This study explored the observation strategy and effectiveness of synoptic-scale adaptive observations for improving sea fog prediction in coastal regions around the Bohai Sea based on a poorly predicted fog event wit...This study explored the observation strategy and effectiveness of synoptic-scale adaptive observations for improving sea fog prediction in coastal regions around the Bohai Sea based on a poorly predicted fog event with cold-front synoptic pattern(CFSP).An ensemble Kalman filter data assimilation system for the Weather Research and Forecasting model was adopted with ensemble sensitivity analysis(ESA).By comparing observation impacts(estimated from a 40-member ensemble with ESA)among different meteorological observation variables and pressure levels,the temperature at 850 hPa and surface layer(850 hPa-and-surface temperature)was selected as the target observation type.Additionally,the area with large observation impacts for this observation type was predicted in the transition region of the surface low–high system.This area developed southward with the low and moved eastward with the low–high system,which could be explained by the main features of CFSP.Moreover,both experiments assimilating synthetic and real observations showed that assimilating 850 hPa-and-surface temperature observations generally yielded better fog coverage forecasts in areas with greater observation impacts than areas with smaller impacts.However,the effectiveness of adaptive observations was reduced when real observations rather than synthetic observations were assimilated,which is possibly due to factors such as observation and model errors.The main conclusions above were verified by another typical fog event with CFSP characteristics.Results of this study highlight the importance of improved initial conditions in the transition region of the low–high system for improving fog prediction and provide scientific guidance for implementing an observation network for fog forecasting over the Bohai Sea.展开更多
An adjoint sensitivity analysis of one mesoscale low on the mei-yu Front is presented in this paper. The sensitivity gradient of simulation error dry energy with respect to initial analysis is calculated. And after ve...An adjoint sensitivity analysis of one mesoscale low on the mei-yu Front is presented in this paper. The sensitivity gradient of simulation error dry energy with respect to initial analysis is calculated. And after verifying the ability of a tangent linear and adjoint model to describe small perturbations in the nonlinear model, the sensitivity gradient analysis is implemented in detail. The sensitivity gradient with respect to different physical fields are not uniform in intensity, simulation error is most sensitive to the vapor mixed ratio. The localization and consistency are obvious characters of horizontal distribution of the sensitivity gradient, which is useful for the practical implementation of adaptive observation. The sensitivity region tilts to the northwest with height increasing; the singular vector calculation proves that this tilting characterizes a quick-growing structure, which denotes that using the leading singular vectors to decide the adaptive observation region is proper. When connected with simulation of a mesoscale low on the mei-yu Front, the sensitivity gradient has the following physical characters： the obvious sensitive region is mesoscale, concentrated in the middle-upper troposphere, and locates around the key system; and the sensitivity gradient of different physical fields correlates dynamically.展开更多
In order to investigate whether adaptive observations can improve tropical cyclone （TC） intensity forecasts,observing system simulation experiments （OSSEs） were conducted for 20 TC cases originating in the western...In order to investigate whether adaptive observations can improve tropical cyclone （TC） intensity forecasts,observing system simulation experiments （OSSEs） were conducted for 20 TC cases originating in the western North Pacific during the 2010 season according to the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation （CNOP） sensitivity,using the fifth version of the PSU/NCAR mesoscale model （MM5） and its 3DVAR assimilation system.A new intensity index was defined as the sum of the number of grid points within an allocated square centered at the corresponding forecast TC central position,that satisfy constraints associated with the Sea Level Pressure （SLP）,near-surface horizontal wind speed,and accumulated convective precipitation.The higher the index value is,the more intense the TC is.The impacts of the CNOP sensitivity on the intensity forecast were then estimated.The OSSE results showed that for 15 of the 20 cases there were improvements,with reductions of forecast errors in the range of 0.12％-8.59％,which were much less than in track forecasts.The indication,therefore,is that the CNOP sensitivity has a generally positive effect on TC intensity forecasts,but only to a certain degree.We conclude that factors such as the use of a coupled model,or better initialization of the TC vortex,are more important for an accurate TC intensity forecast.展开更多
The Ensemble Transform（ET） method has been shown to be useful in providing guidance for adaptive observation deployment.It predicts forecast error variance reduction for each possible deployment using its correspond...The Ensemble Transform（ET） method has been shown to be useful in providing guidance for adaptive observation deployment.It predicts forecast error variance reduction for each possible deployment using its corresponding transformation matrix in an ensemble subspace.In this paper,a new ET-based sensitivity（ETS） method,which calculates the gradient of forecast error variance reduction in terms of analysis error variance reduction,is proposed to specify regions for possible adaptive observations.ETS is a first order approximation of the ET;it requires just one calculation of a transformation matrix,increasing computational efficiency（60%-80%reduction in computational cost）.An explicit mathematical formulation of the ETS gradient is derived and described.Both the ET and ETS methods are applied to the Hurricane Irene（2011） case and a heavy rainfall case for comparison.The numerical results imply that the sensitive areas estimated by the ETS and ET are similar.However,ETS is much more efficient,particularly when the resolution is higher and the number of ensemble members is larger.展开更多
Temperature （T） and salinity （S） profiles from conductivity-temperature-depth data collected during the Northern South China Sea Open Cruise from August 16 to September 13, 2008 are assimilated using Ensemble Kalm...Temperature （T） and salinity （S） profiles from conductivity-temperature-depth data collected during the Northern South China Sea Open Cruise from August 16 to September 13, 2008 are assimilated using Ensemble Kalman Filter （EnKF）. An adaptive observational error strategy is used to prevent filter from diverging. In the meantime, aiming at the limited improvement in some sites caused by the T and S biases in the model, a T-S constraint scheme is adopted to improve the assimilation performance, where T and S are separately updated at these locations. Validation is performed by comparing assimilated outputs with independent in situ data （satellite remote sensing sea level anomaly （SLA）, the OSCAR velocity product and shipboard ADCP）. The results show that the new EnKF assimilation scheme can significantly reduce the root mean square error （RMSE） of oceanic T and S compared with the control run and traditional EnKF. The system can also improve the simulation of circulations and SLA.展开更多
The sensitive regions of conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations (CNOPs) and the first singular vector (FSV) for a northwest Pacific typhoon case are reported in this paper. A large number of probes have been desi...The sensitive regions of conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations (CNOPs) and the first singular vector (FSV) for a northwest Pacific typhoon case are reported in this paper. A large number of probes have been designed in the above regions and the ensemble transform Kalman filter (ETKF) techniques are utilized to examine which approach can locate more appropriate regions for typhoon adaptive observations. The results show that, in general, the majority of the probes in the sensitive regions of CNOPs can reduce more forecast error variance than the probes in the sensitive regions of FSV. This implies that adaptive observations in the sensitive regions of CNOPs are more effective than in the sensitive regions of FSV. Furthermore, the reduction of the forecast error variance obtained by the best probe identified by CNOPs is twice the reduction of the forecast error variance obtained by FSV. This implies that dropping sondes, which is the best probe identified by CNOPs, can improve the forecast more than the best probe identified by FSV. These results indicate that the sensitive regions identified by CNOPs are more appropriate for adaptive observations than those identified by FSV.展开更多
This study examines the effectiveness of adaptive observation experiments using the ensemble transformation sensitivity(ETS) method to improve precipitation forecasts during heavy rainfall events in South China and th...This study examines the effectiveness of adaptive observation experiments using the ensemble transformation sensitivity(ETS) method to improve precipitation forecasts during heavy rainfall events in South China and the Sichuan Basin. High-resolution numerical models are employed to simulate adaptive observations. By identifying the sensitive areas of key weather system positions 42 hours before heavy rainfall events, the adaptive observations improve the prediction of jet streams, strong winds, and shear lines, which are essential for accurate heavy rainfall forecasting. This improvement is reflected in both the precipitation structure and location accuracy within the verification region. In South China, targeted observations enhance rainfall predictions by improving water vapor transport. In the Sichuan Basin, adaptive observations refine water vapor transport and adjust vortex dynamics. This research highlights the importance of accurately predicting shear lines and jet streams for forecasting heavy rainfall in these areas. Overall, this study found that adaptive observation enhances the precipitation forecast skills of the structure and location for heavy rainfall in South China and the Sichuan Basin, emphasizing their potential utility in operational numerical weather prediction.展开更多
There was a new concept of ‘adaptive or targeting observation’ in recent years, which is anadditional and targeting observation based on the existing and fixed observing network for the atmosphere on theimpacted reg...There was a new concept of ‘adaptive or targeting observation’ in recent years, which is anadditional and targeting observation based on the existing and fixed observing network for the atmosphere on theimpacted region. Dropsonde is one of the important observing instruments in the adaptive or targetingobservation. In this paper, GRAPES, the next generation of numerical weather prediction system of China hasbeen used. The impacts on the typhoon Dujuan (No.200315) forecast in experiments with dropsonde have beenstudied and experiments on sensitivity have also been done. It was found that the forecasts of the elements havebeen improved obviously with the use of dropsonde, such as the path, the center location, and the intensity oftyphoon. It was also found in the sensitivity studies that the setting of deviation structure also has obviousimpacts on the forecast for typhoons. It is not true that the simulation is better when the proportion of the data ofdropsonde is larger in the course to modify the background.展开更多
To solve the attitude trajectory tracking problem for hypersonic vehicles in the presence of system constraints and unknown disturbances,this paper designed a nonlinear robust model predictive control(RMPC)scheme,whic...To solve the attitude trajectory tracking problem for hypersonic vehicles in the presence of system constraints and unknown disturbances,this paper designed a nonlinear robust model predictive control(RMPC)scheme,which can produce near-optimal tracking commands.Unlike the existing designs,the proposed scheme is less conservative and successfully prioritizes the solution optimality.The established RMPC follows a dualloop structure.Specifically,in the outer feedback loop,the reference attitude angle profiles are optimally tracked,while in the inner feedback loop,the control moment commands are produced by optimally tracking the desired angular rate trajectories.Besides,an adaptive disturbance observer(ADO)is designed and embedded in the inner and outer RMPC controllers to alleviate the negative effects caused by unknown external disturbances.The recursive feasibility of the optimization process,together with the input-to-state stability of the proposed RMPC,is theoretically guaranteed by introducing a tightened control constraint and terminal region.The derived property reveals that our proposal can steer the tracking error within a small region of convergence.Finally,the effectiveness of the proposed scheme is demonstrated by performing simulation studies.展开更多
The current research of master cylinder pressure estimation mainly relies on hydraulic characteristic or vehicle dynamics.But they are not independently applicable to any environment and have their own scope of applic...The current research of master cylinder pressure estimation mainly relies on hydraulic characteristic or vehicle dynamics.But they are not independently applicable to any environment and have their own scope of application.In addition,about the master cylinder pressure control,there are few studies that can simultaneously balance pressure building accuracy,speed,and prevent pressure overshoot and jitter.In this paper,an adaptative fusion method based on electro-hydraulic characteristic and vehicle mode is proposed to estimate the master cylinder pressure.The fusion strategy is mainly based on the prediction performance of two algorithms under different vehicle speeds,pressures,and ABS states.Apart from this,this article also includes real-time prediction of the friction model based on RLS to improve the accuracy of the electro-hydraulic mode.In order to simultaneously balance pressure control accuracy,response speed,and prevent overshoot and jitter,this article proposes an adaptative LQR controller for MC pressure control which uses fuzzy-logic controller to adjust the weights of LQR controller based on target pressure and difference compared with actual pressure.Through mode-in-loop and hardware-in-loop tests in ramp,step and sinusoidal response,the whole estimation and control system is verified based on real hydraulic system and the performance is satisfactory under these scenes.This research proposes an adaptative pressure estimation and control architecture for integrated electro-hydraulic brake system which could eliminate pressure sensors in typical scenarios and ensure the comprehensive performance of pressure control.展开更多
Based on the linear parameter-varying （LPV） adaptive observer, the robust fault diagnosis for a class of LPV systems with external disturbances is studied. Since the flight control system （FCS） is nonlinear and ti...Based on the linear parameter-varying （LPV） adaptive observer, the robust fault diagnosis for a class of LPV systems with external disturbances is studied. Since the flight control system （FCS） is nonlinear and time-varying, the LPV technique is used for FCS. And then the adaptive fault estimation algorithm based on the LPV adaptive observer is proposed to estimate the fault. To minimize the effect of disturbances on the fault estimation, the H~ robust performance index is introduced to design the LPV adaptive fault diagnosis observer and the fault estimation algorithm. The result shows that the method has good estimation performance and is robust to external disturbances. The design method is presented in terms of linear matrix inequalities （LMIs）. Finally, a helicopter LPV FCS model with the actuator fault is used to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.展开更多
This work proposes a new strategy to improve the rotor position estimation of a permanent magnet synchronous motor(PMSM) over wide speed range. Rotor position estimation of a PMSM is performed by using sliding mode ob...This work proposes a new strategy to improve the rotor position estimation of a permanent magnet synchronous motor(PMSM) over wide speed range. Rotor position estimation of a PMSM is performed by using sliding mode observer(SMO). An adaptive observer gain was designed based on Lyapunov function and applied to solve the chattering problem caused by the discontinuous function of the SMO in the wide speed range. The cascade low-pass filter(LPF) with variable cut-off frequency was proposed to reduce the chattering problem and to attenuate the filtering capability of the SMO. In addition, the phase shift caused by the filter was counterbalanced by applying the variable phase delay compensation for the whole speed area. High accuracy estimation result of the rotor position was obtained in the experiment by applying the proposed estimation strategy.展开更多
Active fault-tolerant control is investigated for a class of uncertain SISO nonlinear flight control systems based on the adaptive observer, feedback linearization and backstepping theory.Firstly an adaptive observer ...Active fault-tolerant control is investigated for a class of uncertain SISO nonlinear flight control systems based on the adaptive observer, feedback linearization and backstepping theory.Firstly an adaptive observer is constructed to estimate the fault in the faulty system.A new fault updating law is presented to simplify the assumption conditions of the adaptive observer.The asymptotical stability of the observer and the uniform ultimate boundedness of the fault estimation error are guaranteed by Lyapunov theorem.Then a backstepping-based active fault-tolerant controller is designed for the faulty system.The asymptotical stability of the closed-loop system and uniform ultimate boundedness of the tracking error are proved based on Lyapunov theorem.The effectiveness of the proposed scheme is demonstrated through the numerical simulation of a flight control system.展开更多
This article proposes an integral-based event-triggered attack-resilient control method for the aircraft-on-ground(AoG) synergistic turning system with uncertain tire cornering stiffness under stochastic deception att...This article proposes an integral-based event-triggered attack-resilient control method for the aircraft-on-ground(AoG) synergistic turning system with uncertain tire cornering stiffness under stochastic deception attacks. First, a novel AoG synergistic turning model is established with synergistic reverse steering of the front and main wheels to decrease the steering angle of the AoG fuselage, thus reducing the steady-state error when it follows a path with some large curvature. Considering that the tire cornering stiffness of the front and main wheels vary during steering, a dynamical observer is designed to adaptively identify them and estimate the system state at the same time.Then, an integral-based event-triggered mechanism(I-ETM) is synthesized to reduce the transmission frequency at the observerto-controller end, where stochastic deception attacks may occur at any time with a stochastic probability. Moreover, an attackresilient controller is designed to guarantee that the closed-loop system is robust L2-stable under stochastic attacks and external disturbances. A co-design method is provided to get feasible solutions for the observer, controller, and I-ETM simultaneously. An optimization program is further presented to make a tradeoff between the robustness of the control scheme and the saving of communication resources. Finally, the low-and high-probability stochastic deception attacks are considered in the simulations. The results have illustrated that the AoG synergistic turning system with the proposed control method follows a path with some large curvature well under stochastic deception attacks. Furthermore,compared with the static event-triggered mechanisms, the proposed I-ETM has demonstrated its superiority in saving communication resources.展开更多
A problem of topology identification for complex dynamical networks is investigated in this paper. An adaptive observer is proposed to identify the topology of a complex dynamical networks based on the Lyapunov stabil...A problem of topology identification for complex dynamical networks is investigated in this paper. An adaptive observer is proposed to identify the topology of a complex dynamical networks based on the Lyapunov stability theory. Here the output of the network and the states of the observer are used to construct the updating law of the topology such that the communication resources from the network to its observer are saved. Some convergent criteria of the adaptive observer are derived in the form of linear inequality matrices. Several numerical examples are shown to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed observer.展开更多
Modified adaptive observer based backstepping control system for dynamic positioning of ship is proposed. As an improvement, the adaptive observer takes the first-order wave frequency model and the bias term which rep...Modified adaptive observer based backstepping control system for dynamic positioning of ship is proposed. As an improvement, the adaptive observer takes the first-order wave frequency model and the bias term which represent the slowly varying environmental disturbances and the unmodeled dynamics. Thus, the wave-frequency motions are filtered out, and only the reconstructed low-frequency motions are sent as inputs of the controller. Furthermore, as the ship dynamics parameters are unknown, the adaptive estimation law is designed for both the unknown ship dynamics and the unmeasured state variables. Based on the estimated states and parameters, backstepping controller considering the integral action is designed. Global exponential stability （GES） for the total system is proved using Lyapunov direct method. Simulation results show a good performance of the observer and control system.展开更多
A novel H∞ tracking-based decentralized indirect adaptive output feedback fuzzy controller for a class of uncertain large-scale nonlinear systems is developed. By virtue of the proper filtering of the observation err...A novel H∞ tracking-based decentralized indirect adaptive output feedback fuzzy controller for a class of uncertain large-scale nonlinear systems is developed. By virtue of the proper filtering of the observation error dynamics, the observer-based decentralized indirect adaptive fuzzy control scheme is presented for a class of large-scale nonlinear systems using the combination of H∞ tracking technique, a fuzzy adaptive observer and fuzzy inference systems. The output feedback and adaptation mechanisms are both robust and implementable indeed owing to their freedom from the unavailable observation error vector. All the signals of the closed-loop largescale system are guaranteed to stay uniformly bounded and the output errors take on H∞ tracking performance. Simulation results substantiate the effectiveness of the proposed scheme.展开更多
In this paper, chaos synchronization in the presence of parameter uncertainty, observer gain perturbation and exogenous input disturbance is considered. A nonlinear non-fragile proportional-integral （PI） adaptive ob...In this paper, chaos synchronization in the presence of parameter uncertainty, observer gain perturbation and exogenous input disturbance is considered. A nonlinear non-fragile proportional-integral （PI） adaptive observer is designed for the synchronization of chaotic systems; its stability conditions based on the Lyapunov technique are derived. The observer proportional and integral gains, by converting the conditions into linear matrix inequality （LMI）, are optimally selected from solutions that satisfy the observer stability conditions such that the effect of disturbance on the synchronization error becomes minimized. To show the effectiveness of the proposed method, simulation results for the synchronization of a Lorenz chaotic system with unknown parameters in the presence of an exogenous input disturbance and abrupt gain perturbation are reported.展开更多
This work deals with the development of a decentralized optimal control algorithm, along with a robust observer,for the relative motion control of spacecraft in leader-follower based formation. An adaptive gain higher...This work deals with the development of a decentralized optimal control algorithm, along with a robust observer,for the relative motion control of spacecraft in leader-follower based formation. An adaptive gain higher order sliding mode observer has been proposed to estimate the velocity as well as unmeasured disturbances from the noisy position measurements.A differentiator structure containing the Lipschitz constant and Lebesgue measurable control input, is utilized for obtaining the estimates. Adaptive tuning algorithms are derived based on Lyapunov stability theory, for updating the observer gains,which will give enough flexibility in the choice of initial estimates.Moreover, it may help to cope with unexpected state jerks. The trajectory tracking problem is formulated as a finite horizon optimal control problem, which is solved online. The control constraints are incorporated by using a nonquadratic performance functional. An adaptive update law has been derived for tuning the step size in the optimization algorithm, which may help to improve the convergence speed. Moreover, it is an attractive alternative to the heuristic choice of step size for diverse operating conditions. The disturbance as well as state estimates from the higher order sliding mode observer are utilized by the plant output prediction model, which will improve the overall performance of the controller. The nonlinear dynamics defined in leader fixed Euler-Hill frame has been considered for the present work and the reference trajectories are generated using Hill-Clohessy-Wiltshire equations of unperturbed motion. The simulation results based on rigorous perturbation analysis are presented to confirm the robustness of the proposed approach.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41705081)the Shandong Natural Science Foundation Project(Grant No.ZR2019ZD12)the Laoshan Laboratory(Grant No.LSKJ202202203).
文摘This study explored the observation strategy and effectiveness of synoptic-scale adaptive observations for improving sea fog prediction in coastal regions around the Bohai Sea based on a poorly predicted fog event with cold-front synoptic pattern(CFSP).An ensemble Kalman filter data assimilation system for the Weather Research and Forecasting model was adopted with ensemble sensitivity analysis(ESA).By comparing observation impacts(estimated from a 40-member ensemble with ESA)among different meteorological observation variables and pressure levels,the temperature at 850 hPa and surface layer(850 hPa-and-surface temperature)was selected as the target observation type.Additionally,the area with large observation impacts for this observation type was predicted in the transition region of the surface low–high system.This area developed southward with the low and moved eastward with the low–high system,which could be explained by the main features of CFSP.Moreover,both experiments assimilating synthetic and real observations showed that assimilating 850 hPa-and-surface temperature observations generally yielded better fog coverage forecasts in areas with greater observation impacts than areas with smaller impacts.However,the effectiveness of adaptive observations was reduced when real observations rather than synthetic observations were assimilated,which is possibly due to factors such as observation and model errors.The main conclusions above were verified by another typical fog event with CFSP characteristics.Results of this study highlight the importance of improved initial conditions in the transition region of the low–high system for improving fog prediction and provide scientific guidance for implementing an observation network for fog forecasting over the Bohai Sea.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.40405020.
文摘An adjoint sensitivity analysis of one mesoscale low on the mei-yu Front is presented in this paper. The sensitivity gradient of simulation error dry energy with respect to initial analysis is calculated. And after verifying the ability of a tangent linear and adjoint model to describe small perturbations in the nonlinear model, the sensitivity gradient analysis is implemented in detail. The sensitivity gradient with respect to different physical fields are not uniform in intensity, simulation error is most sensitive to the vapor mixed ratio. The localization and consistency are obvious characters of horizontal distribution of the sensitivity gradient, which is useful for the practical implementation of adaptive observation. The sensitivity region tilts to the northwest with height increasing; the singular vector calculation proves that this tilting characterizes a quick-growing structure, which denotes that using the leading singular vectors to decide the adaptive observation region is proper. When connected with simulation of a mesoscale low on the mei-yu Front, the sensitivity gradient has the following physical characters： the obvious sensitive region is mesoscale, concentrated in the middle-upper troposphere, and locates around the key system; and the sensitivity gradient of different physical fields correlates dynamically.
基金sponsored by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41105040)
文摘In order to investigate whether adaptive observations can improve tropical cyclone （TC） intensity forecasts,observing system simulation experiments （OSSEs） were conducted for 20 TC cases originating in the western North Pacific during the 2010 season according to the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation （CNOP） sensitivity,using the fifth version of the PSU/NCAR mesoscale model （MM5） and its 3DVAR assimilation system.A new intensity index was defined as the sum of the number of grid points within an allocated square centered at the corresponding forecast TC central position,that satisfy constraints associated with the Sea Level Pressure （SLP）,near-surface horizontal wind speed,and accumulated convective precipitation.The higher the index value is,the more intense the TC is.The impacts of the CNOP sensitivity on the intensity forecast were then estimated.The OSSE results showed that for 15 of the 20 cases there were improvements,with reductions of forecast errors in the range of 0.12％-8.59％,which were much less than in track forecasts.The indication,therefore,is that the CNOP sensitivity has a generally positive effect on TC intensity forecasts,but only to a certain degree.We conclude that factors such as the use of a coupled model,or better initialization of the TC vortex,are more important for an accurate TC intensity forecast.
基金jointly sponsored by the Key Project of the Chinese National Programs for Fundamental Research and Development (“973 Program”, Grant No. 2013CB430106)the Key Project of the Chinese National Science & Technology Pillar Program during the Twelfth Five-year Plan Period (Grant No. 2012BAC22B01)
文摘The Ensemble Transform（ET） method has been shown to be useful in providing guidance for adaptive observation deployment.It predicts forecast error variance reduction for each possible deployment using its corresponding transformation matrix in an ensemble subspace.In this paper,a new ET-based sensitivity（ETS） method,which calculates the gradient of forecast error variance reduction in terms of analysis error variance reduction,is proposed to specify regions for possible adaptive observations.ETS is a first order approximation of the ET;it requires just one calculation of a transformation matrix,increasing computational efficiency（60%-80%reduction in computational cost）.An explicit mathematical formulation of the ETS gradient is derived and described.Both the ET and ETS methods are applied to the Hurricane Irene（2011） case and a heavy rainfall case for comparison.The numerical results imply that the sensitive areas estimated by the ETS and ET are similar.However,ETS is much more efficient,particularly when the resolution is higher and the number of ensemble members is larger.
基金The Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences under contract No.XDA10010405the Promgram of Guangdong Province Department of Science and Technology No.2012A032100004+1 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract Nos 41476012,41521005 and 41406131the Knowledge Innovation Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences under contract Nos SQ201001 and SQ201205
文摘Temperature （T） and salinity （S） profiles from conductivity-temperature-depth data collected during the Northern South China Sea Open Cruise from August 16 to September 13, 2008 are assimilated using Ensemble Kalman Filter （EnKF）. An adaptive observational error strategy is used to prevent filter from diverging. In the meantime, aiming at the limited improvement in some sites caused by the T and S biases in the model, a T-S constraint scheme is adopted to improve the assimilation performance, where T and S are separately updated at these locations. Validation is performed by comparing assimilated outputs with independent in situ data （satellite remote sensing sea level anomaly （SLA）, the OSCAR velocity product and shipboard ADCP）. The results show that the new EnKF assimilation scheme can significantly reduce the root mean square error （RMSE） of oceanic T and S compared with the control run and traditional EnKF. The system can also improve the simulation of circulations and SLA.
基金jointly sponsored by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 40830955 and 40821092)the China Meteorological Administration (Grant No. GYHY200906009)
文摘The sensitive regions of conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations (CNOPs) and the first singular vector (FSV) for a northwest Pacific typhoon case are reported in this paper. A large number of probes have been designed in the above regions and the ensemble transform Kalman filter (ETKF) techniques are utilized to examine which approach can locate more appropriate regions for typhoon adaptive observations. The results show that, in general, the majority of the probes in the sensitive regions of CNOPs can reduce more forecast error variance than the probes in the sensitive regions of FSV. This implies that adaptive observations in the sensitive regions of CNOPs are more effective than in the sensitive regions of FSV. Furthermore, the reduction of the forecast error variance obtained by the best probe identified by CNOPs is twice the reduction of the forecast error variance obtained by FSV. This implies that dropping sondes, which is the best probe identified by CNOPs, can improve the forecast more than the best probe identified by FSV. These results indicate that the sensitive regions identified by CNOPs are more appropriate for adaptive observations than those identified by FSV.
基金jointly supported by the Guangdong Province University Student Innovation and Entrepreneurship Project (580520049)the Guangdong Ocean University Scientific Research Startup Fund (R20021)the Key Laboratory of Plateau and Basin Rainstorm and Drought Disasters in Sichuan Province Open Research Fund (SZKT201902)。
文摘This study examines the effectiveness of adaptive observation experiments using the ensemble transformation sensitivity(ETS) method to improve precipitation forecasts during heavy rainfall events in South China and the Sichuan Basin. High-resolution numerical models are employed to simulate adaptive observations. By identifying the sensitive areas of key weather system positions 42 hours before heavy rainfall events, the adaptive observations improve the prediction of jet streams, strong winds, and shear lines, which are essential for accurate heavy rainfall forecasting. This improvement is reflected in both the precipitation structure and location accuracy within the verification region. In South China, targeted observations enhance rainfall predictions by improving water vapor transport. In the Sichuan Basin, adaptive observations refine water vapor transport and adjust vortex dynamics. This research highlights the importance of accurately predicting shear lines and jet streams for forecasting heavy rainfall in these areas. Overall, this study found that adaptive observation enhances the precipitation forecast skills of the structure and location for heavy rainfall in South China and the Sichuan Basin, emphasizing their potential utility in operational numerical weather prediction.
基金Multiple time levels of Dynamic / Physical Processes with Lagrange Non-hydrostatic GlobalModel and Study on the Coordination of Correlation (40575050)
文摘There was a new concept of ‘adaptive or targeting observation’ in recent years, which is anadditional and targeting observation based on the existing and fixed observing network for the atmosphere on theimpacted region. Dropsonde is one of the important observing instruments in the adaptive or targetingobservation. In this paper, GRAPES, the next generation of numerical weather prediction system of China hasbeen used. The impacts on the typhoon Dujuan (No.200315) forecast in experiments with dropsonde have beenstudied and experiments on sensitivity have also been done. It was found that the forecasts of the elements havebeen improved obviously with the use of dropsonde, such as the path, the center location, and the intensity oftyphoon. It was also found in the sensitivity studies that the setting of deviation structure also has obviousimpacts on the forecast for typhoons. It is not true that the simulation is better when the proportion of the data ofdropsonde is larger in the course to modify the background.
文摘To solve the attitude trajectory tracking problem for hypersonic vehicles in the presence of system constraints and unknown disturbances,this paper designed a nonlinear robust model predictive control(RMPC)scheme,which can produce near-optimal tracking commands.Unlike the existing designs,the proposed scheme is less conservative and successfully prioritizes the solution optimality.The established RMPC follows a dualloop structure.Specifically,in the outer feedback loop,the reference attitude angle profiles are optimally tracked,while in the inner feedback loop,the control moment commands are produced by optimally tracking the desired angular rate trajectories.Besides,an adaptive disturbance observer(ADO)is designed and embedded in the inner and outer RMPC controllers to alleviate the negative effects caused by unknown external disturbances.The recursive feasibility of the optimization process,together with the input-to-state stability of the proposed RMPC,is theoretically guaranteed by introducing a tightened control constraint and terminal region.The derived property reveals that our proposal can steer the tracking error within a small region of convergence.Finally,the effectiveness of the proposed scheme is demonstrated by performing simulation studies.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.52202494,52202495)Chongqing Special Project for Technological Innovation and Application Development(Grant No.CSTB2022TIAD-DEX0014).
文摘The current research of master cylinder pressure estimation mainly relies on hydraulic characteristic or vehicle dynamics.But they are not independently applicable to any environment and have their own scope of application.In addition,about the master cylinder pressure control,there are few studies that can simultaneously balance pressure building accuracy,speed,and prevent pressure overshoot and jitter.In this paper,an adaptative fusion method based on electro-hydraulic characteristic and vehicle mode is proposed to estimate the master cylinder pressure.The fusion strategy is mainly based on the prediction performance of two algorithms under different vehicle speeds,pressures,and ABS states.Apart from this,this article also includes real-time prediction of the friction model based on RLS to improve the accuracy of the electro-hydraulic mode.In order to simultaneously balance pressure control accuracy,response speed,and prevent overshoot and jitter,this article proposes an adaptative LQR controller for MC pressure control which uses fuzzy-logic controller to adjust the weights of LQR controller based on target pressure and difference compared with actual pressure.Through mode-in-loop and hardware-in-loop tests in ramp,step and sinusoidal response,the whole estimation and control system is verified based on real hydraulic system and the performance is satisfactory under these scenes.This research proposes an adaptative pressure estimation and control architecture for integrated electro-hydraulic brake system which could eliminate pressure sensors in typical scenarios and ensure the comprehensive performance of pressure control.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(60811120024)Aeronautical Scienceand Technology Innovation Foundation of China(08C52001)~~
文摘Based on the linear parameter-varying （LPV） adaptive observer, the robust fault diagnosis for a class of LPV systems with external disturbances is studied. Since the flight control system （FCS） is nonlinear and time-varying, the LPV technique is used for FCS. And then the adaptive fault estimation algorithm based on the LPV adaptive observer is proposed to estimate the fault. To minimize the effect of disturbances on the fault estimation, the H~ robust performance index is introduced to design the LPV adaptive fault diagnosis observer and the fault estimation algorithm. The result shows that the method has good estimation performance and is robust to external disturbances. The design method is presented in terms of linear matrix inequalities （LMIs）. Finally, a helicopter LPV FCS model with the actuator fault is used to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.
基金Project(2012(PS-2012-090))supported by the Pukyong National University Research Abroad Fund,Korea
文摘This work proposes a new strategy to improve the rotor position estimation of a permanent magnet synchronous motor(PMSM) over wide speed range. Rotor position estimation of a PMSM is performed by using sliding mode observer(SMO). An adaptive observer gain was designed based on Lyapunov function and applied to solve the chattering problem caused by the discontinuous function of the SMO in the wide speed range. The cascade low-pass filter(LPF) with variable cut-off frequency was proposed to reduce the chattering problem and to attenuate the filtering capability of the SMO. In addition, the phase shift caused by the filter was counterbalanced by applying the variable phase delay compensation for the whole speed area. High accuracy estimation result of the rotor position was obtained in the experiment by applying the proposed estimation strategy.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (60574083)
文摘Active fault-tolerant control is investigated for a class of uncertain SISO nonlinear flight control systems based on the adaptive observer, feedback linearization and backstepping theory.Firstly an adaptive observer is constructed to estimate the fault in the faulty system.A new fault updating law is presented to simplify the assumption conditions of the adaptive observer.The asymptotical stability of the observer and the uniform ultimate boundedness of the fault estimation error are guaranteed by Lyapunov theorem.Then a backstepping-based active fault-tolerant controller is designed for the faulty system.The asymptotical stability of the closed-loop system and uniform ultimate boundedness of the tracking error are proved based on Lyapunov theorem.The effectiveness of the proposed scheme is demonstrated through the numerical simulation of a flight control system.
基金supported in part by the National Science Fund for Excellent Young Scholars of China (62222317)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (61973319)+4 种基金the Funds for International Cooperation and Exchange of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (61860206014)111 Project of China (B17048)Science and Technology Innovation Program of Hunan Province (2022WZ1001)the Natural Science Foundation of Changsha (kq2208287)the Postdoctoral Fund of Central South University (22022136)。
文摘This article proposes an integral-based event-triggered attack-resilient control method for the aircraft-on-ground(AoG) synergistic turning system with uncertain tire cornering stiffness under stochastic deception attacks. First, a novel AoG synergistic turning model is established with synergistic reverse steering of the front and main wheels to decrease the steering angle of the AoG fuselage, thus reducing the steady-state error when it follows a path with some large curvature. Considering that the tire cornering stiffness of the front and main wheels vary during steering, a dynamical observer is designed to adaptively identify them and estimate the system state at the same time.Then, an integral-based event-triggered mechanism(I-ETM) is synthesized to reduce the transmission frequency at the observerto-controller end, where stochastic deception attacks may occur at any time with a stochastic probability. Moreover, an attackresilient controller is designed to guarantee that the closed-loop system is robust L2-stable under stochastic attacks and external disturbances. A co-design method is provided to get feasible solutions for the observer, controller, and I-ETM simultaneously. An optimization program is further presented to make a tradeoff between the robustness of the control scheme and the saving of communication resources. Finally, the low-and high-probability stochastic deception attacks are considered in the simulations. The results have illustrated that the AoG synergistic turning system with the proposed control method follows a path with some large curvature well under stochastic deception attacks. Furthermore,compared with the static event-triggered mechanisms, the proposed I-ETM has demonstrated its superiority in saving communication resources.
基金supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.60874091 and 61104103)the Natural Science Fund for Colleges and Universities in Jiangsu Province,China (Grant No.10KJB120001)the Climbing Program of Nanjing University of Posts & Telecommunications,China (Grant Nos.NY210013 and NY210014)
文摘A problem of topology identification for complex dynamical networks is investigated in this paper. An adaptive observer is proposed to identify the topology of a complex dynamical networks based on the Lyapunov stability theory. Here the output of the network and the states of the observer are used to construct the updating law of the topology such that the communication resources from the network to its observer are saved. Some convergent criteria of the adaptive observer are derived in the form of linear inequality matrices. Several numerical examples are shown to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed observer.
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.51609120)the Qingdao Applied Basic Research Project(Grant No.14-2-4-116-jch)
文摘Modified adaptive observer based backstepping control system for dynamic positioning of ship is proposed. As an improvement, the adaptive observer takes the first-order wave frequency model and the bias term which represent the slowly varying environmental disturbances and the unmodeled dynamics. Thus, the wave-frequency motions are filtered out, and only the reconstructed low-frequency motions are sent as inputs of the controller. Furthermore, as the ship dynamics parameters are unknown, the adaptive estimation law is designed for both the unknown ship dynamics and the unmeasured state variables. Based on the estimated states and parameters, backstepping controller considering the integral action is designed. Global exponential stability （GES） for the total system is proved using Lyapunov direct method. Simulation results show a good performance of the observer and control system.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(90510010).
文摘A novel H∞ tracking-based decentralized indirect adaptive output feedback fuzzy controller for a class of uncertain large-scale nonlinear systems is developed. By virtue of the proper filtering of the observation error dynamics, the observer-based decentralized indirect adaptive fuzzy control scheme is presented for a class of large-scale nonlinear systems using the combination of H∞ tracking technique, a fuzzy adaptive observer and fuzzy inference systems. The output feedback and adaptation mechanisms are both robust and implementable indeed owing to their freedom from the unavailable observation error vector. All the signals of the closed-loop largescale system are guaranteed to stay uniformly bounded and the output errors take on H∞ tracking performance. Simulation results substantiate the effectiveness of the proposed scheme.
文摘In this paper, chaos synchronization in the presence of parameter uncertainty, observer gain perturbation and exogenous input disturbance is considered. A nonlinear non-fragile proportional-integral （PI） adaptive observer is designed for the synchronization of chaotic systems; its stability conditions based on the Lyapunov technique are derived. The observer proportional and integral gains, by converting the conditions into linear matrix inequality （LMI）, are optimally selected from solutions that satisfy the observer stability conditions such that the effect of disturbance on the synchronization error becomes minimized. To show the effectiveness of the proposed method, simulation results for the synchronization of a Lorenz chaotic system with unknown parameters in the presence of an exogenous input disturbance and abrupt gain perturbation are reported.
文摘This work deals with the development of a decentralized optimal control algorithm, along with a robust observer,for the relative motion control of spacecraft in leader-follower based formation. An adaptive gain higher order sliding mode observer has been proposed to estimate the velocity as well as unmeasured disturbances from the noisy position measurements.A differentiator structure containing the Lipschitz constant and Lebesgue measurable control input, is utilized for obtaining the estimates. Adaptive tuning algorithms are derived based on Lyapunov stability theory, for updating the observer gains,which will give enough flexibility in the choice of initial estimates.Moreover, it may help to cope with unexpected state jerks. The trajectory tracking problem is formulated as a finite horizon optimal control problem, which is solved online. The control constraints are incorporated by using a nonquadratic performance functional. An adaptive update law has been derived for tuning the step size in the optimization algorithm, which may help to improve the convergence speed. Moreover, it is an attractive alternative to the heuristic choice of step size for diverse operating conditions. The disturbance as well as state estimates from the higher order sliding mode observer are utilized by the plant output prediction model, which will improve the overall performance of the controller. The nonlinear dynamics defined in leader fixed Euler-Hill frame has been considered for the present work and the reference trajectories are generated using Hill-Clohessy-Wiltshire equations of unperturbed motion. The simulation results based on rigorous perturbation analysis are presented to confirm the robustness of the proposed approach.
