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Subgroup Analysis of a Single-Index Threshold Penalty Quantile Regression Model Based on Variable Selection
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作者 QI Hui XUE Yaxin 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 2025年第2期169-183,共15页
In clinical research,subgroup analysis can help identify patient groups that respond better or worse to specific treatments,improve therapeutic effect and safety,and is of great significance in precision medicine.This... In clinical research,subgroup analysis can help identify patient groups that respond better or worse to specific treatments,improve therapeutic effect and safety,and is of great significance in precision medicine.This article considers subgroup analysis methods for longitudinal data containing multiple covariates and biomarkers.We divide subgroups based on whether a linear combination of these biomarkers exceeds a predetermined threshold,and assess the heterogeneity of treatment effects across subgroups using the interaction between subgroups and exposure variables.Quantile regression is used to better characterize the global distribution of the response variable and sparsity penalties are imposed to achieve variable selection of covariates and biomarkers.The effectiveness of our proposed methodology for both variable selection and parameter estimation is verified through random simulations.Finally,we demonstrate the application of this method by analyzing data from the PA.3 trial,further illustrating the practicality of the method proposed in this paper. 展开更多
关键词 longitudinal data subgroup analysis threshold model quantile regression variable selection
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Variable Selection and Parameter Estimation in Distributed High-Dimensional Quantile Regression with Responses Missing at Random
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作者 CHEN Dan CHEN Ruijing +1 位作者 TANG Jiarui LI Huimin 《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity》 2026年第1期385-409,共25页
Quantile regression(QR)has become an important tool to measure dependence of response variable's quantiles on a number of predictors for heterogeneous data,especially heavy-tailed data and outliers.However,it is q... Quantile regression(QR)has become an important tool to measure dependence of response variable's quantiles on a number of predictors for heterogeneous data,especially heavy-tailed data and outliers.However,it is quite challenging to make statistical inference on distributed high-dimensional QR with missing data due to the distributed nature,sparsity and missingness of data and nondifferentiable quantile loss function.To overcome the challenge,this paper develops a communicationefficient method to select variables and estimate parameters by utilizing a smooth function to approximate the non-differentiable quantile loss function and incorporating the idea of the inverse probability weighting and the penalty function.The proposed approach has three merits.First,it is both computationally and communicationally efficient because only the first-and second-order information of the approximate objective function are communicated at each iteration.Second,the proposed estimators possess the oracle property after a limited number of iterations without constraint on the number of machines.Third,the proposed method simultaneously selects variables and estimates parameters within a distributed framework,ensuring robustness to the specified response probability or propensity score function of the missing data mechanism.Simulation studies and a real example are used to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodologies. 展开更多
关键词 Distributed estimator high-dimensional model missing at random quantile regression variable selection
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Mixed D-vine copula-based conditional quantile model for stochastic monthly streamflow simulation 被引量:2
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作者 Wen-zhuo Wang Zeng-chuan Dong +3 位作者 Tian-yan Zhang Li Ren Lian-qing Xue Teng Wu 《Water Science and Engineering》 EI CAS CSCD 2024年第1期13-20,共8页
Copula functions have been widely used in stochastic simulation and prediction of streamflow.However,existing models are usually limited to single two-dimensional or three-dimensional copulas with the same bivariate b... Copula functions have been widely used in stochastic simulation and prediction of streamflow.However,existing models are usually limited to single two-dimensional or three-dimensional copulas with the same bivariate block for all months.To address this limitation,this study developed a mixed D-vine copula-based conditional quantile model that can capture temporal correlations.This model can generate streamflow by selecting different historical streamflow variables as the conditions for different months and by exploiting the conditional quantile functions of streamflows in different months with mixed D-vine copulas.The up-to-down sequential method,which couples the maximum weight approach with the Akaike information criteria and the maximum likelihood approach,was used to determine the structures of multivariate Dvine copulas.The developed model was used in a case study to synthesize the monthly streamflow at the Tangnaihai hydrological station,the inflow control station of the Longyangxia Reservoir in the Yellow River Basin.The results showed that the developed model outperformed the commonly used bivariate copula model in terms of the performance in simulating the seasonality and interannual variability of streamflow.This model provides useful information for water-related natural hazard risk assessment and integrated water resources management and utilization. 展开更多
关键词 Stochastic monthly streamflow simulation Mixed D-vine copula Conditional quantile model Up-to-down sequential method Tangnaihai hydrological station
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Double-Penalized Quantile Regression in Partially Linear Models 被引量:1
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作者 Yunlu Jiang 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2015年第2期158-164,共7页
In this paper, we propose the double-penalized quantile regression estimators in partially linear models. An iterative algorithm is proposed for solving the proposed optimization problem. Some numerical examples illus... In this paper, we propose the double-penalized quantile regression estimators in partially linear models. An iterative algorithm is proposed for solving the proposed optimization problem. Some numerical examples illustrate that the finite sample performances of proposed method perform better than the least squares based method with regard to the non-causal selection rate (NSR) and the median of model error (MME) when the error distribution is heavy-tail. Finally, we apply the proposed methodology to analyze the ragweed pollen level dataset. 展开更多
关键词 quantilE Regression PARTIALLY LINEAR model Heavy-Tailed DISTRIBUTION
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Composite Quantile Regression for Nonparametric Model with Random Censored Data 被引量:1
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作者 Rong Jiang Weimin Qian 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2013年第2期65-73,共9页
The composite quantile regression should provide estimation efficiency gain over a single quantile regression. In this paper, we extend composite quantile regression to nonparametric model with random censored data. T... The composite quantile regression should provide estimation efficiency gain over a single quantile regression. In this paper, we extend composite quantile regression to nonparametric model with random censored data. The asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is established. The proposed methods are applied to the lung cancer data. Extensive simulations are reported, showing that the proposed method works well in practical settings. 展开更多
关键词 Kaplan-Meier ESTIMATOR Censored DATA COMPOSITE quantilE Regression KERNEL ESTIMATOR NONPARAMETRIC model
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A new two-part test based on density ratio model for zero-inflated continuous distributions
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作者 LU Ya-hui LIU Ai-yi +1 位作者 JIANG Meng-jie JIANG Tao 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2020年第2期203-219,共17页
In this paper,we consider testing the hypothesis concerning the means of two independent semicontinuous distributions whose observations are zero-inflated,characterized by a sizable number of zeros and positive observ... In this paper,we consider testing the hypothesis concerning the means of two independent semicontinuous distributions whose observations are zero-inflated,characterized by a sizable number of zeros and positive observations from a continuous distribution.The continuous parts of the two semicontinuous distributions are assumed to follow a density ratio model.A new two-part test is developed for this kind of data.The proposed test takes the sum of one test for equality of proportions of zero values and one conditional test for the continuous distribution.The test is proved to follow a2 distribution with two degrees of freedom.Simulation studies show that the proposed test controls the type I error rates at the desired level,and is competitive to,and most of the time more powerful than two popular tests.A real data example from a dietary intervention study is used to illustrate the usefulness of the proposed test. 展开更多
关键词 two-part test zero-in ated continuous distributions density ratio model
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Smoothed Empirical Likelihood Inference for Nonlinear Quantile Regression Models with Missing Response
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作者 Honghua Dong Xiuli Wang 《Open Journal of Applied Sciences》 2023年第6期921-933,共13页
In this paper, three smoothed empirical log-likelihood ratio functions for the parameters of nonlinear models with missing response are suggested. Under some regular conditions, the corresponding Wilks phenomena are o... In this paper, three smoothed empirical log-likelihood ratio functions for the parameters of nonlinear models with missing response are suggested. Under some regular conditions, the corresponding Wilks phenomena are obtained and the confidence regions for the parameter can be constructed easily. 展开更多
关键词 Nonlinear model quantile Regression Smoothed Empirical Likelihood Missing at Random
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多模式动态融合订正方法在青海省大到暴雨预报中的应用与分析
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作者 王倩 李静 +3 位作者 张青梅 李金海 扎西才让 祁万鹏 《干旱气象》 2026年第1期149-158,共10页
为提升青海省未来24 h大到暴雨预报准确率,尤其是对突发性暴雨事件的捕捉能力,本文利用青海省2023年7—9月降水观测和多个模式预报资料进行检验优选,再对优选模式预报产品进行分位数映射订正,将多模式动态融合与分级强度订正方法相结合... 为提升青海省未来24 h大到暴雨预报准确率,尤其是对突发性暴雨事件的捕捉能力,本文利用青海省2023年7—9月降水观测和多个模式预报资料进行检验优选,再对优选模式预报产品进行分位数映射订正,将多模式动态融合与分级强度订正方法相结合,应用于青藏高原地区的大到暴雨客观预报。结果表明:中国气象局(China Meteorological Administration,CMA)华东区域数值预报系统(CMA-SH9)、中国气象局北京快速更新循环数值预报系统(CMA-BJ)及中央台指导预报产品(SCMOC)在青海省大到暴雨预报中效果相对较优,因此最终考虑选取这3种模式作为优选模式进行融合;对3类优选模式分位数映射订正再动态融合后,各量级晴雨预报准确率和TS(Threat Score)评分等检验指标均有不同程度提升,但强度偏大,存在系统性正偏差;3类优选模式动态融合分级订正明显改善了预报偏差,较单模式预报晴雨预报准确率提升7.8%~27.7%,TS评分提升9.3%~22.8%;区域性大到暴雨个例分析表明:动态融合分级订正预报偏差更接近1,降水预报的雨带位置特别是大到暴雨落区也更接近降水实况;其晴雨预报准确率、大到暴雨TS评分、大到暴雨命中率分别较最优单模式提升2.2%、19.4%、27.4%。 展开更多
关键词 大到暴雨预报 多模式动态融合订正 分位数映射方法 青海省
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基于GA-QLightGBM分位数回归的爆破块度预测模型
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作者 王淑贤 杨溢 +1 位作者 石玉莲 沈亚玺 《中国安全科学学报》 北大核心 2026年第2期163-171,共9页
针对矿山爆破块度预测中存在的不确定性高、影响因素复杂等问题,提出一种融合遗传算法(GA)优化与分位数回归的轻量级梯度提升机(LightGBM)预测模型(GA-QLightGBM)。首先,利用GA优化LightGBM超参数,通过模拟自然选择过程(选择、交叉、变... 针对矿山爆破块度预测中存在的不确定性高、影响因素复杂等问题,提出一种融合遗传算法(GA)优化与分位数回归的轻量级梯度提升机(LightGBM)预测模型(GA-QLightGBM)。首先,利用GA优化LightGBM超参数,通过模拟自然选择过程(选择、交叉、变异)进行寻优,提升模型预测精度与稳定性;然后,通过设置不同分位数构建爆破块度的预测区间,量化预测结果的不确定性;最后,将该模型应用于矿山实测数据集,对比验证其预测性能与泛化能力,为爆破块度预测及不确定性分析提供新思路。结果表明:该模型在点预测方面的决定系数为0.880,均方误差(MSE)为0.004,优于传统点预测模型;在区间预测方面,覆盖概率(PICP)、归一化平均带宽(PINAW)和修正区间预测精度(CPIA)分别为0.947、0.228和0.762,验证了GA-QLightGBM的准确性与可靠性。 展开更多
关键词 遗传算法(GA) 轻量级梯度提升机(LightGBM) 爆破块度 不确定性 分位数回归 预测模型
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绿色金融促进了能源结构转型吗——基于时空极差熵值法的研究
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作者 李俊霖 白佳丹 《上海市经济管理干部学院学报》 2026年第1期2-18,共17页
绿色金融是中国高质量发展的重要驱动力,能源结构转型的实现需要绿色金融的支持。文章基于2001—2022年中国省际面板数据,运用时空极差熵值法测算绿色金融综合发展指数,实证分析了“双碳”目标约束下绿色金融发展对能源结构转型的影响... 绿色金融是中国高质量发展的重要驱动力,能源结构转型的实现需要绿色金融的支持。文章基于2001—2022年中国省际面板数据,运用时空极差熵值法测算绿色金融综合发展指数,实证分析了“双碳”目标约束下绿色金融发展对能源结构转型的影响。研究发现:绿色金融显著促进了能源结构转型,在进行了一系列稳健性检验之后,上述结论依然成立。机制分析表明,绿色金融通过绿色技术创新和产业结构升级助推能源结构转型,提升技术市场发展水平正向调节绿色金融发展促进能源结构转型的作用。绿色金融发展的能源结构转型效应在地理区划与经济发展水平层面存在异质特征。进一步分析发现,在能源结构转型的不同阶段,绿色金融驱动能源结构转型的边际效应存在差异;随着碳排放强度的提高,绿色金融驱动能源结构转型的边际效应也在增强。 展开更多
关键词 绿色金融 能源结构转型 面板分位数模型 面板门槛模型
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基于贝叶斯分位数回归联合模型的帕金森病前驱期影响因素分析
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作者 张美玲 陈杜荣 +2 位作者 秦瑶 薛舒婷 余红梅 《中国卫生统计》 北大核心 2026年第1期20-24,共5页
目的基于贝叶斯分位数回归联合模型探究不同蒙特利尔认知评估(Montreal cognitive assessment,MoCA)评分轨迹下帕金森病前驱期(prodromal Parkinson’s disease,pPD)患者的影响因素。方法从帕金森进展标志物倡议(Parkinson’s progressi... 目的基于贝叶斯分位数回归联合模型探究不同蒙特利尔认知评估(Montreal cognitive assessment,MoCA)评分轨迹下帕金森病前驱期(prodromal Parkinson’s disease,pPD)患者的影响因素。方法从帕金森进展标志物倡议(Parkinson’s progression markers initiative,PPMI)数据库中选取pPD患者,共纳入331例pPD患者。研究纳入年龄、教育年限、家族史、性别、体质指数、β淀粉样蛋白、总tau蛋白、磷酸化tau蛋白、血清尿酸、APOEε4基因变量,采用分位数回归模型、Cox比例风险模型筛选具有重要意义的变量。将上述筛选出的变量利用贝叶斯分位数回归联合模型综合纵向数据和生存数据信息进行联合建模,分析不同MoCA评分轨迹下pPD患者的影响因素。结果贝叶斯分位数回归联合模型结果表明,在所有分位数处年龄、性别、教育年限、总tau蛋白、磷酸化tau蛋白、血清尿酸与pPD患者疾病进展显著相关。不同分位数处变量影响程度不同,总tau蛋白、磷酸化tau蛋白的影响程度随分位数增加呈不断上升的趋势,血清尿酸的影响程度呈下降趋势。结论MoCA不同评分轨迹下pPD患者的影响因素不同,影响程度存在差异。应重点关注高龄、教育年限短、男性、血清尿酸水平低、携带APOEε4基因的pPD患者。 展开更多
关键词 帕金森病前驱期 贝叶斯分位数回归联合模型 影响因素
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贝叶斯分层分位数因子模型及其应用
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作者 薛娇 黄恒君 《应用概率统计》 北大核心 2026年第1期34-60,共27页
因子分析旨在利用变量间的相关性提取公共因子,用以验证显变量与潜变量之间的数量关系.传统的因子模型侧重于对数据均值结构的推断,但是在某些特定情况下,研究不仅涉及均值中潜在因子的影响,还涉及由分位数表示的整个响应分布的影响.因... 因子分析旨在利用变量间的相关性提取公共因子,用以验证显变量与潜变量之间的数量关系.传统的因子模型侧重于对数据均值结构的推断,但是在某些特定情况下,研究不仅涉及均值中潜在因子的影响,还涉及由分位数表示的整个响应分布的影响.因此,本文将分位数回归和因子模型相结合,利用广义非对称的Laplace分布的混合形式,在贝叶斯框架下构建了分层分位数因子模型(QFM_(GAL)),并给出基于Metropolis-Hastings采样的MCMC算法.模拟和实例分析表明:贝叶斯分层分位数因子分析方法对异常值和极端分位数具有鲁棒性;同时,该方法允许因子载荷和公共因子随分位数变化,因而这些公共因子在实际应用中具有更现实的理论解释. 展开更多
关键词 分位数因子模型 广义非对称Laplace分布 MCMC Metropolis-Hastings采样
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Statistical regression modeling for energy consumption in wastewater treatment 被引量:7
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作者 Yang Yu Zhihong Zou Shanshan Wang 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2019年第1期201-208,共8页
Wastewater treatment is one of critical issues faced by water utilities, and receives more and more attentions recently. The energy consumption modeling in biochemical wastewater treatment was investigated in the stud... Wastewater treatment is one of critical issues faced by water utilities, and receives more and more attentions recently. The energy consumption modeling in biochemical wastewater treatment was investigated in the study via a general and robust approach based on Bayesian semi-parametric quantile regression. The dataset was derived from a municipal wastewater treatment plant, where the energy consumption of unit chemical oxygen demand(COD) reduction was the response variable of interest. Via the proposed approach,the comprehensive regression pictures of the energy consumption and truly influencing factors, i.e., the regression relationships at lower, median and higher energy consumption levels were characterized respectively. Meanwhile, the proposals for energy saving in different cases were also facilitated specifically. First, the lower level of energy consumption was closely associated with the temperature of influent wastewater, and the chroma-rich wastewater also showed helpful in the execution of energy saving. Second, at median energy consumption level, the COD-rich wastewater played a determinative role in the reduction of energy consumption, while the higher quality of treated water led to slightly energy intensive. Third, the higher level of energy consumption was most likely to be attributed to the relatively high temperature of wastewater and total nitrogen(TN)-rich wastewater,and both of the factors were preferably to be avoided to alleviate the burden of energy consumption. The study provided an efficient approach to controlling the energy consumption of wastewater treatment in the perspective of statistical regression modeling, and offered valuable suggestions for the future energy saving. 展开更多
关键词 Energy CONSUMPTION modeling WASTEWATER treatment SEMI-PARAMETRIC model BAYESIAN quantilE regression
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Using Quantile Regression Approach to Analyze Price Movements of Agricultural Products in China 被引量:7
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作者 LI Gan-qiong XU Shi-wei +2 位作者 LI Zhe-min SUN Yi-guo DONG Xiao-xia 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2012年第4期674-683,共10页
This paper studies how the price movements of pork,chicken and egg respond to those of related cost factors in short terms in Chinese market.We employ a linear quantile approach not only to explore potential data hete... This paper studies how the price movements of pork,chicken and egg respond to those of related cost factors in short terms in Chinese market.We employ a linear quantile approach not only to explore potential data heteroscedasticity but also to generate confidence bands for the purpose of price stability study.We then evaluate our models by comparing the prediction intervals generated from the quantile regression models with in-sample and out-of-sample forecasts.Using monthly data from January 2000 to October 2010,we observed these findings:(i) the price changes of cost factors asymmetrically and unequally influence those of the livestock across different quantiles;(ii) the performance of our models is robust and consistent for both in-sample and out-of-sample forecasts;(iii) the confidence intervals generated from 0.05th and 0.95th quantile regression models are good methods to forecast livestock price fluctuation. 展开更多
关键词 cost factors agricultural products forecasting price movements quantile regression model
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Wavelet Based Detection of Outliers in Volatility Time Series Models 被引量:1
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作者 Khudhayr A.Rashedi Mohd Tahir Ismail +1 位作者 Abdeslam Serroukh SAl wadi 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2022年第8期3835-3847,共13页
We introduce a new wavelet based procedure for detecting outliers in financial discrete time series.The procedure focuses on the analysis of residuals obtained from a model fit,and applied to the Generalized Autoregre... We introduce a new wavelet based procedure for detecting outliers in financial discrete time series.The procedure focuses on the analysis of residuals obtained from a model fit,and applied to the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity(GARCH)like model,but not limited to these models.We apply the Maximal-Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform(MODWT)to the residuals and compare their wavelet coefficients against quantile thresholds to detect outliers.Our methodology has several advantages over existing methods that make use of the standard Discrete Wavelet Transform(DWT).The series sample size does not need to be a power of 2 and the transform can explore any wavelet filter and be run up to the desired level.Simulated wavelet quantiles from a Normal and Student t-distribution are used as threshold for the maximum of the absolute value of wavelet coefficients.The performance of the procedure is illustrated and applied to two real series:the closed price of the Saudi Stock market and the S&P 500 index respectively.The efficiency of the proposed method is demonstrated and can be considered as a distinct important addition to the existing methods. 展开更多
关键词 GARCH models MODWT wavelet transform outlier detections quantile threshold
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Quantile Regression Based on Semi-Competing Risks Data
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作者 Jin-Jian Hsieh A. Adam Ding +1 位作者 Weijing Wang Yu-Lin Chi 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2013年第1期12-26,共15页
This paper considers quantile regression analysis based on semi-competing risks data in which a non-terminal event may be dependently censored by a terminal event. The major interest is the covariate effects on the qu... This paper considers quantile regression analysis based on semi-competing risks data in which a non-terminal event may be dependently censored by a terminal event. The major interest is the covariate effects on the quantile of the non-terminal event time. Dependent censoring is handled by assuming that the joint distribution of the two event times follows a parametric copula model with unspecified marginal distributions. The technique of inverse probability weighting (IPW) is adopted to adjust for the selection bias. Large-sample properties of the proposed estimator are derived and a model diagnostic procedure is developed to check the adequacy of the model assumption. Simulation results show that the proposed estimator performs well. For illustrative purposes, our method is applied to analyze the bone marrow transplant data in [1]. 展开更多
关键词 COPULA model Dependent CENSORING quantilE Regression Semi-Competing RISKS DATA
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Probabilistic Quantile Regression-Based Scour Estimation Considering Foundation Widths and Flood Conditions
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作者 Chen Wang Fayun Liang Jingru Li 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2021年第1期30-41,共12页
Scour has been widely accepted as a key reason for bridge failures.Bridges are susceptible and sensitive to the scour phenomenon,which describes the loss of riverbed sediments around the bridge supports because of flo... Scour has been widely accepted as a key reason for bridge failures.Bridges are susceptible and sensitive to the scour phenomenon,which describes the loss of riverbed sediments around the bridge supports because of flow.The carrying capacity of a deep-water foundation is influenced by the formation of a scour hole,which means that a severe scour can lead to a bridge failure without warning.Most of the current scour predictions are based on deterministic models,while other loads at bridges are usually provided as probabilistic values.To integrate scour factors with other loads in bridge design and research,a quantile regression model was utilized to estimate scour depth.Field data and experimental data from previous studies were collected to build the model.Moreover,scour estimations using the HEC-18 equation and the proposed method were compared.By using the“CCC(Calculate,Confirm,and Check)”procedure,the probabilistic concept could be used to calculate various scour depths with the targeted likelihood according to a specified chance of bridge failure.The study shows that with a sufficiently large and continuously updated database,the proposed model could present reasonable results and provide guidance for scour mitigation. 展开更多
关键词 bridge scour scour estimation quantile regression probabilistic model deterministic models
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Do U.S.economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil‑price returns?A quantile machine‑learning approach
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作者 Rangan Gupta Christian Pierdzioch 《Financial Innovation》 2023年第1期645-666,共22页
Because the U.S.is a major player in the international oil market,it is interesting to study whether aggregate and state-level economic conditions can predict the subse-quent realized volatility of oil price returns.T... Because the U.S.is a major player in the international oil market,it is interesting to study whether aggregate and state-level economic conditions can predict the subse-quent realized volatility of oil price returns.To address this research question,we frame our analysis in terms of variants of the popular heterogeneous autoregressive realized volatility(HAR-RV)model.To estimate the models,we use quantile-regression and quantile machine learning(Lasso)estimators.Our estimation results highlights the dif-ferential effects of economic conditions on the quantiles of the conditional distribution of realized volatility.Using weekly data for the period April 1987 to December 2021,we document evidence of predictability at a biweekly and monthly horizon. 展开更多
关键词 Oil price Realized volatility Economic conditions indexes quantile Lasso Prediction models
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Global Climate Model Selection for Analysis of Uncertainty in Climate Change Impact Assessments of Hydro-Climatic Extremes
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作者 Patrick A. Breach Slobodan P. Simonovic Zhiyong Yang 《American Journal of Climate Change》 2016年第4期502-525,共24页
Regional climate change impact assessments are becoming increasingly important for developing adaptation strategies in an uncertain future with respect to hydro-climatic extremes. There are a number of Global Climate ... Regional climate change impact assessments are becoming increasingly important for developing adaptation strategies in an uncertain future with respect to hydro-climatic extremes. There are a number of Global Climate Models (GCMs) and emission scenarios providing predictions of future changes in climate. As a result, there is a level of uncertainty associated with the decision of which climate models to use for the assessment of climate change impacts. The IPCC has recommended using as many global climate model scenarios as possible;however, this approach may be impractical for regional assessments that are computationally demanding. Methods have been developed to select climate model scenarios, generally consisting of selecting a model with the highest skill (validation), creating an ensemble, or selecting one or more extremes. Validation methods limit analyses to models with higher skill in simulating historical climate, ensemble methods typically take multi model means, median, or percentiles, and extremes methods tend to use scenarios which bound the projected changes in precipitation and temperature. In this paper a quantile regression based validation method is developed and applied to generate a reduced set of GCM-scenarios to analyze daily maximum streamflow uncertainty in the Upper Thames River Basin, Canada, while extremes and percentile ensemble approaches are also used for comparison. Results indicate that the validation method was able to effectively rank and reduce the set of scenarios, while the extremes and percentile ensemble methods were found not to necessarily correlate well with the range of extreme flows for all calendar months and return periods. 展开更多
关键词 Climate Change UNCERTAINTY Hydrologic modelling EXTREMES model Selection quantile Regression
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L1/2 -Regularized Quantile Method for Sparse Phase Retrieval
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作者 Si Shen Jiayao Xiang +1 位作者 Huijuan Lv Ailing Yan 《Open Journal of Applied Sciences》 CAS 2022年第12期2135-2151,共17页
The sparse phase retrieval aims to recover the sparse signal from quadratic measurements. However, the measurements are often affected by outliers and asymmetric distribution noise. This paper introduces a novel metho... The sparse phase retrieval aims to recover the sparse signal from quadratic measurements. However, the measurements are often affected by outliers and asymmetric distribution noise. This paper introduces a novel method that combines the quantile regression and the L<sub>1/2</sub>-regularizer. It is a non-convex, non-smooth, non-Lipschitz optimization problem. We propose an efficient algorithm based on the Alternating Direction Methods of Multiplier (ADMM) to solve the corresponding optimization problem. Numerous numerical experiments show that this method can recover sparse signals with fewer measurements and is robust to dense bounded noise and Laplace noise. 展开更多
关键词 Sparse Phase Retrieval Nonconvex Optimization Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers quantile Regression model ROBUSTNESS
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