期刊文献+
共找到121篇文章
< 1 2 7 >
每页显示 20 50 100
Improved Discrete Interval-Valued Stress-Strength Interference Model Based on Extended Universal Generating Function
1
作者 高建雄 安宗文 白学宗 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2016年第2期305-307,共3页
In practical engineering,sometimes the probability density functions( PDFs) of stress and strength can not be exactly determined,or only limited experiment data are available. In these cases,the traditional stress-str... In practical engineering,sometimes the probability density functions( PDFs) of stress and strength can not be exactly determined,or only limited experiment data are available. In these cases,the traditional stress-strength interference( SSI) model based on classical probabilistic approach can not be used to evaluate reliabilities of components. To solve this issue, the traditional universal generating function( UGF) is introduced and then it is extended to represent the discrete interval-valued random variable.Based on the extended UGF,an improved discrete interval-valued SSI model is proposed, which has higher calculation precision compared with the existing methods. Finally,an illustrative case is given to demonstrate the validity of the proposed model. 展开更多
关键词 RELIABILITY universal generating function(ugf) discrete interval-valued stress-strength interference(SSI) model
在线阅读 下载PDF
Reliability Evaluation of Compressor Systems Based on Universal Generating Function Method
2
作者 WEN Kai LI Yichen +1 位作者 YANG Yang GONG Jing 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 2018年第2期291-296,共6页
At present, universal generating function(UGF) is a reliability evaluation technique which holds the bare-looking and easily program-realized merits in multi-state system. Thus, it is meaningful to apply this method t... At present, universal generating function(UGF) is a reliability evaluation technique which holds the bare-looking and easily program-realized merits in multi-state system. Thus, it is meaningful to apply this method to an actual industry system. Compressor systems in natural gas pipelines are series-parallel multi-state systems,where the compressor units in each compressor station work in a parallel way and these pressure-boosting stations in the pipeline are series connected. Considering the characteristic of gas pipelines, this paper develops two different UGFs to evaluate the system reliability. One(Model 1) establishes a system model from every compressor unit while the other(Model 2) considers the whole system as a combination of multi-state components. Besides, all the parameters of "weight" in UGFs are obtained from thermal-hydraulic models based on the actual engineering and"probability" from Monte Carlo simulation. The results show that the system reliabilities calculated by different UGFs are approximately equal. In addition, the demand of gas and the gas pipeline transportation system show a reverse trend. Because the number of parameters needed in Model 2 is far less than that needed in Model 1,Model 2 is simpler programming and faster solved. 展开更多
关键词 universal generating function(ugf) Monte Carlo method series-parallel multi-state systems
原文传递
Reliability Analysis of Excavator Rectifier Feedback System with Multi-State Components Based on Belief Universal Generating Function Method
3
作者 米金华 李彦锋 +2 位作者 黄洪钟 李爱峰 王晓明 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 2015年第3期344-348,共5页
In view of the complexity and uncertainty of system, both the state performances and state probabilities of multi-state components can be expressed by interval numbers. The belief function theory is used to characteri... In view of the complexity and uncertainty of system, both the state performances and state probabilities of multi-state components can be expressed by interval numbers. The belief function theory is used to characterize the uncertainty caused by various factors. A modified Markov model is proposed to obtain the state probabilities of components at any given moment and subsequently the mass function is used to represent the precise belief degree of state probabilities. Based on the primary studies of universal generating function(UGF)method, a belief UGF(BUGF) method is utilized to analyze the reliability and the uncertainty of excavator rectifier feedback system. This paper provides an available method to evaluate the reliability of multi-state systems(MSSs) with interval state performances and state probabilities, and also avoid the interval expansion problem. 展开更多
关键词 excavator rectifier feedback system multi-state components Markov model belief universal generating function
原文传递
Reliability Bounds based on Universal Generating Function and Discrete Stress-strength Interference Model
4
作者 GUO Hui-xin SUO Bin ZHANG Gan-qing 《International Journal of Plant Engineering and Management》 2017年第3期175-187,共13页
A method for estimating the component reliability is proposed when the probability density functions of stress and strength can not be exactly determined. For two groups of finite experimental data about the stress an... A method for estimating the component reliability is proposed when the probability density functions of stress and strength can not be exactly determined. For two groups of finite experimental data about the stress and strength, an interval statistics method is introduced. The processed results are formulated as two interval-valued random variables and are graphically represented component reliability are proposed based on the by using two histograms. The lower and upper bounds of universal generating function method and are calculated by solving two discrete stress-strength interference models. The graphical calculations of the proposed reliability bounds are presented through a numerical example and the confidence of the proposed reliability bounds is discussed to demonstrate the validity of the proposed method. It is showed that the proposed reliability bounds can undoubtedly bracket the real reliability value. The proposed method extends the exciting universal generating function method and can give an interval estimation of component reliability in the case of lake of sufficient experimental data. An application example is given to illustrate the proposed method 展开更多
关键词 universal generating function discrete stress-strength interference model reliability bounds reliability estimation
在线阅读 下载PDF
Multiparameter generalized universal characters and multiparameter generalized B-type universal characters
5
作者 Jingfan Wang Zhaowen Yan 《Chinese Physics B》 2025年第1期215-226,共12页
We construct the quantum fields presentation of the generalized universal character and the generalized B-type universal character,and by acting the quantum fields presentations to the constant 1,the generating functi... We construct the quantum fields presentation of the generalized universal character and the generalized B-type universal character,and by acting the quantum fields presentations to the constant 1,the generating functions are derived.Furthermore,we introduce two integrable systems known as the generalized UC(GUC)hierarchy and the generalized Btype UC(GBUC)hierarchy satisfied by the generalized universal character and the generalized B-type universal character,respectively.Based on infinite sequences of complex numbers,we further establish the multiparameter generalized universal character and the multiparameter generalized B-type universal character,which have been proved to be solutions of the GUC hierarchy and the GBUC hierarchy,respectively. 展开更多
关键词 symmetric functions quantum fields generating functions multiparameter generalized universal characters
原文传递
Prevalence and risk factors of depressive and anxiety symptoms and functional constipation among university students in Eastern China
6
作者 Bo-Chen Jiang Jing Zhang +2 位作者 Man Yang Hai-Dong Yang Xiao-Bin Zhang 《World Journal of Psychiatry》 2025年第6期220-233,共14页
BACKGROUND Depression and anxiety are prevalent among university students worldwide,often coexisting with functional constipation(FC).Family relationships have been identified as crucial factors affecting mental healt... BACKGROUND Depression and anxiety are prevalent among university students worldwide,often coexisting with functional constipation(FC).Family relationships have been identified as crucial factors affecting mental health,yet the gender-specific associations between these conditions remain underexplored.AIM To assess prevalence of depressive symptoms,anxiety symptoms,and FC among Chinese university students and explore their associations.METHODS Using a cross-sectional survey design,data were collected from 12721 students at two universities in Jiangsu Province and Shandong Province.Depressive symptoms were assessed using the Patient Health Questionnaire-9,anxiety symptoms using the Generalized Anxiety Disorder-7 scale,and FC using the ROME IV.Gender-stratified analyses and population attributable risk proportions were calculated to evaluate risk factor patterns and population impact.RESULTS The prevalence of self-reported depressive,anxiety,and comorbid depressive and anxiety symptoms was 16.3%,24.9%,and 13.3%,respectively,whereas that of FC was 22%.Students with depressive symptoms were 1.811 times more likely to have FC than those without.Female gender,parental relationships,and lower household income were significant risk factors for both mental health conditions.For depressive symptoms,females experienced stronger effects from both parental conflict[odds ratio(OR)=8.006 vs OR=7.661 in males]and FC(OR=1.954 vs OR=1.628 in males).For anxiety symptoms,conflicted parental relationships had stronger effects in males(OR=5.946)than females(OR=4.262).Overall,poor parental relationships contributed to 38.6%of depressive and 33.5%of anxiety symptoms.CONCLUSION Family relationships significantly impact student mental health,with gender-specific patterns.Targeted interventions addressing family dynamics could reduce mental health burden in university settings. 展开更多
关键词 University students DEPRESSION ANXIETY functional constipation Patient Health Questionnaire-9 Generalized Anxiety Disorder-7
暂未订购
混合不确定多态系统可靠性的EUGF分析方法 被引量:3
7
作者 彭文胜 张建国 +1 位作者 张金洋 王骞 《系统工程与电子技术》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2017年第12期2863-2868,共6页
在进行多状态系统可靠性分析时,很多情况下系统中同时存在着多个类型不确定信息,如一些复杂系统中,由于样本量的差异,一些信息可以作为随机信息,而另一些信息由于缺少足够的样本,只能以区间形式给出。提出一种基于证据通用生成函数理论... 在进行多状态系统可靠性分析时,很多情况下系统中同时存在着多个类型不确定信息,如一些复杂系统中,由于样本量的差异,一些信息可以作为随机信息,而另一些信息由于缺少足够的样本,只能以区间形式给出。提出一种基于证据通用生成函数理论的多状态系统可靠性分析方法,来处理多类不确定性信息的多态系统。该方法基于证据不确定性量化理论,能够充分利用区间信息和认知信息,避免了系统中信息的浪费。基于证据量化理论建立证据通用生成函数模型,采用信度和似然度对多态系统进行可靠性评价,提高了基于认知不确定性的可靠性分析结果的可信性。对于同时含有随机信息和认知信息的多态系统,该方法首先通过将随机信息离散处理,然后建立统一的证据通用生成理论模型进行多态可靠性分析。通过案例分析对所提出的方法进行了验证。 展开更多
关键词 多态系统 认知不确定性 证据理论 通用生成函数 混合不确定变量
在线阅读 下载PDF
基于UGF和Semi-Markov方法的反应堆泵机组多状态可靠性分析 被引量:16
8
作者 尚彦龙 蔡琦 +1 位作者 赵新文 陈玲 《核动力工程》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2012年第1期117-123,共7页
将通用发生函数(UGF)与半马尔可夫过程(Semi-Markov Process)相结合,对反应堆泵机组进行多状态可靠性分析。给出多状态系统可靠性分析的UGF算法模型,推导多状态设备性能状态的Semi-Markov过程概率表达式,定义设备、系统性能值的定量描... 将通用发生函数(UGF)与半马尔可夫过程(Semi-Markov Process)相结合,对反应堆泵机组进行多状态可靠性分析。给出多状态系统可靠性分析的UGF算法模型,推导多状态设备性能状态的Semi-Markov过程概率表达式,定义设备、系统性能值的定量描述方法。以性能参数是否满足需求值做为系统成功与失效的判据,对比分析反应堆泵机组在需求性能条件下的多状态可用度与2状态可用度结果,并给出系统在任务周期内的平均性能值。结果表明,该方法能够定量分析部分失效对系统可靠性的影响,降低传统的2态可靠性分析方法产生的不必要的保守程度。 展开更多
关键词 ugf Semi-Markov PROCESS 设备性能 多状态系统 可靠性
在线阅读 下载PDF
基于UGF的光伏发电系统可靠性及容量置信度研究 被引量:3
9
作者 丁明 徐志成 +1 位作者 毕锐 李强 《太阳能学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2016年第10期2505-2511,共7页
为计算光伏发电系统可靠性及置信容量,首先通过通用生成函数法建立辐照强度及各元件的多状态u-函数模型,综合辐照强度的波动性和元件的随机故障特性建立光伏电站输出功率概率模型;其次运用有效载荷容量法求解光伏电站置信容量,并对影响... 为计算光伏发电系统可靠性及置信容量,首先通过通用生成函数法建立辐照强度及各元件的多状态u-函数模型,综合辐照强度的波动性和元件的随机故障特性建立光伏电站输出功率概率模型;其次运用有效载荷容量法求解光伏电站置信容量,并对影响光伏电站置信容量的各因素,如光伏装机容量、光伏电站出力状态数、组件故障特性及组件额定功率进行灵敏度分析;最后,IEEE-RTS79算例验证了该方法的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 光伏发电 多状态模型 光伏系统可靠性 通用生成函数 容量置信度
原文传递
基于强Universal_2函数族的MAC的构造与安全性分析 被引量:1
10
作者 朱华飞 刘建伟 王育民 《西安电子科技大学学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 1997年第2期161-163,共3页
利用强Universal2函数族构造了安全的消息认证码(MessageAuthenti-cationCode,简称MAC).该方案克服了以往文献中杂凑函数具有线性结构的缺陷,并证明了当通信双方在每次通信前预先选定的编... 利用强Universal2函数族构造了安全的消息认证码(MessageAuthenti-cationCode,简称MAC).该方案克服了以往文献中杂凑函数具有线性结构的缺陷,并证明了当通信双方在每次通信前预先选定的编码规则或者BBS(Blum-Blum-Shub,缩写为BBS)伪随机比特串的种子密钥之一泄漏时。 展开更多
关键词 强Univesal2 函数族 消息认证码 MAC 构造
在线阅读 下载PDF
基于UGF的发电系统区间可靠性评估及其仿射算法改进 被引量:8
11
作者 史新红 齐先军 王治国 《合肥工业大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2014年第3期286-291,共6页
文章在元件可靠性指标为区间概率的基础上,结合区间概率和区间数运算来计算发电系统的可靠性指标。运用区间一般生成函数方法(IUGF)得到发电系统的区间值可靠性指标,但是此方法忽略了变量间的相关性,导致计算所得区间值过宽。仿射区间... 文章在元件可靠性指标为区间概率的基础上,结合区间概率和区间数运算来计算发电系统的可靠性指标。运用区间一般生成函数方法(IUGF)得到发电系统的区间值可靠性指标,但是此方法忽略了变量间的相关性,导致计算所得区间值过宽。仿射区间一般生成函数方法(AIUGF)考虑了原始数据中的相关性,能得到更窄且更为准确的发电系统区间可靠性指标。算例分别采用2种方法得到了RTS79的区间值可靠性指标,验证了AIUGF方法比IUGF方法能得到更窄的区间,并且系统不确定性越大,AIUGF方法在减小由于相关性造成的区间过宽上越有效果。 展开更多
关键词 一般生成函数 区间概率 区间算数 不确定性 仿射算法 发电系统可靠性 universal generating function (ugf)
在线阅读 下载PDF
基于Markov-UGF的复杂装备可靠性评估建模 被引量:1
12
作者 王伊婧心 丛林虎 +1 位作者 刘宇 李志强 《兵工自动化》 2021年第3期48-53,共6页
为研究多状态元件各状态之间的转移过程及其组合爆炸问题,对复杂装备进行可靠性评估,应用Markov过程建立各状态之间的转移过程,通过拉式变换与反拉式变换,确定元件处于各个状态的概率函数,构建基于通用生成函数的多状态系统可靠性模型,... 为研究多状态元件各状态之间的转移过程及其组合爆炸问题,对复杂装备进行可靠性评估,应用Markov过程建立各状态之间的转移过程,通过拉式变换与反拉式变换,确定元件处于各个状态的概率函数,构建基于通用生成函数的多状态系统可靠性模型,给出在不同维修方式下的可靠性指标,并以控制单元为例进行仿真分析。结果可知:相比于完全维修和不完全维修,视情维修可以使多状态系统及元件维持在一个更高的可靠度水平。 展开更多
关键词 多状态系统 MARKOV过程 通用生成函数 完全维修 不完全维修 视情维修
在线阅读 下载PDF
AIGC视域下高校文科教育的功能提升、风险评估与治理变革
13
作者 金华 张彭菲 尹洪骁 《中北大学学报(社会科学版)》 2025年第6期33-41,共9页
人工智能生成内容(Artificial Intelligence Generated Content,AIGC)在文科教育领域的广泛应用,产生显著的赋能效应。AIGC不仅高效拓展教育主体的身心边界、推动对话式学习回归,而且显著提高知识生产的速度与质量。尽管AIGC技术在教育... 人工智能生成内容(Artificial Intelligence Generated Content,AIGC)在文科教育领域的广泛应用,产生显著的赋能效应。AIGC不仅高效拓展教育主体的身心边界、推动对话式学习回归,而且显著提高知识生产的速度与质量。尽管AIGC技术在教育应用中取得了显著成效,但同时也对文科教育带来新的挑战,包括知识生产的流程化、师生关系的疏离、教育评价真实性受到质疑、学术伦理风险显著增加及技术依赖风险。面对这些新型挑战,高校文科教育亟须治理变革:明确知识权属与使用边界,加快构建规范知识生产流程化的多维治理体系;改善疏离的师生关系,坚持以生为本并坚守育人价值底线;推进教育评价转型,建立以能力培养为核心的发展性评价体系;建立系统化伦理治理体系,推进区块链动态认证与追踪溯源;开发可控生成式AI,确立人类智能优先的技术架构。 展开更多
关键词 人工智能生成内容 高校文科教育 功能提升 风险评估 治理变革
在线阅读 下载PDF
Universal generating function based probabilistic production simulation for wind power integrated power systems 被引量:9
14
作者 Tingchao JIN Ming ZHOU Gengyin LI 《Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy》 SCIE EI 2017年第1期134-141,共8页
According to the demand of sustainable development and low-carbon electricity, it is important to develop clean resources and optimize scheduling generation mix. Firstly, a novel method for probabilistic production si... According to the demand of sustainable development and low-carbon electricity, it is important to develop clean resources and optimize scheduling generation mix. Firstly, a novel method for probabilistic production simulation for wind power integrated power systems is proposed based on universal generating function(UGF), which completes the production simulation with the chronological wind power and load demand. Secondly,multiple-period multiple-state wind power model and multiple-state thermal unit power model are adopted, and both thermal power and wind power are coordinately scheduled by the comprehensive cost including economic cost and environmental cost. Furthermore, the accommodation and curtailment of wind power is synergistically considered according to the available regulation capability of conventional generators in operation. Finally, the proposed method is verified and compared with conventional convolution method in the improved IEEE-RTS 79 system. 展开更多
关键词 universal generating function(ugf) Chronological characteristics Environment cost Multiple-period multiple-state wind power model Wind power accommodation
原文传递
基于通用生成函数的混合不确定性结构可靠性分析 被引量:1
15
作者 李界 周金宇 《机械设计》 北大核心 2025年第2期141-147,共7页
针对同时存在随机、模糊和区间3种混合不确定性变量的结构可靠性分析问题,文中提出一种基于通用生成函数(UGF)的统一可靠性分析方法。采用广义密度函数法,将模糊变量转换为等效随机变量,结构几何参数采用区间变量描述时,基于熵最大原则... 针对同时存在随机、模糊和区间3种混合不确定性变量的结构可靠性分析问题,文中提出一种基于通用生成函数(UGF)的统一可靠性分析方法。采用广义密度函数法,将模糊变量转换为等效随机变量,结构几何参数采用区间变量描述时,基于熵最大原则,将区间变量视为在定义区间内服从均匀分布的随机变量,从而将混合不确定性问题转换为单一随机不确定性问题。对统一转化后的随机变量进行非均匀离散化,并采用求解精度高且不受随机变量非正态、功能函数非线性影响的UGF建立结构各分量UGF模型,通过复合运算得到整个结构UGF模型,求解功能函数获得结构的可靠度值。算例分析表明:采用文中方法与Monte Carlo法计算精度的相对误差小于1%,且计算效率提高近18倍。 展开更多
关键词 可靠性 通用生成函数 广义密度函数 熵最大原则 非均匀离散化
原文传递
生成式人工智能影响学术职业:现实图景、内在机理与应对策略 被引量:1
16
作者 周建力 柳海民 《江苏高教》 北大核心 2025年第5期46-55,共10页
随着以ChatGPT为代表的生成式人工智能在教育领域广泛运用,大学教师的替代性危机成为学界尤其是大学教师自身关注的重要问题。面对生成式人工智能的影响,作为学术职业的大学教师在科研、教学与社会服务三大职能的实践中都面临机遇与挑... 随着以ChatGPT为代表的生成式人工智能在教育领域广泛运用,大学教师的替代性危机成为学界尤其是大学教师自身关注的重要问题。面对生成式人工智能的影响,作为学术职业的大学教师在科研、教学与社会服务三大职能的实践中都面临机遇与挑战。追随技术进步的合法性效应、技术推动学术职业工作的变革以及学术职业发展的内在驱动力共同构成影响学术职业的内在机理。面对时代变革,学术职业者需要抓住技术赋能机遇,在科研、教学与社会服务领域发挥人类智慧的独特价值,实现学术职业的健康发展。 展开更多
关键词 ChatGPT 生成式人工智能 学术职业 大学教师 社会服务职能
在线阅读 下载PDF
Evaluating the Dependability Measures of a Hybrid Wind–Wave Power Generation System Under Varied Weather Conditions
17
作者 Panagiotis M.Psomas Agapios N.Platis +3 位作者 Ioannis K.Dagkinis Branislav Dragovic Theodore E.Lilas Nikitas V.Nikitakos 《哈尔滨工程大学学报(英文版)》 2025年第4期753-773,共21页
New renewable energy exploitation technologies in offshore structures are vital for future energy production systems.Offshore hybrid wind-wave power generation(HWWPG)systems face increased component failure rates beca... New renewable energy exploitation technologies in offshore structures are vital for future energy production systems.Offshore hybrid wind-wave power generation(HWWPG)systems face increased component failure rates because of harsh weather,significantly affecting the maintenance procedures and reliability.Different types of failure rates of the wind turbine(WT)and wave energy converter(WEC),e.g.,the degradation and failure rates during regular wind speed fluctuation,the degradation and failure rates during intense wind speed fluctuation are considered.By incorporating both WT and WEC,the HWWPG system is designed to enhance the overall amount of electrical energy produced by the system over a given period under varying weather conditions.The universal generating function technique is used to calculate the HWWPG system dependability measures in a structured and efficient manner.This research highlights that intense weather conditions increase the failure rates of both WT and WEC,resulting in higher maintenance costs and more frequent downtimes,thus impacting the HWWPG system’s reliability.Although the HWWPG system can meet the energy demands in the presence of high failure rates,the reliance of the hybrid system on both WT and WEC helps maintain a relatively stable demand satisfaction during periods of high energy demand despite adverse weather conditions.To confirm the added value and applicability of the developed model,a case study of an offshore hybrid platform is conducted.The findings underscore the system’s robustness in maintaining energy production under varied weather conditions,though higher failure rates and maintenance costs arise in intense scenarios. 展开更多
关键词 Wind energy Wave energy Offshore hybrid platform Dependability measures Markov chain universal generating function
在线阅读 下载PDF
基于通用生成函数法的城市轨道交通自动检票机可靠性分析研究
18
作者 魏东华 李正中 肖远东 《现代城市轨道交通》 2025年第11期70-76,共7页
自动检票机作为城市轨道交通进出车站的通道,对乘客的正常出行起着至关重要的作用。为保障自动检票机的稳定运行,基于设备的运行状态与故障数据建立自动检票机可靠性分析模型,对自动检票机的可靠性进行分析。文章提出一种基于通用生成... 自动检票机作为城市轨道交通进出车站的通道,对乘客的正常出行起着至关重要的作用。为保障自动检票机的稳定运行,基于设备的运行状态与故障数据建立自动检票机可靠性分析模型,对自动检票机的可靠性进行分析。文章提出一种基于通用生成函数的多状态系统可靠性分析方法。首先,将自动检票机各部件分为完好、亚健康、失效3种工作状态。其次,以故障数据为基础计算自动检票机各部件处于不同工作状态的概率,根据自动检票机的功能逻辑,构建系统的通用生成函数。最后,基于通用生成函数的可靠性指标,完成自动检票机系统的可靠性分析。与传统可靠性分析方法相比,采用通用生成函数法进行可靠性分析既可避免事先假设可靠性分布造成的计算误差,又能考虑到设备具有多运行状态的现实特性,分析结果更符合自动检票机的实际运行情况。 展开更多
关键词 城市轨道交通 自动检票机 通用生成函数 多状态 可靠性分析
在线阅读 下载PDF
低碳背景下基于改进通用生成函数法的随机生产模拟 被引量:23
19
作者 王洪涛 刘旭 +2 位作者 陈之栩 房光华 傅磊 《电网技术》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2013年第3期597-603,共7页
通用生成函数法(universal generating function,UGF)具有计算简单,运算快等优点,但其传统的应用中忽略了时序性,评估结果粗糙。为此,提出基于改进UGF法的随机生产模拟算法。首先,采用主成分分析法(principal componentanalysis,PCA)和... 通用生成函数法(universal generating function,UGF)具有计算简单,运算快等优点,但其传统的应用中忽略了时序性,评估结果粗糙。为此,提出基于改进UGF法的随机生产模拟算法。首先,采用主成分分析法(principal componentanalysis,PCA)和分层聚类法相结合的方法获得典型风电出力时序样本,然后采用均摊法建立风电出力UGF模型。在建立UGF模型时,通过选择合适的公因子,将状态值转化为公因子的整数倍,以有效抑制状态数指数增长,减缓了状态数爆炸问题。其次,对聚类后的时序风电出力模式进行UGF建模,得到时序UGF模型,该模型既可以体现风电出力的波动性,也可以体现风电出力的不确定性,克服了传统UGF法因缺乏时序性所致的风电特征代表性差的问题。最后,采用修正的IEEE-RTS79算例验证了所提算法的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 聚类技术 通用生成函数法 随机生产模拟 风电 低碳
原文传递
舰船装备多状态可修复系统可靠性通用生成函数解算方法 被引量:18
20
作者 史跃东 陈砚桥 金家善 《系统工程与电子技术》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2016年第9期2215-2220,共6页
远洋舰船装备结构复杂、系统庞大,可靠性要求高。开展舰船装备复杂系统可靠性研究,对于科学控制装备成本、实施维修决策,具有重要意义。针对舰船装备复杂系统,以可修复双锅汽轮发电系统为例,开展多状态系统可靠性建模。在此基础上,通过... 远洋舰船装备结构复杂、系统庞大,可靠性要求高。开展舰船装备复杂系统可靠性研究,对于科学控制装备成本、实施维修决策,具有重要意义。针对舰船装备复杂系统,以可修复双锅汽轮发电系统为例,开展多状态系统可靠性建模。在此基础上,通过引入通用生产算子和通用生产函数,完成多状态复杂系统可用度、期望性能、性能失效等可靠性指标解算,并给出稳态、瞬态数值分析结果。研究表明,解算方法通用性强、适用范围广、计算资源依赖程度低,远优于马尔可夫直接法;多状态模型建立合理,有效反映复杂装备系统可靠性变化规律,能为可靠性评估、装备采购及维修决策提供技术借鉴。 展开更多
关键词 多状态 可修复系统 可靠性 通用生成函数 舰船装备
在线阅读 下载PDF
上一页 1 2 7 下一页 到第
使用帮助 返回顶部