the proposedmethod can effectively address the load power variation induced by seasonal differences in different regions.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)(No.62066024)funded by Basic Scientific Research Projects of Higher Education Institutions in Liaoning Province(LJ212411632063)the National Undergraduate Training Program for Innovation and Entrepreneurship(S202511632045).
文摘The accuracy of photovoltaic(PV)power prediction is significantly influenced by meteorological and environmental factors.To enhance ultra-short-term forecasting precision,this paper proposes an interpretable feedback prediction method based on a parallel dual-stream Temporal Convolutional Network-Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory(TCN-BiLSTM)architecture incorporating a spatiotemporal attention mechanism.Firstly,during data preprocessing,the optimal historical time window is determined through autocorrelation analysis while highly correlated features are selected as model inputs using Pearson correlation coefficients.Subsequently,a parallel dual-stream TCN-BiLSTM model is constructed where the TCN branch extracts localized transient features and the BiLSTM branch captures long-term periodic patterns,with spatiotemporal attention dynamically weighting spatiotemporal dependencies.Finally,Shapley Additive explanations(SHAP)additive analysis quantifies feature contribution rates and provides optimization feedback to the model.Validation using operational data from a PV power station in Northeast China demonstrates that compared to conventional deep learning models,the proposed method achieves a 17.6%reduction in root mean square error(RMSE),a 5.4%decrease in training time consumption,and a 4.78%improvement in continuous ranked probability score(CRPS),exhibiting significant advantages in both prediction accuracy and generalization capability.This approach enhances the application effectiveness of ultra-short-term PV power forecasting while simultaneously improving prediction accuracy and computational efficiency.
文摘Early and accurate detection of bone cancer and marrow cell abnormalities is critical for timely intervention and improved patient outcomes.This paper proposes a novel hybrid deep learning framework that integrates a Convolutional Neural Network(CNN)with a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory(BiLSTM)architecture,optimized using the Firefly Optimization algorithm(FO).The proposed CNN-BiLSTM-FO model is tailored for structured biomedical data,capturing both local patterns and sequential dependencies in diagnostic features,while the Firefly Algorithm fine-tunes key hyperparameters to maximize predictive performance.The approach is evaluated on two benchmark biomedical datasets:one comprising diagnostic data for bone cancer detection and another for identifying marrow cell abnormalities.Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms standard deep learning models,including CNN,LSTM,BiLSTM,and CNN-LSTM hybrids,significantly.The CNNBiLSTM-FO model achieves an accuracy of 98.55%for bone cancer detection and 96.04%for marrow abnormality classification.The paper also presents a detailed complexity analysis of the proposed algorithm and compares its performance across multiple evaluation metrics such as precision,recall,F1-score,and AUC.The results confirm the effectiveness of the firefly-based optimization strategy in improving classification accuracy and model robustness.This work introduces a scalable and accurate diagnostic solution that holds strong potential for integration into intelligent clinical decision-support systems.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 52301322)the Jiangsu Provincial Natural Science Foundation (Grant No. BK20220653)+1 种基金the National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars (Grant No. 52025112)the Key Projects of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 52331011)
文摘Accurately predicting motion responses is a crucial component of the design process for floating offshore structures.This study introduces a hybrid model that integrates a convolutional neural network(CNN),a bidirectional long short-term memory(BiLSTM)neural network,and an attention mechanism for forecasting the short-term motion responses of a semisubmersible.First,the motions are processed through the CNN for feature extraction.The extracted features are subsequently utilized by the BiLSTM network to forecast future motions.To enhance the predictive capability of the neural networks,an attention mechanism is integrated.In addition to the hybrid model,the BiLSTM is independently employed to forecast the motion responses of the semi-submersible,serving as benchmark results for comparison.Furthermore,both the 1D and 2D convolutions are conducted to check the influence of the convolutional dimensionality on the predicted results.The results demonstrate that the hybrid 1D CNN-BiLSTM network with an attention mechanism outperforms all other models in accurately predicting motion responses.
文摘Healthcare organizations rely on patients’feedback and experiences to evaluate their performance and services,thereby allowing such organizations to improve inadequate services and address any shortcomings.According to the literature,social networks and particularly Twitter are effective platforms for gathering public opinions.Moreover,recent studies have used natural language processing to measure sentiments in text segments collected from Twitter to capture public opinions about various sectors,including healthcare.The present study aimed to analyze Arabic Twitter-based patient experience sentiments and to introduce an Arabic patient experience corpus.The authors collected 12,400 tweets from Arabic patients discussing patient experiences related to healthcare organizations in Saudi Arabia from 1 January 2008 to 29 January 2022.The tweets were labeled according to sentiment(positive or negative)and sector(public or private),and thereby the Hospital Patient Experiences in Saudi Arabia(HoPE-SA)dataset was produced.A simple statistical analysis was conducted to examine differences in patient views of healthcare sectors.The authors trained five models to distinguish sentiments in tweets automatically with the following schemes:a transformer-based model fine-tuned with deep learning architecture and a transformer-based model fine-tuned with simple architecture,using two different transformer-based embeddings based on Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers(BERT),Multi-dialect Arabic BERT(MAR-BERT),and multilingual BERT(mBERT),as well as a pretrained word2vec model with a support vector machine classifier.This is the first study to investigate the use of a bidirectional long short-term memory layer followed by a feedforward neural network for the fine-tuning of MARBERT.The deep-learning fine-tuned MARBERT-based model—the authors’best-performing model—achieved accuracy,micro-F1,and macro-F1 scores of 98.71%,98.73%,and 98.63%,respectively.
基金supported by the Inner Mongolia Power Company 2024 Staff Innovation Studio Innovation Project“Research on Cluster Output Prediction and Group Control Technology for County-Wide Distributed Photovoltaic Construction”.
文摘Responding to the stochasticity and uncertainty in the power height of distributed photovoltaic power generation.This paper presents a distributed photovoltaic ultra-short-term power forecasting method based on Variational Mode Decomposition(VMD)and Channel Attention Mechanism.First,Pearson’s correlation coefficient was utilized to filter out the meteorological factors that had a high impact on historical power.Second,the distributed PV power data were decomposed into a relatively smooth power series with different fluctuation patterns using variational modal decomposition(VMD).Finally,the reconstructed distributed PV power as well as other features are input into the combined CNN-SENet-BiLSTM model.In this model,the convolutional neural network(CNN)and channel attention mechanism dynamically adjust the weights while capturing the spatial features of the input data to improve the discriminative ability of key features.The extracted data is then fed into the bidirectional long short-term memory network(BiLSTM)to capture the time-series features,and the final output is the prediction result.The verification is conducted using a dataset from a distributed photovoltaic power station in the Northwest region of China.The results show that compared with other prediction methods,the method proposed in this paper has a higher prediction accuracy,which helps to improve the proportion of distributed PV access to the grid,and can guarantee the safe and stable operation of the power grid.
文摘Load forecasting is of great significance to the development of new power systems.With the advancement of smart grids,the integration and distribution of distributed renewable energy sources and power electronics devices have made power load data increasingly complex and volatile.This places higher demands on the prediction and analysis of power loads.In order to improve the prediction accuracy of short-term power load,a CNN-BiLSTMTPA short-term power prediction model based on the Improved Whale Optimization Algorithm(IWOA)with mixed strategies was proposed.Firstly,the model combined the Convolutional Neural Network(CNN)with the Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory Network(BiLSTM)to fully extract the spatio-temporal characteristics of the load data itself.Then,the Temporal Pattern Attention(TPA)mechanism was introduced into the CNN-BiLSTM model to automatically assign corresponding weights to the hidden states of the BiLSTM.This allowed the model to differentiate the importance of load sequences at different time intervals.At the same time,in order to solve the problem of the difficulties of selecting the parameters of the temporal model,and the poor global search ability of the whale algorithm,which is easy to fall into the local optimization,the whale algorithm(IWOA)was optimized by using the hybrid strategy of Tent chaos mapping and Levy flight strategy,so as to better search the parameters of the model.In this experiment,the real load data of a region in Zhejiang was taken as an example to analyze,and the prediction accuracy(R2)of the proposed method reached 98.83%.Compared with the prediction models such as BP,WOA-CNN-BiLSTM,SSA-CNN-BiLSTM,CNN-BiGRU-Attention,etc.,the experimental results showed that the model proposed in this study has a higher prediction accuracy.
基金This work was granted by Qin Xin Talents Cultivation Program(No.QXTCP C202115)Beijing Information Science and Technology University+1 种基金the Beijing Advanced Innovation Center for Future Blockchain and Privacy Computing Fund(No.GJJ-23)National Social Science Foundation,China(No.21BTQ079).
文摘With the widespread use of blockchain technology for smart contracts and decentralized applications on the Ethereum platform, the blockchain has become a cornerstone of trust in the modern financial system. However, its anonymity has provided new ways for Ponzi schemes to commit fraud, posing significant risks to investors. Current research still has some limitations, for example, Ponzi schemes are difficult to detect in the early stages of smart contract deployment, and data imbalance is not considered. In addition, there is room for improving the detection accuracy. To address the above issues, this paper proposes LT-SPSD (LSTM-Transformer smart Ponzi schemes detection), which is a Ponzi scheme detection method that combines Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Transformer considering the time-series transaction information of smart contracts as well as the global information. Based on the verified smart contract addresses, account features, and code features are extracted to construct a feature dataset, and the SMOTE-Tomek algorithm is used to deal with the imbalanced data classification problem. By comparing our method with the other four typical detection methods in the experiment, the LT-SPSD method shows significant performance improvement in precision, recall, and F1-score. The results of the experiment confirm the efficacy of the model, which has some application value in Ethereum Ponzi scheme smart contract detection.
基金the Open Fund of Guangxi Key Laboratory of Building New Energy and Energy Saving(Project Number:Guike Energy 17-J-21-3).
文摘Power prediction has been critical in large-scale wind power grid connections.However,traditional wind power prediction methods have long suffered from problems,for instance low prediction accuracy and poor reliability.For this purpose,a hybrid prediction model(VMD-LSTM-Attention)has been proposed,which integrates the variational modal decomposition(VMD),the long short-term memory(LSTM),and the attention mechanism(Attention),and has been optimized by improved dung beetle optimization algorithm(IDBO).Firstly,the algorithm's performance has been significantly enhanced through the implementation of three key strategies,namely the elite group strategy of the Logistic-Tent map,the nonlinear adjustment factor,and the adaptive T-distribution disturbance mechanism.Subsequently,IDBO has been applied to optimize the important parameters of VMD(decomposition layers and penalty factors)to ensure the best decomposition signal is obtained;Furthermore,the IDBO has been deployed to optimize the three key hyper-parameters of the LSTM,thereby improving its learning capability.Finally,an Attention mechanism has been incorporated to adaptively weight temporal features,thus increasing the model's ability to focus on key information.Comprehensive simulation experiments have demonstrated that the proposed model achieves higher prediction accuracy compared with VMD-LSTM,VMD-LSTM-Attention,and traditional prediction methods,and quantitative indexes verify the efectiveness of the algorithmic improvement as well as the excellence and precision of the model in wind power prediction.
基金partially supported by projects funded by the National Key R&D Program of China(2022YFB2403000)the State Grid Corporation of China Science and Technology Project(522722230034).
文摘Accurate forecasting of electricity spot prices is crucial for market participants in formulating bidding strategies.However,the extreme volatility of electricity spot prices,influenced by various factors,poses significant challenges for forecasting.To address the data uncertainty of electricity prices and effectively mitigate gradient issues,overfitting,and computational challenges associated with using a single model during forecasting,this paper proposes a framework for forecasting spot market electricity prices by integrating wavelet packet decomposition(WPD)with a hybrid deep neural network.By ensuring accurate data decomposition,the WPD algorithm aids in detecting fluctuating patterns and isolating random noise.The hybrid model integrates temporal convolutional networks(TCN)and long short-term memory(LSTM)networks to enhance feature extraction and improve forecasting performance.Compared to other techniques,it significantly reduces average errors,decreasing mean absolute error(MAE)by 27.3%,root mean square error(RMSE)by 66.9%,and mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)by 22.8%.This framework effectively captures the intricate fluctuations present in the time series,resulting in more accurate and reliable predictions.
文摘开展公路隧道结构状态精准预测是掌握隧道结构状态变化、识别潜在安全风险和保障安全运营的重要技术手段。针对隧道监控量测测点的空间分布与时序特性,提出了一种基于河马优化(Hippopotamus Optimization, HO)算法和卷积神经网络(Convolutional Neural Network, CNN)的双向长短期记忆(Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory, BiLSTM)网络公路隧道结构状态预测方法。量化分析测点间关联性,结合温度特征构建模型输入矩阵;利用CNN挖掘各测点的空间关联性,采用BiLSTM提取时间序列特征,引入HO算法优化模型参数;将预测结果映射为隧道结构状态等级,展示隧道整体受力状态。结果表明,建立的HO-CNN-BiLSTM模型能够有效提取空间和温度特征,在预测精度和稳定性方面均优于对比模型,可实现隧道结构状态精确评估,为公路隧道的安全运营及分级管控措施制定提供技术支撑。
