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A method to calculate design tide levels on the basis of numerical model of tidal current and its application 被引量:3
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作者 WANG Zhen WEI Youxing ZHANG Changkuan 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2012年第4期24-30,共7页
In order to determine the design tide levels in the areas without measured tide level data, especially in the areas where it is difficult to measure tidal levels, a calculation method based on a numerical model of tid... In order to determine the design tide levels in the areas without measured tide level data, especially in the areas where it is difficult to measure tidal levels, a calculation method based on a numerical model of tidal current is proposed. The essentials of the method are described, and its application is illustrated with an example. The results of the application show that the design tide levels calculated by the method are close to those determined by long-time measured tide level data, and its calculation precision is high, so it is feasible to use the method to determine the design tide levels in the areas. 展开更多
关键词 harbor engineering design tide level numerical model of tidal current correlationanalysis method empirical value method
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INFLUENCE OF SEA LEVEL RISE ON SHANGHAI ASTRONOMICAL TIDE AND STORM SURGE AND ESTIMATION OF PROBABLE WATER LEVEL 被引量:3
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作者 端义宏 秦曾灏 李永平 《Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1998年第4期298-307,共0页
A nonlinear two-dimension dynamic model of storm surge (SS) and astronomical tide(AT) was used to investigate the effects of SS and AT on expected sea level rise (SLR) at principalcoastal stations in the Shanghai regi... A nonlinear two-dimension dynamic model of storm surge (SS) and astronomical tide(AT) was used to investigate the effects of SS and AT on expected sea level rise (SLR) at principalcoastal stations in the Shanghai region and to estimate numerically the probable maximum water lerel for2010 - 2050. Evidence suggests tha SLR causes reduction of SS; that its influence on SS depends on theintensity and path of a tropical cyclone and the station locality; tha the SLR’s effects on AT vary periodi-cally, with the peried being the same as tha of the AT’s: and that as the SLR increment grows, its impactincreases; below mean sea level (MSL) the effect is positive at rising tide and negative at ebb tide, andvice versa for the effect above MSL. Study of the probable maximum water level (by assuming SLR, SSalong favorable tropical cyclone’s path, its possible maximum intensity and effectivee spring AT at a rangeof set paths of Cyclones 5612, 8114, 9417) showed that the probable maximum water level is 740, 745,and 751 cm in the years 2010, 2030, and 2050, respetively, over the target region. 展开更多
关键词 sea level rise astronomical tide storm SURGE PROBABLE maximum water level INFLUENCE
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Validation of Sea Level Data in the East Asian Marginal Seas: Comparison between TOPEX/POSEIDON Altimeter and In-Situ Tide Gauges 被引量:1
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作者 Yong-Hoon YOUN Im Sang OH +2 位作者 Ki-Hyun KIM Young-Hyang PARK Jong Woo KIM 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2003年第4期650-660,共11页
In an effort to assess the reliability of satellite altimeter systems, the authors conduct a comparative analysis of sea level data that were collected from the TOPEX/POSEIDON (T/P) altimeter and 10 tide gauges (TG) n... In an effort to assess the reliability of satellite altimeter systems, the authors conduct a comparative analysis of sea level data that were collected from the TOPEX/POSEIDON (T/P) altimeter and 10 tide gauges (TG) near the satellite passing ground tracks. The analysis is made using datasets collected from marginal sea regions surrounding the Korean Peninsula at T/P cycles of 2 to 230, which correspond to October 1992 to December 1998. Proper treatment of tidal errors is a very critical step in data processing because the study area has very strong tide. When the T/P data are processed, the procedures of Park and Gamberoni (1995) are adapted to reduce errors associated with the tide. When the T/P data are processed in this way, the alias periods of M2, S2, and K1 constituents are found to be 62.1, 58.7, and 173 days repectively. The compatibility of the T/P and TG datasets are examined at various filtering periods. The results indicate that the low-frequency signals of the T/P data can be interpreted more safely with longer filtering periods (such as up to the maximum selected value of 200 days). When RMS errors for the 200-day low-pass filter period are compared with all 10 tidal stations, the values span the range of 2.8 to 6.7 cm. The results of a correlation analysis for this filtering period also show a strong agreement between the T/P and TG datasets across all stations investigated (e.g.,p- values consistently less than 0.001). Hence according to the analysis, the conclusion is made that the analysis of surface sea level using satellite altimeter data can be made safely with reasonably extended filtering periods such as 200 days. 展开更多
关键词 sea level TOPEX/POSEIDON ALTIMETER tide gauge
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Short-term and imminent anomalies of earthquake of load and unload response ratio of the well level to earth tides
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作者 张昭栋 陈学忠 +5 位作者 吴子泉 王梅 程烨 苏鸾声 王忠民 石荣会 《Acta Seismologica Sinica(English Edition)》 CSCD 1997年第2期73-81,共9页
In this paper, through the nonlinear response of rock strain and stress, we have analized the physical mechanism of loading and unloading response ratio of the well level to the earth tides,the respouse of an aquife... In this paper, through the nonlinear response of rock strain and stress, we have analized the physical mechanism of loading and unloading response ratio of the well level to the earth tides,the respouse of an aquifer of confined well to bulk strain tide and showed two methods of the calculation of loading and unloading response ratio of the well level to the earth tides. We took the example of the Yu 01 well, which is near the epicenter of Heze M S 5.9 earthquake, calculated the response rate and loading and unloading response ratio of two kinds of the earth tides of it. The response rate and response ratio before the earthquake had the variation of increase. 展开更多
关键词 loading and unloading response ratio earth tide well level Heze earthquake Yu 01 well
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Evolutive Trend of Water Level in the Ebrie Lagoon by Reconstitution of the Tide Gauge Time Series in Front of the Abidjan Coastline (Côte d’Ivoire)
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作者 Samassy Rokyatou Yéo Kokoa Chia Marie Reine Allialy +3 位作者 Tano Anoumou Rene Mondé Sylvain Sangaré Seydou Kouadio Affian 《Journal of Water Resource and Protection》 2023年第10期526-538,共13页
The latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report shows that sea-level rise, which has been accelerated since the 19th century resulting to the global warming, threatens coastal areas with high popula... The latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report shows that sea-level rise, which has been accelerated since the 19th century resulting to the global warming, threatens coastal areas with high population growth. A Global Sea Level Observing System (GLOSS) assessment highlighted the lack of data in Africa, and in Côte d’Ivoire in particular. In order to estimate the evolutionary trend of sea level along the Ivorian coast, and to draw up preventive plans to protect properties and populations, we digitized 65 years of historical tidegrams recorded in the Ebrie Lagoon, using the “Surfer” and “Nunieau” software, then processed them using “T-Tide” and “U-Tide” software. The average levels were calculated using the Demerliac filter from complete daily (day and night) recordings for providing a usable database of 31 years of hourly lagoon data from 1979 to 2015. Our results show that a mean water level in lagoon is 1.04 m. The evolutionary trend in sea level, estimated in the lagoon via the Vridi canal, during the rainy season is the most significant at 2.93 mm/year. This is followed by the dry season, with a trend of 2.89 mm/year. The flood season trend is 2.78 mm/year. This suggests that marine water inflows dominate continental inflows. Our results highlight the vulnerability of Côte d’Ivoire’s coasts to the risk of marine submersion. 展开更多
关键词 tide Mean Water level Temporal Variability Vridi Channel Marine Submersion
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Numerical modelling of the sea level under the actions of the tide and strong wind in the Bohai Sea
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作者 Zhang Yanting and Wang Yijiao First Institute of Oceanography, SOA, Qingdao, China 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1989年第4期511-520,共10页
In this paper, the numerical modelling of the tidal level and current in the Bohai Sea was carried out with ADI method, by taking the sum of four main tidal components M2,S2K2,O1 as the open boundary condition. The ca... In this paper, the numerical modelling of the tidal level and current in the Bohai Sea was carried out with ADI method, by taking the sum of four main tidal components M2,S2K2,O1 as the open boundary condition. The calculated values were consistent with the predicted ones (the observed values in the case of calm) in the Tidal Table. On the basis of the modelling of the tide, the sea level and current fields under the effects of strong wind were simulated. The calculated results were also quite satisfactory. 展开更多
关键词 HIGH Numerical modelling of the sea level under the actions of the tide and strong wind in the Bohai Sea
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珠江磨刀门河口年最高水位的影响因素辨识及其联合依赖关系研究
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作者 欧素英 刁秋月 +2 位作者 李博 蔡华阳 林凯荣 《海洋工程》 北大核心 2026年第1期194-208,共15页
径流、潮汐与风暴增水等因素导致的极端高水位直接威胁河口三角洲地区的水安全,这些因素的复杂相互作用使得洪潮灾害的预报和防治变得更加困难。以珠江磨刀门河口为例,基于长期实测水位数据,采用流量驱动下的调和分析模型RTIDE,提取年... 径流、潮汐与风暴增水等因素导致的极端高水位直接威胁河口三角洲地区的水安全,这些因素的复杂相互作用使得洪潮灾害的预报和防治变得更加困难。以珠江磨刀门河口为例,基于长期实测水位数据,采用流量驱动下的调和分析模型RTIDE,提取年最高水位信号中的平均海平面,径流、潮汐和风暴增水信号,定量研究这些因素与年最高水位的联合依赖关系。结果表明:1)海平面上升对年最高水位的影响逐年增大,河口风暴增水对年最高水位的贡献也呈现增大趋势。自2000年起,多数年份中,风暴增水已成为年最高水位的主导贡献因素,其贡献率超过50%,而径流和潮汐的贡献则有所减小。2)风暴增水与年最高水位的联合依赖关系最为显著,90%以上的年最高水位事件与强风暴增水事件相关;而年最高水位与潮水位的依赖关系较弱,各年最高水位事件可能与0.23~1.28 m范围内任意的中、高潮位事件组合。3)近50年来,三灶和灯笼山的年最高水位与风暴增水同时出现高水位事件的概率达到42.2%~61.7%,竹银站则达到18.3%,略高于年最高水位与洪水的遭遇概率;然而,各站同时遭遇大洪水(径流贡献高水位)和强风暴增水的条件概率较低,低于0.1%。该研究有助于深入理解河口地区极端高水位形成的机理,并为河口三角洲的管理、防灾减灾及堤防建设等提供重要科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 极端高水位 径流 潮汐 风暴增水 联合分布
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Stochastic Model for Estimating Extreme Water Level in Port and Coastal Engineering Design 被引量:1
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作者 DONG Sheng CHEN Chengchao +1 位作者 TAO Shanshan GAO Junguo 《Journal of Ocean University of China》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2018年第4期744-752,共9页
Extreme water level is an important consideration when designing coastal protection structures. However, frequency analysis recommended by standard codes only considers the annual maximum water level, whereas water le... Extreme water level is an important consideration when designing coastal protection structures. However, frequency analysis recommended by standard codes only considers the annual maximum water level, whereas water levels should actually be regarded as a combination of astronomical tide and storm surge. The two impacting factors are both random variables, and this paper discusses their dependency structures and proposes a new joint probability method to determine extreme design water levels. The lognormal, Gumbel, Weibull, Pearson type 3, traditional maximum entropy, and modified maximum entropy distributions are applied to fit univariate data of astronomical tides and storm surges separately, and the bivariate normal, Gumbel-Hougaard, Frank and Clayton copulas are then utilized to construct their joint probability distributions. To ensure that the new design method is suitable for use with typhoon data, the annual occurrence frequency of typhoon processes is considered and corresponding bivariate compound probability distributions are proposed. Based on maximum water level data obtained from Hengmen hydrological station in the Pearl River Basin, China, these probability models are applied to obtain designs for extreme water levels using the largest sum of the astronomical tide and storm surge obtained under fixed joint return periods. These design values provide an improved approach for determining the necessary height of coastal and offshore structures. 展开更多
关键词 EXTREME water level astronomical tide STORM SURGE TYPHOON COPULA
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Study on Volume Strain Inversion from Water Level Change of Well-aquifer Systems
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作者 Yan Rui Gao Fuwang Chen Yong 《Earthquake Research in China》 2008年第1期82-88,共7页
Based on linear poroelasfic and hydrogeology theory, a mathenmatical expression describing the relationship between water level clmnge and aquifer volume strain is put forward. Combined with earth tidal theory, we ana... Based on linear poroelasfic and hydrogeology theory, a mathenmatical expression describing the relationship between water level clmnge and aquifer volume strain is put forward. Combined with earth tidal theory, we analyze the response characteristics from well-aquifer water level change to earth tide of volume strain and present a method of volume strain inversion from water level clmnge. Comparing the results of inversion with real observed data, we found that there is a good consistency. This suggests that the method of volume strain inversion from water level clmnge is proper. It will offer a reference for learning about hydrogeology characteristics, volume strain and searching for precursor anomalies. 展开更多
关键词 Well-aquifer system Water level tide Volume strain INVERSION
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Spatial and Temporal Features of Regional Variations in Mean Sea Level around Taiwan
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作者 Li-Chung Wu Chia Chuen Kao +2 位作者 Tai-Wen Hsu Yi-Fung Wang Jong-Hao Wang 《Open Journal of Marine Science》 2012年第2期58-65,共8页
Satellite altimeter and in-situ tide gauge records are probably the most common means to obtain observational data for the study of changes in mean sea level. In this study, we employed these data to discuss the spati... Satellite altimeter and in-situ tide gauge records are probably the most common means to obtain observational data for the study of changes in mean sea level. In this study, we employed these data to discuss the spatial and temporal features of regional variations in mean sea level around Taiwan. The results showed that most of the regional mean sea surface heights (SSH) around Taiwan are higher than the global mean sea surface heights. Most of the sea level trends are greater than the global mean sea level trend as well. We obtained diverse distribution results from the altimeter sea level records in neighboring areas by distributions fit, and the altimeter sea level records showed obvious inhomogene- ity. In addition, periodic fluctuations in the records regarding mean sea level were revealed in our study, based on Fourier spectra and wavelet scalograms. 展开更多
关键词 Sea level Variations tide-Gauge ALTIMETER
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Tidal effects on hydrostatic leveling system used in high precision alignment of particle accelerator
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作者 许少峰 何晓业 +2 位作者 陈晓东 黄显良 郎孝龄 《Nuclear Science and Techniques》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2014年第4期6-11,共6页
Hydrostatic leveling system(HLS)is widely used in precision engineering survey,especially the alignment of particle accelerator,and the tidal effects on the measurement accuracy of HLS is non-ignorable,thus studies on... Hydrostatic leveling system(HLS)is widely used in precision engineering survey,especially the alignment of particle accelerator,and the tidal effects on the measurement accuracy of HLS is non-ignorable,thus studies on tidal effects on the HLS is vital.A set of HLS was installed in Jingxian seismostation for verifying the methods to handle the tidal effects on the readings of HLS.Harmonic analysis of the data recorded by HLS and DSQ water tube clinometers in Jingxian seismostation and contrastive analysis of the results are completed.The tilt tide can be well reflected in the data of the both instruments and the results are both reliable.The reasons of the difference between the results are analyzed in this paper.Besides,a validation study based on the measurement data of the HLS used in SPring-8 storage ring for tidal correction on the reading of HLS is completed.The research establishes a foundation for HLS to be applied in micron-level precision alignment of particle accelerator in the future. 展开更多
关键词 粒子加速器 高精度定位 潮汐效应 调平系统 静液压 精密工程测量 HLS 数据验证
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基于长短期记忆神经网络的鲁04井水位异常变化分析
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作者 刘凯 陈其峰 +2 位作者 张军 孙豪 王西宝 《地震》 北大核心 2025年第2期211-228,共18页
基于长短期记忆(LSTM)神经网络,利用鲁04井2014—2023年的井水位、气压、降水数据及固体潮参数,分析了2023年8月6日平原M5.5地震前井水位的异常变化及其响应机制。结果显示,①多变量LSTM模型对预测集2022年井水位的预测均方误差(MSE)约... 基于长短期记忆(LSTM)神经网络,利用鲁04井2014—2023年的井水位、气压、降水数据及固体潮参数,分析了2023年8月6日平原M5.5地震前井水位的异常变化及其响应机制。结果显示,①多变量LSTM模型对预测集2022年井水位的预测均方误差(MSE)约为0.0007,决定系数(R^(2))约为0.9978,表明模型对鲁04井水位非线性时序特征具有较好的捕捉能力;②模型预测偏差在震前6个月呈现增大趋势,震前1个月加速上升,结合潮汐因子在震前1个月升至异常上限(均值+2倍标准差),表明含水层水文地质条件可能发生变化;③发震当月,相位差从震前正负波动的混合流动模式突变为正向峰值的垂向流主导模式,揭示了断层破裂过程中含水系统渗流状态的调整。 展开更多
关键词 LSTM神经网络 井水位预测 固体潮 地震前兆
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基于调和分析及VMD-LSTM混合模型的甬江河口水位预报方法 被引量:1
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作者 陈永平 韩韬 +3 位作者 邱超 甘敏 谭亚 王瑾琪 《河海大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2025年第2期1-10,共10页
为解决甬江感潮河段潮位预报总体精度偏低的问题,构建了一种基于经典调和分析(T_TIDE)、变分模态分解(VMD)和长短时记忆神经网络(LSTM)的混合模型(VMD-LSTM混合模型)。VMD-LSTM混合模型采用T_TIDE程序包对甬江河口逐时水位数据进行回报... 为解决甬江感潮河段潮位预报总体精度偏低的问题,构建了一种基于经典调和分析(T_TIDE)、变分模态分解(VMD)和长短时记忆神经网络(LSTM)的混合模型(VMD-LSTM混合模型)。VMD-LSTM混合模型采用T_TIDE程序包对甬江河口逐时水位数据进行回报(即潮位),用实测水位减去潮位得到相应余水位,并采用VMD模型将余水位分解为13个本征模函数(IMF),依次对应D0~D12潮族,采用LSTM模型分别训练余水位的各个IMF分量和潮位并分别向后预报12~48h,各个IMF分量和潮位的预报值之和即为河口水位的预测值。结果表明:VMD模型可对甬江河口余水位中D0~D12潮族波动进行完全分离;VMD-LSTM混合模型12、24、36、48h短期水位预报的均方根误差(RMSE)比LSTM模型最多分别降低了0.15、0.13、0.16、0.16m;VMD-LSTM混合模型在D0、D2潮族频带的误差修正最明显,相比LSTM模型,可分别将D0、D2潮族的谱峰预报误差最多降低0.05、0.04m·d^(0.5)。 展开更多
关键词 甬江口 河口潮汐 变分模态分解 LSTM模型 调和分析 水位预报
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考虑序列突变变异的设计潮位不确定性分析 被引量:1
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作者 刘智慧 王珏 刘曙光 《水科学进展》 北大核心 2025年第2期244-254,共11页
全球气候变化及人类活动加剧破坏了水文序列的一致性,考虑样本非一致性给水文设计值带来了更多不确定性。本文以长江口感潮河段为例,对代表水文站的潮位序列进行非一致水文频率分析,进一步针对突变变异水文序列,提出基于条件概率分布的... 全球气候变化及人类活动加剧破坏了水文序列的一致性,考虑样本非一致性给水文设计值带来了更多不确定性。本文以长江口感潮河段为例,对代表水文站的潮位序列进行非一致水文频率分析,进一步针对突变变异水文序列,提出基于条件概率分布的非一致性自助抽样(Bootstrap)不确定性计算方法,对设计值的不确定性进行评估。结果表明,受水文序列非一致性的影响,长江口代表站在不同重现期下的设计潮位值有所升高;在准确识别水文序列变异点的基础上,文中方法可以定量评价非一致性水文频率分析结果的参数不确定性;非一致影响下,较低重现期的设计值不确定性增加,且受影响的重现期范围随着突变变异程度的增大而缩小。 展开更多
关键词 非一致性 条件概率分布 不确定性 潮位 长江口
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海平面上升对珠江口风暴潮的影响分析 被引量:1
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作者 胡耀辉 王志力 +1 位作者 张娟 吴昱甫 《人民珠江》 2025年第5期1-9,共9页
气候变化导致的海平面上升对沿海地区海岸工程的安全产生了严重威胁。通过建立一个天文潮-风暴潮耦合模型,对珠江口近岸海域的风暴潮进行了数值模拟。利用历史台风事件下的观测数据对模型进行了验证。研究结果表明:①海平面上升1 m对天... 气候变化导致的海平面上升对沿海地区海岸工程的安全产生了严重威胁。通过建立一个天文潮-风暴潮耦合模型,对珠江口近岸海域的风暴潮进行了数值模拟。利用历史台风事件下的观测数据对模型进行了验证。研究结果表明:①海平面上升1 m对天文潮位的影响比海平面上升0.45 m更为明显,同时,海平面上升增大了天文潮差;②海平面上升对风暴潮增水的影响并不显著,同时,对珠江口口门内风暴潮增水的变化呈现空间非均匀特征,珠江口东北侧增水增加,西南侧增水减小;③海平面的上升将导致风暴潮的峰值水位提前。例如,海平面上升1 m的情况下,赤湾站峰值水位提前了10~15 min。海平面上升不仅影响天文潮位,还会影响风暴潮的峰值水位出现时间,这对沿海地区的防洪措施提出了新的挑战。此外,不同区域受海平面上升的影响存在差异,需要针对特定地区采取不同的应对策略。 展开更多
关键词 海平面上升 台风 天文潮 风暴潮增水 珠江口
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长江下游潮汐河段高精度潮位预报方法比较研究
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作者 夏明嫣 张帆一 +3 位作者 闻云呈 夏云峰 胡庆芳 侍翰生 《水资源保护》 北大核心 2025年第4期159-168,共10页
针对长江下游高水位主控因素的沿程变化,采用非稳态潮汐调和分析(NS_TIDE)模型、非稳态潮汐调和分析与自回归模型修正(NS_TIDE-AR)组合方法、Transformer深度学习模型、水动力学模型、水动力学模型结合集合卡尔曼滤波(HM-EnKF)同化方法... 针对长江下游高水位主控因素的沿程变化,采用非稳态潮汐调和分析(NS_TIDE)模型、非稳态潮汐调和分析与自回归模型修正(NS_TIDE-AR)组合方法、Transformer深度学习模型、水动力学模型、水动力学模型结合集合卡尔曼滤波(HM-EnKF)同化方法预报长江下游潮位,并对比了各种方法对长江下游沿线站点潮位预报的精度和在不同条件下的适用性。结果表明:相同条件下Transformer深度学习模型的潮位预报精度最高且最稳定,NS_TIDE-AR组合方法与HM-EnKF同化方法的精度较为接近,NS_TIDE模型和水动力学模型误差相对较大;NS_TIDE-AR组合方法、Transformer深度学习模型、HM-EnKF同化方法均能较好地预报洪水期长江下游潮位,NS_TIDE-AR组合方法不适用于风暴潮期间的潮位预报。 展开更多
关键词 洪水 风暴潮 潮位预报 非稳态潮汐调和分析 Transformer深度学习模型 水动力学模型 长江下游
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基于非线性拟合法的GNSS-R风暴潮监测
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作者 张光霁 匡翠林 陈春花 《大地测量与地球动力学》 北大核心 2025年第5期500-505,531,共7页
GNSS-R(global navigation satellite system-reflectometry)技术作为一种有效的海洋潮位监测手段已得到广泛验证,但目前常用的LSP(lomb-scargle periodogram)频谱分析方法在风暴潮监测中仍存在精度和时间分辨率偏低的问题。本文基于中... GNSS-R(global navigation satellite system-reflectometry)技术作为一种有效的海洋潮位监测手段已得到广泛验证,但目前常用的LSP(lomb-scargle periodogram)频谱分析方法在风暴潮监测中仍存在精度和时间分辨率偏低的问题。本文基于中国香港HKQT站点的观测数据,利用非线性拟合法对2018年“山竹”台风风暴潮事件开展反演研究。结合风暴潮期间风速变化数据,对比分析频谱分析法与非线性拟合法的潮位反演性能。结果显示,采用非线性拟合法的测量精度优于8 cm,与验潮站观测数据的相关系数达0.99,相较于频谱分析法潮位表达更光滑连续,有效提高了监测精度和时间分辨率,可为风暴潮灾害监测提供更加可靠的技术支持。 展开更多
关键词 GNSS-R 风暴潮 潮位测量 非线性拟合法
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黄河口海上光伏场区潮位高精度预报 被引量:1
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作者 叶灿胜 翟鸣皋 朱建荣 《华东师范大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2025年第4期158-169,共12页
在超浅海建造海上光伏场区,需要开展潮位预报以保障施工船只的安全和工程顺利进行.在黄河口HG14海上光伏场区开展了连续3个多月的潮位观测,基于实测潮位数据,进行潮汐调和分析,开展测站潮汐调和分析预报,以及建立渤海水动力模型,并在模... 在超浅海建造海上光伏场区,需要开展潮位预报以保障施工船只的安全和工程顺利进行.在黄河口HG14海上光伏场区开展了连续3个多月的潮位观测,基于实测潮位数据,进行潮汐调和分析,开展测站潮汐调和分析预报,以及建立渤海水动力模型,并在模型验证的基础上开展潮位数值预报.实测潮位资料表明,光伏场区潮汐为不规则半日混合潮,潮汐日不等明显,最大潮差约为2.0 m.经11个主要分潮的调和分析,振幅从大到小的次序为M2、K1、O1、S2、K2、P1、N2、M4、Q1、MS4、M6,振幅分别为62.28、26.27、22.06、20.87、7.49、6.64、6.36、5.11、4.28、1.47、0.65 cm.其中,M2分潮振幅最大,为62.28 cm,是第二大K1振幅(26.27 cm)的约2.4倍,半日分潮S2振幅20.87 cm比全日潮K1、O1小.在3个浅水分潮中,M4最大,MS4和M6小得多.在得到主要分潮调和常数后,给出了测站的调和分析潮汐预报.结果表明,调和分析预报潮位与实测潮位吻合良好,调和分析预报潮位和数值模拟潮位与实测潮位的对比技术分数分别为0.96、0.97,两者均能高精度预报潮位.应用验证的数值模型模拟和预报了光伏场区模型输出点潮位,给出了各月潮位随时间变化图和潮汐表.光伏场区潮汐日不等小潮期间十分明显,低潮位比大潮期间明显偏高.潮汐表给出了输出点公历、农历、星期共3种日期每天每小时的潮位,以及每日两次的高潮位、低潮位及其对应的时间.研究得出了HG14海上光伏场区潮汐特征,预报潮位可为施工船只避免搁浅提供技术指导. 展开更多
关键词 黄河口 光伏场区 潮汐调和分析 潮位预报 潮汐表
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杭州湾北岸上海段风暴潮变化及其对热(温)带气旋的响应
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作者 伍泽平 黄梁 +2 位作者 李小涵 姬泓宇 陈沈良 《海洋通报》 北大核心 2025年第3期353-365,共13页
风暴潮过程及其引起的水位异常变化是影响沿海地区稳定的重要致灾事件。杭州湾是我国重要的河口湾区,近年来频受风暴潮过程影响,但对杭州湾区域尺度风暴潮变化及其长期趋势研究尚且不足。本研究利用杭州湾北岸芦潮港、金汇港和金山嘴三... 风暴潮过程及其引起的水位异常变化是影响沿海地区稳定的重要致灾事件。杭州湾是我国重要的河口湾区,近年来频受风暴潮过程影响,但对杭州湾区域尺度风暴潮变化及其长期趋势研究尚且不足。本研究利用杭州湾北岸芦潮港、金汇港和金山嘴三个站的多年逐时水位数据,研究了该地区的潮汐变化、季节模式以及天文潮与风暴潮的非线性相互作用。结果表明,从湾口向内,潮差逐渐增大,高水位呈上升趋势,低水位则呈下降趋势,并表现出明显的空间梯度。风暴潮事件集中在每年7-10月,且呈现显著的季节性波动,其中金山嘴的风暴潮波动最为剧烈。非线性相互作用分析发现,风暴潮的最大余水位主要发生在涨潮时刻,尤其在金汇港和金山嘴更为显著。此外,风速和风向变化对余水位的影响明显,尤其在夏季和冬季,这进一步加剧了风暴潮的复杂性和潜在风险。研究揭示了杭州湾潮汐动态对风暴潮的长期响应规律,对杭州湾沿岸风暴潮风险评估和防灾减灾具有重要意义。 展开更多
关键词 风暴潮 潮汐 余水位 偏斜增水 非线性相互作用
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连云港市沿海警戒潮位核定中的数值模拟应用研究
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作者 梁晓红 陶爱峰 潘锡山 《海洋信息技术与应用》 2025年第1期31-38,47,共9页
合理的警戒潮位是有效预警报的前提。在潮位和波浪资料不足的情况下,将数值模拟应用到沿海警戒潮位核定中,是加强海洋灾害监测工作及提升预警报能力的有效途径。本文分别采用TOMAWAC模型和MIKE 21模型模拟波浪要素和潮汐水位,经过连云... 合理的警戒潮位是有效预警报的前提。在潮位和波浪资料不足的情况下,将数值模拟应用到沿海警戒潮位核定中,是加强海洋灾害监测工作及提升预警报能力的有效途径。本文分别采用TOMAWAC模型和MIKE 21模型模拟波浪要素和潮汐水位,经过连云港沿海实测数据的对比验证了模型的有效性与准确性,并基于模拟结果进一步分析了各岸段重现期潮位和波浪爬高等要素,确定了警戒潮位的修正值。 展开更多
关键词 连云港市 警戒潮位核定 数值模拟应用 波浪爬高
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