Machine-learning is a robust technique for understanding pollution characteristics of surface ozone,which are at high levels in urban China.This study introduced an innovative approach combining trend decomposition wi...Machine-learning is a robust technique for understanding pollution characteristics of surface ozone,which are at high levels in urban China.This study introduced an innovative approach combining trend decomposition with Random Forest algorithm to investigate ozone dynamics and formation regimes in a coastal area of China.During the period of 2017–2022,significant inter-annual fluctuations emerged,with peaks in mid-2017 attributed to volatile organic compounds(VOCs),and in late-2019 influenced by air temperature.Multifaceted periodicities(daily,weekly,holiday,and yearly)in ozone were revealed,elucidating substantial influences of daily and yearly components on ozone periodicity.A VOC-sensitive ozone formation regime was identified,characterized by lower VOCs/NO_(x) ratios(average=0.88)and significant positive correlations between ozone and VOCs.This interplay manifested in elevated ozone duringweekends,holidays,and pandemic lockdowns.Key variables influencing ozone across diverse timescaleswere uncovered,with solar radiation and temperature driving daily and yearly ozone variations,respectively.Precursor substances,particularly VOCs,significantly shaped weekly/holiday patterns and long-term trends of ozone.Specifically,acetone,ethane,hexanal,and toluene had a notable impact on the multi-year ozone trend,emphasizing the urgency of VOC regulation.Furthermore,our observations indicated that NO_(x) primarily drived the stochastic variations in ozone,a distinguishing characteristic of regions with heavy traffic.This research provides novel insights into ozone dynamics in coastal urban areas and highlights the importance of integrating statistical and machinelearning methods in atmospheric pollution studies,with implications for targeted mitigation strategies beyond this specific region and pollutant.展开更多
基金supported by Ningbo Natural Science Foundation(No.2023J059)Ningbo Commonweal Programme Key Project(No.2023S038)Guangxi Key Research and Development Programme(No.GuikeAB21220063).
文摘Machine-learning is a robust technique for understanding pollution characteristics of surface ozone,which are at high levels in urban China.This study introduced an innovative approach combining trend decomposition with Random Forest algorithm to investigate ozone dynamics and formation regimes in a coastal area of China.During the period of 2017–2022,significant inter-annual fluctuations emerged,with peaks in mid-2017 attributed to volatile organic compounds(VOCs),and in late-2019 influenced by air temperature.Multifaceted periodicities(daily,weekly,holiday,and yearly)in ozone were revealed,elucidating substantial influences of daily and yearly components on ozone periodicity.A VOC-sensitive ozone formation regime was identified,characterized by lower VOCs/NO_(x) ratios(average=0.88)and significant positive correlations between ozone and VOCs.This interplay manifested in elevated ozone duringweekends,holidays,and pandemic lockdowns.Key variables influencing ozone across diverse timescaleswere uncovered,with solar radiation and temperature driving daily and yearly ozone variations,respectively.Precursor substances,particularly VOCs,significantly shaped weekly/holiday patterns and long-term trends of ozone.Specifically,acetone,ethane,hexanal,and toluene had a notable impact on the multi-year ozone trend,emphasizing the urgency of VOC regulation.Furthermore,our observations indicated that NO_(x) primarily drived the stochastic variations in ozone,a distinguishing characteristic of regions with heavy traffic.This research provides novel insights into ozone dynamics in coastal urban areas and highlights the importance of integrating statistical and machinelearning methods in atmospheric pollution studies,with implications for targeted mitigation strategies beyond this specific region and pollutant.
