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China advances in weather forecasting,disaster warning
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作者 万娜 李荣 《疯狂英语(初中天地)》 2025年第4期26-29,共4页
The China Meteorological Administration(CMA)said that in the last five years,China has made big improvements in its weather services.This includes better weather forecasts and ways to protect people from disasters.
关键词 weather forecasting ways protect people disasters disaster warning better weather forecasts weather services China Meteorological Administration improvements
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Rising frequency of ozone-favorable synoptic weather patterns contributes to 2015-2022 ozone increase in Guangzhou 被引量:2
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作者 Nanxi Liu Guowen He +8 位作者 Haolin Wang Cheng He Haofan Wang Chenxi Liu Yiming Wang Haichao Wang Lei Li Xiao Lu Shaojia Fan 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 2025年第2期502-514,共13页
Objective weather classification methods have been extensively applied to identify dominant ozone-favorable synoptic weather patterns(SWPs),however,the consistency of different classification methods is rarely examine... Objective weather classification methods have been extensively applied to identify dominant ozone-favorable synoptic weather patterns(SWPs),however,the consistency of different classification methods is rarely examined.In this study,we apply two widely-used objective methods,the self-organizing map(SOM)and K-means clustering analysis,to derive ozone-favorable SWPs at four Chinese megacities in 2015-2022.We find that the two algorithms are largely consistent in recognizing dominant ozone-favorable SWPs for four Chinese megacities.In the case of classifying six SWPs,the derived circulation fields are highly similar with a spatial correlation of 0.99 between the two methods,and the difference in themean frequency of each SWP is less than 7%.The six dominant ozone-favorable SWPs in Guangzhou are all characterized by anomaly higher radiation and temperature,lower cloud cover,relative humidity,and wind speed,and stronger subsidence compared to climatology mean.We find that during 2015-2022,the occurrence of ozone-favorable SWPs days increases significantly at a rate of 3.2 days/year,faster than the increases in the ozone exceedance days(3.0 days/year).The interannual variability between the occurrence of ozone-favorable SWPs and ozone exceedance days are generally consistent with a temporal correlation coefficient of 0.6.In particular,the significant increase in ozone-favorable SWPs in 2022,especially the Subtropical High type which typically occurs in September,is consistent with a long-lasting ozone pollution episode in Guangzhou during September 2022.Our results thus reveal that enhanced frequency of ozone-favorable SWPs plays an important role in the observed 2015-2022 ozone increase in Guangzhou. 展开更多
关键词 Ozone(O_(3)) Objective weather classification methods Synoptic weather patterns Trends GUANGZHOU
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基于Pangu-Weather模型的南海台风模拟研究
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作者 李志青 张金凤 李伟仪 《水道港口》 2025年第3期384-390,共7页
台风浪数值模拟对于风浪预警预报技术至关重要。以盘古模型所生成的风场作为背景风场,结合Holland风场模型构建新的合成风场,采用第三代近岸海浪模式SWAN分别对0313号台风“杜鹃”、1409号台风“威马逊”、1822号台风“山竹”进行台风... 台风浪数值模拟对于风浪预警预报技术至关重要。以盘古模型所生成的风场作为背景风场,结合Holland风场模型构建新的合成风场,采用第三代近岸海浪模式SWAN分别对0313号台风“杜鹃”、1409号台风“威马逊”、1822号台风“山竹”进行台风浪模拟。将盘古模型和合成风场的风场模拟结果、台风浪模拟结果与实测资料比较,结果显示在南海区域盘古模型风场对离台风中心较远处模拟效果更好,而对台风中心强度较为低估,合成风场在盘古模型的基础上增强了对台风强度的模拟,能较好地刻画台风风场过程,根据台风浪对比结果显示,合成风场对台风浪的模拟与实际情况较为吻合。 展开更多
关键词 Pangu-weather HOLLAND 台风浪 合成风场
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Natural phenomena can predict the weather
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作者 刘丽 《疯狂英语(初中天地)》 2025年第4期30-33,共4页
Nature is amazing!Sometimes you don’t need a weather App to predict rain or shine-you just need nature!Feel the heat:listen to crickets Want to know the outside temperature?Listen to the crickets!Count how many times... Nature is amazing!Sometimes you don’t need a weather App to predict rain or shine-you just need nature!Feel the heat:listen to crickets Want to know the outside temperature?Listen to the crickets!Count how many times a cricket chirps in 15 seconds and add 40.That’s the temperature in Fahrenheit(华氏温度,1℉≈0.56℃).Do it several times and find the average. 展开更多
关键词 weather prediction weather app temperature measurement FAHRENHEIT natural phenomena cricket chirping
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Atmospheric CO_(2) Removal Efficiency through Enhanced Silicate Weathering in Croplands:A Review with Emphasis on the Contribution of Fungi
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作者 Zi-Bo Li Gaojun Li +7 位作者 Jonathan M.Adams Dong-Xing Guan Liang Zhao Rongjun Bian Qing Hu Xiancai Lu Junfeng Ji Jun Chen 《Journal of Earth Science》 2025年第1期197-211,共15页
Enhanced silicate weathering(ESW)is a geoengineering method aimed at accelerating carbon dioxide(CO_(2))removal(CDR)from atmosphere by increasing the weathering flux of silicate rocks and minerals.It has emerged as a ... Enhanced silicate weathering(ESW)is a geoengineering method aimed at accelerating carbon dioxide(CO_(2))removal(CDR)from atmosphere by increasing the weathering flux of silicate rocks and minerals.It has emerged as a promising strategy for CDR.Theoretical studies underscore ESW’s substantial potential for CDR and its diverse benefits for crops when applied to croplands.However,the well-known significant discrepancies in silicate weathering rates between laboratory and field conditions introduce uncertainty in CDR through ESW.By compiling data from recent literature,we calculated and compared CDR efficiency(t CO_(2)t^(-1)_(silicate)ha^(-1)y^(-1))observed in mesocosm experiments and field trials.The findings indicate that CDR efficiencies in field trials are comparable to or exceeding that observed in mesocosm experiments by 1-3 orders of magnitude,particularly evident with wollastonite application.The hierarchy of CDR efficiency among silicates suitable for ESW is ranked as follows:olivine≥wollastonite>basalt>albite≥anorthite.We suggest the potential role of biota,especially fungi,in contributing to higher CDR efficiencies observed in field trials compared to mesocosm experiments.We further emphasize introducing fungi known for their effectiveness in silicate weathering could potentially enhance CDR efficiency through ESW in croplands.But before implementing fungal-facilitated ESW,three key questions need addressing:(i)How does the community of introduced fungi evolve over time?(ii)What is the long-term trajectory of CDR efficiency following fungal introduction?and(iii)Could fungal introduction lead to organic matter oxidation,resulting in elevated CO_(2)emissions?These investigations are crucial for optimizing the efficiency and sustainability of fungal-facilitated ESW strategy. 展开更多
关键词 enhanced weathering carbon dioxide removal efficiency FUNGI weathering rate altered surface layers
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Impact of Soil Thermal Process on Short-Range High-Temperature Weather Forecasts by CMA-TRAMS
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作者 HUANG Li-na CHEN Zi-tong +5 位作者 ZHANG Yan-xia ZHANG Guan-shun LI Shan-shan LI Wen-yao LONG Yu-qing ZHANG Ru-qing 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 2025年第2期197-211,共15页
Precise high-temperature weather forecasts are essential, as heatwaves are increasing in frequency under the ongoing climate change. Land-surface schemes have been demonstrated to be crucial to numerical weather predi... Precise high-temperature weather forecasts are essential, as heatwaves are increasing in frequency under the ongoing climate change. Land-surface schemes have been demonstrated to be crucial to numerical weather predictions.However, few studies have explored the impact of land surface schemes on short-range high-temperature weather forecasts via operational numerical weather prediction models. To evaluate the impact of the soil thermal process on high-temperature weather forecasts, we coupled the soil thermal process of the state-of-the-art Common Land Model(CoLM) with the South China operational numerical weather prediction model(CMA-TRAMS) and compared the coupled model with the original CMA-TRAMS, which incorporated the Simplified Model for land Surface(SMS). Contrast experiments based on two versions of CMA-TRAMS were conducted for the year 2022 when persistent extreme heatwaves were observed in Central-East China. The results are as follows:(1) Short-range high-temperature weather forecasts were sensitive to soil thermal process schemes. The original CMA-TRAMS clearly underestimated the summertime near-surface air temperature(T2m) over almost all areas of China, whereas the CoLM led to a reduction of the negative biases by approximately 0.5°C.(2) The more accurate initial soil temperatures and the deeper soil structure used in the CoLM test contributed to actual predictions of soil heat flux, soil temperature, and T2m. Nevertheless, the SMS test failed to capture upward heat transport from deeper to shallower soil layers at night due to the shallow soil structure and lower accuracy of the bottom and initial soil temperatures.(3) Higher soil temperatures resulted in increased near-surface moisture and cloud cover in the CoLM test, which led to the warmer soil and further mitigated the cold biases of T2m through reduced longwave and shortwave radiation losses at the land surface. 展开更多
关键词 numerical weather prediction land-surface parameterization scheme soil thermal process high-temperature weather Common Land Model
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The energy flexibility potential of short-term HVAC system management in office buildings under both typical and extreme weather conditions in China during the cooling season 被引量:1
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作者 HUANG Bingjie LIU Meng LI Ziqiao 《土木与环境工程学报(中英文)》 北大核心 2025年第4期157-171,共15页
To meet the challenge of mismatches between power supply and demand,modern buildings must schedule flexible energy loads in order to improve the efficiency of power grids.Furthermore,it is essential to understand the ... To meet the challenge of mismatches between power supply and demand,modern buildings must schedule flexible energy loads in order to improve the efficiency of power grids.Furthermore,it is essential to understand the effectiveness of flexibility management strategies under different climate conditions and extreme weather events.Using both typical and extreme weather data from cities in five major climate zones of China,this study investigates the energy flexibility potential of an office building under three short-term HVAC management strategies in the context of different climates.The results show that the peak load flexibility and overall energy performance of the three short-term strategies were affected by the surrounding climate conditions.The peak load reduction rate of the pre-cooling and zone temperature reset strategies declined linearly as outdoor temperature increased.Under extreme climate conditions,the daily peak-load time was found to be over two hours earlier than under typical conditions,and the intensive solar radiation found in the extreme conditions can weaken the correlation between peak load reduction and outdoor temperature,risking the ability of a building’s HVAC system to maintain a comfortable indoor environment. 展开更多
关键词 energy flexibility demand-side management extreme weather HVAC systems thermal requirements
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Impacts of synoptic weather patterns on Hefei's ozone in warm season and analysis of transport pathways during extreme pollution events 被引量:1
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作者 Feng Hu Pinhua Xie +5 位作者 Jin Xu Ang Li Yinsheng Lv Zhidong Zhang Jiangyi Zheng Xin Tian 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 2025年第10期371-384,共14页
Extreme ozone pollution events(EOPEs)are associated with synoptic weather patterns(SWPs)and pose severe health and ecological risks.However,a systematic investigation of themeteorological causes,transport pathways,and... Extreme ozone pollution events(EOPEs)are associated with synoptic weather patterns(SWPs)and pose severe health and ecological risks.However,a systematic investigation of themeteorological causes,transport pathways,and source contributions to historical EOPEs is still lacking.In this paper,the K-means clustering method is applied to identify six dominant SWPs during the warm season in the Yangtze River Delta(YRD)region from 2016 to 2022.It provides an integrated analysis of the meteorological factors affecting ozone pollution in Hefei under different SWPs.Using the WRF-FLEXPART model,the transport pathways(TPPs)and geographical sources of the near-surface air masses in Hefei during EOPEs are investigated.The results reveal that Hefei experienced the highest ozone concentration(134.77±42.82μg/m^(3)),exceedance frequency(46 days(23.23%)),and proportion of EOPEs(21 instances,47.7%)under the control of peripheral subsidence of typhoon(Type 5).Regional southeast winds correlated with the ozone pollution in Hefei.During EOPEs,a high boundary layer height,solar radiation,and temperature;lowhumidity and cloud cover;and pronounced subsidence airflow occurred over Hefei and the broader YRD region.The East-South(E_S)patterns exhibited the highest frequency(28 instances,65.11%).Regarding the TPPs and geographical sources of the near-surface air masses during historical EOPEs.The YRD was the main source for land-originating air masses under E_S patterns(50.28%),with Hefei,southern Anhui,southern Jiangsu,and northern Zhejiang being key contributors.These findings can help improve ozone pollution early warning and control mechanisms at urban and regional scales. 展开更多
关键词 OZONE Objective weather classification Transport pathway Source attribution Hefei
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Beneficial role of Sn in rapid rust stabilization of weathering steel in marine environments 被引量:1
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作者 Liu Yang Xuequn Cheng Xiaogang Li 《International Journal of Minerals,Metallurgy and Materials》 2025年第5期1141-1150,共10页
Weathering steel exhibits excellent corrosion resistance and is widely used in bridges,towers,railways,highways,and other engineering projects that are exposed to the atmosphere for long periods of time.However,before... Weathering steel exhibits excellent corrosion resistance and is widely used in bridges,towers,railways,highways,and other engineering projects that are exposed to the atmosphere for long periods of time.However,before the formation of stable rust layers,weathering steel is prone to liquid rust sagging and spattering,leading to environmental pollution and city appearance concerns.These factors limit the application and development of weathering steel.In this study,a rapid and environmentally friendly method was de-veloped by introducing alloying elements,specifically investigating the role of Sn in the rapid stabilization of rust layers in marine atmo-spheric environments.The rust layer formed on weathering low-alloy steel exposed to prolonged outdoor conditions and laboratory im-mersion experiments was explored using electron probe micro-analyzer(EPMA),micro-Raman,X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy(XPS),and electrochemical measurements.Results showed an optimal synergistic effect between Sn and Cr,which facilitated the accelerated densification of the rust layer.This beneficial effect enhanced the capability of the rust layer to resist Cl^(-)erosion and improved the protec-tion performance of the rust layer. 展开更多
关键词 marine atmosphere rapid stabilization weathering steel SN
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Weathering Process of Parent Material and Accumulation Process of Organic Carbon on the Black Soil Profile:A Case Study from the Keshan Area of the Songnen Plain in Northeast China 被引量:1
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作者 XIA Rui YUAN Guoli +5 位作者 CUI Minli HOU Hongxing YU Guangming GE Liangsheng LU Kaining REN Bingzhang 《Acta Geologica Sinica(English Edition)》 2025年第1期258-271,共14页
Black soil is essential for maintaining regional food security and promoting global agricultural production.Understanding the weathering process of parent material and the accumulation of organic carbon is crucial to ... Black soil is essential for maintaining regional food security and promoting global agricultural production.Understanding the weathering process of parent material and the accumulation of organic carbon is crucial to comprehending the developmental history and future trends of black soil,especially against the background of large-scale global cultivation and climate change.Although the importance of black soil formation and evolution cannot be ignored,the relevant research is still very scarce.In this study,a typical eight-meter-deep soil core was collected from the Keshan area of the Songnen Plain,Northeast China,where surface black soil developed on paleo-sediments.Using^(14)C dating,the formation age of the black soil was determined.Based on the characteristics of the geochemical composition,grain size and the magnetic susceptibility of the sediments,it was demonstrated that the black soil and its parent material originated from reworked loess.Furthermore,the mass transfer coefficient(τ)of some elements was determined,in order to explore the soil weathering process.By calculating the transported amount of alkaline and alkaline-earth elements,the weathering rate of parent material to black soil was found to be weak,at 0.16 kEq·ha^(-1)·year^(-1).Combining the results of dating and carbon density in the different layers of black soil,the accumulation rate of organic carbon was determined as follows:rapidly increasing in the initial period of 13.2-2.2 ka,reaching its maximum average value of 34.0 g·cm^(-2)·a^(-1)at 2.2-0.8 ka,then showing a decreasing trend with an average value of-77.5 g·cm^(-2)·a^(-1).Compared with regional climate change,Keshan black soil has developed under a colder and wetter climate during the Holocene.Predictably,ongoing global warming may lead to the degradation of black soils in the Songnen Plain,as well as in other regions.Our results will enrich geological knowledge of black soil formation and future evolutionary trends. 展开更多
关键词 black soil PROVENANCE weathering rate organic carbon accumulation rate Songnen Plain
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A Year Marked by Extreme Precipitation and Floods:Weather and Climate Extremes in 2024 被引量:1
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作者 Wenxia ZHANG Tianjun ZHOU +17 位作者 Wanheng YE Tingyu ZHANG Lixia ZHANG Piotr WOLSKI James RISBEY Zhuo WANG Seung-Ki MIN Hamish RAMSAY Michael BRODY Alice GRIMM Robin CLARK Kangnian REN Jie JIANG Xiaolong CHEN Shenming FU Lan LI Shijie TANG Shuai HU 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2025年第6期1045-1063,共19页
This past year, 2024, is on track to be the warmest year, joining 2023 as the two hottest years on record. With the exceptional heat, weather and climate extremes were common across the world. In particular, 2024 has ... This past year, 2024, is on track to be the warmest year, joining 2023 as the two hottest years on record. With the exceptional heat, weather and climate extremes were common across the world. In particular, 2024 has seen a remarkable run of extreme precipitation events and resulting impacts. Here, we provide an overview of the most notable extreme events of the year, including extreme precipitation and floods, tropical cyclones, and droughts. The characteristics and impacts of these extreme events are summarized, followed by discussion on the physical drivers and the role of global warming.Finally, we also discuss the future prospects in extreme event studies, including impact-based perspectives, challenges in attribution of precipitation extremes, and the existing gap to minimize impacts from climate extremes. 展开更多
关键词 weather and climate extremes extreme precipitation tropical cyclones DROUGHTS
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Undrained mechanical behavior of unsaturated completely weathered granite:Experimental investigation and constitutive modeling 被引量:1
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作者 DU Shao-hua MA Jin-yin +2 位作者 RUAN Bo WU Gen-shui ZHANG Rui-chao 《Journal of Central South University》 2025年第6期2307-2327,共21页
The undrained mechanical behavior of unsaturated completely weathered granite(CWG)is highly susceptible to alterations in the hydraulic environment,particularly under uniaxial loading conditions,due to the unique natu... The undrained mechanical behavior of unsaturated completely weathered granite(CWG)is highly susceptible to alterations in the hydraulic environment,particularly under uniaxial loading conditions,due to the unique nature of this soil type.In this study,a series of unconfined compression tests were carried out on unsaturated CWG soil in an underground engineering site,and the effects of varying the environmental variables on the main undrained mechanical properties were analyzed.Based on the experimental results,a novel constitutive model was then established using the damage mechanics theory and the undetermined coefficient method.The results demonstrate that the curves of remolded CWG specimens with different moisture contents and dry densities exhibited diverse characteristics,including brittleness,significant softening,and ductility.As a typical indicator,the unconfined compression strength of soil specimens initially increased with an increase in moisture content and then decreased.Meanwhile,an optimal moisture content of approximately 10.5%could be observed,while a critical moisture content value of 13.0%was identified,beyond which the strength of the specimen decreases sharply.Moreover,the deformation and fracture of CWG specimens were predominantly caused by shear failure,and the ultimate failure modes were primarily influenced by moisture content rather than dry density.Furthermore,by comparing several similar models and the experimental data,the proposed model could accurately replicate the undrained mechanical characteristics of unsaturated CWG soil,and quantitatively describe the key mechanical indexes.These findings offer a valuable reference point for understanding the underlying mechanisms,anticipating potential risks,and implementing effective control measures in similar underground engineering projects. 展开更多
关键词 completely weathered granite undrained mechanical behavior environmental variable unconfined compression test constitutive model
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A Nonlinear Multi-Scale Interaction Model for Atmospheric Blocking:A Tool for Exploring the Impact of Changing Climate on Mid-to-High Latitude Weather Extremes 被引量:1
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作者 Dehai LUO Wenqi ZHANG Binhe LUO 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2025年第10期2018-2035,共18页
A nonlinear multi-scale interaction(NMI)model was proposed and developed by the first author for nearly 30 years to represent the evolution of atmospheric blocking.In this review paper,we first review the creation and... A nonlinear multi-scale interaction(NMI)model was proposed and developed by the first author for nearly 30 years to represent the evolution of atmospheric blocking.In this review paper,we first review the creation and development of the NMI model and then emphasize that the NMI model represents a new tool for identifying the basic physics of how climate change influences mid-to-high latitude weather extremes.The building of the NMI model took place over three main periods.In the 1990s,a nonlinear Schr?dinger(NLS)equation model was presented to describe atmospheric blocking as a wave packet;however,it could not depict the lifetime(10-20 days)of atmospheric blocking.In the 2000s,we proposed an NMI model of atmospheric blocking in a uniform basic flow by making a scale-separation assumption and deriving an eddyforced NLS equation.This model succeeded in describing the life cycle of atmospheric blocking.In the 2020s,the NMI model was extended to include the impact of a changing climate mainly by altering the basic zonal winds and the magnitude of the meridional background potential vorticity gradient(PVy).Model results show that when PVy is smaller,blocking has a weaker dispersion and a stronger nonlinearity,so blocking can be more persistent and have a larger zonal scale and weaker eastward movement,thus favoring stronger weather extremes.However,when PVy is much smaller and below a critical threshold under much stronger winter Arctic warming of global warming,atmospheric blocking becomes locally less persistent and shows a much stronger westward movement,which acts to inhibit local cold extremes.Such a case does not happen in summer under global warming because PVy fails to fall below the critical threshold.Thus,our theory indicates that global warming can render summer-blocking anticyclones and mid-to-high latitude heatwaves more persistent,intense,and widespread. 展开更多
关键词 nonlinear Schrödinger equation nonlinear multi-scale interaction model of atmospheric blocking meridional background potential vorticity gradient climate change mid-to-high latitude weather extremes
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Few-Short Photovoltaic Systems Predictions Algorithm in Cold-Wave Weather via WOA-CNN-LSTM Model
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作者 Ruiheng Pan Shuyan Wang +1 位作者 Yihan Huang Gang Ma 《Energy Engineering》 2025年第8期3079-3098,共20页
Contemporary power network planning faces critical challenges from intensifying climate variability,including greenhouse effect amplification,extreme precipitation anomalies,and persistent thermal extremes.These meteo... Contemporary power network planning faces critical challenges from intensifying climate variability,including greenhouse effect amplification,extreme precipitation anomalies,and persistent thermal extremes.These meteorological disruptions compromise the reliability of renewable energy generation forecasts,particularly in photovoltaic(PV)systems.However,current predictive methodologies exhibit notable deficiencies in extreme weather monitoring,systematic transient phenomena analysis,and preemptive operational strategies,especially for cold-wave weather.In order to address these limitations,we propose a dual-phase data enhancement protocol that takes advantage of Time-series Generative Adversarial Networks(TimeGAN)for temporal pattern expansion and the K-medoids clustering algorithm for synthetic data quality verification.In order to better extract the spatiotemporal features of the model input simultaneously,we develop a hybrid neural architecture integrating Convolutional Neural Networks with Long Short-Term Memory modules(CNN-LSTM).To avoid the problem of hyperparameters getting trapped in local optimal solutions,we use the Whale Optimization Algorithm(WOA)algorithm to obtain the global optimal solution by simulating the hunting of humpback whales,further enhancing the generalization ability of the model.Experimental validation demonstrates performance improvements,with the proposed model achieving 30%higher prediction accuracy compared to Genetic Algorithm-Backpropagation Neural Network(GA-BPNN)and Radial Basis Function-Support Vector Regression(RBF-SVR)benchmarks,promoting the renewable energy prediction in data-constrained extreme weather scenarios for future power networks. 展开更多
关键词 Cold-wave weather few-short WOA-CNN-LSTM photovoltaic systems
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Impact of the Sequential Bias Correction Scheme on the CMA-MESO Numerical Weather Prediction Model
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作者 Yuxiao CHEN Liwen WANG +7 位作者 Daosheng XU Jeremy Cheuk-Hin LEUNG Yanan MA Shaojing ZHANG Jing CHEN Yi YANG Wenshou TIAN Banglin ZHANG 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2025年第8期1580-1596,共17页
Systematic bias is a type of model error that can affect the accuracy of data assimilation and forecasting that must be addressed.An online bias correction scheme called the sequential bias correction scheme(SBCS),was... Systematic bias is a type of model error that can affect the accuracy of data assimilation and forecasting that must be addressed.An online bias correction scheme called the sequential bias correction scheme(SBCS),was developed using the6 h average bias to correct the systematic bias during model integration.The primary purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of the SBCS in the high-resolution China Meteorological Administration Meso-scale(CMA-MESO)numerical weather prediction(NWP)model to reduce the systematic bias and to improve the data assimilation and forecast results through this method.The SBCS is improved upon and applied to the CMA-MESO 3-km model in this study.Four-week sequential data assimilation and forecast experiments,driven by rapid update and cycling(RUC),were conducted for the period from 2–29 May 2022.In terms of the characteristics of systematic bias,both the background and analysis show diurnal bias,and these large biases are affected by complex underlying surfaces(e.g.,oceans,coasts,and mountains).After the application of the SBCS,the results of the data assimilation show that the SBCS can reduce the systematic bias of the background and yield a neutral to slightly positive result for the analysis fields.In addition,the SBCS can reduce forecast errors and improve forecast results,especially for surface variables.The above results indicate that this scheme has good prospects for high-resolution regional NWP models. 展开更多
关键词 numerical weather prediction model error systematic bias bias correction SBCS
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Density dependence and weather drive dabbling duck spatiotemporal distributions and intercontinental migration
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作者 Benjamin Golas Diann J.Prosser +2 位作者 Andrew M.Ramey Paul Link Wayne E.Thogmartin 《Avian Research》 2025年第4期637-649,共13页
Understanding migratory waterfowl spatiotemporal distributions is important because,in addition to their economic and cultural value,wild waterfowl can be infectious reservoirs of highly pathogenic avian influenza vir... Understanding migratory waterfowl spatiotemporal distributions is important because,in addition to their economic and cultural value,wild waterfowl can be infectious reservoirs of highly pathogenic avian influenza virus(HPAIV).Waterfowl migration has been implicated in regional and intercontinental HPAIV dispersal,and predictive capabilities of where and when HPAIV may be introduced to susceptible spillover hosts would facilitate biosecurity and mitigation efforts.To develop forecasts for HPAIV dispersal,an improved understanding of how individual birds interact with their environment and move on a landscape scale is required.Using an agent-based modeling approach,we integrated individual-scale energetics,species-specific morphology and behavior,and landscape-scale weather and habitat data in a mechanistic stochastic framework to simulate Mallard(Anas platyrhynchos)and Northern Pintail(Anas acuta)annual migration across the Northern Hemisphere.Our model recreated biologically realistic migratory patterns using a first principles approach to waterfowl ecology,behavior,and physiology.Conducting a limited structural sensitivity analysis comparing reduced models to eBird Status and Trends in reference to the full model,we identified density dependence as the main factor influencing spring migration and breeding distributions,and wind as the main factor influencing fall migration and overwintering distributions.We show evidence of weather patterns in Northeast Asia causing significant intercontinental pintail migration to North America.By linking individual energetics to landscapescale processes,we identify key drivers of waterfowl migration while developing a predictive model responsive to daily weather patterns.This model paves the way for future waterfowl migration research predicting HPAIV transmission,climate change impacts,and oil spill effects. 展开更多
关键词 Agent based modeling Anas acuta Anas platyrhynchos Landscape ecology MALLARD MIGRATION PHYSIOLOGY Pintail weather
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TianXing:A Linear Complexity Transformer Model with Explicit Attention Decay for Global Weather Forecasting
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作者 Shijin YUAN Guansong WANG +1 位作者 Bin MU Feifan ZHOU 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2025年第1期9-25,共17页
In this paper,we introduce TianXing,a transformer-based data-driven model designed with physical augmentation for skillful and efficient global weather forecasting.Previous data-driven transformer models such as Pangu... In this paper,we introduce TianXing,a transformer-based data-driven model designed with physical augmentation for skillful and efficient global weather forecasting.Previous data-driven transformer models such as Pangu-Weather,FengWu,and FuXi have emerged as promising alternatives for numerical weather prediction in weather forecasting.However,these models have been characterized by their substantial computational resource consumption during training and limited incorporation of explicit physical guidance in their modeling frameworks.In contrast,TianXing applies a linear complexity mechanism that ensures proportional scalability with input data size while significantly diminishing GPU resource demands,with only a marginal compromise in accuracy.Furthermore,TianXing proposes an explicit attention decay mechanism in the linear attention derived from physical insights to enhance its forecasting skill.The mechanism can reweight attention based on Earth's spherical distances and learned sparse multivariate coupling relationships,promptingTianXing to prioritize dynamically relevant neighboring features.Finally,to enhance its performance in mediumrange forecasting,TianXing employs a stacked autoregressive forecast algorithm.Validation of the model's architecture is conducted using ERA5 reanalysis data at a 5.625°latitude-longitude resolution,while a high-resolution dataset at 0.25°is utilized for training the actual forecasting model.Notably,the TianXing exhibits excellent performance,particularly in the Z500(geopotential height)and T850(temperature)fields,surpassing previous data-driven models and operational fullresolution models such as NCEP GFS and ECMWF IFS,as evidenced by latitude-weighted RMSE and ACC metrics.Moreover,the TianXing has demonstrated remarkable capabilities in predicting extreme weather events,such as typhoons. 展开更多
关键词 weather forecast deep learning physics augmentation linear attention
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Space weathering characteristics of lunar permanently shadowed regions soils:Evidence from experimental simulation
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作者 Zixuan Han Yang Li +7 位作者 Chen Li Ronghua Pang Sizhe Zhao Zhuang Guo Kairui Tai Rui Li Zhenhao Hu Li Liu 《Acta Geochimica》 2025年第1期1-10,共10页
Permanently shadowed regions(PSRs)on the Moon are potential reservoirs for water ice,making them hot spots for future lunar exploration.The water ice in PSRs would cause distinctive changes in space weathering there,i... Permanently shadowed regions(PSRs)on the Moon are potential reservoirs for water ice,making them hot spots for future lunar exploration.The water ice in PSRs would cause distinctive changes in space weathering there,in particular reduction-oxidation processes that diff er from those in illuminated regions.To determine the characteristics of products formed during space weathering in PSRs,the lunar meteorite NWA 10203 with artifi cially added water was irradiated with a nanosecond laser to simulate a micro-meteorite bombardment of lunar soil containing water ice.The TEM results of the water-incorporated sample showed distinct amorphous rims that exhibited irregular thickness,poor stratifi cation,the appearance of bubbles,and a reduced number of npFe^(0).Additionally,EELS analysis showed the presence of ferric iron at the rim of the nanophase metallic iron particles(npFe^(0))in the amorphous rim with the involvement of water.The results suggest that water ice is another possible factor contributing to oxidation during micrometeorite bombardment on the lunar surface.In addition,it off ers a reference for a new space weathering model that incorporates water in PSRs,which could be widespread on asteroids with volatiles. 展开更多
关键词 Space weathering Permanently shadowed regions The Moon laser irradiation Water ice
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Displacement Feature Mapping for Vehicle License Plate Recognition Influenced by Haze Weather
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作者 Mohammed Albekairi Radhia Khdhir +3 位作者 Amina Magdich Somia Asklany Ghulam Abbas Amr Yousef 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 2025年第9期3607-3644,共38页
License plate recognition in haze-affected images is challenging due to feature distortions such as blurring and elongation,which lead to pixel displacements.This article introduces a Displacement Region Recognition M... License plate recognition in haze-affected images is challenging due to feature distortions such as blurring and elongation,which lead to pixel displacements.This article introduces a Displacement Region Recognition Method(DR2M)to address such a problem.This method operates on displaced features compared to the training input observed throughout definite time frames.The technique focuses on detecting features that remain relatively stable under haze,using a frame-based analysis to isolate edges minimally affected by visual noise.The edge detection failures are identified using a bilateral neural network through displaced feature training.The training converges bilaterally towards the minimum edges from the maximum region.Thus,the training input and detected edges are used to identify the displacement between observed image frames to extract and differentiate the license plate region from the other vehicle regions.The proposed method maps the similarity feature between the detected and identified vehicle regions.This aids in leveraging the plate recognition precision with a high F1 score.Thus,this technique achieves a 10.27%improvement in identification precision,a 10.57%increase in F1 score,and a 9.73%reduction in false positive rate compared to baseline methods under maximum displacement conditions caused by haze.The technique attains an identification precision of 95.68%,an F1 score of 94.68%,and a false positive rate of 4.32%,indicating robust performance under haze-affected settings. 展开更多
关键词 Neural network machine learning edge detection feature displacement haze weather
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Surface weathering process of earthen heritage under dry-wet cycles:A case study of Suoyang City,China
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作者 Qi Zhang Qingling Guo +4 位作者 Huihui Zhang Yanwu Wang Ping Li Bo Zhang Chun'an Tang 《Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering》 2025年第8期5224-5239,共16页
Dry-wet cycle is a key factor in surface weathering of earthen heritage,which remains insufficiently explained.It involves the interaction of humidity,stress,and damage.Using the RFPA(realistic failure process analysi... Dry-wet cycle is a key factor in surface weathering of earthen heritage,which remains insufficiently explained.It involves the interaction of humidity,stress,and damage.Using the RFPA(realistic failure process analysis)numerical method,this study reproduced the processes of humidity diffusion,deformation,stress,and damage evolution under dry-wet cycles in the soil site of Suoyang City,China.The numerical results indicate that the drying phase following rainfall has the most significant deteriorative impact on the earthen heritage.The evaporation of surface moisture during this phase causes volume shrinkage,which in turn generates tensile stress and leads to the formation of numerous desiccation cracks.Desiccation cracks provide channels for moisture diffusion,which further exacerbates generation of the cracks,leading to a mutual promotion between the two phenomena.Furthermore,during the wetting phase,the model elements undergo hygroscopic expansion,resulting in a slight increase in strain and displacement.Previously formed cracks may exhibit temporary narrowing or closure,but will revert during the subsequent drying phase.Ultimately,the overall displacement increases with the number of dry-wet cycles.The findings provide a theoretical foundation for protection against surface weathering and other damage in earthen heritage in arid regions. 展开更多
关键词 Earthen heritage Dry-wet cycles Numerical simulation Surface weathering Desiccation cracks
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