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基于TELEMAC-2D模型的浑江流域梯级水电站溃坝洪水风险分析
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作者 杨忠兴 李文雨 +2 位作者 初京刚 彭勇 于卫彬 《水电能源科学》 北大核心 2025年第10期14-17,共4页
在全球气候变暖,极端降雨频发的背景下,电站溃坝发生的可能性明显增加,开展事前溃坝模拟是减少电站溃坝影响的重要非工程措施。以浑江流域桓仁电站溃坝造成的连溃为例,采用TELEMAC-2D模型模拟不同溃口大小条件下桓仁电站溃坝洪水的演进... 在全球气候变暖,极端降雨频发的背景下,电站溃坝发生的可能性明显增加,开展事前溃坝模拟是减少电站溃坝影响的重要非工程措施。以浑江流域桓仁电站溃坝造成的连溃为例,采用TELEMAC-2D模型模拟不同溃口大小条件下桓仁电站溃坝洪水的演进过程,提取最大淹没水深、最大流速等洪水淹没风险指标,并以洪水风险作为判断条件统计得到梯级水电站溃坝淹没影响数据。模拟结果显示,在桓仁电站大坝全溃的工况下,造成约7 993人受灾,经济损失约32 142万元。研究结果可作为突发事件应急处置的依据,为有关部门提供技术支持。 展开更多
关键词 溃坝洪水 二维数值模拟 telemac-2d模型 浑江流域
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基于TELEMAC-2D模型的山东大学洪涝模拟及淹没分析 被引量:3
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作者 李国一 邵薇薇 +2 位作者 刘家宏 宋天旭 付潇然 《水资源保护》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第5期46-52,共7页
基于TELEMAC-2D模型构建了山东大学洪涝仿真模型,选取山东大学“20070718”实测典型暴雨城市内涝淹没资料对模型进行了验证,结果表明模拟水深误差较小,模型具有较高的精度和可靠性。采用构建的模型模拟了不同暴雨重现期下山东大学主城区的洪... 基于TELEMAC-2D模型构建了山东大学洪涝仿真模型,选取山东大学“20070718”实测典型暴雨城市内涝淹没资料对模型进行了验证,结果表明模拟水深误差较小,模型具有较高的精度和可靠性。采用构建的模型模拟了不同暴雨重现期下山东大学主城区的洪涝演进过程,并分析了研究区淹没水深、淹没面积和洪水流速等特征,结果表明:随着降雨重现期的增大,研究区淹没水深大于0.15 m的面积在总面积中的占比随之增大,当降雨重现期分别为1、5、10、20、50、100 a时,面积占比分别为0.05%、1.10%、1.98%、2.89%、4.28%、5.15%,最大洪水流速分别为0.478、1.019、1.309、1.494、1.890、2.214 m/s;根据洪涝淹没特征,从工程和非工程措施两方面提出了防洪排涝应对举措。 展开更多
关键词 城市内涝 洪涝模拟 telemac-2d模型 山东大学
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基于血清25(OH)D水平构建2型糖尿病并发尿路感染风险的列线图预测模型
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作者 周晶晶 李东风 +4 位作者 李时慧 郑丽丽 刘桂 丁丞章 袁幸运 《安徽医学》 2025年第2期141-147,共7页
目的 检测2型糖尿病(T2DM)患者25羟维生素D[25(OH)D]水平,探讨T2DM患者尿路感染的危险因素,并构建T2DM并发尿路感染的预测模型。方法 选取2023年1月至2024年2月在皖西卫生职业学院附属医院(六安市第二人民医院)内分泌科就诊的607例T2DM... 目的 检测2型糖尿病(T2DM)患者25羟维生素D[25(OH)D]水平,探讨T2DM患者尿路感染的危险因素,并构建T2DM并发尿路感染的预测模型。方法 选取2023年1月至2024年2月在皖西卫生职业学院附属医院(六安市第二人民医院)内分泌科就诊的607例T2DM患者为研究对象,收集研究对象的临床资料,电化学发光法检测血清25(OH)D水平,对尿路感染患者完善中段尿培养检查并收集培养结果。将研究对象依据入院时间,按照7∶3比例分为建模组(n=425)及验证组(n=182)。建模组采用logistic回归明确T2DM患者尿路感染的独立危险因素,应用R软件构建T2DM并发尿路感染的列线图预测模型,并应用内部(建模组)及外部(验证组)验证来评价模型的预测效能。结果 607例T2DM患者中,共有99例(16.31%)发生尿路感染,检出病原菌70株,其中以革兰阴性菌(64.29%)为主,尿路感染患者25(OH)D水平明显低于非感染患者,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。Logistic回归分析结果显示,女性、病程长、清蛋白偏低、高C反应蛋白(CRP)及低25(OH)D水平是建模组T2DM并发尿路感染的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。根据所筛选的危险因素构建T2DM并发尿路感染的列线图预测模型。模型内部验证的校正曲线显示观察值与预测值基本一致,HosmerLemeshow拟合优度检验显示拟合度良好(P>0.05),受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积为0.909(95%CI:0.875~0.943),决策曲线分析显示当患者的阈值概率在10%~75%时,使用列线图预测尿路感染风险的净获益率更高。对验证组进行外部验证,结果与内部验证结果相一致。结论 T2DM合并尿路感染患者血清25(OH)D水平减低,基于25(OH)D及其它危险因素构建的列线图预测模型,可为T2DM患者尿路感染甄别及早期防治提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 2型糖尿病 25羟维生素d 尿路感染 危险因素 列线图 预测模型
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A deterministic distributed modeling approach of Mediterranean water-cycle assessment,application in the Var catchment,France
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作者 Siyuan Chang Zhengmiao Li +2 位作者 Xinyi Lian Philippe Gourbesville Qiang Ma 《River》 2025年第3期297-310,共14页
Characterized by special morphologic,geographic,hydrologic,and societal behaviors,the water resources management of the Mediterranean catchment often shows a higher level of complexity including security issues of wat... Characterized by special morphologic,geographic,hydrologic,and societal behaviors,the water resources management of the Mediterranean catchment often shows a higher level of complexity including security issues of water supply,inundation risks,and environment management under the perspective of climate change.To have a comprehensive understanding of the Mediterranean water-cycle system,a deterministic distributed hydrologic modeling approach has been developed and presented in this study based on an application in the Var catchment(2800 km^(2))located at the French Mediterranean region.A 1D and 2D coupled model of MIKE SHE and MIKE 11 has been set up under a series of hypotheses to represent the whole hydrologic and hydrodynamic processes including rainfall-runoff,snow-melting,channel flow,overland flow,and the water exchange between land surface and unsaturated/saturated zones.The developed model was first calibrated with 4 years daily records from 2008 to 2011,then to be validated and further run within hourly time interval to produce detailed representation of the catchment water-cycle from 2012 to 2014.The deterministic distributed modeling approach presented in this study is able to represent its complicated water-cycle and used for supporting the decision‐making process of the water resources management of the catchment. 展开更多
关键词 1d/2d coupled model distributed hydrological model flood management Mediterranean catchment
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Multidimensional data-driven porous media reconstruction:Inversion from 1D/2D pore parameters to 3D real pores
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作者 Peng Chi Jian-Meng Sun +5 位作者 Ran Zhang Wei-Chao Yan Huai-Min Dong Li-Kai Cui Rui-Kang Cui Xin Luo 《Petroleum Science》 2025年第7期2777-2793,共17页
Subsurface rocks,as complex porous media,exhibit multiscale pore structures and intricate physical properties.Digital rock physics technology has become increasingly influential in the study of subsurface rock propert... Subsurface rocks,as complex porous media,exhibit multiscale pore structures and intricate physical properties.Digital rock physics technology has become increasingly influential in the study of subsurface rock properties.Given the multiscale characteristics of rock pore structures,direct three-dimensional imaging at sub-micrometer and nanometer scales is typically infeasible.This study introduces a method for reconstructing porous media using multidimensional data,which combines one-dimensional pore structure parameters with two-dimensional images to reconstruct three-dimensional models.The pore network model(PNM)is stochastically reconstructed using one-dimensional parameters,and a generative adversarial network(GAN)is utilized to equip the PNM with pore morphologies derived from two-dimensional images.The digital rocks generated by this method possess excellent controllability.Using Berea sandstone and Grosmont carbonate samples,we performed digital rock reconstructions based on PNM extracted by the maximum ball algorithm and compared them with stochastically reconstructed PNM.Pore structure parameters,permeability,and formation factors were calculated.The results show that the generated samples exhibit good consistency with real samples in terms of pore morphology,pore structure,and physical properties.Furthermore,our method effectively supplements the micropores not captured in CT images,demonstrating its potential in multiscale carbonate samples.Thus,the proposed reconstruction method is promising for advancing porous media property research. 展开更多
关键词 3d digital rock Pore network model 1d/2d pore parameters Pore structure Generative adversarial network
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Mobility-Aware Edge Caching with Transformer-DQN in D2D-Enabled Heterogeneous Networks
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作者 Yiming Guo Hongyu Ma 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2025年第11期3485-3505,共21页
In dynamic 5G network environments,user mobility and heterogeneous network topologies pose dual challenges to the effort of improving performance of mobile edge caching.Existing studies often overlook the dynamic natu... In dynamic 5G network environments,user mobility and heterogeneous network topologies pose dual challenges to the effort of improving performance of mobile edge caching.Existing studies often overlook the dynamic nature of user locations and the potential of device-to-device(D2D)cooperative caching,limiting the reduction of transmission latency.To address this issue,this paper proposes a joint optimization scheme for edge caching that integrates user mobility prediction with deep reinforcement learning.First,a Transformer-based geolocation prediction model is designed,leveraging multi-head attention mechanisms to capture correlations in historical user trajectories for accurate future location prediction.Then,within a three-tier heterogeneous network,we formulate a latency minimization problem under a D2D cooperative caching architecture and develop a mobility-aware Deep Q-Network(DQN)caching strategy.This strategy takes predicted location information as state input and dynamically adjusts the content distribution across small base stations(SBSs)andmobile users(MUs)to reduce end-to-end delay inmulti-hop content retrieval.Simulation results show that the proposed DQN-based method outperforms other baseline strategies across variousmetrics,achieving a 17.2%reduction in transmission delay compared to DQNmethods withoutmobility integration,thus validating the effectiveness of the joint optimization of location prediction and caching decisions. 展开更多
关键词 Mobile edge caching d2d heterogeneous networks deep reinforcement learning transformer model transmission delay optimization
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Investigation on a Novel Tractive-Magnetic-Coupling and its Application on 2D Electro-Hydraulic Proportional Flow Valve
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作者 Hao Xu Bin Meng +2 位作者 Guanzheng Yang Sheng Li Jian Ruan 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 2025年第3期558-588,共31页
Magnetization convenience is crucial consideration for design of valve magnetic actuators.The existing repulsive-magnetic-coupling of 2D maglev valve is not oriented to the integral-magnetization-processes,resulting i... Magnetization convenience is crucial consideration for design of valve magnetic actuators.The existing repulsive-magnetic-coupling of 2D maglev valve is not oriented to the integral-magnetization-processes,resulting in the high assembly cost.This paper presents a novel tractive-magnetic-coupling(TMC)and its application on a 2D electro-hydraulic proportional flow valve(2D-EHPFV),whose configuration not only fulfill the requirements of 2D valve,but also oriented to integral-magnetization-process.To investigate the output torque of TMC,a detailed analytical model considering leakage flux,edge effect and tooth magnetic saturation is formulated based on the equivalent magnetic circuit method.To facilitate the magnetic saturation calculation,a special magnetic permeability database is established for tooth region of TMC using Ansoft/Maxwell software.Prototype of TMC is machined and an exclusive experimental platform is built.Torque-displacement characteristics under different working airgap and tooth number are measured.The experimental results are in good agreement with the analytical results,which verifies the correctness of the analytical model.Then the TMC is integrated into the 2D-EHPFV by replacing the repulsive-magnetic-coupling.Prototype of 2D-EHPFV is designed and manufactured to test the no-load flow characteristics,load flow characteristics,leakage characteristics,frequency characteristics and step response.Under working pressure of 15 MPa,the maximum no-load flow rate is 82.2 L/min with the hysteresis of 2.6%,and the amplitude and phase frequency width is 21.6 Hz,and 28.9 Hz.The detailed experimental results show that TMC can be applied to 2D valves to form 2D-EHPFV,which can reduce hysteresis and cost,and improve response speed. 展开更多
关键词 Magnetic coupling Magnetic circuit Electro-hydraulic proportional valve 2d valve Analytical modelling
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Numerical modeling of blast-induced rock fragmentation in deep mining with 3D and 2D FEM method approaches
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作者 Michał Kucewicz Mazurkiewicz Łukasz +4 位作者 Paweł Baranowski Jerzy Małachowski Krzysztof Fuławka Piotr Mertuszka Marcin Szumny 《Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第11期4532-4553,共22页
To optimize the excavation of rock using underground blasting techniques,a reliable and simplified approach for modeling rock fragmentation is desired.This paper presents a multistep experimentalnumerical methodology ... To optimize the excavation of rock using underground blasting techniques,a reliable and simplified approach for modeling rock fragmentation is desired.This paper presents a multistep experimentalnumerical methodology for simplifying the three-dimensional(3D)to two-dimensional(2D)quasiplane-strain problem and reducing computational costs by more than 100-fold.First,in situ tests were conducted involving single-hole and free-face blasting of a dolomite rock mass in a 1050-m-deep mine.The results were validated by laser scanning.The craters were then compared with four analytical models to calculate the radius of the crushing zone.Next,a full 3D model for single-hole blasting was prepared and validated by simulating the crack length and the radius of the crushing zone.Based on the stable crack propagation zones observed in the 3D model and experiments,a 2D model was prepared.The properties of the high explosive(HE)were slightly reduced to match the shape and number of radial cracks and crushing zone radius between the 3D and 2D models.The final methodology was used to reproduce various cut-hole blasting scenarios and observe the effects of residual cracks in the rock mass on further fragmentation.The presence of preexisting cracks was found to be crucial for fragmentation,particularly when the borehole was situated near a free rock face.Finally,an optimization study was performed to determine the possibility of losing rock continuity at different positions within the well in relation to the free rock face. 展开更多
关键词 dolomite rock Two-dimensional(2d)rock modeling Rock fragmentation Cut-hole blasting
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外周血鸢尾素、肌肉生长抑制素及25羟维生素D水平与老年2型糖尿病合并心力衰竭患者肌少症发生风险的关系及预测模型的构建
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作者 宁原林 郝海红 赵丽娟 《实用临床医药杂志》 2025年第19期95-102,共8页
目的探讨外周血鸢尾素、肌肉生长抑制素(MSTN)、25羟维生素D[25(OH)D]水平与老年2型糖尿病(T2DM)合并心力衰竭患者肌少症发生风险的关系及预测价值。方法选取2023年3月—2024年3月在邢台市中心医院就诊的老年T2DM合并心力衰竭患者为研... 目的探讨外周血鸢尾素、肌肉生长抑制素(MSTN)、25羟维生素D[25(OH)D]水平与老年2型糖尿病(T2DM)合并心力衰竭患者肌少症发生风险的关系及预测价值。方法选取2023年3月—2024年3月在邢台市中心医院就诊的老年T2DM合并心力衰竭患者为研究对象,基于效应量计算本研究样本量,并采用简单随机化方法按照7∶3的比例将患者分为建模集(n=140)和验证集(n=60)。另根据肌少症发生情况,将建模集患者分为肌少症组与非肌少症组。比较建模集与验证集患者临床资料、外周血鸢尾素、MSTN、25(OH)D水平;采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析外周血鸢尾素、MSTN、25(OH)D对肌少症的预测效能;采用多因素Logistic回归模型分析老年T2DM合并心力衰竭患者发生肌少症的影响因素,并通过R软件构建相关预测模型。结果200例老年T2DM合并心力衰竭患者中,共有71例发生肌少症,发生率为35.50%。肌少症组患者规律运动比例、骨矿含量、鸢尾素、25(OH)D水平均低于非肌少症组,MSTN水平高于非肌少症组,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。鸢尾素、MSTN、25(OH)D预测肌少症的曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.878(95%CI:0.812~0.927)、0.848(95%CI:0.778~0.903)、0.826(95%CI:0.753~0.885),敏感度分别为74.16%、79.78%、88.76%,特异度分别为74.16%、79.79%、88.76%。多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,无运动习惯(OR=2.489,95%CI:1.665~3.735)、骨矿含量降低(OR=2.340,95%CI:1.596~3.595)、鸢尾素≤105.44 ng/mL(OR=3.111,95%CI:2.004~5.147)、MSTN>19.06μg/L(OR=2.667,95%CI:2.015~4.693)、25(OH)D≤12.23 ng/mL(OR=2.547,95%CI:1.285~4.492)均是患者发生肌少症的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。ROC曲线分析结果显示,列线图模型在建模集、验证集中预测患者术后复发的AUC分别为0.875、0.853。建模集、验证集经Hosmer-Lemeshow检验结果分别为χ^(2)=0.715、P=0.510和χ^(2)=0.651、P=0.568,校准曲线与标准曲线基本一致。决策曲线分析(DCA)阈值概率范围为0.1~0.9,当处于该范围内时,建模集、验证集均具有良好的临床净收益。结论外周血鸢尾素、MSTN、25(OH)D均对老年T2DM合并心力衰竭患者肌少症的发生具有一定的预测价值。基于鸢尾素、MSTN、25(OH)D构建的列线图模型可为老年T2DM合并心力衰竭患者肌少症的早期筛查提供量化依据。 展开更多
关键词 鸢尾素 肌肉生长抑制素 25羟维生素d 2型糖尿病 心力衰竭 肌少症 列线图模型 骨矿含量
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2-D Modeling and Calculations of Stratospheric Ozone and Influences of Convection, Diffusion, and Time
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作者 Ibraheem Alelmi Laurie Wei Sen Nieh 《Atmospheric and Climate Sciences》 2024年第2期250-276,共27页
An engineering system approach of 2-D cylindrical model of transient mass balance calculations of ozone and other concerned chemicals along with fourteen photolysis, ozone-generating and ozone-depleting chemical react... An engineering system approach of 2-D cylindrical model of transient mass balance calculations of ozone and other concerned chemicals along with fourteen photolysis, ozone-generating and ozone-depleting chemical reaction equations was developed, validated, and used for studying the ozone concentrations, distribution and peak of the layer, ozone depletion and total ozone abundance in the stratosphere. The calculated ozone concentrations and profile at both the Equator and a 60˚N location were found to follow closely with the measured data. The calculated average ozone concentration was within 1% of the measured average, and the deviation of ozone profiles was within 14%. The monthly evolution of stratospheric ozone concentrations and distribution above the Equator was studied with results discussed in details. The influences of slow air movement in both altitudinal and radial directions on ozone concentrations and profile in the stratosphere were explored and discussed. Parametric studies of the influences of gas diffusivities of ozone D<sub>O3</sub> and active atomic oxygen D<sub>O</sub> on ozone concentrations and distributions were also studied and delineated. Having both influences through physical diffusion and chemical reactions, the diffusivity (and diffusion) of atomic oxygen D<sub>O</sub> was found to be more sensitive and important than that of ozone D<sub>O3</sub> on ozone concentrations and distribution. The 2-D ozone model present in this paper for stratospheric ozone and its layer and depletion is shown to be robust, convenient, efficient, and executable for analyzing the complex ozone phenomena in the stratosphere. . 展开更多
关键词 Stratospheric Ozone 2-d model Ozone Layer Ozone depletion CONVECTION dIFFUSION
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基于TELEMAC-2D和SWMM模型的城市内涝数值模拟 被引量:58
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作者 王兆礼 陈昱宏 赖成光 《水资源保护》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2022年第1期117-124,共8页
以广州长湴地区为例,基于SWMM和TELEMAC-2D模型构建一种新的耦合模型TSWM,通过历史暴雨事件验证、模型对比等方式评估了TSWM模型的适用性和可靠性,并对不同重现期暴雨开展了数值模拟。结果表明:TSWM模型能较准确地模拟研究区的内涝情况... 以广州长湴地区为例,基于SWMM和TELEMAC-2D模型构建一种新的耦合模型TSWM,通过历史暴雨事件验证、模型对比等方式评估了TSWM模型的适用性和可靠性,并对不同重现期暴雨开展了数值模拟。结果表明:TSWM模型能较准确地模拟研究区的内涝情况,可实现城市内涝精细化模拟;与基于SWMM和LISFLOOD-FP、WCA2D的耦合模型相比,TSWM模型可得到更为精细的模拟结果;由于排水管网系统标准偏低,研究区在极端暴雨情况下容易发生内涝,建议采取提高排水管网系统标准、构建泵闸联合调度方案、布设LID设施等措施降低暴雨内涝影响;TSWM模型在复杂城区内涝数值模拟方面具有良好的适用性和较高的模拟精度。 展开更多
关键词 城市内涝 数值模拟 telemac-2d SWMM 模型耦合 长湴
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基于Working Model 2D运动仿真的机构设计 被引量:2
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作者 顾艳红 蔡晓君 +1 位作者 徐林林 窦艳涛 《实验技术与管理》 CAS 2008年第2期82-87,共6页
介绍了基于Working Model 2D运动仿真的机构设计。该文利用该软件对四杆机构进行运动仿真和运动分析,结合Excel实现凸轮机构的凸轮轮廓线的设计并作运动仿真。此软件简单易学,仿真过程形象直观,为机构设计提供了一个极好的工具。
关键词 运动仿真 Working model 2d EXCEL 四杆机构 凸轮轮廓
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基于TELEMAC-2D模型的城区水库溃坝洪水数值模拟——以广州市龙洞水库为例 被引量:8
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作者 都利亚 王兆礼 +1 位作者 祁旭阳 赖成光 《地球科学与环境学报》 CAS 北大核心 2022年第5期850-859,共10页
针对城市水库下游地区地形复杂、建筑物密集的特点,以广州市天河区龙洞水库为例,采用基于不规则网格的TELEMAC-2D模型,构建二维溃坝洪水演进模型并开展数值模拟,将模拟结果与LISFLOOD-FP、WCA-2D模型的模拟结果进行综合对比。结果表明:... 针对城市水库下游地区地形复杂、建筑物密集的特点,以广州市天河区龙洞水库为例,采用基于不规则网格的TELEMAC-2D模型,构建二维溃坝洪水演进模型并开展数值模拟,将模拟结果与LISFLOOD-FP、WCA-2D模型的模拟结果进行综合对比。结果表明:当模拟历时大于15 min后,TELEMAC-2D模型模拟的下游淹没区内淹没总水量与溃口流量过程线所计算的累积洪水量基本相等,二者相对误差仅为0.26%,在3种模型中误差最小;3种模型模拟的洪水演进规律基本一致,且模拟的最大水深空间分布相关性均不小于0.92,表明模拟结果科学合理;TELEMAC-2D模型可对建筑物密集区域的地形进行局部网格加密处理,能更精细地表征城区的复杂地形情况,模拟效果较LISFLOOD-FP和WCA-2D模型更好。研究结果可为城区水库溃坝洪水数值模拟、溃坝洪水预警预报以及相关防洪减灾等工作提供科学的参考依据。 展开更多
关键词 溃坝洪水 二维数值模拟 城区水库 telemac-2d模型 LISFLOOd-FP模型 WCA-2d模型 淹没水深
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基于TELEMAC-2D模型的深圳洪涝风险评估 被引量:28
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作者 李国一 刘家宏 《水资源保护》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2022年第5期58-64,共7页
基于TELEMAC-2D模型构建深圳市深圳河流域洪涝仿真模型,选取两场实测暴雨(20180607和20180916)的内涝淹没资料对模型进行验证,结果表明所构建的模型具有较好的可靠性和精度。采用构建的仿真模型模拟暴雨重现期为50年一遇、雨峰系数为0.... 基于TELEMAC-2D模型构建深圳市深圳河流域洪涝仿真模型,选取两场实测暴雨(20180607和20180916)的内涝淹没资料对模型进行验证,结果表明所构建的模型具有较好的可靠性和精度。采用构建的仿真模型模拟暴雨重现期为50年一遇、雨峰系数为0.4条件下,降雨历时分别为30 min、60 min、90 min和120 min 4种情景下洪涝发生的过程,获取积水深度、积水面积和流速等致灾因子,考虑不同流速和积水深度组合情境下对深圳河流域进行内涝风险评估。结果表明:随着降雨历时的增加,积水深度、积水面积和流速均增大;根据积水深度和流速对深圳河流域进行洪涝风险分区,中高风险区面积随着降雨历时的增加不断增大;中高风险区占流域总面积比例较小,但容易出现人员伤亡和财产损失,当出现中高风险区时,应及时发布信息,积极采取应急减灾措施。 展开更多
关键词 telemac-2d模型 城市内涝 风险评估 深圳河流域 深圳市
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Modelling and validation of flash flood inundation in drylands 被引量:1
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作者 GAO Dan YIN Jie +3 位作者 WANG Dandan YANG Yuhan LU Yi CHEN Ruishan 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第1期185-200,共16页
In the context of climate change and human activities,flood disasters in arid mountainous areas have become increasingly frequent,and seriously threatened the safety of people's lives and property.Rapid and accura... In the context of climate change and human activities,flood disasters in arid mountainous areas have become increasingly frequent,and seriously threatened the safety of people's lives and property.Rapid and accurate flash flood inundation modelling is an essential foundational research area,which can aid in the reduction of casualties and the minimization of disaster losses;however,this modelling is also very difficult,and models need to be urgently developed to address flash flood forecasting and warnings.The objective of this study is to construct a numerical modelling method for flash floods in drylands.Based on a 2D high-resolution flood numerical model(Flood Map-Hydro Inundation2D),we hindcasted the dynamic process of flash flooding and show the spatio-temporal characteristics of flash flood inundation for the“8·18”flash flood disaster that occurred in Datong county,Qinghai province.The results showed that the model output effectively agreed with the observed inundation after the event in terms of both spatial extent and temporal process.Extensive flooding mainly occurred between 00:00 and 01:00 on August 18,2022.Qingshan,Hejiazhuang and Longwo villages were affected most heavily.We further conducted model sensitivity analysis and found that the model was highly sensitive to both roughness and hydraulic conductivity in drylands,and the effect of hydraulic conductivity was more pronounced.Our study confirmed the good performance of our model for the simulation of flash flooding in arid areas and provides a potential method for flash flood assessment and management in arid areas. 展开更多
关键词 flash flood numerical modelling arid areas datong county Flood Map-Hydro Inundation2d
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Prediction of wetting pattern dimensions under moistube irrigation with a multivariate nonlinear model 被引量:1
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作者 Yan-wei Fan Chong Ren +2 位作者 Zhi-wei Yang Chang-yan Zhang Wei-fan Yin 《Water Science and Engineering》 CSCD 2024年第3期217-225,共9页
Moistube irrigation is a new micro-irrigation technology.Accurately estimating its wetting pattern dimensions presents a challenge.Therefore,it is necessary to develop models for efficient assessment of the wetting tr... Moistube irrigation is a new micro-irrigation technology.Accurately estimating its wetting pattern dimensions presents a challenge.Therefore,it is necessary to develop models for efficient assessment of the wetting transport pattern in order to design a cost-effective moistube irrigation system.To achieve this goal,this study developed a multivariate nonlinear regression model and compared it with a dimensional model.HYDRUS-2D was used to perform numerical simulations of 56 irrigation scenarios with different factors.The experiments showed that the shape of the wetting soil body approximated a cylinder and was mainly affected by soil texture,pressure head,and matric potential.A multivariate nonlinear model using a power function relationship between wetting size and irrigation time was developed,with a determination coefficient greater than 0.99.The model was validated for cases with six soil texture types,with mean average absolute errors of 0.43-0.90 cm,root mean square errors of 0.51-0.95 cm,and mean deviation percentage values of 3.23%-6.27%.The multivariate nonlinear regression model outperformed the dimensional model.It can therefore provide a scientific foundation for the development of moistube irrigation systems. 展开更多
关键词 Moistube irrigation Wetting pattern dimensions Multivariate nonlinear regression model dimensional model HYdRUS-2d
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基于TELEMAC-2D的山东东营市天鹅湖蓄滞洪区运行调度特征分析 被引量:1
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作者 李国一 刘家宏 +3 位作者 王开博 梅超 李泽锦 付潇然 《中国防汛抗旱》 2021年第10期10-14,共5页
我国正处于快速城镇化进程阶段,由此导致的城市内涝问题越发严重。基于TELEMAC-2D水动力学模型对山东东营市天鹅湖蓄滞洪区进行数学建模,模拟了201909号台风"利奇马"、201818号台风"温比亚"和50年一遇24 h降雨3种... 我国正处于快速城镇化进程阶段,由此导致的城市内涝问题越发严重。基于TELEMAC-2D水动力学模型对山东东营市天鹅湖蓄滞洪区进行数学建模,模拟了201909号台风"利奇马"、201818号台风"温比亚"和50年一遇24 h降雨3种降雨情境下东营市天鹅湖蓄滞洪区不同进水闸开启方案组合下的入流过程,模拟结果表明:在台风"利奇马""温比亚"和50年一遇24 h降雨情境下进水总量分别为470万m^(3)、451万m^(3)和401万m^(3),均不超过天鹅湖蓄滞洪区蓄水能力,通过打开天鹅湖蓄滞洪区的进水闸,可有效控制广利河水位在3.30 m以下,保证城区排水系统不受顶托,维持正常的排水功能;模拟结果可为天鹅湖蓄滞洪区运行调度规程编制和防洪调度提供科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 城镇化 telemac-2d模型 东营市天鹅湖 蓄滞洪区
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Modified micro-mechanics based multiscale model for progressive failure prediction of 2D twill woven composites 被引量:8
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作者 Meng WANG Peiwei ZHANG +1 位作者 Qingguo FEI Fei GUO 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第7期2070-2087,共18页
To consider fiber random distribution at the microscale for the multiscale model based on the micro-mechanics failure(MMF)theory,clustering method is used for the extraction of amplification factors.As the clustering ... To consider fiber random distribution at the microscale for the multiscale model based on the micro-mechanics failure(MMF)theory,clustering method is used for the extraction of amplification factors.As the clustering method is a kind of unsupervised machine learning method,the elements with similar mechanical behavior under external loading can be included in a cluster automatically at the microscale.With this modification,the fiber random distribution model can be used for multiscale damage analysis in the framework of MMF theory.To validate the modified multiscale analysis method,progressive damage analysis of a kind of 2D twill woven composites is conducted based on different microscale models.The stress values for microscale models with fiber hexagonal and random distribution patterns are compared first.Much higher stress concentration is generated in the fiber random distribution model due to the smaller inter-fiber distance especially under longitudinal shear loading.The obtained cluster distribution results exhibit the characters of the stress distribution in the two microscale models.Thereafter,tensile and compressive responses of the 2D twill woven composite are predicted with the modified multiscale analysis method and accuracy of the method is verified through comparison with published experimental results.From the simulation results,it can be found that the matrix damage initiation from the model based on the fiber random distribution model is premature compared with that from the model based on the fiber hexagonal distribution model.Besides,under tensile loading,the damage all initiates from the fill tows and propagates to the wrap tows.However,under compressive loading,the matrix damage initiates from the wrap tows in the model based on the fiber random distribution model. 展开更多
关键词 2d twill woven composites Clustering analysis Fiber distribution patterns Micro-mechanics failure theory Multiscale damage model
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Coupled 2D Hydrodynamic and Sediment Transport Modeling of Megaflood due to Glacier Dam-break in Altai Mountains,Southern Siberia 被引量:6
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作者 HUANG Wei CAO Zhi-xian +1 位作者 Paul CARLING Gareth PENDER 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2014年第6期1442-1453,共12页
One of the largest known megafloods on earth resulted from a glacier dam-break,which occurred during the Late Quaternary in the Altai Mountains in Southern Siberia.Computational modeling is one of the viable approache... One of the largest known megafloods on earth resulted from a glacier dam-break,which occurred during the Late Quaternary in the Altai Mountains in Southern Siberia.Computational modeling is one of the viable approaches to enhancing the understanding of the flood events.The computational domain of this flood is over 9460 km2 and about 3.784 × 106 cells are involved as a 50 m × 50 m mesh is used,which necessitates a computationally efficient model.Here the Open MP(Open Multiprocessing) technique is adopted to parallelize the code of a coupled 2D hydrodynamic and sediment transport model.It is shown that the computational efficiency is enhanced by over 80% due to the parallelization.The floods over both fixed and mobile beds are well reproduced with specified discharge hydrographs at the dam site.Qualitatively,backwater effects during the flood are resolved at the bifurcation between the Chuja and Katun rivers.Quantitatively,the computed maximum stage and thalweg are physically consistent with the field data of the bars and deposits.The effects of sediment transport and morphological evolution on the flood are considerable.Sensitivity analyses indicate that the impact of the peak discharge is significant,whilst those of the Manningroughness,medium sediment size and shape of the inlet discharge hydrograph are marginal. 展开更多
关键词 Glacier dam-break flood Well-balanced 2d hydrodynamic and sediment transport model Open MP parallelization
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Influence of formation heterogeneity on foam flooding performance using 2D and 3D models:an experimental study 被引量:3
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作者 Ling-Zhi Hu Lin Sun +2 位作者 Jin-Zhou Zhao Peng Wei Wan-Fen Pu 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2020年第3期734-748,共15页
The formation heterogeneity is considered as one of the major factors limiting the application of foam flooding.In this paper,influences of formation properties,such as permeability,permeability distribution,interlaye... The formation heterogeneity is considered as one of the major factors limiting the application of foam flooding.In this paper,influences of formation properties,such as permeability,permeability distribution,interlayer,sedimentary rhythm and 3D heterogeneity,on the mobility control capability and oil displacement efficiency of foam flooding,were systematically investigated using 2D homogeneous and 2D/3D heterogeneous models under 120°C and salinity of 20×10~4 mg/L.The flow resistance of foam was promoted as the permeability increased,which thus resulted in a considerable oil recovery behavior.In the scenario of the vertical heterogeneous formations,it was observed that the permeability of the high-permeable layer was crucial to foam mobility control,and the positive rhythm appeared favorable to improve the foam flooding performance.The additional oil recovery increased to about 40%.The interlayer was favorable for the increases in mobility reduction factor and oil recovery of foam flooding when the low permeability ratio was involved.For the 3D heterogeneous formations,foam could efficiently adjust the areal and vertical heterogeneity through mobility control and gravity segregation,and thus enhancing the oil recovery to 11%–14%.The results derived from this work may provide some insight for the field test designs of foam flooding. 展开更多
关键词 Foam flooding Permeability ratio 2d/3d models HETEROGENEITY Enhanced oil recovery
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