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Compatible basal area models for live and dying trees using diffusion processes
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作者 Petras Rupšys 《Journal of Forestry Research》 2025年第3期120-138,共19页
Models that predict a forest stand’s evolution are essential for developing plans for sustainable management.A simple mathematical framework was developed that con-siders the individual tree and stand basal area unde... Models that predict a forest stand’s evolution are essential for developing plans for sustainable management.A simple mathematical framework was developed that con-siders the individual tree and stand basal area under random resource competition and is based on two assumptions:(1)a sigmoid-type stochastic process governs tree and stand basal area dynamics of living and dying trees,and(2)the total area that a tree may potentially occupy determines the number of trees per hectare.The most effective method to satisfy these requirements is formalizing each tree diameter and potentially occupied area using Gompertz-type stochastic differential equations governed by fixed and mixed-effect parameters.Data from permanent experimental plots from long-term Lithuania experiments were used to construct the tree and stand basal area models.The new models were relatively unbiased for live trees of all species,including silver birch(Betula pen-dula Roth)and downy birch(Betula pubescens Ehrh.),[spruce(Picea abies),and pine(Pinus sylvestris)].Less reliable predic-tions were made for the basal area of dying trees.Pines gave the highest accuracy prediction of mean basal area among all live trees.The mean basal area prediction for all dying trees was lower than that for live trees.Among all species,pine also had the best average basal area prediction accuracy for live trees.Newly developed basal area growth and yield models can be recommended despite their complex formulation and implementation challenges,particularly in situations when data is scarce.This is because the newly observed plot provides sufficient information to calibrate random effects. 展开更多
关键词 basal area Occupied area Stochastic process Probability distribution
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A review of stand basal area growth models 被引量:5
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作者 Sun Hong-gang Zhang Jian-guo Duan Ai-guo He Cai-yun 《Forestry Studies in China》 CAS 2007年第1期85-94,共10页
Growth and yield modeling has a long history in forestry. The methods of measuring the growth of stand basal area have evolved from those developed in the U.S.A. and Germany during the last century. Stand basal area m... Growth and yield modeling has a long history in forestry. The methods of measuring the growth of stand basal area have evolved from those developed in the U.S.A. and Germany during the last century. Stand basal area modeling has progressed rapidly since the first widely used model was published by the U.S. Forest Service. Over the years, a variety of models have been developed for predicting the growth and yield of uneven/even-aged stands using stand-level approaches. The modeling methodology has not only moved from an empirical approach to a more ecological process-based approach but also accommodated a variety of techniques such as: 1) simultaneous equation methods, 2) difference models, 3) artificial neural network techniques, 4) linear/nonlinear regression models, and 5) matrix models. Empirical models using statistical methods were developed to reproduce accurately and precisely field observations. In contrast, process models have a shorter history, developed originally as research and education tools with the aim of increasing the understanding of cause and effect relationships. Empirical and process models can be married into hybrid models in which the shortcomings of both component approaches can, to some extent, be overcome. Algebraic difference forms of stand basal area models which consist of stand age, stand density and site quality can fully describe stand growth dynamics. This paper reviews the current literature regarding stand basal area models, discusses the basic types of models and their merits and outlines recent progress in modeling growth and dynamics of stand basal area. Future trends involving algebraic difference forms, good fitting variables and model types into stand basal area modeling strategies are discussed. 展开更多
关键词 stand basal area empirical models process-based models algebraic difference hybrid models
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Estimation of a basal area growth model for individual trees in uneven-aged Caspian mixed species forests 被引量:1
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作者 Zohreh Mohammadi Soleiman Mohammadi Limaei +1 位作者 Peter Lohmander Leif Olsson 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2018年第5期1205-1214,共10页
The aim of this study was to estimate a basal area growth model for individual trees in uneven-aged Caspian forests.A survey was conducted in order to find a natural forest without any harvesting activities,a so call... The aim of this study was to estimate a basal area growth model for individual trees in uneven-aged Caspian forests.A survey was conducted in order to find a natural forest without any harvesting activities,a so called 'untouched forest' and an area was selected from the Iranian Caspian forest.Three sample plots in the same aspect and of the same forest type were selected.In each plot,total tree height,diameter at breast height,distance of neighbor trees and azimuth were measured.Thirty trees were selected and drilled with increment borer to determine the increment model.Regression analysis was used to estimate the growth model.Results show that,for individual trees,there is a significant nonlinear relationship between the annual basal area increment,as the dependent variable,and the basal area.The results also show that the basal area of competing trees has a positive influence on growth.That the increment is higher with more competing neighboring trees is possibly because plots with higher volume per hectare and more competition,most likely also have higher site index or better soil or better site productivity than the plot with lower volume per hectare. 展开更多
关键词 basal area increment Diameter growth Regression analysis Caspian forests
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Grouping tree species to estimate basal area increment in temperate multispecies forests in Durango,Mexico
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作者 Jaime Roberto Padilla-Martínez Carola Paul +2 位作者 Kai Husmann Jose Javier Corral-Rivas Klaus von Gadow 《Forest Ecosystems》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第1期1-13,共13页
Multispecies forests have received increased scientific attention,driven by the hypothesis that biodiversity improves ecological resilience.However,a greater species diversity presents challenges for forest management... Multispecies forests have received increased scientific attention,driven by the hypothesis that biodiversity improves ecological resilience.However,a greater species diversity presents challenges for forest management and research.Our study aims to develop basal area growth models for tree species cohorts.The analysis is based on a dataset of 423 permanent plots(2,500 m^(2))located in temperate forests in Durango,Mexico.First,we define tree species cohorts based on individual and neighborhood-based variables using a combination of principal component and cluster analyses.Then,we estimate the basal area increment of each cohort through the generalized additive model to describe the effect of tree size,competition,stand density and site quality.The principal component and cluster analyses assign a total of 37 tree species to eight cohorts that differed primarily with regard to the distribution of tree size and vertical position within the community.The generalized additive models provide satisfactory estimates of tree growth for the species cohorts,explaining between 19 and 53 percent of the total variation of basal area increment,and highlight the following results:i)most cohorts show a"rise-and-fall"effect of tree size on tree growth;ii)surprisingly,the competition index"basal area of larger trees"had showed a positive effect in four of the eight cohorts;iii)stand density had a negative effect on basal area increment,though the effect was minor in medium-and high-density stands,and iv)basal area growth was positively correlated with site quality except for an oak cohort.The developed species cohorts and growth models provide insight into their particular ecological features and growth patterns that may support the development of sustainable management strategies for temperate multispecies forests. 展开更多
关键词 Temperate multispecies forests Cluster analysis basal area increment Generalized additive models
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Stand basal area modelling for Chinese fir plantations using an artificial neural network model 被引量:8
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作者 Shaohui Che Xiaohong Tan +5 位作者 Congwei Xiang Jianjun Sun Xiaoyan Hu Xiongqing Zhang Aiguo Duan Jianguo Zhang 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第5期1641-1649,共9页
Artificial neural network models are a popular estimation tool for fitting nonlinear relationships because they require no assumptions about the form of the fitting function,non-Gaussian distributions,multicollinearit... Artificial neural network models are a popular estimation tool for fitting nonlinear relationships because they require no assumptions about the form of the fitting function,non-Gaussian distributions,multicollinearity,outliers and noise in the data.The problems of backpropagation models using artificial neural networks include determination of the structure of the network and overlearning courses.According to data from 1981 to 2008 from 15 permanent sample plots on Dagangshan Mountain in Jiangxi Province,a back-propagation artificial neural network model(BPANN)and a support vector machine model(SVM)for basal area of Chinese fir(Cunninghamia lanceolata)plantations were constructed using four kinds of prediction factors,including stand age,site index,surviving stem numbers and quadratic mean diameters.Artificial intelligence methods,especially SVM,could be effective in describing stand basal area growth of Chinese fir under different growth conditions with higher simulation precision than traditional regression models.SVM and the Chapman–Richards nonlinear mixed-effects model had less systematic bias than the BPANN. 展开更多
关键词 Chinese FIR basal area Artificial NEURAL network Support VECTOR MACHINE Mixed-effect model
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Estimation of Basal Area in West Oak Forests of Iran Using Remote Sensing Imagery
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作者 Loghman Ghahramany Parviz Fatehi Hedayat Ghazanfari 《International Journal of Geosciences》 2012年第2期398-403,共6页
The objective of this study is to evaluate the capability of satellite imagery for the estimation of basal area in Northern Zagros Forests. The data of the high resolution geometric (HRG) sensor of SPOT-5 satellite da... The objective of this study is to evaluate the capability of satellite imagery for the estimation of basal area in Northern Zagros Forests. The data of the high resolution geometric (HRG) sensor of SPOT-5 satellite dated in July 2005 were used. Investigation of the quality of Satellite images shows that these images have no radiometric distortion. Overlaying of geocoded images with the digital topographic maps indicated that the images have high geometric precision. A number of 319 circular plots (0.1 ha) were established using systematic random method in the study area. All trees having diameter at breast height (DBH) (i.e. 1.3 m above ground) greater than 5 cm were callipered in each plot. Basal area in each plot was determined using field data. Main bands, artificial bands such as vegetation indices and principle component analysis (PCA) were studied. Digital numbers related to each plot were extracted from original and artificial bands. All plots were ordinated by major geographic aspects and the best fitted regression models were determined for both the study area without consideration of aspects and with consideration of major geographic aspects by multiple regression analysis (step wise regression). The results from regression analysis indicated that the square root of basal area without consideration of aspects has a high correlation with band B1 (r = –0.60). The consideration of aspects resulted in correlation of different indices with square root of basal area such that in northern forests, band B1 had higher correlation coefficient(r = –0.67) among other indices. In Eastern forests, the same band showed correlation of basal area with different correlation coefficient (r = –0.65). In southern and western forests, the square root of basal area had higher correlation (r = –0.68) with RVI. The use of the square root of basal area as a dependent variable in multivariate linear regression improved the results. The assessment of model validity indicated that the proposed models are properly valid. 展开更多
关键词 NORTHERN ZAGROS FORESTS basal area SPOT-5 Data
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Quantitative Evaluation of Bitterlich Sampling for Estimating Basal Area in Sparse Boreal Forests and Dense Tropical Forests
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作者 Wei Yang Hideki Kobayashi +2 位作者 Kenlo Nishida Nasahara Rikie Suzuki Akihiko Kondoh 《Open Journal of Forestry》 2017年第2期143-156,共14页
Bitterlich sampling is an extensively used technique in worldwide forest inventories. Although it has been proved that estimates of basal area from Bitterlich sampling are mathematically unbiased, its precision for in... Bitterlich sampling is an extensively used technique in worldwide forest inventories. Although it has been proved that estimates of basal area from Bitterlich sampling are mathematically unbiased, its precision for individual forest stands may be fairly poor. An extension of validation efforts to different forest biomes could therefore provide more comprehensive assessment and understanding of the Bitterlich sampling technique. In this study, this technique was quantitatively evaluated by using simulated sparse boreal forests and dense tropical forests from an empirical forest structure model (EFSM). Theoretical estimation of basal areas and practical estimation influenced by the hidden-tree effect were both compared with true basal areas of the simulated forests. The evaluation results indicated that: 1) Bitterlich sampling can yield acceptable accuracy and precision when the count number (CN) of trees was set to 10 for the studied boreal and tropical forests with distinct characteristics, 2) the theoretical estimation of basal area can be improved by increasing the CN values for both forests, and 3) when the hidden-tree effect is encountered, the accuracy for tropical forests will be decreased by increasing the CN values, whereas the accuracy for boreal forests can still be improved. Accordingly, a relatively high CN, at a reasonable cost, is recommended for sparse boreal forests to improve the accuracy of basal area estimation. In contrast, for dense tropical forests, a CN of ten is appropriate to mitigate the hidden-tree effect. 展开更多
关键词 Angle-Count Sampling basal area Forest Structure Modeling BOREAL FORESTS TROPICAL FORESTS
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Analysis of Basal Area for Chinese Fir Plantation Using Two Kinds of Nonlinear Mixed Effects Model(Two Levels)
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作者 Fu Liyong Li Yongci +1 位作者 Li Chunming Tang Shouzheng 《Chinese Forestry Science and Technology》 2012年第3期56-56,共1页
Nonlinear mixed effects model(NLMEM) is based on the relationship between the fixed and random effects in the regression function.The NLMEM has a competitive advantage in analyzing repeated measures data,the longitu... Nonlinear mixed effects model(NLMEM) is based on the relationship between the fixed and random effects in the regression function.The NLMEM has a competitive advantage in analyzing repeated measures data,the longitudinal data and multilevel data.This paper chose two kinds of two-level nonlinear mixed model to analyze basal area growth for Chinese Fir(Cunninghamia lanceolata). Model 1 is a general two-level NLMEM and Model 2 is based on Model 1 to further consider the fixed effects parameters changes with a specific factor. Firstly,through the analysis of these two models, this paper defined the basic model to build the two-level NLMEM.Secondly,665 kinds of models derived from Model 1 and 2 703 kinds of models derived from Model 2 were calculated and compared. The results showed that:for Model 1,there were 57 kinds of models converging,and when the formal parameter b<sub>0</sub> considered the block effects and plot effects,b<sub>1</sub> and b<sub>4</sub> only considered the block effects, the model fitted the best;and for Model 2,there were 24 kinds of model converging,and when the formal parameter bs considered the block effects and plot effects,b<sub>1</sub> only considered block effects and the fixed effects b<sub>0</sub> changed with any level of block level, Model 2 fitted the best.Finally,by comparing the traditional nonlinear regression model,Model 1 and Model 2,the results showed that Model 1 and Model 2 fitted better than the traditional nonlinear regression, and Model 2 was best fitting model. 展开更多
关键词 NONLINEAR MIXED effects model(NLMEM) TWO-LEVEL NONLINEAR mixed-effect MODEL basal area for Chinese Fir the best fitting MODEL
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基于哑变量与联立方程组的樟子松人工林碳储量生长模型
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作者 张丽荣 李镐然 +3 位作者 王奇龙 刘丹丹 赵雅琪 王维芳 《应用生态学报》 北大核心 2026年第1期145-154,共10页
为了科学预测樟子松人工林碳储量动态变化,本研究基于黑龙江省樟子松人工林固定监测样地数据,筛选确定Weibull模型为林分碳储量随林龄变化的最优基础模型。在此基础上,通过再参数化方法,构建了包含地位级指数(SCI)和林分密度指数(SDI)... 为了科学预测樟子松人工林碳储量动态变化,本研究基于黑龙江省樟子松人工林固定监测样地数据,筛选确定Weibull模型为林分碳储量随林龄变化的最优基础模型。在此基础上,通过再参数化方法,构建了包含地位级指数(SCI)和林分密度指数(SDI)的广义模型C1,以及包含SCI和林分胸高断面积(BAS)的广义模型C2。为量化区域影响,在C1模型的基础上引入区域哑变量,建立模型C3;同时,采用非线性似乎不相关回归法,构建了BAS与碳储量的联立方程组,形成碳储量模型系统。结果表明:优化模型C1、C2和C3的决定系数(R2)分别为0.9856、0.9968和0.9862,均方根误差(RMSE)均低于3 t·hm^(-2),模型稳定且预测精度高。C1与C2模型比较显示,BAS对碳储量估算的影响大于SDI。基于区域哑变量的C3模型将26个林区划分为3个区域,在林分年龄、SCI和SDI相同条件下,碳储量表现为区域2(完达山山系)>区域1(小兴安岭和张广才岭)>区域3(平原地区),证实区域对碳积累具有显著影响。联立模型系统中各子模型的R2均大于0.98,相对均方根误差(rRMSE)均小于9%,表明模型系统具有良好的通用性与稳定性。本研究构建的独立模型(C1、C2和C3)和模型系统各有侧重,适用于不同实际应用场景的林分碳储量精准预测,为樟子松人工林碳汇评估与经营决策提供科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 樟子松人工林 哑变量 胸高断面积 碳储量生长模型 联立方程组
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Evidence for the Projections from the Basal Nucleus of the Amygdala to the Primary Visual Cortex in the Cat
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作者 Yuanxin Chen, Bin Zhu and Tiande Shou School of Life Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, P.R.China 《生物物理学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第S1期250-250,共1页
The amygdaloid complex receives information from all sensory systems, especially from vision. Some researches (Amaral DG, 2003) show that in the primate brain, the amygdala
关键词 Amygdaloid complex basal NUCLEUS area 17 FLUOROGOLD EVOKED Potentials(EPs)
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亚热带人工混交林演替早期群落结构及其恢复特征 被引量:1
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作者 李艳朋 杜健 +2 位作者 盘李军 陈洁 许涵 《广西植物》 北大核心 2025年第3期567-584,共18页
群落结构的恢复能力是判断人工混交林营建成功与否的重要指标。为探究亚热带人工混交林的群落结构及其恢复特征,该研究以广东省佛山市云勇林场2010年对杉木纯林进行皆伐并种植阔叶乡土树种后形成的人工混交林为研究对象,通过分析2020年... 群落结构的恢复能力是判断人工混交林营建成功与否的重要指标。为探究亚热带人工混交林的群落结构及其恢复特征,该研究以广东省佛山市云勇林场2010年对杉木纯林进行皆伐并种植阔叶乡土树种后形成的人工混交林为研究对象,通过分析2020年在典型区域建设的7.92 hm^(2)样地群落调查数据,计算了物种多样性、重要值、径级结构和胸高断面积等指标。结果表明:(1)云勇林场样地在经过10年的自然恢复后,共有47科101属136种木本和藤本植物进入群落并成功定殖且包含78种稀有种,表明亚热带人工混交林具有较强的物种多样性恢复能力。(2)云勇林场样地独立植株个体的平均胸径为8.47 cm,植株径级分布总体呈现为倒“J”形,表明群落更新良好且处于相对稳定状态。此外,早期人为引入物种能够实现自然更新,但由于恢复时间较短,其径级结构主要表现为钟形曲线。(3)仅物种多度与胸高断面积表现为较强的显著正相关关系,其余物种多样性指标均与胸高断面积表现为显著负相关关系,表明人工混交林演替早期的胸高断面积仍主要由造林初期人为引入物种决定。随着人工混交林演替进程中共存物种间生态位互补性的逐渐增强,有望促进物种多样性与群落生产力的同步提升。综上认为,该研究发现亚热带人工混交林具有较强的群落结构恢复能力,研究结果有助于为亚热带人工混交林的管理提供科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 人工混交林 物种多样性 群落结构 胸高断面积 恢复特征
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A Comparative Study on the Microbiological Characteristics of Soils Under Different Land—Use Conditions from Karst Areas of Southwest China 被引量:3
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作者 陈刚才 甘露 +2 位作者 王仕禄 吴沿友 万国江 《Chinese Journal Of Geochemistry》 EI CAS 2001年第1期52-58,共7页
Microbiological and physical\|chemical characteristics of subtropical forest, grassland and cropfield soils from the karst areas of Southwest China were investigated. The study revealed that the conversion of natural ... Microbiological and physical\|chemical characteristics of subtropical forest, grassland and cropfield soils from the karst areas of Southwest China were investigated. The study revealed that the conversion of natural forest to other forms of land would lead to a reduction in soil organic C(26.2%-35.3%), total N(37.2%-55.8%), total P(32.9%-43.6%), microbial biomass C(35.4%-49.1%), N(37.2%-55.8%), and P(25.8%-41.9%). Comparative analysis of microbial activity in terms of basal soil respiration showed maximum activity in forest soil and minimum in cropfield soil. Analysis of microbial metabolic respiratory activity indicated a relatively greater respiratory loss of CO\-2—C per unit microbial biomass in cropfield and grassland than in forest soil. Considering the importance of microbial components in soil, it is concluded that land use in different ways will lead to the reduction of biological stability of soil. 展开更多
关键词 土壤 微生物 中国西南地区 岩溶地区
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含哑变量的景宁栎类单木断面积生长模型
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作者 方国景 方炎杰 +2 位作者 窦啸文 吴登瑜 娄明华 《中南林业科技大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第8期12-19,共8页
【目的】选取浙江省景宁畲族自治县的天然乔木林中的栎属树种作为研究对象,旨在探究林分空间结构在栎类天然林单木断面积生长模型中的适用性,提高林木生长预测精度。【方法】基于2014、2019年浙江省森林资源连续清查样地调查数据,结合He... 【目的】选取浙江省景宁畲族自治县的天然乔木林中的栎属树种作为研究对象,旨在探究林分空间结构在栎类天然林单木断面积生长模型中的适用性,提高林木生长预测精度。【方法】基于2014、2019年浙江省森林资源连续清查样地调查数据,结合Hegyi竞争指数、全混交度和聚集指数等林分空间结构因子,采用熵值法构建空间结构综合指数(S),全面反映林木的空间分布和竞争关系。利用上限排外法将空间结构综合指数划分为三个等级,并将其作为哑变量纳入Schumacher、Johnson-Schumacher、Gompertz和Logistic等4种常用的理论生长方程中,构建含有空间结构综合指数哑变量的单木断面积生长模型,且与4种不同空间结构综合指数哑变量的基础生长模型进行比较分析。【结果】1)空间结构综合指数对胸高断面积生长量有显著正向影响。2)将空间结构综合指数作为哑变量纳入4种基础生长模型中,显著提高了模型的拟合优度和预测精度。3)在所有测试的模型中,以Johnson-Schumacher模型为基础的结合空间结构综合指数哑变量的断面积生长模型在预测精度上表现最为优异。【结论】将林分空间结构引入单木断面积生长模型中具有一定的适用性,能够显著提高林木生长预测的准确性,对森林资源管理和生态保护具有重要的理论和实践意义。 展开更多
关键词 胸高断面积生长量 空间结构综合指数 哑变量 单木生长模型
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Allometric equations quantify accelerated growth and carbon fixation in trees of northeastern north America
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作者 John Schwarzmann Donald M.Waller 《Forest Ecosystems》 2025年第5期919-932,共14页
A tree's basal area(BA)and wood volume scale exponentially with tree diameter in species-specifc patterns.Recent observed increases in tree growth suggest these allometric relationships are shifting in response to... A tree's basal area(BA)and wood volume scale exponentially with tree diameter in species-specifc patterns.Recent observed increases in tree growth suggest these allometric relationships are shifting in response to climate change,rising CO_(2) levels,and/or changes in forest management.We analyzed 9,214 cores from nine conifer and 11 broadleaf species grown in managed mixed-species stands in the upper Midwest to quantify how well diameter(diameter at breast height(DBH))serves to predict BA growth and above-ground wood and carbon(C).These samples include many large trees.We ft mixed models to predict BA growth and above-ground biomass/C from diameter,tree height,and the BA of nearby trees while controlling for site effects.Models account for 55%–83%of the variance in log(recent growth),improving predictions over earlier models.Growth-diameter scaling exponents covary with certain leaf and stem(but not wood)functional traits,reflecting growth strategies.LogBA increment scales linearly with log(diameter)as trees grow bigger in 16/20 species and growth actually accelerates in Quercus rubra L.Three other species plateau in growth.Growth only decelerates in red pine,Pinus resinosa Ait.Growth in whole-tree,above-ground biomass,and C accelerate even more strongly with diameter(mean exponent:2.08 vs.1.30 for BA growth).Sustained BA growth and accelerating wood/C growth contradict the common assumption that tree growth declines in bigger trees.Yield tables and silvicultural guidelines should be updated to reflect these current relationships.Such revisions will favor delaying harvests in many managed stands to increase wood production and enhance ecosystem values including C fxation and storage.Further research may resolve the relative roles of thinning,climatic conditions,nitrogen inputs,and rising CO2 levels on changing patterns of tree growth. 展开更多
关键词 Tree growth Forest carbon Tree allometry Diameter at breast height(DBH) basal area(BA)increment Carbon sequestration Functional trait
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华北落叶松人工林保留木生长与林分生产力对间伐的响应 被引量:1
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作者 贺鹏 和敬渊 +2 位作者 张海军 杨璐 刘宪钊 《北京林业大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第11期48-57,共10页
【目的】量化间伐对华北落叶松人工林个体生长与林分生产力的动态影响,确定实现生产力最优化的林分密度阈值。【方法】依托2017年建立的长期定位样地,通过两种作业方式(基于胸高断面积和保留木株数密度)构建了林分密度梯度。在间伐后的... 【目的】量化间伐对华北落叶松人工林个体生长与林分生产力的动态影响,确定实现生产力最优化的林分密度阈值。【方法】依托2017年建立的长期定位样地,通过两种作业方式(基于胸高断面积和保留木株数密度)构建了林分密度梯度。在间伐后的7年间(2017—2024),对保留木生长和林分尺度的生产力进行了两个周期的连续监测。采用回归分析方法,重点评估了以保留木胸高断面积为核心指标的间伐强度对生长动态的调控作用。【结果】(1)间伐显著促进了保留木的个体生长量,在2017—2020年和2020—2024年两个时期,间伐组的保留木平均单株年生长量(分别为(4.98±3.65)kg/a和(4.08±3.04)kg/a)均显著高于对照组(分别为(3.45±3.05)kg/a和(2.49±2.17)kg/a,p<0.05)。(2)对于胸径>20 cm的较大径级保留木,其生长量在2017—2020年与对照组无显著差异,但在2020—2024年显著高于对照组(p<0.05)。(3)所有保留木生长量及林分生产力在两个时期内均表现出随时间推移而下降的趋势(p<0.05)。(4)保留木胸高断面积对保留木生长量及2020—2024年的较大径级保留木生长量均表现出显著的负效应(p<0.001)。(5)林分尺度上,间伐处理与对照组的林分生产力在两个时期均无显著差异(p>0.05),但在2017—2020年,林分生产力随保留木胸高断面积的增加呈现先上升后下降的趋势,在保留木胸高断面积为34.2 m^(2)/hm^(2)时达到峰值,而在2020—2024年,林分生产力与保留木胸高断面积无显著关系。【结论】间伐能有效促进华北落叶松保留木尤其是大径材的个体生长,但其对林分生产力的增益效应存在最优密度区间。为实现生产力最大化,建议将保留木胸高断面积调控在29.8~40.1 m^(2)/hm^(2)。研究提出的量化指标可为区域森林的可持续经营提供决策依据。 展开更多
关键词 华北落叶松 人工林 间伐 保留木生长量 林分生产力 保留木胸高断面积 生长动态调控
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基于混合效应的马尾松天然林林分断面积生长模型
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作者 毛述震 欧阳勋志 +2 位作者 潘萍 朱天顺 郑怡 《江西农业大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第4期980-991,共12页
【目的】林分断面积是林分生长和收获预估中的重要因子,构建林分断面积生长模型可为森林资源监测提供科学依据。【方法】以江西省赣州市马尾松天然林为研究对象,以2019年森林资源二类调查样地数据库为基础数据,构建自然稀疏模型及林分... 【目的】林分断面积是林分生长和收获预估中的重要因子,构建林分断面积生长模型可为森林资源监测提供科学依据。【方法】以江西省赣州市马尾松天然林为研究对象,以2019年森林资源二类调查样地数据库为基础数据,构建自然稀疏模型及林分平均高-林龄模型分别用于计算林分密度指数和地位级指数,采用Mitscherlich、Korf、Logistic、Gompertz、Schumacher和Richards等6种理论生长模型,构建基于林龄、林分密度指数和地位级指数的林分断面积生长模型并筛选出其最优基础模型,进而添加区域(市、区、县)随机效应参数构建混合效应模型,选用指数函数和幂函数2种加权残差方差模型消除模型异方差,采用十折交叉验证法对模型预测效果进行评价。【结果】(1)马尾松天然林自然稀疏率为-1.3961,采用Schumacher模型构建的林分平均高与林龄关系模型的精度最高,其R_(adj)^(2)、RMSE和MAE分别为0.8725、0.5588 m和0.4043 m。(2)Korf模型为林分断面积生长最优基础模型,其R_(adj)^(2)、RMSE和MAE分别为0.9488、1.5562 m^(2)/hm^(2)和1.1003 m^(2)/hm^(2)。(3)添加区域(市、区、县)随机效应参数的混合效应模型的精度得到进一步提高,与基础模型差异极显著(P<0.001),其R_(adj)^(2)、RMSE和MAE分别为0.9513、1.5138 m^(2)/hm^(2)和1.0631 m^(2)/hm^(2),较林分断面积生长基础模型R_(adj)^(2)提高0.26%,而RMSE和MAE分别降低了2.72%和3.38%;幂函数加权残差方差模型对混合效应模型的异方差消除效果最好。【结论】林分断面积生长模型中添加区域(市、区、县)随机效应参数能有效提高模型的预测精度,混合效应模型能较好的预测赣南马尾松天然林林分断面积的生长。 展开更多
关键词 马尾松 天然林 最大密度线 林分断面积 混合效应模型
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常绿阔叶林树木生长与林元结构的关系
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作者 廖婷 朱立辉 +6 位作者 郑崇龙 黄彭玲 侯志琪 尹利栋 宋庆妮 刘骏 杨清培 《江西农业大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第2期426-437,共12页
【目的】研究亚热带常绿阔叶林林元结构与树木不同生长阶段生长的关系,有利于了解树木在空间和时间发展中的动态性和变化性,明确森林演替趋势,对植被恢复及优化林元结构具有重要指导意义。【方法】以齐云山2hm^(2)常绿阔叶林固定监测样... 【目的】研究亚热带常绿阔叶林林元结构与树木不同生长阶段生长的关系,有利于了解树木在空间和时间发展中的动态性和变化性,明确森林演替趋势,对植被恢复及优化林元结构具有重要指导意义。【方法】以齐云山2hm^(2)常绿阔叶林固定监测样地为研究对象,将样地内树木划分为幼树、小树、中树和大树4个生长阶段,选用角尺度、混交度和优势度3种林元结构参数,利用t检验和单因素分析法,探究林元结构对所有树木和不同生活型树木不同生长阶段的胸高断面积年均生长量的影响。【结果】(1)同一林元结构参数对所有树木不同生长阶段的胸高断面积年均生长量均具有显著影响(P<0.05),随着树木的径级增大,影响逐渐变小,而不同林元结构参数仅优势度对幼树具有显著影响(P<0.05);(2)同一林元结构参数对不同生活型树木的幼树、小树和中树的胸高断面积年均生长量具有显著影响(P<0.05),表现为角尺度对幼树和中树具有显著影响(P<0.05),混交度对小树和中树具有显著影响(P<0.05),优势度对幼树和小树具有显著影响(P<0.05)。【结论】亚热带常绿阔叶林树木在不同生长阶段都会受到林元结构的影响,小径级树木受影响最大,中树阶段胸高断面积年均生长量保持稳定增长,大树受影响较小;在不同生活型中,林元结构对落叶树木影响大,随着径级的增大,落叶树种胸高断面积年均生长量逐渐低于常绿树种生长量。研究认为该地区正处于演替中后期向演替顶级转变的过渡阶段,可以依据树木生长规律合理制定措施优化林元空间结构,通过长期监测保护加速森林的演替向顶级群落发展。 展开更多
关键词 森林演替 林元结构 树木动态生长 胸高断面积生长量
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基于竞争与气候效应的中国亚热带杉木人工林断面积生长模型
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作者 苏梦洋 朱光玉 +1 位作者 吕勇 刘恩林 《中南林业科技大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第5期30-43,共14页
【目的】研究竞争与气候因子对亚热带杉木人工林断面积生长的影响,构建含竞争与气候效应的断面积混合效应模型,为亚热带杉木人工林的林分生长与经营管理提供参考。【方法】以中国亚热带6省(区)的103块杉木人工林样地为研究对象,采用随... 【目的】研究竞争与气候因子对亚热带杉木人工林断面积生长的影响,构建含竞争与气候效应的断面积混合效应模型,为亚热带杉木人工林的林分生长与经营管理提供参考。【方法】以中国亚热带6省(区)的103块杉木人工林样地为研究对象,采用随机森林法筛选影响显著的竞争因子与气候因子;将筛选出的因子按标准进行分级组合成竞争类型与气候类型后,通过K-means聚类成竞争类型组与气候类型组;从5个基础模型中筛选出最优基础模型;将显著性因子、竞争类型组与气候类型组分别作为随机效应,添加到最优基础模型的各个参数上构建混合效应模型。【结果】1)筛选出对林分断面积影响显著的竞争因子为胸径不等于对象木胸径的其他林木的胸径之和与对象木胸径的比(CI1)和Alemdag竞争指数(CI6),气候因子为哈格里夫斯气候水汽亏损(CMD)、最热月平均气温(MWMT)、夏季平均温度(Tave_sm)、夏季平均最低温度(Tmin_sm)。2)筛选得到的最优基础模型为舒马克模型M1(R^(2)=0.9382)。3)构建的混合效应模型评价结果显示,考虑影响显著的竞争因子与气候因子分别作为随机效应时,模型的确定系数(R2)提升至0.9543与0.9558。将竞争类型组与气候类型组作为随机效应时,混合效应模型的确定系数(R2)进一步提升至0.9613与0.9671。考虑竞争因子与气候因子共同对林分断面积产生影响并将竞争类型组与气候类型组同时作为随机效应时,确定系数(R^(2))达到了0.9799。【结论】竞争因子与气候因子对林分断面积生长均有显著性影响,同时含竞争因子与气候因子的亚热带杉木人工林断面积模型具有较好的拟合效果与预测精度,为亚热带杉木人工林林分生长与经营管理提供了理论依据。 展开更多
关键词 竞争 气候 杉木人工林 林分断面积 混合效应模型
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杂种落叶松人工林单木断面积生长模型构建
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作者 朱万才 刘奇峰 +1 位作者 潘研 刘兆刚 《林业科学研究》 北大核心 2025年第6期80-88,共9页
[目的]建立包含林分竞争和气候的不同初植密度杂种落叶松单木断面积生长模型,为未来气候变化下杂种落叶松人工林经营提供理论依据。[方法]基于2004—2023年黑龙江江山娇实验林场杂种落叶松人工林16块样地的23 399个断面积观测数据,选取... [目的]建立包含林分竞争和气候的不同初植密度杂种落叶松单木断面积生长模型,为未来气候变化下杂种落叶松人工林经营提供理论依据。[方法]基于2004—2023年黑龙江江山娇实验林场杂种落叶松人工林16块样地的23 399个断面积观测数据,选取4种常用的理论生长模型,构建包括树龄、竞争和气候的不同初植密度林分的单木断面积基础哑变量模型,在此基础上引入样木水平随机效应构建单木断面积混合效应模型。基于混合效应模型的固定效应参数模拟杂种落叶松单木断面积对树龄、竞争、气候和初植密度的响应关系。[结果]与基础模型相比,引入树龄、林分竞争和气候因子的不同初植密度单木断面积哑变量模型的Ra2由0.525提升到0.554,RMSE由52.3 cm^(2)降低到50.7 cm^(2)。与哑变量模型相比,样木水平随机效应的引入使模型拟合精度得到极大提高(Ra2=0.978,RMSE=13.1 cm^(2)),并改善了异方差的问题。不同初植密度下的单木断面积呈现显著差异,为3 300株·hm^(−2)>2 500株·hm^(−2)>4 400株·hm^(−2)>6 600株·hm^(−2)。相同初植密度下,单木断面积随树龄和最冷月平均温度的增大而增大,随林分密度的增大而减小。[结论]树龄、林分竞争和气候因子是影响杂种落叶松单木断面积生长的重要因子,其中树龄是影响最大的因子,林分竞争次之。不同初植密度林分杂种落叶松人工林单木断面积存在差异,综合来看,初植密度为3 300株·hm^(−2)林分生长趋势较好。 展开更多
关键词 杂种落叶松 断面积生长模型 气候因子 混合效应模型
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阔叶次生林林木生长对高径比及个体大小的响应规律
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作者 陈鼎泸 韦春花 +3 位作者 臧颢 刘桂炳 钟梁 宁金魁 《河南林业科技》 2025年第2期19-22,49,共5页
以赣南崇义县3个试验林区的阔叶次生林为例,用林木年均胸高断面积生长量代替个体生长,试图量化不同经营类型和不同林木个体条件下,林木个体生长和高径比之间的关系。结果表明:(1)高径比对林木个体生长呈现出负相关关系,但这种相关性不高... 以赣南崇义县3个试验林区的阔叶次生林为例,用林木年均胸高断面积生长量代替个体生长,试图量化不同经营类型和不同林木个体条件下,林木个体生长和高径比之间的关系。结果表明:(1)高径比对林木个体生长呈现出负相关关系,但这种相关性不高;(2)单考虑经营类型或林木个体大小一种因素时,R^(2)_(adj)大于综合两种因素时的情况。而考虑两种因素时,log(BAI)和HDR的模型截距和斜率差别较大;(3)不同试验林区的高径比对log(BAI)的影响也不一样,如LongF试验林区作业样地(Silvi3)相对于对照样地(unSilvi3)的log(BAI)随林木高径比增大而降低较快,而GaoF试验林区正好相反。 展开更多
关键词 年均胸高断面积生长量 高径比 个体大小 阔叶次生林
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