期刊文献+
共找到73,934篇文章
< 1 2 250 >
每页显示 20 50 100
SAVE、APACHE Ⅱ评分联合循环生物标志物预测经静脉-动脉体外膜肺氧合治疗AMICS患者90天生存预后中的临床应用价值
1
作者 周姝 杨树涵 +4 位作者 王增夏 王雪宁 冯蕊涵 彭丽丽 杨美玲 《实用医学杂志》 北大核心 2026年第4期698-705,共8页
目的 探讨静脉-动脉体外膜肺氧合生存预测评分(SAVE)、急性生理与慢性健康状况评分Ⅱ(APACHEⅡ)评分联合循环生物标志物预测经静脉-动脉体外膜肺氧合(VA-ECMO)治疗急性心肌梗死合并心源性休克(AMICS)患者90 d生存预后中的临床应用价值... 目的 探讨静脉-动脉体外膜肺氧合生存预测评分(SAVE)、急性生理与慢性健康状况评分Ⅱ(APACHEⅡ)评分联合循环生物标志物预测经静脉-动脉体外膜肺氧合(VA-ECMO)治疗急性心肌梗死合并心源性休克(AMICS)患者90 d生存预后中的临床应用价值。方法 选取2020年9月至2024年9月新乡市中心医院收治的136例AMICS患者为对象,均行VA-ECMO治疗,并随访90 d(随访起始时间为VA-ECMO置管当天),观察患者生存情况,根据生存情况分为生存组和死亡组。比较生存组、死亡组一般资料、SAVE评分、APACHEⅡ评分、低密度脂蛋白、乳酸、C反应蛋白(CRP)、心肌钙蛋白1(c Tn1)、脑钠肽(BNP)水平。采用多因素Cox回归分析VA-ECMO治疗AMICS患者死亡的影响因素,受试者工作曲线(ROC)评估相关指标在VA-ECMO治疗AMICS患者90 d生存预后中的临床应用价值,Kaplan-Meier法绘制生存曲线,Log-rank检验比较不同组患者的生存差异。结果 136例患者90 d内共死亡63例,病死率46.32%;死亡组年龄大于生存组,APACHEⅡ评分、低密度脂蛋白、乳酸、CRP、cTn1、BNP水平高于生存组,SAVE评分、高密度脂蛋白低于生存组(P<0.05);Cox回归分析显示,SAVE评分、APACHEⅡ评分、乳酸、CRP、cTn1均为VA-ECMO治疗后AMICS患者90 d死亡的影响因素(P<0.05);ROC曲线分析显示,SAVE评分、APACHEⅡ评分、乳酸、CRP、cTn1联合检测评估VA-ECMO治疗AMICS患者90 d死亡风险的AUC值高于单项检测(Z=5.731、3.573、5.544、5.983、4.807,P<0.05);Kaplan-Meier曲线显示(死亡=1,生存=0),SAVE评分≤-4.301分、APACHEⅡ评分> 25.076分、乳酸> 3.900 mmol/L、CRP>23.752 mg/L、cTn1>7.755 ng/mL患者生存时间更短(Log-rankχ^(2)=16.573、4.028、61.746、22.375、28.635,P<0.001)。结论 SAVE评分、APACHEⅡ评分、乳酸、CRP、cTn1联合检测评估VA-ECMO治疗AMICS患者90 d死亡风险的效能较高。 展开更多
关键词 SAVE评分 急性生理与慢性健康状况评分Ⅱ 循环生物标志物 静脉-动脉体外膜肺氧合 急性心肌梗死 心源性休克
暂未订购
Urban-rural differences in residential energy-use behavior and energy-saving awareness:Evidence from a Chinese megacity
2
《建筑节能(中英文)》 2026年第2期150-150,共1页
Residential energy-use behavior and energy-saving awareness play a crucial role in sustainable urban energy planning and building energy efficiency,particularly under the pressures of climate change.However,existing s... Residential energy-use behavior and energy-saving awareness play a crucial role in sustainable urban energy planning and building energy efficiency,particularly under the pressures of climate change.However,existing studies often lack comparative analysis of urban-rural differences and tend to focus excessively on behavior patterns while neglecting the dimension of energysaving awareness.With China’s urbanization rate reaching 66.16%,understanding such regional disparities has become increasingly important.To address these research gaps,this study conducts a large-scale survey on space cooling behaviors among residents in Beijing,a representative Chinese megacity.It should be noted that living standards in such megacities are generally higher than the national average,which may shape distinctive energy-use profiles.Analyzing 1573valid samples(1064 urban/442 rural)in 2024,this study employed K-Prototypes and K-Modes clustering to identify typical cooling behavior and energy-saving awareness pattems,followed by Kendall/Chi-square correlation tests and XGBoost importance analysis to determine key influencing factors,with subsequent urban-rural comparative analysis.Results indicate that urban residents are primarily heat-sensitive or heat-tolerant,with a secondary patten of mid-low temperature preference,and generally exhibit long cooling durations;rural behavior is dominated by heat-tolerant type,followed by heat-sensitive,mid-low temperature preference,and never-on types as secondary patterns;both urban and rural areas exhibit energy-savingawareness characterized by low consumption-lowwillingness,though urban areas show marginally higher motivation;energy-saving awareness correlates with cooling behavior in rural areas,but this relationship weakens significantly in urban contexts. 展开更多
关键词 behavior patterns such regional disparities energy saving awareness residential energy use behavior climate change urban rural differences China Beijing
在线阅读 下载PDF
Study on the Impact of Humidity Control Strategy on Energy Saving Effect of Centralized Central Air Conditioning System
3
作者 Xiaolian Lin 《Journal of Electronic Research and Application》 2025年第4期303-309,共7页
As an indispensable part of modern buildings,centralized central air conditioning systems play an important role in maintaining the comfort and air quality of the indoor environment.However,with the increasing energy ... As an indispensable part of modern buildings,centralized central air conditioning systems play an important role in maintaining the comfort and air quality of the indoor environment.However,with the increasing energy consumption,how to improve the energy efficiency ratio of air conditioning systems and reduce energy consumption has become an important issue in research and practice.The purpose of this paper is to discuss the impact of humidity control strategies on energy saving in centralized central air conditioning systems,with a view to providing a theoretical basis and practical guidance for realizing building energy efficiency. 展开更多
关键词 Centralized central air conditioning system Energy saving potential Humidity control strategy Energy saving effect assessment
在线阅读 下载PDF
Research on High-efficiency Seed Production Technology for Water-saving and Drought-resistant Hybrid Millet Variety Zhangzagu 19
4
作者 Lin KANG Xiaolei FENG +6 位作者 Shilu CAO Shuai ZHANG Enlong SHEN Mengni MA Wenjie BAI Shuai MENG Guangyu FAN 《Agricultural Biotechnology》 2025年第4期24-26,30,共4页
[Objectives]This study was conducted to improve the seed production efficiency of water-saving and drought-resistant hybrid millet in production.[Methods]A high-efficiency seed production technology for water-saving a... [Objectives]This study was conducted to improve the seed production efficiency of water-saving and drought-resistant hybrid millet in production.[Methods]A high-efficiency seed production technology for water-saving and drought-resistant hybrid millet varieties was developed by integrating aspects such as parental line sources,botanical characteristics,biological traits,seed production yield structure,key technical points of seed production,and suitable planting regions.[Results]Under standardized pre-sowing preparation and field management,both parents are simultaneously sown around May 20 with a planting row ratio of 2:6(female:male),a row spacing of 20 cm and plant spacing of 10 cm for the female parent,and a row spacing of 35 cm and plant spacing of 15 cm for the male parent.Both parents are fertilized simultaneously with 375 kg/hm^(2) of urea at the booting stage combined with intertillage or rainfall,and 225 kg/hm^(2) of urea at the grain-filling stage combined with irrigation.Strict hybrid removal,proper pollination and timely harvesting can significantly increase the yield of seed production.[Conclusions]This technology can be fully applied to large-scale seed production of water-saving and drought-resistant hybrid millet,providing seed supply support for cultivation in arid and semi-arid regions.It helps alleviate issues such as excessive groundwater extraction and water scarcity while enhancing planting efficiency,increasing yield,and boosting increase of farmers income. 展开更多
关键词 Water saving Drought resistance Hybrid millet Seed production Zhangzagu 19
在线阅读 下载PDF
An ultra energy-saving mechanism based on beacon signals for 6G networks
5
作者 Ailin Deng Xiaoqian Li +1 位作者 Gang Feng Lu Guan 《Digital Communications and Networks》 2025年第5期1330-1342,共13页
Terahertz(THz) and millimeter Wave(mmWave) have been considered as potential frequency bands for 6G cellular systems to meet the need of ultra-high data rates. However, indoor communications could be blocked in THz/mm... Terahertz(THz) and millimeter Wave(mmWave) have been considered as potential frequency bands for 6G cellular systems to meet the need of ultra-high data rates. However, indoor communications could be blocked in THz/mmW cellular systems due to the high free-space propagation loss. Deploying a large number of small base stations indoors has been considered as a promising solution for solving indoor coverage problems. However, base station dense deployment leads to a significant increase in system energy consumption. In this paper, we develop a novel ultra-efficient energy-saving mechanism with the aim of reducing energy consumption in 6G distributed indoor base station scenarios. Unlike the existing relevant protocol framework of 3GPP, which operates the cellular system based on constant system signaling messages(including cell ID, cell reselection information, etc.), the proposed mechanism eliminates the need for system messages. The intuition comes from the observation that the probability of having no users within the coverage area of an indoor base station is high, hence continuously sending system messages to guarantee the quality of service is unnecessary in indoor scenarios. Specifically, we design a dedicated beacon signal to detect whether there are users in the coverage area of the base station and switch off the main communication module when there are no active users for energy saving. The beacon frame structure is carefully designed based on the existing 3GPP specifications with minimal protocol modifications, and the protocol parameters involved are optimized. Simulation results show that the proposed mechanism can reduce the system energy from the order of tens of watts to the order of hundreds of milliwatts. Compared to traditional energy-saving schemes, the proposed mechanism achieves an average energy-saving gain of 58%, with a peak energy-saving gain of 90%. 展开更多
关键词 6G Indoor coverage Energy saving User detection Beacon signal
在线阅读 下载PDF
Getzner Textil steams ahead with energy savings
6
《China Textile》 2025年第6期49-49,共1页
Getzner Textil AG is always open to new ideas and committed to investment in innovative technological so-lutions.This has proven a highly successful approach for more than two hundred years now:founded in 1818 as a fa... Getzner Textil AG is always open to new ideas and committed to investment in innovative technological so-lutions.This has proven a highly successful approach for more than two hundred years now:founded in 1818 as a family business in Bludenz in the heart of Europe,the company is now one of the world's leading manufacturers of fabrics for African fashion,shirts and blouses,corporate fashion,and technical textiles,with 1,550 employees,710 weaving machines,seven locations,and an output of 73 million running meters per year. 展开更多
关键词 technical textiles innovative technological solutions energy savings family business weaving machines
在线阅读 下载PDF
Effects on heat mitigation,energy use,and carbon savings in urban-scale implementations of nature-based solutions
7
作者 Jinwook Chung Kijune Sung 《Geography and Sustainability》 2025年第6期170-183,共14页
Extensive changes in land cover and energy use resulting from urbanization lead to an imbalance in urban thermal conditions,making cities more susceptible to the impacts of climate change.Nature-based solutions(NbS)th... Extensive changes in land cover and energy use resulting from urbanization lead to an imbalance in urban thermal conditions,making cities more susceptible to the impacts of climate change.Nature-based solutions(NbS)that leverage the cooling effect of green spaces to mitigate urban heat are gaining attention as a way to improve urban sustainability in the face of climate change.The study evaluated the urban-scale application of NbS's impacts on heat mitigation capacity,air temperature,cooling energy,carbon emissions,and carbon sequestration,as well as the resulting economic benefits using the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs(InVEST)Urban Cooling Model(UCM).Green roofs as building adaptations,land use adaptations such as the expansion of urban parks and roadside green space,forest restoration,and multiple adaptations,which are combinations of building and land use adaptations,were considered applicable NbS.Cool roofs were also studied to compare their effects with other urban green infrastructure.The results showed that simultaneously implementing the multiple adaptation methods is the most effective if the applicable areas are sufficient.Considering the implemented area ratio,urban parks are the most effective single adaptive measure,with energy savings of 14.75,8.63,and 1.98 times higher than those of 100%green roofs,cool roofs,and 20%roadside green space expansions,respectively.Restoring forests(21.29 km^(2))can yield 4.7 times higher energy savings than installing 100%green roofs(62 km^(2)).In contrast,deforestation loses more energy and carbon than cool roofs can save.This study can help provide an appropriate strategy for achieving urban carbon neutrality by reducing carbon emissions and increasing carbon sequestration through NbS in addition to relieving urban temperatures. 展开更多
关键词 Carbon emission Energy savings Carbon sequestration Urban parks Multiple adaptations InVEST UCM
在线阅读 下载PDF
Application of Energy Saving and Green Environmental Protection Building Materials in Building Engineering
8
作者 Yixin Peng 《Journal of World Architecture》 2025年第2期76-83,共8页
Construction engineering plays a vital role in urban development,especially as the pace of modern progress continues to accelerate.The widespread use of energy-saving and green environmental protection building materi... Construction engineering plays a vital role in urban development,especially as the pace of modern progress continues to accelerate.The widespread use of energy-saving and green environmental protection building materials in this field not only brings convenience to daily life but also promotes the scientific,sustainable,and stable development of construction projects.These materials significantly extend the service life of buildings while supporting environmental protection efforts.This paper explores the practical application value of energy-saving and environmentally friendly building materials in construction engineering,outlines the key application principles,and analyzes their specific types and usage requirements.The aim is to provide a valuable reference for future research and practical implementation. 展开更多
关键词 Energy saving and green environmental protection Building materials Building engineering Application path
在线阅读 下载PDF
Monforts focus on energy savings at IGATEX 2025
9
《China Textile》 2025年第2期42-43,共2页
At the forthcoming IGATEX textile machinery exhibition inKarachi,Pakistan,from April 24-26,Monforts will highlight thebenefits of its latest Universal Energy Tower.This stand-aloneair/air heat exchanger module enables... At the forthcoming IGATEX textile machinery exhibition inKarachi,Pakistan,from April 24-26,Monforts will highlight thebenefits of its latest Universal Energy Tower.This stand-aloneair/air heat exchanger module enables recovery of the heatfrom the exhaust air flow of thermal systems such as existingstenters and THERMEX dyeing ranges with infrared predriers,resulting in energy savings of up to 25%,depending on the ex-haust air volume and operating temperature. 展开更多
关键词 recovery heatfrom thermal systems thermex dyeing ranges universal energy towerthis energy savings heat exchanger universal energy tower infrared predriersresulting
在线阅读 下载PDF
节水抗旱稻的研究进展及在边际土地上的应用
10
作者 罗利军 赵洪阳 +6 位作者 余新桥 毕俊国 廖志刚 刘鸿艳 张剑锋 夏辉 刘毅 《华南农业大学学报》 北大核心 2026年第2期209-215,共7页
节水抗旱稻是兼具水稻高产优质和陆稻节水抗旱特性的栽培稻新类型。本文系统综述了其育种理论、品种选育策略及在低洼易涝地、撂荒复垦地与盐碱地等边际土地上的应用成效,总结了以旱直播旱管为核心的栽培技术要点。针对当前推广挑战,从... 节水抗旱稻是兼具水稻高产优质和陆稻节水抗旱特性的栽培稻新类型。本文系统综述了其育种理论、品种选育策略及在低洼易涝地、撂荒复垦地与盐碱地等边际土地上的应用成效,总结了以旱直播旱管为核心的栽培技术要点。针对当前推广挑战,从深化基础研究、突破性品种培育、绿色栽培技术集成及全产业链协同等方面提出未来发展路径,旨在为节水抗旱稻的研究与产业化提供理论参考和实践指导。 展开更多
关键词 节水抗旱稻 直播 旱管 分子育种 边际土地
在线阅读 下载PDF
从“保健康”到“促发展”:多层次医疗保障赋能家庭人力资本投资研究
11
作者 李聪 陈浩楠 赵正堂 《人口与发展》 北大核心 2026年第1期106-114,共9页
多层次医疗保障作为一种有效的风险分担机制,不仅具有提供经济支持的作用,更是提升人力资本水平的重要抓手。基于2017、2019年中国家庭金融调查(CHFS)数据,系统考察多层次医疗保障对家庭人力资本投资的影响及其作用机制。研究结果表明,... 多层次医疗保障作为一种有效的风险分担机制,不仅具有提供经济支持的作用,更是提升人力资本水平的重要抓手。基于2017、2019年中国家庭金融调查(CHFS)数据,系统考察多层次医疗保障对家庭人力资本投资的影响及其作用机制。研究结果表明,多层次医疗保障能够显著促进家庭人力资本投资。机制检验发现,多层次医疗保障主要通过降低医疗负担和减少预防性储蓄作用于家庭人力资本投资。异质性分析显示,对高医疗负担家庭、高收入家庭及正规就业家庭而言,多层次医疗保障对人力资本投资的促进作用更为显著。研究对推动更多资金资源“投资于人”、服务于民生有重要意义。 展开更多
关键词 多层次医疗保障 人力资本投资 医疗负担 预防性储蓄
原文传递
欧洲“Kids Save Lives”项目对我国中小学生心肺复苏教育的启示
12
作者 孙秀凤 《中国校医》 2025年第12期945-950,共6页
目的介绍欧洲“Kids Save Lives(儿童拯救生命)”项目的实践经验,为我国中小学生心肺复苏教育的开展提供参考,让中小学生从小掌握CPR技能,进而提高旁观者CPR率、提高院外心跳骤停的存活率,并从小培养公民的社会责任感。方法梳理欧洲心... 目的介绍欧洲“Kids Save Lives(儿童拯救生命)”项目的实践经验,为我国中小学生心肺复苏教育的开展提供参考,让中小学生从小掌握CPR技能,进而提高旁观者CPR率、提高院外心跳骤停的存活率,并从小培养公民的社会责任感。方法梳理欧洲心肺复苏急救教育项目“Kids Save Lives”的提出背景及欧洲各国的最佳实践,总结我国学校急救教育现状,对我国中小学生心肺复苏急救教育提出建议。结果我国校园急救教育起步较晚,存在CPR课程不统一、公众知晓率低、学习途径有限等瓶颈,可借鉴国际经验,推动立法、统一方针政策和行动框架,多联合、多宣传、多投入,从改进课程体系、增加宣传渠道、拓宽学习途径3个方面加以改进。结论通过借鉴欧洲“Kids Save Lives”项目,可推动我国中小学生心肺复苏教育的开展。 展开更多
关键词 心肺复苏 儿童拯救生命 急救教育 中小学生
原文传递
建筑室外综合温度计算模型与研究展望
13
作者 朱新荣 靳闲亭 +3 位作者 宋家雪 刘衍 陈洁 杨柳 《科学通报》 北大核心 2026年第5期1275-1291,共17页
室外综合温度是表征建筑围护结构外表面动态热作用的关键参数,作为边界条件应用于围护结构热工和建筑能耗性能计算过程,其模型精度直接影响建筑热工和节能设计计算的准确度.本文从外表面热平衡方程出发追溯室外综合温度概念提出的过程,... 室外综合温度是表征建筑围护结构外表面动态热作用的关键参数,作为边界条件应用于围护结构热工和建筑能耗性能计算过程,其模型精度直接影响建筑热工和节能设计计算的准确度.本文从外表面热平衡方程出发追溯室外综合温度概念提出的过程,明确计算模型表征的物理意义.系统对比了国内外室外综合温度的计算模型,分析得到不同模型的计算精度和适用性:简化模型一般忽略长波辐射换热,适用于工程设计,但存在计算精度不高的问题;精确模型中考虑了表面所受到的多种辐射热作用,但很多参数需要建筑建成后方能获取,一定程度上限制了适用性.提炼总结了影响室外综合温度模型准确度的关键因素,获得太阳辐射强度、太阳辐射吸收系数、表面换热系数和长波辐射换热等因素的作用机制和影响机理.针对当前建筑热工与节能降碳设计计算的现状需求,提出室外综合温度计算模型研究展望,具体包括:利用室外综合温度优化寒冷地区夏季隔热设计;在辐射资源丰富的地区冬季应拓展应用室外综合温度模型;更新太阳辐射吸收系数和表面换热系数取值以提升综合温度模型的准确度;考虑城市环境对室外综合温度的影响;构建光伏屋面等特殊围护结构的计算模型;整合稳态和非稳态热作用建立统一的室外热作用模型等.本文旨在为室外综合温度计算模型的更新和拓展应用提供参考. 展开更多
关键词 室外综合温度 计算模型 影响因素 节能降碳 建筑热工设计
原文传递
基于负荷预测的公共建筑围护结构节能率特征研究
14
作者 刘馨 陈家琦 +3 位作者 吴修慧 王萌 冯国会 马腾 《建筑技术》 2026年第2期209-214,共6页
负荷预测能预先确定建筑能耗指标,为高效实施建筑节能优化策略提供清晰的指导方向。利用BP神经网络、决策树回归、KNN回归、XGBoost等预测模型对严寒地区一栋典型的绿色办公建筑进行负荷预测。以围护结构为研究对象,重新定义为建筑本体... 负荷预测能预先确定建筑能耗指标,为高效实施建筑节能优化策略提供清晰的指导方向。利用BP神经网络、决策树回归、KNN回归、XGBoost等预测模型对严寒地区一栋典型的绿色办公建筑进行负荷预测。以围护结构为研究对象,重新定义为建筑本体(围护结构)节能率,并与建筑本体节能率进行对比。KNN回归模型的负荷预测精度最高。建筑本体(围护结构)节能率为35.74%;外墙、外窗、屋顶贡献的节能率分别为25.89%、10.03%、9.09%。提出公共建筑围护结构节能率指标分析方法,量化外墙、外窗、屋顶节能贡献度占比,为办公建筑节能改造提供创新评估路径。 展开更多
关键词 负荷预测 KNN回归 建筑本体(围护结构)节能率 围护结构节能率指标
在线阅读 下载PDF
省力化技术在天水市桃园的创新应用与实践
15
作者 蒲建霞 陈建军 王耀辉 《果树资源学报》 2026年第1期114-117,共4页
为突破天水市桃园传统栽培中品种单一、劳动力依赖度高、成本攀升等瓶颈,通过构建“良种+良法+良机”技术体系,筛选出7个适宜当地的桃优良品种,创新应用“宽行密植+行内覆盖+行间生草+Y字树形+长枝修剪”栽培模式,集成病虫害绿色防控、... 为突破天水市桃园传统栽培中品种单一、劳动力依赖度高、成本攀升等瓶颈,通过构建“良种+良法+良机”技术体系,筛选出7个适宜当地的桃优良品种,创新应用“宽行密植+行内覆盖+行间生草+Y字树形+长枝修剪”栽培模式,集成病虫害绿色防控、水肥一体化、小微农机具应用等技术。示范推广实践表明,该技术体系使桃树产量增产17.31%,商品果率提升11.5%,亩(667m^(2))管理成本节支1 424.9元,节本率49.29%,同时减少化学农药使用30%以上。该项技术为西北干旱半干旱地区桃产业转型升级提供了可复制范式,也为乡村振兴提供了技术支撑。 展开更多
关键词 天水市 省力化技术 节本增效
在线阅读 下载PDF
6G绿色内生网络技术研究
16
作者 吕婷 李福昌 +1 位作者 张忠皓 曹亘 《邮电设计技术》 2026年第2期11-16,共6页
作为新一代信息服务网络,6G网络在性能跃升的同时面临能耗上升的严峻挑战。为了促进6G可持续发展,分析了6G绿色内生网络的驱动力与挑战,从绿色组网架构、通感算智协同调度、端网协同的绿色空口、基于AI的智能节能几个方面介绍了6G绿色... 作为新一代信息服务网络,6G网络在性能跃升的同时面临能耗上升的严峻挑战。为了促进6G可持续发展,分析了6G绿色内生网络的驱动力与挑战,从绿色组网架构、通感算智协同调度、端网协同的绿色空口、基于AI的智能节能几个方面介绍了6G绿色内生网络技术,涉及6G网络设计、部署、运行、编排管理等各环节,系统性构建6G节能技术体系。 展开更多
关键词 6G 绿色内生 绿色组网 绿色空口 智能节能
在线阅读 下载PDF
父代延迟退休对子代家庭生育意愿的影响——基于子代双重养老预期的视角
17
作者 贾洪波 鲁佳倩 吴爱晖 《人口学刊》 北大核心 2026年第1期31-51,共21页
为了积极应对少子化和人口老龄化带来的挑战,延迟退休政策和建立生育支持政策成为近年来学术界和相关职能部门关注的热点话题。2025年我国开始实施渐进式延迟法定退休年龄政策。评估延迟退休政策对生育意愿的影响不仅有助于理解两项人... 为了积极应对少子化和人口老龄化带来的挑战,延迟退休政策和建立生育支持政策成为近年来学术界和相关职能部门关注的热点话题。2025年我国开始实施渐进式延迟法定退休年龄政策。评估延迟退休政策对生育意愿的影响不仅有助于理解两项人口政策之间的协同效应,也能为完善生育支持政策体系提供可借鉴的经验。本研究借助2020—2022年中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)数据,从子代双重养老预期视角分析父代延迟退休对子代家庭生育意愿的影响及其作用机制。子代双重养老预期是指子代对赡养父代的养老负担预期以及子代对自己未来养老预期的统称。在子代双重养老预期视角下存在两个中介影响因素:一是储蓄意愿。父代延迟退休会让子代对其今后的延迟退休行为产生适应性预期,子代个体预估其今后的养老生活水平会因延迟退休而得到较好保障,从而减少当期储蓄,当期储蓄的降低意味着当期消费预算的提高,因此子代生育意愿上升;二是养老负担。父代延迟退休后子代预期其需要承担的父代养老负担会有所降低,子代有更多时间、精力和财力承担养育子女的责任,从而生育意愿提高。上述两条路径的共同作用决定了在子代双重养老预期视角下父代延迟退休会提高子代家庭的生育意愿。研究进而在一般经济均衡框架下建立跨期叠代模型,通过数理模型推导出研究假设并开展实证分析。基准回归结果表明父代延迟退休显著提高子代家庭生育意愿:随机效应LPM结果显示子代未来2年内有生育计划的概率平均提高约6.6个百分点,随机效应Logit模型结果方向一致(有生育计划的发生比提升约95%);在Bartik工具变量的IV-Probit内生性修正以及Oster敏感性分析、倾向得分加权/平衡与双重机器学习等稳健性检验下,正向效应依然成立且量级大致落在7~11个百分点区间。机制检验显示父代延迟退休主要通过降低子代家庭预防性储蓄并减轻子代对母亲的赡养净转移负担来提升生育意愿。异质性分析发现父代延迟退休提升子代家庭生育意愿的效应随子代收入水平提高而显著增强,而性别与户籍维度差异不显著。基于以上研究结论,本研究提出了建立理性的储蓄方式和减轻年轻群体赡养父代养老负担的政策建议。 展开更多
关键词 延迟退休 适应性预期 储蓄意愿 养老负担 生育意愿
在线阅读 下载PDF
基于SAVEE方法的海岛空间价值评价——以南沙群岛为例 被引量:6
18
作者 陈韶阳 程镇燕 Douglas K Loh 《海洋环境科学》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2012年第1期107-110,共4页
对SAVEE评价方法的理论基础、分析步骤、应用条件和优缺点进行了系统归纳和总结,构建了SAVEE评价分析模型。以南沙群岛的空间价值评价为例开展实证研究,尝试将SAVEE方法应用于海岛空间价值评价。结果表明:SAVEE评价法计算简便,可操作性... 对SAVEE评价方法的理论基础、分析步骤、应用条件和优缺点进行了系统归纳和总结,构建了SAVEE评价分析模型。以南沙群岛的空间价值评价为例开展实证研究,尝试将SAVEE方法应用于海岛空间价值评价。结果表明:SAVEE评价法计算简便,可操作性强,能够量化体现每个因子价值,评价结果清晰易懂。SAVEE为空间价值评价方法提供了新的选择,具有极大的应用前景。 展开更多
关键词 海岛 空间价值评价 SAVEE 影响因子 南沙群岛 不确定性推理
原文传递
碳减排背景下难采稠油提质增效研究进展
19
作者 李宾飞 阮理炜 +4 位作者 李兆敏 吴光焕 盖平原 伦增珉 宋洪志 《油气地质与采收率》 北大核心 2026年第1期97-107,共11页
中国稠油资源总量比较丰富,开发方式以高能耗、高排放的热采技术为主,年排放CO_(2)量超过1600×10^(4)t。而随着“双碳”目标的提出,中国稠油资源开发的提质增效与节能减排成为能源领域的研究热点之一。梳理了4种常规热采技术的应... 中国稠油资源总量比较丰富,开发方式以高能耗、高排放的热采技术为主,年排放CO_(2)量超过1600×10^(4)t。而随着“双碳”目标的提出,中国稠油资源开发的提质增效与节能减排成为能源领域的研究热点之一。梳理了4种常规热采技术的应用现状,其中占据主导地位的蒸汽吞吐已处于开发后期亟需转换开发方式,蒸汽驱、SAGD和火驱技术尚且存在诸多问题,影响其推广应用。分析了“双碳”背景下包括非凝析气体辅助蒸汽热采增效技术、化学辅助蒸汽热采增效技术、驱泄复合强化热采技术、稠油原位催化改质水热裂解技术、低渗透稠油油藏注CO_(2)压裂吞吐开发以及普通稠油气体-化学复合冷采技术在内的6种新型稠油提质增效开发技术现状,着重描述其提高采收率机理以及研究应用情况,并综合中外经验和开发状况,提出未来的攻关方向与发展趋势。研究认为,“双碳”背景下,需要依靠提高全环节效率,优化油田能耗结构,大力发展低碳热采技术,推动热采工艺向冷采工艺过渡,大力发展高效冷采技术等,实现难采稠油的提质增效与节能减排。 展开更多
关键词 稠油 “双碳”背景 提质增效 节能减排 蒸汽驱 SAGD
在线阅读 下载PDF
登机桥通风和空调协同运行节能系统分析
20
作者 郭勇 许杰 郭林文 《暖通空调》 2026年第2期38-43,共6页
针对机场航站楼登机桥空调系统存在的全年运行能耗偏高问题,提出了与航班信息联动的通风与空调协同运行节能系统。利用CFD模拟与现场实测相结合的验证方法,分析了不同运行模式下的空气流动特性与热环境舒适性。结果表明,案例建筑登机桥... 针对机场航站楼登机桥空调系统存在的全年运行能耗偏高问题,提出了与航班信息联动的通风与空调协同运行节能系统。利用CFD模拟与现场实测相结合的验证方法,分析了不同运行模式下的空气流动特性与热环境舒适性。结果表明,案例建筑登机桥空调系统运行时间缩短约30%~50%,单位面积年耗电量降低约50%~60%,增量投资回收期约6.3 a,对推动绿色机场建设具有参考价值。 展开更多
关键词 航站楼 登机桥 混合通风 协同运行 节能系统 CFD模拟
在线阅读 下载PDF
上一页 1 2 250 下一页 到第
使用帮助 返回顶部