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Relation between Economic Development Level and Resource and Environment Carrying Capacity of Central Area of Yunnan Province Based on Decoupling Analysis 被引量:4
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作者 程超 童绍玉 +2 位作者 彭海英 闫少凯 刘玲 《Agricultural Science & Technology》 CAS 2015年第12期2829-2832,共4页
Based on the decoupiing theory and method, an indicator system was built for the relation between economic development level and resource and environment carrying capacity. And the study was carried out on decoupling ... Based on the decoupiing theory and method, an indicator system was built for the relation between economic development level and resource and environment carrying capacity. And the study was carried out on decoupling degree and temporal changes of economic development level and resource and environment carrying ca- pacity in the central area of Yunnan Province. Results indicated that (i) the economic development level and resource and environment carrying capacity in the central area of Yunnan Province mainly experienced strong decoupling, weak decoupling, and ex- pansive negative coupling, and in general it was strong decoupling, and it took on re- verse "N" in temporal changes. (ii) Change rate of economic development level in the central area of Yunnan Province was greater than zero, but the amplitude of change was not large, while the change rate of resource and environment carrying capacity was negative in 2007-2008, and it was positive in the rest years; from 2007, it took on gradual expansion trend, and scissors difference gradually increased after experi- encing reverse "V" change. (iii) The strong decoupling was the main situation and it reached the peak value in T5 period and T6 pedod. 展开更多
关键词 The central area of Yunnan Province Economic development level Re- source and environment carrying capacity decoupling analysis Scissors difference
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Spatial-temporal Evolution Characteristics and Decoupling Analysis of Influencing Factors of China’s Aviation Carbon Emissions 被引量:9
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作者 HAN Ruiling LI Lingling +2 位作者 ZHANG Xiaoyan LU Zi ZHU Shaohua 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第2期218-236,共19页
The aviation industry has become one of the top ten greenhouse gas emission industries in the world. China’s aviation carbon emissions continue to increase, but the analysis of its influencing factors at the provinci... The aviation industry has become one of the top ten greenhouse gas emission industries in the world. China’s aviation carbon emissions continue to increase, but the analysis of its influencing factors at the provincial level is still incomplete. This paper firstly uses Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence and Technology model(STIRPAT) model to analyze the time series evolution of China’s aviation carbon emissions from 2000 to 2019. Secondly, it uses the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index(LDMI) model to analyze the influencing characteristics and degree of four factors on China’s aviation carbon emissions, which are air transportation revenue, aviation route structure, air transportation intensity and aviation energy intensity. Thirdly, it determines the various factors’ influencing direction and evolution trend of 31 provinces’ aviation carbon emissions in China(not including Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan of China due to incomplete data). Finally, it derives the decoupling effort model and analyzes the decoupling relationship and decoupling effort degree between air carbon emissions and air transportation revenue in different provinces. The study found that from 2000 to2019, China’s total aviation carbon emissions continued to grow, while the growth rate of aviation carbon emissions showed a fluctuating downward trend. Air transportation revenue and aviation route structure promote the growth of total aviation carbon emissions, and air transportation intensity and aviation energy intensity have a restraining effect on the growth of total aviation carbon emissions. The scope of negative driving effect of air transportation revenue and air transportation intensity on total aviation carbon emissions in various provinces has increased. While the scope of positive driving influence of aviation route structure on total aviation carbon emissions of various provinces has increased, aviation energy intensity mainly has negative driving influence on total aviation carbon emissions of each province. Overall, the emission reduction trend in the areas to the west and north of the Qinling-Huaihe River Line is obvious. The decoupling mode between air carbon emissions and air transportation revenue in 31 provinces is mainly expansion negative decoupling.The air transportation intensity effect shows strong decoupling efforts in most provinces, the decoupling effort of aviation route structure effect and aviation energy intensity effect is not prominent. 展开更多
关键词 aviation carbon emissions influencing factors spatial and temporal analysis decoupling China
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Error Analysis of MSAV Scheme for Two Phase Magnetohydrodynamic Diffuse Interface Model
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作者 HU Kun WANG Danxia +1 位作者 ZHANG Jianwen JIA Hongen 《应用数学》 北大核心 2025年第2期348-371,共24页
In this paper,we develop a multi-scalar auxiliary variables(MSAV)scheme for the Cahn-Hilliard Magnetohydrodynamics system by introducing two scalar auxiliary variables(SAV).This scheme is linear,fully decoupled and un... In this paper,we develop a multi-scalar auxiliary variables(MSAV)scheme for the Cahn-Hilliard Magnetohydrodynamics system by introducing two scalar auxiliary variables(SAV).This scheme is linear,fully decoupled and unconditionally stable in energy.Subsequently,we provide a detailed implementation procedure for full decoupling.Thus,at each time step,only a series of linear differential equations with constant coefficients need to be solved.To validate the effectiveness of our approach,we conduct an error analysis for this first-order scheme.Finally,some numerical experiments are provided to verify the energy dissipation of the system and the convergence of the proposed approach. 展开更多
关键词 Cahn-Hilliard Magnetohydrodynamics system Fully decoupled Stability in energy Error analysis
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Decoupled thermal–hydraulic analysis of an air-cooled separated heat pipe for spent fuel pools under natural convection 被引量:1
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作者 Hui-Lin Xue Jian-Jie Cheng +3 位作者 Wei-Hao Ji Wen-Jin Li Han-Zhong Tao Wei Li 《Nuclear Science and Techniques》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第6期183-197,共15页
An investigation of the decoupled thermal–hydraulic analysis of a separated heat pipe spent fuel pool passive cooling system(SFS)is essential for practical engineering applications.Based on the principles of thermal ... An investigation of the decoupled thermal–hydraulic analysis of a separated heat pipe spent fuel pool passive cooling system(SFS)is essential for practical engineering applications.Based on the principles of thermal and mass balance,this study decoupled the heat transfer processes in the SFS.In accordance with the decoupling conditions,we modeled the spent fuel pool of the CAP1400 pressurized water reactor in Weihai and used computational fluid dynamics to explore the heat dissipation capacity of the SFS under different air temperatures and wind speeds.The results show that the air-cooled separated heat pipe radiator achieved optimal performance at an air temperature of 10℃ or wind speed of 8 m/s.Fitted equations for the equivalent thermal conductivity of the separated heat pipes with the wind speed and air temperature we obtained according to the thermal resistance network model.This study is instructive for the actual operation of an SFS. 展开更多
关键词 decoupled analysis Separated heat pipe CAP1400 Finned tube radiator Passive cooling
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Insights into material use and economic decoupling in China’s infrastructure for sustainable development
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作者 GUO Hongwei HAN Ji 《Regional Sustainability》 2025年第5期76-94,共19页
Quantifying material use in infrastructure development and analyzing its relationship with economic growth is essential for enhancing resource efficiency and steering regional resource management toward sustainable de... Quantifying material use in infrastructure development and analyzing its relationship with economic growth is essential for enhancing resource efficiency and steering regional resource management toward sustainable development.This study systematically assessed infrastructure related material use in 30 provinces,autonomous regions,and municipalities in China during 1978-2022.The result indicated that material stock has experienced significant growth,increasing from 16.91×10^(9)t in 1978 to 103.60×10^(9)t in 2022,with an average annual growth rate of 4.20%.However,from 1978 to 2015,material input followed a strong upward trend but saturated after 2015.At the national level,material input peaked in 2015,after which it began to decline.The central region reached its peak earlier in 2013,while the eastern and western regions peaked in 2015.Using a decoupling analysis framework,this study revealed that nationally,the elasticity value between material stock and gross domestic product(GDP)remained near or above 1.0,reflecting continued reliance on stock accumulation.Regionally,the elasticity value between material stock and GDP has increased in the central and western regions during 1978-2022,whereas elasticity value between material stock and GDP in the eastern region showed a slower growth rate but still struggled to achieve absolute decoupling.Moreover,the elasticity value between material input and GDP has declined at the national level,presenting a relative decoupling,with some regions already achieving absolute decoupling.The eastern region was closer to absolute decoupling,while the central and western regions,though still intensive in material input,exhibited faster declines in elasticity.Accelerating the transition from linear to circular economy is an essential step for China to achieve absolute decoupling and long-term sustainability.Finally,this research recommends promoting the adoption of renewable energy,driving industrial upgrading,implementing compact urban design,and extending the lifespan of infrastructure to reduce material dependency and achieve sustainable infrastructure transformation at the national level. 展开更多
关键词 Material stock Material input decoupling analysis framework Infrastructure lifespan Sustainable development Circular economy
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Spatial-temporal characteristics and decoupling effects of China’s carbon footprint based on multi-source data 被引量:12
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作者 ZHANG Yongnian PAN Jinghu +1 位作者 ZHANG Yongjiao XU Jing 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2021年第3期327-349,共23页
In 2007,China surpassed the USA to become the largest carbon emitter in the world.China has promised a 60%–65%reduction in carbon emissions per unit GDP by 2030,compared to the baseline of 2005.Therefore,it is import... In 2007,China surpassed the USA to become the largest carbon emitter in the world.China has promised a 60%–65%reduction in carbon emissions per unit GDP by 2030,compared to the baseline of 2005.Therefore,it is important to obtain accurate dynamic information on the spatial and temporal patterns of carbon emissions and carbon footprints to support formulating effective national carbon emission reduction policies.This study attempts to build a carbon emission panel data model that simulates carbon emissions in China from 2000–2013 using nighttime lighting data and carbon emission statistics data.By applying the Exploratory Spatial-Temporal Data Analysis(ESTDA)framework,this study conducted an analysis on the spatial patterns and dynamic spatial-temporal interactions of carbon footprints from 2001–2013.The improved Tapio decoupling model was adopted to investigate the levels of coupling or decoupling between the carbon emission load and economic growth in 336 prefecture-level units.The results show that,firstly,high accuracy was achieved by the model in simulating carbon emissions.Secondly,the total carbon footprints and carbon deficits across China increased with average annual growth rates of 4.82%and 5.72%,respectively.The overall carbon footprints and carbon deficits were larger in the North than that in the South.There were extremely significant spatial autocorrelation features in the carbon footprints of prefecture-level units.Thirdly,the relative lengths of the Local Indicators of Spatial Association(LISA)time paths were longer in the North than that in the South,and they increased from the coastal to the central and western regions.Lastly,the overall decoupling index was mainly a weak decoupling type,but the number of cities with this weak decoupling continued to decrease.The unsustainable development trend of China’s economic growth and carbon emission load will continue for some time. 展开更多
关键词 nighttime lighting data carbon footprint carbon deficit exploratory spatial-temporal data analysis spatial-temporal interaction characteristics decoupling effect
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Drivers for decoupling carbon footprint pressure from economic growth in China’s provinces 被引量:3
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作者 Dongzhe Liang Hongwei Lu +1 位作者 Yanlong Guan Liyang Feng 《Geography and Sustainability》 2022年第3期258-267,共10页
A growing imbalance between energy carbon emissions and vegetation carbon sequestration is a major imped-iment to achieving Sustainable Development Goals. Decoupling the growing imbalance from economic growthneeds a s... A growing imbalance between energy carbon emissions and vegetation carbon sequestration is a major imped-iment to achieving Sustainable Development Goals. Decoupling the growing imbalance from economic growthneeds a stringent and coordinated package of sustainable policies. Previously, enhancing efficiency and vegeta-tion carbon sequestration were dominant drivers to decouple. However, the role and magnitude of restructuringsin the energy sector and economy in decoupling were underestimated. In this context, China’s 30 provinces wereselected as study areas. By employing a carbon footprint pressure (CFP) indicator to represent the imbalance, awidely decoupling method was adopted to describe the decoupling state and trend of CFP and economic growth.An extended IPAT equation and the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index method were further used to reveal the roleand magnitude of drivers on decoupling. The findings revealed that the CFP climbed significantly in 26 provincesbetween 2006 and 2015. We discovered that 22 provinces were working toward absolute decoupling, with 15provinces achieving it during the 12-th Five-Year Plan. Our analysis revealed that improving energy efficiencywas the primary driver of absolute decoupling, while substituting natural gas and oil for coal, reducing industryshare, and enhancing carbon sequestration accelerated absolute decoupling. Considering the limited future roleof improving energy efficiency and vegetation carbon sequestration, there is an urgent need to optimize andupgrade the structures of the energy sector and economy to mitigate the future climate risk. 展开更多
关键词 Carbon footprint pressure decoupling indicator Decomposition analysis China
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Stability analysis of linear/nonlinear switching active disturbance rejection control based MIMO continuous systems 被引量:2
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作者 WAN Hui QI Xiaohui LI Jie 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2021年第4期956-970,共15页
In this paper,a linear/nonlinear switching active disturbance rejection control(SADRC)based decoupling control approach is proposed to deal with some difficult control problems in a class of multi-input multi-output(M... In this paper,a linear/nonlinear switching active disturbance rejection control(SADRC)based decoupling control approach is proposed to deal with some difficult control problems in a class of multi-input multi-output(MIMO)systems such as multi-variables,disturbances,and coupling,etc.Firstly,the structure and parameter tuning method of SADRC is introduced into this paper.Followed on this,virtual control variables are adopted into the MIMO systems,making the systems decoupled.Then the SADRC controller is designed for every subsystem.After this,a stability analyzed method via the Lyapunov function is proposed for the whole system.Finally,some simulations are presented to demonstrate the anti-disturbance and robustness of SADRC,and results show SADRC has a potential applications in engineering practice. 展开更多
关键词 linear/nonlinear switching active disturbance rejection control(SADRC) multi-input multi-output(MIMO)continuous system decoupling control stability analysis
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Self-tuning Information Fusion Kalman Predictor Weighted by Diagonal Matrices and Its Convergence Analysis 被引量:14
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作者 DENG Zi-Li LI Chun-Bo 《自动化学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2007年第2期156-163,共8页
为有未知噪音统计的 multisensor 系统,使用现代时间系列分析方法,基于革新建模的动人的一般水准(麻省)的联机鉴定,并且基于为关联功能的矩阵方程的解决方案,噪音变化的评估者被获得,并且在线性最小的变化下面由斜矩阵加权的最佳... 为有未知噪音统计的 multisensor 系统,使用现代时间系列分析方法,基于革新建模的动人的一般水准(麻省)的联机鉴定,并且基于为关联功能的矩阵方程的解决方案,噪音变化的评估者被获得,并且在线性最小的变化下面由斜矩阵加权的最佳的信息熔化标准,一个自我调节的信息熔化 Kalman 预言者被介绍,它认识到自我调节的 dec 基于动态错误系统,一个新集中分析方法为自我调节的 fuser 被介绍。在一条认识的集中的一个新概念被介绍,它是比有概率一的集中弱的。如果 MA 革新模型的参数评价是一致的,那么,自我调节的熔化 Kalman 预言者将在一条认识收敛到最佳的熔化 Kalman 预言者,这严格地被证明,或与概率一,以便它有 asymptotic optimality。它能减少计算负担,并且对实时应用合适。为追踪系统的一个目标的一个模拟例子显示出它的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 人工智能 信息融合 集中分析 控制理论
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Comparative Study of Different Decoupling Schemes for TITO Binary Distillation Column via PI Controller
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作者 Mohamed Hamdy Abdalhady Ramadan Belal Abozalam 《IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica》 SCIE EI CSCD 2018年第4期869-877,共9页
This paper presents a comparative study of different decoupling control schemes for a two-input, two-output(TITO) binary distillation column via proportional-integral(PI)controller. The key idea behind this paper is d... This paper presents a comparative study of different decoupling control schemes for a two-input, two-output(TITO) binary distillation column via proportional-integral(PI)controller. The key idea behind this paper is designing two novel fuzzy decoupling schemes that depend on human knowledge,instead of the system mathematical model used in conventional decoupling schemes. Based on conventional and inverted decoupling schemes, fuzzy and inverted fuzzy decoupling schemes are developed. The control effect is compared using simulation results for the proposed two schemes with conventional decoupling and inverted decoupling. The proposed fuzzy decoupling schemes are easy to realize and simple to design, besides they have a good decoupling capability. Two methods are used to prove asymptotic stability of each loop and the entire closed-loop system by applying the proposed fuzzy decoupling-based PI controller.The Wood and Berry model of a binary distillation column is used to illustrate the applicability of the proposed schemes. 展开更多
关键词 Binary distillation column conventional decoupling fuzzy decoupling proportional-integral(PI) controller stability analysis
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A Novel Method for PIT Effects Based on Plasmonic Decoupling
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作者 Bin Sun Fei-Feng Xie +2 位作者 Shuai Kang You-chang Yang Jian-Qiang Liu 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第1期75-79,共5页
A tunable dual-band stop-band THz spectrum can be realized in a hybrid structure, which consists of metal nanoribbon arrays clad by graphene nanoribbons. Dual-band spectra can be controlled separately by the nanoribbo... A tunable dual-band stop-band THz spectrum can be realized in a hybrid structure, which consists of metal nanoribbon arrays clad by graphene nanoribbons. Dual-band spectra can be controlled separately by the nanoribbon width ω and graphene chemical potential μ_c. We explain that two local plasmonic modes excited at graphene ribbons belong to different gratings, which uncouple with each other by electro-magnetic shielding of the metal ribbons. Furthermore, plasmonic induced transparent(PIT) effects can also be realized by making the two transmission notches close to each other, with better performance than the PIT system based on plasmonic coupling,such as with a larger extinction radio and a tunable transparency window. 展开更多
关键词 Plasma decoupling NUCLEAR effect analysis method Metal NANORIBBON array
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Decomposition and decoupling effect of energy eco-footprint based on global net primary productivity in urban agglomerations
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作者 HU Mian-hao YUAN Ju-hong 《Ecological Economy》 2024年第4期302-318,共17页
Net primary productivity(NPP)is an important breakthrough point of current research on ecological footprint improvement.The energy eco-footprint(EEF)of the Four-City Area in Central China(FCACC)was measured by constru... Net primary productivity(NPP)is an important breakthrough point of current research on ecological footprint improvement.The energy eco-footprint(EEF)of the Four-City Area in Central China(FCACC)was measured by constructing an EEF-NPP model.This work has made the following efforts:(1)Gini coefficient was employed to analyze the degree of matching between the EEF and economic growth,population,and energy consumption.(2)LMDI decomposition method was used to explore the impacts of multiple factors on the EEF in the FCACC.(3)Tapio decoupling model was applied to verify the decoupling relationships between the above influencing factors and the EEF.(4)LMDI decomposition formula was embedded into the decoupling model to analyze the impacts of technical and non-technical factors on the decoupling elasticity of the above.The main findings show that from 2010 to 2020:(1)the degree of matching of EEF-GDP,EEF-population,and EEF-energy consumption increased.(2)energy intensity and per capita GDP were the main factors that affected the EEF.(3)the decoupling states between total energy consumption,energy consumption structure,energy intensity,per capita GDP,and population size with the EEF were expansive negative decoupling,expansive negative decoupling,strong negative decoupling,weak decoupling,and expansive negative decoupling,respectively.(4)the impact of non-technical factors was greater than that of technical factors,and their impacts were always in opposite directions. 展开更多
关键词 logarithmic mean divisia index(LMDI)decomposition decoupling analysis energy eco-footprint global net primary productivity
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基于无人机的竹产品与疫木下山吊运系统设计与试验
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作者 陈洪立 王冠凯 +5 位作者 张文福 张建 黄宏亮 杨振华 赵胤 杜小强 《林业科学》 北大核心 2026年第1期177-187,共11页
【目的】针对当前竹产品伐后下山主要依靠人工搬运、拖车运输存在劳动强度大、运送效率低、人力成本高及安全事故频发等问题,设计一种基于无人机的竹产品与疫木下山吊运系统,实现无人机在竹林或树林间的自主吊运并在危险情况下紧急脱困... 【目的】针对当前竹产品伐后下山主要依靠人工搬运、拖车运输存在劳动强度大、运送效率低、人力成本高及安全事故频发等问题,设计一种基于无人机的竹产品与疫木下山吊运系统,实现无人机在竹林或树林间的自主吊运并在危险情况下紧急脱困保护无人机安全的功能,减少人工参与、保障作业安全并克服山地垂直落差大的问题,推动毛竹产业向智能化、高效化发展。【方法】利用测定的竹梢和竹段形态特征参数,设计吊挂自动脱钩装置和无人机紧急脱困装置,应用SOLIDWORKS软件建立装置的三维模型,并开发驱动设备的软硬件系统。基于ANSYS Workbench软件的静态结构分析、静磁分析对吊运装置的关键结构进行仿真和理论计算,确定结构参数和电磁铁型号。进行室内试验,分析打包方式(魔术贴、凹扣和绳结)的效率、脱钩方式(重力钩和电磁主动钩)的稳定性和脱困机构的可行性。开展林间试验,测试整套吊运系统在实际工作场景下的效率和稳定性。【结果】室内试验表明,魔术贴打包方式平均用时21 s、凹扣组平均用时22.2 s、绳结组平均用时25.8 s,选用魔术贴进行打包;重力钩脱钩成功率为80%、电磁主动钩脱钩成功率为90%,确认采用电磁主动钩脱钩方式。林间试验结果显示,脱钩成功率为90%,其中挂钩平均耗时14.69 s,脱钩平均耗时1.19 s。在上升、下降和前进状态下,脱困成功率分别为80%、90%和90%。【结论】基于无人机的竹产品与疫木下山吊运系统能够减少人工参与、提高运送效率、降低成本和发生安全事故的概率,可满足现场应用需求。 展开更多
关键词 无人机 竹林吊运 紧急脱困 自动脱钩 仿真优化 林业应用
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煤炭超临界水气化-氧化解耦式制氢系统能效分析
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作者 王浩 孙维东 +1 位作者 王闯 吕友军 《西安交通大学学报》 北大核心 2026年第2期59-70,共12页
针对煤炭超临界水气化制氢系统整体能量集成优化不足的问题,提出了一种以1000 m^(3)·h^(-1)氢气产量(在0℃、1个大气压的标准条件下)为目标的煤炭超临界水气化-氧化解耦式超临界水制氢示范系统,并基于热力学方法对该系统进行了能... 针对煤炭超临界水气化制氢系统整体能量集成优化不足的问题,提出了一种以1000 m^(3)·h^(-1)氢气产量(在0℃、1个大气压的标准条件下)为目标的煤炭超临界水气化-氧化解耦式超临界水制氢示范系统,并基于热力学方法对该系统进行了能效分析。基于不同煤种的气化特性确定了解耦式系统的设计参数,考察了不同煤质、温度和压力对系统能量效率的影响规律;根据图像㶲分析方法揭示了气化器、氧化器、换热器组和系统整体不可逆损失的产生机理。结果表明:在水煤质量比为1∶4,质量流量为1280 kg·h^(-1)的条件下,红柳林煤的制氢效率高达66.92%;系统制氢效率随着预热水温度的增加呈现出先增加后下降的趋势,随着反应压力的增加,总产气量和氢气产量均下降;系统中气化反应器和氧化反应器的不可逆损失最大,高品位产气与低品位吸热混合工质之间存在较大品位差距是不可逆损失产生的主要原因;减少换热器不可逆损失的途径是减少冷热流体的品位差,即减少换热全过程的温度差。该研究结果可为煤炭超临界水气化制氢系统设计提供技术参考。 展开更多
关键词 超临界水气化 解耦式系统 图像㶲分析 热力学
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黑龙江省碳排放量核算及驱动因素分析 被引量:1
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作者 刘浩东 李思涛 +2 位作者 张翔 邱微 马军 《环境科学》 北大核心 2026年第1期102-111,共10页
基于联合国政府间气候变化专门委员会提出的温室气体清单指南,从能源、工业生产过程和土地利用等方面核算了黑龙江省碳排放量;通过灰色关联理论和Tapio脱钩理论分析了不同因素与碳排放之间的关联性;借助STIRPAT模型深入探究各因素对碳... 基于联合国政府间气候变化专门委员会提出的温室气体清单指南,从能源、工业生产过程和土地利用等方面核算了黑龙江省碳排放量;通过灰色关联理论和Tapio脱钩理论分析了不同因素与碳排放之间的关联性;借助STIRPAT模型深入探究各因素对碳排放影响程度的差异性,并结合情景分析法对未来黑龙江省碳排放进行预测.结果表明:(1)黑龙江省总碳排放在2005~2012年间快速增长,在2012~2020年间呈波动下降趋势且下降趋势渐缓.(2)能源碳排放在黑龙江省碳排放中占主导地位,占比高达约90%,远超另外3类碳排放.(3)不同因素对碳排放的影响程度大小关系为:土地面积>人口>能源结构>富裕水平>能源强度.(4)根据STIRPAT模型,在研究期间黑龙江省碳排放量已于2012年达到峰值,基本实现“碳达峰”目标.(5)情景模拟中,最佳情景为情景IV,该情景下各因素变化率取黑龙江省近期实际数据与“十四五”规划中的更优值. 展开更多
关键词 碳排放 灰色关联分析 Tapio脱钩模型 STIRPAT模型 情景分析
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海上风电无功损耗概率分布的在线解析算法
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作者 钟康骅 羿应棋 +3 位作者 刘玉飞 刘宇 张勇军 霍嘉兴 《电力自动化设备》 北大核心 2026年第2期66-76,共11页
海上风电交流集电系统存在的随机容性无功损耗是使传统自动电压控制(AVC)方法面临投切计划制定困难、安全冗余不足等问题的主要原因。因此,场站无功损耗概率分布的在线解析算法是提升各级AVC系统适配性的核心前提。为了满足在线计算的... 海上风电交流集电系统存在的随机容性无功损耗是使传统自动电压控制(AVC)方法面临投切计划制定困难、安全冗余不足等问题的主要原因。因此,场站无功损耗概率分布的在线解析算法是提升各级AVC系统适配性的核心前提。为了满足在线计算的少量样本与高效性要求,提出一种结合离线数值卷积与在线半不变量计算的海上风电无功损耗概率分布的在线解析算法。采用历史风速数据驱动的场景化数值卷积法,推导风机正态化有功出力的边缘分布;基于解耦线性潮流模型与电压相角差假设近似分步实现注入功率-电压-无功损耗二次型映射;基于风机群出力的期望与协方差矩阵推导无功损耗的各阶半不变量通式,设计无功损耗概率分布的在线计算流程。算例仿真结果表明,所提在线解析算法的计算精度随着计算周期的缩短而上升,能满足高频在线计算的环境要求。 展开更多
关键词 海上风电 无功损耗 电压相角差假设 解耦线性潮流 概率潮流 半不变量 在线解析
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中国畜牧业氧化亚氮排放时空演变特征及影响因素
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作者 韩茹梅 王颖 +1 位作者 樊益绮 尚祉余 《农业资源与环境学报》 北大核心 2026年第1期186-193,共8页
为评估我国畜牧业氧化亚氮(N_(2)O)排放时空演变特征、脱钩状态及影响因素,本研究采用排放因子法核算2000—2022年全国31个省份畜牧业N_(2)O排放量,从总量、结构和强度三个角度分析其演进趋势和分布特征,利用Tapio弹性脱钩模型探究其与... 为评估我国畜牧业氧化亚氮(N_(2)O)排放时空演变特征、脱钩状态及影响因素,本研究采用排放因子法核算2000—2022年全国31个省份畜牧业N_(2)O排放量,从总量、结构和强度三个角度分析其演进趋势和分布特征,利用Tapio弹性脱钩模型探究其与畜牧业产值间的脱钩状态,并采用对数平均迪氏分解法(LMDI)厘定影响因素及其贡献度。结果表明:从总量来看,全国畜牧业N_(2)O排放量呈上升-下降-反弹趋势,到2022年排放量达2.418×10^(5) t,排放高值区为西南、华北和华中地区;从结构来看,猪粪是畜牧业N_(2)O第一大排放源;从强度来看,各省N_(2)O排放强度均呈下降趋势,其中西北和西南地区降幅较大。研究期内我国畜牧业N_(2)O排放与其产值之间主要呈弱脱钩和强脱钩交替状态,稳定性较差。经济和人口规模因素促进了畜牧业N_(2)O排放,其中经济因素贡献最大,约为6.173×10^(5) t;效率和结构因素抑制了排放,效率因素是主要抑制因素,总减排贡献为4.567×10^(5) t。 展开更多
关键词 畜牧业 氧化亚氮排放 时空演变 脱钩分析 影响因素
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基于正规形非线性解耦的多风机并网系统暂态稳定性分析
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作者 葛晓琳 李明塽 《电力电子技术》 2026年第1期92-100,共9页
多风机并网系统复杂的高维非线性、强耦合特征给暂态同步稳定分析带来困难,传统分析方法难以直接使用。为此,本文提出基于正规形非线性解耦的多风机并网系统暂态稳定性分析方法。首先,从原始汇集线路拓扑结构出发,推导得到计及风机间线... 多风机并网系统复杂的高维非线性、强耦合特征给暂态同步稳定分析带来困难,传统分析方法难以直接使用。为此,本文提出基于正规形非线性解耦的多风机并网系统暂态稳定性分析方法。首先,从原始汇集线路拓扑结构出发,推导得到计及风机间线路阻抗的多机暂态同步模型,解决了现有并联聚合模型忽略内部实际拓扑连接可能导致分析结果不准确的问题;其次,从不平衡转矩角度定性分析暂态能量交换过程,并分析了不同位置风机输出电流变化对暂态稳定性的影响机理;最后,针对多风机并网系统存在复杂的高维非线性强耦合特征,采用正规形理论进行非线性解耦,采用相图法对解耦系统进行暂态稳定性分析,在保证计算精度同时,降低暂态稳定性分析难度。通过Matlab/Simulink平台仿真验证分析合理性及所提方法有效性。 展开更多
关键词 多风机并网系统 暂态稳定性分析 非线性解耦
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湖北省物流业碳排放相关因素分析研究
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作者 胡姜 谢雨欣 魏亚宁 《物流技术》 2026年第3期1-9,共9页
在“双碳”目标与绿色物流发展的背景下,湖北省作为长江经济带重要节点,其物流业低碳转型对GDP高质量发展具有重要意义。本文基于2012—2022年湖北省物流业相关数据,综合运用Tapio脱钩模型和LMDI分解法,系统分析物流业碳排放与经济增长... 在“双碳”目标与绿色物流发展的背景下,湖北省作为长江经济带重要节点,其物流业低碳转型对GDP高质量发展具有重要意义。本文基于2012—2022年湖北省物流业相关数据,综合运用Tapio脱钩模型和LMDI分解法,系统分析物流业碳排放与经济增长的脱钩关系及其驱动机制。研究结果表明:(1)脱钩状态呈现阶段性特征,2013—2015年呈现强脱钩,2016—2022年转为弱脱钩,表明减排压力持续存在;(2)LDMI分解显示,经济规模是推动碳排放增长的核心因素,反映物流业快速发展与减排矛盾突出;(3)能源结构优化已初见成效,但贡献率远低于经济规模影响,需进一步强化。本研究为制定差异化物流减排政策提供了科学依据,对推动长江经济带绿色物流体系建设具有参考价值。 展开更多
关键词 物流业 碳排放 Tapio模型 经济增长 驱动因素 分解分析 脱钩效应
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Decoupled Wiener state fuser for descriptor systems 被引量:1
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作者 Chenjian RAN Zili DENG 《控制理论与应用(英文版)》 EI 2008年第4期365-371,共7页
By the modem time series analysis method, based on the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) innovation models and white noise estimation theory, using the optimal fusion rule weighted by diagonal matrices, a distrib... By the modem time series analysis method, based on the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) innovation models and white noise estimation theory, using the optimal fusion rule weighted by diagonal matrices, a distributed descriptor Wiener state fuser is presented by weighting the local Wiener state estimators for the linear discrete stochastic descriptor systems with multisensor. It realizes a decoupled fusion estimation for state components. In order to compute the optimal weights, the formulas of computing the cross-covariances among local estimation errors are presented based on cross-covariances among the local innovation processes, input white noise, and measurement white noises. It can handle the fused filtering, smoothing, and prediction problems in a unified framework. Its accuracy is higher than that of each local estimator. A Monte Carlo simulation example shows its effectiveness and correctness. 展开更多
关键词 Multisensor information fusion Weighted fusion decoupled fusion Descriptor system Wiener statefuser White noise estimator ARMA innovation model Modern time series analysis method
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