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TRAMO/SEATS在危机事件中对旅游影响研究的应用 被引量:33
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作者 朱明芳 刘思敏 《旅游学刊》 CSSCI 北大核心 2007年第6期69-74,共6页
国内外对旅游危机事件的研究集中于管理方面,近年相关热点转向对旅游影响的研究。以往定性研究多,从经济数量模型进行定量分析研究的较少。本文使用在经济金融领域使用广泛的ARIMA改进版——TRAMO/SEATS方法评估危机事件,如疾病、地震... 国内外对旅游危机事件的研究集中于管理方面,近年相关热点转向对旅游影响的研究。以往定性研究多,从经济数量模型进行定量分析研究的较少。本文使用在经济金融领域使用广泛的ARIMA改进版——TRAMO/SEATS方法评估危机事件,如疾病、地震等突发事件对中国旅游业的影响。作为欧盟各国统计局主要统计方法,TRAMO/SEATS方法能够最大程度地反映旅游业季节性波动的特点。通过该方法对2003年在中国内地和香港地区爆发的SARS进行实证研究,分析评估该危机事件的长期影响。在此基础上提出,国家短期内应当通过提高产品质量和拓展高质量的细分市场实现旅游效益型增长;恢复后期才可以推出更为直接的促销手法实现旅游数量型增长,采取刺激旅游人数快速增长的政策和措施。 展开更多
关键词 危机事件 旅游 tramo/seats模型
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监管政策对商业银行行为选择的冲击效应研究——基于H省若干家商业银行的TRAMO/SEATS检验
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作者 马理 段中元 娄田田 《金融监管研究》 2013年第6期55-76,共22页
根据《巴塞尔协议》等国际公约的要求,中国的银行监管部门于2004年1月开始,在全国的银行系统推行严格的资本充足性管理。作为国际银行界主流的监管政策,资本充足性管理对商业银行的行为选择产生了深远的影响。本文选取了中国中部某省份2... 根据《巴塞尔协议》等国际公约的要求,中国的银行监管部门于2004年1月开始,在全国的银行系统推行严格的资本充足性管理。作为国际银行界主流的监管政策,资本充足性管理对商业银行的行为选择产生了深远的影响。本文选取了中国中部某省份2002年至2006年的商业银行数据,针对包括贷款对象结构、贷款期限结构和风险偏好结构三个表征商业银行行为特征的24个数据序列,运用TRAMO/SEATS的技术方法,实证检验了所有序列的结构性变动点以及监管政策的冲击效果。研究显示,当监管当局开始实施严格的资本充足性监管时,大多数商业银行都降低了风险偏好,说明监管政策的冲击效应十分明显;但是经过大约一年后,几乎所有的商业银行又选择恢复到初始状态,开始增加风险偏好,说明存在商业银行的资本约束软化效应。因此,若要保持资本监管政策的长期效果,还需不断完善相关制度体系建设。本文从商业银行行为变化的特征出发,提出了我国应对《巴塞尔协议Ⅲ》挑战的若干建议。 展开更多
关键词 监管政策 银行行为 冲击效应 tramo/seats检验
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基于TRAMO/SEATS的北京月度入境游预测模型研究
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作者 北京第二外国语学院课题组 张国胜 《管理观察》 2015年第2期42-44,共3页
本文运用在经济金融领域使用广泛的方法—TRAMO/SEATS方法对北京入境旅游人数开展短期预测研究。作为欧盟各国统计局主要统计方法,TRAMO/SEATS模型由于能有效提取时间序列数据中的信息,不仅预测精度高,而且稳定,能够最大程度地反映旅游... 本文运用在经济金融领域使用广泛的方法—TRAMO/SEATS方法对北京入境旅游人数开展短期预测研究。作为欧盟各国统计局主要统计方法,TRAMO/SEATS模型由于能有效提取时间序列数据中的信息,不仅预测精度高,而且稳定,能够最大程度地反映旅游业季节性波动的特点。实证分析表明,TRAMO/SEATS模型在北京入境旅游人次的短期预测方面预测能力极佳,能够为北京市入境旅游的短期经营策略提供良好的预测数据。 展开更多
关键词 入境旅游人数 中短期预测 tramo/seats模型
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基于X-12-ARIMA与TRAMO/SEATS季节调整技术的销售量研究 被引量:1
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作者 闵盈盈 敖长林 《数学的实践与认识》 北大核心 2018年第8期68-74,共7页
首先说明了季节调整技术的发展及应用,并对X-12-ARIMA与TRAMO/SEATS方法进行了比较;其次应用x-12-ARIMA方法对苏宁电器的销售量进行季节调整,并改进了X-12-ARIMA方法中假日效应部分;最后应用改进的模型对苏宁电器的销售量进行了预... 首先说明了季节调整技术的发展及应用,并对X-12-ARIMA与TRAMO/SEATS方法进行了比较;其次应用x-12-ARIMA方法对苏宁电器的销售量进行季节调整,并改进了X-12-ARIMA方法中假日效应部分;最后应用改进的模型对苏宁电器的销售量进行了预测,均取得较好效果. 展开更多
关键词 季节调整 X-12-ARIMA tramo/seats 销售量
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基于TRAMO-SEATS的月售电量预测方法及应用 被引量:5
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作者 张永凯 马欢 《电网与清洁能源》 2018年第2期72-78,共7页
为提高月售电量预测准确度,引入TRAMOS-SEATS季节调整方法和Hodrick-Prescott滤波法将月售电量分解为趋势分量、季节分量、循环分量和不规则分量,消除了各分量之间的相互影响。采用ARIMA方法对趋势分量进行预测,采用Holt-Winters加法模... 为提高月售电量预测准确度,引入TRAMOS-SEATS季节调整方法和Hodrick-Prescott滤波法将月售电量分解为趋势分量、季节分量、循环分量和不规则分量,消除了各分量之间的相互影响。采用ARIMA方法对趋势分量进行预测,采用Holt-Winters加法模型对季节分量进行预测,采用历史同期同类平均值法对循环分量和不规则分量进行预测,最后得到月售电量预测结果。应用实际算例对月售电量进行预测并与实际数据进行对比,验证法方法的正确性与有效性。 展开更多
关键词 月售电量 tramo-seats季节调整 Hodrick-Prescott滤波 ARIMA Holt-Winters加法模型
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Trajectory analysis and flight modeling of combat aircrafts ejection seats
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作者 Ercan BASTUG Nadir SERIN Faruk ELALDI 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 2025年第2期175-184,共10页
In this study,it is aimed to develop a generic model which calculates the trajectory of the ejection seat from the jet aircraft,by taking into account the parameters that will affect the seat movement such as the seat... In this study,it is aimed to develop a generic model which calculates the trajectory of the ejection seat from the jet aircraft,by taking into account the parameters that will affect the seat movement such as the seat’s launch speed,ejection direction,ejection angle,altitude of the aircraft,distance/height from the aircraft rudder and canopy,pilot and ejection seat weight.With the model algorithm proposed,the ejection seat trajectory model was developed on MATLAB.The ejection seat trajectory model is based on point mass trajectory mathematical model.In this study,an analytical study of the problem has been made for modeling the flight trajectory of the ejection seat after it has been ejected.Past studies were used as a basis for validation and simulation.By writing a generic MATLAB code,a user interface was developed and presented to the user as a module.This generic code that has been developed could be used for simulations by users in the future by revising it in accordance with their own job descriptions. 展开更多
关键词 Ejection seat Ejection seat trajectory Point mass trajectory model Parachute opening times Aerodynamic coefficients
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基于频域的X-13ARIMA-SEATS季节调整过滤器诊断 被引量:1
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作者 桂文林 唐崔巍 刘权盼 《统计研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2018年第10期116-128,共13页
本文从频域角度对X-13ARIMA-SEATS季节调整程序的对称和并行过滤器进行研究,考察不同的模型非季节和季节移动平均参数以及不同过滤器长度对平方增益函数和相位延迟函数的影响,并以中国采购经理人指数(PMI)和居民消费价格指数(CPI)季节... 本文从频域角度对X-13ARIMA-SEATS季节调整程序的对称和并行过滤器进行研究,考察不同的模型非季节和季节移动平均参数以及不同过滤器长度对平方增益函数和相位延迟函数的影响,并以中国采购经理人指数(PMI)和居民消费价格指数(CPI)季节序列诊断为例,从频域角度比较X-11和以ARIMA为基础的AMB方法的平方增益函数和相位延迟函数来选择更优的季节调整方法。研究结论为:(1)非季节移动平均参数增大时,两种过滤器平方增益函数有下降趋势,季节移动平均参数增大时,平方增益函数有上升趋势。长度较短的过滤器波动更剧烈,季节频率上波谷宽度更宽。(2)季节移动平均参数越大时,相位延迟函数震荡越剧烈,非季节移动平均参数越大时,季节频率上的相位延迟增大。单个非季节频率区间内相位延迟函数与平方增益函数有反向关系。(3)AMB方法在非季节频率区间上的增益函数比X-11方法更趋于1,过滤器的凹槽比X-11方法更窄,且频率分量的相位失真更小,在PMI季节调整中更好;X-11方法对称过滤器的平方增益函数更小且更趋于1,在非频率区间上的相位延迟函数比AMB方法更小,更适用CPI的季节调整。(4)与传统季节调整质量诊断相比,频域诊断在估计季节成分的稳定性和过滤器的延迟特性方面具有优势,在季节调整方法选择时可综合两方面的结论。 展开更多
关键词 季节调整 X-13ARIMA-seats 频域分析 诊断
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Experimental study on the working performance of different milling tools for multistage fracturing ball seats 被引量:3
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作者 Jia-Qi Che Han-Xiang Wang +2 位作者 Yan-Wen Zhang Ming-Chao Du Shao-Hua Ma 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2020年第6期1699-1716,共18页
To achieve the secondary production in multistage fracturing wells of tight oil,milling tools are usually used to remove the multistage fracturing ball seats to achieve production with a large diameter in later.In thi... To achieve the secondary production in multistage fracturing wells of tight oil,milling tools are usually used to remove the multistage fracturing ball seats to achieve production with a large diameter in later.In this paper,first of all,the working mechanism of milling tools for multistage fracturing ball seats was studied and a mechanical analysis model of single abrasive grain was established.Then,an experimental system for milling tools was developed,and the experimental tests of the flat,the blade,and the slope milling tool were conducted in order.Besides,the morphology of chips and the surface morphology of the workpiece after the experiment were analyzed.Also,the working performance of milling tools was evaluated from the perspectives of working safety,working efficiency,and wear resistance of the milling tool.The results show that the torque of the milling tool increases nonlinearly with the increase in the cutting depth of the abrasive grain and increases linearly with the increase in the cutting width.Also,the chips are irregular particles and the size is mainly from 10 to 50μm.So,the chips should be pumped up with a small pump pressure and a large displacement.Besides this,the cutting depths of the abrasive grains are from 216.20 to 635.47μm and the bottom surface of the milling tool should be eccentric to avoid the zero point of cutting speed.Furthermore,the torque of the slope milling tool is 23.8%larger than that of the flat milling tool,which is also 30.4%smaller than that of the blade milling tool.Compared with the flat milling tool,the working efficiency of the blade milling tool improves by 79.9%and the slope milling tool improves by 111.1%.Also,the wear resistance of the blade milling tool decreases by 102.7%,while the slope milling tool declines by 32.6%when compared with the flat milling tool.Therefore,the slope milling tool has the characteristics of moderate torque,stable working conditions,the highest working efficiency,and fine wear resistance,which is preferably used to mill multistage fracturing ball seats.This study provides a theoretical basis and guidance for milling multistage fracturing ball seats on-site and realizing production with a large diameter in later stages of multistage fracturing wells. 展开更多
关键词 Multistage fracturing ball seat Milling tool Working performance Tight oil Experimental system Single abrasive grain
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A human-sensitive frequency band vibration isolator for heavy-duty truck seats
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作者 Qingqing LIU Shenlong WANG +5 位作者 Ge YAN Hu DING Haihua WANG Qiang SHI Xiaohong DING Huijie YU 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 SCIE EI CSCD 2024年第10期1733-1748,共16页
In this study,a human-sensitive frequency band vibration isolator(HFBVI)with quasi-zero stiffness(QZS)characteristics for heavy-duty truck seats is designed to improve the comfort of heavy-duty truck drivers on uneven... In this study,a human-sensitive frequency band vibration isolator(HFBVI)with quasi-zero stiffness(QZS)characteristics for heavy-duty truck seats is designed to improve the comfort of heavy-duty truck drivers on uneven roads.First,the analytical expressions for the force and displacement of the HFBVI are derived with the Lagrange equation and d'Alembert's principle,and are validated through the prototype restoring force testing.Second,the harmonic balance method(HBM)is used to obtain the dynamic responses under harmonic excitation,and further the influence of pre-stretching on the dynamic characteristics and transmissibility is discussed.Finally,the experimental prototype of the HFBVI is fabricated,and vibration experiments are conducted under harmonic excitation to verify the vibration isolation performance(VIP)of the proposed vibration isolator.The experimental results indicate that the HFBVI can effectively suppress the frequency band(4-8 Hz)to which the human body is sensitive to vertical vibration.In addition,under real random road spectrum excitation,the HFBVI can achieve low-frequency vibration isolation close to 2 Hz,providing new prospects for ensuring the health of heavy-duty truck drivers. 展开更多
关键词 human-sensitive frequency band quasi-zero stiffness(QZS) heavy-duty truck seat real random road spectrum low-frequency vibration isolation
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Ghana's Presidential Seats and Sword of State: Aesthetic Manifestation of Kwame Nkrumah' s Cultural Policy on Ghana's Political Culture
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作者 Jerry Orhin Yorke Patrique deGraft-Yankson +1 位作者 Joseph Essuman Emmanuel Kodwo Amissah 《Journal of Literature and Art Studies》 2017年第12期1604-1624,共21页
This study explores the aesthetic dimensions of Kwame Nkrumah's cultural policies in the creation of Ghana's Presidential Seats and the State Sword. The study is an Art Historical research situated within the qualit... This study explores the aesthetic dimensions of Kwame Nkrumah's cultural policies in the creation of Ghana's Presidential Seats and the State Sword. The study is an Art Historical research situated within the qualitative research paradigm. It had a population of a defmed class of cultural policy makers, art historians, traditional rulers, nationalists, visual artists and Ghanaians resident both in and outside Ghana. The study examined how the creation of Ghana's Presidential Seats and the State Sword were influenced by Kwame Nkrumah's cultural policies and the cultural significance of the aesthetic interplay of ethnic insignias used in capturing the Ghanaian concept of Political authority. The study revealed that, Nkrumah recognised the cultural art forms and elements of ethnic Ghana as assets for national development. In line with his policy of building the Nation State of Ghana, he used ethnic cultural art forms and elements. At independence, Nkrumah commissioned some visual artist to create some artistic pieces (politico-cultural artefacts) for the Ghanaian political authority with inspiration or based on what pertains in the traditional authority (Chieftaincy) of Ghana. Politico-cultural artefacts as used in this study refer to the artefacts produced based on the cultural concepts of the ethnic states for the use of the political authority of the Republic of Ghana. Among these artistic pieces are the three Presidential Seats, The State Sword, The President's Personal Standard Pole and the State Mace. 展开更多
关键词 Adinkra Presidential seats State Sword politico-cultural artefacts Kwame Nkrumah's cultural policies
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Parametric design for the valve seat of a high-temperature and high-pressure valve inside wind tunnels 被引量:1
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作者 Fengwei HOU Haifeng SHU +4 位作者 Binbin WU Chengliang YU Zhehui MA Wenqing LI Jinyuan QIAN 《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science A(Applied Physics & Engineering)》 2025年第3期266-276,共11页
A high-temperature and high-pressure valve is the key equipment of a wind tunnel system;it controls the generation of high-temperature and high-pressure gas.To reduce the adverse impact of high-temperature and high-pr... A high-temperature and high-pressure valve is the key equipment of a wind tunnel system;it controls the generation of high-temperature and high-pressure gas.To reduce the adverse impact of high-temperature and high-pressure gas on the strength of the valve body,a cooling structure is set on the valve seat.This can significantly reduce the temperature of the valve body and valve seat.The effects of its structure on the cooling characteristics and stress of the valve seat are studied,and six main parameters that can completely describe the geometry of the cooling structure are proposed.The central composite design method is used to select sample points,and the multi-objective genetic algorithm(MOGA)method is used for optimal structural design.A modification method according to the main parameters for the valve seat is proposed.The results show that the cooling structure weakens the pressure-bearing capability of the valve seat.Among the six main parameters of the valve seat,the distance from the end face of the lower hole to the Z-axis and the distance from the axis of the lower hole to the origin of the coordinates have the most obvious effects on the average stress of the valve seat.An optimum design value is proposed.This work can provide a reference for the design of high-temperature and high-pressure valves. 展开更多
关键词 Control valve Valve seat OPTIMIZATION Parametric design
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Lightweight design and manufacture of die casting magnesium alloy seat frame
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作者 Jian Yang Kangle Wang +3 位作者 Qin Yang Jinsheng Zhang Tiegang Hu Bo Liu 《Journal of Magnesium and Alloys》 2025年第10期4817-4824,共8页
This study presents the development of a Magnesium Alloy Seat Frame(MASF),supported by case studies from automotive original equipment manufacturers.The process covers integrated design,simulation,manufacturing,and te... This study presents the development of a Magnesium Alloy Seat Frame(MASF),supported by case studies from automotive original equipment manufacturers.The process covers integrated design,simulation,manufacturing,and testing,aiming to boost industry confidence in Mg alloy applications.A novel structural design is developed that integrates the headrest with the backrest,achieving a balance between lightweight performance and safety.Structural optimization is guided by stress–strain simulations under diverse conditions within a complete forward development process.Casting simulations are conducted to analyze process characteristics,resulting in a verified MASF yield rate exceeding 90%.The final 9.88 kg MASF represents a 24.6%(3.23 kg)weight reduction versus a steel seat.This research contributes to advancements in defect control technology for large die casting magnesium alloy parts and has broad implications for their application in automotive manufacturing. 展开更多
关键词 MAGNESIUM seat frame Forward design Die casting Lightweighting
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Dynamic Modeling of the Three-Dimensional Seated Human Body for High-Speed Train Ride Comfort Analysis
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作者 Hanwen Xu Xinbiao Xiao +4 位作者 Xiaoqing Dong Jian Han Peng Chen Qin Hu Xuesong Jin 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 2025年第5期478-507,共30页
Typically,seat or floor acceleration is used to evaluate the ride comfort of a high-speed train.However,the dynamic performance of the human body significantly differs from that of the floor.Therefore,using the car bo... Typically,seat or floor acceleration is used to evaluate the ride comfort of a high-speed train.However,the dynamic performance of the human body significantly differs from that of the floor.Therefore,using the car body floor and seat accelerations to calculate the ride comfort index of a high-speed train may not reflect the true feelings of passengers.In this study,a 3D human-seat-vehicle-track coupling model was established to investigate the ride comfort of highspeed train passengers.The seated human model,which considers the longitudinal,lateral,vertical,pitching,yawing,and rolling motions,comprises the head,upper torso,lower torso,pelvis,thighs,and shanks.The model parameters were determined using multi-axis excitation measurement data based on a genetic algorithm.Subsequently,the applicability of the small-angle assumption and natural modes of the human model is analyzed.Using the coupling system model,the vibration characteristics of the human-seat interaction surface were analyzed.The ride comfort of the high-speed train and human body dynamic performance were analyzed under normal conditions,track geometric irregularities and train meeting conditions.The results showed that the passenger seats in the front and rear rows adjacent to the window had a higher acceleration value than the others.The human backrest and seat pad connection points have higher vibration amplitudes than the car body floor in the human-sensitive frequency range,indicating that using the acceleration values on the floor may underestimate the discomfort of passengers.The ride comfort of high-speed trains diminishes in the presence of track geometric irregularities and when trains pass each other.When the excitation frequency of track geometry irregularities approached the natural frequency of the human-seat-vehicle system,ride comfort in high-speed trains decreased significantly.Moreover,using seat acceleration to evaluate passenger ride comfort overlooks the vibration characteristics of the human body.The transient aerodynamic force generated when the train meets can cause a larger car body roll and lateral motion at 2 Hz,which,in turn,decreases the passenger ride comfort.This study presents a detailed human-seat-vehicle-track coupling system that can reflect a passenger’s dynamic performance under complex operating conditions. 展开更多
关键词 seated human body High-speed train Ride comfort 3D Human body-seat-vehicle-track coupling coupled model
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自动驾驶汽车中安全气囊对不同座椅朝向乘员保护策略研究
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作者 武和全 张凯 +1 位作者 胡林 米海林 《北京大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2026年第1期44-56,共13页
为了提高自动驾驶汽车中不同座椅朝向乘员的正面碰撞安全性,提出一种乘员保护策略,在正面碰撞发生前,主动将不同座椅朝向的乘员旋转至标准座椅朝向(0°方向),通过改变乘员身体受力方向,将非标准座椅朝向乘员的正面碰撞转化为标准朝... 为了提高自动驾驶汽车中不同座椅朝向乘员的正面碰撞安全性,提出一种乘员保护策略,在正面碰撞发生前,主动将不同座椅朝向的乘员旋转至标准座椅朝向(0°方向),通过改变乘员身体受力方向,将非标准座椅朝向乘员的正面碰撞转化为标准朝向的正面碰撞形式,从而利用安全气囊对乘员的保护来降低损伤。基于本田雅阁汽车模型,建立±45°和±90°座椅朝向简化台车模型,并进行有无应用该保护策略的对比试验,得到如下结果:1)传统三点式安全带约束系统无法有效地限制乘员身体的斜向和侧向偏移,发生“二次碰撞”损伤风险较大;2)在腿部挡板和安全带共同作用下,200 ms内座椅旋转±45°和300 ms内座椅旋转±90°仿真试验中,乘员均被有效地约束在座椅上,姿态未发生失控现象,发生“二次碰撞”损伤风险较小,对乘员头部、颈部和胸部造成额外的损伤风险较小。由此验证了主动旋转座椅朝向至正对安全气囊保护策略的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 乘员保护策略 安全气囊 座椅朝向 损伤风险 自动驾驶汽车
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集成AHP-QFD-TRIZ理论的户外哺乳坐具设计研究
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作者 李晓光 王志国 《家具与室内装饰》 北大核心 2026年第1期108-113,共6页
为改善户外哺乳环境,有效满足母婴群体户外哺乳需求,集成AHP-QFD-TRIZ理论方法应用于户外哺乳坐具设计中,以完成户外哺乳坐具设计,优化母婴群体户外游玩体验。首先基于用户访谈收集用户需求,然后借助层次分析法(Analytic Hierarchy Proc... 为改善户外哺乳环境,有效满足母婴群体户外哺乳需求,集成AHP-QFD-TRIZ理论方法应用于户外哺乳坐具设计中,以完成户外哺乳坐具设计,优化母婴群体户外游玩体验。首先基于用户访谈收集用户需求,然后借助层次分析法(Analytic Hierarchy Process,AHP)求解用户需求权重,再经由质量功能展开(Quality Function Deployment,QFD)将用户需求映射为哺乳坐具的设计要求,识别出重点设计要求及其存在的三对技术矛盾组,在此基础上引入发明问题解决理论(Theory of Inventive Problem Solving,TRIZ)寻求解域,指导完成户外哺乳坐具的方案设计。集成AHP-QFD-TRIZ理论可有效帮助设计人员在设计活动中识别出因满足用户关键需求而可能存在的技术矛盾,并迅速寻找最佳解,进而实现户外哺乳坐具的创新设计,提升设计效率和设计可行性。 展开更多
关键词 坐具设计 AHP QFD TRIZ 户外哺乳 游玩体验
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四川盆地震旦系构造-沉积格局和天然气差异聚集
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作者 刘树根 孙玮 +7 位作者 郭冉 李泽奇 宋金民 邓宾 李智武 吴娟 叶玥豪 赵晓丽 《成都理工大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2026年第2期203-224,共22页
本文基于四川盆地最新的地质学-地球物理-地球化学的综合研究资料,针对灯影组油气勘探“一老一新”的2个关键地质问题开展深入研究,即(1)震旦系灯影组沉积时的构造-沉积格局;(2)灯影组古气藏向现今气藏转换过程及现今气藏分布规律。结... 本文基于四川盆地最新的地质学-地球物理-地球化学的综合研究资料,针对灯影组油气勘探“一老一新”的2个关键地质问题开展深入研究,即(1)震旦系灯影组沉积时的构造-沉积格局;(2)灯影组古气藏向现今气藏转换过程及现今气藏分布规律。结果表明:(1)四川盆地内受控于前震旦系北东走向岛弧基底古构造影响,在陡山沱组沉积期形成北东走向的宣汉—遂宁—峨眉古隆起;灯影组沉积时继承了陡山沱组沉积时的古隆起构造特征,但隆起面积缩小,形成北东走向的宣汉—开江古隆起。四川盆地在震旦纪主体处于弱挤压或构造中性状态,主要为古隆起形成演化阶段。前震旦系和震旦系陡山沱组在现今四川盆地范围内发育优质烃源岩和储集岩的可能性较小,四川盆地前震旦系的油气勘探前景应不大。(2)四川盆地晚白垩世构造隆升时灯影组古构造演化控制了灯影组古气藏内天然气沿其顶部不整合面发生盆地尺度的长距离大范围立体运移和差异聚集分布,而盆地周缘和盆地内保存条件被破坏的区域(气烟囱)则是启动天然气立体运移和差异聚集分布的主要动力。盆地内构造的低部位形成分气谷,分气谷两侧的天然气向盆地内构造高部位(即汇气岭或气烟囱)和盆地周缘造山带(气烟囱)运移,在其运移途中相关联的梯级圈闭聚集天然气形成局部构造-岩性气藏。构造作用形成的气烟囱、汇气岭和分气谷决定了灯影组现今天然气的区域分布。灯影组的天然气勘探应以构造(背景)圈闭气藏为主并以华蓥山以西地区为重点。 展开更多
关键词 四川盆地 陡山沱组 灯影组 古隆起 差异聚集 深层油气
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从“脑为元神之府”辨治脑胰岛素抵抗介导的糖尿病认知功能障碍
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作者 甘盼盼 贺芹 +1 位作者 全毅红 刘玲 《西部中医药》 2026年第1期25-29,共5页
脑胰岛素抵抗(brain insulin resistance,BIR)介导的糖尿病认知功能障碍(diabetic cognitive dysfunction,DCD)与元神之病导致的痴呆在生理病理上高度吻合,“脑为元神之府”,其虚者多为肾精亏虚,髓海不充;其实者多因痰、瘀、热毒等邪气... 脑胰岛素抵抗(brain insulin resistance,BIR)介导的糖尿病认知功能障碍(diabetic cognitive dysfunction,DCD)与元神之病导致的痴呆在生理病理上高度吻合,“脑为元神之府”,其虚者多为肾精亏虚,髓海不充;其实者多因痰、瘀、热毒等邪气内扰元神,上蒙清窍。其中,上蒙清窍之痰邪与β样淀粉蛋白(amyloidβ,Aβ)沉积密切相关;内扰神府之热毒与中枢神经系统炎症病机相类;壅滞脑络之瘀邪可损伤血管内皮功能;而肾虚髓空、虚火上扰所致之阴虚火旺证,则与氧化应激密切相关。因此提出以“脑为元神之府”理论辨治DCD可为其临床研究提供思路和方法。 展开更多
关键词 脑胰岛素抵抗 糖尿病认知功能障碍 元神之府
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我国师范生公费教育政策变迁的历史嬗变、逻辑与启示
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作者 顾拓宇 《黑龙江高教研究》 北大核心 2026年第3期106-112,共7页
师范生公费教育政策是加强教师队伍的重要环节,是提质基础教育师资队伍的重要外力。新中国成立以来,我国师范生公费教育政策经历了免费、收费、免费、公费等四个阶段。基于历史制度主义视角分析发现,经济、政治、文化等深层结构制约着... 师范生公费教育政策是加强教师队伍的重要环节,是提质基础教育师资队伍的重要外力。新中国成立以来,我国师范生公费教育政策经历了免费、收费、免费、公费等四个阶段。基于历史制度主义视角分析发现,经济、政治、文化等深层结构制约着师范生公费教育政策的基本脉络;报酬递增、政治偏好、初始事件等规约着师范生公费教育政策的路径轨迹;个体、学校、政府等行动主体对师范生公费教育政策具有推动作用。在新时代,我国师范生公费教育政策设计应考虑宏观环境变量,设置与政治、经济、文化需求相一致的政策,增强政策的适应性;适时调整政策,增强政策的有效性;设置多元化政策,满足不同主体的利益需求,增强政策的多样性。 展开更多
关键词 师范生公费教育政策变迁 历史制度主义 深层结构 路径依赖 动力机制
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基于SYSWELD的采煤机截齿座焊接仿真
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作者 尹中会 王宇碟 王国清 《煤矿机械》 2026年第2期121-125,共5页
针对采煤机滚筒截齿座焊接易发生变形、脱落等问题,以采煤机截齿座焊接处为研究对象,采用SYSWELD构建多层多道焊数值模型,分析截齿座焊缝失效原因,进行不同焊接速度下的应力、应变研究。结果表明:截齿座焊接处最大残余应力与焊接速度正... 针对采煤机滚筒截齿座焊接易发生变形、脱落等问题,以采煤机截齿座焊接处为研究对象,采用SYSWELD构建多层多道焊数值模型,分析截齿座焊缝失效原因,进行不同焊接速度下的应力、应变研究。结果表明:截齿座焊接处最大残余应力与焊接速度正相关,纵向残余应力主要集中在焊缝区且增长速率快于横向残余应力;焊缝焊后变形以横向收缩为主导,变形量随速度增加呈下降趋势;焊接速度降低可有效控制残余应力,但需权衡焊接效率与质量。该研究为提高截齿座焊接质量及快速修复提供了理论依据。 展开更多
关键词 截齿座 SYSWELD 焊接仿真 残余应力
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基于高密度电法与微动探测的大型深层滑坡空间结构特征研究
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作者 郭长宝 邱振东 +5 位作者 闫怡秋 李彩虹 刘贵 张亚楠 曹世超 袁浩 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》 北大核心 2026年第2期207-223,共17页
青藏高原东部金沙江高山峡谷发育有众多大型深层滑坡,复杂的地形地质环境与强烈的构造地质活动塑造出该区滑坡多层次、多期次、多类型叠加的演化过程。然而,针对高山峡谷区大型深层滑坡空间结构特征的研究,目前仍是地质灾害调查与防灾... 青藏高原东部金沙江高山峡谷发育有众多大型深层滑坡,复杂的地形地质环境与强烈的构造地质活动塑造出该区滑坡多层次、多期次、多类型叠加的演化过程。然而,针对高山峡谷区大型深层滑坡空间结构特征的研究,目前仍是地质灾害调查与防灾减灾工作中的重点和难点。在金沙江流域巴塘县地巫乡段,分布着一系列大型深层滑坡,其中地巫乡滑坡变形显著,已实施村庄搬迁避让措施,但其深部结构特征仍不清晰。为进一步研究区域大型深层滑坡空间结构特征,综合采用现场调查、遥感解译、无人机激光探测与测距(light detection and ranging,LiDAR)航测、高密度电法和微动探测等多种技术,查明地巫乡滑坡空间发育特征。研究认为,地巫乡滑坡地表变形强烈,主要表现为拉张裂缝、挡墙开裂和下错陡坎等形式,滑坡区内共识别出152个次级滑坡;高密度电法结果显示,地巫乡滑坡整体呈低电阻率状态,局部区域呈现高电阻率状态;微动探测揭示了滑坡地层结构,可划分为浅表覆盖层、中-强风化基岩层和弱-未风化基岩层3层;综合两种物探手段的探测结果认为,该滑坡发育由2~3层滑带,滑带位置电阻率变化显著,多呈低阻状态,电阻率值为100~150Ω·m,最大埋深可达70 m。两种方法探测结果一致性较高,所获滑体厚度相对误差在10%以内。基于建立的高山峡谷区大型深层滑坡空间结构探测的物探响应技术流程,可以较好地指导高山峡谷区大型深层滑坡的空间结构探测。 展开更多
关键词 高密度电法 微动探测 大型深层滑坡 无人机 LIDAR 空间结构特征
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