BACKGROUND Perihilar cholangiocarcinoma(pCCA)has a poor prognosis and urgently needs a better predictive method.The predictive value of the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index(ACCI)for the long-term prognosis of p...BACKGROUND Perihilar cholangiocarcinoma(pCCA)has a poor prognosis and urgently needs a better predictive method.The predictive value of the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index(ACCI)for the long-term prognosis of patients with multiple malignancies was recently reported.However,pCCA is one of the most surgically difficult gastrointestinal tumors with the poorest prognosis,and the value of the ACCI for the prognosis of pCCA patients after curative resection is unclear.AIM To evaluate the prognostic value of the ACCI and to design an online clinical model for pCCA patients.METHODS Consecutive pCCA patients after curative resection between 2010 and 2019 were enrolled from a multicenter database.The patients were randomly assigned 3:1 to training and validation cohorts.In the training and validation cohorts,all patients were divided into low-,moderate-,and high-ACCI groups.Kaplan-Meier curves were used to determine the impact of the ACCI on overall survival(OS)for pCCA patients,and multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to determine the independent risk factors affecting OS.An online clinical model based on the ACCI was developed and validated.The concordance index(C-index),calibration curve,and receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve were used to evaluate the predictive performance and fit of this model.RESULTS A total of 325 patients were included.There were 244 patients in the training cohort and 81 patients in the validation cohort.In the training cohort,116,91 and 37 patients were classified into the low-,moderate-and high-ACCI groups.The Kaplan-Meier curves showed that patients in the moderate-and high-ACCI groups had worse survival rates than those in the low-ACCI group.Multivariable analysis revealed that moderate and high ACCI scores were independently associated with OS in pCCA patients after curative resection.In addition,an online clinical model was developed that had ideal C-indexes of 0.725 and 0.675 for predicting OS in the training and validation cohorts.The calibration curve and ROC curve indicated that the model had a good fit and prediction performance.CONCLUSION A high ACCI score may predict poor long-term survival in pCCA patients after curative resection.High-risk patients screened by the ACCI-based model should be given more clinical attention in terms of the management of comorbidities and postoperative follow-up.展开更多
BACKGROUND Ovarian carcinoma has the highest mortality rate among all gynecological cancers.Several reproductive and hormonal risk factors,including early menarche,late menopause,limited use of oral contraceptives,and...BACKGROUND Ovarian carcinoma has the highest mortality rate among all gynecological cancers.Several reproductive and hormonal risk factors,including early menarche,late menopause,limited use of oral contraceptives,and a low pregnancy rate,have been identified as contributors to the increased susceptibility to ovarian cancer.Advancements in cancer therapy over the past century,including the emergence of precision oncology,underscore the importance of early detection and tailored interventions,factors particularly critical in ovarian cancer,where late-stage diagnosis remains a persistent barrier to survival.This challenge is compounded by the lack of a universally endorsed screening program,resulting in late-stage identification and widespread metastasis.AIM To evaluate demographic differences in ovarian cancer-related mortality from 1999 to 2020 among adult females aged≥25 years within the United States.METHODS Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research database was used to collect de-identified death certificate data for malignant neoplasm of the ovaries related deaths in female adults aged 25 years and older from the year 1999 to 2020.Crude mortality rates and age-adjusted mortality rates(AAMRs)per 100000 people were calculated.Join point regression program was used to assess annual percent changes in mortality trends,with statistical significance set at P value<0.05.RESULTS Between 1999 and 2020,337619 deaths due to ovarian cancer occurred among United States females aged 25 to>85.The AAMR decreased from 14.62 in 1999 to 10.15 in 2020,with significant declines across various demographics.The AAMRs were highest among non-Hispanic White women,i.e.,13.53.Based on region,they were the highest in the Northeast(13.06)and Midwest(12.94).The steepest decline was observed in metropolitan areas as compared to nonmetropolitan ones.The study highlights significant progress in reducing ovarian cancer mortality across age,race/ethnicity,and geographic regions during this period.CONCLUSION The mortality trends for ovarian carcinoma patients showed an overall decrease,with the highest mortality rates observed among older individuals(65 to>85 years)and non-Hispanic Whites.These disparities underscore the need for equitable healthcare access and targeted policy interventions.展开更多
AIM:To examine how the introduction of endoscopy to gastric cancer screening affected survival prognosis in a regional population. METHODS: The subjects comprised 4261 residents of Kamigoto,Nagasaki Prefecture,who und...AIM:To examine how the introduction of endoscopy to gastric cancer screening affected survival prognosis in a regional population. METHODS: The subjects comprised 4261 residents of Kamigoto,Nagasaki Prefecture,who underwent gastric X-ray examination for gastric cancer screening from 1991 to 1995,and all 7178 residents who underwent endoscopic examination for the same purpose from 1996 to 2003. The analysis evaluated trends in age-adjusted gastric cancer mortality rates and standard mortality ratios (SMRs) among the Kamigoto residents. RESULTS: According to demographic statistics,the 1995 and 2000 age-adjusted gastric cancer mortality rates in Nagasaki Prefecture (per 100 000 population) were 42.6 and 37.3 for males and 18.6 and 16.0 for females,while the corresponding rates in Kamigoto before and after the introduction of endoscopic screening were respectively 51.9 and 28.0,and 26.6 and 6.9. The data obtained in this study were divided into those for two periods,1990-1996 and 1997-2006,and SMRs were calculated separately for males and females. For the first period,the SMR was 1.04 (95% CI 0.50-1.58) for males and 1.54 (95% CI 0.71-2.38) for females,while for the second period the SMR was 0.71 (95% CI 0.33-1.10) for males and 0.62 (95% CI 0.19-1.05) for females. CONCLUSION: Following the introduction of endoscopic examination,gastric cancer death rates decreased in Kamigoto.展开更多
Shanghai World Financial Center is one of the highest buildings in the world, of which cumulation of vertical deformation during construction is significant and worth investigating. A refined finite element model was ...Shanghai World Financial Center is one of the highest buildings in the world, of which cumulation of vertical deformation during construction is significant and worth investigating. A refined finite element model was developed to conduct full-process analysis of construction of super-high rise buildings like Shanghai World Financial Center, in which the discrete analysis method of time-varying structures and age-adjusted effective modulus method were both used. In the finite element analysis, the whole construction process was divided into a series of stages, each with a structural system that is a part of the whole structure and with different material parameters, geometrical parameters, loading and boundary conditions. The whole construction process of Shanghai World Financial Center in consideration of creep of concrete was simulated successfully by using the finite element model and the analytical method developed. With respect to different construction stage, the total vertical deformation, inter-floor compression deformation and the relative deformation between the outer frame and the core-wall were obtained through the analysis. The comparison between the results from the stage-wise full-process analysis of construction with and without considering the creep and the results from the conventional analysis of the whole building under the total load from all self-weight and construction applied to the structure "in one go" shows that the cumulative effect on the deformation from the construction process and the creep effect need to be considered in analyzing the deformation of Shanghai World Financial Center, and the super-high rise buildings suchlike. Finally, the simulation results correlate well with the monitoring results-a proof of the feasibility and the validity of this paper.展开更多
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China,No. 81874211Chongqing Technology Innovation and Application Development Special Key Project,No. CSTC2021jscx-gksb-N0009
文摘BACKGROUND Perihilar cholangiocarcinoma(pCCA)has a poor prognosis and urgently needs a better predictive method.The predictive value of the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index(ACCI)for the long-term prognosis of patients with multiple malignancies was recently reported.However,pCCA is one of the most surgically difficult gastrointestinal tumors with the poorest prognosis,and the value of the ACCI for the prognosis of pCCA patients after curative resection is unclear.AIM To evaluate the prognostic value of the ACCI and to design an online clinical model for pCCA patients.METHODS Consecutive pCCA patients after curative resection between 2010 and 2019 were enrolled from a multicenter database.The patients were randomly assigned 3:1 to training and validation cohorts.In the training and validation cohorts,all patients were divided into low-,moderate-,and high-ACCI groups.Kaplan-Meier curves were used to determine the impact of the ACCI on overall survival(OS)for pCCA patients,and multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to determine the independent risk factors affecting OS.An online clinical model based on the ACCI was developed and validated.The concordance index(C-index),calibration curve,and receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve were used to evaluate the predictive performance and fit of this model.RESULTS A total of 325 patients were included.There were 244 patients in the training cohort and 81 patients in the validation cohort.In the training cohort,116,91 and 37 patients were classified into the low-,moderate-and high-ACCI groups.The Kaplan-Meier curves showed that patients in the moderate-and high-ACCI groups had worse survival rates than those in the low-ACCI group.Multivariable analysis revealed that moderate and high ACCI scores were independently associated with OS in pCCA patients after curative resection.In addition,an online clinical model was developed that had ideal C-indexes of 0.725 and 0.675 for predicting OS in the training and validation cohorts.The calibration curve and ROC curve indicated that the model had a good fit and prediction performance.CONCLUSION A high ACCI score may predict poor long-term survival in pCCA patients after curative resection.High-risk patients screened by the ACCI-based model should be given more clinical attention in terms of the management of comorbidities and postoperative follow-up.
文摘BACKGROUND Ovarian carcinoma has the highest mortality rate among all gynecological cancers.Several reproductive and hormonal risk factors,including early menarche,late menopause,limited use of oral contraceptives,and a low pregnancy rate,have been identified as contributors to the increased susceptibility to ovarian cancer.Advancements in cancer therapy over the past century,including the emergence of precision oncology,underscore the importance of early detection and tailored interventions,factors particularly critical in ovarian cancer,where late-stage diagnosis remains a persistent barrier to survival.This challenge is compounded by the lack of a universally endorsed screening program,resulting in late-stage identification and widespread metastasis.AIM To evaluate demographic differences in ovarian cancer-related mortality from 1999 to 2020 among adult females aged≥25 years within the United States.METHODS Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research database was used to collect de-identified death certificate data for malignant neoplasm of the ovaries related deaths in female adults aged 25 years and older from the year 1999 to 2020.Crude mortality rates and age-adjusted mortality rates(AAMRs)per 100000 people were calculated.Join point regression program was used to assess annual percent changes in mortality trends,with statistical significance set at P value<0.05.RESULTS Between 1999 and 2020,337619 deaths due to ovarian cancer occurred among United States females aged 25 to>85.The AAMR decreased from 14.62 in 1999 to 10.15 in 2020,with significant declines across various demographics.The AAMRs were highest among non-Hispanic White women,i.e.,13.53.Based on region,they were the highest in the Northeast(13.06)and Midwest(12.94).The steepest decline was observed in metropolitan areas as compared to nonmetropolitan ones.The study highlights significant progress in reducing ovarian cancer mortality across age,race/ethnicity,and geographic regions during this period.CONCLUSION The mortality trends for ovarian carcinoma patients showed an overall decrease,with the highest mortality rates observed among older individuals(65 to>85 years)and non-Hispanic Whites.These disparities underscore the need for equitable healthcare access and targeted policy interventions.
文摘AIM:To examine how the introduction of endoscopy to gastric cancer screening affected survival prognosis in a regional population. METHODS: The subjects comprised 4261 residents of Kamigoto,Nagasaki Prefecture,who underwent gastric X-ray examination for gastric cancer screening from 1991 to 1995,and all 7178 residents who underwent endoscopic examination for the same purpose from 1996 to 2003. The analysis evaluated trends in age-adjusted gastric cancer mortality rates and standard mortality ratios (SMRs) among the Kamigoto residents. RESULTS: According to demographic statistics,the 1995 and 2000 age-adjusted gastric cancer mortality rates in Nagasaki Prefecture (per 100 000 population) were 42.6 and 37.3 for males and 18.6 and 16.0 for females,while the corresponding rates in Kamigoto before and after the introduction of endoscopic screening were respectively 51.9 and 28.0,and 26.6 and 6.9. The data obtained in this study were divided into those for two periods,1990-1996 and 1997-2006,and SMRs were calculated separately for males and females. For the first period,the SMR was 1.04 (95% CI 0.50-1.58) for males and 1.54 (95% CI 0.71-2.38) for females,while for the second period the SMR was 0.71 (95% CI 0.33-1.10) for males and 0.62 (95% CI 0.19-1.05) for females. CONCLUSION: Following the introduction of endoscopic examination,gastric cancer death rates decreased in Kamigoto.
基金Sponsored by the Technology Pillar Program During the Eleventh Five-Year Plan Period (Grant No.2006BAJ01B02)
文摘Shanghai World Financial Center is one of the highest buildings in the world, of which cumulation of vertical deformation during construction is significant and worth investigating. A refined finite element model was developed to conduct full-process analysis of construction of super-high rise buildings like Shanghai World Financial Center, in which the discrete analysis method of time-varying structures and age-adjusted effective modulus method were both used. In the finite element analysis, the whole construction process was divided into a series of stages, each with a structural system that is a part of the whole structure and with different material parameters, geometrical parameters, loading and boundary conditions. The whole construction process of Shanghai World Financial Center in consideration of creep of concrete was simulated successfully by using the finite element model and the analytical method developed. With respect to different construction stage, the total vertical deformation, inter-floor compression deformation and the relative deformation between the outer frame and the core-wall were obtained through the analysis. The comparison between the results from the stage-wise full-process analysis of construction with and without considering the creep and the results from the conventional analysis of the whole building under the total load from all self-weight and construction applied to the structure "in one go" shows that the cumulative effect on the deformation from the construction process and the creep effect need to be considered in analyzing the deformation of Shanghai World Financial Center, and the super-high rise buildings suchlike. Finally, the simulation results correlate well with the monitoring results-a proof of the feasibility and the validity of this paper.
