The main thrust of this paper is application of a novel data mining approach on the log of user' s feedback to improve web multimedia information retrieval performance. A user space model was constructed based...The main thrust of this paper is application of a novel data mining approach on the log of user' s feedback to improve web multimedia information retrieval performance. A user space model was constructed based on data mining, and then integrated into the original information space model to improve the accuracy of the new information space model. It can remove clutter and irrelevant text information and help to eliminate mismatch between the page author' s expression and the user' s understanding and expectation. User spacemodel was also utilized to discover the relationship between high-level and low-level features for assigning weight. The authors proposed improved Bayesian algorithm for data mining. Experiment proved that the au-thors' proposed algorithm was efficient.展开更多
To identify systems with non-uniformly sampled input data, a recursive Bayesian identification algorithm with covariance resetting is proposed. Using estimated noise transfer function as a dynamic filter, the system w...To identify systems with non-uniformly sampled input data, a recursive Bayesian identification algorithm with covariance resetting is proposed. Using estimated noise transfer function as a dynamic filter, the system with colored noise is transformed into the system with white noise. In order to improve estimates, the estimated noise variance is employed as a weighting factor in the algorithm. Meanwhile, a modified covariance resetting method is also integrated in the proposed algorithm to increase the convergence rate. A numerical example and an industrial example validate the proposed algorithm.展开更多
Ant colony optimization(ACO)is a random search algorithm based on probability calculation.However,the uninformed search strategy has a slow convergence speed.The Bayesian algorithm uses the historical information of t...Ant colony optimization(ACO)is a random search algorithm based on probability calculation.However,the uninformed search strategy has a slow convergence speed.The Bayesian algorithm uses the historical information of the searched point to determine the next search point during the search process,reducing the uncertainty in the random search process.Due to the ability of the Bayesian algorithm to reduce uncertainty,a Bayesian ACO algorithm is proposed in this paper to increase the convergence speed of the conventional ACO algorithm for image edge detection.In addition,this paper has the following two innovations on the basis of the classical algorithm,one of which is to add random perturbations after completing the pheromone update.The second is the use of adaptive pheromone heuristics.Experimental results illustrate that the proposed Bayesian ACO algorithm has faster convergence and higher precision and recall than the traditional ant colony algorithm,due to the improvement of the pheromone utilization rate.Moreover,Bayesian ACO algorithm outperforms the other comparative methods in edge detection task.展开更多
Challenges in stratigraphic modeling arise from underground uncertainty.While borehole exploration is reliable,it remains sparse due to economic and site constraints.Electrical resistivity tomography(ERT)as a cost-eff...Challenges in stratigraphic modeling arise from underground uncertainty.While borehole exploration is reliable,it remains sparse due to economic and site constraints.Electrical resistivity tomography(ERT)as a cost-effective geophysical technique can acquire high-density data;however,uncertainty and nonuniqueness inherent in ERT impede its usage for stratigraphy identification.This paper integrates ERT and onsite observations for the first time to propose a novel method for characterizing stratigraphic profiles.The method consists of two steps:(1)ERT for prior knowledge:ERT data are processed by soft clustering using the Gaussian mixture model,followed by probability smoothing to quantify its depthdependent uncertainty;and(2)Observations for calibration:a spatial sequential Bayesian updating(SSBU)algorithm is developed to update the prior knowledge based on likelihoods derived from onsite observations,namely topsoil and boreholes.The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated through its application to a real slope site in Foshan,China.Comparative analysis with advanced borehole-driven methods highlights the superiority of incorporating ERT data in stratigraphic modeling,in terms of prediction accuracy at borehole locations and sensitivity to borehole data.Informed by ERT,reduced sensitivity to boreholes provides a fundamental solution to the longstanding challenge of sparse measurements.The paper further discusses the impact of ERT uncertainty on the proposed model using time-lapse measurements,the impact of model resolution,and applicability in engineering projects.This study,as a breakthrough in stratigraphic modeling,bridges gaps in combining geophysical and geotechnical data to address measurement sparsity and paves the way for more economical geotechnical exploration.展开更多
Disaster mitigation necessitates scientifi c and accurate aftershock forecasting during the critical 2 h after an earthquake. However, this action faces immense challenges due to the lack of early postearthquake data ...Disaster mitigation necessitates scientifi c and accurate aftershock forecasting during the critical 2 h after an earthquake. However, this action faces immense challenges due to the lack of early postearthquake data and the unreliability of forecasts. To obtain foundational data for sequence parameters of the land-sea adjacent zone and establish a reliable and operational aftershock forecasting framework, we combined the initial sequence parameters extracted from envelope functions and incorporated small-earthquake information into our model to construct a Bayesian algorithm for the early postearthquake stage. We performed parameter fitting and early postearthquake aftershock occurrence rate forecasting and effectiveness evaluation for 36 earthquake sequences with M ≥ 4.0 in the Bohai Rim region since 2010. According to the results, during the early stage after the mainshock, earthquake sequence parameters exhibited relatively drastic fl uctuations with signifi cant errors. The integration of prior information can mitigate the intensity of these changes and reduce errors. The initial and stable sequence parameters generally display advantageous distribution characteristics, with each parameter’s distribution being relatively concentrated and showing good symmetry and remarkable consistency. The sequence parameter p-values were relatively small, which indicates the comparatively slow attenuation of signifi cant earthquake events in the Bohai Rim region. A certain positive correlation was observed between earthquake sequence parameters b and p. However, sequence parameters are unrelated to the mainshock magnitude, which implies that their statistical characteristics and trends are universal. The Bayesian algorithm revealed a good forecasting capability for aftershocks in the early postearthquake period (2 h) in the Bohai Rim region, with an overall forecasting effi cacy rate of 76.39%. The proportion of “too low” failures exceeded that of “too high” failures, and the number of forecasting failures for the next three days was greater than that for the next day.展开更多
Target distribution in cooperative combat is a difficult and emphases. We build up the optimization model according to the rule of fire distribution. We have researched on the optimization model with BOA. The BOA can ...Target distribution in cooperative combat is a difficult and emphases. We build up the optimization model according to the rule of fire distribution. We have researched on the optimization model with BOA. The BOA can estimate the joint probability distribution of the variables with Bayesian network, and the new candidate solutions also can be generated by the joint distribution. The simulation example verified that the method could be used to solve the complex question, the operation was quickly and the solution was best.展开更多
In order to adapt to the changing battlefield situation and improve the combat effectiveness of air combat,the problem of air battle allocation based on Bayesian optimization algorithm(BOA)is studied.First,we discuss ...In order to adapt to the changing battlefield situation and improve the combat effectiveness of air combat,the problem of air battle allocation based on Bayesian optimization algorithm(BOA)is studied.First,we discuss the number of fighters on both sides,and apply cluster analysis to divide our fighter into the same number of groups as the enemy.On this basis,we sort each of our fighters'different advantages to the enemy fighters,and obtain a series of target allocation schemes for enemy attacks by first in first serviced criteria.Finally,the maximum advantage function is used as the target,and the BOA is used to optimize the model.The simulation results show that the established model has certain decision-making ability,and the BOA can converge to the global optimal solution at a faster speed,which can effectively solve the air combat task assignment problem.展开更多
Well production optimization is a complex and time-consuming task in the oilfield development.The combination of reservoir numerical simulator with optimization algorithms is usually used to optimize well production.T...Well production optimization is a complex and time-consuming task in the oilfield development.The combination of reservoir numerical simulator with optimization algorithms is usually used to optimize well production.This method spends most of computing time in objective function evaluation by reservoir numerical simulator which limits its optimization efficiency.To improve optimization efficiency,a well production optimization method using streamline features-based objective function and Bayesian adaptive direct search optimization(BADS)algorithm is established.This new objective function,which represents the water flooding potential,is extracted from streamline features.It only needs to call the streamline simulator to run one time step,instead of calling the simulator to calculate the target value at the end of development,which greatly reduces the running time of the simulator.Then the well production optimization model is established and solved by the BADS algorithm.The feasibility of the new objective function and the efficiency of this optimization method are verified by three examples.Results demonstrate that the new objective function is positively correlated with the cumulative oil production.And the BADS algorithm is superior to other common algorithms in convergence speed,solution stability and optimization accuracy.Besides,this method can significantly accelerate the speed of well production optimization process compared with the objective function calculated by other conventional methods.It can provide a more effective basis for determining the optimal well production for actual oilfield development.展开更多
In the post-genomic biology era,the reconstruction of gene regulatory networks from microarray gene expression data is very important to understand the underlying biological system,and it has been a challenging task i...In the post-genomic biology era,the reconstruction of gene regulatory networks from microarray gene expression data is very important to understand the underlying biological system,and it has been a challenging task in bioinformatics.The Bayesian network model has been used in reconstructing the gene regulatory network for its advantages,but how to determine the network structure and parameters is still important to be explored.This paper proposes a two-stage structure learning algorithm which integrates immune evolution algorithm to build a Bayesian network.The new algorithm is evaluated with the use of both simulated and yeast cell cycle data.The experimental results indicate that the proposed algorithm can find many of the known real regulatory relationships from literature and predict the others unknown with high validity and accuracy.展开更多
A new method to evaluate the fitness of the Bayesian networks according to the observed data is provided. The main advantage of this criterion is that it is suitable for both the complete and incomplete cases while th...A new method to evaluate the fitness of the Bayesian networks according to the observed data is provided. The main advantage of this criterion is that it is suitable for both the complete and incomplete cases while the others not. Moreover it facilitates the computation greatly. In order to reduce the search space, the notation of equivalent class proposed by David Chickering is adopted. Instead of using the method directly, the novel criterion, variable ordering, and equivalent class are combined,moreover the proposed mthod avoids some problems caused by the previous one. Later, the genetic algorithm which allows global convergence, lack in the most of the methods searching for Bayesian network is applied to search for a good model in thisspace. To speed up the convergence, the genetic algorithm is combined with the greedy algorithm. Finally, the simulation shows the validity of the proposed approach.展开更多
Finding out reasonable structures from bulky data is one of the difficulties in modeling of Bayesian network （BN）, which is also necessary in promoting the application of BN. This pa- per proposes an immune algorith...Finding out reasonable structures from bulky data is one of the difficulties in modeling of Bayesian network （BN）, which is also necessary in promoting the application of BN. This pa- per proposes an immune algorithm based method （BN-IA） for the learning of the BN structure with the idea of vaccination. Further- more, the methods on how to extract the effective vaccines from local optimal structure and root nodes are also described in details. Finally, the simulation studies are implemented with the helicopter convertor BN model and the car start BN model. The comparison results show that the proposed vaccines and the BN-IA can learn the BN structure effectively and efficiently.展开更多
A system reliability model based on Bayesian network(BN)is built via an evolutionary strategy called dual genetic algorithm(DGA).BN is a probabilistic approach to analyze relationships between stochastic events.In con...A system reliability model based on Bayesian network(BN)is built via an evolutionary strategy called dual genetic algorithm(DGA).BN is a probabilistic approach to analyze relationships between stochastic events.In contrast with traditional methods where BN model is built by professionals,DGA is proposed for the automatic analysis of historical data and construction of BN for the estimation of system reliability.The whole solution space of BN structures is searched by DGA and a more accurate BN model is obtained.Efficacy of the proposed method is shown by some literature examples.展开更多
The typical characteristic of the topology of Bayesian networks (BNs) is the interdependence among different nodes (variables), which makes it impossible to optimize one variable independently of others, and the learn...The typical characteristic of the topology of Bayesian networks (BNs) is the interdependence among different nodes (variables), which makes it impossible to optimize one variable independently of others, and the learning of BNs structures by general genetic algorithms is liable to converge to local extremum. To resolve efficiently this problem, a self-organizing genetic algorithm (SGA) based method for constructing BNs from databases is presented. This method makes use of a self-organizing mechanism to develop a genetic algorithm that extended the crossover operator from one to two, providing mutual competition between them, even adjusting the numbers of parents in recombination (crossover/recomposition) schemes. With the K2 algorithm, this method also optimizes the genetic operators, and utilizes adequately the domain knowledge. As a result, with this method it is able to find a global optimum of the topology of BNs, avoiding premature convergence to local extremum. The experimental results proved to be and the convergence of the SGA was discussed.展开更多
To aim at the multimode character of the data from the airplane detecting system, the paper combines Dempster- Shafer evidence theory and subjective Bayesian algorithm and makes to propose a mixed structure multimode ...To aim at the multimode character of the data from the airplane detecting system, the paper combines Dempster- Shafer evidence theory and subjective Bayesian algorithm and makes to propose a mixed structure multimode data fusion algorithm. The algorithm adopts a prorated algorithm relate to the incertitude evaluation to convert the probability evaluation into the precognition probability in an identity frame, and ensures the adaptability of different data from different source to the mixed system. To guarantee real time fusion, a combination of time domain fusion and space domain fusion is established, this not only assure the fusion of data chain in different time of the same sensor, but also the data fusion from different sensors distributed in different platforms and the data fusion among different modes. The feasibility and practicability are approved through computer simulation.展开更多
Production optimization is of significance for carbonate reservoirs,directly affecting the sustainability and profitability of reservoir development.Traditional physics-based numerical simulations suffer from insuffic...Production optimization is of significance for carbonate reservoirs,directly affecting the sustainability and profitability of reservoir development.Traditional physics-based numerical simulations suffer from insufficient calculation accuracy and excessive time consumption when performing production optimization.We establish an ensemble proxy-model-assisted optimization framework combining the Bayesian random forest(BRF)with the particle swarm optimization algorithm(PSO).The BRF method is implemented to construct a proxy model of the injectioneproduction system that can accurately predict the dynamic parameters of producers based on injection data and production measures.With the help of proxy model,PSO is applied to search the optimal injection pattern integrating Pareto front analysis.After experimental testing,the proxy model not only boasts higher prediction accuracy compared to deep learning,but it also requires 8 times less time for training.In addition,the injection mode adjusted by the PSO algorithm can effectively reduce the gaseoil ratio and increase the oil production by more than 10% for carbonate reservoirs.The proposed proxy-model-assisted optimization protocol brings new perspectives on the multi-objective optimization problems in the petroleum industry,which can provide more options for the project decision-makers to balance the oil production and the gaseoil ratio considering physical and operational constraints.展开更多
文摘The main thrust of this paper is application of a novel data mining approach on the log of user' s feedback to improve web multimedia information retrieval performance. A user space model was constructed based on data mining, and then integrated into the original information space model to improve the accuracy of the new information space model. It can remove clutter and irrelevant text information and help to eliminate mismatch between the page author' s expression and the user' s understanding and expectation. User spacemodel was also utilized to discover the relationship between high-level and low-level features for assigning weight. The authors proposed improved Bayesian algorithm for data mining. Experiment proved that the au-thors' proposed algorithm was efficient.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.61273142 and 51477070)the Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions(PAPD)Foundation for Six Talents by Jiangsu Province and Graduate Scientific Innovation Projects of Jiangsu University(No.KYXX_0003)
文摘To identify systems with non-uniformly sampled input data, a recursive Bayesian identification algorithm with covariance resetting is proposed. Using estimated noise transfer function as a dynamic filter, the system with colored noise is transformed into the system with white noise. In order to improve estimates, the estimated noise variance is employed as a weighting factor in the algorithm. Meanwhile, a modified covariance resetting method is also integrated in the proposed algorithm to increase the convergence rate. A numerical example and an industrial example validate the proposed algorithm.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62276055).
文摘Ant colony optimization(ACO)is a random search algorithm based on probability calculation.However,the uninformed search strategy has a slow convergence speed.The Bayesian algorithm uses the historical information of the searched point to determine the next search point during the search process,reducing the uncertainty in the random search process.Due to the ability of the Bayesian algorithm to reduce uncertainty,a Bayesian ACO algorithm is proposed in this paper to increase the convergence speed of the conventional ACO algorithm for image edge detection.In addition,this paper has the following two innovations on the basis of the classical algorithm,one of which is to add random perturbations after completing the pheromone update.The second is the use of adaptive pheromone heuristics.Experimental results illustrate that the proposed Bayesian ACO algorithm has faster convergence and higher precision and recall than the traditional ant colony algorithm,due to the improvement of the pheromone utilization rate.Moreover,Bayesian ACO algorithm outperforms the other comparative methods in edge detection task.
基金the financial support from the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2021YFC3001003)Science and Technology Development Fund,Macao SAR(File No.0056/2023/RIB2)Guangdong Provincial Department of Science and Technology(Grant No.2022A0505030019).
文摘Challenges in stratigraphic modeling arise from underground uncertainty.While borehole exploration is reliable,it remains sparse due to economic and site constraints.Electrical resistivity tomography(ERT)as a cost-effective geophysical technique can acquire high-density data;however,uncertainty and nonuniqueness inherent in ERT impede its usage for stratigraphy identification.This paper integrates ERT and onsite observations for the first time to propose a novel method for characterizing stratigraphic profiles.The method consists of two steps:(1)ERT for prior knowledge:ERT data are processed by soft clustering using the Gaussian mixture model,followed by probability smoothing to quantify its depthdependent uncertainty;and(2)Observations for calibration:a spatial sequential Bayesian updating(SSBU)algorithm is developed to update the prior knowledge based on likelihoods derived from onsite observations,namely topsoil and boreholes.The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated through its application to a real slope site in Foshan,China.Comparative analysis with advanced borehole-driven methods highlights the superiority of incorporating ERT data in stratigraphic modeling,in terms of prediction accuracy at borehole locations and sensitivity to borehole data.Informed by ERT,reduced sensitivity to boreholes provides a fundamental solution to the longstanding challenge of sparse measurements.The paper further discusses the impact of ERT uncertainty on the proposed model using time-lapse measurements,the impact of model resolution,and applicability in engineering projects.This study,as a breakthrough in stratigraphic modeling,bridges gaps in combining geophysical and geotechnical data to address measurement sparsity and paves the way for more economical geotechnical exploration.
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Tianjin (No. 22JCQNJC01070)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 42404079)the Key Project of Tianjin Earthquake Agency (No. Zd202402)。
文摘Disaster mitigation necessitates scientifi c and accurate aftershock forecasting during the critical 2 h after an earthquake. However, this action faces immense challenges due to the lack of early postearthquake data and the unreliability of forecasts. To obtain foundational data for sequence parameters of the land-sea adjacent zone and establish a reliable and operational aftershock forecasting framework, we combined the initial sequence parameters extracted from envelope functions and incorporated small-earthquake information into our model to construct a Bayesian algorithm for the early postearthquake stage. We performed parameter fitting and early postearthquake aftershock occurrence rate forecasting and effectiveness evaluation for 36 earthquake sequences with M ≥ 4.0 in the Bohai Rim region since 2010. According to the results, during the early stage after the mainshock, earthquake sequence parameters exhibited relatively drastic fl uctuations with signifi cant errors. The integration of prior information can mitigate the intensity of these changes and reduce errors. The initial and stable sequence parameters generally display advantageous distribution characteristics, with each parameter’s distribution being relatively concentrated and showing good symmetry and remarkable consistency. The sequence parameter p-values were relatively small, which indicates the comparatively slow attenuation of signifi cant earthquake events in the Bohai Rim region. A certain positive correlation was observed between earthquake sequence parameters b and p. However, sequence parameters are unrelated to the mainshock magnitude, which implies that their statistical characteristics and trends are universal. The Bayesian algorithm revealed a good forecasting capability for aftershocks in the early postearthquake period (2 h) in the Bohai Rim region, with an overall forecasting effi cacy rate of 76.39%. The proportion of “too low” failures exceeded that of “too high” failures, and the number of forecasting failures for the next three days was greater than that for the next day.
基金This project was supported by the Fund of College Doctor Degree (20020699009)
文摘Target distribution in cooperative combat is a difficult and emphases. We build up the optimization model according to the rule of fire distribution. We have researched on the optimization model with BOA. The BOA can estimate the joint probability distribution of the variables with Bayesian network, and the new candidate solutions also can be generated by the joint distribution. The simulation example verified that the method could be used to solve the complex question, the operation was quickly and the solution was best.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61074090)。
文摘In order to adapt to the changing battlefield situation and improve the combat effectiveness of air combat,the problem of air battle allocation based on Bayesian optimization algorithm(BOA)is studied.First,we discuss the number of fighters on both sides,and apply cluster analysis to divide our fighter into the same number of groups as the enemy.On this basis,we sort each of our fighters'different advantages to the enemy fighters,and obtain a series of target allocation schemes for enemy attacks by first in first serviced criteria.Finally,the maximum advantage function is used as the target,and the BOA is used to optimize the model.The simulation results show that the established model has certain decision-making ability,and the BOA can converge to the global optimal solution at a faster speed,which can effectively solve the air combat task assignment problem.
基金supported partly by the National Science and Technology Major Project of China(Grant No.2016ZX05025-001006)Major Science and Technology Project of CNPC(Grant No.ZD2019-183-007)
文摘Well production optimization is a complex and time-consuming task in the oilfield development.The combination of reservoir numerical simulator with optimization algorithms is usually used to optimize well production.This method spends most of computing time in objective function evaluation by reservoir numerical simulator which limits its optimization efficiency.To improve optimization efficiency,a well production optimization method using streamline features-based objective function and Bayesian adaptive direct search optimization(BADS)algorithm is established.This new objective function,which represents the water flooding potential,is extracted from streamline features.It only needs to call the streamline simulator to run one time step,instead of calling the simulator to calculate the target value at the end of development,which greatly reduces the running time of the simulator.Then the well production optimization model is established and solved by the BADS algorithm.The feasibility of the new objective function and the efficiency of this optimization method are verified by three examples.Results demonstrate that the new objective function is positively correlated with the cumulative oil production.And the BADS algorithm is superior to other common algorithms in convergence speed,solution stability and optimization accuracy.Besides,this method can significantly accelerate the speed of well production optimization process compared with the objective function calculated by other conventional methods.It can provide a more effective basis for determining the optimal well production for actual oilfield development.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 60433020, 60175024 and 60773095)European Commission under grant No. TH/Asia Link/010 (111084)the Key Science-Technology Project of the National Education Ministry of China (Grant No. 02090),and the Key Laboratory of Symbol Computation and Knowledge Engineering of Ministry of Education, Jilin University, P. R. China
文摘In the post-genomic biology era,the reconstruction of gene regulatory networks from microarray gene expression data is very important to understand the underlying biological system,and it has been a challenging task in bioinformatics.The Bayesian network model has been used in reconstructing the gene regulatory network for its advantages,but how to determine the network structure and parameters is still important to be explored.This paper proposes a two-stage structure learning algorithm which integrates immune evolution algorithm to build a Bayesian network.The new algorithm is evaluated with the use of both simulated and yeast cell cycle data.The experimental results indicate that the proposed algorithm can find many of the known real regulatory relationships from literature and predict the others unknown with high validity and accuracy.
基金This project was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (70572045).
文摘A new method to evaluate the fitness of the Bayesian networks according to the observed data is provided. The main advantage of this criterion is that it is suitable for both the complete and incomplete cases while the others not. Moreover it facilitates the computation greatly. In order to reduce the search space, the notation of equivalent class proposed by David Chickering is adopted. Instead of using the method directly, the novel criterion, variable ordering, and equivalent class are combined,moreover the proposed mthod avoids some problems caused by the previous one. Later, the genetic algorithm which allows global convergence, lack in the most of the methods searching for Bayesian network is applied to search for a good model in thisspace. To speed up the convergence, the genetic algorithm is combined with the greedy algorithm. Finally, the simulation shows the validity of the proposed approach.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(7110111671271170)+1 种基金the Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University(NCET-13-0475)the Basic Research Foundation of NPU(JC20120228)
文摘Finding out reasonable structures from bulky data is one of the difficulties in modeling of Bayesian network （BN）, which is also necessary in promoting the application of BN. This pa- per proposes an immune algorithm based method （BN-IA） for the learning of the BN structure with the idea of vaccination. Further- more, the methods on how to extract the effective vaccines from local optimal structure and root nodes are also described in details. Finally, the simulation studies are implemented with the helicopter convertor BN model and the car start BN model. The comparison results show that the proposed vaccines and the BN-IA can learn the BN structure effectively and efficiently.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61203184)
文摘A system reliability model based on Bayesian network(BN)is built via an evolutionary strategy called dual genetic algorithm(DGA).BN is a probabilistic approach to analyze relationships between stochastic events.In contrast with traditional methods where BN model is built by professionals,DGA is proposed for the automatic analysis of historical data and construction of BN for the estimation of system reliability.The whole solution space of BN structures is searched by DGA and a more accurate BN model is obtained.Efficacy of the proposed method is shown by some literature examples.
文摘The typical characteristic of the topology of Bayesian networks (BNs) is the interdependence among different nodes (variables), which makes it impossible to optimize one variable independently of others, and the learning of BNs structures by general genetic algorithms is liable to converge to local extremum. To resolve efficiently this problem, a self-organizing genetic algorithm (SGA) based method for constructing BNs from databases is presented. This method makes use of a self-organizing mechanism to develop a genetic algorithm that extended the crossover operator from one to two, providing mutual competition between them, even adjusting the numbers of parents in recombination (crossover/recomposition) schemes. With the K2 algorithm, this method also optimizes the genetic operators, and utilizes adequately the domain knowledge. As a result, with this method it is able to find a global optimum of the topology of BNs, avoiding premature convergence to local extremum. The experimental results proved to be and the convergence of the SGA was discussed.
文摘To aim at the multimode character of the data from the airplane detecting system, the paper combines Dempster- Shafer evidence theory and subjective Bayesian algorithm and makes to propose a mixed structure multimode data fusion algorithm. The algorithm adopts a prorated algorithm relate to the incertitude evaluation to convert the probability evaluation into the precognition probability in an identity frame, and ensures the adaptability of different data from different source to the mixed system. To guarantee real time fusion, a combination of time domain fusion and space domain fusion is established, this not only assure the fusion of data chain in different time of the same sensor, but also the data fusion from different sensors distributed in different platforms and the data fusion among different modes. The feasibility and practicability are approved through computer simulation.
基金the financial support of this work from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.11972073,Grant No.51974357,and Grant No.52274027)supported by China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(Grant No.2022M713204)Scientific Research and Technology Development Project of China National Petroleum Corporation(Grant No.2121DJ2301).
文摘Production optimization is of significance for carbonate reservoirs,directly affecting the sustainability and profitability of reservoir development.Traditional physics-based numerical simulations suffer from insufficient calculation accuracy and excessive time consumption when performing production optimization.We establish an ensemble proxy-model-assisted optimization framework combining the Bayesian random forest(BRF)with the particle swarm optimization algorithm(PSO).The BRF method is implemented to construct a proxy model of the injectioneproduction system that can accurately predict the dynamic parameters of producers based on injection data and production measures.With the help of proxy model,PSO is applied to search the optimal injection pattern integrating Pareto front analysis.After experimental testing,the proxy model not only boasts higher prediction accuracy compared to deep learning,but it also requires 8 times less time for training.In addition,the injection mode adjusted by the PSO algorithm can effectively reduce the gaseoil ratio and increase the oil production by more than 10% for carbonate reservoirs.The proposed proxy-model-assisted optimization protocol brings new perspectives on the multi-objective optimization problems in the petroleum industry,which can provide more options for the project decision-makers to balance the oil production and the gaseoil ratio considering physical and operational constraints.
