Studying the seasonal deformation in GPS time series is important to interpreting geophysical contributors and identifying unmodeled and mismodeled seasonal signals.Traditional seasonal signal extraction used the leas...Studying the seasonal deformation in GPS time series is important to interpreting geophysical contributors and identifying unmodeled and mismodeled seasonal signals.Traditional seasonal signal extraction used the least squares method,which models seasonal deformation as a constant seasonal amplitude and phase.However,the seasonal variations are not constant from year to year,and the seasonal amplitude and phase are time-variable.In order to obtain the time-variable seasonal signal in the GPS station coordinate time series,singular spectrum analysis(SSA)is conducted in this study.We firstly applied the SSA on simulated seasonal signals with different frequencies 1.00 cycle per year(cpy),1.04 cpy and with time-variable amplitude are superimposed.It was found that SSA can successfully obtain the seasonal variations with different frequencies and with time-variable amplitude superimposed.Then,SSA is carried out on the GPS observations in Yunnan Province.The results show that the time-variable amplitude seasonal signals are ubiquitous in Yunnan Province,and the timevariable amplitude change in 2019 in the region is extracted,which is further explained by the soil moisture mass loading and atmospheric pressure loading.After removing the two loading effects,the SSA obtained modulated seasonal signals which contain the obvious seasonal variations at frequency of 1.046 cpy,it is close with the GPS draconitic year,1.040 cpy.Hence,the time-variable amplitude changes in 2019 and the seasonal GPS draconitic year in the region could be discriminated successfully by SSA in Yunnan Province.展开更多
The terrestrial time-variable gravity measurements are characterized by a high signal-to-noise ratio and sensitivity to the sources of mass change in the Earth's crust.These gravity data have many applications,suc...The terrestrial time-variable gravity measurements are characterized by a high signal-to-noise ratio and sensitivity to the sources of mass change in the Earth's crust.These gravity data have many applications,such as surface deformation,groundwater storage changes,and mass migration before and after earthquakes.Based on repeated terrestrial gravity measurements at 198 gravity stations in the Sichuan-Yunnan region(SYR)from 2015 to 2017,we determine a time series of degree 120 gravity fields using the localized spherical harmonic(Slepian)basis functions.Our results show that adopting the first 6 Slepian basis functions is sufficient for effective localized Slepian modeling in the SYR.The differences between two gravity campaigns at the same time of year show an obvious correlation with tectonic features.The degree 120 timevariable gravity models presented in this paper will benefit the study of the regional mass migration inside the crust of the SYR and supplement the existing geophysical models for the China Seismic Experimental Site.展开更多
The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment（GRACE） has been measuring temporal and spatial variations of mass redistribution within the Earth system since2002. As large earthquakes cause significant mass changes on ...The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment（GRACE） has been measuring temporal and spatial variations of mass redistribution within the Earth system since2002. As large earthquakes cause significant mass changes on and under the Earth＇s surface,GRACE provides a new means from space to observe mass redistribution due to earthquake deformations. GRACE serves as a good complement to other earthquake measurements because of its extensive spatial coverage and being free from terrestrial restriction. During its over 10 years mission,GRACE has successfully detected seismic gravitational changes of several giant earthquakes,which include the 2004 Sumatra–Andaman earthquake,2010 Maule（Chile） earthquake,and 2011 Tohoku-Oki（Japan） earthquake. In this review,we describe by examples how to process GRACE timevariable gravity data to retrieve seismic signals,and summarize the results of recent studies that apply GRACE observations to detect co- and post-seismic signals and constrain fault slip models and viscous lithospheric structures. We also discuss major problems and give an outlook in this field of GRACE application.展开更多
The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment(GRACE)is the most important gravity satellite to date in human history.Since its launch in 2002,GRACE time-varying gravity has had an unprecedented impact on earth science a...The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment(GRACE)is the most important gravity satellite to date in human history.Since its launch in 2002,GRACE time-varying gravity has had an unprecedented impact on earth science and has generated revolutionary changes.Because of natural phenomena such as climate warming,glacial melting,sea level rise,and earthquakes,earth science research has become an increasingly popular discipline in recent years.This article summarizes the importance of GRACE time-varying gravity,its application to geoscience,and its development.We analyzed the historical development and current status of GRACE time-varying gravity as well as research hotspots by searching the literature in the core collection databases of the China National Knowledge Infrastructure and the Web of Science over the past 20 years.The CiteSpace and VOSviewer software packages were applied with reference to the principle of literature metrology.Our investigation and analysis of characteristic indexes,such as the numbers of publications,co-occurrence of keywords,and co-citation of documents,uncovered the wide application and promotion of gravity satellites,especially GRACE time-varying gravity,in earth science.The results showed that the number of publications addressing GRACE data and time-varying gravity theory is increasing annually and that the USA,China,and Germany are the main producers.The Chinese Academy of Sciences,the National Aeronautics and Space Administration of the United States,and the Helmholtz Association of German Research Centres rank among the top three institutions in the world in terms of producing the most publications on this topic.We found that GRACE time-varying gravity plays unique roles in measuring changes in terrestrial water storage changes,ice and snow melting and sea level changes,and(co)seismic gravity changes,as well as in promoting other disciplines.展开更多
The purpose of this study is to explore nonhydrological mass transfer in China's Mainland.For this purpose,gravity recovery and climate experiment(GRACE)data were obtained to study the spatial distribution of time...The purpose of this study is to explore nonhydrological mass transfer in China's Mainland.For this purpose,gravity recovery and climate experiment(GRACE)data were obtained to study the spatial distribution of time variant gravity signals in China's Mainland.Then,from auxiliary hydrological data processed according to the current hydrological model,a new more comprehensive hydrological model of China's Mainland was constructed.Finally,the time variant signals of this new hydrological model were removed from the time variant gravity field computed from GRACE data,thus obtaining a description of the nonhydrological mass transfer of China's Mainland.The physical sources and mechanisms of the resulting mass transfer are then discussed.The improved,more realistic,hydrological model used here was created by selecting the hydrological components with the best correlations in existing hydrological models,by use of correlation calculation,analysis,and comparison.This improved model includes water in soils and deeper strata,in the vegetation canopy,in lakes,snow,and glaciers,and in other water components(mainly reservoir storage,swamps,and rivers).The spatial distribution of the transfer signals due to nonhydrological mass in China's Mainland was obtained by subtracting the combined hydrological model from the GRACE time-variable gravity field.The results show that the nonhydrological signals in China's Mainland collected in GRACE data were mainly positive signals,and were distributed in the Bohai Rim and the northern and eastern parts of the Tibetan Plateau.The above nonhydrological mass transfer signals have been studied further and are discussed.The results show that the nonhydrological mass migration signals in the Bohai Rim region originate primarily from sea level change and marine sediment accumulation.The mass accumulation from Indian plate collision in the Tibetan Plateau appears to be the main reason for the increase in the residual gravity field in that region.展开更多
In this paper, we consider strong convergence and almost sure exponential stability of the backward Euler-Maruyama method for nonlinear hybrid stochastic differential equations with time-variable delay. Under the loca...In this paper, we consider strong convergence and almost sure exponential stability of the backward Euler-Maruyama method for nonlinear hybrid stochastic differential equations with time-variable delay. Under the local Lipschitz condition and polynomial growth condition, it is proved that the backward Euler-Maruyama method is strongly convergent. Additionally, the moment estimates and almost sure exponential stability for the analytical solution are proved. Also, under the appropriate condition, we show that the numerical solutions for the backward Euler-Maruyama methods are almost surely exponentially stable. A numerical experiment is given to illustrate the computational effectiveness and the theoretical results of the method.展开更多
This article focuses on asymptotic precision motion control for electro-hydraulic axis systems under unknown time-variant parameters,mismatched and matched disturbances.Different from the traditional adaptive results ...This article focuses on asymptotic precision motion control for electro-hydraulic axis systems under unknown time-variant parameters,mismatched and matched disturbances.Different from the traditional adaptive results that are applied to dispose of unknown constant parameters only,the unique feature is that an adaptive-gain nonlinear term is introduced into the control design to handle unknown time-variant parameters.Concurrently both mismatched and matched disturbances existing in electro-hydraulic axis systems can also be addressed in this way.With skillful integration of the backstepping technique and the adaptive control,a synthesized controller framework is successfully developed for electro-hydraulic axis systems,in which the coupled interaction between parameter estimation and disturbance estimation is avoided.Accordingly,this designed controller has the capacity of low-computation costs and simpler parameter tuning when compared to the other ones that integrate the adaptive control and observer/estimator-based technique to dividually handle parameter uncertainties and disturbances.Also,a nonlinear filter is designed to eliminate the“explosion of complexity”issue existing in the classical back-stepping technique.The stability analysis uncovers that all the closed-loop signals are bounded and the asymptotic tracking performance is also assured.Finally,contrastive experiment results validate the superiority of the developed method as well.展开更多
Contrary to conventional design methods that assume uniform and slow temperature changes tied to atmospheric conditions,single-layer spherical reticulated shells undergo significant non-uniform and time-variant temper...Contrary to conventional design methods that assume uniform and slow temperature changes tied to atmospheric conditions,single-layer spherical reticulated shells undergo significant non-uniform and time-variant temperature variations due to dynamic environmental coupling.These differences can affect structural performance and pose safety risks.Here,a systematic numerical method was developed and applied to simulate long-term temperature variations in such a structure under real environmental conditions,revealing its non-uniform distribution characteristics and time-variant regularity.A simplified design method for non-uniform thermal loads,accounting for time-variant environmental factors,was theoretically derived and validated through experiments and simulations.The maximum deviation and mean error rate between calculated and tested results were 6.1℃ and 3.7%,respectively.Calculated temperature fields aligned with simulated ones,with deviations under 6.0℃.Using the design method,non-uniform thermal effects of the structure are analyzed.Maximum member stress and nodal displacement under non-uniform thermal loads reached 119.3 MPa and 19.7 mm,representing increases of 167.5%and 169.9%,respectively,compared to uniform thermal loads.The impacts of healing construction time on non-uniform thermal effects were evaluated,resulting in construction recommendations.The methodologies and conclusions presented here can serve as valuable references for the thermal design,construction,and control of single-layer spherical reticulated shells or similar structures.展开更多
Assessment of imprecise time-variant reliability in engineering is a critical task when accounting for both the variability of structural properties and loads over time and the presence of uncertainties involved in th...Assessment of imprecise time-variant reliability in engineering is a critical task when accounting for both the variability of structural properties and loads over time and the presence of uncertainties involved in the ambiguity of parameters simultaneously.To estimate the Imprecise Time-variant Failure Probability Function(ITFPF)and derive the imprecise reliability results as a byproduct,Adaptive Combination Augmented Line Sampling(ACALS)is proposed.It consists of three integrated features:Augmented Line Sampling(ALS),adaptive strategy,and the optimal combination.ALS is adopted as an efficient analysis tool to obtain the failure probability function w.r.t.imprecise parameters.Then,the adaptive strategy iteratively applies ALS while considering both imprecise parameters and time simultaneously.Finally,the optimal combination algorithm collects all result components in an optimal manner to minimize the Coefficient of Variance(C.o.V.)of the ITFPF estimate.Overall,the proposed ACALS method outperforms the original ALS method by efficiently estimating the ITFPF while guaranteeing a minimal C.o.V.Thus,the proposed approach can serve as an effective tool for imprecise time-variant reliability analysis in real engineering applications.Several examples are presented to demonstrate the superiority of the proposed approach in addressing the challenges of estimating the ITFPF.展开更多
In time-variant reliability problems,there are a lot of uncertain variables from different sources.Therefore,it is important to consider these uncertainties in engineering.In addition,time-variant reliability problems...In time-variant reliability problems,there are a lot of uncertain variables from different sources.Therefore,it is important to consider these uncertainties in engineering.In addition,time-variant reliability problems typically involve a complexmultilevel nested optimization problem,which can result in an enormous amount of computation.To this end,this paper studies the time-variant reliability evaluation of structures with stochastic and bounded uncertainties using a mixed probability and convex set model.In this method,the stochastic process of a limit-state function with mixed uncertain parameters is first discretized and then converted into a timeindependent reliability problem.Further,to solve the double nested optimization problem in hybrid reliability calculation,an efficient iterative scheme is designed in standard uncertainty space to determine the most probable point(MPP).The limit state function is linearized at these points,and an innovative random variable is defined to solve the equivalent static reliability analysis model.The effectiveness of the proposed method is verified by two benchmark numerical examples and a practical engineering problem.展开更多
Zeroing neural dynamic(ZND)model is widely deployed for time-variant non-linear equations(TVNE).Various element-wise non-linear activation functions and integration operations are investigated to enhance the convergen...Zeroing neural dynamic(ZND)model is widely deployed for time-variant non-linear equations(TVNE).Various element-wise non-linear activation functions and integration operations are investigated to enhance the convergence performance and robustness in most proposed ZND models for solving TVNE,leading to a huge cost of hardware implementation and model complexity.To overcome these problems,the authors develop a new norm-based ZND(NBZND)model with strong robustness for solving TVNE,not applying element-wise non-linear activated functions but introducing a two-norm operation to achieve finite-time convergence.Moreover,the authors develop a discretetime NBZND model for the potential deployment of the model on digital computers.Rigorous theoretical analysis for the NBZND is provided.Simulation results substantiate the advantages of the NBZND model for solving TVNE.展开更多
During the past few decades, it has become clear that the distribution, sizes, and masses of cosmic structures are best described as fractal rather than homogeneous. This means that an entirely different formalism is ...During the past few decades, it has become clear that the distribution, sizes, and masses of cosmic structures are best described as fractal rather than homogeneous. This means that an entirely different formalism is needed to replace the standard perturbation model of structure formation. Recently, we have been developing a model of cosmology that accounts for a large number of the observed properties of the universe. A key component of this model is that fractal structures that later regulated the creation of both matter and radiation came into existence during the initial Planck-era inflation. Initially, the vacuum was the only existence and since time, distance, and energy were uncertain, its only property, the curvature (or energy), was most likely distributed randomly. Everything that happened after the Planck era can be described by the known laws of physics so the remaining fundamental problem is to discover how such a random beginning could organize itself into the hierarchy of highly non-random self-similar structures on all length scales that are necessary to explain the existence of all cosmic structures. In this paper, we present a variation of the standard sandpile model that points to a solution. Incidental to our review of the distributions of cosmic structures, we discovered that the apparent transition from a fractal to a homogeneous distribution of structures at a distance of about 150 Mpc is a consequence of the finite size of the universe rather than a change in the underlying statistics of the distributions.展开更多
This paper investigates modified fixed-time synchronization(FxTS)of complex networks(CNs)with time-varying delays based on continuous and discontinuous controllers.First,for the sake of making the settling time(ST)of ...This paper investigates modified fixed-time synchronization(FxTS)of complex networks(CNs)with time-varying delays based on continuous and discontinuous controllers.First,for the sake of making the settling time(ST)of FxTS is independent of the initial values and parameters of the CNs,a modified fixed-time(FxT)stability theorem is proposed,where the ST is determined by an arbitrary positive number given in advance.Then,continuous controller and discontinuous controller are designed to realize the modified FxTS target of CNs.In addition,based on the designed controllers,CNs can achieve synchronization at any given time,or even earlier.And control strategies effectively solve the problem of ST related to the parameters of CNs.Finally,an appropriate simulation example is conducted to examine the effectiveness of the designed control strategies.展开更多
After a long period of water flooding development,the oilfield has entered the middle and high water cut stage.The physical properties of reservoirs are changed by water erosion,which directly impacts reservoir develo...After a long period of water flooding development,the oilfield has entered the middle and high water cut stage.The physical properties of reservoirs are changed by water erosion,which directly impacts reservoir development.Conventional numerical reservoir simulation methodologies typically employ static assumptions for model construction,presuming invariant reservoir geological parameters throughout the development process while neglecting the reservoir’s temporal evolution characteristics.Although such simplifications reduce computational complexity,they introduce substantial descriptive inaccuracies.Therefore,this paper proposes a meshless numerical simulation method for reservoirs that considers time-varying characteristics.This method avoids the meshing in traditional numerical simulation methods.From the fluid flow perspective,the reservoir’s computational domain is discretized into a series of connection units.An influence domain with a certain radius centered on the nodes is selected,and one-dimensional connection units are established between the nodes to achieve the characterization of the flow topology structure of the reservoir.In order to reflect the dynamic evolution of the reservoir’s physical properties during the water injection development process,the time-varying characteristics are incorporated into the formula of the seepage characteristic parameters in the meshless calculation.The change relationship of the permeability under different surface fluxes is considered to update the calculated connection conductivity in real time.By combining with the seepage control equation for solution,a time-varying meshless numerical simulation method is formed.The results show that compared with the numerical simulationmethod of the connection elementmethod(CEM)that only considers static parameters,this method has higher simulation accuracy and can better simulate the real migration and distribution of oil and water in the reservoir.Thismethod improves the accuracy of reservoir numerical simulation and the development effect of oilfields,providing a scientific basis for optimizing the water injection strategy,adjusting the production plan,and extending the effective production cycle of the oilfield.展开更多
This paper investigates the problem of cluster synchronization of master-slave complex net-works with time-varying delay via linear and adaptive feedback pinning controls.We need not non-delayed and delayed coupling m...This paper investigates the problem of cluster synchronization of master-slave complex net-works with time-varying delay via linear and adaptive feedback pinning controls.We need not non-delayed and delayed coupling matrices to be symmetric or irreducible.We have the advantages of using adaptive control method to reduce control gain and pinning control technology to reduce cost.By con-structing Lyapunov function,some sufficient synchronization criteria are established.Finally,numerical examples are employed to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.展开更多
This paper addresses the computational problem of fixed-interval smoothing state estimation in linear time-varying Gaussian stochastic systems.A new fixed-interval Kalman smoothing algorithm is proposed,and the corres...This paper addresses the computational problem of fixed-interval smoothing state estimation in linear time-varying Gaussian stochastic systems.A new fixed-interval Kalman smoothing algorithm is proposed,and the corresponding form of the smoother is derived.The method is able to accommodate situations where process and measurement noises are correlated,a limitation often encountered in conventional approaches.The Kalman smoothing problem discussed in this paper can be reformulated as an equivalent constrained optimization problem,where the solution corresponds to a set of linear equations defined by a specific co-efficient matrix.Through multiple permutations,the co-efficient matrix of linear equations is transformed into a block tridiagonal form,and then both sides of the linear system are multiplied by the inverse of the co-efficient matrix.This approach is based on the transformation of linear systems described in the SPIKE algorithm and is particularly well-suited for large-scale sparse block tridiagonal matrix structures.It enables efficient,parallel,and flexible solutions while maintaining a certain degree of block diagonal dominance.Compared to directly solving block tridiagonal co-efficient matrices,this method demonstrates appreciable advantages in terms of numerical stability and computational efficiency.Consequently,the new smoothing algorithm yields a new smoother that features fewer constraints and broader applicability than traditional methods.The estimates,such as smoothed state,covariance,and cross-covariance,are essential for fields,such as system identification,navigation,guidance,and control.Finally,the effectiveness of the proposed smoothing algorithm and smoother is validated through numerical simulations.展开更多
The present study develops a data-based compact model for the prediction of the fluid temperature evolution in district heating-and-cooling pipeline networks.This model is based on an existing“reduced-order model”by...The present study develops a data-based compact model for the prediction of the fluid temperature evolution in district heating-and-cooling pipeline networks.This model is based on an existing“reduced-order model”by the authors obtained from reduction of the“full-order model”describing the spatio-temporal energy balance for each pipe segment to a semi-analytical input-output relation between the pipe outlet temperature and the pipe inlet and ground temperatures.The proposed model(denoted XROM)expands on the original reduced-order model by incorporating variable mass flux as an additional input and thus greatly increases its practical relevance.The XROM represents variable mass flux by step-wise switching between mass-flux levels and thereby induces a prediction error relative to the true full-order model evolution after each switching.Theoretical analysis rigorously demonstrates that this error always decays and the XROM invariably converges on the full-order model evolution and,consequently,affords the same prediction accuracy.Performance analyses reveal that prediction errors are restricted to short“convergence intervals”after each mass-flux switching and the XROM therefore can handle substantially faster operating schemes than the current ones based on hourly monitoring and control.Convergence intervals of O(minutes)are namely typically sufficient-and thus switching frequencies up to O(minutes 1)permissible during dynamic operation and control actions-for reliable predictions.Quantification of these convergence intervals by an easy-to-use empirical relation furthermore enables a priori determination of the conditions for reliable predictions.Moreover,the XROM can capture the full 3D system dynamics(provided incompressible flow and heat-transfer mechanisms depending linearly on temperature)versus the essentially 1D approximation of current compact pipe models yet at similar computational cost.These attributes advance(parts of)district heating and cooling networks demanding prediction accuracies beyond 1D as its primary application area.This makes the XROM complementary to said pipe models and thereby expands the modelling capabilities for handling the growing complexity of(next-generation)networks.展开更多
This paper investigates the cooperative tracking control problem of Electromagnetic Formation Spacecraft(EMFS)on elliptical orbit.The actuator saturation and topology switching problems exist in formation cooperative ...This paper investigates the cooperative tracking control problem of Electromagnetic Formation Spacecraft(EMFS)on elliptical orbit.The actuator saturation and topology switching problems exist in formation cooperative tracking control.The proposed novel adaptive consensus protocol addresses this problem by utilizing both synchronous and asynchronous topology switching.Firstly,to enhance the robustness of the system and minimize the impact of time-varying parameters on the control algorithm,the controller gain is determined through solving the Adaptive Riccati Differential Equation(ARDE).Secondly,a three-layer network communication structure with mirror nodes is constructed,in which different control input saturation levels are designed according to the correlation with the leader.Then,the Average Dwell Time(ADT)switching technique is utilized to generate the control switching signal,ensuring that the topology maintains a directed spanning tree when the switching signal condition is satisfied.Finally,simulation results validate the theoretical findings and provide a comparison with other methods,demonstrating the superiority of the proposed approach.展开更多
With the growing adoption of artificial intelligence algorithms and neural networks,online learning and adaptive methods for updating the bandwidth have become increasingly prevalent.However,the conditions required to...With the growing adoption of artificial intelligence algorithms and neural networks,online learning and adaptive methods for updating the bandwidth have become increasingly prevalent.However,the conditions required to ensure closed-loop stability when employing a time-varying bandwidth,as well as the supporting mathematical foundations,remain insufficiently studied.This paper investigates the stability condition for active disturbance rejection control(ADRC)with a time-varying bandwidth extended state observer(ESO).A new stability condition is derived,which means that the upper bound of rate of change for ESO bandwidth should be restricted.Moreover,under the proposed condition,the closed-loop stability of ADRC with a time-varying bandwidth observer is rigorously proved for nonlinear uncertainties.In simulations,the necessity of the proposed condition is illustrated,demonstrating that the rate of change of ESO bandwidth is crucial for closed-loop stability.展开更多
Tooth cracks may occur in spiral bevel gear transmission system of the aerospace equipment.In this study,an accurate and efficient loaded tooth contact analysis(LTCA)model is developed to predict the contact behavior ...Tooth cracks may occur in spiral bevel gear transmission system of the aerospace equipment.In this study,an accurate and efficient loaded tooth contact analysis(LTCA)model is developed to predict the contact behavior and time-varying meshing stiffness(TVMS)of spiral bevel gear pair with cracked tooth.The tooth is sliced,and the contact points on slices are computed using roll angle surfaces.Considering the geometric complexity of crack surface,a set of procedures is formulated to generate spatial crack and determine crack parameters for contact points.According to the positional relationship between contact point and crack path,each sliced tooth is modeled as a non-uniform cantilever beam with varying reduced effective load-bearing tooth thickness.Then the compliance model of the cracked tooth is established to perform contact analysis,along with TVMS calculations utilizing three different models.By employing spiral bevel gear pairs with distinct types of cracks as examples,the accuracy and efficiency of the developed approach are validated via comparative analyses with finite element analysis(FEA)outcomes.Furthermore,the investigation on effects of cracks shows that tooth cracks can induce alterations in meshing performance of both entire gear pair and individual tooth pairs,including not only cracked tooth pair but also adjacent non-cracked tooth pairs.Hence,the proposed model can serve as a useful tool for analyzing the variations in contact behavior and meshing stiffness of spiral bevel gears due to different cracks.展开更多
基金funded by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.11803065)Natural Science Foundation of Shanghai(Grant No.22ZR1472800)。
文摘Studying the seasonal deformation in GPS time series is important to interpreting geophysical contributors and identifying unmodeled and mismodeled seasonal signals.Traditional seasonal signal extraction used the least squares method,which models seasonal deformation as a constant seasonal amplitude and phase.However,the seasonal variations are not constant from year to year,and the seasonal amplitude and phase are time-variable.In order to obtain the time-variable seasonal signal in the GPS station coordinate time series,singular spectrum analysis(SSA)is conducted in this study.We firstly applied the SSA on simulated seasonal signals with different frequencies 1.00 cycle per year(cpy),1.04 cpy and with time-variable amplitude are superimposed.It was found that SSA can successfully obtain the seasonal variations with different frequencies and with time-variable amplitude superimposed.Then,SSA is carried out on the GPS observations in Yunnan Province.The results show that the time-variable amplitude seasonal signals are ubiquitous in Yunnan Province,and the timevariable amplitude change in 2019 in the region is extracted,which is further explained by the soil moisture mass loading and atmospheric pressure loading.After removing the two loading effects,the SSA obtained modulated seasonal signals which contain the obvious seasonal variations at frequency of 1.046 cpy,it is close with the GPS draconitic year,1.040 cpy.Hence,the time-variable amplitude changes in 2019 and the seasonal GPS draconitic year in the region could be discriminated successfully by SSA in Yunnan Province.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.41974095,41774090,and U1939205)the Special Fund of the Institute of Geophysics,China Earthquake Administration(Nos.DQJB20X09,and DQJB21R30)The first author acknowledges support from the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(No.2018M641424)。
文摘The terrestrial time-variable gravity measurements are characterized by a high signal-to-noise ratio and sensitivity to the sources of mass change in the Earth's crust.These gravity data have many applications,such as surface deformation,groundwater storage changes,and mass migration before and after earthquakes.Based on repeated terrestrial gravity measurements at 198 gravity stations in the Sichuan-Yunnan region(SYR)from 2015 to 2017,we determine a time series of degree 120 gravity fields using the localized spherical harmonic(Slepian)basis functions.Our results show that adopting the first 6 Slepian basis functions is sufficient for effective localized Slepian modeling in the SYR.The differences between two gravity campaigns at the same time of year show an obvious correlation with tectonic features.The degree 120 timevariable gravity models presented in this paper will benefit the study of the regional mass migration inside the crust of the SYR and supplement the existing geophysical models for the China Seismic Experimental Site.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41204017,41228004,and 41274025)the Shanghai Postdoctoral Sustentation Fund (No. 13R21417900)
文摘The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment（GRACE） has been measuring temporal and spatial variations of mass redistribution within the Earth system since2002. As large earthquakes cause significant mass changes on and under the Earth＇s surface,GRACE provides a new means from space to observe mass redistribution due to earthquake deformations. GRACE serves as a good complement to other earthquake measurements because of its extensive spatial coverage and being free from terrestrial restriction. During its over 10 years mission,GRACE has successfully detected seismic gravitational changes of several giant earthquakes,which include the 2004 Sumatra–Andaman earthquake,2010 Maule（Chile） earthquake,and 2011 Tohoku-Oki（Japan） earthquake. In this review,we describe by examples how to process GRACE timevariable gravity data to retrieve seismic signals,and summarize the results of recent studies that apply GRACE observations to detect co- and post-seismic signals and constrain fault slip models and viscous lithospheric structures. We also discuss major problems and give an outlook in this field of GRACE application.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42174097,41974093,and 41774088).
文摘The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment(GRACE)is the most important gravity satellite to date in human history.Since its launch in 2002,GRACE time-varying gravity has had an unprecedented impact on earth science and has generated revolutionary changes.Because of natural phenomena such as climate warming,glacial melting,sea level rise,and earthquakes,earth science research has become an increasingly popular discipline in recent years.This article summarizes the importance of GRACE time-varying gravity,its application to geoscience,and its development.We analyzed the historical development and current status of GRACE time-varying gravity as well as research hotspots by searching the literature in the core collection databases of the China National Knowledge Infrastructure and the Web of Science over the past 20 years.The CiteSpace and VOSviewer software packages were applied with reference to the principle of literature metrology.Our investigation and analysis of characteristic indexes,such as the numbers of publications,co-occurrence of keywords,and co-citation of documents,uncovered the wide application and promotion of gravity satellites,especially GRACE time-varying gravity,in earth science.The results showed that the number of publications addressing GRACE data and time-varying gravity theory is increasing annually and that the USA,China,and Germany are the main producers.The Chinese Academy of Sciences,the National Aeronautics and Space Administration of the United States,and the Helmholtz Association of German Research Centres rank among the top three institutions in the world in terms of producing the most publications on this topic.We found that GRACE time-varying gravity plays unique roles in measuring changes in terrestrial water storage changes,ice and snow melting and sea level changes,and(co)seismic gravity changes,as well as in promoting other disciplines.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41974093,41774088,42174097)the Frontier Science of Chinese Academy of Sciences(qyzdy-sswsys003)+1 种基金China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(2020T130641 and 2020M670424)Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities.
文摘The purpose of this study is to explore nonhydrological mass transfer in China's Mainland.For this purpose,gravity recovery and climate experiment(GRACE)data were obtained to study the spatial distribution of time variant gravity signals in China's Mainland.Then,from auxiliary hydrological data processed according to the current hydrological model,a new more comprehensive hydrological model of China's Mainland was constructed.Finally,the time variant signals of this new hydrological model were removed from the time variant gravity field computed from GRACE data,thus obtaining a description of the nonhydrological mass transfer of China's Mainland.The physical sources and mechanisms of the resulting mass transfer are then discussed.The improved,more realistic,hydrological model used here was created by selecting the hydrological components with the best correlations in existing hydrological models,by use of correlation calculation,analysis,and comparison.This improved model includes water in soils and deeper strata,in the vegetation canopy,in lakes,snow,and glaciers,and in other water components(mainly reservoir storage,swamps,and rivers).The spatial distribution of the transfer signals due to nonhydrological mass in China's Mainland was obtained by subtracting the combined hydrological model from the GRACE time-variable gravity field.The results show that the nonhydrological signals in China's Mainland collected in GRACE data were mainly positive signals,and were distributed in the Bohai Rim and the northern and eastern parts of the Tibetan Plateau.The above nonhydrological mass transfer signals have been studied further and are discussed.The results show that the nonhydrological mass migration signals in the Bohai Rim region originate primarily from sea level change and marine sediment accumulation.The mass accumulation from Indian plate collision in the Tibetan Plateau appears to be the main reason for the increase in the residual gravity field in that region.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 11571128)
文摘In this paper, we consider strong convergence and almost sure exponential stability of the backward Euler-Maruyama method for nonlinear hybrid stochastic differential equations with time-variable delay. Under the local Lipschitz condition and polynomial growth condition, it is proved that the backward Euler-Maruyama method is strongly convergent. Additionally, the moment estimates and almost sure exponential stability for the analytical solution are proved. Also, under the appropriate condition, we show that the numerical solutions for the backward Euler-Maruyama methods are almost surely exponentially stable. A numerical experiment is given to illustrate the computational effectiveness and the theoretical results of the method.
基金supported in part by the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2021YFB2011300)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52075262,51905271,52275062)+1 种基金the Fok Ying-Tong Education Foundation of China(No.171044)the Postgraduate Research&Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province(No.KYCX22_0471)。
文摘This article focuses on asymptotic precision motion control for electro-hydraulic axis systems under unknown time-variant parameters,mismatched and matched disturbances.Different from the traditional adaptive results that are applied to dispose of unknown constant parameters only,the unique feature is that an adaptive-gain nonlinear term is introduced into the control design to handle unknown time-variant parameters.Concurrently both mismatched and matched disturbances existing in electro-hydraulic axis systems can also be addressed in this way.With skillful integration of the backstepping technique and the adaptive control,a synthesized controller framework is successfully developed for electro-hydraulic axis systems,in which the coupled interaction between parameter estimation and disturbance estimation is avoided.Accordingly,this designed controller has the capacity of low-computation costs and simpler parameter tuning when compared to the other ones that integrate the adaptive control and observer/estimator-based technique to dividually handle parameter uncertainties and disturbances.Also,a nonlinear filter is designed to eliminate the“explosion of complexity”issue existing in the classical back-stepping technique.The stability analysis uncovers that all the closed-loop signals are bounded and the asymptotic tracking performance is also assured.Finally,contrastive experiment results validate the superiority of the developed method as well.
基金This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.51578491 and 52238001).
文摘Contrary to conventional design methods that assume uniform and slow temperature changes tied to atmospheric conditions,single-layer spherical reticulated shells undergo significant non-uniform and time-variant temperature variations due to dynamic environmental coupling.These differences can affect structural performance and pose safety risks.Here,a systematic numerical method was developed and applied to simulate long-term temperature variations in such a structure under real environmental conditions,revealing its non-uniform distribution characteristics and time-variant regularity.A simplified design method for non-uniform thermal loads,accounting for time-variant environmental factors,was theoretically derived and validated through experiments and simulations.The maximum deviation and mean error rate between calculated and tested results were 6.1℃ and 3.7%,respectively.Calculated temperature fields aligned with simulated ones,with deviations under 6.0℃.Using the design method,non-uniform thermal effects of the structure are analyzed.Maximum member stress and nodal displacement under non-uniform thermal loads reached 119.3 MPa and 19.7 mm,representing increases of 167.5%and 169.9%,respectively,compared to uniform thermal loads.The impacts of healing construction time on non-uniform thermal effects were evaluated,resulting in construction recommendations.The methodologies and conclusions presented here can serve as valuable references for the thermal design,construction,and control of single-layer spherical reticulated shells or similar structures.
基金The Aeronautical Science Foundation of China(Nos.20170968002,20230003068002)The National Major Science and Technology Projects of China(Nos.J2019-II-0022-0043,J2019-VII-0013-0153).
文摘Assessment of imprecise time-variant reliability in engineering is a critical task when accounting for both the variability of structural properties and loads over time and the presence of uncertainties involved in the ambiguity of parameters simultaneously.To estimate the Imprecise Time-variant Failure Probability Function(ITFPF)and derive the imprecise reliability results as a byproduct,Adaptive Combination Augmented Line Sampling(ACALS)is proposed.It consists of three integrated features:Augmented Line Sampling(ALS),adaptive strategy,and the optimal combination.ALS is adopted as an efficient analysis tool to obtain the failure probability function w.r.t.imprecise parameters.Then,the adaptive strategy iteratively applies ALS while considering both imprecise parameters and time simultaneously.Finally,the optimal combination algorithm collects all result components in an optimal manner to minimize the Coefficient of Variance(C.o.V.)of the ITFPF estimate.Overall,the proposed ACALS method outperforms the original ALS method by efficiently estimating the ITFPF while guaranteeing a minimal C.o.V.Thus,the proposed approach can serve as an effective tool for imprecise time-variant reliability analysis in real engineering applications.Several examples are presented to demonstrate the superiority of the proposed approach in addressing the challenges of estimating the ITFPF.
基金partially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(52375238)Science and Technology Program of Guangzhou(202201020213,202201020193,202201010399)GZHU-HKUST Joint Research Fund(YH202109).
文摘In time-variant reliability problems,there are a lot of uncertain variables from different sources.Therefore,it is important to consider these uncertainties in engineering.In addition,time-variant reliability problems typically involve a complexmultilevel nested optimization problem,which can result in an enormous amount of computation.To this end,this paper studies the time-variant reliability evaluation of structures with stochastic and bounded uncertainties using a mixed probability and convex set model.In this method,the stochastic process of a limit-state function with mixed uncertain parameters is first discretized and then converted into a timeindependent reliability problem.Further,to solve the double nested optimization problem in hybrid reliability calculation,an efficient iterative scheme is designed in standard uncertainty space to determine the most probable point(MPP).The limit state function is linearized at these points,and an innovative random variable is defined to solve the equivalent static reliability analysis model.The effectiveness of the proposed method is verified by two benchmark numerical examples and a practical engineering problem.
基金Natural Science Foundation of China,Grant/Award Number:62206109Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation,Grant/Award Number:2022A1515010976+1 种基金Young Scholar Program of Pazhou Lab,Grant/Award Number:PZL2021KF0022National College Student Innovation and Entrepreneurship Training Program,Grant/Award Number:202410559070。
文摘Zeroing neural dynamic(ZND)model is widely deployed for time-variant non-linear equations(TVNE).Various element-wise non-linear activation functions and integration operations are investigated to enhance the convergence performance and robustness in most proposed ZND models for solving TVNE,leading to a huge cost of hardware implementation and model complexity.To overcome these problems,the authors develop a new norm-based ZND(NBZND)model with strong robustness for solving TVNE,not applying element-wise non-linear activated functions but introducing a two-norm operation to achieve finite-time convergence.Moreover,the authors develop a discretetime NBZND model for the potential deployment of the model on digital computers.Rigorous theoretical analysis for the NBZND is provided.Simulation results substantiate the advantages of the NBZND model for solving TVNE.
文摘During the past few decades, it has become clear that the distribution, sizes, and masses of cosmic structures are best described as fractal rather than homogeneous. This means that an entirely different formalism is needed to replace the standard perturbation model of structure formation. Recently, we have been developing a model of cosmology that accounts for a large number of the observed properties of the universe. A key component of this model is that fractal structures that later regulated the creation of both matter and radiation came into existence during the initial Planck-era inflation. Initially, the vacuum was the only existence and since time, distance, and energy were uncertain, its only property, the curvature (or energy), was most likely distributed randomly. Everything that happened after the Planck era can be described by the known laws of physics so the remaining fundamental problem is to discover how such a random beginning could organize itself into the hierarchy of highly non-random self-similar structures on all length scales that are necessary to explain the existence of all cosmic structures. In this paper, we present a variation of the standard sandpile model that points to a solution. Incidental to our review of the distributions of cosmic structures, we discovered that the apparent transition from a fractal to a homogeneous distribution of structures at a distance of about 150 Mpc is a consequence of the finite size of the universe rather than a change in the underlying statistics of the distributions.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62476082)。
文摘This paper investigates modified fixed-time synchronization(FxTS)of complex networks(CNs)with time-varying delays based on continuous and discontinuous controllers.First,for the sake of making the settling time(ST)of FxTS is independent of the initial values and parameters of the CNs,a modified fixed-time(FxT)stability theorem is proposed,where the ST is determined by an arbitrary positive number given in advance.Then,continuous controller and discontinuous controller are designed to realize the modified FxTS target of CNs.In addition,based on the designed controllers,CNs can achieve synchronization at any given time,or even earlier.And control strategies effectively solve the problem of ST related to the parameters of CNs.Finally,an appropriate simulation example is conducted to examine the effectiveness of the designed control strategies.
基金funded by the 14th Five-Year Plan Major Science and Technology Project of CNOOC project number KJGG2021-0506.
文摘After a long period of water flooding development,the oilfield has entered the middle and high water cut stage.The physical properties of reservoirs are changed by water erosion,which directly impacts reservoir development.Conventional numerical reservoir simulation methodologies typically employ static assumptions for model construction,presuming invariant reservoir geological parameters throughout the development process while neglecting the reservoir’s temporal evolution characteristics.Although such simplifications reduce computational complexity,they introduce substantial descriptive inaccuracies.Therefore,this paper proposes a meshless numerical simulation method for reservoirs that considers time-varying characteristics.This method avoids the meshing in traditional numerical simulation methods.From the fluid flow perspective,the reservoir’s computational domain is discretized into a series of connection units.An influence domain with a certain radius centered on the nodes is selected,and one-dimensional connection units are established between the nodes to achieve the characterization of the flow topology structure of the reservoir.In order to reflect the dynamic evolution of the reservoir’s physical properties during the water injection development process,the time-varying characteristics are incorporated into the formula of the seepage characteristic parameters in the meshless calculation.The change relationship of the permeability under different surface fluxes is considered to update the calculated connection conductivity in real time.By combining with the seepage control equation for solution,a time-varying meshless numerical simulation method is formed.The results show that compared with the numerical simulationmethod of the connection elementmethod(CEM)that only considers static parameters,this method has higher simulation accuracy and can better simulate the real migration and distribution of oil and water in the reservoir.Thismethod improves the accuracy of reservoir numerical simulation and the development effect of oilfields,providing a scientific basis for optimizing the water injection strategy,adjusting the production plan,and extending the effective production cycle of the oilfield.
文摘This paper investigates the problem of cluster synchronization of master-slave complex net-works with time-varying delay via linear and adaptive feedback pinning controls.We need not non-delayed and delayed coupling matrices to be symmetric or irreducible.We have the advantages of using adaptive control method to reduce control gain and pinning control technology to reduce cost.By con-structing Lyapunov function,some sufficient synchronization criteria are established.Finally,numerical examples are employed to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
文摘This paper addresses the computational problem of fixed-interval smoothing state estimation in linear time-varying Gaussian stochastic systems.A new fixed-interval Kalman smoothing algorithm is proposed,and the corresponding form of the smoother is derived.The method is able to accommodate situations where process and measurement noises are correlated,a limitation often encountered in conventional approaches.The Kalman smoothing problem discussed in this paper can be reformulated as an equivalent constrained optimization problem,where the solution corresponds to a set of linear equations defined by a specific co-efficient matrix.Through multiple permutations,the co-efficient matrix of linear equations is transformed into a block tridiagonal form,and then both sides of the linear system are multiplied by the inverse of the co-efficient matrix.This approach is based on the transformation of linear systems described in the SPIKE algorithm and is particularly well-suited for large-scale sparse block tridiagonal matrix structures.It enables efficient,parallel,and flexible solutions while maintaining a certain degree of block diagonal dominance.Compared to directly solving block tridiagonal co-efficient matrices,this method demonstrates appreciable advantages in terms of numerical stability and computational efficiency.Consequently,the new smoothing algorithm yields a new smoother that features fewer constraints and broader applicability than traditional methods.The estimates,such as smoothed state,covariance,and cross-covariance,are essential for fields,such as system identification,navigation,guidance,and control.Finally,the effectiveness of the proposed smoothing algorithm and smoother is validated through numerical simulations.
文摘The present study develops a data-based compact model for the prediction of the fluid temperature evolution in district heating-and-cooling pipeline networks.This model is based on an existing“reduced-order model”by the authors obtained from reduction of the“full-order model”describing the spatio-temporal energy balance for each pipe segment to a semi-analytical input-output relation between the pipe outlet temperature and the pipe inlet and ground temperatures.The proposed model(denoted XROM)expands on the original reduced-order model by incorporating variable mass flux as an additional input and thus greatly increases its practical relevance.The XROM represents variable mass flux by step-wise switching between mass-flux levels and thereby induces a prediction error relative to the true full-order model evolution after each switching.Theoretical analysis rigorously demonstrates that this error always decays and the XROM invariably converges on the full-order model evolution and,consequently,affords the same prediction accuracy.Performance analyses reveal that prediction errors are restricted to short“convergence intervals”after each mass-flux switching and the XROM therefore can handle substantially faster operating schemes than the current ones based on hourly monitoring and control.Convergence intervals of O(minutes)are namely typically sufficient-and thus switching frequencies up to O(minutes 1)permissible during dynamic operation and control actions-for reliable predictions.Quantification of these convergence intervals by an easy-to-use empirical relation furthermore enables a priori determination of the conditions for reliable predictions.Moreover,the XROM can capture the full 3D system dynamics(provided incompressible flow and heat-transfer mechanisms depending linearly on temperature)versus the essentially 1D approximation of current compact pipe models yet at similar computational cost.These attributes advance(parts of)district heating and cooling networks demanding prediction accuracies beyond 1D as its primary application area.This makes the XROM complementary to said pipe models and thereby expands the modelling capabilities for handling the growing complexity of(next-generation)networks.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.6200326)。
文摘This paper investigates the cooperative tracking control problem of Electromagnetic Formation Spacecraft(EMFS)on elliptical orbit.The actuator saturation and topology switching problems exist in formation cooperative tracking control.The proposed novel adaptive consensus protocol addresses this problem by utilizing both synchronous and asynchronous topology switching.Firstly,to enhance the robustness of the system and minimize the impact of time-varying parameters on the control algorithm,the controller gain is determined through solving the Adaptive Riccati Differential Equation(ARDE).Secondly,a three-layer network communication structure with mirror nodes is constructed,in which different control input saturation levels are designed according to the correlation with the leader.Then,the Average Dwell Time(ADT)switching technique is utilized to generate the control switching signal,ensuring that the topology maintains a directed spanning tree when the switching signal condition is satisfied.Finally,simulation results validate the theoretical findings and provide a comparison with other methods,demonstrating the superiority of the proposed approach.
基金supported partially by the National Natural Science Foundation(No.62473344)the T-Flight Laboratory in ShanXi Provincial(No.GSFC2024NBKY05)+1 种基金the Natural Science Basic Research Program of Shaanxi(No.2025JC-YBQN-035)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.92471204).
文摘With the growing adoption of artificial intelligence algorithms and neural networks,online learning and adaptive methods for updating the bandwidth have become increasingly prevalent.However,the conditions required to ensure closed-loop stability when employing a time-varying bandwidth,as well as the supporting mathematical foundations,remain insufficiently studied.This paper investigates the stability condition for active disturbance rejection control(ADRC)with a time-varying bandwidth extended state observer(ESO).A new stability condition is derived,which means that the upper bound of rate of change for ESO bandwidth should be restricted.Moreover,under the proposed condition,the closed-loop stability of ADRC with a time-varying bandwidth observer is rigorously proved for nonlinear uncertainties.In simulations,the necessity of the proposed condition is illustrated,demonstrating that the rate of change of ESO bandwidth is crucial for closed-loop stability.
基金co-supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 52175104)the Postdoctoral Fellowship Program of CPSF (No. GZC20233008)
文摘Tooth cracks may occur in spiral bevel gear transmission system of the aerospace equipment.In this study,an accurate and efficient loaded tooth contact analysis(LTCA)model is developed to predict the contact behavior and time-varying meshing stiffness(TVMS)of spiral bevel gear pair with cracked tooth.The tooth is sliced,and the contact points on slices are computed using roll angle surfaces.Considering the geometric complexity of crack surface,a set of procedures is formulated to generate spatial crack and determine crack parameters for contact points.According to the positional relationship between contact point and crack path,each sliced tooth is modeled as a non-uniform cantilever beam with varying reduced effective load-bearing tooth thickness.Then the compliance model of the cracked tooth is established to perform contact analysis,along with TVMS calculations utilizing three different models.By employing spiral bevel gear pairs with distinct types of cracks as examples,the accuracy and efficiency of the developed approach are validated via comparative analyses with finite element analysis(FEA)outcomes.Furthermore,the investigation on effects of cracks shows that tooth cracks can induce alterations in meshing performance of both entire gear pair and individual tooth pairs,including not only cracked tooth pair but also adjacent non-cracked tooth pairs.Hence,the proposed model can serve as a useful tool for analyzing the variations in contact behavior and meshing stiffness of spiral bevel gears due to different cracks.
