Based on theoretical analysis of crop risk and premium rate setting,we take the case of premium rate setting of insurance on cotton yield in Shache County,Shaya County and Aksu City of Xinjiang.Using parametric method...Based on theoretical analysis of crop risk and premium rate setting,we take the case of premium rate setting of insurance on cotton yield in Shache County,Shaya County and Aksu City of Xinjiang.Using parametric methods and insurance actuarial technique,we select the optimal model for risk fitting of cotton yield in three areas;compare the premium rate calculated accurately under four risk distribution assumptions of cotton yield,and the rational premium rate,to analyze the impact of risk distribution of crop yield on premium rate setting.The empirical results show that the Logistic distribution is the optimal distribution for risk fitting of cotton yield in three areas;the rational net premium rate of cotton insurance in three areas is 7.62%,6.32%and 4.96%,respectively;there are errors in premium rate setting under assumptions of normal distribution,normalized skew distribution and Weibull distribution,ranging from 0.2 percentage points to 8 percentage points.Thus,it indicates that the selection of risk distribution model of yield directly affects the accuracy of premium rate setting of crops,and the key to accurate premium rate setting of crops lies in correct selection of risk distribution model of yield.展开更多
The leaf photosynthesis and nitrogen（N） translocation in three large-spike lines and control cultivar（Xi＇nong 979） of winter wheat（Triticum aestivum L.） were studied in 2010–2011 and 2011–2012. The objectives...The leaf photosynthesis and nitrogen（N） translocation in three large-spike lines and control cultivar（Xi＇nong 979） of winter wheat（Triticum aestivum L.） were studied in 2010–2011 and 2011–2012. The objectives of this study were to investigate the differences in the physiological characteristics of large-spike lines and control cultivar and identify the limiting factors that play a role in improving the yield of breeding materials. The average yield, grain number per spike, kernel weight per spike, and 1 000-kernel weight of the large-spike lines were 16.0, 26.8, 42.6, and 15.4%, respectively, significantly higher than those of control. The average photosynthetic rates（Pn） were not significant between the large-spike lines and control cultivar during the active growth period. The average PSII maximum energy conversion efficiency（Fv/Fm）, PSII actual quantum efficiency（Ф（PSII））, photochemical quenching coefficient（qP）, PSII reaction center activity（Fv′/Fm′） and water-use efficiency（WUE） of the large-spike lines were 1.0, 5.1, 3.6, 0.8, and 43.4%, respectively, higher than those of the control during the active growth stages. The N distribution proportions in different tissues were ranked in the order of grains〉culms＋sheathes〉rachis＋glumes〉flag leaves〉penultimate leaves〉remain leaves. This study suggested that utilization of the large-spike wheat might be a promising approach to obtain higher grain yield in Northwest China.展开更多
A reasonable prediction of photofission observables plays a paramount role in understanding the photofission process and guiding various photofission-induced applications,such as short-lived isotope production,nuclear...A reasonable prediction of photofission observables plays a paramount role in understanding the photofission process and guiding various photofission-induced applications,such as short-lived isotope production,nuclear waste disposal,and nuclear safeguards.However,the available experimental data for photofission observables are limited,and the existing models and programs have mainly been developed for neutron-induced fission processes.In this study,a general framework is proposed for characterizing the photofission observables of actinides,including the mass yield distributions(MYD) and isobaric charge distributions(ICD) of fission fragments and the multiplicity and energy distributions of prompt neutrons(n_(p)) and prompt γ rays(γ_(p)).The framework encompasses various systematic neutron models and empirical models considering the Bohr hypothesis and does not rely on the experimental data as input.These models are then validated individually against experimental data at an average excitation energy below 30 MeV,which shows the reliability and robustness of the general framework.Finally,we employ this framework to predict the characteristics of photofission fragments and the emissions of prompt particles for typical actinides including ^(232)Th,^(235,238)U and ^(240)Pu.It is found that the ^(238)U(γ,f) reaction is more suitable for producing neutron-rich nuclei compared to the ^(232)Th(γ,f) reaction.In addition,the average multiplicity number of both n_(p) and yp increases with the average excitation energy.展开更多
基金Supported by International Cooperation Project of China's Agricultural Insurance(DelPHE ACIC)
文摘Based on theoretical analysis of crop risk and premium rate setting,we take the case of premium rate setting of insurance on cotton yield in Shache County,Shaya County and Aksu City of Xinjiang.Using parametric methods and insurance actuarial technique,we select the optimal model for risk fitting of cotton yield in three areas;compare the premium rate calculated accurately under four risk distribution assumptions of cotton yield,and the rational premium rate,to analyze the impact of risk distribution of crop yield on premium rate setting.The empirical results show that the Logistic distribution is the optimal distribution for risk fitting of cotton yield in three areas;the rational net premium rate of cotton insurance in three areas is 7.62%,6.32%and 4.96%,respectively;there are errors in premium rate setting under assumptions of normal distribution,normalized skew distribution and Weibull distribution,ranging from 0.2 percentage points to 8 percentage points.Thus,it indicates that the selection of risk distribution model of yield directly affects the accuracy of premium rate setting of crops,and the key to accurate premium rate setting of crops lies in correct selection of risk distribution model of yield.
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (31370425, 31501276)the Key Technologies R&D Program of China during the 12th Five-Year Plan period (2015BAD22B01)
文摘The leaf photosynthesis and nitrogen（N） translocation in three large-spike lines and control cultivar（Xi＇nong 979） of winter wheat（Triticum aestivum L.） were studied in 2010–2011 and 2011–2012. The objectives of this study were to investigate the differences in the physiological characteristics of large-spike lines and control cultivar and identify the limiting factors that play a role in improving the yield of breeding materials. The average yield, grain number per spike, kernel weight per spike, and 1 000-kernel weight of the large-spike lines were 16.0, 26.8, 42.6, and 15.4%, respectively, significantly higher than those of control. The average photosynthetic rates（Pn） were not significant between the large-spike lines and control cultivar during the active growth period. The average PSII maximum energy conversion efficiency（Fv/Fm）, PSII actual quantum efficiency（Ф（PSII））, photochemical quenching coefficient（qP）, PSII reaction center activity（Fv′/Fm′） and water-use efficiency（WUE） of the large-spike lines were 1.0, 5.1, 3.6, 0.8, and 43.4%, respectively, higher than those of the control during the active growth stages. The N distribution proportions in different tissues were ranked in the order of grains〉culms＋sheathes〉rachis＋glumes〉flag leaves〉penultimate leaves〉remain leaves. This study suggested that utilization of the large-spike wheat might be a promising approach to obtain higher grain yield in Northwest China.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (11675075)Independent research project of key laboratory of plasma physics,CAEP(JCKYS2021212009)Hengyang Municipal Science and Technology Project (202150054076)。
文摘A reasonable prediction of photofission observables plays a paramount role in understanding the photofission process and guiding various photofission-induced applications,such as short-lived isotope production,nuclear waste disposal,and nuclear safeguards.However,the available experimental data for photofission observables are limited,and the existing models and programs have mainly been developed for neutron-induced fission processes.In this study,a general framework is proposed for characterizing the photofission observables of actinides,including the mass yield distributions(MYD) and isobaric charge distributions(ICD) of fission fragments and the multiplicity and energy distributions of prompt neutrons(n_(p)) and prompt γ rays(γ_(p)).The framework encompasses various systematic neutron models and empirical models considering the Bohr hypothesis and does not rely on the experimental data as input.These models are then validated individually against experimental data at an average excitation energy below 30 MeV,which shows the reliability and robustness of the general framework.Finally,we employ this framework to predict the characteristics of photofission fragments and the emissions of prompt particles for typical actinides including ^(232)Th,^(235,238)U and ^(240)Pu.It is found that the ^(238)U(γ,f) reaction is more suitable for producing neutron-rich nuclei compared to the ^(232)Th(γ,f) reaction.In addition,the average multiplicity number of both n_(p) and yp increases with the average excitation energy.
