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Rule-Guidance Reinforcement Learning for Lane Change Decision-making:A Risk Assessment Approach 被引量:1
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作者 Lu Xiong Zhuoren Li +2 位作者 Danyang Zhong Puhang Xu Chen Tang 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 2025年第2期344-359,共16页
To solve problems of poor security guarantee and insufficient training efficiency in the conventional reinforcement learning methods for decision-making,this study proposes a hybrid framework to combine deep reinforce... To solve problems of poor security guarantee and insufficient training efficiency in the conventional reinforcement learning methods for decision-making,this study proposes a hybrid framework to combine deep reinforcement learning with rule-based decision-making methods.A risk assessment model for lane-change maneuvers considering uncertain predictions of surrounding vehicles is established as a safety filter to improve learning efficiency while correcting dangerous actions for safety enhancement.On this basis,a Risk-fused DDQN is constructed utilizing the model-based risk assessment and supervision mechanism.The proposed reinforcement learning algorithm sets up a separate experience buffer for dangerous trials and punishes such actions,which is shown to improve the sampling efficiency and training outcomes.Compared with conventional DDQN methods,the proposed algorithm improves the convergence value of cumulated reward by 7.6%and 2.2%in the two constructed scenarios in the simulation study and reduces the number of training episodes by 52.2%and 66.8%respectively.The success rate of lane change is improved by 57.3%while the time headway is increased at least by 16.5%in real vehicle tests,which confirms the higher training efficiency,scenario adaptability,and security of the proposed Risk-fused DDQN. 展开更多
关键词 Autonomous driving Reinforcement learning decision-making risk assessment Safety filter
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Optimal Decision-Making of Trans-Provincial Electricity Market Subjects with Risks under Renewable Portfolio Standards
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作者 HuiWang Yishu Chen +1 位作者 Zichao Wu Haocheng Xu 《Energy Engineering》 EI 2022年第3期1141-1167,共27页
The randomness and uncertainty of renewable energy generation are expected to significantly change the optimal decision-making of trans-provincial electricity market subjects.Therefore,it is beneficial to optimize the... The randomness and uncertainty of renewable energy generation are expected to significantly change the optimal decision-making of trans-provincial electricity market subjects.Therefore,it is beneficial to optimize the interests of each of these subjects,considering the unpredictable risks of renewable energy under the renewable portfolio standards(RPS)and researching their effects on the optimal decision-making of transprovincial electricity market multi-subjects.First,we develop a trans-provincial trading market mechanism for renewable energy and clarify the electricity supply and demand relation and the green certificates supply and demand relation of trans-provincial electricitymarketmulti-subjects.Then,under the RPS,we construct a multi-subject game model of the power supply chain that recognizes the risks,and adopt the reverse induction method to discuss the optimum risk-taking judgment of each subject in the trans-provincial electricity market.Finally,we useMATLAB to verify the viability and efficacy of the proposed gamemodel,and obtain a certain reference value for the optimal decision-making of trans-provincial electricity market subjects.In summary,we consider the uncertainty risks of renewable energy under RPS,study the effects of the green certificate price and risk aversion coefficient in the RPS mechanism on the optimal decisionmaking of trans-provincial electricity market subjects,and obtain the changing trends of two different power products and those of different electricity market subjects under the influence of the green certificate price and risk aversion coefficient,which have a certain reference value for studying the factors affecting the optimal decision-making of trans-provincial electricity market subjects. 展开更多
关键词 Renewable portfolio standards uncertainty risks CVaR method trans-provincial electricity market subjects optimal decision-making
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HEURISTIC PARTICLE SWARM OPTIMIZATION ALGORITHM FOR AIR COMBAT DECISION-MAKING ON CMTA 被引量:18
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作者 罗德林 杨忠 +2 位作者 段海滨 吴在桂 沈春林 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI 2006年第1期20-26,共7页
Combining the heuristic algorithm (HA) developed based on the specific knowledge of the cooperative multiple target attack (CMTA) tactics and the particle swarm optimization (PSO), a heuristic particle swarm opt... Combining the heuristic algorithm (HA) developed based on the specific knowledge of the cooperative multiple target attack (CMTA) tactics and the particle swarm optimization (PSO), a heuristic particle swarm optimization (HPSO) algorithm is proposed to solve the decision-making (DM) problem. HA facilitates to search the local optimum in the neighborhood of a solution, while the PSO algorithm tends to explore the search space for possible solutions. Combining the advantages of HA and PSO, HPSO algorithms can find out the global optimum quickly and efficiently. It obtains the DM solution by seeking for the optimal assignment of missiles of friendly fighter aircrafts (FAs) to hostile FAs. Simulation results show that the proposed algorithm is superior to the general PSO algorithm and two GA based algorithms in searching for the best solution to the DM problem. 展开更多
关键词 air combat decision-making cooperative multiple target attack particle swarm optimization heuristic algorithm
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Hesitant Fuzzy-Sets Based Decision-Making Model for Security Risk Assessment 被引量:3
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作者 Ahmed S.Alfakeeh Abdulmohsen Almalawi +6 位作者 Fawaz Jaber Alsolami Yoosef B.Abushark Asif Irshad Khan Adel Aboud S.Bahaddad Alka Agrawal Rajeev Kumar Raees Ahmad Khan 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2022年第2期2297-2317,共21页
Security is an important component in the process of developing healthcare web applications.We need to ensure security maintenance;therefore the analysis of healthcare web application’s security risk is of utmost imp... Security is an important component in the process of developing healthcare web applications.We need to ensure security maintenance;therefore the analysis of healthcare web application’s security risk is of utmost importance.Properties must be considered to minimise the security risk.Additionally,security risk management activities are revised,prepared,implemented,tracked,and regularly set up efficiently to design the security of healthcare web applications.Managing the security risk of a healthcare web application must be considered as the key component.Security is,in specific,seen as an add-on during the development process of healthcare web applications,but not as the key problem.Researchers must ensure that security is taken into account right from the earlier developmental stages of the healthcare web application.In this row,the authors of this study have used the hesitant fuzzy-based AHP-TOPSIS technique to estimate the risks of various healthcare web applications for improving security-durability.This approach would help to design and incorporate security features in healthcare web applications that would be able to battle threats on their own,and not depend solely on the external security of healthcare web applications.Furthermore,in terms of healthcare web application’s security-durability,the security risk variable is measured,and vice versa.Hence,the findings of our study will also be useful in improving the durability of several web applications in healthcare. 展开更多
关键词 Web applications security risk security durability hesitantbased decision-making approach
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Stroke Risk Assessment Decision-Making Using a Machine Learning Model:Logistic-AdaBoost 被引量:1
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作者 Congjun Rao Mengxi Li +1 位作者 Tingting Huang Feiyu Li 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2024年第4期699-724,共26页
Stroke is a chronic cerebrovascular disease that carries a high risk.Stroke risk assessment is of great significance in preventing,reversing and reducing the spread and the health hazards caused by stroke.Aiming to ob... Stroke is a chronic cerebrovascular disease that carries a high risk.Stroke risk assessment is of great significance in preventing,reversing and reducing the spread and the health hazards caused by stroke.Aiming to objectively predict and identify strokes,this paper proposes a new stroke risk assessment decision-making model named Logistic-AdaBoost(Logistic-AB)based on machine learning.First,the categorical boosting(CatBoost)method is used to perform feature selection for all features of stroke,and 8 main features are selected to form a new index evaluation system to predict the risk of stroke.Second,the borderline synthetic minority oversampling technique(SMOTE)algorithm is applied to transform the unbalanced stroke dataset into a balanced dataset.Finally,the stroke risk assessment decision-makingmodel Logistic-AB is constructed,and the overall prediction performance of this new model is evaluated by comparing it with ten other similar models.The comparison results show that the new model proposed in this paper performs better than the two single algorithms(logistic regression and AdaBoost)on the four indicators of recall,precision,F1 score,and accuracy,and the overall performance of the proposed model is better than that of common machine learning algorithms.The Logistic-AB model presented in this paper can more accurately predict patients’stroke risk. 展开更多
关键词 Stroke risk assessment decision-making CatBoost feature selection borderline SMOTE Logistic-AB
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Modeling and TOPSIS-GRA Algorithm for Autonomous Driving Decision-Making Under 5G-V2X Infrastructure 被引量:1
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作者 Shijun Fu Hongji Fu 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2023年第4期1051-1071,共21页
This paper is to explore the problems of intelligent connected vehicles(ICVs)autonomous driving decision-making under a 5G-V2X structured road environment.Through literature review and interviews with autonomous drivi... This paper is to explore the problems of intelligent connected vehicles(ICVs)autonomous driving decision-making under a 5G-V2X structured road environment.Through literature review and interviews with autonomous driving practitioners,this paper firstly puts forward a logical framework for designing a cerebrum-like autonomous driving system.Secondly,situated on this framework,it builds a hierarchical finite state machine(HFSM)model as well as a TOPSIS-GRA algorithm for making ICV autonomous driving decisions by employing a data fusion approach between the entropy weight method(EWM)and analytic hierarchy process method(AHP)and by employing a model fusion approach between the technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution(TOPSIS)and grey relational analysis(GRA).The HFSM model is composed of two layers:the global FSM model and the local FSM model.The decision of the former acts as partial input information of the latter and the result of the latter is sent forward to the local pathplanning module,meanwhile pulsating feedback to the former as real-time refresh data.To identify different traffic scenarios in a cerebrum-like way,the global FSM model is designed as 7 driving behavior states and 17 driving characteristic events,and the local FSM model is designed as 16 states and 8 characteristic events.In respect to designing a cerebrum-like algorithm for state transition,this paper firstly fuses AHP weight and EWM weight at their output layer to generate a synthetic weight coefficient for each characteristic event;then,it further fuses TOPSIS method and GRA method at the model building layer to obtain the implementable order of state transition.To verify the feasibility,reliability,and safety of theHFSMmodel aswell as its TOPSISGRA state transition algorithm,this paper elaborates on a series of simulative experiments conducted on the PreScan8.50 platform.The results display that the accuracy of obstacle detection gets 98%,lane line prediction is beyond 70 m,the speed of collision avoidance is higher than 45 km/h,the distance of collision avoidance is less than 5 m,path planning time for obstacle avoidance is averagely less than 50 ms,and brake deceleration is controlled under 6 m/s2.These technical indexes support that the driving states set and characteristic events set for the HFSM model as well as its TOPSIS-GRA algorithm may bring about cerebrum-like decision-making effectiveness for ICV autonomous driving under 5G-V2X intelligent road infrastructure. 展开更多
关键词 5G-V2X cerebrum-like autonomous driving driving behavior decision-making hierarchical finite state machines TOPSIS-GRA algorithm
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The Credit Risk Assessment Model of Internet Supply Chain Finance: Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Model with the Principle of Variable Weight 被引量:1
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作者 Yueliang Su Baoyu Zhong 《Journal of Computer and Communications》 2017年第1期20-30,共11页
The characteristics of the financing model are firstly analyzed when the e-commerce enterprises participate in the supply chain finance. Internet supply chain finance models are divided into three categories with the ... The characteristics of the financing model are firstly analyzed when the e-commerce enterprises participate in the supply chain finance. Internet supply chain finance models are divided into three categories with the standard of whether the electronic commerce enterprises provide funds for small and medium enterprises instead of banks. And then we further study the financing process and the functions of the e-commerce platform with specific examples. Finally, combined with the characteristics of the supply chain finance model, we set up a small and medium enterprises credit evaluation model based on the principle of variable weight with its dynamic data. At the same time, a multi-time points and multi-indicators decision-making method based on the principle of variable weight is proposed and a specific example is presented. In this paper, the multi-criteria decision-making model with the principle of variable weight has been used two times. At last, a typical case has been analyzed based on this model with a higher accuracy rate of credit risk assessment. 展开更多
关键词 CREDIT risk Assessment MODEL MULTI-CRITERIA decision-making MODEL Variable PRINCIPLE
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The Credit Risk Assessment Model of Internet Supply Chain Finance: Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Model with the Principle of Variable Weight 被引量:1
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作者 Yueliang Su Baoyu Zhong 《Journal of Computer and Communications》 2016年第16期1-11,共11页
The characteristics of the financing model are firstly analyzed when the e-commerce enterprises participate in the supply chain finance. Internet supply chain finance models are divided into three categories with the ... The characteristics of the financing model are firstly analyzed when the e-commerce enterprises participate in the supply chain finance. Internet supply chain finance models are divided into three categories with the standard of whether the Electronic commerce enterprises provide funds for small and medium enterprises instead of banks. And then we further study the financing process and the functions of the e-commerce platform with specific examples. Finally, combined with the characteristics of the supply chain finance model, we set up a small and medium enterprises credit evaluation model based on the principle of variable weight with its dynamic data. At the same time, a multi time points and multi indicators decision-making method based on the principle of variable weight is proposed and a specific example is presented. In this paper, the Multi-criteria decision-making model with the principle of variable weight has been used two times. At last, a typical case has been analyzed based on this model with a higher accuracy rate of credit risk assessment. 展开更多
关键词 Credit risk Assessment Model Multi-Criteria decision-making Model Variable Principle
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Research on the Responsibility Traceability Mechanism Based on AI and the Application Boundary of Algorithmic Ethics in Medical Decision Making
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作者 Baochen Huang Zhikai Huang 《Proceedings of Business and Economic Studies》 2025年第4期280-298,共19页
With the rapid advancement of medical artificial intelligence(AI)technology,particularly the widespread adoption of AI diagnostic systems,ethical challenges in medical decision-making have garnered increasing attentio... With the rapid advancement of medical artificial intelligence(AI)technology,particularly the widespread adoption of AI diagnostic systems,ethical challenges in medical decision-making have garnered increasing attention.This paper analyzes the limitations of algorithmic ethics in medical decision-making and explores accountability mechanisms,aiming to provide theoretical support for ethically informed medical practices.The study highlights how the opacity of AI algorithms complicates the definition of decision-making responsibility,undermines doctor-patient trust,and affects informed consent.By thoroughly investigating issues such as the algorithmic“black box”problem and data privacy protection,we develop accountability assessment models to address ethical concerns related to medical resource allocation.Furthermore,this research examines the effective implementation of AI diagnostic systems through case studies of both successful and unsuccessful applications,extracting lessons on accountability mechanisms and response strategies.Finally,we emphasize that establishing a transparent accountability framework is crucial for enhancing the ethical standards of medical AI systems and protecting patients’rights and interests. 展开更多
关键词 algorithmic ethics Medical decision-making Liability tracing Medical AI Patient rights protection
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Beyond the blank page:Frequentist and Bayesian perspectives on risk prediction algorithms
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作者 Francisco Tustumi Felipe Antonio Boff Maegawa Pedro Luiz Serrano Uson Junior 《World Journal of Gastrointestinal Oncology》 2025年第12期337-341,共5页
Risk prediction has long been a cornerstone of surgical oncology,enabling surgeons to anticipate complications,tailor perioperative care,and improve outcomes.With the rise of artificial intelligence,machine learning(M... Risk prediction has long been a cornerstone of surgical oncology,enabling surgeons to anticipate complications,tailor perioperative care,and improve outcomes.With the rise of artificial intelligence,machine learning(ML)models are increasingly being applied to predict outcomes,highlighting the growing significance of data-driven methods for clinical decision-making.Currently,frequentist approaches dominate prediction models,including most ML algorithms;these rely exclusively on observed datasets and risk overlooking the cumulative value of prior clinical knowledge.In contrast,Bayesian reasoning formally integrates existing evidence with new data.In this letter,we examine the strengths of frequentist-based prediction models,discuss how Bayesian methods may improve predictive accuracy,and argue that combining both approaches offers a promising path toward more robust,interpretable,and clinically useful prediction tools in surgery.This integration can yield robust,interpretable,and clinically relevant tools that advance personalized surgical care. 展开更多
关键词 Gastric cancer Bayes theorem Artificial intelligence Probability learning Prediction algorithms risk
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Method for Risky Multiobjective Group Decision-Making and Its Application
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作者 Yu Yibin & Wang Bende Department of Civil and Hydraulic Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, P. R. China 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2003年第4期7-12,共6页
The multiobjective group decision-making problem under risk is common in reality. This paper focuses on the study about risky multiobjective group decision-making problem where the index value is not certain. We give ... The multiobjective group decision-making problem under risk is common in reality. This paper focuses on the study about risky multiobjective group decision-making problem where the index value is not certain. We give indexes classifying method and index normalizing formula of this type problem. By building objective function that minimizes general weighted distance from every alternative to the relatively best and worst alternative, the optimal membership degree of every decision-maker to every alternative can be obtained, and by building another objective function that minimizes general weighted distance from the optimal membership degree of every decision-maker to every alternative to the group optimal alternative and the group inferior alternative, the optimal membership degree of every decision-maker to every alternative can be obtained, which are both based on probability theory and fuzzy theory. Aftermost a model is established which collects group preferences. This method provides a new idea and approach for solving multiobjective decision-making problem among uncertain system, which is applicable for practical problem. Finally a case study shows a satisfactory result. 展开更多
关键词 multiobjective decision-making risk PROBABILITY relative optimal membership degree weights.
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Crossing the Achilles Heel of Algorithms:Identifying the Developmental Dilemma of Artificial Intelligence-Assisted Judicial Decision-Making
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作者 Kexin Chen 《Journal of Electronic Research and Application》 2024年第1期69-72,共4页
In the developmental dilemma of artificial intelligence(AI)-assisted judicial decision-making,the technical architecture of AI determines its inherent lack of transparency and interpretability,which is challenging to ... In the developmental dilemma of artificial intelligence(AI)-assisted judicial decision-making,the technical architecture of AI determines its inherent lack of transparency and interpretability,which is challenging to fundamentally improve.This can be considered a true challenge in the realm of AI-assisted judicial decision-making.By examining the court’s acceptance,integration,and trade-offs of AI technology embedded in the judicial field,the exploration of potential conflicts,interactions,and even mutual shaping between the two will not only reshape their conceptual connotations and intellectual boundaries but also strengthen the cognition and re-interpretation of the basic principles and core values of the judicial trial system. 展开更多
关键词 Artificial intelligence Automated decision-making algorithmic law system Due process algorithmic justice
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Probabilistic Lane-Change Decision-Making and Planning for Autonomous Heavy Vehicles 被引量:6
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作者 Wen Hu Zejian Deng +4 位作者 Dongpu Cao Bangji Zhang Amir Khajepour Lei Zeng Yang Wu 《IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica》 SCIE EI CSCD 2022年第12期2161-2173,共13页
To improve the safety and driving stability of the autonomous heavy truck, it is necessary to consider the differences of driving behavior and drivable trajectories between the heavy trucks and passenger cars. This st... To improve the safety and driving stability of the autonomous heavy truck, it is necessary to consider the differences of driving behavior and drivable trajectories between the heavy trucks and passenger cars. This study proposes a probabilistic decision-making and trajectory planning framework for the autonomous heavy trucks. Firstly, the driving decision process is divided into intention generation and feasibility evaluations, which are realized using the utility theory and risk assessment, respectively. Subsequently the driving decision is made and sent to the trajectory planning module. In order to reflect the greater risks of the truck to other surrounding vehicles, the aggressiveness index(AI) is proposed and quantified to infer the asymmetrical risk level of lane-change maneuver. In the planning stage, the lateral and roll dynamics stability domains are developed as the constraints to exclude the candidate trajectories that would cause vehicle instability. Finally, the simulation results are compared between the proposed model and the artificial potential filed model in the scenarios extracted from the naturalistic driving data. It is shown that the proposed framework can provide the human-like lane-change decisions and truck-friendly trajectories, and performs well in dynamic driving environments. 展开更多
关键词 Autonomous heavy truck decision-making driving aggressiveness risk assessment trajectory planning
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Intervention decision-making in MAV/UAV cooperative engagement based on human factors engineering 被引量:10
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作者 ZHONG Yun YAO Peiyang +1 位作者 WAN Lujun YANG Juan 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2018年第3期530-538,共9页
Aiming at the intervention decision-making problem in manned/unmanned aerial vehicle(MAV/UAV) cooperative engagement, this paper carries out a research on allocation strategy of emergency discretion based on human f... Aiming at the intervention decision-making problem in manned/unmanned aerial vehicle(MAV/UAV) cooperative engagement, this paper carries out a research on allocation strategy of emergency discretion based on human factors engineering(HFE).Firstly, based on the brief review of research status of HFE, it gives structural description to emergency in the process of cooperative engagement and analyzes intervention of commanders. After that,constraint conditions of intervention decision-making of commanders based on HFE(IDMCBHFE) are given, and the mathematical model, which takes the overall efficiency value of handling emergencies as the objective function, is established. Then, through combining K-best and variable neighborhood search(VNS) algorithm, a K-best optimization variable neighborhood search mixed algorithm(KBOVNSMA) is designed to solve the model. Finally,through three groups of simulation experiments, effectiveness and superiority of the proposed algorithm are verified. 展开更多
关键词 manned/unmanned aerial vehicle(MAV/UAV) intervention decision-making human factors engineering structural description K-best algorithm variable neighborhood search algorithm
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IMPROVED GENETIC ALGORITHM TO OPTIMAL PORTFOLIO WITH RISK CONTROL 被引量:2
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作者 Ye Zhongxing Zhang Yijun(Dept. of Applied Mathematics) (Application Solution & Technolodge Inc., Shanghai) 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 1996年第2期9-16,共8页
A modified model of optimal investment port folio in a random market with risk constraints is presented. An improved genetic algorithm (GA) is proposed to solve this nonlinear optimal problem. The numerical simulation... A modified model of optimal investment port folio in a random market with risk constraints is presented. An improved genetic algorithm (GA) is proposed to solve this nonlinear optimal problem. The numerical simulation of a large-scale investment combination for Shanghai stock market shows that GA has the advantage of faster convergence and wider adaptability than traditional optimization algorithm. This result alsodemonstrates that the improved GA performs better than the basic GA. 展开更多
关键词 GENETIC algorithm STOCK OPTIMAL PORTFOLIO risk
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Managing Security-Risks for Improving Security-Durability of Institutional Web-Applications: Design Perspective 被引量:1
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作者 Abdulaziz Attaallah Abdullah Algarni Raees Ahmad Khan 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2021年第2期1849-1865,共17页
The advanced technological need,exacerbated by the flexible time constraints,leads to several more design level unexplored vulnerabilities.Security is an extremely vital component in software development;we must take ... The advanced technological need,exacerbated by the flexible time constraints,leads to several more design level unexplored vulnerabilities.Security is an extremely vital component in software development;we must take charge of security and therefore analysis of software security risk assumes utmost significance.In order to handle the cyber-security risk of the web application and protect individuals,information and properties effectively,one must consider what needs to be secured,what are the perceived threats and the protection of assets.Security preparation plans,implements,tracks,updates and consistently develops safety risk management activities.Risk management must be interpreted as the major component for tackling security efficiently.In particular,during application development,security is considered as an add-on but not the main issue.It is important for the researchers to stress on the consideration of protection right from the earlier developmental stages of the software.This approach will help in designing software which can itself combat threats and does not depend on external security programs.Therefore,it is essential to evaluate the impact of security risks during software design.In this paper the researchers have used the hybrid Fuzzy AHPTOPSIS method to evaluate the risks for improving security durability of different Institutional Web Applications.In addition,the e-component of security risk is measured on software durability,and vice versa.The paper’s findings will prove to be valuable for enhancing the security durability of different web applications. 展开更多
关键词 Web applications DURABILITY cyber-security risk fuzzy logic decision-making approach
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Bayesian Inference on Type-Ⅰ Progressively Hybrid Competing Risks Model 被引量:1
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作者 ZHANG Chun-fang Sill Yi-min WU Min 《Chinese Quarterly Journal of Mathematics》 2018年第2期122-131,共10页
In this paper, we construct a Bayesian framework combining Type-Ⅰ progressively hybrid censoring scheme and competing risks which are independently distributed as exponentiated Weibull distribution with one scale par... In this paper, we construct a Bayesian framework combining Type-Ⅰ progressively hybrid censoring scheme and competing risks which are independently distributed as exponentiated Weibull distribution with one scale parameter and two shape parameters. Since there exist unknown hyper-parameters in prior density functions of shape parameters, we consider the hierarchical priors to obtain the individual marginal posterior density functions,Bayesian estimates and highest posterior density credible intervals. As explicit expressions of estimates cannot be obtained, the componentwise updating algorithm of Metropolis-Hastings method is employed to compute the numerical results. Finally, it is concluded that Bayesian estimates have a good performance. 展开更多
关键词 Competing risks Hierarchical Bayesian inference Progressively hybrid censoring Metropolis-Hastings algorithm
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PSO/ACO Algorithm-based Risk Assessment of Human Neural Tube Defects in Heshun County,China
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作者 LIAO Yi Lan WANG Jin Feng +2 位作者 WU Ji Lei WANG Jiao Jiao ZHENG XiaoYing 《Biomedical and Environmental Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2012年第5期569-576,共8页
Abstract Objective To develop a new technique for assessing the risk of birth defects, which are a major cause of infant mortality and disability in many parts of the world. Methods The region of interest in this stud... Abstract Objective To develop a new technique for assessing the risk of birth defects, which are a major cause of infant mortality and disability in many parts of the world. Methods The region of interest in this study was Heshun County, the county in China with the highest rate of neural tube defects (NTDs). A hybrid particle swarm optimization/ant colony optimization (PSO/ACO) algorithm was used to quantify the probability of NTDs occurring at villages with no births. The hybrid PSO/ACO algorithm is a form of artificial intelligence adapted for hierarchical classification. It is a powerful technique for modeling complex problems involving impacts of causes. Results The algorithm was easy to apply, with the accuracy of the results being 69.5%+7.02% at the 95% confidence level. Conclusion The proposed method is simple to apply, has acceptable fault tolerance, and greatly enhances the accuracy of calculations. 展开更多
关键词 Neural tube birth defects GIS PSO/ACO algorithm Hierarchical classification risk map
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