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A numerical model for cascading glacier mass flow analysis(GMFA):Erosion-deposition dynamics,phase changes,and multi-hazard chain transformations
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作者 Ruochen Jiang Limin Zhang +4 位作者 Wenjun Lu Dalei Peng Xin He Shihao Xiao Mingdong Wei 《Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering》 2026年第1期299-316,共18页
Glacier landslide cascading hazards pose threats to communities and infrastructure,affected by complex processes including the amplification of mass flow volume through erosion and entrainment,transformation of hazard... Glacier landslide cascading hazards pose threats to communities and infrastructure,affected by complex processes including the amplification of mass flow volume through erosion and entrainment,transformation of hazard types,ice-water phase change,and enhanced mobility of the mass flow.Scientifically simulating these physical phenomena proves challenging.This study introduces GMFA(glacier mass flow analysis),an integrated numerical model that advances the field by:(1)proposing depth-averaged fluctuation energy and internal energy equations,(2)incorporating the ice-water phase change and the entrainment-deposition process,and(3)capturing their effects on mass flow runout characteristics.The model employs the finite volume method to solve the multi-physics coupled governing equations,enabling efficient large-scale simulations.The model is verified through three numerical tests covering flow dynamics,temperature evolution,and thermo-hydro-mechanical runout processes.The model is applied to analyze a hazard chain that occurred on 10 September 2020 on the Tibetan Plateau.The multi-scenario simulation results indicate an entrained mass volume of(4.95±0.11)×10^(5)m^(3),and a ratio of entrained mass volume to source material volume of 0.44.The solid concentration decreases from 0.6-0.7 to 0.1-0.15 with increasing runout distance,indicating a transition from avalanche to debris flood.The internal energy rises by(3-4)×10^(3)kJ/m^(3),driving rapid ice melting from 0.1 to 0.2 to near-zero concentration.The model effectively quantifies volume amplification,ice-water phase changes,and multi-hazard transformations.This model pushes the geoscience frontier,extending computational capability from single-to multi-hazard simulations and providing a powerful tool for analyzing glacier cascading hazards. 展开更多
关键词 Glacier hazard chains LANDSLIDES Debris flows Phase change Erosion and deposition hazard transformation
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Geologic hazard susceptibility assessment based on statistical optimization and machine learning:A case study of the Loess Plateau,Shaanxi Province,northwestern China
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作者 Hao Cheng Zhen-kai Zhang +5 位作者 Zeng-lin Hong Wen-long Zhang Hong-quan Teng Shuai Yang Zi-yao Wang Yu-xuan Dong 《China Geology》 2026年第1期136-151,共16页
This study developed a modeling methodology for statistical optimization-based geologic hazard susceptibility assessment,aiming to enhance the comprehensive performance and classification accuracy of the assessment mo... This study developed a modeling methodology for statistical optimization-based geologic hazard susceptibility assessment,aiming to enhance the comprehensive performance and classification accuracy of the assessment models.First,the cumulative probability method revealed that a low probability(15%)of geologic hazards between any two geologic hazard points occurred outside a buffer zone with a radius of 2297 m(i.e.,the distance threshold).The training dataset was established,consisting of negative samples(non-hazard points)randomly generated based on the distance threshold,positive samples(i.e.,historical hazards),and 13 conditioning factors.Then,models were built using five machine learning algorithms,namely random forest(RF),gradient boosting decision tree(GBDT),naive Bayes(NB),logistic regression(LR),and support vector machine(SVM).The comprehensive performance of the models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC)and overall accuracy(OA)as indicators,revealing that RF exhibited the best performance,with OA and AUC values of 2.7127 and 0.981,respectively.Furthermore,the machine learning models constructed by considering the distance threshold outperformed those built using the unoptimized dataset.The characteristic factors were ranked using the mutual information method,with their scores decreasing in the order of rainfall(0.1616),altitude(0.06),normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI;0.04),and distance from roads(0.03).Finally,the geologic hazard susceptibility classification was assessed using the natural breaks method combined with a clustering algorithm.The results indicate that the clustering algorithm exhibited higher classification accuracy than the natural breaks method.The findings of this study demonstrate that the proposed model optimization scheme can provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control of geologic hazards. 展开更多
关键词 COLLAPSE LANDSLIDE Debris flow Geologic hazard susceptibility assessment Machine learning RF-GBDT-NB-LR-SVM Cumulative probability Cluster analysis Loess Plateau Geologic hazard prevention and control Geological survey engineering
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Ground motion,liquefaction and hazard analysis at the Palu site during the 2018 Indonesian great earthquake(M_(w)7.5)
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作者 Lindung Zalbuin Mase Weeradetch Tanapalungkorn +2 位作者 Suched Likitlersuang Kyohei Ueda Tetsuo Tobita 《China Geology》 2026年第1期152-174,共23页
The research findings on the ground motion and liquefaction potential analyses during the 2018 Great Indonesia Earthquake(M_(w)7.5)are significant and crucial.The earthquake triggered soil-structure damage due to liqu... The research findings on the ground motion and liquefaction potential analyses during the 2018 Great Indonesia Earthquake(M_(w)7.5)are significant and crucial.The earthquake triggered soil-structure damage due to liquefaction.This study,which thoroughly investigated four sites at Palu,was conducted by performing a comprehensive ground motion parameter analysis.The ground motion characteristics were presented and justified,particularly for the most impacted direction.Ground motion predictions were analysed to define the spectral accelerations,and matching spectral accelerations were conducted to produce ground motions for each site.Non-linear seismic ground response analysis based on the hyperbolic model of pressure pressure-dependent was performed to investigate cyclic soil behaviour.The results revealed that ground motion is crucial in significant soil damage,and the earthquake energy could trigger deep liquefaction.As the most significant ground motion,the vertical ground motion is essential in determining deep liquefaction.The discussion on the impact of liquefaction based on the results of the numerical analysis is presented.Significant ground motion with a longer duration could have a substantial impact on deep liquefaction in the study area.These findings depict how the 2018 Indonesia Earthquake(M_(w)7.5)triggered a mega-liquefaction in Palu City.The results could enhance the understanding of the importance of seismic hazard assessment.It is recommended that site investigation and soil improvement should be planned to counteract liquefaction damage before construction.This study also suggests conducting seismic hazard assessments for city development to minimise the potential disaster impact in the study area. 展开更多
关键词 Shallow earthquake(Mw 7.5) Ground motion LIQUEFACTION Spectral matching method Seismic hazard Assessment Structure damage
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Intelligent characterization of discontinuities and heterogeneity evaluation of potential hazard sources in high-steep rock slope by TLS-UAV technology
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作者 Changqing Liu Han Bao +5 位作者 Tianyi Wang Jingfeng Zhang Hengxing Lan Shengwen Qi Wei Yuan Shunichi Koshimura 《Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering》 2026年第1期509-527,共19页
The identification of rock mass hazard sources is fundamental for preventing rockfall and landslide disasters in mountainous regions,with rock mass structural characteristics playing a vital role in hazard assessment.... The identification of rock mass hazard sources is fundamental for preventing rockfall and landslide disasters in mountainous regions,with rock mass structural characteristics playing a vital role in hazard assessment.In this study,terrestrial laser scanning(TLS)and unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)technologies were integrated to enhance the evaluation methodology for rock mass hazard sources,focusing on the Sichuan Yanjiang Expressway project in China.The findings demonstrate that TLS-UAV technology enhanced both spatial coverage and data density in slope modeling.Through integrated algorithmic analysis,rock discontinuities within heterogeneous datasets were systematically identified,enabling quantitative extraction and statistical analysis of key geometric parameters,including orientation,trace length,spacing,and roughness.Furthermore,quantitative models were developed for cohesion,friction angle and the morphology parameter M of in situ discontinuities,respectively,facilitating efficient mechanical parameter acquisition.A novel rock mass hazard index(RHI)was developed incorporating discontinuity geometric rating(DGR),discontinuity mechanical rating(DMR),and slope mass rating(SMR).Field validation confirmed the methodology's effectiveness in evaluating risk levels and spatial heterogeneity of rock mass hazard sources,revealing the contribution of different discontinuity sets to the rock mass hazard and identifying the primary discontinuity sets controlling instability mechanisms.This study is of great significance for evaluating discontinuity-controlled rock mass hazard sources and preventing rockfall disasters. 展开更多
关键词 High-steep slope Rock mass hazard source DISCONTINUITIES Intelligent characterization Terrestrial laser scanning(TLS) Unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)
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Thermal hazard comparison and assessment of Li-ion battery and Na-ion battery 被引量:8
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作者 Wenxin Mei Zhixiang Cheng +5 位作者 Longbao Wang Anqi Teng Zhiyuan Li Kaiqiang Jin Jinhua Sun Qingsong Wang 《Journal of Energy Chemistry》 2025年第3期18-26,共9页
Na-ion batteries are considered a promising next-generation battery alternative to Li-ion batteries,due to the abundant Na resources and low cost.Most efforts focus on developing new materials to enhance energy densit... Na-ion batteries are considered a promising next-generation battery alternative to Li-ion batteries,due to the abundant Na resources and low cost.Most efforts focus on developing new materials to enhance energy density and electrochemical performance to enable it comparable to Li-ion batteries,without considering thermal hazard of Na-ion batteries and comparison with Li-ion batteries.To address this issue,our work comprehensively compares commercial prismatic lithium iron phosphate(LFP) battery,lithium nickel cobalt manganese oxide(NCM523) battery and Na-ion battery of the same size from thermal hazard perspective using Accelerating Rate Calorimeter.The thermal hazard of the three cells is then qualitatively assessed from thermal stability,early warning and thermal runaway severity perspectives by integrating eight characteristic parameters.The Na-ion cell displays comparable thermal stability with LFP while LFP exhibits the lowest thermal runaway hazard and severity.However,the Na-ion cell displays the lowest safety venting temperature and the longest time interval between safety venting and thermal runaway,allowing the generated gas to be released as early as possible and detected in a timely manner,providing sufficient time for early warning.Finally,a database of thermal runaway characteristic temperature for Li-ion and Na-ion cells is collected and processed to delineate four thermal hazard levels for quantitative assessment.Overall,LFP cells exhibit the lowest thermal hazard,followed by the Na-ion cells and NCM523 cells.This work clarifies the thermal hazard discrepancy between the Na-ion cell and prevalent Li-ion cells,providing crucial guidance for development and application of Na-ion cell. 展开更多
关键词 Li-ion battery Na-ion battery Thermal runaway Characteristic parameters Thermal hazard assessment
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Source Characteristics and Induced Hazards of the 2025 M6.8 Dingri Earthquake,Xizang,China,Revealed by Imaging Geodesy 被引量:3
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作者 Chen Yu Zhenhong Li +11 位作者 Xiaoning Hu Chuang Song Suju Li Haihui Liu Jie Li Bingquan Han Zhenjiang Liu Ming Liu Shuang Zhu Xiaoye Hao Zhiyuan Li Jianbing Peng 《Journal of Earth Science》 2025年第2期847-851,共5页
0 INTRODUCTION.According to the China Earthquake Networks Center,an M6.8 earthquake struck Dingri County,Xizang Autonomous Region,China,on 7 January 2025 at 9:05 a.m.local time.The epicenter is located at 28.5°N,... 0 INTRODUCTION.According to the China Earthquake Networks Center,an M6.8 earthquake struck Dingri County,Xizang Autonomous Region,China,on 7 January 2025 at 9:05 a.m.local time.The epicenter is located at 28.5°N,87.45°E,with a depth of~10 km. 展开更多
关键词 source characteristics M earthquake Xizang imaging geodesy induced hazards Dingri China
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An integrated approach for GLOF hazard,vulnerability and risk assessment in the Karakoram Mountain Range of northern Pakistan 被引量:1
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作者 Sajid ULLAH Muhammad SHAFIQUE +2 位作者 Ghazanfar Ali KHATTAK Attaullah SHAH Yaseen ULLAH 《Journal of Mountain Science》 2025年第1期142-155,共14页
Climate change and rising temperatures are accelerating the rate of deglaciation in the Hindu Kush Karakoram Himalaya(HKH)ranges,leading to the formation of new glacial lakes and the expansion of existing ones.These l... Climate change and rising temperatures are accelerating the rate of deglaciation in the Hindu Kush Karakoram Himalaya(HKH)ranges,leading to the formation of new glacial lakes and the expansion of existing ones.These lakes are often vulnerable to failure,posing a significant threat to downstream communities and infrastructure.Therefore,a comprehensive assessment of Glacier-Lake Outburst Flood(GLOF)hazards and risk assessment is crucial to evaluate flood runout characteristics and identify settlements and infrastructure that are exposed and vulnerable to floods,aiding in the development and implementation of risk reduction strategies.This study aims to simulate a GLOF event induced by the Shisper glacier lake in northern Pakistan,using the HEC-RAS,and to assess its impact on settlements,infrastructure,and agricultural land.For the hydrometeorological analysis of the GLOF event,topographic data from unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs),stream profiles,discharge data,Manning's roughness coefficient(n),and land use/land cover(LULC)were analyzed using HEC-RAS and geographic information system(GIS).During the GLOF event on May 7,2022,a maximum water depth of 6.3 m and a maximum velocity of 9.5 m/s were recorded.Based on the runout characteristics of this event,vulnerability and risk assessments have been calculated.The physical,social,and environmental vulnerabilities of the at-risk elements were evaluated using the analytical hierarchy process(AHP)and integrated with the hazard data to develop a risk map.The study identified the areas,infrastructure and settlements susceptible to GLOF hazard to support the development and implementation of targeted and evidence-based mitigation and adaptation strategies. 展开更多
关键词 GLOF hazard assessment Glacial lake HEC-RAS Vulnerability and risk Shisper glacier
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Occupational Hazard Factors and the Trajectory of Fasting Blood Glucose Changes in Chinese Male Steelworkers Based on Environmental Risk Scores:A Prospective Cohort Study 被引量:1
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作者 Mingxia Zou Wei Du +7 位作者 Qin Kang Yuhao Xia Nuoyun Zhang Liu Feng Feiyue Li Tiancheng Ma Yajing Bao Hongmin Fan 《Biomedical and Environmental Sciences》 2025年第6期666-677,共12页
Objective We aimed to investigate the patterns of fasting blood glucose(FBG)trajectories and analyze the relationship between various occupational hazard factors and FBG trajectories in male steelworkers.Methods The s... Objective We aimed to investigate the patterns of fasting blood glucose(FBG)trajectories and analyze the relationship between various occupational hazard factors and FBG trajectories in male steelworkers.Methods The study cohort included 3,728 workers who met the selection criteria for the Tanggang Occupational Cohort(TGOC)between 2017 and 2022.A group-based trajectory model was used to identify the FBG trajectories.Environmental risk scores(ERS)were constructed using regression coefficients from the occupational hazard model as weights.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to explore the effects of occupational hazard factors using the ERS on FBG trajectories.Results FBG trajectories were categorized into three groups.An association was observed between high temperature,noise exposure,and FBG trajectory(P<0.05).Using the first quartile group of ERS1 as a reference,the fourth quartile group of ERS1 had an increased risk of medium and high FBG by 1.90and 2.21 times,respectively(odds ratio[OR]=1.90,95%confidence interval[CI]:1.17–3.10;OR=2.21,95%CI:1.09–4.45).Conclusion An association was observed between occupational hazards based on ERS and FBG trajectories.The risk of FBG trajectory levels increase with an increase in ERS. 展开更多
关键词 Fasting blood glucose Occupational hazards Group-based trajectory modeling Environmental risk scores Steelworkers
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Research on the Construction of Immersive Education Systems for Fire Safety in University Laboratories Using VR/AR in Hazardous Chemical Scenarios 被引量:1
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作者 Xuezheng Wu 《Journal of Contemporary Educational Research》 2025年第10期357-362,共6页
With the rapid development of virtual reality(VR)and augmented reality(AR)technologies,their application potential in the field of education has become increasingly significant.For a long time,fire safety education in... With the rapid development of virtual reality(VR)and augmented reality(AR)technologies,their application potential in the field of education has become increasingly significant.For a long time,fire safety education in university laboratories has faced numerous challenges,and traditional teaching methods have been insufficiently effective,with high-risk scenarios difficult to realistically recreate.Especially in special scenarios involving hazardous chemicals,conventional training methods struggle to enable learners to achieve deep understanding and behavioral formation.This study systematically integrates immersive technology theory with safety education needs,providing a replicable technical solution for safety education in high-risk environments.Its modular design approach has reference value for expansion into other professional fields,offering practical evidence for innovation in safety education models in the digital age. 展开更多
关键词 VR/AR hazardous chemicals scenarios University laboratories Fire safety Immersive education
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A Self‐Powered,Shapeable,and Wearable Sensor for Effective Hazard Prevention and Biomechanical Monitoring 被引量:1
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作者 Huimin Wang Shuo Li +5 位作者 Yong Zhang Mingchao Zhang Haomin Wang Xiaoping Liang Haojie Lu Yingying Zhang 《SmartSys》 2025年第1期30-38,共9页
Flexible and wearable electronics are attracting surging attention due to their potential applications in human health monitoring and precision therapies.Safety hazards including strong magnetic field and electric lea... Flexible and wearable electronics are attracting surging attention due to their potential applications in human health monitoring and precision therapies.Safety hazards including strong magnetic field and electric leakage are big risk factors for human health.It remains challenging to develop self‐powered and wearable safety hazard sensors that could not only be able to monitor human motions but also have functions for detecting potential hazards.In this work,we fabricated a self‐powered,shapeable,and wearable magnetic triboelectric nanogenerator(MTENG)based on ferrofluid,Ecoflex,and carbonized silk fabric that possessed effective hazard prevention and biomechanical motion sensing ability.A peak open‐circuit voltage of 0.7 V and short‐circuit current of 10μA m^(−2)can be achieved when magnetic field is changed between 3.5 and 37.1 mT.As a component of triboelectric layer of the MTENG,ferrofluid can substantially extend the range of its sensing capabilities to many hazardous cues such as dangerous magnetic field.Furtherly,the developed multifunctional and self‐powered sensor can be used to monitor human activities such as drinking water and bending finger.This effort opens up a new design opportunity for hazard avoidance wearable electronics and self‐powered sensors. 展开更多
关键词 biomechanical monitoring hazard prevention magnetically induced triboelectric nanogenerator self‐powered wearable sensor
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Characteristics of Massive Glacier-Related Watershed Geohazard Chains in the Eastern Himalayan Syntaxis,China 被引量:1
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作者 Shaohua Gao Yang Gao +4 位作者 Yueping Yin Bin Li Wenpei Wang Tiantian Zhang Haoyuan Gao 《Journal of Earth Science》 2025年第3期1181-1197,共17页
Frequent glacier-related watershed geohazard chains are causing severe damage to life and infrastructure,reported consistently from the Eastern Himalayan Syntaxis.This paper presents a systematic method for researchin... Frequent glacier-related watershed geohazard chains are causing severe damage to life and infrastructure,reported consistently from the Eastern Himalayan Syntaxis.This paper presents a systematic method for researching geohazard,from regional to individual scale.The methodology includes the establishment of geological chain inventories,discrimination of geohazard chain modes,analyses of dynamics and dam breaches,and risk assessments.The following results were obtained:(1)In the downstream of Yarlung Zangbo River,175 sites were identified as high-risk for river blockage disasters,indicating the development of watershed geohazards.Five geohazard chain modes were summarized by incorporating geomorphological characteristics,historical events,landslide zoning,and materials.The risk areas of typical hazard were identified and assessed using InSAR data.(2)Glacier-related watershed geohazard chains are significantly different from traditional landslides.A detailed inversion analysis was conducted on the massive rock-ice avalanche in the Sedongpu gully in 2021.This particular event lasted roughly 300 seconds,with a maximum flow velocity of 77.2 m/s and a maximum flow height of 93 meters.By scrutinizing the dynamic processes and mechanical characteristics,mobility stages and phase transitions can be divided into four stages.(3)Watershed geohazard chains tend to block rivers.The peak breach discharge of the Yigong Landslide reached 12.4×10^(4) m^(3)/s,which is 36 times the volume of the seasonal flood discharge in the Yigong River.Megafloods caused by landslide dam breaches have significantly shaped the geomorphology.This study offers insights into disaster patterns and the multistaged movement characteristics of glacier-related watershed geohazard chains,providing a comprehensive method for investigations and assessments in glacial regions. 展开更多
关键词 glacier-related watershed geohazard chains geohazard chain modes secondary hazards InSAR Eastern Himalayan Syntax DISASTERS glaciers
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Amplified Risks of the Yarlung Zangbo-Brahmaputra River to Glacier Hazard Chains due to Multi-Hazard Transformation 被引量:1
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作者 Ruochen Jiang Limin Zhang +4 位作者 Ming Peng Wenjun Lu Dalei Peng Shihao Xiao Xin He 《Engineering》 2025年第10期187-202,共16页
A glacier hazard chain can form a long-runout mass flow and generate a large flood,affecting downstream areas hundreds of kilometers away from the initiating hazard site.This study focuses on the Yarlung Zangbo Daxiag... A glacier hazard chain can form a long-runout mass flow and generate a large flood,affecting downstream areas hundreds of kilometers away from the initiating hazard site.This study focuses on the Yarlung Zangbo Daxiagu.The objective is to address two key unresolved issues:the evolution of detached glacier materials into debris flows or debris floods and the amplification of the impact range and threats.A comprehensive framework is developed that considers the impacts of near-field and far-field hazards.Numerical modeling,remote sensing,and field investigations were integrated to understand the interactions,transformations,and amplifications of hazards in the glacier hazard chain.The results indicate that extensive,nearly saturated sediments on the glacier valley floor,when entrained,amplify the magnitude of the mass flow.The topography plays a crucial role.When the valley outlet is perpendicular to the river course,topographic obstacles cause immediate halting,resulting in the formation of high barrier dams.Conversely,when the glacier valley aligns nearly parallel to the river course,the mass flow can travel a much longer distance upon entering the river,causing an enlarged affected area.The barrier dams can breach rapidly,causing breaching floods that amplify the downstream impact from several kilometers to hundreds of kilometers.Our analysis reveals that the overall impacts remain spatially limited.Specifically,downstream areas along the Yarlung Zangbo-Brahmaputra River are unlikely to face greater threats from the upstream floods than local monsoon floods.Our findings provide the foundation for the management of glacier hazard chains. 展开更多
关键词 Glacier hazard chain Multi-hazard transformation Risk amplification Mass flow River damming Flood risk Yarlung Zangbo-Brahmaputra River
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Seismic Hazard Evaluation and Structural Design Guidelines for the Southern Region of Saudi Arabia
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作者 Mohammed Alrubaidi 《Open Journal of Earthquake Research》 2025年第1期7-27,共21页
The southern region of Saudi Arabia exhibits a distinct seismic profile shaped by the Red Sea Rift and local fault systems, necessitating rigorous seismic hazard evaluations and tailored structural design strategies. ... The southern region of Saudi Arabia exhibits a distinct seismic profile shaped by the Red Sea Rift and local fault systems, necessitating rigorous seismic hazard evaluations and tailored structural design strategies. This study applies a robust Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) framework to compute Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCE) and Risk-Targeted Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCER) values for major cities, including Jazan, Abha, and Najran. Utilizing local seismotectonic models, ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs), and soil classifications, the study generates precise ground motion parameters critical for infrastructure planning and safety. Results indicate significant seismic hazard variability, with Jazan showing high seismic risks with an MCER SA (0.2 s) of 0.45 g, compared to Najran’s lower risks at 0.23 g. Structural design guidelines, informed by MCE and MCER calculations, prioritize the integration of site-specific seismic data, enhanced ductility requirements, and advanced analytical methods to ensure resilient and sustainable infrastructure. The study underscores the necessity of localized seismic assessments and modern engineering practices to effectively mitigate seismic risks in this geologically complex region. 展开更多
关键词 Seismic hazard PSHA Maximum Magnitude Rupture Characteristics SA KSA PGA
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Application of dendrogeomorphology in snow avalanche hazard assessment:progress and prospects
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作者 CHEN Guoqing HAO Jiansheng +1 位作者 CUI Peng WANG Yan 《Journal of Mountain Science》 2025年第6期1912-1925,共14页
Snow avalanches present a significant threat to infrastructure,affecting buildings,roads,railways,and power lines,and frequently leading to massive economic losses in livelihoods and production.With the increase in re... Snow avalanches present a significant threat to infrastructure,affecting buildings,roads,railways,and power lines,and frequently leading to massive economic losses in livelihoods and production.With the increase in regional temperatures and the occurrence of extreme snowfall events,the frequency and intensity of avalanches have escalated,resulting in more severe incidents and higher casualty rates.As natural archives of environmental changes,tree rings offer valuable proxies for avalanche hazard assessments in regions where direct observation data is scarce,particularly in high-altitude regions.The dendrogeomorphology has been gradually being applied in avalanche hazard evaluation,however,it remains limited in China.To address this gap,this study systematically investigates the principles and methodologies for reconstructing avalanche histories and evaluates their applications in avalanche hazard assessments through a literature review and field observations.It provides a comprehensive overview of recent advancements in key areas,including the impact of avalanches on forest ecosystems,the reconstruction of avalanches,and the analysis of avalanche events(i.e.,the spatiotemporal distribution,the historical recurrence intervals,magnitudes,and triggering conditions of avalanches).Considering the current limitations in avalanche hazard assessments and the urgent need for such research in China,we outline key priorities and future directions,including refining reconstruction methodologies,developing a comprehensive tree-ring-based avalanche database for high-altitude regions,and establishing an advanced hazard assessment framework based on dendrochronological evidence. 展开更多
关键词 DENDROGEOMORPHOLOGY Climate change Snow avalanche Reconstructed hazard assessment
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Development of Risk Warning Technology of Hazardous Weather and Implementation of Basin Joint Prevention Mechanism in Liangcheng County
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作者 Yuanyuan ZHOU Yajing WANG 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 2025年第6期49-52,共4页
To enhance the prevention capability of meteorological disasters in semi-arid mountainous areas,in view of the characteristics of strong suddenness,significant locality and high basin correlation of hazardous weather ... To enhance the prevention capability of meteorological disasters in semi-arid mountainous areas,in view of the characteristics of strong suddenness,significant locality and high basin correlation of hazardous weather in Liangcheng County,the progress of risk warning technology of hazardous weather and the innovative achievements of the construction of the basin joint prevention mechanism were systematically analyzed based on the recent prevention and mitigation practices of meteorological disasters in Liangcheng Meteorological Bureau.The results show that firstly,Liangcheng County has established an"ground-air-space"integrated monitoring network to achieve 5-min full coverage monitoring of core meteorological elements throughout the region.Secondly,relying on a multi-level forecasting system and intelligent technologies,the lead time of early warnings of hazardous weather has been extended to several hours,and the accuracy has significantly improved.Thirdly,a multi-channel and targeted warning dissemination system has been constructed,with a public coverage rate of over 90%.Fourthly,a basin joint prevention innovation model of"information sharing,joint discussion,and hierarchical linkage"has been formed,and the collaborative effectiveness of disaster response across regions and departments has been significantly enhanced.This research results can provide technical references and practical models for optimizing the prevention and mitigation system of meteorological disasters in regions with similar climate and geographical characteristics. 展开更多
关键词 hazardous weather Risk warning Basin joint prevention Meteorological monitoring
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Identification and assessment of avalanche hazards in Aerxiangou section of Duku expressway in TianShan mountainous region based on unmanned aerial vehicle photography
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作者 QiuLian Cheng Jie Liu +3 位作者 Qiang Guo JiaHui Liu ZhiWei Yang ChangTao Hu 《Research in Cold and Arid Regions》 2025年第3期145-158,共14页
In this study,avalanches in the Aerxiangou section of the Duku Expressway in the Tianshan Mountain area of Xinjiang were taken as the research object,and 92 avalanches were accurately identified through onsite researc... In this study,avalanches in the Aerxiangou section of the Duku Expressway in the Tianshan Mountain area of Xinjiang were taken as the research object,and 92 avalanches were accurately identified through onsite research.A high-resolution three-dimensional model was established by collecting images from unmanned aerial vehicles for an in-depth understanding of the avalanche danger of the region,according to the sample set selection of different uses of machine learning support vector machines to establish the S1-RBFKSVM,S1-PKSVM,S2-RBFKSVM,and S2-PKSVM avalanche susceptibility coupling models.On the basis of the avalanche point susceptibility,the impact velocity,impact force,avalanche volume,and throw distance constitute the hazard evaluation system.The study results revealed that slopes in the range of 26.6°–46.9°are more prone to avalanches,and sample set 2 improved the accuracy by approximately 30%compared with sample set 1 trained in the avalanche susceptibility model.Principal component analysis revealed a total of 16 high-risk avalanches,which were distributed mainly on the southern side of the route.This study provides data support for avalanche simulations as well as early warning and prevention and provides theoretical and methodological guidance for the construction and operation of the Duku Expressway. 展开更多
关键词 AVALANCHE Support vector machine Principal component analysis hazard evaluation
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Influence of breach parameter models on hazard classification of off-stream reservoirs
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作者 Nathalia Silva-Cancino Fernando Salazar +1 位作者 Ernest Bladé Marcos Sanz-Ramos 《Water Science and Engineering》 2025年第1期102-114,共13页
The classification of dams or off-stream reservoirs concerning potential hazards in the event of failure often involves the use of two-dimensional hydraulic models for computing floodwave effects.These models necessit... The classification of dams or off-stream reservoirs concerning potential hazards in the event of failure often involves the use of two-dimensional hydraulic models for computing floodwave effects.These models necessitate defining breach geometry and formation time,for which various parametric models have been proposed.These models yield different values for average breach width,time of failure,and consequently,peak flows,as demonstrated by several researchers.This study analyzed the effect of selecting a breach parametric model on the hydraulic variables,potential damages,and hazard classification of structures.Three common parametric models were compared using a set of synthetic cases and a real off-stream reservoir.Results indicated significant effects of model choice.Material erodibility exerted a significant impact,surpassing that of failure mode.Other factors,such as the Manning coefficient,significantly affected the results.Utilizing an inadequate model or lacking information on dike material can lead to overly conservative or underestimated outcomes,thereby affecting hazard classification. 展开更多
关键词 Dam breach Off-stream reservoir hazard classification FLOODING Potential damages
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Geological Hazard Susceptibility Assessment in Shouning County Based on Information Quantity Method
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作者 ZHANG Min CHEN Jiai +2 位作者 CHEN Zhefeng ZHENG Zhe XUE Chengzhi 《Journal of Geodesy and Geoinformation Science》 2025年第3期70-91,共22页
This study develops a geological hazard evaluation index system for Shouning County,a key area for disaster prevention in Fujian Province.Through detailed investigation reports and field surveys,six factors were selec... This study develops a geological hazard evaluation index system for Shouning County,a key area for disaster prevention in Fujian Province.Through detailed investigation reports and field surveys,six factors were selected,including elevation,slope gradient,slope aspect,stratigraphic lithological group,distance from the water systems,and geological structures.A geological hazard susceptibility zoning map was created using the Information Quantity Method(IQM).The evaluation showed that elevation,slope aspect,and distance from the water systems are primary risk factors,with high and extremely high susceptibility areas covering 168.57 km^(2)(52.63%of the study area)and a disaster point density of 3.07 points/km^(2).The model achieved an accuracy of 0.73,validating its effectiveness in hazard assessment.These findings provide a valuable reference for disaster prediction and mitigation in Shouning County,supporting improved planning and risk management efforts. 展开更多
关键词 Shouning County geological hazards information quantity method susceptibility evaluation
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Using the response surface method to conduct wave hazard assessment for a floating nuclear power plant
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作者 Shu-Wen Yu Xin-Yan Xu Chang-Hong Peng 《Nuclear Science and Techniques》 2025年第6期187-200,共14页
A floating nuclear power plant(FNPP)is an offshore facility that integrates proven light-water reactor technologies with floating platform characteristics.However,frequent contact with marine environments may lead to ... A floating nuclear power plant(FNPP)is an offshore facility that integrates proven light-water reactor technologies with floating platform characteristics.However,frequent contact with marine environments may lead to wave-induced vibrations and oscillations.This study aimed to evaluate the wave danger on FNPPs,which can negatively impact FNPP functionality.We developed a hydrodynamic model of an FNPP using potential flow theory and computed the frequency-domain fluid dynamic responses.After verifying the hydrodynamic model,we developed a predictive model for FNPP responses.This model utilizes a genetic aggregation methodology for batch prediction while ensuring accuracy.We analyzed all the wave data from a selected sea area over the past 50 years using the constructed surrogate model,enabling us to identify dangerous marine areas.By utilizing the extreme value distribution of important wave heights in these areas,we determined the wave return period,which poses a threat to FNPPs.This provides an important method for analyzing wave hazards to FNPPs. 展开更多
关键词 Floating nuclear power plant Wave hazard Hydrodynamic model
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Re-evaluation of an operating hazardous landfill site considering the conflict with neighboring inhabitants by multi-criteria decision
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作者 AYDI Abdelwaheb AQIL Tariq +1 位作者 SIFI Sinda ALZAHRANI Hassan 《Journal of Mountain Science》 2025年第3期1001-1014,共14页
Judicious selection of landfill allocation is crucial since inappropriate dumping of wastes can negatively impact human health and degrade the ecosystem.Therefore,this survey presents an integration multi-criteria dec... Judicious selection of landfill allocation is crucial since inappropriate dumping of wastes can negatively impact human health and degrade the ecosystem.Therefore,this survey presents an integration multi-criteria decision approach with the geographic information system for re-evaluating the pending hazardous landfill in Jradou,Tunisia,considering the conflict with neighboring inhabitants.The study involved twelve constraints and eight factors relevant to environmental and socio-economic challenges based on international works,guidelines of the country’s legislation,and an assessment questionnaire on the landfill suitability map.The Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)apportioned weights to criteria,and a Weighted Linear Combination(WLC)approach generated landfill suitability maps(LSM).Afterward,the produced LSM revealed that 2%(8.46km²)of the land was classified as very high,followed by 48%(203.04km²)as high,25%(105.75km²)as moderate,10%(42.3km²)as low,and the remaining 15%(63.45km²)as very low suitable.Furthermore,the operating hazardous waste landfill of Jradou falls within unsuitable areas,inflicting severe harm on the neighboring.The pending hazardous landfill of Jradou should be closed,and a new site must be identified.Conversely,the highly suitable classes are further identified in(1)the Eastern part of the study area,near Ouled ben Amara,and(2)the Northern part of Zaghouan,at 2 km north of Smenja,for potential future hazardous waste landfills.Consequently,governments and relevant stakeholders should investigate these zones to locate new landfills. 展开更多
关键词 hazardous waste LANDFILLING Multi-criteria decision approach Weighted Linear Combination
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