In this paper,we establish and study a single-species logistic model with impulsive age-selective harvesting.First,we prove the ultimate boundedness of the solutions of the system.Then,we obtain conditions for the asy...In this paper,we establish and study a single-species logistic model with impulsive age-selective harvesting.First,we prove the ultimate boundedness of the solutions of the system.Then,we obtain conditions for the asymptotic stability of the trivial solution and the positive periodic solution.Finally,numerical simulations are presented to validate our results.Our results show that age-selective harvesting is more conducive to sustainable population survival than non-age-selective harvesting.展开更多
In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and cha...In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and change.Likewise,this period has seen a significant increase in our understanding of the physical processes and mechanisms that drive precipitation and its variability across different regions of Africa.By leveraging a large volume of climate model outputs,numerous studies have investigated the model representation of African precipitation as well as underlying physical processes.These studies have assessed whether the physical processes are well depicted and whether the models are fit for informing mitigation and adaptation strategies.This paper provides a review of the progress in precipitation simulation overAfrica in state-of-the-science climate models and discusses the major issues and challenges that remain.展开更多
The Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes(RANS)technique enables critical engineering predictions and is widely adopted.However,since this iterative computation relies on the fixed-point iteration,it may converge to unexpec...The Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes(RANS)technique enables critical engineering predictions and is widely adopted.However,since this iterative computation relies on the fixed-point iteration,it may converge to unexpected non-physical phase points in practice.We conduct an analysis on the phase-space characteristics and the fixed-point theory underlying the k-ε turbulence model,and employ the classical Kolmogorov flow as a framework,leveraging its direct numerical simulation(DNS)data to construct a one-dimensional(1D)system under periodic/fixed boundary conditions.The RANS results demonstrate that under periodic boundary conditions,the k-ε model exhibits only a unique trivial fixed point,with asymptotes capturing the phase portraits.The stability of this trivial fixed point is determined by a mathematically derived stability phase diagram,indicating the fact that the k-ε model will never converge to correct values under periodic conditions.In contrast,under fixed boundary conditions,the model can yield a stable non-trivial fixed point.The evolutionary mechanisms and their relationship with boundary condition settings systematically explain the inherent limitations of the k-ε model,i.e.,its deficiency in computing the flow field under periodic boundary conditions and sensitivity to boundary-value specifications under fixed boundary conditions.These conclusions are finally validated with the open-source code OpenFOAM.展开更多
Utilizing finite element analysis,the ballistic protection provided by a combination of perforated D-shaped and base armor plates,collectively referred to as radiator armor,is evaluated.ANSYS Explicit Dynamics is empl...Utilizing finite element analysis,the ballistic protection provided by a combination of perforated D-shaped and base armor plates,collectively referred to as radiator armor,is evaluated.ANSYS Explicit Dynamics is employed to simulate the ballistic impact of 7.62 mm armor-piercing projectiles on Aluminum AA5083-H116 and Steel Secure 500 armors,focusing on the evaluation of material deformation and penetration resistance at varying impact points.While the D-shaped armor plate is penetrated by the armor-piercing projectiles,the combination of the perforated D-shaped and base armor plates successfully halts penetration.A numerical model based on the finite element method is developed using software such as SolidWorks and ANSYS to analyze the interaction between radiator armor and bullet.The perforated design of radiator armor is to maintain airflow for radiator function,with hole sizes smaller than the bullet core diameter to protect radiator assemblies.Predictions are made regarding the brittle fracture resulting from the projectile core′s bending due to asymmetric impact,and the resulting fragments failed to penetrate the perforated base armor plate.Craters are formed on the surface of the perforated D-shaped armor plate due to the impact of projectile fragments.The numerical model accurately predicts hole growth and projectile penetration upon impact with the armor,demonstrating effective protection of the radiator assemblies by the radiator armor.展开更多
The rapid advancement of machine learning based tight-binding Hamiltonian(MLTB)methods has opened new avenues for efficient and accurate electronic structure simulations,particularly in large-scale systems and long-ti...The rapid advancement of machine learning based tight-binding Hamiltonian(MLTB)methods has opened new avenues for efficient and accurate electronic structure simulations,particularly in large-scale systems and long-time scenarios.This review begins with a concise overview of traditional tight-binding(TB)models,including both(semi-)empirical and first-principles approaches,establishing the foundation for understanding MLTB developments.We then present a systematic classification of existing MLTB methodologies,grouped into two major categories:direct prediction of TB Hamiltonian elements and inference of empirical parameters.A comparative analysis with other ML-based electronic structure models is also provided,highlighting the advancement of MLTB approaches.Finally,we explore the emerging MLTB application ecosystem,highlighting how the integration of MLTB models with a diverse suite of post-processing tools from linear-scaling solvers to quantum transport frameworks and molecular dynamics interfaces is essential for tackling complex scientific problems across different domains.The continued advancement of this integrated paradigm promises to accelerate materials discovery and open new frontiers in the predictive simulation of complex quantum phenomena.展开更多
Background:Skeletal tuberculosis(TB)remains a persistent clinical and research chal-lenge due to its chronic course,osteolytic destruction,and the limitations of existing animal models,which often require high-level b...Background:Skeletal tuberculosis(TB)remains a persistent clinical and research chal-lenge due to its chronic course,osteolytic destruction,and the limitations of existing animal models,which often require high-level biosafety containment or fail to repli-cate human skeletal pathology.Methods:This study developed a biosafe,accessible,and versatile murine model of skeletal TB using Mycobacterium smegmatis,a fast-growing,nonpathogenic myco-bacterial species with high genomic homology to Mycobacterium tuberculosis.Three infection routes-subperiosteal calvarial injection,intratibial injection,and intra-cardiac inoculation-were systematically evaluated for their ability to induce lo-calized versus disseminated bone infection under standard biosafety level(BSL)-1 conditions.Results:Subperiosteal calvarial and intratibial injection of M.smegmatis induced local-ized bone lesions characterized by osteolysis,sequestrum formation,granulomatous inflammation,and increased osteoclast activity.Intratibial infection additionally trig-gered compartment-specific immune responses,including neutrophil and macrophage expansion,transient B-cell depletion,and activation of interferon-γ^(+)(IFN-γ^(+))T cells,reflecting active immune remodeling at the infection site.Systemic dissemination via intracardiac injection reproducibly generated progressive vertebral and tibial bone destruction with organized granuloma formation and immune cell infiltration but without prominent sequestrum formation.Compared to intratibial infection,intracar-diac delivery exhibited lower intragroup variability and more closely recapitulated the diffuse progression of extrapulmonary skeletal tuberculosis.Conclusions:This M.smegmatis-based murine model provides a straightforward,reliable,and immunopathologically relevant platform for exploring host-pathogen dynamics,immune-driven bone destruction,and early-stage therapeutic testing in skeletal TB,all within standard BSL-1 laboratories.This model fills a critical gap by enabling BSL-1 research into skeletal TB mechanisms and drug development.展开更多
To investigate the influence of coarse aggregate parent rock properties on the elastic modulus of concrete,the mineralogical properties and stress-strain curves of granite and dolomite parent rocks,as well as the stre...To investigate the influence of coarse aggregate parent rock properties on the elastic modulus of concrete,the mineralogical properties and stress-strain curves of granite and dolomite parent rocks,as well as the strength and elastic modulus of mortar and concrete prepared with mechanism aggregates of the corresponding lithology,and the stress-strain curves of concrete were investigated.In this paper,a coarse aggregate and mortar matrix bonding assumption is proposed,and a prediction model for the elastic modulus of mortar is established by considering the lithology of the mechanism sand and the slurry components.An equivalent coarse aggregate elastic modulus model was established by considering factors such as coarse aggregate particle size,volume fraction,and mortar thickness between coarse aggregates.Based on the elastic modulus of the equivalent coarse aggregate and the remaining mortar,a prediction model for the elastic modulus of the two and three components of concrete in series and then in parallel was established,and the predicted values differed from the measured values within 10%.It is proposed that the coarse aggregate elastic modulus in highstrength concrete is the most critical factor affecting the elastic modulus of concrete,and as the coarse aggregate elastic modulus increases by 27.7%,the concrete elastic modulus increases by 19.5%.展开更多
Background:This study aims to explore the establishment of an animal model of car-diac injury induced by trimethylamine-N-oxide(TMAO),a metabolite secreted by gut microorganisms,and to investigate its application in m...Background:This study aims to explore the establishment of an animal model of car-diac injury induced by trimethylamine-N-oxide(TMAO),a metabolite secreted by gut microorganisms,and to investigate its application in moderate-intensity continuous training(MICT)intervention.Methods:C57BL6/J mice were randomly divided into four groups:normal mice(Nor,n=15);mice administered TMAO(TMAO,n=15);mice undergoing(Nor+MICT,n=15);mice undergoing(MICT)and administered TMAO(TMAO+MICT,n=15).Mice in the TMAO and TMAO+MICT groups received daily gavage of high-dose TMAO for 8 weeks,whereas those in the Nor+MICT and TMAO+MICT groups underwent MICT for 8 weeks(60 min per session,5 days per week,at 50%maximal running capacity).Cardiac function was evaluated using ultrasound,myocardial histology was examined using hematoxylin and eosin(HE)staining,and nuclear magnetic resonance(NMR)-based metabolomics was employed for multivariate statistical and metabolic pathway analyses.Results:Relative to the Nor group,TMAO-treated mice exhibited significant weight loss,elevated heart rate,and reduced ejection fraction and left ventricular fractional shortening,indicating cardiac impairment.Importantly,the TMAO+MICT group dem-onstrated significant improvements in these parameters compared to the TMAO group,alongside distinct alterations in myocardial metabolic profiles.TMAO altered five metabolic pathways relative to controls,whereas MICT induced significant changes in three pathways in TMAO-treated mice.Conclusion:Eight weeks of high-dose TMAO administration induced significant cardiac dysfunction in mice,which was effectively mitigated by MICT intervention.Consequently,this animal model serves as a valuable tool for investigating the mecha-nisms underlying the impact of MICT on cardiovascular diseases.展开更多
Business Process Modelling(BPM)is essential for analyzing,improving,and automating the flow of information within organizations,but traditional approaches based on manual interpretation are slow,error-prone,and requir...Business Process Modelling(BPM)is essential for analyzing,improving,and automating the flow of information within organizations,but traditional approaches based on manual interpretation are slow,error-prone,and require a high level of expertise.This article proposes an innovative alternative solution that overcomes these limitations by automatically generating comprehensive Business Process Modelling and Notation(BPMN)diagrams solely from verbal descriptions of the processes to be modeled,utilizing Large Language Models(LLMs)and multimodal Artificial Intelligence(AI).Experimental results,based on video recordings of process explanations provided by an expert from an organization(in this case,the Commercial Courts of a public justice administration),demonstrate that the proposed methodology successfully enables the automatic generation of complete and accurate BPMN diagrams,leading to significant improvements in the speed,accuracy,and accessibility of process modeling.This research makes a substantial contribution to the field of business process modeling,as its methodology is groundbreaking in its use of LLMs and multimodal AI capabilities to handle different types of source material(text and video),combining several tools to minimize the number of queries and reduce the complexity of the prompts required for the automatic generation of successful BPMN diagrams.展开更多
Pathological scarring,manifested in the form of hypertrophic scars(HTS)and keloid scars(KS),represents a major clinical challenge due to its aesthetic and functional implications for patients.Understanding the molecul...Pathological scarring,manifested in the form of hypertrophic scars(HTS)and keloid scars(KS),represents a major clinical challenge due to its aesthetic and functional implications for patients.Understanding the molecular mechanisms involved in these types of scars and developing effective treatments requires the use of controlled ex-perimental models,especially animals,to overcome the limitations of clinical studies.The aim of this sistematic review is to critically analyze the animal models used in the last five years(2020-2025)for the study of pathological scars,highlighting their advantages,limitations and applicability in the development of new therapeutic strat-egies.Murine,rabbit and porcine models,as well as alternative models,offer varied perspectives on the formation and treatment of HTS and KS,with an emphasis on histological and molecular correlations with human pathology.By synthesizing recent data,the paper highlights the essential role of preclinical research in optimizing an-tifibrotic treatments and in advancing the translation of data into the clinical sphere.Overall,animal models remain essential for bridging mechanistic insights with clinical translation,supporting the development of more effective and personalized anti-scar therapies.展开更多
Against the backdrop of continuous social development and growing public health demands,the efficiency and scientific nature of the emergency care system are of paramount importance.This paper focuses on researching t...Against the backdrop of continuous social development and growing public health demands,the efficiency and scientific nature of the emergency care system are of paramount importance.This paper focuses on researching the construction of an emergency care system based on the concept of“linkage”,delving into its theoretical foundations,exploring innovative construction models,and analyzing practical cases.The study indicates that an emergency care system under the“linkage”concept can effectively integrate resources and enhance efficiency,providing new insights for improving the construction of the emergency care system.It aims to promote the development of the emergency care system towards a more scientific,efficient,and collaborative direction.展开更多
Activation pruning reduces neural network complexity by eliminating low-importance neuron activations,yet identifying the critical pruning threshold—beyond which accuracy rapidly deteriorates—remains computationally...Activation pruning reduces neural network complexity by eliminating low-importance neuron activations,yet identifying the critical pruning threshold—beyond which accuracy rapidly deteriorates—remains computationally expensive and typically requires exhaustive search.We introduce a thermodynamics-inspired framework that treats activation distributions as energy-filtered physical systems and employs the free energy of activations as a principled evaluation metric.Phase-transition-like phenomena in the free-energy profile—such as extrema,inflection points,and curvature changes—yield reliable estimates of the critical pruning threshold,providing a theoretically grounded means of predicting sharp accuracy degradation.To further enhance efficiency,we propose a renormalized free energy technique that approximates full-evaluation free energy using only the activation distribution of the unpruned network.This eliminates repeated forward passes,dramatically reducing computational overhead and achieving speedups of up to 550×for MLPs.Extensive experiments across diverse vision architectures(MLP,CNN,ResNet,MobileNet,Vision Transformer)and text models(LSTM,BERT,ELECTRA,T5,GPT-2)on multiple datasets validate the generality,robustness,and computational efficiency of our approach.Overall,this work establishes a theoretically grounded and practically effective framework for activation pruning,bridging the gap between analytical understanding and efficient deployment of sparse neural networks.展开更多
Kinetic impact is the most practical planetary-defense technique,with momentum-transfer efficiency central to deflection design.We present a Monte Carlo photometric framework that couples ejecta sampling,dynamical evo...Kinetic impact is the most practical planetary-defense technique,with momentum-transfer efficiency central to deflection design.We present a Monte Carlo photometric framework that couples ejecta sampling,dynamical evolution,and image synthesis to compare directly with HST,LICIACube,ground-based and Lucy observations of the DART impact.Decomposing ejecta into(1)a highvelocity(~1600 m/s)plume exhibiting Na/K resonance,(2)a low-velocity(~1 m/s)conical component shaped by binary gravity and solar radiation pressure,and(3)meter-scale boulders,we quantify each component’s mass and momentum.Fitting photometric decay curves and morphological evolution yields size-velocity distributions and,via scaling laws,estimates of Dimorphos’bulk density,cratering parameters,and cohesive strength that agree with dynamical constraints.Photometric ejecta modeling therefore provides a robust route to constrain momentum enhancement and target properties,improving predictive capability for kinetic-deflection missions.展开更多
In this paper,we are concerned with the stability of traveling wavefronts of a Belousov-Zhabotinsky model with mixed nonlocal and degenerate diffusions.Such a system can be used to study the competition among nonlocal...In this paper,we are concerned with the stability of traveling wavefronts of a Belousov-Zhabotinsky model with mixed nonlocal and degenerate diffusions.Such a system can be used to study the competition among nonlocally diffusive species and degenerately diffusive species.We prove that the traveling wavefronts are exponentially stable,when the initial perturbation around the traveling waves decays exponentially as x→-∞,but in other locations,the initial data can be arbitrarily large.The adopted methods are the weighted energy with the comparison principle and squeezing technique.展开更多
Objectives This study aimed to explore the lagged and cumulative effects of risk factors on disability in older adults using distributed lag non-linear models(DLNMs).Methods We utilized data from the China Health and ...Objectives This study aimed to explore the lagged and cumulative effects of risk factors on disability in older adults using distributed lag non-linear models(DLNMs).Methods We utilized data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study(CHARLS).After feature selection via Elastic Net Regularization,we applied DLNMs to evaluate the lagged effects of risk factors.Disability was defined as the presence of any difficulties in basic activities of daily living(BADL).The cumulative relative risk(CRR)was calculated by summing the lag-specific risk estimates,representing the cumulative disability risk over the specified lag period.Effect modifications and sensitivity analyses were also performed.Results This study included a total of 2,318 participants.Early-phase lag factors,such as the difficulty in stooping(CRR=3.58;95%CI:2.31-5.55;P<0.001)and walking(CRR=2.77;95%CI:1.39-5.55;P<0.001),exerted the strongest effects immediately upon occurrence.Mid-phase lag factors,such as arthritis(CRR=1.51;95%CI:1.10-2.06;P=0.001),showed a resurgence in disability risk within 2-3 years.Late-phase lag factors,including depressive symptoms(CRR=2.38;95%CI:1.30-4.35;P<0.001)and elevated systolic blood pressure(CRR=1.64;95%CI:1.06-2.79;P=0.02),exhibited significant long-term cumulative risks.Conversely,grip strength(CRR=0.80;95%CI:0.54-0.95;P=0.02)and social participation(CRR=0.89;95%CI:0.73-0.99;P=0.04)were significant protective factors.Conclusions The findings underscore the importance of tailored interventions that account for various lag characteristics of different factors to effectively mitigate disability risk.Future studies should explore the underlying biological and sociological mechanisms of these lagged effects,identify intervention strategies that target risk factors with different lagged patterns,and evaluate their effectiveness.展开更多
Objectives:The five-year survival rate for pancreatic cancer is notably low,posing a significant challenge to patient health.The primary treatments are radiotherapy and chemotherapy,sometimes combined with targeted th...Objectives:The five-year survival rate for pancreatic cancer is notably low,posing a significant challenge to patient health.The primary treatments are radiotherapy and chemotherapy,sometimes combined with targeted therapy;however,their clinical benefits are limited.Therefore,developing new models to evaluate the therapeutic potential of novel molecules is essential.Fingolimod and Dimethyl Fumarate(DMF),currently used to treat multiple sclerosis,have recently been shown to have anti-cancer effects in several preclinical tumor models.This study aims to evaluate the therapeutic potential of Fingolimod and DMF in pancreatic cancer by investigating their respective in vitro cytotoxicity and in vivo antitumor effects.Methods:In this study,we evaluated for the first time these two drugs in pancreatic preclinical models in vitro using 3D spheroid tumor models and in vivo,which are compared to two standard-of-care consisting of Gemcitabine and Erlotinib.Results:In vitro,both Fingolimod and DMF induced cytotoxicity in spheroids from two pancreatic cell lines.Additionally,Fingolimod and DMF displayed anticancer effects in two subcutaneous xenograft models using PANC-1 and CFPAC-1 cells.Conclusions:Although the responses observed with Fingolimod and DMF were similar to those of Gemcitabine and Erlotinib,these findings indicate a potential emerging interest in Fingolimod and DMF for the treatment of pancreatic cancer.However,further work is still necessary to fully characterize how these drugs affect tumor progression.展开更多
Understanding the deterioration behaviors and mechanisms of rocks under thermo-hydromechanical(THM)interactions is crucial for mitigating slope instability.In this study,the physicomechanical properties of silty mudst...Understanding the deterioration behaviors and mechanisms of rocks under thermo-hydromechanical(THM)interactions is crucial for mitigating slope instability.In this study,the physicomechanical properties of silty mudstone subjected to THM interactions were investigated by triaxial tests.The underlying micro-mechanisms were revealed using microscopic tests.The triaxial test results indicate that the strength parameters of silty mudstone decrease by 89.50%(deformation modulus),78.15%(peak strength),70.58%(cohesion),and 48.65%(friction angle)under 16 THM cycles,a load of 300 kPa,and alternating between 0℃water immersion and 60℃drying.The SEM test results indicate that the deterioration of silty mudstone strength primarily results from hydrothermal-expansion softening and cracking driven by the TLHM interactions.The specimens manifest shear failure under confining pressure exceeding 140 kPa.Furthermore,a new constitutive model considering hydrothermalexpansion strain and non-linear deformation characteristics was developed.The discrepancy between the experimentally measured peak strength and the damage constitutive model prediction remains below 5%.The proposed model is verified to be in satisfactory agreement with the experimental results.The self-designed THM apparatus overcomes the limitations of traditional investigations,enabling simultaneous consideration of thermal,hydraulic,and mechanical interactions.展开更多
The outbreak of infectious diseases is the result of a combination of various factors,including season,the movement of individuals,non-pharmaceutical interventions(NPIs)and the effectiveness and availability of vaccin...The outbreak of infectious diseases is the result of a combination of various factors,including season,the movement of individuals,non-pharmaceutical interventions(NPIs)and the effectiveness and availability of vaccines.Taking these key elements into consideration,an almost periodic SVEIR warning model in the patch environment is here proposed.First,in terms of reproduction numbers,our results imply that if the effective reproduction numbers are R_(e)<1,then the disease dies out;if R_(e)>1,then the disease spreads and leads to local outbreaks.Second,the relationships between R_(e)and C_(s1),C_(a1)(see Section 2)are given by numerical simulations.The numerical results show that even if all people are vaccinated,NPIs are still needed because of the potentially low efficacy of vaccines.Furthermore,the numerical results suggest that NPIs and the strengthening of the effective rate of vaccination are essential in order to achieve herd immunity.Theories involving this model effectively explain the transmission mechanism of most infectious diseases,and provide a valuable theoretical basis for analyzing new infectious diseases in the future.Moreover,this model is helpful for the prevention and control of infectious diseases and the formulation of public health safety policies.展开更多
Mount Kandil is situated in the eastern sector of the EAHP(Eastern Anatolian High Plateau),to the south of the Lesser Caucasus.The mountain lies at the westernmost end of the Aras Mountains,which extends approximately...Mount Kandil is situated in the eastern sector of the EAHP(Eastern Anatolian High Plateau),to the south of the Lesser Caucasus.The mountain lies at the westernmost end of the Aras Mountains,which extends approximately 80 km along a NW-SE axis.With a summit reaching~3214 m(a.s.l.),Mount Kandil is a stratovolcano that,like many other peaks within the EAHP and the Lesser Caucasus,experienced significant environmental changes during Late Pleistocene.Among these,glacial processes stand out as the most profound,having distinctly shaped the mountains geomorphic landscape.This study presents,for the first time,a comprehensive analysis of the glacial morphology of Mount Kandil based on multiple datasets.Field-based morphological observations indicate that an area of approximately 32.62 km^(2)has been sculpted by glacial activity.Within six glaciated regions on Mount Kandil,25 cirques and 6 glacial valleys have been identified.In addition,moraines in various locations exhibit characteristic morphologies.Furthermore,valley glaciers are inferred to have descended to altitudes as low as~2000 m.The paleoequilibrium line(p ELA)was estimated to use AABR method within GIS,yielding a mean pELA of~2730 m.Ice thickness modelling indicates that the thickness of glaciers in the Kandil Mountain valleys reaches up to~350 m.Due to its orographic extension,Mount Kandil is exposed to humid northwest winds and receives substantial frontal precipitation(~686 mm annually).The compiled geomorphic,cartographic and morphometric parameters suggest that the glaciation dynamics of Mount Kandil—situated between the Southeastern Taurus and the Lesser Caucasus—closely resemble those observed in the Lesser Caucasus.This indicates that glaciation was primarily governed by northern atmospheric systems with additional influences from southerly or westerly winds.The integrated data also underscores the role of multiple atmospheric systems in controlling the glaciation regime around the Lesser Caucasus.Additionally,findings on regional pELA question the common belief that pELA increases eastward in EAHP.展开更多
Objective:To investigate the impact of targeted nursing interventions based on frailty prediction models on peri-hospitalization clinical outcomes in middle-aged and elderly patients with upper gastrointestinal bleedi...Objective:To investigate the impact of targeted nursing interventions based on frailty prediction models on peri-hospitalization clinical outcomes in middle-aged and elderly patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding(UGIB).Methods:A prospective cohort study was conducted,and 126 middle-aged and elderly patients with UGIB admitted from August 2024 to August 2025 were selected as the study subjects.The patients were divided into the intervention group(63 cases)and the control group(63 cases)based on whether they received nursing intervention based on frailty prediction models.The control group received routine care,while the intervention group,on the basis of routine care,used the FRAIL scale combined with laboratory indicators(albumin,hemoglobin,etc.)to establish a predictive model to evaluate patients within 24 hours of admission,and implemented multi-dimensional targeted nursing intervention for pre-frailty or frailty patients screened out.The incidence of frailty,rebleeding rate,average length of stay,hospitalization cost,and nursing satisfaction during hospitalization were compared between the two groups.Results:The incidence of frailty during hospitalization in the intervention group was 11.1%(7 cases/63 cases),significantly lower than 31.7%(20 cases/63 cases)in the control group,and the difference was statistically significant(p<0.05).The rebleeding rate of 4.8%vs 12.7%,the average length of stay of(7.2±1.5)days vs(9.1±2.2)days,and the average hospitalization cost of(23,000±6,000)yuan vs(28,000±7,000)yuan in the intervention group were all lower than those in the control group(all p<0.05).The nursing satisfaction score of the intervention group(93.5±4.2)points was higher than that of the control group(86.3±5.8)points(p<0.05).Conclusion:The frailty prediction model applied to the peri-hospitalization care of middle-aged and elderly patients with UGIB can effectively identify frailty risk.Through early targeted intervention,the incidence of frailty and rebleeding rate can be reduced,the length of hospital stay can be shortened,medical expenses can be reduced,and nursing satisfaction can be improved,which has clinical promotion value.展开更多
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(12261018)Universities Key Laboratory of Mathematical Modeling and Data Mining in Guizhou Province(2023013)。
文摘In this paper,we establish and study a single-species logistic model with impulsive age-selective harvesting.First,we prove the ultimate boundedness of the solutions of the system.Then,we obtain conditions for the asymptotic stability of the trivial solution and the positive periodic solution.Finally,numerical simulations are presented to validate our results.Our results show that age-selective harvesting is more conducive to sustainable population survival than non-age-selective harvesting.
基金the World Climate Research Programme(WCRP),Climate Variability and Predictability(CLIVAR),and Global Energy and Water Exchanges(GEWEX)for facilitating the coordination of African monsoon researchsupport from the Center for Earth System Modeling,Analysis,and Data at the Pennsylvania State Universitythe support of the Office of Science of the U.S.Department of Energy Biological and Environmental Research as part of the Regional&Global Model Analysis(RGMA)program area。
文摘In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and change.Likewise,this period has seen a significant increase in our understanding of the physical processes and mechanisms that drive precipitation and its variability across different regions of Africa.By leveraging a large volume of climate model outputs,numerous studies have investigated the model representation of African precipitation as well as underlying physical processes.These studies have assessed whether the physical processes are well depicted and whether the models are fit for informing mitigation and adaptation strategies.This paper provides a review of the progress in precipitation simulation overAfrica in state-of-the-science climate models and discusses the major issues and challenges that remain.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.12372214 and U2341231)。
文摘The Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes(RANS)technique enables critical engineering predictions and is widely adopted.However,since this iterative computation relies on the fixed-point iteration,it may converge to unexpected non-physical phase points in practice.We conduct an analysis on the phase-space characteristics and the fixed-point theory underlying the k-ε turbulence model,and employ the classical Kolmogorov flow as a framework,leveraging its direct numerical simulation(DNS)data to construct a one-dimensional(1D)system under periodic/fixed boundary conditions.The RANS results demonstrate that under periodic boundary conditions,the k-ε model exhibits only a unique trivial fixed point,with asymptotes capturing the phase portraits.The stability of this trivial fixed point is determined by a mathematically derived stability phase diagram,indicating the fact that the k-ε model will never converge to correct values under periodic conditions.In contrast,under fixed boundary conditions,the model can yield a stable non-trivial fixed point.The evolutionary mechanisms and their relationship with boundary condition settings systematically explain the inherent limitations of the k-ε model,i.e.,its deficiency in computing the flow field under periodic boundary conditions and sensitivity to boundary-value specifications under fixed boundary conditions.These conclusions are finally validated with the open-source code OpenFOAM.
文摘Utilizing finite element analysis,the ballistic protection provided by a combination of perforated D-shaped and base armor plates,collectively referred to as radiator armor,is evaluated.ANSYS Explicit Dynamics is employed to simulate the ballistic impact of 7.62 mm armor-piercing projectiles on Aluminum AA5083-H116 and Steel Secure 500 armors,focusing on the evaluation of material deformation and penetration resistance at varying impact points.While the D-shaped armor plate is penetrated by the armor-piercing projectiles,the combination of the perforated D-shaped and base armor plates successfully halts penetration.A numerical model based on the finite element method is developed using software such as SolidWorks and ANSYS to analyze the interaction between radiator armor and bullet.The perforated design of radiator armor is to maintain airflow for radiator function,with hole sizes smaller than the bullet core diameter to protect radiator assemblies.Predictions are made regarding the brittle fracture resulting from the projectile core′s bending due to asymmetric impact,and the resulting fragments failed to penetrate the perforated base armor plate.Craters are formed on the surface of the perforated D-shaped armor plate due to the impact of projectile fragments.The numerical model accurately predicts hole growth and projectile penetration upon impact with the armor,demonstrating effective protection of the radiator assemblies by the radiator armor.
基金supported by the Advanced Materials-National Science and Technology Major Project(Grant No.2025ZD0618401)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.12504285)+1 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province(Grant No.BK20250472)NFSG grant from BITS-Pilani,Dubai campus。
文摘The rapid advancement of machine learning based tight-binding Hamiltonian(MLTB)methods has opened new avenues for efficient and accurate electronic structure simulations,particularly in large-scale systems and long-time scenarios.This review begins with a concise overview of traditional tight-binding(TB)models,including both(semi-)empirical and first-principles approaches,establishing the foundation for understanding MLTB developments.We then present a systematic classification of existing MLTB methodologies,grouped into two major categories:direct prediction of TB Hamiltonian elements and inference of empirical parameters.A comparative analysis with other ML-based electronic structure models is also provided,highlighting the advancement of MLTB approaches.Finally,we explore the emerging MLTB application ecosystem,highlighting how the integration of MLTB models with a diverse suite of post-processing tools from linear-scaling solvers to quantum transport frameworks and molecular dynamics interfaces is essential for tackling complex scientific problems across different domains.The continued advancement of this integrated paradigm promises to accelerate materials discovery and open new frontiers in the predictive simulation of complex quantum phenomena.
基金Southwest Hospital Boqing Innovation Fund,Grant/Award Number:2024BQCXJJ-9Fundings for Young Investigators of PLA,Grant/Award Number:2022-JCJQ-QT-004+3 种基金NSFC Key Projects of the Regional Innovation and Development Joint Fund,Grant/Award Number:U23A20413China Postdoctoral Science Foundation,Grant/Award Number:2023M744280National Natural Science Foundation of China,Grant/Award Number:82103778,82172449 and 82172489Southwest Hospital Postdoctoral Starting Fund,Grant/Award Number:5175ZA36BP。
文摘Background:Skeletal tuberculosis(TB)remains a persistent clinical and research chal-lenge due to its chronic course,osteolytic destruction,and the limitations of existing animal models,which often require high-level biosafety containment or fail to repli-cate human skeletal pathology.Methods:This study developed a biosafe,accessible,and versatile murine model of skeletal TB using Mycobacterium smegmatis,a fast-growing,nonpathogenic myco-bacterial species with high genomic homology to Mycobacterium tuberculosis.Three infection routes-subperiosteal calvarial injection,intratibial injection,and intra-cardiac inoculation-were systematically evaluated for their ability to induce lo-calized versus disseminated bone infection under standard biosafety level(BSL)-1 conditions.Results:Subperiosteal calvarial and intratibial injection of M.smegmatis induced local-ized bone lesions characterized by osteolysis,sequestrum formation,granulomatous inflammation,and increased osteoclast activity.Intratibial infection additionally trig-gered compartment-specific immune responses,including neutrophil and macrophage expansion,transient B-cell depletion,and activation of interferon-γ^(+)(IFN-γ^(+))T cells,reflecting active immune remodeling at the infection site.Systemic dissemination via intracardiac injection reproducibly generated progressive vertebral and tibial bone destruction with organized granuloma formation and immune cell infiltration but without prominent sequestrum formation.Compared to intratibial infection,intracar-diac delivery exhibited lower intragroup variability and more closely recapitulated the diffuse progression of extrapulmonary skeletal tuberculosis.Conclusions:This M.smegmatis-based murine model provides a straightforward,reliable,and immunopathologically relevant platform for exploring host-pathogen dynamics,immune-driven bone destruction,and early-stage therapeutic testing in skeletal TB,all within standard BSL-1 laboratories.This model fills a critical gap by enabling BSL-1 research into skeletal TB mechanisms and drug development.
基金Funded by State Railway Administration Research Project(No.2023JS007)National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52438002)+1 种基金Research and Development Programs for Science and Technology of China Railways Corporation(No.J2023G003)New Cornerstone Science Foundation through the XPLORER PRIZE。
文摘To investigate the influence of coarse aggregate parent rock properties on the elastic modulus of concrete,the mineralogical properties and stress-strain curves of granite and dolomite parent rocks,as well as the strength and elastic modulus of mortar and concrete prepared with mechanism aggregates of the corresponding lithology,and the stress-strain curves of concrete were investigated.In this paper,a coarse aggregate and mortar matrix bonding assumption is proposed,and a prediction model for the elastic modulus of mortar is established by considering the lithology of the mechanism sand and the slurry components.An equivalent coarse aggregate elastic modulus model was established by considering factors such as coarse aggregate particle size,volume fraction,and mortar thickness between coarse aggregates.Based on the elastic modulus of the equivalent coarse aggregate and the remaining mortar,a prediction model for the elastic modulus of the two and three components of concrete in series and then in parallel was established,and the predicted values differed from the measured values within 10%.It is proposed that the coarse aggregate elastic modulus in highstrength concrete is the most critical factor affecting the elastic modulus of concrete,and as the coarse aggregate elastic modulus increases by 27.7%,the concrete elastic modulus increases by 19.5%.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China,Grant/Award Number:32271496China Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(Bejing Sport University)Grant/Award Number:2024TZJK001。
文摘Background:This study aims to explore the establishment of an animal model of car-diac injury induced by trimethylamine-N-oxide(TMAO),a metabolite secreted by gut microorganisms,and to investigate its application in moderate-intensity continuous training(MICT)intervention.Methods:C57BL6/J mice were randomly divided into four groups:normal mice(Nor,n=15);mice administered TMAO(TMAO,n=15);mice undergoing(Nor+MICT,n=15);mice undergoing(MICT)and administered TMAO(TMAO+MICT,n=15).Mice in the TMAO and TMAO+MICT groups received daily gavage of high-dose TMAO for 8 weeks,whereas those in the Nor+MICT and TMAO+MICT groups underwent MICT for 8 weeks(60 min per session,5 days per week,at 50%maximal running capacity).Cardiac function was evaluated using ultrasound,myocardial histology was examined using hematoxylin and eosin(HE)staining,and nuclear magnetic resonance(NMR)-based metabolomics was employed for multivariate statistical and metabolic pathway analyses.Results:Relative to the Nor group,TMAO-treated mice exhibited significant weight loss,elevated heart rate,and reduced ejection fraction and left ventricular fractional shortening,indicating cardiac impairment.Importantly,the TMAO+MICT group dem-onstrated significant improvements in these parameters compared to the TMAO group,alongside distinct alterations in myocardial metabolic profiles.TMAO altered five metabolic pathways relative to controls,whereas MICT induced significant changes in three pathways in TMAO-treated mice.Conclusion:Eight weeks of high-dose TMAO administration induced significant cardiac dysfunction in mice,which was effectively mitigated by MICT intervention.Consequently,this animal model serves as a valuable tool for investigating the mecha-nisms underlying the impact of MICT on cardiovascular diseases.
基金funded by Fundación CajaCanarias and Fundación Bancaria“la Caixa”,grant number 2023DIG11.
文摘Business Process Modelling(BPM)is essential for analyzing,improving,and automating the flow of information within organizations,but traditional approaches based on manual interpretation are slow,error-prone,and require a high level of expertise.This article proposes an innovative alternative solution that overcomes these limitations by automatically generating comprehensive Business Process Modelling and Notation(BPMN)diagrams solely from verbal descriptions of the processes to be modeled,utilizing Large Language Models(LLMs)and multimodal Artificial Intelligence(AI).Experimental results,based on video recordings of process explanations provided by an expert from an organization(in this case,the Commercial Courts of a public justice administration),demonstrate that the proposed methodology successfully enables the automatic generation of complete and accurate BPMN diagrams,leading to significant improvements in the speed,accuracy,and accessibility of process modeling.This research makes a substantial contribution to the field of business process modeling,as its methodology is groundbreaking in its use of LLMs and multimodal AI capabilities to handle different types of source material(text and video),combining several tools to minimize the number of queries and reduce the complexity of the prompts required for the automatic generation of successful BPMN diagrams.
基金Ministry of Research,Innovation and Digitization,CCCDI-UEFISCDI,Grant/Award Number:PN-IV-P7-7.1-PED-2024-1578,within PNCDI Ⅳ.
文摘Pathological scarring,manifested in the form of hypertrophic scars(HTS)and keloid scars(KS),represents a major clinical challenge due to its aesthetic and functional implications for patients.Understanding the molecular mechanisms involved in these types of scars and developing effective treatments requires the use of controlled ex-perimental models,especially animals,to overcome the limitations of clinical studies.The aim of this sistematic review is to critically analyze the animal models used in the last five years(2020-2025)for the study of pathological scars,highlighting their advantages,limitations and applicability in the development of new therapeutic strat-egies.Murine,rabbit and porcine models,as well as alternative models,offer varied perspectives on the formation and treatment of HTS and KS,with an emphasis on histological and molecular correlations with human pathology.By synthesizing recent data,the paper highlights the essential role of preclinical research in optimizing an-tifibrotic treatments and in advancing the translation of data into the clinical sphere.Overall,animal models remain essential for bridging mechanistic insights with clinical translation,supporting the development of more effective and personalized anti-scar therapies.
文摘Against the backdrop of continuous social development and growing public health demands,the efficiency and scientific nature of the emergency care system are of paramount importance.This paper focuses on researching the construction of an emergency care system based on the concept of“linkage”,delving into its theoretical foundations,exploring innovative construction models,and analyzing practical cases.The study indicates that an emergency care system under the“linkage”concept can effectively integrate resources and enhance efficiency,providing new insights for improving the construction of the emergency care system.It aims to promote the development of the emergency care system towards a more scientific,efficient,and collaborative direction.
基金output of a research project implemented as part of the Basic Research Program at HSE University。
文摘Activation pruning reduces neural network complexity by eliminating low-importance neuron activations,yet identifying the critical pruning threshold—beyond which accuracy rapidly deteriorates—remains computationally expensive and typically requires exhaustive search.We introduce a thermodynamics-inspired framework that treats activation distributions as energy-filtered physical systems and employs the free energy of activations as a principled evaluation metric.Phase-transition-like phenomena in the free-energy profile—such as extrema,inflection points,and curvature changes—yield reliable estimates of the critical pruning threshold,providing a theoretically grounded means of predicting sharp accuracy degradation.To further enhance efficiency,we propose a renormalized free energy technique that approximates full-evaluation free energy using only the activation distribution of the unpruned network.This eliminates repeated forward passes,dramatically reducing computational overhead and achieving speedups of up to 550×for MLPs.Extensive experiments across diverse vision architectures(MLP,CNN,ResNet,MobileNet,Vision Transformer)and text models(LSTM,BERT,ELECTRA,T5,GPT-2)on multiple datasets validate the generality,robustness,and computational efficiency of our approach.Overall,this work establishes a theoretically grounded and practically effective framework for activation pruning,bridging the gap between analytical understanding and efficient deployment of sparse neural networks.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.12272018)the National Key Basic Research Project(2022JCJQZD20600).
文摘Kinetic impact is the most practical planetary-defense technique,with momentum-transfer efficiency central to deflection design.We present a Monte Carlo photometric framework that couples ejecta sampling,dynamical evolution,and image synthesis to compare directly with HST,LICIACube,ground-based and Lucy observations of the DART impact.Decomposing ejecta into(1)a highvelocity(~1600 m/s)plume exhibiting Na/K resonance,(2)a low-velocity(~1 m/s)conical component shaped by binary gravity and solar radiation pressure,and(3)meter-scale boulders,we quantify each component’s mass and momentum.Fitting photometric decay curves and morphological evolution yields size-velocity distributions and,via scaling laws,estimates of Dimorphos’bulk density,cratering parameters,and cohesive strength that agree with dynamical constraints.Photometric ejecta modeling therefore provides a robust route to constrain momentum enhancement and target properties,improving predictive capability for kinetic-deflection missions.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.12261081).
文摘In this paper,we are concerned with the stability of traveling wavefronts of a Belousov-Zhabotinsky model with mixed nonlocal and degenerate diffusions.Such a system can be used to study the competition among nonlocally diffusive species and degenerately diffusive species.We prove that the traveling wavefronts are exponentially stable,when the initial perturbation around the traveling waves decays exponentially as x→-∞,but in other locations,the initial data can be arbitrarily large.The adopted methods are the weighted energy with the comparison principle and squeezing technique.
基金supported by ScientificResearch Fund of National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China-Major Science and Technology Program for Medicine and Health in Zhejiang Province(WKJ-ZJ-2406).
文摘Objectives This study aimed to explore the lagged and cumulative effects of risk factors on disability in older adults using distributed lag non-linear models(DLNMs).Methods We utilized data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study(CHARLS).After feature selection via Elastic Net Regularization,we applied DLNMs to evaluate the lagged effects of risk factors.Disability was defined as the presence of any difficulties in basic activities of daily living(BADL).The cumulative relative risk(CRR)was calculated by summing the lag-specific risk estimates,representing the cumulative disability risk over the specified lag period.Effect modifications and sensitivity analyses were also performed.Results This study included a total of 2,318 participants.Early-phase lag factors,such as the difficulty in stooping(CRR=3.58;95%CI:2.31-5.55;P<0.001)and walking(CRR=2.77;95%CI:1.39-5.55;P<0.001),exerted the strongest effects immediately upon occurrence.Mid-phase lag factors,such as arthritis(CRR=1.51;95%CI:1.10-2.06;P=0.001),showed a resurgence in disability risk within 2-3 years.Late-phase lag factors,including depressive symptoms(CRR=2.38;95%CI:1.30-4.35;P<0.001)and elevated systolic blood pressure(CRR=1.64;95%CI:1.06-2.79;P=0.02),exhibited significant long-term cumulative risks.Conversely,grip strength(CRR=0.80;95%CI:0.54-0.95;P=0.02)and social participation(CRR=0.89;95%CI:0.73-0.99;P=0.04)were significant protective factors.Conclusions The findings underscore the importance of tailored interventions that account for various lag characteristics of different factors to effectively mitigate disability risk.Future studies should explore the underlying biological and sociological mechanisms of these lagged effects,identify intervention strategies that target risk factors with different lagged patterns,and evaluate their effectiveness.
基金supported by Porsolt SAS,https://www.porsolt.com/.
文摘Objectives:The five-year survival rate for pancreatic cancer is notably low,posing a significant challenge to patient health.The primary treatments are radiotherapy and chemotherapy,sometimes combined with targeted therapy;however,their clinical benefits are limited.Therefore,developing new models to evaluate the therapeutic potential of novel molecules is essential.Fingolimod and Dimethyl Fumarate(DMF),currently used to treat multiple sclerosis,have recently been shown to have anti-cancer effects in several preclinical tumor models.This study aims to evaluate the therapeutic potential of Fingolimod and DMF in pancreatic cancer by investigating their respective in vitro cytotoxicity and in vivo antitumor effects.Methods:In this study,we evaluated for the first time these two drugs in pancreatic preclinical models in vitro using 3D spheroid tumor models and in vivo,which are compared to two standard-of-care consisting of Gemcitabine and Erlotinib.Results:In vitro,both Fingolimod and DMF induced cytotoxicity in spheroids from two pancreatic cell lines.Additionally,Fingolimod and DMF displayed anticancer effects in two subcutaneous xenograft models using PANC-1 and CFPAC-1 cells.Conclusions:Although the responses observed with Fingolimod and DMF were similar to those of Gemcitabine and Erlotinib,these findings indicate a potential emerging interest in Fingolimod and DMF for the treatment of pancreatic cancer.However,further work is still necessary to fully characterize how these drugs affect tumor progression.
基金supported by“the National Natural Science Foundation of China(52378440,52078067,52078066,42477143,52408458)the Key Science and Technology Program in the Transportation Industry(2022-MS1-032,2022-MS5-125)+4 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province(2023JJ10045)the Outstanding Innovative Youth Training Program of Changsha City(kq2305023)Scientific Research Foundation of Hunan Provincial Education Department(24B0292)Water Resources Science and Technology Project of Hunan Province(XSKJ2023059-41)the Guangxi Key Research and Development Program(AB23075184)。
文摘Understanding the deterioration behaviors and mechanisms of rocks under thermo-hydromechanical(THM)interactions is crucial for mitigating slope instability.In this study,the physicomechanical properties of silty mudstone subjected to THM interactions were investigated by triaxial tests.The underlying micro-mechanisms were revealed using microscopic tests.The triaxial test results indicate that the strength parameters of silty mudstone decrease by 89.50%(deformation modulus),78.15%(peak strength),70.58%(cohesion),and 48.65%(friction angle)under 16 THM cycles,a load of 300 kPa,and alternating between 0℃water immersion and 60℃drying.The SEM test results indicate that the deterioration of silty mudstone strength primarily results from hydrothermal-expansion softening and cracking driven by the TLHM interactions.The specimens manifest shear failure under confining pressure exceeding 140 kPa.Furthermore,a new constitutive model considering hydrothermalexpansion strain and non-linear deformation characteristics was developed.The discrepancy between the experimentally measured peak strength and the damage constitutive model prediction remains below 5%.The proposed model is verified to be in satisfactory agreement with the experimental results.The self-designed THM apparatus overcomes the limitations of traditional investigations,enabling simultaneous consideration of thermal,hydraulic,and mechanical interactions.
基金supported by the NSFC(11501269)and the Natural Science Foundation of Gansu Province(23JRRA1041).
文摘The outbreak of infectious diseases is the result of a combination of various factors,including season,the movement of individuals,non-pharmaceutical interventions(NPIs)and the effectiveness and availability of vaccines.Taking these key elements into consideration,an almost periodic SVEIR warning model in the patch environment is here proposed.First,in terms of reproduction numbers,our results imply that if the effective reproduction numbers are R_(e)<1,then the disease dies out;if R_(e)>1,then the disease spreads and leads to local outbreaks.Second,the relationships between R_(e)and C_(s1),C_(a1)(see Section 2)are given by numerical simulations.The numerical results show that even if all people are vaccinated,NPIs are still needed because of the potentially low efficacy of vaccines.Furthermore,the numerical results suggest that NPIs and the strengthening of the effective rate of vaccination are essential in order to achieve herd immunity.Theories involving this model effectively explain the transmission mechanism of most infectious diseases,and provide a valuable theoretical basis for analyzing new infectious diseases in the future.Moreover,this model is helpful for the prevention and control of infectious diseases and the formulation of public health safety policies.
基金supported by Van Yüzüncü Yıl University,Scientific Research Projects Coordination Unit(Project No:SDK-2025-11935)Van Yüzüncü Yıl University,Scientific Research Projects Coordination Unit for supporting the study。
文摘Mount Kandil is situated in the eastern sector of the EAHP(Eastern Anatolian High Plateau),to the south of the Lesser Caucasus.The mountain lies at the westernmost end of the Aras Mountains,which extends approximately 80 km along a NW-SE axis.With a summit reaching~3214 m(a.s.l.),Mount Kandil is a stratovolcano that,like many other peaks within the EAHP and the Lesser Caucasus,experienced significant environmental changes during Late Pleistocene.Among these,glacial processes stand out as the most profound,having distinctly shaped the mountains geomorphic landscape.This study presents,for the first time,a comprehensive analysis of the glacial morphology of Mount Kandil based on multiple datasets.Field-based morphological observations indicate that an area of approximately 32.62 km^(2)has been sculpted by glacial activity.Within six glaciated regions on Mount Kandil,25 cirques and 6 glacial valleys have been identified.In addition,moraines in various locations exhibit characteristic morphologies.Furthermore,valley glaciers are inferred to have descended to altitudes as low as~2000 m.The paleoequilibrium line(p ELA)was estimated to use AABR method within GIS,yielding a mean pELA of~2730 m.Ice thickness modelling indicates that the thickness of glaciers in the Kandil Mountain valleys reaches up to~350 m.Due to its orographic extension,Mount Kandil is exposed to humid northwest winds and receives substantial frontal precipitation(~686 mm annually).The compiled geomorphic,cartographic and morphometric parameters suggest that the glaciation dynamics of Mount Kandil—situated between the Southeastern Taurus and the Lesser Caucasus—closely resemble those observed in the Lesser Caucasus.This indicates that glaciation was primarily governed by northern atmospheric systems with additional influences from southerly or westerly winds.The integrated data also underscores the role of multiple atmospheric systems in controlling the glaciation regime around the Lesser Caucasus.Additionally,findings on regional pELA question the common belief that pELA increases eastward in EAHP.
基金Construction and Application of Frailty Trajectory Prediction Model for Middle-aged and Elderly Patients with Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding,Project Source:Sichuan Vocational College of Nursing(Project No.:2024ZRY25)。
文摘Objective:To investigate the impact of targeted nursing interventions based on frailty prediction models on peri-hospitalization clinical outcomes in middle-aged and elderly patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding(UGIB).Methods:A prospective cohort study was conducted,and 126 middle-aged and elderly patients with UGIB admitted from August 2024 to August 2025 were selected as the study subjects.The patients were divided into the intervention group(63 cases)and the control group(63 cases)based on whether they received nursing intervention based on frailty prediction models.The control group received routine care,while the intervention group,on the basis of routine care,used the FRAIL scale combined with laboratory indicators(albumin,hemoglobin,etc.)to establish a predictive model to evaluate patients within 24 hours of admission,and implemented multi-dimensional targeted nursing intervention for pre-frailty or frailty patients screened out.The incidence of frailty,rebleeding rate,average length of stay,hospitalization cost,and nursing satisfaction during hospitalization were compared between the two groups.Results:The incidence of frailty during hospitalization in the intervention group was 11.1%(7 cases/63 cases),significantly lower than 31.7%(20 cases/63 cases)in the control group,and the difference was statistically significant(p<0.05).The rebleeding rate of 4.8%vs 12.7%,the average length of stay of(7.2±1.5)days vs(9.1±2.2)days,and the average hospitalization cost of(23,000±6,000)yuan vs(28,000±7,000)yuan in the intervention group were all lower than those in the control group(all p<0.05).The nursing satisfaction score of the intervention group(93.5±4.2)points was higher than that of the control group(86.3±5.8)points(p<0.05).Conclusion:The frailty prediction model applied to the peri-hospitalization care of middle-aged and elderly patients with UGIB can effectively identify frailty risk.Through early targeted intervention,the incidence of frailty and rebleeding rate can be reduced,the length of hospital stay can be shortened,medical expenses can be reduced,and nursing satisfaction can be improved,which has clinical promotion value.