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Multiple seismological evidences of basin effects revealed by Array of Binchuan(ABC), northwest Yunnan, China 被引量:6
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作者 Yihe Xu Baoshan Wang +2 位作者 Weitao Wang Bo Zhang Tianwei Sun 《Earthquake Science》 CSCD 2018年第5期281-290,共10页
Dense array seismology, which is characterized by large number, densely deployed autonomous geophone/seismographs, has received great concerns worldwide recently, especially after the great success of dense array in L... Dense array seismology, which is characterized by large number, densely deployed autonomous geophone/seismographs, has received great concerns worldwide recently, especially after the great success of dense array in Long Beach. One of the biggest curiosity is that if the great success in Long Beach is replicable in China. Hence, we analyze the seismic records from a dense array in Binchuan basin, Yunnan province, which consists of three-component short-period seismographs of three most common domestic models. The Binchuan basin is located near the intersection between the Chenghai-Binchuan fault and the Red River fault,with the latter being the major fault accommodating significant tectonic deformation resulting from eastern extrusion of the Tibetan plateau. Both faults pose serious seismic threats to local residents in Binchuan basin. Basinrange differences, faults, local earthquakes, and a Fixed Airgun Seismic Transmitting Station(FASTS), make the Binchuan basin a perfect experiment site for dense array experiment. The array is named Array of Binchuan(ABC)and the main target is imaging the shallow crustal structure,especially the structure of the basin. To examine the monitoring capability of ABC, we analyze the seismograms to check if they can reveal the basin, the most significant geological feature in the area. Power spectral density analysis,travel time and amplitude analysis of FASTS signals, and amplitude analysis of earthquakes and noise cross-correlation functions are used in the analysis. All the results show correlation with the basin and clear difference between basin and non-basin area. Therefore, the preliminary results support that the ABC has the potential to provide constraints on local structures. 展开更多
关键词 Array of Binchuan dense array basin effects
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Multi-parameter modeling and analysis of ground motion amplification in the Quaternary sedimentary basin of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region
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作者 Hong Zhou 《Earthquake Science》 2025年第2期136-151,共16页
Basin effect was first described following the analysis of seismic ground motion associated with the 1985 MW8.1 earthquake in Mexico.Basins affect the propagation of seismic waves through various mechanisms,and severa... Basin effect was first described following the analysis of seismic ground motion associated with the 1985 MW8.1 earthquake in Mexico.Basins affect the propagation of seismic waves through various mechanisms,and several unique phenomena,such as the basin edge effect,basin focusing effect,and basin-induced secondary waves,have been observed.Understanding and quantitatively predicting these phenomena are crucial for earthquake disaster reduction.Some pioneering studies in this field have proposed a quantitative relationship between the basin effect on ground motion and basin depth.Unfortunately,basin effect phenomena predicted using a model based only on basin depth exhibit large deviations from actual distributions,implying the severe shortcomings of single-parameter basin effect modeling.Quaternary sediments are thick and widely distributed in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.The seismic media inside and outside of this basin have significantly different physical properties,and the basin bottom forms an interface with strong seismic reflections.In this study,we established a three-dimensional structure model of the Quaternary sedimentary basin based on the velocity structure model of the North China Craton and used it to simulate the ground motion under a strong earthquake following the spectral element method,obtaining the spatial distribution characteristics of the ground motion amplification ratio throughout the basin.The back-propagation(BP)neural network algorithm was then introduced to establish a multi-parameter mathematical model for predicting ground motion amplification ratios,with the seismic source location,physical property ratio of the media inside and outside the basin,seismic wave frequency,and basin shape as the input parameters.We then examined the main factors influencing the amplification of seismic ground motion in basins based on the prediction results,and concluded that the main factors influencing the basin effect are basin shape and differences in the physical properties of media inside and outside the basin. 展开更多
关键词 three-dimensional basin effect ground motion modeling BP neural network algorithm spectral element method
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Large-scale two-dimensional nonlinear FE analysis on PGA amplification effect with depth and focusing effect of Fuzhou Basin 被引量:2
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作者 金丹丹 陈国兴 董菲蕃 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第7期2894-2903,共10页
Based on the explicit finite element(FE) method and platform of ABAQUS,considering both the inhomogeneity of soils and concave-convex fluctuation of topography,a large-scale refined two-dimensional(2D) FE nonlinear an... Based on the explicit finite element(FE) method and platform of ABAQUS,considering both the inhomogeneity of soils and concave-convex fluctuation of topography,a large-scale refined two-dimensional(2D) FE nonlinear analytical model for Fuzhou Basin was established.The peak ground motion acceleration(PGA) and focusing effect with depth were analyzed.Meanwhile,the results by wave propagation of one-dimensional(1D) layered medium equivalent linearization method were added for contrast.The results show that:1) PGA at different depths are obviously amplified compared to the input ground motion,amplification effect of both funnel-shaped depression and upheaval areas(based on the shape of bedrock surface) present especially remarkable.The 2D results indicate that the PGA displays a non-monotonic decreasing with depth and a greater focusing effect of some particular layers,while the 1D results turn out that the PGA decreases with depth,except that PGA at few particular depth increases abruptly; 2) To the funnel-shaped depression areas,PGA amplification effect above 8 m depth shows relatively larger,to the upheaval areas,PGA amplification effect from 15 m to 25 m depth seems more significant.However,the regularities of the PGA amplification effect could hardly be found in the rest areas; 3) It appears a higher regression rate of PGA amplification coefficient with depth when under a smaller input motion; 4) The frequency spectral characteristic of input motion has noticeable effects on PGA amplification tendency. 展开更多
关键词 seismic effect of basin LARGE-SCALE fluctuation of topography inhomogeneity site focusing effect two-dimensional refined finite element model nonlinear analysis
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Effects of Overpressured Fluid Flow on Petroleum Accumulation in the Yinggehai Basin 被引量:5
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作者 HAOFang DONGWeiliang +1 位作者 ZOUHuayao JIANGJianqun 《Acta Geologica Sinica(English Edition)》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2004年第4期1011-1018,共8页
The Yinggehai Basin is a strongly overpressured Cenozoic basin developed in the northern continental shelf of the South China Sea. The flow of overpressured fluids in this basin has given rise to strong effects on pet... The Yinggehai Basin is a strongly overpressured Cenozoic basin developed in the northern continental shelf of the South China Sea. The flow of overpressured fluids in this basin has given rise to strong effects on petroleum accumulation. (1) The overpressured fluid flow has enhanced the maturation of shallow-buried source rocks, which has caused the source rocks that would have remained immature under the conduction background to be mature for hydrocarbon generation. As a result, the overpressured fluid flow has increased the volume and interval of mature source rocks. (2) The overpressured fluid flow has strong extraction effects on the immature or low-mature source rocks in the shallow parts. This has increased, to some extent, the expulsion efficiency of the source rocks. More importantly, the extraction effects have strongly limited the effectiveness of biomarker parameters from oil and condensate in reflecting the source and maturity of the oil and gas. (3) The flow has caused the sandstones in the shallow parts to get into the late diagenesis stage, and significantly reduced the porosity and permeability of the sandstones. This study confirms that even in sedimentary basins in which no topography-driven groundwater flow systems have ever developed, the cross-formation migration of overpressured fluids and the resultant energy conduction and material exchange can significantly affect the thermal regime, source rock maturation and sandstone diagenesis. As a result, the effects of overpressured fluid flow must be taken into account in analyzing the mechanism of petroleum accumulation. 展开更多
关键词 overpressured fluids petroleum accumulation effects Yinggehai basin
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Analysis of ecological effects of comprehensive treatment in the Tarim River Basin using remote sensing data 被引量:4
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作者 Tan Kelong Wang Xiaofeng Gao Huijun 《Mining Science and Technology》 EI CAS 2011年第4期519-524,共6页
Based on multi-type,multi-temporal remote sensing data,we have monitored recent changes in cultivated land use and vegetation,in sandy areas and salinized desertification in the Green Corridor zone of the main channel... Based on multi-type,multi-temporal remote sensing data,we have monitored recent changes in cultivated land use and vegetation,in sandy areas and salinized desertification in the Green Corridor zone of the main channel of the Tarim River Basin.The results of our investigation show that the ecological environment in the Green Corridor of the main channel of the Tarim River Basin has conspicuously improved from 2002 to 2004.These improvements show up largely in such aspects as an increase in the rate of vegetation cover,a reduction in desertification land areas and a weakening in the intensity of sandy and the salinized land.On the other hand,the cultivated area in the Tarim River Basin significantly increased from 2002 to 2004.The rate of growth in cultivated areas during this period was significantly higher than that from 1999 to 2002.The increase in the use of irrigation resulting from the substantial increase in cultivated areas has a long-term potential restraining effect on the restoration of ecological functions of the Tarim River. 展开更多
关键词 Ta-rim River basin Cultivated land changes Water transportation Ecological effect Remote sensing
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Structural Effects of Overpressure Fluid Activities in Yinggehai Basin
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作者 YinXiulan LiSitian +1 位作者 MaYinsheng YangJihai 《Journal of China University of Geosciences》 SCIE CSCD 2004年第2期238-244,共7页
The characteristics and distribution of faults in Yinggehai basin discussed in this paper reveal the structural effects of the overpressure fluid expulsion. The rapid subsidence and mud rich intervals of the marine r... The characteristics and distribution of faults in Yinggehai basin discussed in this paper reveal the structural effects of the overpressure fluid expulsion. The rapid subsidence and mud rich intervals of the marine rocks dominate the formation of the overpressure systems and the enormous volumes of the overpressure fluids in the basin. Triggered by some faults, the overpressure fluids were expulsed rapidly from the overpressure compartments to form a series of diapirs in the basin, resulting in the dense fractures or faults and folds in the limbs of diapirs. These fractures and faults provided the migration pathway for the vertical flow of hydrocarbons, so that the gas fields arising from this process might migrate upwards to the sandstone reservoir. Therefore, the hydrocarbon accumulations are usually located in the upper parts of diapiric structures. 展开更多
关键词 overpressure Yinggehai basin structural effect
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Effects of torpedo blasting on rockburst prevention during deep coal seam mining in the Upper Silesian Coal Basin 被引量:4
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作者 L. Wojtecki P. Konicek J. Schreiber 《Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第4期694-701,共8页
In the Upper Silesian Coal Basin(USCB),coal seams are exploited under progressively more difficult geological and mining conditions(greater depth,higher horizontal stress,more frequent occurrence of competent rock lay... In the Upper Silesian Coal Basin(USCB),coal seams are exploited under progressively more difficult geological and mining conditions(greater depth,higher horizontal stress,more frequent occurrence of competent rock layers,etc.).Mining depth,dislocations and mining remnants in coal seams are the most important factors responsible for the occurrence of rockburst hazards.Longwall mining next to the mining edges of neighbouring coal seams is particularly disadvantageous.The levels of rockburst hazards are minimised via the use of rockburst prevention methods.One active prevention method is torpedo blasting in roof rocks.Torpedo blastings are performed in order to decrease local stress concentrations in rock masses and to fracture the roof rocks to prevent or minimise the impact of high-energy tremors on excavations.The estimation of the effectiveness of torpedo blasting is particularly important when mining is under difficult geological and mining conditions.Torpedo blasting is the main form of active rockburst prevention in the assigned colliery in the Polish part of the USCB.The effectiveness of blasting can be estimated using the seismic effect method,in which the seismic monitoring data and the mass of explosives are taken into consideration.The seismic effect method was developed in the Czech Republic and is always being used in collieries in the Czech part of the coal basin.Now,this method has been widely adopted for our selected colliery in the Polish part of the coal basin.The effectiveness of torpedo blastings in the faces and galleries of the assigned longwall in coal seam 506 has been estimated.The results show that the effectiveness of torpedo blastings for this longwall was significant in light of the seismic effect method,which corresponds to the in situ observations.The seismic effect method is regularly applied to estimating the blasting effectiveness in the selected colliery. 展开更多
关键词 Rockburst prevention Torpedo blasting Seismic effect Upper Silesian Coal basin(USCB)
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Late-Stage Reservoir Formation Effect and Its Dynamic Mechanisms in Complex Superimposed Basins 被引量:5
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作者 KANG Dejiang PANG Xiongqi +3 位作者 KUANG Jun LUO Xiaorong PANG Hong LEI Lei 《Acta Geologica Sinica(English Edition)》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2010年第5期1055-1077,共23页
Complex superimposed basins exhibit multi-stage tectonic events and multi-stage reservoir formation; hydrocarbon reservoirs formed in the early stage have generally late-stage genesis characteristics after undergoing ... Complex superimposed basins exhibit multi-stage tectonic events and multi-stage reservoir formation; hydrocarbon reservoirs formed in the early stage have generally late-stage genesis characteristics after undergoing adjustment, reconstruction and destruction of later-stage multiple tectonic events. In this paper, this phenomenon is called the late-stage reservoir formation effect. The late-stage reservoir formation effect is a basic feature of oil and gas-forming reservoirs in complex superimposed basins, revealing not only multi-stage character, relevance and complexity of oil and gas- forming reservoirs in superimposed basins but also the importance of late-stage reservoir formation. Late-stage reservoir formation is not a basic feature of oil and gas forming reservoir in superimposed basins. Multi-stage reservoir formation only characterizes one aspect of oil and gas-forming reservoir in superimposed basins and does not represent fully the complexity of oil and gas-forming reservoir in superimposed basins. We suggest using "late-stage reservoir formation effect" to replace the "late-stage reservoir formation" concept to guide the exploration of complex reservoirs in superimposed basins. Under current geologic conditions, the late-stage reservoir formation effect is represented mainly by four basic forms: phase transformation, scale reconstruction, component variation and trap adjustment. The late-stage reservoir formation effect is produced by two kinds of geologic processes: first, the oil and gas retention function of various geologic thresholds (hydrocarbon expulsion threshold, hydrocarbon migration threshold, and hydrocarbon accumulating threshold) causes the actual time of oil and gas reservoir formation to be later than the time of generation of large amounts of hydrocarbon in a conventional sense, producing the late-stage reservoir formation effect; second, multiple types of tectonic events (continuously strong reconstruction, early-stage strong reconstruction, middle-stage strong reconstruction, late-stage strong reconstruction and long-term stable sedimentation) after oil and gas reservoir formation lead to adjustment, reconstruction and destruction of reservoirs formed earlier, and form new secondary hydrocarbon reservoirs due to the late-stage reservoir formation effect. 展开更多
关键词 superimposed basin late-stage reservoir formation effect late-stage reservoir formation tectonic event geologic threshold
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NONSTATIONARY EFFECTS ON SAFE BASINS OF A FORCED SOFTENING DUFFING OSCILLATOR 被引量:5
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作者 Gan Chunbiao Lu Qishao Huang Kelei 《Acta Mechanica Solida Sinica》 SCIE EI 1998年第3期253-260,共8页
The safe basin of a forced softening Duffing oscillator is studiednumerically. The changes of safe basins are observed under bothstationary and nonstationary variations of the external excitationfrequency. The kind of... The safe basin of a forced softening Duffing oscillator is studiednumerically. The changes of safe basins are observed under bothstationary and nonstationary variations of the external excitationfrequency. The kind of nonstationary variations of the excitationfrequency can greatly change the erosion rate and the shape of thesafe basin. The other effects of nonstatinary variations on the safebasin are also discussed. 展开更多
关键词 Duffing oscillator safe basin nonstationary effects
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Scale effects of eroded sediment transport in Wujiang River Basin, Guizhou Province, China 被引量:4
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作者 WANG Yao HOU Li-sheng CAI Yun-long 《Journal of Groundwater Science and Engineering》 2017年第2期182-192,共11页
In recent years, research on spatial scale and scale transformation of eroded sediment transport has become a forefront field in current soil erosion research, but there are very few studies on the scale effect proble... In recent years, research on spatial scale and scale transformation of eroded sediment transport has become a forefront field in current soil erosion research, but there are very few studies on the scale effect problem in Karst regions of China. Here we quantitatively extracted five main factors influencing soil erosion, namely rainfall erosivity, soil erodibility, vegetative cover and management, soil and water conservation, and slope length and steepness. Regression relations were built between these factors and also the sediment transport modulus and drainage area, so as to initially analyze and discuss scale effects on sediment transport in the Wujiang River Basin(WRB). The size and extent of soil erosion influencing factors in the WRB were gauged from: Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer Global Digital Elevation Model(ASTER GDEM), precipitation data, land use, soil type and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI) data from Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies(GIMMS) or Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer(AVHRR), and observed data from hydrometric stations. We find that scaling effects exist between the sediment transport modulus and the drainage area. Scaling effects are expressed after logarithmic transformation by a quadratic function regression relationship where the sediment transport modulus increases before decreasing, alongside changes in the drainage area. Among the five factors influencing soil erosion, slope length and steepness increases first and then decreases, alongside changes in the drainage area, and are the main factors determining the relationship between sediment transport modulus and drainage area. To eliminate the influence of scale effects on our results, we mapped the sediment yield modulus of the entire WRB, adopting a 1 000 km^2 standard area with a smaller fitting error for all sub-basins, and using the common Kriging interpolation method. 展开更多
关键词 Sediment transport modulus Scale effect Soil erosion Wujiang River basin
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Estimating the site effects in Luoyang basin using horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio method from a short-period dense array 被引量:3
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作者 Yujuan Tan Yunhao Wei +1 位作者 Yonghong Duan Fuyun Wang 《Earthquake Science》 CSCD 2018年第5期272-280,共9页
The influence of local site effects on seismic ground motions is an important issue in seismic hazard assessment and earthquake resistant design. Determining site effects in densely populated cities built on basins ca... The influence of local site effects on seismic ground motions is an important issue in seismic hazard assessment and earthquake resistant design. Determining site effects in densely populated cities built on basins can help to reduce the earthquake hazard. Site effects of Luoyang basin are estimated by the horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio(HVSR) method using ambient noise records from a short-period dense array. The sites in Luoyang basin are sorted into three types according to the pattern of the HVSR curves. There are cases with a single clear peak, two clear peaks, and an unclear low frequency peak or multiple peaks, which correspond to there being one large impedance contrast interface, two large interfaces, and a moderate one beneath the sites, respectively. The site effects characterized by fundamental frequency from HVSR curves are affected by underlying sedimentary layers and depth of sedimentary basement. According to our results, the existence of thick sediment layer obviously lowers the fundamental frequency to the period range from 2 to 4 s in the downtown area of Luoyang city. The ground motion will amplify when through the sites and the buildings with height of 20–50 floors can resonate at the similar frequency domain. Site effects estimation using HVSR method from a short-period dense array is an effective technique in areas of moderate seismic risk where strong motion recordings are lacking, such as the Luoyang basin. 展开更多
关键词 site effects horizontal to vertical spectral ratio dense array Luoyang basin
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基于北岭地震的洛杉矶盆地的地震动盆地效应研究
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作者 张旭 闫佳琦 +2 位作者 韩春鹏 马春龙 李明宝 《振动与冲击》 北大核心 2025年第2期221-234,共14页
盆地场地对于地震动的放大作用十分显著,盆地效应的研究对于估测地震动、工程选址及抗震设计有着重要的意义。为定量探究盆地对于不同地震动参数及震害的影响,利用洛杉矶盆地区域布设的30个岩土台站获取的北岭地震加速度记录,以盆地外... 盆地场地对于地震动的放大作用十分显著,盆地效应的研究对于估测地震动、工程选址及抗震设计有着重要的意义。为定量探究盆地对于不同地震动参数及震害的影响,利用洛杉矶盆地区域布设的30个岩土台站获取的北岭地震加速度记录,以盆地外西北侧基岩场地为参考场地研究盆地地形对于幅值、持时、仪器烈度及阿里亚斯烈度等地震动参数的影响,并基于考虑路径几何衰减效应的传统谱比法分析盆地不同区域的场地放大作用。结果表明:(1)地震动幅值与阿里亚斯烈度均随震中距增加而减小,但在盆地东南侧边缘又呈小幅回升趋势;(2)盆地东南侧边缘对于持时及地震动的放大作用最为显著,呈明显地震动异常区;(3)盆地西北侧边缘的仪器烈度及调查烈度均高于其他区域,呈明显烈度异常区;(4)盆地中部区域各场地的地震动参数不存在明显异常,此区域震害也并未被盆地场地放大;(5)造成盆地两侧边缘地震动参数及震害异常区的主要原因为体波与次生面波相长干涉造成的盆地边缘效应。研究结果可为我国部分盆地场地对地震动影响的相关研究提供一定借鉴,为我国防灾减灾工程提供科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 北岭地震 洛杉矶盆地 地震动参数 盆地效应 放大作用
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Effect of a large-scale three-dimensional sedimentary basin on Rayleigh wave propagation by using spectral element method combined with frequency-wavenumber method
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作者 Zhenning BA Chenyang KUO +1 位作者 Fangbo WANG Jianwen LIANG 《Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering》 2025年第7期1173-1191,共19页
Site effects study has always been a key research topic in earthquake engineering.This study proposes a hybrid method to analyze large-scale three-dimensional sedimentary basin under Rayleigh(R)wave incidence.The prop... Site effects study has always been a key research topic in earthquake engineering.This study proposes a hybrid method to analyze large-scale three-dimensional sedimentary basin under Rayleigh(R)wave incidence.The proposed hybrid method includes two steps:1)calculate the free field responses of layered sites subjected to R-wave using the frequency-wavenumber method;2)Simulate the local site region using spectral element method with the equivalent forces input computed from the free field responses.A comprehensive verification study is conducted demonstrating the accuracy of this method.To investigate the effect of sedimentary basin on R-wave propagation,a parametric study is performed on the medium impedance contrast ratio of sedimentary basins and the incident seismic wave predominant frequency,revealing the scattering patterns of sedimentary basins under R-wave incidence.Finally,a practical case of the Wudu Basin in the Tibetan Plateau region of China is simulated.Results indicate significant amplification of R-wave by sedimentary basin,and the proposed hybrid method could serve as a reliable and efficient approach for large-scale R-wave propagation simulation. 展开更多
关键词 Rayleigh wave hybrid method basin effect wave propagation spectral element method
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极端高温对黄河流域经济增长的时空影响探测
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作者 张航 郭雨臣 +3 位作者 张红娟 高文凯 李裕瑞 董冠鹏 《地理学报》 北大核心 2025年第5期1353-1369,共17页
自20世纪50年代以来,极端高温发生的频率、强度和空间范围均显著增加。区别于平均温度上升的影响,极端高温对社会经济的影响往往是超出预期的、更直接和容易被个体与社会感知的。定量刻画极端高温对区域经济增长的独立效应,对客观认知... 自20世纪50年代以来,极端高温发生的频率、强度和空间范围均显著增加。区别于平均温度上升的影响,极端高温对社会经济的影响往往是超出预期的、更直接和容易被个体与社会感知的。定量刻画极端高温对区域经济增长的独立效应,对客观认知气候变化对过去和未来经济增长影响的起着至关重要的作用。黄河流域作为国家生态安全的重要屏障和高质量发展的重要试验区,其核心和主导产业多为能源密集型或劳动密集型产业,更易受到极端高温事件的影响。探测极端高温对经济增长的历史影响及其关键特征,是深刻理解黄河流域经济发展的气候变化韧性和应对未来气候变化的关键。因此,本文首先基于夜间灯光和机器学习算法,生成1992—2021年黄河流域县域尺度GDP数据集。其次,系统考虑极端高温、升温和温度波动等因子,构建黄河流域气候变化计量经济模型,探索极端高温对黄河流域经济增长的影响及其非线性、时间持续性和空间异质性特征。最后,利用第六次国际耦合模式比较计划定量估算人类活动引起的极端高温导致的经济损失。结果表明:(1)极端高温对经济增长的影响呈现出随年均温变化而变化的非线性特征,随着区域年均温的变化,极端高温的边际效应由不显著转为显著的负向效应,拐点温度为6.7℃。当县域年均温小于6.7℃时,极端高温的边际效应不显著,在空间上主要分布在黄河流域上游较为寒冷的区域。(2)极端高温对经济增长的影响具有显著的时间持续性和异质性,极端高温可能对区域经济增长造成永久性的损害,改变经济增长轨迹。(3)人为极端高温导致黄河流域遭受巨大的经济损失,1998—2020年黄河流域的累积经济损失达到约5660亿元,相当于期间累积不变价GDP的0.6%。本文为探索流域尺度经济发展对全球气候变化的响应规律提供借鉴意义。 展开更多
关键词 气候变化计量经济模型 空间异质性 时间持续效应 黄河流域 机器学习
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黄河流域农业碳排放时空演变特征及影响因素研究 被引量:6
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作者 张军涛 韩祁祺 《环境科学研究》 北大核心 2025年第4期754-766,共13页
在“双碳”战略背景下,准确掌握黄河流域农业碳排放发展态势及驱动机制对于探寻农业碳减排路径以及实现农业低碳发展具有重要意义。在测算2011−2021年黄河流域56个地级及以上城市农业碳排放的基础上,运用核密度估计、Dagum基尼系数、空... 在“双碳”战略背景下,准确掌握黄河流域农业碳排放发展态势及驱动机制对于探寻农业碳减排路径以及实现农业低碳发展具有重要意义。在测算2011−2021年黄河流域56个地级及以上城市农业碳排放的基础上,运用核密度估计、Dagum基尼系数、空间杜宾模型等方法深入探讨其时空演变、空间差异、影响因素及空间效应。结果表明:①2011−2021年黄河流域农业碳排放量从121.15×10^(6) t降至108.23×10^(6) t,经历了“缓慢上升−持续下降−略有回升”三个阶段,上、中、下游各区域农业碳排放量的演进过程和极化特征存在差异。②黄河流域农业碳排放具有明显的空间集聚与区域分异特征,上游地区呈现“北高南低”的空间分布特征,中游地区呈现“西高东低”的空间分布特征,下游地区呈现“中心−外围”的空间分布特征。③黄河流域农业碳排放总体差异以及中游、下游地区的区域内差异呈波动下降趋势,区域间差异是总体差异的主要来源,年均贡献率达43.87%,且中游与下游间差异最大,上游与中游间差异最小。④政府干预程度、农业机械化强度会抑制黄河流域农业碳排放,政府干预程度还存在负向溢出效应;人均耕地面积、以种植业和畜牧业为主的农业产业结构对农业碳排放产生正向影响;农业产业集聚、农业经济发展水平对本地和周边地区农业碳排放的影响均表现为倒“U”型关系。综上,黄河流域各地区农业碳排放时空演变特征和影响因素差异显著,应制定实施差异化的区域碳减排策略,加强地区间减排技术交流合作和经验共享,推动农业低碳可持续发展。 展开更多
关键词 黄河流域 农业碳排放 时空演变 空间溢出效应
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城市群一体化对黄河流域低碳发展的影响机制研究 被引量:1
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作者 廖乐焕 董燕燕 曹华 《人民黄河》 北大核心 2025年第5期15-21,共7页
黄河流域以能源为主的工业结构和以煤炭为主的能源消费导致的大气和水环境污染问题,是绿色低碳高质量发展的制约因素之一;城市群一体化是通过多个城市在经济、社会、基础设施、环境保护等方面的协同从而提升整体可持续发展能力的过程,截... 黄河流域以能源为主的工业结构和以煤炭为主的能源消费导致的大气和水环境污染问题,是绿色低碳高质量发展的制约因素之一;城市群一体化是通过多个城市在经济、社会、基础设施、环境保护等方面的协同从而提升整体可持续发展能力的过程,截至2023年年底国务院批准建设的国家级城市群中有4个分布在黄河流域。为了探讨城市群一体化对黄河流域低碳发展的影响,在理论机制分析的基础上,基于2011—2022年黄河流域80个地级市的面板数据,把国家级城市群政策的实施作为一项准自然实验,即把黄河流域列入4个国家级城市群发展规划的地级市作为实验组、其余地级市作为对照组,采用多期双重差分模型进行回归,探讨了城市群一体化对黄河流域低碳发展的影响,并进行了平行趋势检验、稳健性检验、机制检验、空间溢出效应检验等。结果表明:1)城市群一体化能够显著促进黄河流域低碳发展;2)城市群一体化通过推动产业结构升级和技术创新促进黄河流域低碳发展,人力资本和环境规制对城市群一体化促进低碳发展具有显著的正向调节作用;3)城市群一体化对低碳发展的影响具有显著的正向空间溢出效应,空间溢出效应的地理距离阈值为200km。提出了进一步全方位推进城市群一体化发展、提升政府效能、疏通产业结构升级和技术创新两种中介渠道、充分发挥人力资本和环境规制的调节作用等建议。 展开更多
关键词 城市群一体化 低碳发展 多期双重差分模型 机制检验 空间溢出效应 黄河流域
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盆山过渡带多灾种地质灾害监测——以都江堰市白沙河流域为例
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作者 田宏岭 李梦苑 《人民长江》 北大核心 2025年第9期56-65,共10页
当前大型复合灾害、链生灾害的威胁凸显,但其研究面临灾害区域偏僻,难以监测和数据缺乏的难题。四川盆地紧邻青藏高原和云贵高原,高原-盆地之间的盆山过渡带地形变变化大,地质构造活跃,降雨丰沛,地表物质运移导致的地地貌发生不断改变,... 当前大型复合灾害、链生灾害的威胁凸显,但其研究面临灾害区域偏僻,难以监测和数据缺乏的难题。四川盆地紧邻青藏高原和云贵高原,高原-盆地之间的盆山过渡带地形变变化大,地质构造活跃,降雨丰沛,地表物质运移导致的地地貌发生不断改变,是国内大中型地质灾害的密集之地,多种地质灾害链生、伴生,造成人员伤亡、财产损失并破坏环境,严重影响重大工程如雅康高速、成兰铁路等的施工与运营。国内外对单灾种研究丰富,监测案例多,对于多灾种研究较少,目标难寻,监测缺乏。以都江堰白沙河流域为示范,利用其汶川地震后群生、伴生、链生灾害发育,灾种齐全的优势,自震后的2010年起,建立了坡-沟-河为场景的多尺度多灾种复合监测系统。针对多灾种间物质与能量转换研究与预警需要,确立以物质(水、土)、能量(运动)为核心参数的监测体系,采用经济型物联网传感器,实现现了低成本多灾种长期监测。通过该体系获取的长期观测数据,有效揭示了盆山过渡带海拔主导的灾害分异性及震后灾害演化的由下游至上游的逐渐减弱的时空规律,证实了灾害治理工程可有效降低区域灾害风险,为多灾种监测目标选择、灾害监测体系构建、灾害数据关联分析等提供了有益探索和思路。 展开更多
关键词 地质灾害 多灾种灾害监测 灾害效应 四川盆地 都江堰市 白沙河流域
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四川盆地周边山地夜间暴雨的特征与机理研究新进展 被引量:2
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作者 李国平 《沙漠与绿洲气象》 2025年第3期1-9,共9页
从四川盆地周边山地暴雨事件的气候特征、时空精细化分布(包括海拔依赖性)与合成特征、动力和热力结构及地形影响、边界层急流对水汽的输送、地面及大气热源的作用、西南低涡的同步贡献、中尺度对流系统的演变、地形重力波的影响等多个... 从四川盆地周边山地暴雨事件的气候特征、时空精细化分布(包括海拔依赖性)与合成特征、动力和热力结构及地形影响、边界层急流对水汽的输送、地面及大气热源的作用、西南低涡的同步贡献、中尺度对流系统的演变、地形重力波的影响等多个视角,综述了近年来取得的若干最新进展,指出仍然存在的一些重要问题,并展望未来的主要研究方向。 展开更多
关键词 夜间暴雨 四川盆地 边界层急流 热源作用 地形重力波
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2000—2019年黄淮海流域植被覆盖度变化归因研究 被引量:2
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作者 郑荣伟 张子元 +2 位作者 高学睿 王庆明 黄志强 《水土保持研究》 北大核心 2025年第3期214-221,共8页
[目的]科学评估黄淮海流域植被覆盖度变化中气候演变和人类活动的影响及定量贡献,为优化水土保持工作提供科学建议。[方法]基于黄淮海流域及其周围226个站点的气象数据以及SPOT-NDVI数据,利用像元二分法、线性斜率、Mann-Kendall趋势检... [目的]科学评估黄淮海流域植被覆盖度变化中气候演变和人类活动的影响及定量贡献,为优化水土保持工作提供科学建议。[方法]基于黄淮海流域及其周围226个站点的气象数据以及SPOT-NDVI数据,利用像元二分法、线性斜率、Mann-Kendall趋势检验和Person相关等方法,探讨植被覆盖度演变对蒸散发、降水、气温等气候因子响应的时间滞后效应,在残差分析法中增加时滞效应影响,评估了植被覆盖度变化原因。[结果](1)2000—2019年黄淮海流域年均植被覆盖度增长显著,线性斜率为0.038/10 a。(2)黄淮海流域植被覆盖度对降水响应滞后以0月和1月为主,分别占比52%和48%;对气温响应主要为无滞后性和滞后1月,分别占比61%和38%;对潜在蒸散发响应主要滞后1月和2月,分别占比49%和34%。[结论]影响黄淮海流域植被变化的主要因素为人类活动,气候变化的平均贡献率为33%,人类活动的平均贡献率为67%;其中约47%的区域人类活动影响贡献率超过80%,主要位于黄河流域西北部和东南部、海河流域南部和淮河流域。 展开更多
关键词 植被覆盖度 时滞效应 气候变化 人类活动 黄淮海流域
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黄河流域高质量发展对生态保护的影响机理研究
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作者 陈艳萍 史怡楚 张丽娜 《水利经济》 北大核心 2025年第5期23-34,共12页
研究黄河流域等生态敏感地区在推动高质量发展过程中对生态保护的积极作用及内在机制,具有重要的战略意义与实际价值。选取黄河流域9省区2011-2022年的面板数据,构建生态保护和高质量发展评估指标体系,运用熵权法与加性加权法测算9省区... 研究黄河流域等生态敏感地区在推动高质量发展过程中对生态保护的积极作用及内在机制,具有重要的战略意义与实际价值。选取黄河流域9省区2011-2022年的面板数据,构建生态保护和高质量发展评估指标体系,运用熵权法与加性加权法测算9省区的生态保护指数及高质量发展水平;选择生态用水水平、耕地面积、城镇化水平和信息化水平4个变量作为控制变量,运用固定效应模型探究高质量发展对生态保护的总体影响;为进一步揭示其影响机理,结合生态保护和高质量发展的影响因素,引入人力资本为中介变量、环境规制为调节变量,进行中介效应与调节效应检验。结果表明:高质量发展对生态保护具有明显的正向促进作用;人力资本在高质量发展影响生态保护的过程中起关键的中介作用;环境规制在高质量发展对生态保护的促进作用中发挥了正向调节效应。 展开更多
关键词 黄河流域 高质量发展 生态保护 中介效应 调节效应
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