Calcined ginger nuts admixed by fly ash and quartz sand(CGN-(F+S))has been validated to be basically compatible to earthen sites as an anchor grout.Accelerated ageing tests including water stability test,temperature a...Calcined ginger nuts admixed by fly ash and quartz sand(CGN-(F+S))has been validated to be basically compatible to earthen sites as an anchor grout.Accelerated ageing tests including water stability test,temperature and humidity cycling test,soundness test and alkali resistance test are conducted with the objective to further research the property changes of CGN-(F+S)grout.Density,surface hardness,water penetration capacity,water permeability capacity,soluble salt,scanning electron microscopy(SEM)images and energy dispersive spectrometry(EDS)spectrum of these samples have been tested after accelerated ageing tests.The results show that densities of samples decrease,surface hardness,water penetration capacity and water permeability capacity of samples increase generally.Besides,soluble salt analysis,SEM and EDS results well corroborate the changes.Based on the results it can be concluded that property changes are most serious after temperature and humidity cycling test,followed by water stability,soundness and alkali resistance test in sequence.But in general,CGN-(F+S)still has good durability.展开更多
The safety and reliability of space connection and separation device has become a key issue due to the increasing service span of deep space exploration mission.The long-term preload relaxation(a key failure mode)of c...The safety and reliability of space connection and separation device has become a key issue due to the increasing service span of deep space exploration mission.The long-term preload relaxation(a key failure mode)of connection and separation devices is focused in this paper.A series of tests have been designed and implemented to investigate the preload relaxation regulation and a comprehensive method has been constructed to analyze and predict the reliable lifetime of the device.The two-stage preload relaxation law of the device is found and reasonably considered.Due to the different relaxation mechanism,the first-stage preload relaxation is assessed based on the working-condition test results,and the second-stage preload relaxation is characterized by accelerated test results.Finally,the service reliability and reliable life are evaluated.The experiment and assessment results demonstrate the reasonability and effectiveness of the proposed method which can achieve long-service reliability analysis for space connection and separation device within limited time.展开更多
Q345B carbon steel as well as Q450NQR1 and S500AW weathering steels were subjected to outdoor exposure corrosion tests in coal environments and indoor periodic immersion accelerated corrosion tests with a simulated co...Q345B carbon steel as well as Q450NQR1 and S500AW weathering steels were subjected to outdoor exposure corrosion tests in coal environments and indoor periodic immersion accelerated corrosion tests with a simulated coal leaching solution.The corrosion kinetics were studied by the weight loss method,and the corrosion morphology and corrosion product composition were observed and analyzed by scanning electron microscopy,energy-dispersive spectroscopy and X-ray diffraction.Afterward,correlation analysis of the indoor and outdoor tests was carried out by the gray correlation analysis method.The results show that the relationship between the corrosion weight loss and corrosion time of the three steels conforms to follow the exponent power law.In particular,Q450NQR1 steel has the best corrosion resistance.The types of corrosion products and the distribution of elements in the rust layer of the three steels are similar in the indoor and outdoor tests.The gray correlation degrees of the three steels in the indoor and outdoor tests are all greater than 0.6;thus,the two corrosion tests have a good correlation.Based on this,the accelerated simulation test method of the coal leaching solution is determined,and life prediction models of three steels in coal leaching solution are established to simulate the corrosion of the bottom board and side board.展开更多
Introduction:Rotatory chair testing has been used to evaluate horizontal canal function.Frequently used tests include sinusoidal harmonic acceleration test(SHAT)and velocity step test(VST).Objectives:Assessment of age...Introduction:Rotatory chair testing has been used to evaluate horizontal canal function.Frequently used tests include sinusoidal harmonic acceleration test(SHAT)and velocity step test(VST).Objectives:Assessment of age effect on the SHAT and VST and assessment of test-retest reliability of the parameters of those two tests.Methods:A prospective study was performed on 100 subjects with no ear or vestibular complaints and normal vestibular evaluation.They were divided into two groups;Group A:below 50 years of age and Group B:50 years of age or above.SHAT was presented at frequencies 0.02,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.32,0.64 Hz with a peak velocity of 60°/s.VST was performed using a maximum velocity of 100°/s with acceleration and deceleration of 200°/s2.Thirty subjects were tested twice to assess reliability.Results:Study participants ranged in age from 20 to 67 years.Regarding group A,the mean age was30.92±7.31 and 55.36±4.61 for group B.No significant differences were found in SHAT parameters between the two groups.As well,there was no significant difference in VST per-rotatory time constant,however,post-rotatory time constant was significantly longer for Group B(P value<0.05).Intraclass correlation coefficient(ICC)values showed moderate to good reliability(ICC 0.5800.818)for SHAT parameters for the lower frequencies and indicated moderate reliability for VST time constant(ICC 0.5090.652).Conclusions:Age has no significant effect on the parameters of SHAT and VST.Test-retest reliability is generally good for both tests.展开更多
Double-crossed-step-stress(DCSS) accelerated life test(ALT) method is widely used for estimating the lifetime of products with high reliability and long lifetime. In order to further reduce the test time and test cost...Double-crossed-step-stress(DCSS) accelerated life test(ALT) method is widely used for estimating the lifetime of products with high reliability and long lifetime. In order to further reduce the test time and test cost, a double-synchronous-step-stress(DSSS) ALT method which combines a double-synchronous-step-downstress(DSSDS) ALT method and a double-synchronous-step-up-stress(DSSUS) ALT method is proposed. The accelerated stresses decrease and increase in a synchronous way with one step in the DSSDS-ALT and DSSUSALT methods, respectively. Monte Carlo method is adopted to simulate the two methods, and the validity and efficiency of them are demonstrated by the simulation results. In addition, a comparison analysis of efficiency between DSSDS-ALT method and DSSUS-ALT method is carried out. The result shows that the DSSDS-ALT method compared with the DSSUS-ALT method can significantly improve the test efficiency under the same test condition.展开更多
A kind of novel on-board memory acceleration measure equipment, self-developed, had been employed in recent field test to obtain the acceleration of projectile penetrating many kinds of concrete target. At the same ti...A kind of novel on-board memory acceleration measure equipment, self-developed, had been employed in recent field test to obtain the acceleration of projectile penetrating many kinds of concrete target. At the same time, the aluminintan foam with different density and pore-diameters had been utilized to protect circuit moduies. Furthennore, with the theoretical analysis, computer simulation and field test, the high frequency＇s impact on the tested acceleration of the projectile had been discussed; At last, the analysis on output signal tested the validity of test data.展开更多
Accelerated life testing has been widely used in product life testing experiments because it can quickly provide information on the lifetime distributions by testing products or materials at higher than basic conditio...Accelerated life testing has been widely used in product life testing experiments because it can quickly provide information on the lifetime distributions by testing products or materials at higher than basic conditional levels of stress,such as pressure,temperature,vibration,voltage,or load to induce early failures.In this paper,a step stress partially accelerated life test(SSPALT)is regarded under the progressive type-II censored data with random removals.The removals from the test are considered to have the binomial distribution.The life times of the testing items are assumed to follow lengthbiased weighted Lomax distribution.The maximum likelihood method is used for estimating the model parameters of length-biased weighted Lomax.The asymptotic confidence interval estimates of the model parameters are evaluated using the Fisher information matrix.The Bayesian estimators cannot be obtained in the explicit form,so the Markov chain Monte Carlo method is employed to address this problem,which ensures both obtaining the Bayesian estimates as well as constructing the credible interval of the involved parameters.The precision of the Bayesian estimates and the maximum likelihood estimates are compared by simulations.In addition,to compare the performance of the considered confidence intervals for different parameter values and sample sizes.The Bootstrap confidence intervals give more accurate results than the approximate confidence intervals since the lengths of the former are less than the lengths of latter,for different sample sizes,observed failures,and censoring schemes,in most cases.Also,the percentile Bootstrap confidence intervals give more accurate results than Bootstrap-t since the lengths of the former are less than the lengths of latter for different sample sizes,observed failures,and censoring schemes,in most cases.Further performance comparison is conducted by the experiments with real data.展开更多
A novel adaptive multiple dependent state sampling plan(AMDSSP)was designed to inspect products from a continuous manufacturing process under the accelerated life test(ALT)using both double sampling plan(DSP)and multi...A novel adaptive multiple dependent state sampling plan(AMDSSP)was designed to inspect products from a continuous manufacturing process under the accelerated life test(ALT)using both double sampling plan(DSP)and multiple dependent state sampling plan(MDSSP)concepts.Under accelerated conditions,the lifetime of a product follows the Weibull distribution with a known shape parameter,while the scale parameter can be determined using the acceleration factor(AF).The Arrhenius model is used to estimate AF when the damaging process is temperature-sensitive.An economic design of the proposed sampling plan was also considered for the ALT.A genetic algorithm with nonlinear optimization was used to estimate optimal plan parameters to minimize the average sample number(ASN)and total cost of inspection(TC)under both producer’s and consumer’s risks.Numerical results are presented to support the AMDSSP for the ALT,while performance comparisons between the AMDSSP,the MDSSP and a single sampling plan(SSP)for the ALT are discussed.Results indicated that the AMDSSP was more flexible and efficient for ASN and TC than the MDSSP and SSP plans under accelerated conditions.The AMDSSP also had a higher operating characteristic(OC)curve than both the existing sampling plans.Two real datasets of electronic devices for the ALT at high temperatures demonstrated the practicality and usefulness of the proposed sampling plan.展开更多
Accelerated life testing(ALT)has been widely used to obtain information about the product's life characteristics at normal conditions in a relatively short period of time.Two key issues with ALT are test design an...Accelerated life testing(ALT)has been widely used to obtain information about the product's life characteristics at normal conditions in a relatively short period of time.Two key issues with ALT are test design and data analysis.The test design of constant stress ALT was studied in this paper.The test design usually combines engineering experiences with optimization models.Such approaches are hard to be implemented by practitioners.A"pure"empirical approach was presented to address this issue.With the proposed approach,some of the decision variables are determined based on the results from the literature,some of the other variables are determined based on engineering analysis and /or judgment,and the remaining variables are determined based on the empirical relations developed in this paper.A real-world example is included to illustrate the appropriateness of the proposed approach.展开更多
Accelerated destructive degradation tests(ADDTs)are powerful to provide reliability information in the degradation processes with destructive measurements.In order to carry out an ADDT efficiently,both the estimation ...Accelerated destructive degradation tests(ADDTs)are powerful to provide reliability information in the degradation processes with destructive measurements.In order to carry out an ADDT efficiently,both the estimation precision of parameters and the test cost should be considered.On the basis of the given degradation model and failure criterion,a multiple-objective optimization model for the design of ADDTs is proposed.Under constrains of the maximum measurement time,the total sample size and the number of stress levels,a comprehensive target function is suggested to reflect both the precision of lifetime estimation and total cost,and the optimal test plan is obtained,which is composed by optimal choices for samples size,measurement frequency,and the number of measurements at each stress level.A real example is illustrated to demonstrate the implementation of the proposed approach.展开更多
To estimate the life of vacuum fluorescent display （VFD） more accurately and reduce test time and cost, four constant stress accelerated life tests （CSALTs） were conducted on an accelerated life test model. In the...To estimate the life of vacuum fluorescent display （VFD） more accurately and reduce test time and cost, four constant stress accelerated life tests （CSALTs） were conducted on an accelerated life test model. In the model, statistical analysis of test data is achieved by applying lognormal function to describe the life distribution, and least square method （LSM） to calculate the mean value and the standard deviation of logarithm. As a result, the accelerated life equation was obtained, and then a self-developed software was developed to predict the VFD life. The data analysis results demonstrate that the VFD life submits to lognormal distribution, that the accelerated model meets the linear Arrhenius equation, and that the precise accelerated parameter makes it possible to acquire the life information of VFD within one month.展开更多
Through the failure mechanism analysi s and simulation test of a certain kind of detonator,this paper confirms the str ess level of the stepping stress acceleration life test of the detonator,and t hen e stablishes th...Through the failure mechanism analysi s and simulation test of a certain kind of detonator,this paper confirms the str ess level of the stepping stress acceleration life test of the detonator,and t hen e stablishes the data processing mathematical model and storage life forecasting m ethod.At last,according to the result of the stepping stress acceleration lif e test of the detonator,this paper forecasts the reliable storage life of the detonator under the normal stress level.展开更多
In order to obtain the life information of the vacuum fluorescent display （VFD） in a short time, a model of constant stress accelerated life tests （CSALT） is established with its filament temperature increased, an...In order to obtain the life information of the vacuum fluorescent display （VFD） in a short time, a model of constant stress accelerated life tests （CSALT） is established with its filament temperature increased, and four constant stress tests are conducted. The Weibull function is applied to describe the life distribution of the VFD, and the maximum likelihood estimation （MLE） and its iterative flow chart are used to calculate the shape parameters and the scale parameters. Furthermore, the accelerated life equation is determined by the least square method, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test is performed to verify whether the VFD life meets the Weibull distribution or not, and selfdeveloped software is employed to predict the average life and the reliable life. Statistical data analysis results demonstrate that the test plans are feasible and versatile, that the VFD life follows the Weibull distribution, and that the VFD accelerated model satisfies the linear Arrhenius equation. The proposed method and the estimated life information of the VFD can provide some significant guideline to its manufacturers and customers.展开更多
Aim To study the most stable pH value of endomorphin-1 solution and toestimate the shelf-life of EM-1 solution. Methods The content of EM-1 in its solution was determinedby HPLC, and stability was studied by accelerat...Aim To study the most stable pH value of endomorphin-1 solution and toestimate the shelf-life of EM-1 solution. Methods The content of EM-1 in its solution was determinedby HPLC, and stability was studied by accelerated tests. Results The most stable pH value of EM-1solution was observed. By the accelerated tests we obtained the Arrhe-nius relationship and thepharmacokinetic parameters. Conclusion The most stable pH value of EM-1 solution is 4.5 -4.8. Thet_(1/2)(25℃) is 45 d.展开更多
In this paper, we obtain the optimum plan by discussing a constant-stress accelerated life test (ALT) satisfying the condition (3.3) at k stresses under an exponential distribution.
In order to achieve quick and accurate lifetime prediction of LED lighting products under the testing time of 2 000 h, a method of online testing of luminous flux is proposed under the condition of temperature stress....In order to achieve quick and accurate lifetime prediction of LED lighting products under the testing time of 2 000 h, a method of online testing of luminous flux is proposed under the condition of temperature stress.Exponential fitting of lumen maintenance, the Bayesian estimation of failure probability, the Weibull distribution of lifetime and the Arrhenius model of the decay rate are used in combination to acquire the distribution of failure probability over time at the ambient temperatures of 25 ℃. The lifetime test of the same lamps based on the Energy Star standard under the testing time of 6 000 h is also implemented to verify the effectiveness of the method. The errors of lifetimes acquired with the proposed method are 7%, 4%, 3% and 1% at the failure probabilities of 62. 3%, 10%, 5% and 1%,respectively.展开更多
Since the beginning of the 20th century, many researches on the sealing characteristic of mechanical seals were carried out broadly and in depth by various methods and some leakage models were built. But due to the la...Since the beginning of the 20th century, many researches on the sealing characteristic of mechanical seals were carried out broadly and in depth by various methods and some leakage models were built. But due to the lack of the way to characterize the main factors of influence on the leakage, most of the early researches were based on the assumptions that the seal faces topography and the frictional conditions were invariant. In the early built models, the effect of the surface topography change of the seal face on the leakage rate was neglected. Based on the fractal theory, the contact of end faces of the rotary and stationary rings was simplified to be the contact of a rough surface and an ideal rigid smooth surface, and the contact interface＇s cavity size-distribution function as well as the fractal characteristic of the cavity profile curve was discussed. By analyzing the influence of abrasion on the seal face topography and the leakage channel, the time-correlation leakage prediction model of mechanical seals based on the fractal theory was established and the method for predicting the leakage rate of mechanical seals with parallel plane was proposed. The values of the leakage rate predicted theoretically are similar to the measured values of the leakage rate in the model test and in situ test. The experimental results indicate that the leakage rate of mechanical seals is a transient value. The surface topography of the end faces of the seal tings and its change during the frictional wear of mechanical seals can be accurately characterized by the fractal parameters. Under the work conditions of changeless frictional mechanism, the fractal parameters measured or calculated based on the accelerated testing equation can be used to predict the leakage rate of mechanical seal in service. The proposed research provides the basis for determining the leakage state and predicting working life of mechanical seal.展开更多
As few or no failures occur during accelerated life test,it is difficult to assess reliability for long-life products with traditional life tests.Reliability assessment using degradation data of product performance ov...As few or no failures occur during accelerated life test,it is difficult to assess reliability for long-life products with traditional life tests.Reliability assessment using degradation data of product performance over time becomes a significant approach.Aerospace electrical connector is researched in this paper.Through the analysis of failure mechanism,the performance degradation law is obtained and the statistical model for degradation failure is set up; according to the research on statistical analysis methods for degradation data,accelerated life test theory and method for aerospace electrical connector based on performance degradation is proposed by improving time series analysis method,and the storage reliability is assessed for Y11X series of aerospace electrical connector with degradation data from accelerated degradation test.The result obtained is basically consistent with that obtained from accelerated life test based on failure data,and the two estimates of product＇s characteristic life only have a difference of 8.7%,but the test time shortens about a half.As a result,a systemic approach is proposed for reliability assessment of highly reliable and long-life aerospace product.展开更多
In order to get a rapid assessment on the storage reliability of high-reliable and long-life products within the storage period, accelerated degradation test data with a large amount of reliability information of prod...In order to get a rapid assessment on the storage reliability of high-reliable and long-life products within the storage period, accelerated degradation test data with a large amount of reliability information of product is adopted. Conducting a constant-stress accelerated degradation test（CSADT） is generally very costly as it requires a large sample size and long time for test. To overcome this problem, it is necessary to carry out research on modeling and statistical analysis methods of step-stress accelerated degradation test （SSADT）. Taking electrical connectors as the object, a research is conducted on statistical model and assessment method for SSADT. On the basis of mixed-effect degradation path model, the statistical model of SSADT for electrical connectors is presented, the maximum likelihood method for SSADT data based on mixed-effect degradation model is proposed. SSADT accelerated by temperature stress is conducted to Y11X-1419 type of electrical connectors, and the storage reliability is assessed with the SSADT data. Compared with the result obtained from accelerated life test, the reliability estimation of 32-year storage period for electrical connectors obtained from S SADT data only have a difference of 0.869%, which validates the accuracy of the degradation model and the feasibility of the test data statistic analysis method put forward.展开更多
Data obtained from accelerated life testing(ALT)when there are two or more failure modes,which is commonly referred to as competing failure modes,are often incomplete.The incompleteness is mainly due to censoring,as w...Data obtained from accelerated life testing(ALT)when there are two or more failure modes,which is commonly referred to as competing failure modes,are often incomplete.The incompleteness is mainly due to censoring,as well as masking which might be the case that the failure time is observed,but its corresponding failure mode is not identified.Because the identification of the failure mode may be expensive,or very difficult to investigate due to lack of appropriate diagnostics.A method is proposed for analyzing incomplete data of constant stress ALT with competing failure modes.It is assumed that failure modes have s-independent latent lifetimes and the log lifetime of each failure mode can be written as a linear function of stress.The parameters of the model are estimated by using the expectation maximum(EM)algorithm with incomplete data.Simulation studies are performed to check'model validity and investigate the properties of estimates.For further validation,the method is also illustrated by an example,which shows the process of analyze incomplete data from ALT of some insulation system.Because of considering the incompleteness of data in modeling and making use of the EM algorithm in estimating,the method becomes more flexible in ALT analysis.展开更多
基金Project(51578272)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘Calcined ginger nuts admixed by fly ash and quartz sand(CGN-(F+S))has been validated to be basically compatible to earthen sites as an anchor grout.Accelerated ageing tests including water stability test,temperature and humidity cycling test,soundness test and alkali resistance test are conducted with the objective to further research the property changes of CGN-(F+S)grout.Density,surface hardness,water penetration capacity,water permeability capacity,soluble salt,scanning electron microscopy(SEM)images and energy dispersive spectrometry(EDS)spectrum of these samples have been tested after accelerated ageing tests.The results show that densities of samples decrease,surface hardness,water penetration capacity and water permeability capacity of samples increase generally.Besides,soluble salt analysis,SEM and EDS results well corroborate the changes.Based on the results it can be concluded that property changes are most serious after temperature and humidity cycling test,followed by water stability,soundness and alkali resistance test in sequence.But in general,CGN-(F+S)still has good durability.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.11872085)。
文摘The safety and reliability of space connection and separation device has become a key issue due to the increasing service span of deep space exploration mission.The long-term preload relaxation(a key failure mode)of connection and separation devices is focused in this paper.A series of tests have been designed and implemented to investigate the preload relaxation regulation and a comprehensive method has been constructed to analyze and predict the reliable lifetime of the device.The two-stage preload relaxation law of the device is found and reasonably considered.Due to the different relaxation mechanism,the first-stage preload relaxation is assessed based on the working-condition test results,and the second-stage preload relaxation is characterized by accelerated test results.Finally,the service reliability and reliable life are evaluated.The experiment and assessment results demonstrate the reasonability and effectiveness of the proposed method which can achieve long-service reliability analysis for space connection and separation device within limited time.
基金supported by the National Key ResearchandDevelopmentProgram.of China.(Grant,No.2017YFB0304602)the Open Foundation of the State Key Laboratory of Metal Materials forMarine Equipment and Application(No.SKLMEA-K201908).
文摘Q345B carbon steel as well as Q450NQR1 and S500AW weathering steels were subjected to outdoor exposure corrosion tests in coal environments and indoor periodic immersion accelerated corrosion tests with a simulated coal leaching solution.The corrosion kinetics were studied by the weight loss method,and the corrosion morphology and corrosion product composition were observed and analyzed by scanning electron microscopy,energy-dispersive spectroscopy and X-ray diffraction.Afterward,correlation analysis of the indoor and outdoor tests was carried out by the gray correlation analysis method.The results show that the relationship between the corrosion weight loss and corrosion time of the three steels conforms to follow the exponent power law.In particular,Q450NQR1 steel has the best corrosion resistance.The types of corrosion products and the distribution of elements in the rust layer of the three steels are similar in the indoor and outdoor tests.The gray correlation degrees of the three steels in the indoor and outdoor tests are all greater than 0.6;thus,the two corrosion tests have a good correlation.Based on this,the accelerated simulation test method of the coal leaching solution is determined,and life prediction models of three steels in coal leaching solution are established to simulate the corrosion of the bottom board and side board.
文摘Introduction:Rotatory chair testing has been used to evaluate horizontal canal function.Frequently used tests include sinusoidal harmonic acceleration test(SHAT)and velocity step test(VST).Objectives:Assessment of age effect on the SHAT and VST and assessment of test-retest reliability of the parameters of those two tests.Methods:A prospective study was performed on 100 subjects with no ear or vestibular complaints and normal vestibular evaluation.They were divided into two groups;Group A:below 50 years of age and Group B:50 years of age or above.SHAT was presented at frequencies 0.02,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.32,0.64 Hz with a peak velocity of 60°/s.VST was performed using a maximum velocity of 100°/s with acceleration and deceleration of 200°/s2.Thirty subjects were tested twice to assess reliability.Results:Study participants ranged in age from 20 to 67 years.Regarding group A,the mean age was30.92±7.31 and 55.36±4.61 for group B.No significant differences were found in SHAT parameters between the two groups.As well,there was no significant difference in VST per-rotatory time constant,however,post-rotatory time constant was significantly longer for Group B(P value<0.05).Intraclass correlation coefficient(ICC)values showed moderate to good reliability(ICC 0.5800.818)for SHAT parameters for the lower frequencies and indicated moderate reliability for VST time constant(ICC 0.5090.652).Conclusions:Age has no significant effect on the parameters of SHAT and VST.Test-retest reliability is generally good for both tests.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.51265025 and 51665029)
文摘Double-crossed-step-stress(DCSS) accelerated life test(ALT) method is widely used for estimating the lifetime of products with high reliability and long lifetime. In order to further reduce the test time and test cost, a double-synchronous-step-stress(DSSS) ALT method which combines a double-synchronous-step-downstress(DSSDS) ALT method and a double-synchronous-step-up-stress(DSSUS) ALT method is proposed. The accelerated stresses decrease and increase in a synchronous way with one step in the DSSDS-ALT and DSSUSALT methods, respectively. Monte Carlo method is adopted to simulate the two methods, and the validity and efficiency of them are demonstrated by the simulation results. In addition, a comparison analysis of efficiency between DSSDS-ALT method and DSSUS-ALT method is carried out. The result shows that the DSSDS-ALT method compared with the DSSUS-ALT method can significantly improve the test efficiency under the same test condition.
基金supported by the high school science technology R&D programmein Shanxi province
文摘A kind of novel on-board memory acceleration measure equipment, self-developed, had been employed in recent field test to obtain the acceleration of projectile penetrating many kinds of concrete target. At the same time, the aluminintan foam with different density and pore-diameters had been utilized to protect circuit moduies. Furthennore, with the theoretical analysis, computer simulation and field test, the high frequency＇s impact on the tested acceleration of the projectile had been discussed; At last, the analysis on output signal tested the validity of test data.
基金This work was funded by the Deanship of Scientific Research(DSR),King Abdulaziz University,Jeddah,under Grant No.FP-190-42.
文摘Accelerated life testing has been widely used in product life testing experiments because it can quickly provide information on the lifetime distributions by testing products or materials at higher than basic conditional levels of stress,such as pressure,temperature,vibration,voltage,or load to induce early failures.In this paper,a step stress partially accelerated life test(SSPALT)is regarded under the progressive type-II censored data with random removals.The removals from the test are considered to have the binomial distribution.The life times of the testing items are assumed to follow lengthbiased weighted Lomax distribution.The maximum likelihood method is used for estimating the model parameters of length-biased weighted Lomax.The asymptotic confidence interval estimates of the model parameters are evaluated using the Fisher information matrix.The Bayesian estimators cannot be obtained in the explicit form,so the Markov chain Monte Carlo method is employed to address this problem,which ensures both obtaining the Bayesian estimates as well as constructing the credible interval of the involved parameters.The precision of the Bayesian estimates and the maximum likelihood estimates are compared by simulations.In addition,to compare the performance of the considered confidence intervals for different parameter values and sample sizes.The Bootstrap confidence intervals give more accurate results than the approximate confidence intervals since the lengths of the former are less than the lengths of latter,for different sample sizes,observed failures,and censoring schemes,in most cases.Also,the percentile Bootstrap confidence intervals give more accurate results than Bootstrap-t since the lengths of the former are less than the lengths of latter for different sample sizes,observed failures,and censoring schemes,in most cases.Further performance comparison is conducted by the experiments with real data.
基金This research was supported by The Science,Research and Innovation Promotion Funding(TSRI)(Grant No.FRB650070/0168)This research block grants was managed under Rajamangala University of Technology Thanyaburi(FRB65E0634M.3).
文摘A novel adaptive multiple dependent state sampling plan(AMDSSP)was designed to inspect products from a continuous manufacturing process under the accelerated life test(ALT)using both double sampling plan(DSP)and multiple dependent state sampling plan(MDSSP)concepts.Under accelerated conditions,the lifetime of a product follows the Weibull distribution with a known shape parameter,while the scale parameter can be determined using the acceleration factor(AF).The Arrhenius model is used to estimate AF when the damaging process is temperature-sensitive.An economic design of the proposed sampling plan was also considered for the ALT.A genetic algorithm with nonlinear optimization was used to estimate optimal plan parameters to minimize the average sample number(ASN)and total cost of inspection(TC)under both producer’s and consumer’s risks.Numerical results are presented to support the AMDSSP for the ALT,while performance comparisons between the AMDSSP,the MDSSP and a single sampling plan(SSP)for the ALT are discussed.Results indicated that the AMDSSP was more flexible and efficient for ASN and TC than the MDSSP and SSP plans under accelerated conditions.The AMDSSP also had a higher operating characteristic(OC)curve than both the existing sampling plans.Two real datasets of electronic devices for the ALT at high temperatures demonstrated the practicality and usefulness of the proposed sampling plan.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.71371035)
文摘Accelerated life testing(ALT)has been widely used to obtain information about the product's life characteristics at normal conditions in a relatively short period of time.Two key issues with ALT are test design and data analysis.The test design of constant stress ALT was studied in this paper.The test design usually combines engineering experiences with optimization models.Such approaches are hard to be implemented by practitioners.A"pure"empirical approach was presented to address this issue.With the proposed approach,some of the decision variables are determined based on the results from the literature,some of the other variables are determined based on engineering analysis and /or judgment,and the remaining variables are determined based on the empirical relations developed in this paper.A real-world example is included to illustrate the appropriateness of the proposed approach.
文摘Accelerated destructive degradation tests(ADDTs)are powerful to provide reliability information in the degradation processes with destructive measurements.In order to carry out an ADDT efficiently,both the estimation precision of parameters and the test cost should be considered.On the basis of the given degradation model and failure criterion,a multiple-objective optimization model for the design of ADDTs is proposed.Under constrains of the maximum measurement time,the total sample size and the number of stress levels,a comprehensive target function is suggested to reflect both the precision of lifetime estimation and total cost,and the optimal test plan is obtained,which is composed by optimal choices for samples size,measurement frequency,and the number of measurements at each stress level.A real example is illustrated to demonstrate the implementation of the proposed approach.
基金Shanghai Municipal Natural Science Foun-dation (NO.09ZR1413000)Undergraduate Education High-land Construction Project of ShanghaiKey Technology R&D Program of Shanghai Municipality (No.08160510600)
文摘To estimate the life of vacuum fluorescent display （VFD） more accurately and reduce test time and cost, four constant stress accelerated life tests （CSALTs） were conducted on an accelerated life test model. In the model, statistical analysis of test data is achieved by applying lognormal function to describe the life distribution, and least square method （LSM） to calculate the mean value and the standard deviation of logarithm. As a result, the accelerated life equation was obtained, and then a self-developed software was developed to predict the VFD life. The data analysis results demonstrate that the VFD life submits to lognormal distribution, that the accelerated model meets the linear Arrhenius equation, and that the precise accelerated parameter makes it possible to acquire the life information of VFD within one month.
文摘Through the failure mechanism analysi s and simulation test of a certain kind of detonator,this paper confirms the str ess level of the stepping stress acceleration life test of the detonator,and t hen e stablishes the data processing mathematical model and storage life forecasting m ethod.At last,according to the result of the stepping stress acceleration lif e test of the detonator,this paper forecasts the reliable storage life of the detonator under the normal stress level.
基金Undergraduate Education High land Construction Project of Shanghaithe Key Course Construction of Shanghai Education Committee (No.20075302)the Key Technology R&D Program of Shanghai Municipality (No.08160510600)
文摘In order to obtain the life information of the vacuum fluorescent display （VFD） in a short time, a model of constant stress accelerated life tests （CSALT） is established with its filament temperature increased, and four constant stress tests are conducted. The Weibull function is applied to describe the life distribution of the VFD, and the maximum likelihood estimation （MLE） and its iterative flow chart are used to calculate the shape parameters and the scale parameters. Furthermore, the accelerated life equation is determined by the least square method, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test is performed to verify whether the VFD life meets the Weibull distribution or not, and selfdeveloped software is employed to predict the average life and the reliable life. Statistical data analysis results demonstrate that the test plans are feasible and versatile, that the VFD life follows the Weibull distribution, and that the VFD accelerated model satisfies the linear Arrhenius equation. The proposed method and the estimated life information of the VFD can provide some significant guideline to its manufacturers and customers.
文摘Aim To study the most stable pH value of endomorphin-1 solution and toestimate the shelf-life of EM-1 solution. Methods The content of EM-1 in its solution was determinedby HPLC, and stability was studied by accelerated tests. Results The most stable pH value of EM-1solution was observed. By the accelerated tests we obtained the Arrhe-nius relationship and thepharmacokinetic parameters. Conclusion The most stable pH value of EM-1 solution is 4.5 -4.8. Thet_(1/2)(25℃) is 45 d.
文摘In this paper, we obtain the optimum plan by discussing a constant-stress accelerated life test (ALT) satisfying the condition (3.3) at k stresses under an exponential distribution.
基金The Cui Can Project of Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.KZCC-EW-102)the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China(863 Program)(No.2015AA03A101,2013AA03A116)
文摘In order to achieve quick and accurate lifetime prediction of LED lighting products under the testing time of 2 000 h, a method of online testing of luminous flux is proposed under the condition of temperature stress.Exponential fitting of lumen maintenance, the Bayesian estimation of failure probability, the Weibull distribution of lifetime and the Arrhenius model of the decay rate are used in combination to acquire the distribution of failure probability over time at the ambient temperatures of 25 ℃. The lifetime test of the same lamps based on the Energy Star standard under the testing time of 6 000 h is also implemented to verify the effectiveness of the method. The errors of lifetimes acquired with the proposed method are 7%, 4%, 3% and 1% at the failure probabilities of 62. 3%, 10%, 5% and 1%,respectively.
基金supported by China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (Grant No. 20070410323)Jiangsu Provincial Planned Projects for Postdoctoral Research Funds of China (Grant No. 0701001C)Jiangsu Provincial Planned Projects for Fostering Talents of Six Scientific Fields of China (Grant No. 07-D-027)
文摘Since the beginning of the 20th century, many researches on the sealing characteristic of mechanical seals were carried out broadly and in depth by various methods and some leakage models were built. But due to the lack of the way to characterize the main factors of influence on the leakage, most of the early researches were based on the assumptions that the seal faces topography and the frictional conditions were invariant. In the early built models, the effect of the surface topography change of the seal face on the leakage rate was neglected. Based on the fractal theory, the contact of end faces of the rotary and stationary rings was simplified to be the contact of a rough surface and an ideal rigid smooth surface, and the contact interface＇s cavity size-distribution function as well as the fractal characteristic of the cavity profile curve was discussed. By analyzing the influence of abrasion on the seal face topography and the leakage channel, the time-correlation leakage prediction model of mechanical seals based on the fractal theory was established and the method for predicting the leakage rate of mechanical seals with parallel plane was proposed. The values of the leakage rate predicted theoretically are similar to the measured values of the leakage rate in the model test and in situ test. The experimental results indicate that the leakage rate of mechanical seals is a transient value. The surface topography of the end faces of the seal tings and its change during the frictional wear of mechanical seals can be accurately characterized by the fractal parameters. Under the work conditions of changeless frictional mechanism, the fractal parameters measured or calculated based on the accelerated testing equation can be used to predict the leakage rate of mechanical seal in service. The proposed research provides the basis for determining the leakage state and predicting working life of mechanical seal.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 50935002,Grant No. 51075370,Grant No. 51105341)National Hi-tech Research and Development Program of China (863 Program,Grant No. 2007AA04Z409)Civil Aerospace Science and Technology Pre-research Project of China (Grant No. B122006 2302)
文摘As few or no failures occur during accelerated life test,it is difficult to assess reliability for long-life products with traditional life tests.Reliability assessment using degradation data of product performance over time becomes a significant approach.Aerospace electrical connector is researched in this paper.Through the analysis of failure mechanism,the performance degradation law is obtained and the statistical model for degradation failure is set up; according to the research on statistical analysis methods for degradation data,accelerated life test theory and method for aerospace electrical connector based on performance degradation is proposed by improving time series analysis method,and the storage reliability is assessed for Y11X series of aerospace electrical connector with degradation data from accelerated degradation test.The result obtained is basically consistent with that obtained from accelerated life test based on failure data,and the two estimates of product＇s characteristic life only have a difference of 8.7%,but the test time shortens about a half.As a result,a systemic approach is proposed for reliability assessment of highly reliable and long-life aerospace product.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.50935002,51075370,51105341,51275480)Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.Y1100777)Zhejiang Provincial Key Scientific and Technological Innovation Team(Grant No.2010R50005)
文摘In order to get a rapid assessment on the storage reliability of high-reliable and long-life products within the storage period, accelerated degradation test data with a large amount of reliability information of product is adopted. Conducting a constant-stress accelerated degradation test（CSADT） is generally very costly as it requires a large sample size and long time for test. To overcome this problem, it is necessary to carry out research on modeling and statistical analysis methods of step-stress accelerated degradation test （SSADT）. Taking electrical connectors as the object, a research is conducted on statistical model and assessment method for SSADT. On the basis of mixed-effect degradation path model, the statistical model of SSADT for electrical connectors is presented, the maximum likelihood method for SSADT data based on mixed-effect degradation model is proposed. SSADT accelerated by temperature stress is conducted to Y11X-1419 type of electrical connectors, and the storage reliability is assessed with the SSADT data. Compared with the result obtained from accelerated life test, the reliability estimation of 32-year storage period for electrical connectors obtained from S SADT data only have a difference of 0.869%, which validates the accuracy of the degradation model and the feasibility of the test data statistic analysis method put forward.
基金supported by Sustentation Program of National Ministries and Commissions of China(Grant No.203020102)
文摘Data obtained from accelerated life testing(ALT)when there are two or more failure modes,which is commonly referred to as competing failure modes,are often incomplete.The incompleteness is mainly due to censoring,as well as masking which might be the case that the failure time is observed,but its corresponding failure mode is not identified.Because the identification of the failure mode may be expensive,or very difficult to investigate due to lack of appropriate diagnostics.A method is proposed for analyzing incomplete data of constant stress ALT with competing failure modes.It is assumed that failure modes have s-independent latent lifetimes and the log lifetime of each failure mode can be written as a linear function of stress.The parameters of the model are estimated by using the expectation maximum(EM)algorithm with incomplete data.Simulation studies are performed to check'model validity and investigate the properties of estimates.For further validation,the method is also illustrated by an example,which shows the process of analyze incomplete data from ALT of some insulation system.Because of considering the incompleteness of data in modeling and making use of the EM algorithm in estimating,the method becomes more flexible in ALT analysis.
