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Density dependence and weather drive dabbling duck spatiotemporal distributions and intercontinental migration
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作者 Benjamin Golas Diann J.Prosser +2 位作者 Andrew M.Ramey Paul Link Wayne E.Thogmartin 《Avian Research》 2025年第4期637-649,共13页
Understanding migratory waterfowl spatiotemporal distributions is important because,in addition to their economic and cultural value,wild waterfowl can be infectious reservoirs of highly pathogenic avian influenza vir... Understanding migratory waterfowl spatiotemporal distributions is important because,in addition to their economic and cultural value,wild waterfowl can be infectious reservoirs of highly pathogenic avian influenza virus(HPAIV).Waterfowl migration has been implicated in regional and intercontinental HPAIV dispersal,and predictive capabilities of where and when HPAIV may be introduced to susceptible spillover hosts would facilitate biosecurity and mitigation efforts.To develop forecasts for HPAIV dispersal,an improved understanding of how individual birds interact with their environment and move on a landscape scale is required.Using an agent-based modeling approach,we integrated individual-scale energetics,species-specific morphology and behavior,and landscape-scale weather and habitat data in a mechanistic stochastic framework to simulate Mallard(Anas platyrhynchos)and Northern Pintail(Anas acuta)annual migration across the Northern Hemisphere.Our model recreated biologically realistic migratory patterns using a first principles approach to waterfowl ecology,behavior,and physiology.Conducting a limited structural sensitivity analysis comparing reduced models to eBird Status and Trends in reference to the full model,we identified density dependence as the main factor influencing spring migration and breeding distributions,and wind as the main factor influencing fall migration and overwintering distributions.We show evidence of weather patterns in Northeast Asia causing significant intercontinental pintail migration to North America.By linking individual energetics to landscapescale processes,we identify key drivers of waterfowl migration while developing a predictive model responsive to daily weather patterns.This model paves the way for future waterfowl migration research predicting HPAIV transmission,climate change impacts,and oil spill effects. 展开更多
关键词 agent based modeling Anas acuta Anas platyrhynchos Landscape ecology MALLARD MIGRATION PHYSIOLOGY Pintail WEATHER
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Agent-based effectiveness evaluation method and impact analysis of airborne laser weapon system in cooperation combat 被引量:5
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作者 Likuan SHI Yang PEI +1 位作者 Qijia YUN Yuxue GE 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第4期442-454,共13页
The laser weapons will play a special role in the future high-tech war.To study the impact of airborne laser weapon on the System-of-System(SoS)effectiveness in cooperative com-bat,this paper proposes an indicator con... The laser weapons will play a special role in the future high-tech war.To study the impact of airborne laser weapon on the System-of-System(SoS)effectiveness in cooperative com-bat,this paper proposes an indicator construction method based on the combination of the weapon capability indicator system and the combat simulation.The indicator system of capability is divided into 4 layers by the bottom-to-up generation mechanism of indicators.It can describe the logical relationship between the indicator layers from a qualitative perspective.Together with the 4 layers capability indicator system,a hierarchical framework of airborne laser weapon is established by the agent-based modeling and simulation.Impact analyses show that the SoS effectiveness improves with the increase of the laser weapon output power,the laser launcher diameter,and the photoelectric sensor pixel.But the SoS effectiveness promotion brought by the photoelectric sensor pixel is limited.The results can be used for the development of tactical airborne laser weapon. 展开更多
关键词 agent modelling Effectiveness evaluation Hierarchical modularization Laser weapon System of system
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Agent行为建模与仿真研究的热点与趋势——基于CiteSpace图谱量化分析 被引量:1
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作者 张一丰 刘宁 +3 位作者 杨琳 李尤君 廉民学 李晨曦 《电脑与信息技术》 2022年第3期24-29,40,共7页
目的:比较国内外Agent行为建模与仿真研究热点与趋势,为我国研究者更有效地应用Agent行为建模与仿真提供参考依据。方法:运用CiteSpace5.7R5软件对中国知网和Web of Science核心合集数据库2011年1月1日至2021年3月31日中有关Agent行为... 目的:比较国内外Agent行为建模与仿真研究热点与趋势,为我国研究者更有效地应用Agent行为建模与仿真提供参考依据。方法:运用CiteSpace5.7R5软件对中国知网和Web of Science核心合集数据库2011年1月1日至2021年3月31日中有关Agent行为建模与仿真研究的文献进行图谱量化分析。结果:共检索到有效中文文献864篇、英文文献2323篇,国内发文量整体呈下降趋势,国外发文量整体呈上升趋势,发文量高的国家集中在发达国家,国外研究前沿已经延伸到物理学、金融学、哲学、生物学、物流学、人工智能等方面。国内研究热点主要集中在社会学、物理学、网络模型等方面。结论:Agent行为建模与仿真研究的应用范围较广泛,与国际相比国内Agent行为建模与仿真研究还存在一定的差距,研究深度和广度有待进一步拓展,国内应参考国际Agent行为建模与仿真研究的热点及前沿,探索适合我国特色的Agent行为建模与仿真系统体系,以促进我国Agent行为建模与仿真的发展。 展开更多
关键词 agent-based simulation multi-agent simulation agent-based modeling ABMS agent立体建模 agent仿真 agent based modeling and simulation
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Research on the User Interest Modeling of Personalized Search Engine 被引量:2
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作者 LI Zhengwei XIA Shixiong NIU Qiang XIA Zhanguo 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 CAS 2007年第5期893-896,共4页
At present, how to enable Search Engine to construct user personal interest model initially, master user's personalized information timely and provide personalized services accurately have become the hotspot in the r... At present, how to enable Search Engine to construct user personal interest model initially, master user's personalized information timely and provide personalized services accurately have become the hotspot in the research of Search Engine area. Aiming at the problems of user model's construction and combining techniques of manual customization modeling and automatic analytical modeling, a User Interest Model (UIM) is proposed in the paper. On the basis of it, the corresponding establishment and update algorithms of User lnterest Profile (UIP) are presented subsequently. Simulation tests proved that the UIM proposed and corresponding algorithms could enhance the retrieval precision effectively and have superior adaptability. 展开更多
关键词 PERSONALIZATION Search Engine User Interest Model intellectual agent
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Analysing the behavioural finance impact of ‘fake news’phenomena on financial markets:a representative agent model and empirical validation 被引量:1
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作者 Bryan Fong 《Financial Innovation》 2021年第1期1169-1198,共30页
This paper proposes an original behavioural finance representative agent model,to explain how fake news’empirical price impacts can persist in finance despite contradicting the efficient-market hypothesis.The model r... This paper proposes an original behavioural finance representative agent model,to explain how fake news’empirical price impacts can persist in finance despite contradicting the efficient-market hypothesis.The model reconciles empirically-observed price overreactions to fake news with empirically-observed price underreactions to real news,and predicts a novel secondary impact of fake news:that fake news in a security amplifies underreactions to subsequent real news for the security.Evaluating the model against a large-sample event study of the 2019 Chinese ADR Delisting Threat fake news and debunking event,this paper finds strong qualitative validation for its model’s dynamics and predictions. 展开更多
关键词 Behavioural finance Fake news Representative agent model Event study BOOTSTRAPPING
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Modeling Reading and Replying Activities in a BBS Social Network 被引量:1
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作者 Fei Ding Yun Liu Bo Shen Hui Cheng 《Journal of Electronic Science and Technology》 CAS 2010年第4期300-306,共7页
This paper is devoted to analyze and model user reading and replying activities in a bulletin board system (BBS) social network. By analyzing the data set from a famous Chinese BBS social network, we show how some u... This paper is devoted to analyze and model user reading and replying activities in a bulletin board system (BBS) social network. By analyzing the data set from a famous Chinese BBS social network, we show how some user activities distribute, and reveal several important features that might characterize user dynamics. We propose a method to model user activities in the BBS social network. The model could reproduce power-law and non-power-law distributions of user activities at the same time. Our results show that user reading and replying activities could be simulated through simple agent-based models. Specifically, manners of how the BBS server interacts with Internet users in the Web 2.0 application, how users organize their reading lists, and how user behavioral trait distributes are the important factors in the formation of activity patterns. 展开更多
关键词 agent based modeling bulletin boardsystem data analysis online social network.
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Fiscal Policy Effect Analysis Based on Agents Response Equilibrium (ARE) Model 被引量:1
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作者 肖潇 胡兆光 段炜 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2012年第1期62-65,共4页
Agents response equilibrium (ARE) model has been taken advantage of to build a multi-agent system for analyzing fiscal policy effect. Through establishing various types of economic entities and endowing them with abil... Agents response equilibrium (ARE) model has been taken advantage of to build a multi-agent system for analyzing fiscal policy effect. Through establishing various types of economic entities and endowing them with abilities to react and make decision, the whole system will evolve to new conditions in response to policy change. Compared with different scenarios, it can be concluded that when raising taxation ratio, sectoral scale will shrink to some extent. But supported by government expenditure, certain sectors could be kept in comparatively larger production scale. 展开更多
关键词 agents response equilibrium (ARE) model agent fiscal policy economic system policy effect
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Adaptive Agent Model with Hybrid Routing Selection Strategy for Improving the Road-Network Congestion Problem
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作者 Bin Jiang Chao Yang Takao Terano 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2015年第6期92-102,共11页
This paper proposes an adaptive agent model with a hybrid routing selection strategy for studying the road-network congestion problem. We focus on improving those severely congested links. Firstly,a multi-agent system... This paper proposes an adaptive agent model with a hybrid routing selection strategy for studying the road-network congestion problem. We focus on improving those severely congested links. Firstly,a multi-agent system is built,where each agent stands for a vehicle,and it makes its routing selection by considering the shortest path and the minimum congested degree of the target link simultaneously. The agent-based model captures the nonlinear feedback between vehicle routing behaviors and road-network congestion status.Secondly,a hybrid routing selection strategy is provided,which guides the vehicle routes adapting to the realtime road-network congestion status. On this basis, we execute simulation experiments and compare the simulation results of network congestion distribution,by Floyd agent with shortest path strategy and our proposed adaptive agent with hybrid strategy. The simulation results show that our proposed model has reduced the congestion degree of those seriously congested links of road-network. Finally,we execute our model on a real road map. The results finds that those seriously congested roads have some common features such as located at the road junction or near the unique road connecting two areas. And,the results also show an effectiveness of our model on reduction of those seriously congested links in this actual road network. Such a bottom-up congestion control approach with a hybrid congestion optimization perspective will have its significance for actual traffic congestion control. 展开更多
关键词 road-network congestion agent model hybrid strategy routing selection
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A hybrid agent⁃based machine learning method for human⁃centred energy consumption prediction
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作者 Qingyao Qiao 《建筑节能(中英文)》 CAS 2023年第3期41-41,共1页
Occupant behaviour has significant impacts on the performance of machine learning algorithms when predicting building energy consumption.Due to a variety of reasons(e.g.,underperforming building energy management syst... Occupant behaviour has significant impacts on the performance of machine learning algorithms when predicting building energy consumption.Due to a variety of reasons(e.g.,underperforming building energy management systems or restrictions due to privacy policies),the availability of occupational data has long been an obstacle that hinders the performance of machine learning algorithms in predicting building energy consumption.Therefore,this study proposed an agent⁃based machine learning model whereby agent⁃based modelling was employed to generate simulated occupational data as input features for machine learning algorithms for building energy consumption prediction.Boruta feature selection was also introduced in this study to select all relevant features.The results indicated that the performances of machine learning algorithms in predicting building energy consumption were significantly improved when using simulated occupational data,with even greater improvements after conducting Boruta feature selection. 展开更多
关键词 Building energy consumption PREDICTION Machine learning agent⁃based modelling Occupant behaviour
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Study on the CAN Search Model based on BDI Agent
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作者 Ablimit Arxiden 《International Journal of Technology Management》 2016年第3期17-20,共4页
The main purpose of establishing a complex agent network (CAN) search model is to specifically model each type of the relationships between different types of Agent structure domain and make it easier to be implemen... The main purpose of establishing a complex agent network (CAN) search model is to specifically model each type of the relationships between different types of Agent structure domain and make it easier to be implemented in the existing programming language environment. Under the guidance of complex Agent network method, CAN search process was analyzed, a dynamic search model description was established based on CAN search process, and then individual Agent modelling and the memory and processing of the thinking attributes such as beliefs, desires and intentions in CAN search process were mainly introduced from the individual level; all sorts of Agent conceptual models and Agent type descriptions for CAN search model were designed by introducing BDI Agent; the states and behaviors of the Agent involving in CAN search process were clearly defined. 展开更多
关键词 Complex agent Network (CAN) Network Search agent Model BDI agent
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Cooperative target allocation for heterogeneous agent models using a matrix-encoding genetic algorithm
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作者 Shan Gao Lei Zuo +1 位作者 Xiaofei Lu Bo Tang 《Journal of Information and Intelligence》 2025年第2期154-172,共19页
Heterogeneous platforms collaborate to execute tasks through different operational models,resulting in the task allocation problem that incorporates different agent models.In this paper,we address the problem of coope... Heterogeneous platforms collaborate to execute tasks through different operational models,resulting in the task allocation problem that incorporates different agent models.In this paper,we address the problem of cooperative target allocation for heterogeneous agent models,where we design the task-agent mathing model and the multi-agent routing model.Since the heterogeneity and cooperativity of agent models lead to a coupled allocation problem,we propose a matrix-encoding genetic algorithm(MEGA)to plan reliable allocation schemes.Specifically,an integer matrix encoding is resorted to represent the priority between targets and agents in MEGA and a ranking rule is designed to decode the priority matrix.Based on the proposed encoding-decoding framework,we use the discrete and continuous optimization operators to update the target-agent match pairs and task execution orders.In addition,to adaptively balance the diversity and intensification of the population,a dynamical supplement strategy based on Hamming dis-tance is proposed.This strategy adds individuals with different diversity and fitness at different stages of the optimization process.Finally,simulation experiments show that MEGA algorithm outperforms the conventional target allocation algorithms in the heterogeneous agent scenario. 展开更多
关键词 Task allocation Heterogeneous agent models Heuristic algorithm Combination optimization
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Automating Monte Carlo simulations in nuclear engineering with domain knowledge-embedded large language model agents
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作者 Zavier Ndum Ndum Jian Tao +1 位作者 John Ford Yang Liu 《Energy and AI》 2025年第3期747-762,共16页
Next-generation nuclear reactor technologies,such as molten salt and fast reactors present complex analytical challenges that require advanced modeling and simulation tools.Yet,traditional workflows for Monte Carlo si... Next-generation nuclear reactor technologies,such as molten salt and fast reactors present complex analytical challenges that require advanced modeling and simulation tools.Yet,traditional workflows for Monte Carlo simulations like FLUKA are labor-intensive and error-prone,relying on manual input file generation and postprocessing.This limits scalability and efficiency.In this work,we present AutoFLUKA,a novel framework that leverages domain knowledge-embedded large language models(LLMs)and AI agents to automate the entire FLUKA simulation workflow from input file creation to execution management,and data analysis.AutoFLUKA also integrates Retrieval-Augmented Generation(RAG)and a web-based user-friendly graphical interface,enabling users to interact with the system in real time.Benchmarking against manual FLUKA simulations,AutoFLUKA demonstrated substantial improvements in resolving FLUKA error-related queries,particularly those arising from input file creation and execution.Traditionally,such issues are addressed through expert support on the FLUKA user forum,often resulting in significant delays.The resolution time for these queries was also reduced from several days to under one minute.Additionally,human-induced simulation errors were mitigated,and a high accuracy in key simulation metrics,such as neutron fluence and microdosimetric quantities,was achieved,with uncertainties below 0.001%for large sample sizes.The flexibility of AutoFLUKA was demonstrated through successful application to both general and specialized nuclear scenarios,and its design allows for straightforward extension to other simulation platforms.These results highlight AutoFLUKA’s potential to transform nuclear engineering analysis by enhancing productivity,reliability,and accessibility through AI-driven automation. 展开更多
关键词 Advanced nuclear energy Monte Carlo simulations FLUKA code Large language model agents Retrieval Augmented Generation Generative AI
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北京市大型医院空间优化与再配置的计算实验研究 被引量:1
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作者 王海英 薛领 赵威 《中国卫生资源》 CSCD 北大核心 2023年第1期80-87,96,共9页
医疗资源的合理布局是构建高质量医疗体系的重要基础。随着北京疏解工作的全面启动,以往高度集中布局的北京医疗资源需要重新配置。如何实现优质医疗资源空间布局的优化,既要解决“看病难、看病贵”,还不能加剧北京的“大城市病”,这是... 医疗资源的合理布局是构建高质量医疗体系的重要基础。随着北京疏解工作的全面启动,以往高度集中布局的北京医疗资源需要重新配置。如何实现优质医疗资源空间布局的优化,既要解决“看病难、看病贵”,还不能加剧北京的“大城市病”,这是疏解面临的新课题。研究以计算社会科学的方法为基础,北京医疗资源疏解为背景,开发基于agent的城市医疗资源空间配置和布局的计算实验平台,讨论“点轴放射”模式和“组团”模式等不同布局情景下居民的居住选择和就医行为,“动态”观察和评估不同模式在平常和应急两种状态下资源配置的合理性和有效性。计算实验结果表明,“点轴放射”模式的医院布局在空间分布上更加均匀,能够随着人口的迁移互动逐渐形成自己的服务半径,效果略好于“组团”模式。然而,在灾情疫情等应急情形下,“组团”模式的医疗资源配置表现要显著好于“点轴放射”模式。研究表明,基于agent的建模和计算实验方法能够为利用真实数据建立现实模型展开这类布局事前研究和规划提供坚实的基础。 展开更多
关键词 医疗资源medical resource 空间配置spatial allocation 基于agent建模agent-based modeling ABM 计算实验dynamic simulation 北京Beijing
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个人主义文化价值观对疫情控制效果的影响及其计算心理机制 被引量:9
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作者 黄丽芹 孙寅 罗思阳 《心理学报》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2022年第5期497-515,I0003-I0020,共37页
COVID-19疫情是一场重大的全球健康危机,一些国家在控制COVID-19感染和死亡率上存在明显困难。我们提出,个人主义的文化价值观不利于对疫情的控制。跨文化分析结果显示,个人主义文化价值观正向预测COVID-19死亡数、每百万死亡数和死亡率... COVID-19疫情是一场重大的全球健康危机,一些国家在控制COVID-19感染和死亡率上存在明显困难。我们提出,个人主义的文化价值观不利于对疫情的控制。跨文化分析结果显示,个人主义文化价值观正向预测COVID-19死亡数、每百万死亡数和死亡率,独立自我建构负向预测疫情前期控制速度。演化博弈模型和跨文化实验进一步提示,个人主义文化通过增强个体在疫情背景下的死亡恐惧,增加个体违反疫情管控的流动性倾向,从而降低了整体疫情控制的效率。我们的结果支持自然-行为-文化协同进化的理论模型,提示文化对COVID-19病毒传播管控和死亡可能性的影响,为各国应对全球公共卫生危机提供了重要科学参考。 展开更多
关键词 文化 个人主义 违规流动 政府规范 疫情控制 agent Based modeling 死亡恐惧
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A framework for equipment systems-of-systems effectiveness evaluation using parallel experiments approach 被引量:8
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作者 Zilong Cheng Li Fan Yulin Zhang 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2015年第2期292-300,共9页
Equipment systems-of-systems (SOS) effectiveness evaluation can provide important reference for construction and optimization of the equipment SoS. After discussing the basic theory and methods of parallel experimen... Equipment systems-of-systems (SOS) effectiveness evaluation can provide important reference for construction and optimization of the equipment SoS. After discussing the basic theory and methods of parallel experiments, we depict an SoS effectiveness analysis and evaluation method using parallel expe- riments theory in detail. A case study is carried out which takes the missile defense system as an example. An artificial system of the missile defense system is constructed with the multi-agent modeling method. Then, single factor, multiple factors and defense position deployment computational experiments are carried out and evaluated with the statistical analysis method. Experiment re- sults show that the altitude of the secondary interception missile is not the key factor which affects SoS effectiveness and putting the defense position ahead will increase defense effectiveness. The case study demonstrates the feasibility of the proposed method. 展开更多
关键词 agent based modeling parallel experiments computational experiments missile defense system effectiveness evaluation
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Persistent variation in spatial behavior affects the structure and function of interaction networks 被引量:4
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作者 Noa PINTER-WOLLMAN 《Current Zoology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2015年第1期98-106,共9页
The function of a network is affected by its structure. For example, the presence of highly interactive individuals, or hubs, influences the extent and rate of information spread across a network. In a network of inte... The function of a network is affected by its structure. For example, the presence of highly interactive individuals, or hubs, influences the extent and rate of information spread across a network. In a network of interactions, the duration over which individual variation in interactions persists may affect how the network operates. Individuals may persist in their behavior over time and across situations, often referred to as personality. Colonies of social insects are an example of a biological system in which the structure of the coordinated networks of interacting workers may greatly influence information flow within the colony, and therefore its collective behavior. Here I investigate the effects of persistence in walking patterns on interaction networks us- ing computer simulations that are parameterized using observed behavior of harvester ants. I examine how the duration of persis- tence in spatial behavior influences network structure. Furthermore, I explore how spatial features of the environment affect the relationship between persistent behavior and network structure. I show that as persistence increases, the skewness of the weighted degree distribution of the interaction network increases. However, this relationship holds only when ants are confined in a space with boundaries, but not when physical barriers are absent. These findings suggest that the influence of animal personalities on network structure and function depends on the environment in which the animals reside [Current Zoology 61 (1): 98-106, 2015]. 展开更多
关键词 agent based model Collective behavior Complex system Self organization PERSONALITY TEMPERAMENT
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Agent-oriented Aid-modeling for the Distributed Activity Network 被引量:4
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作者 DENG Gui\|shi\+1,\ LI Wen\|lei\+1,\ O. Moeschlin\+2 1.Institute of Systems Engineering, Dalian University of Technology Dalian 116024, China 2.Department of Mathematics, Fern University in Hagen, D 58084 Germany 《Systems Science and Systems Engineering》 CSCD 2000年第1期65-71,共7页
An agent in the decision support system (DSS) has to cope with quantitative analysis processing normally. However, from the view of agent working style, the agent oriented aid modeling operations need new procedure ... An agent in the decision support system (DSS) has to cope with quantitative analysis processing normally. However, from the view of agent working style, the agent oriented aid modeling operations need new procedure accepted by the agent. For example, in the distributed activity planning processes, the transforming problem description has to use a unified pattern first, then to compute the activity′s 6 time parameters, activity′s duration, entity plan scheme, optimal calculation and so on. In this paper, we propose a process manner of agent oriented modeling for the distributed activity network. The goal is to introduce an agent working procedure included model usage, multi agent cooperating, communicating among agents and interaction between system and human. Also, it included the problem representation, the initial process, agent design, transform and the computing with interaction in detail. 展开更多
关键词 agent agent oriented aid modeling multi agent cooperation
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Government intervention model based on behavioral heterogeneity for China’s stock market
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作者 Zhong-Qiang Zhou Jie Li +1 位作者 Wei Zhang Xiong Xiong 《Financial Innovation》 2022年第1期2569-2587,共19页
Active government intervention is a striking characteristic of the Chinese stock market.This study develops a behavioral heterogeneous agent model(HAM)comprising fundamentalists,chartists,and stabilizers to investigat... Active government intervention is a striking characteristic of the Chinese stock market.This study develops a behavioral heterogeneous agent model(HAM)comprising fundamentalists,chartists,and stabilizers to investigate investors’dynamic switching mechanisms under government intervention.The model introduces a new player,the stabilizer,into the HAM as a proxy for the government.We use the model to examine government programs during the 2015 China stock market crash and find that it can replicate the dynamics of investor sentiment and asset prices.In addition,our analysis of two simulations,specifically the data-generating processes and shock response analysis,further corroborates the key conclusion that our intervention model not only maintains market stability but also promotes the return of risk asset prices to their fun-damental values.The study concludes that government interventions guided by the new HAM can alleviate the dilemma between reducing price volatility and improving price efficiency in future intervention programs. 展开更多
关键词 Government intervention Excess volatility Behavioral heterogeneity Heterogeneous agent model
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Meaningful Contact Estimates among Children in a Childcare Centre with Applications to Contact Matrices in Infectious Disease Modelling
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作者 Darren Flynn-Primrose Nickolas Hoover +6 位作者 Zahra Mohammadi Austin Hung Jason Lee Miggi Tomovici Edward W. Thommes Dion Neame Monica G. Cojocaru 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2022年第5期1525-1546,共22页
We present a mathematical model of a day care center in a developed country (such as Canada), in order to use it for the estimation of individual-to-individual contact rates in young age groups and in an educational g... We present a mathematical model of a day care center in a developed country (such as Canada), in order to use it for the estimation of individual-to-individual contact rates in young age groups and in an educational group setting. In our model, individuals in the population are children (ages 1.5 to 4 years) and staff, and their interactions are modelled explicitly: person-to-person and person-to-environment, with a very high time resolution. Their movement and meaningful contact patterns are simulated and then calibrated with collected data from a child care facility as a case study. We present these calibration results as a first part in the further development of our model for testing and estimating the spread of infectious diseases within child care centers. 展开更多
关键词 Contact Matrices agent Based Model of Child Care High Time Resolution Model Infectious Disease Applications
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