The development of wind power clusters has scaled in terms of both scale and coverage,and the impact of weather fluctuations on cluster output changes has become increasingly complex.Accurately identifying the forward...The development of wind power clusters has scaled in terms of both scale and coverage,and the impact of weather fluctuations on cluster output changes has become increasingly complex.Accurately identifying the forward-looking information of key wind farms in a cluster under different weather conditions is an effective method to improve the accuracy of ultrashort-term cluster power forecasting.To this end,this paper proposes a refined modeling method for ultrashort-term wind power cluster forecasting based on a convergent cross-mapping algorithm.From the perspective of causality,key meteorological forecasting factors under different cluster power fluctuation processes were screened,and refined training modeling was performed for different fluctuation processes.First,a wind process description index system and classification model at the wind power cluster level are established to realize the classification of typical fluctuation processes.A meteorological-cluster power causal relationship evaluation model based on the convergent cross-mapping algorithm is pro-posed to screen meteorological forecasting factors under multiple types of typical fluctuation processes.Finally,a refined modeling meth-od for a variety of different typical fluctuation processes is proposed,and the strong causal meteorological forecasting factors of each scenario are used as inputs to realize high-precision modeling and forecasting of ultra-short-term wind cluster power.An example anal-ysis shows that the short-term wind power cluster power forecasting accuracy of the proposed method can reach 88.55%,which is 1.57-7.32%higher than that of traditional methods.展开更多
Power quality is a crucial area of research in contemporary power systems,particularly given the rapid proliferation of intermittent renewable energy sources such as wind power.This study investigated the relationship...Power quality is a crucial area of research in contemporary power systems,particularly given the rapid proliferation of intermittent renewable energy sources such as wind power.This study investigated the relationships between power quality indices of system output and PSD by utilizing theories related to spectra,PSD,and random signal power spectra.The relationship was derived,validated through experiments and simulations,and subsequently applied to multi-objective optimization.Various optimization algorithms were compared to achieve optimal system power quality.The findings revealed that the relationships between power quality indices and PSD were influenced by variations in the order of the power spectral estimation model.An increase in the order of the AR model resulted in a 36%improvement in the number of optimal solutions.Regarding optimal solution distribution,NSGA-II demonstrated superior diversity,while MOEA/D exhibited better convergence.However,practical applications showed that while MOEA/D had higher convergence,NSGA-II produced superior optimal solutions,achieving the best power quality indices(THDi at 4.62%,d%at 3.51%,and cosφat 96%).These results suggest that the proposed method holds significant potential for optimizing power quality in practical applications.展开更多
Wind power generation is subjected to complex and variable meteorological conditions,resulting in intermittent and volatile power generation.Accurate wind power prediction plays a crucial role in enabling the power gr...Wind power generation is subjected to complex and variable meteorological conditions,resulting in intermittent and volatile power generation.Accurate wind power prediction plays a crucial role in enabling the power grid dispatching departments to rationally plan power transmission and energy storage operations.This enhances the efficiency of wind power integration into the grid.It allows grid operators to anticipate and mitigate the impact of wind power fluctuations,significantly improving the resilience of wind farms and the overall power grid.Furthermore,it assists wind farm operators in optimizing the management of power generation facilities and reducing maintenance costs.Despite these benefits,accurate wind power prediction especially in extreme scenarios remains a significant challenge.To address this issue,a novel wind power prediction model based on learning approach is proposed by integrating wavelet transform and Transformer.First,a conditional generative adversarial network(CGAN)generates dynamic extreme scenarios guided by physical constraints and expert rules to ensure realism and capture critical features of wind power fluctuations under extremeconditions.Next,thewavelet transformconvolutional layer is applied to enhance sensitivity to frequency domain characteristics,enabling effective feature extraction fromextreme scenarios for a deeper understanding of input data.The model then leverages the Transformer’s self-attention mechanism to capture global dependencies between features,strengthening its sequence modelling capabilities.Case analyses verify themodel’s superior performance in extreme scenario prediction by effectively capturing local fluctuation featureswhile maintaining a grasp of global trends.Compared to other models,it achieves R-squared(R^(2))as high as 0.95,and the mean absolute error(MAE)and rootmean square error(RMSE)are also significantly lower than those of othermodels,proving its high accuracy and effectiveness in managing complex wind power generation conditions.展开更多
In this study,a machine learning-based predictive model was developed for the Musa petti Wind Farm in Sri Lanka to address the need for localized forecasting solutions.Using data on wind speed,air temperature,nacelle ...In this study,a machine learning-based predictive model was developed for the Musa petti Wind Farm in Sri Lanka to address the need for localized forecasting solutions.Using data on wind speed,air temperature,nacelle position,and actual power,lagged features were generated to capture temporal dependencies.Among 24 evaluated models,the ensemble bagging approach achieved the best performance,with R^(2) values of 0.89 at 0 min and 0.75 at 60 min.Shapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)analysis revealed that while wind speed is the primary driver for short-term predictions,air temperature and nacelle position become more influential at longer forecasting horizons.These findings underscore the reliability of short-term predictions and the potential benefits of integrating hybrid AI and probabilistic models for extended forecasts.Our work contributes a robust and explainable framework to support Sri Lanka’s renewable energy transition,and future research will focus on real-time deployment and uncertainty quantification.展开更多
Spiral pile foundations,as a promising type of foundation,are of significant importance for the development of offshore wind energy,particularly as it moves toward deeper waters.This study conducted a physical experim...Spiral pile foundations,as a promising type of foundation,are of significant importance for the development of offshore wind energy,particularly as it moves toward deeper waters.This study conducted a physical experiment on a three-spiral-pile jacket foundation under deep-buried sandy soil conditions.During the experiment,horizontal displacement was applied to the structure to thoroughly investigate the bearing characteristics of the three-spiral-pile jacket foundation.This study also focused on analyzing the bearing mechanisms of conventional piles compared with spiral piles with different numbers of blades.Three different working conditions were set up and compared,and key data,such as the horizontal bearing capacity,pile shaft axial force,and spiral blade soil pressure,were measured and analyzed.The results show the distinct impacts of the spiral blades on the compressed and tensioned sides of the foundation.Specifically,on the compressed side,the spiral blades effectively enhance the restraint of the soil on the pile foundation,whereas on the tensioned side,an excessive number of spiral blades can negatively affect the structural tensile performance to some extent.This study also emphasizes that the addition of blades to the side of a single pile is the most effective method for increasing the bearing capacity of the foundation.This research aims to provide design insights into improving the bearing capacity of the foundation.展开更多
Wind power forecasting plays a crucial role in optimizing the integration of wind energy into the grid by predicting wind patterns and energy output.This enhances the efficiency and reliability of renewable energy sys...Wind power forecasting plays a crucial role in optimizing the integration of wind energy into the grid by predicting wind patterns and energy output.This enhances the efficiency and reliability of renewable energy systems.Forecasting approaches inform energy management strategies,reduce reliance on fossil fuels,and support the broader transition to sustainable energy solutions.The primary goal of this study is to introduce an effective methodology for estimating wind power through temporal data analysis.This research advances an optimized Multilayer Perceptron(MLP)model using recently proposedmetaheuristic optimization algorithms,namely the FireHawk Optimizer(FHO)and the Non-Monopolize Search(NO).A modified version of FHO,termed FHONO,is developed by integrating NO as a local search mechanism to enhance the exploration capability and address the shortcomings of the original FHO.The developed FHONO is then employed to optimize the MLP for enhanced wind power prediction.The effectiveness of the proposed FHONO-MLP model is validated using renowned datasets from wind turbines in France.The results of the comparative analysis between FHONO-MLP,conventionalMLP,and other optimized versions of MLP show that FHONO-MLP outperforms the others,achieving an average RootMean Square Error(RMSE)of 0.105,Mean Absolute Error(MAE)of 0.082,and Coefficient of Determination(R^(2))of 0.967 across all datasets.These findings underscore the significant enhancement in predictive accuracy provided by FHONO and demonstrate its effectiveness in improving wind power forecasting.展开更多
Currently,renewable energy has been broadly implemented across diverse sectors,particularly evidenced by its substantially higher integration levels in power systems.Thelarge-scale integration of renewable energy reso...Currently,renewable energy has been broadly implemented across diverse sectors,particularly evidenced by its substantially higher integration levels in power systems.Thelarge-scale integration of renewable energy resources introduces distinct fault characteristics into power grids,potentially rendering traditional line protection schemes inadequate for transmission lines interfacing with these sources.Therefore,it is imperative to study line protection methods unaffected by the integration of renewable energy resources.After analyzing the propagation process of the fault traveling wave along the transmission line,a non-unit protection based on traveling wave distancemeasurement is proposed.The core principle of the proposedmethod relies onmeasuring the temporal interval ΔT between detections of the first and second fault backward traveling waves at the measurement point.The Teager energy operator(TEO),which demonstrates advantages in highlighting stepmutation characteristics,was employed to extract ΔT by processing the fault backward traveling wave signal detected at the measurement point.To evaluate the efficacy of the proposed protection method,various fault scenarios were simulated in the established PSCAD/EMTDC simulation system.Validation results confirm that the proposed non-unit protection can provide full-line protection coverage,enabling fast and reliable discrimination of internal and external faults with inherent immunity to renewable energy penetration.展开更多
Improving the accuracy of the evaluation of the performance of wind farms in large wind power bases located in complex terrain under the actual atmosphere is crucial to the sustainable development of wind power.To thi...Improving the accuracy of the evaluation of the performance of wind farms in large wind power bases located in complex terrain under the actual atmosphere is crucial to the sustainable development of wind power.To this end,this study combined the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model with the Wind Farm Parameterization(WFP)method to investigate the wake characteristics and operational performance of large onshore wind farms in the complex terrain of Jiuquan City,Gansu Province,China.The research results showed that after verification,the systematic error of the WRF simulations was less than 3%.The WRF model and the WFP scheme simulated a significant warming phenomenon within the wind power base area,while a cooling effect was observed outside.The analysis of the wake effects indicated that the impact of PhaseⅠconstruction on PhaseⅡconstruction of the wind power base was minimal.During the operation of the entire wind power base,the wind speed within the wind farm decreased by approximately 10%,and the influence range of the predominant wind direction extended over a hundred kilometers downwind.The research conclusions provide a powerful scientific basis for optimizing design and operation,improving efficiency,minimizing the negative impacts on adjacent wind turbines,and ensuring the sustainable development of wind energy through dynamic planning and scientific assessment.展开更多
As the core facility of offshore wind power systems,the structural safety of offshore booster stations directly impacts the stable operation of entire wind farms.With the global energy transition toward green and lowc...As the core facility of offshore wind power systems,the structural safety of offshore booster stations directly impacts the stable operation of entire wind farms.With the global energy transition toward green and lowcarbon goals,offshore wind power has emerged as a key renewable energy source,yet its booster stations face harsh marine environments,including persistent wave impacts,salt spray corrosion,and equipment-induced vibrations.Traditional monitoring methods relying on manual inspections and single-dimensional sensors suffer from critical limitations:low efficiency,poor real-time performance,and inability to capture millinewton-level stress fluctuations that signal early structural fatigue.To address these challenges,this study proposes a biomechanics-driven structural safety monitoring system integrated with deep learning.Inspired by biological stress-sensing mechanisms,the system deploys a distributedmulti-dimensional force sensor network to capture real-time stress distributions in key structural components.A hybrid convolutional neural network-radial basis function(CNN-RBF)model is developed:the CNN branch extracts spatiotemporal features from multi-source sensing data,while the RBF branch reconstructs the nonlinear stress field for accurate anomaly diagnosis.The three-tier architectural design—data layer(distributed sensor array),function layer(CNN-RBF modeling),and application layer(edge computing terminal)—enables a closedloop process from high-resolution data collection to real-time early warning,with data processing delay controlled within 200 ms.Experimental validation against traditional SOM-based systems demonstrates significant performance improvements:monitoring accuracy increased by 19.8%,efficiency by 23.4%,recall rate by 20.5%,and F1 score by 21.6%.Under extreme weather(e.g.,typhoons and winter storms),the system’s stability is 40% higher,with user satisfaction improving by 17.2%.The biomechanics-inspired sensor design enhances survival rates in salt fog(85.7%improvement)and dynamic loads,highlighting its robust engineering applicability for intelligent offshore wind farm maintenance.展开更多
Offshore wind farms are becoming increasingly distant from onshore centralized control centers,and the communication delays between them inevitably introduce time delays in the measurement signal of the primary freque...Offshore wind farms are becoming increasingly distant from onshore centralized control centers,and the communication delays between them inevitably introduce time delays in the measurement signal of the primary frequency control.This causes a deterioration in the performance of the primary frequency control and,in some cases,may even result in frequency instability within the power system.Therefore,a frequency response model that incorporates communication delays was established for power systems that integrate offshore wind power.The Padéapproximation was used to model the time delays,and a linearized frequency response model of the power system was derived to investigate the frequency stability under different time delays.The influences of the wind power proportion and frequency control parameters on the system frequency stability were explored.In addition,a Smith delay compensation control strategy was devised to mitigate the effects of communication delays on the system frequency dynamics.Finally,a power system incorporating offshore wind power was constructed using the MATLAB/Simulink platform.The simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed delay compensation control strategy.展开更多
High-frequency oscillation(HFO)of gridconnected wind power generation systems(WPGS)is one of the most critical issues in recent years that threaten the safe access of WPGS to the grid.Ensuring the WPGS can damp HFO is...High-frequency oscillation(HFO)of gridconnected wind power generation systems(WPGS)is one of the most critical issues in recent years that threaten the safe access of WPGS to the grid.Ensuring the WPGS can damp HFO is becoming more and more vital for the development of wind power.The HFO phenomenon of wind turbines under different scenarios usually has different mechanisms.Hence,engineers need to acquire the working mechanisms of the different HFO damping technologies and select the appropriate one to ensure the effective implementation of oscillation damping in practical engineering.This paper introduces the general assumptions of WPGS when analyzing HFO,systematically summarizes the reasons for the occurrence of HFO in different scenarios,deeply analyses the key points and difficulties of HFO damping under different scenarios,and then compares the technical performances of various types of HFO suppression methods to provide adequate references for engineers in the application of technology.Finally,this paper discusses possible future research difficulties in the problem of HFO,as well as the possible future trends in the demand for HFO damping.展开更多
Power quality improvements help guide and solve the problems of inefficient energy production and unstable power output in wind power systems.The purpose of this paper is mainly to explore the influence of different e...Power quality improvements help guide and solve the problems of inefficient energy production and unstable power output in wind power systems.The purpose of this paper is mainly to explore the influence of different energy storage batteries on various power quality indicators by adding different energy storage devices to the simulated wind power system,and to explore the correlation between systementropy generation and various indicators,so as to provide a theoretical basis for directly improving power quality by reducing loss.A steady-state experiment was performed by replacing the wind wheel with an electric motor,and the output power qualities of the wind power systemwith andwithout energy storagewere compared and analyzed.Moreover,the improvement effect of different energy storage devices on various indicatorswas obtained.Then,based on the entropy theory,the loss of the internal components of the wind power system generator is simulated and explored by Ansys software.Through the analysis of power quality evaluation indicators,such as current harmonic distortion rate,frequency deviation rate,and voltage fluctuation,the correlation between entropy production and each evaluation indicator was explored to investigate effective methods to improve power quality by reducing entropy production.The results showed that the current harmonic distortion rate,voltage fluctuation,voltage deviation,and system entropy production are positively correlated in the tests and that the power factor is negatively correlated with system entropy production.In the frequency range,the frequency deviationwas not significantly correlated with the systementropy production.展开更多
This paper presents an evaluation method for the entropy-weighting of wind power clusters that comprehensively evaluates the allocation problems of wind power clusters by considering the correlation between indicators...This paper presents an evaluation method for the entropy-weighting of wind power clusters that comprehensively evaluates the allocation problems of wind power clusters by considering the correlation between indicators and the dynamic performance of weight changes.A dynamic layered sorting allocation method is also proposed.The proposed evaluation method considers the power-limiting degree of the last cycle,the adjustment margin,and volatility.It uses the theory of weight variation to update the entropy weight coefficients of each indicator in real time,and then performs a fuzzy evaluation based on the membership function to obtain intuitive comprehensive evaluation results.A case study of a large-scale wind power base in Northwest China was conducted.The proposed evaluation method is compared with fixed-weight entropy and principal component analysis methods.The results show that the three scoring trends are the same,and that the proposed evaluation method is closer to the average level of the latter two,demonstrating higher accuracy.The proposed allocation method can reduce the number of adjustments made to wind farms,which is significant for the allocation and evaluation of wind power clusters.展开更多
To reduce carbon emissions,clean energy is being integrated into the power system.Wind power is connected to the grid in a distributed form,but its high variability poses a challenge to grid stability.This article com...To reduce carbon emissions,clean energy is being integrated into the power system.Wind power is connected to the grid in a distributed form,but its high variability poses a challenge to grid stability.This article combines wind turbine monitoring data with numerical weather prediction(NWP)data to create a suitable wind power prediction framework for distributed grids.First,high-precision NWP of the turbine range is achieved using weather research and forecasting models(WRF),and Kriging interpolation locates predicted meteorological data at the turbine site.Then,a preliminary predicted power series is obtained based on the fan’s wind speed-power conversion curve,and historical power is reconstructed using variational mode decomposition(VMD)filtering to form input variables in chronological order.Finally,input variables of a single turbine enter the temporal convolutional network(TCN)to complete initial feature extraction,and then integrate the outputs of all TCN layers using Long Short Term Memory Networks(LSTM)to obtain power prediction sequences for all turbine positions.The proposed method was tested on a wind farm connected to a distributed power grid,and the results showed it to be superior to existing typical methods.展开更多
As the large-scale development of wind farms(WFs)progresses,the connection ofWFs to the regional power grid is evolving from the conventional receiving power grid to the sending power grid with a high proportion of wi...As the large-scale development of wind farms(WFs)progresses,the connection ofWFs to the regional power grid is evolving from the conventional receiving power grid to the sending power grid with a high proportion of wind power(WP).Due to the randomness of WP output,higher requirements are put forward for the voltage stability of each node of the regional power grid,and various reactive power compensation devices(RPCDs)need to be rationally configured to meet the stable operation requirements of the system.This paper proposes an optimal configuration method for multi-type RPCDs in regional power grids with a high proportion of WP.The RPCDs are located according to the proposed static voltage stability index(VSI)and dynamicVSI based on dynamic voltage drop area,and the optimal configuration model of RPCDs is constructed with the lowest construction cost as the objective function to determine the installed capacity of various RPCDs.Finally,the corresponding regional power grid model for intensive access to WFs is constructed on the simulation platform to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.展开更多
Accurate wind power forecasting is critical for system integration and stability as renewable energy reliance grows.Traditional approaches frequently struggle with complex data and non-linear connections. This article...Accurate wind power forecasting is critical for system integration and stability as renewable energy reliance grows.Traditional approaches frequently struggle with complex data and non-linear connections. This article presentsa novel approach for hybrid ensemble learning that is based on rigorous requirements engineering concepts.The approach finds significant parameters influencing forecasting accuracy by evaluating real-time Modern-EraRetrospective Analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA2) data from several European Wind farms usingin-depth stakeholder research and requirements elicitation. Ensemble learning is used to develop a robust model,while a temporal convolutional network handles time-series complexities and data gaps. The ensemble-temporalneural network is enhanced by providing different input parameters including training layers, hidden and dropoutlayers along with activation and loss functions. The proposed framework is further analyzed by comparing stateof-the-art forecasting models in terms of Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE),respectively. The energy efficiency performance indicators showed that the proposed model demonstrates errorreduction percentages of approximately 16.67%, 28.57%, and 81.92% for MAE, and 38.46%, 17.65%, and 90.78%for RMSE for MERRAWind farms 1, 2, and 3, respectively, compared to other existingmethods. These quantitativeresults show the effectiveness of our proposed model with MAE values ranging from 0.0010 to 0.0156 and RMSEvalues ranging from 0.0014 to 0.0174. This work highlights the effectiveness of requirements engineering in windpower forecasting, leading to enhanced forecast accuracy and grid stability, ultimately paving the way for moresustainable energy solutions.展开更多
Hydrogen energy,with its abundant reserves,green and low-carbon characteristic,high energy density,diverse sources,and wide applications,is gradually becoming an important carrier in the global energy transformation a...Hydrogen energy,with its abundant reserves,green and low-carbon characteristic,high energy density,diverse sources,and wide applications,is gradually becoming an important carrier in the global energy transformation and development.In this paper,the off-grid wind power hydrogen production system is considered as the research object,and the operating characteristics of a proton exchange membrane(PEM)electrolysis cell,including underload,overload,variable load,and start-stop are analyzed.On this basis,the characteristic extraction of wind power output data after noise reduction is carried out,and then the self-organizing mapping neural network algorithm is used for clustering to extract typical wind power output scenarios and perform weight distribution based on the statistical probability.The trend and fluctuation components are superimposed to generate the typical operating conditions of an off-grid PEM electrolytic hydrogen production system.The historical output data of an actual wind farm are used for the case study,and the results confirm the feasibility of the method proposed in this study for obtaining the typical conditions of off-grid wind power hydrogen production.The results provide a basis for studying the dynamic operation characteristics of PEM electrolytic hydrogen production systems,and the performance degradation mechanism of PEM electrolysis cells under fluctuating inputs.展开更多
Hydrogen production by proton exchange membrane electrolysis has good fluctuation adaptability,making it suitable for hydrogen production by electrolysis in fluctuating power sources such as wind power.However,current...Hydrogen production by proton exchange membrane electrolysis has good fluctuation adaptability,making it suitable for hydrogen production by electrolysis in fluctuating power sources such as wind power.However,current research on the durability of proton exchange membrane electrolyzers is insufficient.Studying the typical operating conditions of wind power electrolysis for hydrogen production can provide boundary conditions for performance and degradation tests of electrolysis stacks.In this study,the operating condition spectrum of an electrolysis stack degradation test cycle was proposed.Based on the rate of change of the wind farm output power and the time-averaged peak-valley difference,a fluctuation output power sample set was formed.The characteristic quantities that played an important role in the degradation of the electrolysis stack were selected.Dimensionality reduction of the operating data was performed using principal component analysis.Clustering analysis of the data segments was completed using an improved Gaussian mixture clustering algorithm.Taking the annual output power data of wind farms in Northwest China with a sampling rate of 1 min as an example,the cyclic operating condition spectrum of the proton-exchange membrane electrolysis stack degradation test was constructed.After preliminary simulation analysis,the typical operating condition proposed in this paper effectively reflects the impact of the original curve on the performance degradation of the electrolysis stack.This study provides a method for evaluating the degradation characteristics and system efficiency of an electrolysis stack due to fluctuations in renewable energy.展开更多
With the continuous advancement of China’s“peak carbon dioxide emissions and Carbon Neutrality”process,the proportion of wind power is increasing.In the current research,aiming at the problem that the forecasting m...With the continuous advancement of China’s“peak carbon dioxide emissions and Carbon Neutrality”process,the proportion of wind power is increasing.In the current research,aiming at the problem that the forecasting model is outdated due to the continuous updating of wind power data,a short-term wind power forecasting algorithm based on Incremental Learning-Bagging Deep Hybrid Kernel Extreme Learning Machine(IL-Bagging-DHKELM)error affinity propagation cluster analysis is proposed.The algorithm effectively combines deep hybrid kernel extreme learning machine(DHKELM)with incremental learning(IL).Firstly,an initial wind power prediction model is trained using the Bagging-DHKELM model.Secondly,Euclidean morphological distance affinity propagation AP clustering algorithm is used to cluster and analyze the prediction error of wind power obtained from the initial training model.Finally,the correlation between wind power prediction errors and Numerical Weather Prediction(NWP)data is introduced as incremental updates to the initial wind power prediction model.During the incremental learning process,multiple error performance indicators are used to measure the overall model performance,thereby enabling incremental updates of wind power models.Practical examples show the method proposed in this article reduces the root mean square error of the initial model by 1.9 percentage points,indicating that this method can be better adapted to the current scenario of the continuous increase in wind power penetration rate.The accuracy and precision of wind power generation prediction are effectively improved through the method.展开更多
As the penetration ratio of wind power in active distribution networks continues to increase,the system exhibits some characteristics such as randomness and volatility.Fast and accurate short-term wind power predictio...As the penetration ratio of wind power in active distribution networks continues to increase,the system exhibits some characteristics such as randomness and volatility.Fast and accurate short-term wind power prediction is essential for algorithms like scheduling and optimization control.Based on the spatio-temporal features of Numerical Weather Prediction(NWP)data,it proposes the WVMD_DSN(Whale Optimization Algorithm,Variational Mode Decomposition,Dual Stream Network)model.The model first applies Pearson correlation coefficient(PCC)to choose some NWP features with strong correlation to wind power to form the feature set.Then,it decomposes the feature set using Variational Mode Decomposition(VMD)to eliminate the nonstationarity and obtains Intrinsic Mode Functions(IMFs).Here Whale Optimization Algorithm(WOA)is applied to optimise the key parameters of VMD,namely the number of mode components K and penalty factor a.Finally,incorporating attention mechanism(AM),Squeeze-Excitation Network(SENet),and Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit(BiGRU),it constructs the dual-stream network(DSN)for short-term wind power prediction.Comparative experiments demonstrate that the WVMD_DSN model outperforms existing baseline algorithms and exhibits good generalization performance.The relevant code is available at https://github.com/ruanyuyuan/Wind-power-forecast.git(accessed on 20 August 2024).展开更多
基金funded by the State Grid Science and Technology Project“Research on Key Technologies for Prediction and Early Warning of Large-Scale Offshore Wind Power Ramp Events Based on Meteorological Data Enhancement”(4000-202318098A-1-1-ZN).
文摘The development of wind power clusters has scaled in terms of both scale and coverage,and the impact of weather fluctuations on cluster output changes has become increasingly complex.Accurately identifying the forward-looking information of key wind farms in a cluster under different weather conditions is an effective method to improve the accuracy of ultrashort-term cluster power forecasting.To this end,this paper proposes a refined modeling method for ultrashort-term wind power cluster forecasting based on a convergent cross-mapping algorithm.From the perspective of causality,key meteorological forecasting factors under different cluster power fluctuation processes were screened,and refined training modeling was performed for different fluctuation processes.First,a wind process description index system and classification model at the wind power cluster level are established to realize the classification of typical fluctuation processes.A meteorological-cluster power causal relationship evaluation model based on the convergent cross-mapping algorithm is pro-posed to screen meteorological forecasting factors under multiple types of typical fluctuation processes.Finally,a refined modeling meth-od for a variety of different typical fluctuation processes is proposed,and the strong causal meteorological forecasting factors of each scenario are used as inputs to realize high-precision modeling and forecasting of ultra-short-term wind cluster power.An example anal-ysis shows that the short-term wind power cluster power forecasting accuracy of the proposed method can reach 88.55%,which is 1.57-7.32%higher than that of traditional methods.
基金funded by the Inner Mongolia Nature Foundation Project,Project number:2023JQ04.
文摘Power quality is a crucial area of research in contemporary power systems,particularly given the rapid proliferation of intermittent renewable energy sources such as wind power.This study investigated the relationships between power quality indices of system output and PSD by utilizing theories related to spectra,PSD,and random signal power spectra.The relationship was derived,validated through experiments and simulations,and subsequently applied to multi-objective optimization.Various optimization algorithms were compared to achieve optimal system power quality.The findings revealed that the relationships between power quality indices and PSD were influenced by variations in the order of the power spectral estimation model.An increase in the order of the AR model resulted in a 36%improvement in the number of optimal solutions.Regarding optimal solution distribution,NSGA-II demonstrated superior diversity,while MOEA/D exhibited better convergence.However,practical applications showed that while MOEA/D had higher convergence,NSGA-II produced superior optimal solutions,achieving the best power quality indices(THDi at 4.62%,d%at 3.51%,and cosφat 96%).These results suggest that the proposed method holds significant potential for optimizing power quality in practical applications.
基金funded by the Science and Technology Project of State Grid Corporation of China under Grant No.5108-202218280A-2-299-XG.
文摘Wind power generation is subjected to complex and variable meteorological conditions,resulting in intermittent and volatile power generation.Accurate wind power prediction plays a crucial role in enabling the power grid dispatching departments to rationally plan power transmission and energy storage operations.This enhances the efficiency of wind power integration into the grid.It allows grid operators to anticipate and mitigate the impact of wind power fluctuations,significantly improving the resilience of wind farms and the overall power grid.Furthermore,it assists wind farm operators in optimizing the management of power generation facilities and reducing maintenance costs.Despite these benefits,accurate wind power prediction especially in extreme scenarios remains a significant challenge.To address this issue,a novel wind power prediction model based on learning approach is proposed by integrating wavelet transform and Transformer.First,a conditional generative adversarial network(CGAN)generates dynamic extreme scenarios guided by physical constraints and expert rules to ensure realism and capture critical features of wind power fluctuations under extremeconditions.Next,thewavelet transformconvolutional layer is applied to enhance sensitivity to frequency domain characteristics,enabling effective feature extraction fromextreme scenarios for a deeper understanding of input data.The model then leverages the Transformer’s self-attention mechanism to capture global dependencies between features,strengthening its sequence modelling capabilities.Case analyses verify themodel’s superior performance in extreme scenario prediction by effectively capturing local fluctuation featureswhile maintaining a grasp of global trends.Compared to other models,it achieves R-squared(R^(2))as high as 0.95,and the mean absolute error(MAE)and rootmean square error(RMSE)are also significantly lower than those of othermodels,proving its high accuracy and effectiveness in managing complex wind power generation conditions.
文摘In this study,a machine learning-based predictive model was developed for the Musa petti Wind Farm in Sri Lanka to address the need for localized forecasting solutions.Using data on wind speed,air temperature,nacelle position,and actual power,lagged features were generated to capture temporal dependencies.Among 24 evaluated models,the ensemble bagging approach achieved the best performance,with R^(2) values of 0.89 at 0 min and 0.75 at 60 min.Shapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)analysis revealed that while wind speed is the primary driver for short-term predictions,air temperature and nacelle position become more influential at longer forecasting horizons.These findings underscore the reliability of short-term predictions and the potential benefits of integrating hybrid AI and probabilistic models for extended forecasts.Our work contributes a robust and explainable framework to support Sri Lanka’s renewable energy transition,and future research will focus on real-time deployment and uncertainty quantification.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52171274).
文摘Spiral pile foundations,as a promising type of foundation,are of significant importance for the development of offshore wind energy,particularly as it moves toward deeper waters.This study conducted a physical experiment on a three-spiral-pile jacket foundation under deep-buried sandy soil conditions.During the experiment,horizontal displacement was applied to the structure to thoroughly investigate the bearing characteristics of the three-spiral-pile jacket foundation.This study also focused on analyzing the bearing mechanisms of conventional piles compared with spiral piles with different numbers of blades.Three different working conditions were set up and compared,and key data,such as the horizontal bearing capacity,pile shaft axial force,and spiral blade soil pressure,were measured and analyzed.The results show the distinct impacts of the spiral blades on the compressed and tensioned sides of the foundation.Specifically,on the compressed side,the spiral blades effectively enhance the restraint of the soil on the pile foundation,whereas on the tensioned side,an excessive number of spiral blades can negatively affect the structural tensile performance to some extent.This study also emphasizes that the addition of blades to the side of a single pile is the most effective method for increasing the bearing capacity of the foundation.This research aims to provide design insights into improving the bearing capacity of the foundation.
基金the Deanship of Graduate Studies and Scientific Research at University of Bisha,Saudi Arabia for funding this research work through the Promising Program under Grant Number(UB-Promising-42-1445).
文摘Wind power forecasting plays a crucial role in optimizing the integration of wind energy into the grid by predicting wind patterns and energy output.This enhances the efficiency and reliability of renewable energy systems.Forecasting approaches inform energy management strategies,reduce reliance on fossil fuels,and support the broader transition to sustainable energy solutions.The primary goal of this study is to introduce an effective methodology for estimating wind power through temporal data analysis.This research advances an optimized Multilayer Perceptron(MLP)model using recently proposedmetaheuristic optimization algorithms,namely the FireHawk Optimizer(FHO)and the Non-Monopolize Search(NO).A modified version of FHO,termed FHONO,is developed by integrating NO as a local search mechanism to enhance the exploration capability and address the shortcomings of the original FHO.The developed FHONO is then employed to optimize the MLP for enhanced wind power prediction.The effectiveness of the proposed FHONO-MLP model is validated using renowned datasets from wind turbines in France.The results of the comparative analysis between FHONO-MLP,conventionalMLP,and other optimized versions of MLP show that FHONO-MLP outperforms the others,achieving an average RootMean Square Error(RMSE)of 0.105,Mean Absolute Error(MAE)of 0.082,and Coefficient of Determination(R^(2))of 0.967 across all datasets.These findings underscore the significant enhancement in predictive accuracy provided by FHONO and demonstrate its effectiveness in improving wind power forecasting.
基金funded in part by Science and Technology Project of State Grid Sichuan Electric Power Company under Grant 521997230003.
文摘Currently,renewable energy has been broadly implemented across diverse sectors,particularly evidenced by its substantially higher integration levels in power systems.Thelarge-scale integration of renewable energy resources introduces distinct fault characteristics into power grids,potentially rendering traditional line protection schemes inadequate for transmission lines interfacing with these sources.Therefore,it is imperative to study line protection methods unaffected by the integration of renewable energy resources.After analyzing the propagation process of the fault traveling wave along the transmission line,a non-unit protection based on traveling wave distancemeasurement is proposed.The core principle of the proposedmethod relies onmeasuring the temporal interval ΔT between detections of the first and second fault backward traveling waves at the measurement point.The Teager energy operator(TEO),which demonstrates advantages in highlighting stepmutation characteristics,was employed to extract ΔT by processing the fault backward traveling wave signal detected at the measurement point.To evaluate the efficacy of the proposed protection method,various fault scenarios were simulated in the established PSCAD/EMTDC simulation system.Validation results confirm that the proposed non-unit protection can provide full-line protection coverage,enabling fast and reliable discrimination of internal and external faults with inherent immunity to renewable energy penetration.
基金funded by“The Factors Affecting the Accuracy of Wind Resource Assessment and Comprehensive Post-Evaluation Techniques for Operating Wind Power Projects,”grant number YJ24.002“The Research and Application of Future Medium to Long Term Wind Resource Assessment for Wind Farms Based on Artificial Intelligence Project,”grant number 2023021。
文摘Improving the accuracy of the evaluation of the performance of wind farms in large wind power bases located in complex terrain under the actual atmosphere is crucial to the sustainable development of wind power.To this end,this study combined the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model with the Wind Farm Parameterization(WFP)method to investigate the wake characteristics and operational performance of large onshore wind farms in the complex terrain of Jiuquan City,Gansu Province,China.The research results showed that after verification,the systematic error of the WRF simulations was less than 3%.The WRF model and the WFP scheme simulated a significant warming phenomenon within the wind power base area,while a cooling effect was observed outside.The analysis of the wake effects indicated that the impact of PhaseⅠconstruction on PhaseⅡconstruction of the wind power base was minimal.During the operation of the entire wind power base,the wind speed within the wind farm decreased by approximately 10%,and the influence range of the predominant wind direction extended over a hundred kilometers downwind.The research conclusions provide a powerful scientific basis for optimizing design and operation,improving efficiency,minimizing the negative impacts on adjacent wind turbines,and ensuring the sustainable development of wind energy through dynamic planning and scientific assessment.
基金supported by the Science and Technology Project of China Huaneng Group Co.,Ltd.Research on Key Technologies for Monitoring and Protection of Offshore Wind Power Underwater Equipment(HNKJ21-H40).
文摘As the core facility of offshore wind power systems,the structural safety of offshore booster stations directly impacts the stable operation of entire wind farms.With the global energy transition toward green and lowcarbon goals,offshore wind power has emerged as a key renewable energy source,yet its booster stations face harsh marine environments,including persistent wave impacts,salt spray corrosion,and equipment-induced vibrations.Traditional monitoring methods relying on manual inspections and single-dimensional sensors suffer from critical limitations:low efficiency,poor real-time performance,and inability to capture millinewton-level stress fluctuations that signal early structural fatigue.To address these challenges,this study proposes a biomechanics-driven structural safety monitoring system integrated with deep learning.Inspired by biological stress-sensing mechanisms,the system deploys a distributedmulti-dimensional force sensor network to capture real-time stress distributions in key structural components.A hybrid convolutional neural network-radial basis function(CNN-RBF)model is developed:the CNN branch extracts spatiotemporal features from multi-source sensing data,while the RBF branch reconstructs the nonlinear stress field for accurate anomaly diagnosis.The three-tier architectural design—data layer(distributed sensor array),function layer(CNN-RBF modeling),and application layer(edge computing terminal)—enables a closedloop process from high-resolution data collection to real-time early warning,with data processing delay controlled within 200 ms.Experimental validation against traditional SOM-based systems demonstrates significant performance improvements:monitoring accuracy increased by 19.8%,efficiency by 23.4%,recall rate by 20.5%,and F1 score by 21.6%.Under extreme weather(e.g.,typhoons and winter storms),the system’s stability is 40% higher,with user satisfaction improving by 17.2%.The biomechanics-inspired sensor design enhances survival rates in salt fog(85.7%improvement)and dynamic loads,highlighting its robust engineering applicability for intelligent offshore wind farm maintenance.
基金the support of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(52077061)Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(B240201121).
文摘Offshore wind farms are becoming increasingly distant from onshore centralized control centers,and the communication delays between them inevitably introduce time delays in the measurement signal of the primary frequency control.This causes a deterioration in the performance of the primary frequency control and,in some cases,may even result in frequency instability within the power system.Therefore,a frequency response model that incorporates communication delays was established for power systems that integrate offshore wind power.The Padéapproximation was used to model the time delays,and a linearized frequency response model of the power system was derived to investigate the frequency stability under different time delays.The influences of the wind power proportion and frequency control parameters on the system frequency stability were explored.In addition,a Smith delay compensation control strategy was devised to mitigate the effects of communication delays on the system frequency dynamics.Finally,a power system incorporating offshore wind power was constructed using the MATLAB/Simulink platform.The simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed delay compensation control strategy.
基金supported in part by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities under Grant 2682023CX019National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant U23B6007 and Grant 52307141Sichuan Science and Technology Program under Grant 2024NSFSC0115。
文摘High-frequency oscillation(HFO)of gridconnected wind power generation systems(WPGS)is one of the most critical issues in recent years that threaten the safe access of WPGS to the grid.Ensuring the WPGS can damp HFO is becoming more and more vital for the development of wind power.The HFO phenomenon of wind turbines under different scenarios usually has different mechanisms.Hence,engineers need to acquire the working mechanisms of the different HFO damping technologies and select the appropriate one to ensure the effective implementation of oscillation damping in practical engineering.This paper introduces the general assumptions of WPGS when analyzing HFO,systematically summarizes the reasons for the occurrence of HFO in different scenarios,deeply analyses the key points and difficulties of HFO damping under different scenarios,and then compares the technical performances of various types of HFO suppression methods to provide adequate references for engineers in the application of technology.Finally,this paper discusses possible future research difficulties in the problem of HFO,as well as the possible future trends in the demand for HFO damping.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51966013)Inner Mongolia Natural Science Foundation Jieqing Project(No.2023JQ04)+1 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51966018)the Natural Science Foundation of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region(No.STZC202230).
文摘Power quality improvements help guide and solve the problems of inefficient energy production and unstable power output in wind power systems.The purpose of this paper is mainly to explore the influence of different energy storage batteries on various power quality indicators by adding different energy storage devices to the simulated wind power system,and to explore the correlation between systementropy generation and various indicators,so as to provide a theoretical basis for directly improving power quality by reducing loss.A steady-state experiment was performed by replacing the wind wheel with an electric motor,and the output power qualities of the wind power systemwith andwithout energy storagewere compared and analyzed.Moreover,the improvement effect of different energy storage devices on various indicatorswas obtained.Then,based on the entropy theory,the loss of the internal components of the wind power system generator is simulated and explored by Ansys software.Through the analysis of power quality evaluation indicators,such as current harmonic distortion rate,frequency deviation rate,and voltage fluctuation,the correlation between entropy production and each evaluation indicator was explored to investigate effective methods to improve power quality by reducing entropy production.The results showed that the current harmonic distortion rate,voltage fluctuation,voltage deviation,and system entropy production are positively correlated in the tests and that the power factor is negatively correlated with system entropy production.In the frequency range,the frequency deviationwas not significantly correlated with the systementropy production.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.52076038,U22B20112,No.52106238)the Fundamental Research Funds for Central Universities(No.423162,B230201051).
文摘This paper presents an evaluation method for the entropy-weighting of wind power clusters that comprehensively evaluates the allocation problems of wind power clusters by considering the correlation between indicators and the dynamic performance of weight changes.A dynamic layered sorting allocation method is also proposed.The proposed evaluation method considers the power-limiting degree of the last cycle,the adjustment margin,and volatility.It uses the theory of weight variation to update the entropy weight coefficients of each indicator in real time,and then performs a fuzzy evaluation based on the membership function to obtain intuitive comprehensive evaluation results.A case study of a large-scale wind power base in Northwest China was conducted.The proposed evaluation method is compared with fixed-weight entropy and principal component analysis methods.The results show that the three scoring trends are the same,and that the proposed evaluation method is closer to the average level of the latter two,demonstrating higher accuracy.The proposed allocation method can reduce the number of adjustments made to wind farms,which is significant for the allocation and evaluation of wind power clusters.
基金funded by National Key Research and Development Program of China (2021YFB2601400)。
文摘To reduce carbon emissions,clean energy is being integrated into the power system.Wind power is connected to the grid in a distributed form,but its high variability poses a challenge to grid stability.This article combines wind turbine monitoring data with numerical weather prediction(NWP)data to create a suitable wind power prediction framework for distributed grids.First,high-precision NWP of the turbine range is achieved using weather research and forecasting models(WRF),and Kriging interpolation locates predicted meteorological data at the turbine site.Then,a preliminary predicted power series is obtained based on the fan’s wind speed-power conversion curve,and historical power is reconstructed using variational mode decomposition(VMD)filtering to form input variables in chronological order.Finally,input variables of a single turbine enter the temporal convolutional network(TCN)to complete initial feature extraction,and then integrate the outputs of all TCN layers using Long Short Term Memory Networks(LSTM)to obtain power prediction sequences for all turbine positions.The proposed method was tested on a wind farm connected to a distributed power grid,and the results showed it to be superior to existing typical methods.
基金supported by the Science and Technology Project of State Grid Corporation Headquarters(No.5100-202323008A-1-1-ZN).
文摘As the large-scale development of wind farms(WFs)progresses,the connection ofWFs to the regional power grid is evolving from the conventional receiving power grid to the sending power grid with a high proportion of wind power(WP).Due to the randomness of WP output,higher requirements are put forward for the voltage stability of each node of the regional power grid,and various reactive power compensation devices(RPCDs)need to be rationally configured to meet the stable operation requirements of the system.This paper proposes an optimal configuration method for multi-type RPCDs in regional power grids with a high proportion of WP.The RPCDs are located according to the proposed static voltage stability index(VSI)and dynamicVSI based on dynamic voltage drop area,and the optimal configuration model of RPCDs is constructed with the lowest construction cost as the objective function to determine the installed capacity of various RPCDs.Finally,the corresponding regional power grid model for intensive access to WFs is constructed on the simulation platform to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.
文摘Accurate wind power forecasting is critical for system integration and stability as renewable energy reliance grows.Traditional approaches frequently struggle with complex data and non-linear connections. This article presentsa novel approach for hybrid ensemble learning that is based on rigorous requirements engineering concepts.The approach finds significant parameters influencing forecasting accuracy by evaluating real-time Modern-EraRetrospective Analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA2) data from several European Wind farms usingin-depth stakeholder research and requirements elicitation. Ensemble learning is used to develop a robust model,while a temporal convolutional network handles time-series complexities and data gaps. The ensemble-temporalneural network is enhanced by providing different input parameters including training layers, hidden and dropoutlayers along with activation and loss functions. The proposed framework is further analyzed by comparing stateof-the-art forecasting models in terms of Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE),respectively. The energy efficiency performance indicators showed that the proposed model demonstrates errorreduction percentages of approximately 16.67%, 28.57%, and 81.92% for MAE, and 38.46%, 17.65%, and 90.78%for RMSE for MERRAWind farms 1, 2, and 3, respectively, compared to other existingmethods. These quantitativeresults show the effectiveness of our proposed model with MAE values ranging from 0.0010 to 0.0156 and RMSEvalues ranging from 0.0014 to 0.0174. This work highlights the effectiveness of requirements engineering in windpower forecasting, leading to enhanced forecast accuracy and grid stability, ultimately paving the way for moresustainable energy solutions.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Program Number 2021YFB4000100)the Beijing Postdoctoral Research Foundation(Grant Number 2023-ZZ-63).
文摘Hydrogen energy,with its abundant reserves,green and low-carbon characteristic,high energy density,diverse sources,and wide applications,is gradually becoming an important carrier in the global energy transformation and development.In this paper,the off-grid wind power hydrogen production system is considered as the research object,and the operating characteristics of a proton exchange membrane(PEM)electrolysis cell,including underload,overload,variable load,and start-stop are analyzed.On this basis,the characteristic extraction of wind power output data after noise reduction is carried out,and then the self-organizing mapping neural network algorithm is used for clustering to extract typical wind power output scenarios and perform weight distribution based on the statistical probability.The trend and fluctuation components are superimposed to generate the typical operating conditions of an off-grid PEM electrolytic hydrogen production system.The historical output data of an actual wind farm are used for the case study,and the results confirm the feasibility of the method proposed in this study for obtaining the typical conditions of off-grid wind power hydrogen production.The results provide a basis for studying the dynamic operation characteristics of PEM electrolytic hydrogen production systems,and the performance degradation mechanism of PEM electrolysis cells under fluctuating inputs.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Materials and Process Basis of Electrolytic Hydrogen Production from Fluctuating Power Sources such as Photovoltaic/Wind Power,No.2021YFB4000100).
文摘Hydrogen production by proton exchange membrane electrolysis has good fluctuation adaptability,making it suitable for hydrogen production by electrolysis in fluctuating power sources such as wind power.However,current research on the durability of proton exchange membrane electrolyzers is insufficient.Studying the typical operating conditions of wind power electrolysis for hydrogen production can provide boundary conditions for performance and degradation tests of electrolysis stacks.In this study,the operating condition spectrum of an electrolysis stack degradation test cycle was proposed.Based on the rate of change of the wind farm output power and the time-averaged peak-valley difference,a fluctuation output power sample set was formed.The characteristic quantities that played an important role in the degradation of the electrolysis stack were selected.Dimensionality reduction of the operating data was performed using principal component analysis.Clustering analysis of the data segments was completed using an improved Gaussian mixture clustering algorithm.Taking the annual output power data of wind farms in Northwest China with a sampling rate of 1 min as an example,the cyclic operating condition spectrum of the proton-exchange membrane electrolysis stack degradation test was constructed.After preliminary simulation analysis,the typical operating condition proposed in this paper effectively reflects the impact of the original curve on the performance degradation of the electrolysis stack.This study provides a method for evaluating the degradation characteristics and system efficiency of an electrolysis stack due to fluctuations in renewable energy.
基金funded by Liaoning Provincial Department of Science and Technology(2023JH2/101600058)。
文摘With the continuous advancement of China’s“peak carbon dioxide emissions and Carbon Neutrality”process,the proportion of wind power is increasing.In the current research,aiming at the problem that the forecasting model is outdated due to the continuous updating of wind power data,a short-term wind power forecasting algorithm based on Incremental Learning-Bagging Deep Hybrid Kernel Extreme Learning Machine(IL-Bagging-DHKELM)error affinity propagation cluster analysis is proposed.The algorithm effectively combines deep hybrid kernel extreme learning machine(DHKELM)with incremental learning(IL).Firstly,an initial wind power prediction model is trained using the Bagging-DHKELM model.Secondly,Euclidean morphological distance affinity propagation AP clustering algorithm is used to cluster and analyze the prediction error of wind power obtained from the initial training model.Finally,the correlation between wind power prediction errors and Numerical Weather Prediction(NWP)data is introduced as incremental updates to the initial wind power prediction model.During the incremental learning process,multiple error performance indicators are used to measure the overall model performance,thereby enabling incremental updates of wind power models.Practical examples show the method proposed in this article reduces the root mean square error of the initial model by 1.9 percentage points,indicating that this method can be better adapted to the current scenario of the continuous increase in wind power penetration rate.The accuracy and precision of wind power generation prediction are effectively improved through the method.
基金the Science and Technology Project of State Grid Corporation of China under Grant 5400-202117142A-0-0-00the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 62372242.
文摘As the penetration ratio of wind power in active distribution networks continues to increase,the system exhibits some characteristics such as randomness and volatility.Fast and accurate short-term wind power prediction is essential for algorithms like scheduling and optimization control.Based on the spatio-temporal features of Numerical Weather Prediction(NWP)data,it proposes the WVMD_DSN(Whale Optimization Algorithm,Variational Mode Decomposition,Dual Stream Network)model.The model first applies Pearson correlation coefficient(PCC)to choose some NWP features with strong correlation to wind power to form the feature set.Then,it decomposes the feature set using Variational Mode Decomposition(VMD)to eliminate the nonstationarity and obtains Intrinsic Mode Functions(IMFs).Here Whale Optimization Algorithm(WOA)is applied to optimise the key parameters of VMD,namely the number of mode components K and penalty factor a.Finally,incorporating attention mechanism(AM),Squeeze-Excitation Network(SENet),and Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit(BiGRU),it constructs the dual-stream network(DSN)for short-term wind power prediction.Comparative experiments demonstrate that the WVMD_DSN model outperforms existing baseline algorithms and exhibits good generalization performance.The relevant code is available at https://github.com/ruanyuyuan/Wind-power-forecast.git(accessed on 20 August 2024).