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Spatio-temporal variations in air/ground freezing–thawing indices along the China–Nepal Highway during 1987–2017
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作者 ZHANG Tianqi LUO Tao +2 位作者 ZHANG Chonglei YU Wenbing PEI Wansheng 《Journal of Mountain Science》 2025年第2期521-536,共16页
Freezing–thawing indices serve as a comprehensive indicator of both the duration of the freezing/thawing periods and the degree of cold and heat in a given region.In-depth analysis of the freezing-thawing indices not... Freezing–thawing indices serve as a comprehensive indicator of both the duration of the freezing/thawing periods and the degree of cold and heat in a given region.In-depth analysis of the freezing-thawing indices not only enables the prediction of permafrost distribution and its dynamic changes,but also facilitates the assessment of damage risk to infrastructure under freeze-thaw action.In this paper,the air/ground freezing–thawing indices from 1987 to 2017,based on daily temperature observations from meteorological stations along the China–Nepal Highway(CNH),were calculated,and their spatial and temporal variation patterns were analyzed.The results showed that:(1)Both mean annual air temperature and mean annual ground surface temperature along the CNH fluctuated upward,with climate tendency rates of 0.43 and 0.52.C·(10a)~(-1),respectively;(2)The number of days with negative air temperature and ground temperature showed fluctuated downward,with change rates of-8.6 and-8.3 d·(10a)~(-1),respectively;(3)The ranges of air freezing index,air thawing index,ground freezing index,and ground thawing index over the years were 157.05-458.88°C·d,2034.20-2560.73°C·d,108.78-396.83°C·d,and 3515.25-4288.67°C·d,respectively.The climate tendency rates were-5.42,10.22,-6.79,and 12.14.C·d·a-1,respectively,showing a general warming trend;(4)The air freezing index,ground freezing index,and ground thawing index changed abruptly in 1999,2000,and 2002,respectively,evincing significant changes after 2002.The research results can provide a basis for the risk assessment of freezing–thawing erosion and the prevention and control of permafrost engineering diseases along the CNH. 展开更多
关键词 China–Nepal Transportation Corridor China–Nepal Highway Freezing–thawing indices spatio–temporal change
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基于LSTM Spatio-temporal Transformer的电离层TEC预测模型
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作者 尹萍 王朝钰 《空间科学学报》 北大核心 2025年第5期1243-1255,共13页
电离层总电子含量(TEC)是研究电离层时空变化的重要参数.本文提出一种结合时空Transformer(STT)与长短期记忆网络(LSTM),并引入时空注意力机制的电离层TEC组合预测模型(LSTM-STT).利用2000-2023年国际GNSS服务欧洲定轨中心(CODE)提供的... 电离层总电子含量(TEC)是研究电离层时空变化的重要参数.本文提出一种结合时空Transformer(STT)与长短期记忆网络(LSTM),并引入时空注意力机制的电离层TEC组合预测模型(LSTM-STT).利用2000-2023年国际GNSS服务欧洲定轨中心(CODE)提供的中国及其周边地区的TEC数据,时间范围覆盖8766 d,采用滑动窗口方法对数据进行处理,模型以前48 h的TEC数据以及辅助参数作为输入,用于预测后24 h的TEC数据,据此构建了8764个样本.为验证模型性能,分别在2018年(太阳活动低年)和2023年(太阳活动高年)开展实验进行预测分析.研究结果表明,模型在2018年测试集上全部样本的均方根误差(RMSE)均值为1.3981 TECU,相对精度均值为90.2524%;在2023年测试集上全部样本的RMSE均值为4.6262 TECU,相对精度均值为89.9208%,说明模型在不同太阳活动状态下均表现出良好的预测性能. 展开更多
关键词 电离层TEC 时空Transformer 长短期记忆网络 预测模型
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基于DSTFN(Deep Spatio-Temprral Fusion Network)模型的热带气旋轨迹预测方法
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作者 方巍 杜娟 +1 位作者 齐媚涵 胡鹏昱 《热带气象学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第6期882-895,共14页
在全球气候变化背景下,越来越多的地区面临着热带气旋的威胁。因此,准确预测热带气旋的轨迹变化对于气象预警和灾害管理至关重要。然而,传统的基于深度学习的热带气旋预测方法在建模热带气旋的时空相关性方面存在局限。为此,提出了一种... 在全球气候变化背景下,越来越多的地区面临着热带气旋的威胁。因此,准确预测热带气旋的轨迹变化对于气象预警和灾害管理至关重要。然而,传统的基于深度学习的热带气旋预测方法在建模热带气旋的时空相关性方面存在局限。为此,提出了一种新的深度时空融合网络——DSTFN(Deep Spatio-Temporal Fusion Network)模型,以提高对热带气旋轨迹的预测精度和稳定性。构建了有效融合ConvNeXt(Convolutional Next)模型和门控循环单元的CaConvNeXt-GRU(Convolutional Block Attention Module Integrated with ConvNeXt and Gated Recurrent Unit)模型,以提取热带气旋三维时序数据中的复杂非线性时空特征。同时,引入了卷积块注意力模块,以自动聚焦不同等压面对热带气旋影响更大的特征。此外,设计了分阶段的训练策略,通过依次进行预训练、联合训练和整体训练实现了不同模块的有效融合。为了评估所设计的方法,在国际气候管理最佳路径档案和第五代大气再分析数据集上进行了大量实验。实验结果证明,在预测未来24 h的热带气旋轨迹时,相比于现有的基于深度学习的热带气旋轨迹预测模型,DSTFN模型的平均预测误差降低了约13.71 km。 展开更多
关键词 热带气旋 路径预测 DSTFN模型 CaConvNeXt-GRU模型 时空序列预测
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Spatio-Temporal Change of Dispersal Areas of Greater Kudu (Tragelaphus strepsiceros) in Lake Bogoria Landscape, Kenya
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作者 Beatrice Chepkoech Cheserek George Morara Ogendi Paul Mutua Makenzi 《Open Journal of Ecology》 2024年第3期183-198,共16页
Decline in wildlife populations is manifest globally, regionally and locally. A wildlife decline of 68% has been reported in Kenya’s rangelands with Baringo County experiencing more than 85% wildlife loss in the last... Decline in wildlife populations is manifest globally, regionally and locally. A wildlife decline of 68% has been reported in Kenya’s rangelands with Baringo County experiencing more than 85% wildlife loss in the last four decades. Greater Kudu (Tragelaphus strepsiceros) is endemic to Lake Bogoria landscape in Baringo County and constitutes a major tourist attraction for the region necessitating use of its photo on the County’s logo and thus a flagship species. Tourism plays a central role in Baringo County’s economy and is a major source of potential growth and employment creation. The study was carried out to assess spatio-temporal change of dispersal areas of Greater Kudu (GK) in Lake Bogoria landscape in the last four years for enhanced adaptive management and improved livelihoods. GK population distribution primary data collected in December 2022 and secondary data acquired from Lake Bogoria National Game Reserve (LBNGR) for 2019 and 2020 were digitized using in a Geographic Information System (GIS). Measures of dispersion and point pattern analysis (PPA) were used to analyze dispersal of GK population using GIS. Spatio-temporal change of GK dispersal in LBNR was evident thus the null hypothesis was rejected. It is recommended that anthropogenic activities contributing to GK’s habitat degradation be curbed by providing alternative livelihood sources and promoting community adoption of sustainable technologies for improved livelihoods. 展开更多
关键词 spatio-Temporal Change Dispersal Greater Kudu (Tragelaphus Strepsiceros) Point Pattern Analysis (PPA) GIS
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Traveling Wave Solutions of a SIR Epidemic Model with Spatio-Temporal Delay
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作者 Zhihe Hou 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2024年第10期3422-3438,共17页
In this paper, we studied the traveling wave solutions of a SIR epidemic model with spatial-temporal delay. We proved that this result is determined by the basic reproduction number R0and the minimum wave speed c*of t... In this paper, we studied the traveling wave solutions of a SIR epidemic model with spatial-temporal delay. We proved that this result is determined by the basic reproduction number R0and the minimum wave speed c*of the corresponding ordinary differential equations. The methods used in this paper are primarily the Schauder fixed point theorem and comparison principle. We have proved that when R0>1and c>c*, the model has a non-negative and non-trivial traveling wave solution. However, for R01and c≥0or R0>1and 0cc*, the model does not have a traveling wave solution. 展开更多
关键词 Susceptible-Infected-Recovered Epidemic Model Traveling Wave Solutions spatio-Temporal Delay Schauder Fixed Point Theorem
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Analysis on Spatio-temporal Distribution of Lightning in Dalian Area of China between 2007 and 2008 被引量:2
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作者 黄振 李万彪 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2010年第1期14-17,29,共5页
The cloud-to-ground lightning data between 2007 and 2008 were collected by lightning detection and location system,which was composed of four lightning detectors in four different sites of Dalian area.The spatio-tempo... The cloud-to-ground lightning data between 2007 and 2008 were collected by lightning detection and location system,which was composed of four lightning detectors in four different sites of Dalian area.The spatio-temporal distribution of cloud-to-ground lightning in surrounding areas of Dalian was analyzed from several aspects of polarity distribution,diurnal variation,lightning intensity and lightning density.The results showed that the number of negative lightning accounted for 93.9% of the total number of lightning,and its average lightning intensity was 27.99 kA.The number of positive lightning accounted for 6.1% of the total number of lightning,and its average lightning intensity was 35.56 kA.The diurnal variation of lightning frequency showed an obvious structure of two peaks (17:00-18:00 and 04:00-05:00) and two valleys (09:00-10:00 and 00:00-01:00).The number of lightning between May and September was 91.5% of the annual number,and the lightning occurred the most frequently between June and August.Most of positive and negative lightning was at the intensity of 15-35 kA,80.0% lower than 40 kA,and 99.3% lower than 100 kA.The lightning density had obvious regional differences in distribution,high in the Liaodong Bay and the Dalian Bay and low in inland areas.Therefore,coastal areas should attract more attention in lightning disaster defense in the surrounding areas of Dalian. 展开更多
关键词 Dalian area Lightning intensity spatio-temporal distribution China
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Spatio-temporal association analysis of county potential in the Pearl River Delta during 1990-2009 被引量:2
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作者 MEI Zhixiong XU Songjun OUYANG Jun 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2015年第3期319-336,共18页
According to the highway data and some socioeconomic data of 1990, 1994, 2000, 2005 and 2009 of county units in the Pearl River Delta, this paper measured urban integrated power of different counties in different year... According to the highway data and some socioeconomic data of 1990, 1994, 2000, 2005 and 2009 of county units in the Pearl River Delta, this paper measured urban integrated power of different counties in different years by factor analysis, and estimated each county's potential in each year by means of expanded potential model. Based on that, the spa- tio-temporal association patterns and evolution of county potential were analyzed using spa- tio-temporal autocorrelation methods, and the validity of spatio-temporal association patterns was verified by comparing with spatial association patterns and cross-correlation function. The main results are shown as follows: (1) The global spatio-temporal association of county po- tential showed a positive effect during the study period. But this positive effect was not strong, and it had been slowly strengthened during 1994-2005 and decayed during 2005-2009. The local spatio-temporal association characteristics of most counties' potential kept relatively stable and focused on a positive autocorrelation, however, there were obvious transformations in some counties among four types of local spatio-temporal association (i.e., HH, LL, HL and LH). (2) The distribution difference and its change of local spatio-temporal association types of county potential were obvious. Spatio-temporal HH type units were located in the central zone and Shenzhen-Dongguan region of the eastern zone, but the central spatio-temporal HH area shrunk to the Guangzhou-Foshan core metropolitan region only after 2000; the spatio-temporal LL area in the western zone kept relatively stable with a surface-shaped continuous distribu- tion pattern, new LL type units emerged in the south-central zone since 2005, the eastern LL area expanded during 1994-2000, but then gradually shrunk and scattered at the eastern edge in 2009; the spatio-temporal HL and LH areas varied significantly. (3) The local spa- tio-temporal association patterns of county potential among the three zones presented significant disparity, and obvious difference between the eastern and central zones tended to decrease, whereas that between the western zone and the central and eastern zones further expanded. (4) Spatio-temporal autocorrelation methods can efficiently mine the spatio-temporal asso- ciation patterns of county potential, and can better reveal the complicated spatio-temporal inter- action between counties than ESDA methods. 展开更多
关键词 county potential association spatio-temporal autocorrelation spatio-temporal Moran's I Pearl RiverDelta
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Spatio-temporal GIS和GPS优化集成在城市交通管制中的应用研究 被引量:1
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作者 朱洪军 郑方艳 《国土资源信息化》 2007年第4期33-37,共5页
本文基于城市交通日益恶化现状和3S集成的迅速发展,表述了Spatio-temporal GIS的定义、时空路径、人类活动的四种时空关系及其坐标系统模型的建立;并根据GPS空间定位、空间导航的原理和模型,将Spatio-temporal GIS和GPS的功能优化集成,... 本文基于城市交通日益恶化现状和3S集成的迅速发展,表述了Spatio-temporal GIS的定义、时空路径、人类活动的四种时空关系及其坐标系统模型的建立;并根据GPS空间定位、空间导航的原理和模型,将Spatio-temporal GIS和GPS的功能优化集成,阐述了其对城市交通信息的收集、分析、显示等功能;最后论述了Spatio-temporal GIS和GPS的集成对城市交通预警、报警、协调等管制作用。 展开更多
关键词 spatio-TEMPORAL GIS GPS 城市交通
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Characteristics,Processes,and Causes of the Spatio-temporal Variabilities of the East Asian Monsoon System 被引量:76
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作者 黄荣辉 陈际龙 +1 位作者 王林 林中达 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2012年第5期910-942,共33页
Recent advances in the study of the characteristics, processes, and causes of spatio-temporal variabilities of the East Asian monsoon (EAM) system are reviewed in this paper. The understanding of the EAM system has ... Recent advances in the study of the characteristics, processes, and causes of spatio-temporal variabilities of the East Asian monsoon (EAM) system are reviewed in this paper. The understanding of the EAM system has improved in many aspects: the basic characteristics of horizontal and vertical structures, the annual cycle of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) system and the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) system, the characteristics of the spatio-temporal variabilities of the EASM system and the EAWM system, and especially the multiple modes of the EAM system and their spatio-temporal variabilities. Some new results have also been achieved in understanding the atmosphere-ocean interaction and atmosphere-land interaction processes that affect the variability of the EAM system. Based on recent studies, the EAM system can be seen as more than a circulation system, it can be viewed as an atmosphere-ocean-land coupled system, namely, the EAM climate system. In addition, further progress has been made in diagnosing the internal physical mechanisms of EAM climate system variability, especially regarding the characteristics and properties of the East Asia-Pacific (EAP) teleconnection over East Asia and the North Pacific, the "Silk Road" teleconnection along the westerly jet stream in the upper troposphere over the Asian continent, and the dynamical effects of quasi-stationary planetary wave activity on EAM system variability. At the end of the paper, some scientific problems regarding understanding the EAM system variability are proposed for further study. 展开更多
关键词 East Asian monsoon system spatio-temporal variations climate system EAP teleconnection
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Spatiotemporal differentiation of changes in maize phenology in China from 1981 to 2010 被引量:13
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作者 LIU Yujie QIN Ya GE Quansheng 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2019年第3期351-362,共12页
Spatio-temporal changes in the differentiation characteristics of eight consecutive phenological periods and their corresponding lengths were quantitatively analyzed based on long-term phenological observation data fr... Spatio-temporal changes in the differentiation characteristics of eight consecutive phenological periods and their corresponding lengths were quantitatively analyzed based on long-term phenological observation data from 114 agro-meteorological stations in four maize growing zones in China. Results showed that average air temperature and growing degree-days (GDD) during maize growing seasons showed an increasing trend from 1981 to 2010, while precipitation and sunshine duration showed a decreasing trend. Maize phenology has significantly changed under climate change: spring maize phenology was mainly advanced, especially in northwest and southwest maize zones, while summer and spring-summer maize phenology was delayed. The delay trend observed for summer maize in the northwest maize zone was more pronounced than in the Huang-Huai spring-summer maize zone. Variations in maize phenology changed the corresponding growth stages length: the vegetative growth period (days from sowing date to tasseling date) was generally shortened in spring, summer, and spring-summer maize, although to different degrees, while the reproductive growth period (days from tasseling date to mature date) showed an extension trend. The entire growth period(days from sowing date to mature date) of spring maize was extended, but the entire growth periods of summer and spring-summer maize were shortened. 展开更多
关键词 MAIZE PHENOLOGY CLIMATE change spatio-TEMPORAL DIFFERENTIATION China
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Spatio-temporal evolution and the influencing factors of PM_(2.5) in China between 2000 and 2015 被引量:35
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作者 ZHOU Liang ZHOU Chenghu +3 位作者 YANG Fan CHE Lei WANG Bo SUN Dongqi 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2019年第2期253-270,共18页
High concentrations of PM_(2.5) are universally considered as a main cause for haze formation. Therefore, it is important to identify the spatial heterogeneity and influencing factors of PM_(2.5) concentrations for re... High concentrations of PM_(2.5) are universally considered as a main cause for haze formation. Therefore, it is important to identify the spatial heterogeneity and influencing factors of PM_(2.5) concentrations for regional air quality control and management. In this study, PM_(2.5) data from 2000 to 2015 was determined from an inversion of NASA atmospheric remote sensing images. Using geo-statistics, geographic detectors, and geo-spatial analysis methods, the spatio-temporal evolution patterns and driving factors of PM_(2.5) concentration in China were evaluated. The main results are as follows.(1) In general, the average concentration of PM_(2.5) in China increased quickly and reached its peak value in 2006; subsequently, concentrations remained between 21.84 and 35.08 μg/m3.(2) PM_(2.5) is strikingly heterogeneous in China, with higher concentrations in the north and east than in the south and west. In particular, areas with relatively high PM_(2.5) concentrations are primarily in four regions, the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain, Lower Yangtze River Delta Plain, Sichuan Basin, and Taklimakan Desert. Among them, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region has the highest concentration of PM_(2.5).(3) The center of gravity of PM_(2.5) has generally moved northeastward, which indicates an increasingly serious haze in eastern China. High-value PM_(2.5) concentrations have moved eastward, while low-value PM_(2.5) has moved westward.(4) Spatial autocorrelation analysis indicates a significantly positive spatial correlation. The "High-High" PM_(2.5) agglomeration areas are distributed in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain, Fenhe-Weihe River Basin, Sichuan Basin, and Jianghan Plain regions. The "Low-Low" PM_(2.5) agglomeration areas include Inner Mongolia and Heilongjiang, north of the Great Wall, Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, and Taiwan, Hainan, and Fujian and other southeast coastal cities and islands.(5) Geographic detection analysis indicates that both natural and anthropogenic factors account for spatial variations in PM_(2.5) concentration. Geographical location, population density, automobile quantity, industrial discharge, and straw burning are the main driving forces of PM_(2.5) concentration in China. 展开更多
关键词 air pollution PM_(2.5) HAZE spatio-temporal evolution environmental influence China
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Spatio-temporal distribution and transformation of cropland in geomorphologic regions of China during 1990–2015 被引量:12
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作者 GAO Xiaoyu CHENG Weiming +4 位作者 WANG Nan LIU Qiangyi MA Ting CHEN Yinjun ZHOU Chenghu 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2019年第2期180-196,共17页
Landforms are an important factor determining the spatial pattern of cropland through allocation of surface water and heat. Therefore, it is of great importance to study the change in cropland distribution from the pe... Landforms are an important factor determining the spatial pattern of cropland through allocation of surface water and heat. Therefore, it is of great importance to study the change in cropland distribution from the perspective of geomorphologic divisions. Based on China's multi-year land cover data(1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015) and geomorphologic regionalization data, we analyzed the change in cropland area and its distribution pattern in six geomorphologic regions of China over the period of 1990-2015 with the aid of GIS techniques. Our results showed that the total cropland area increased from 177.1 to 178.5 million ha with an average increase rate of 0.03%. Cropland area decreased in southern China and increased in northern China. Region I(Eastern hilly plains) had the highest cropland increase rate, while the cropland dynamic degree of Region IV(Northwestern middle and high mountains, basins and plateaus) was significantly higher than that of other regions. The barycenter of China's cropland shifted from northern China to the northwest over the 25-year period. Regions IV and I were the two regions with the greatest increase of cropland. Region II(Southeastern low and middle mountains) and Region V(Southwestern middle and low mountains, plateaus and basins) were the main decreasing cropland regions. The area of cropland remained almost unchanged in Region III(Northern China and Inner Mongolia eastern-central mountains and plateaus) and Region VI(Tibetan Plateau). The loss of cropland occurred mostly in Regions I and II as a result of growing industrialization and urbanization, while the increase of cropland occurred mainly in Region IV because of reclamation of grassland and other wasteland. These analyzing results would provide fundamental information for further studies of urban planning, ecosystem management, and natural resourcesconservation in China. 展开更多
关键词 spatio-TEMPORAL distribution TRANSFORMATION of CROPLAND geomorphologic REGIONS China
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Spatio-temporal changes of NDVI and its relation with climatic variables in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow rivers 被引量:25
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作者 YANG Zhaoping GAO Jixi +4 位作者 ZHOU Caiping SHI Peili ZHAO Lin SHEN Wenshou OUYANG Hua 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2011年第6期979-993,共15页
The source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow rivers are important water conservation areas of China. In recent years, ecological deterioration trend of the source regions caused by global climate change and unreasonab... The source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow rivers are important water conservation areas of China. In recent years, ecological deterioration trend of the source regions caused by global climate change and unreasonable resource development increased gradually. In this paper, the spatial distribution and dynamic change of vegetation cover in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow rivers are analyzed in recent 10 years based on 1-km resolution multi-temporal SPOTVGT-DN data from 1998 to 2007. Meanwhile, the cor- relation relationships between air temperature, precipitation, shallow ground temperature and NDVI, which is 3x3 pixel at the center of Wudaoliang, Tuotuohe, Qumalai, Maduo, and Dari meteorological stations were analyzed. The results show that the NDVI values in these two source regions are increasing in recent 10 years. Spatial distribution of NDVI which was consistent with hydrothermal condition decreased from southeast to northwest of the source regions. NDVI with a value over 0.54 was mainly distributed in the southeastern source region of the Yellow River, and most NDVI values in the northwestern source region of the Yangtze River were less than 0.22. Spatial changing trend of NDVI has great difference and most parts in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow rivers witnessed indistinct change. The regions with marked increasing trend were mainly distributed on the south side of the Tongtian River, some part of Keqianqu, Tongtian, Chumaer, and Tuotuo rivers in the source region of the Yangtze River and Xingsuhai, and southern Dari county in the source region of the Yellow River. The regions with very marked increasing tendency were mainly distributed on the south side of Tongtian Rriver and sporadically distributed in hinterland of the source re- gion of the Yangtze River. The north side of Tangula Range in the source region of the Yangtze River and Dari and Maduo counties in the source region of the Yellow River were areas in which NDVI changed with marked decreasing tendency. The NDVI change was positively correlated with average temperature, precipitation and shallow ground temperature. Shallow ground temperature had the greatest effect on NDVI change, and the second greatest factor influencing NDVI was average temperature. The correlation between NDVI and shallow ground temperature in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow rivers increased significantly with the depth of soil layer. 展开更多
关键词 source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow rivers NDVI spatio-temporal change temperature PRECIPITATION shallow ground temperature
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Spatio-Temporal Changes in the Rice Planting Area and Their Relationship to Climate Change in Northeast China: A Model-Based Analysis 被引量:15
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作者 XIA Tian WU Wen-bin +5 位作者 ZHOU Qing-bo YU Qiang-yi Peter H Verburg YANG Peng LU Zhong-jun TANG Hua-jun 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2014年第7期1575-1585,共11页
Rice is one of the most important grain crops in Northeast China (NEC) and its cultivation is sensitive to climate change. This study aimed to explore the spatio-temporal changes in the NEC rice planting area over t... Rice is one of the most important grain crops in Northeast China (NEC) and its cultivation is sensitive to climate change. This study aimed to explore the spatio-temporal changes in the NEC rice planting area over the period of 1980-2010 and to analyze their relationship to climate change. To do so, the CLUE-S (conversion of land use and its effects at small region extent) model was ifrst updated and used to simulate dynamic changes in the rice planting area in NEC to understand spatio-temporal change trends during three periods: 1980-1990, 1990-2000 and 2000-2010. The changing results in individual periods were then linked to climatic variables to investigate the climatic drivers of these changes. Results showed that the NEC rice planting area expanded quickly and increased by nearly 4.5 times during 1980-2010. The concentration of newly planted rice areas in NEC constantly moved northward and the changes were strongly dependent on latitude. This conifrmed that climate change, increases in temperature in particular, greatly inlfuenced the shift in the rice planting area. The shift in the north limit of the NEC rice planting area generally followed a 1&#176;C isoline migration pattern, but with an obvious time-lag effect. These ifndings can help policy makers and crop producers take proper adaptation measures even when exposed to the global warming situation in NEC. 展开更多
关键词 spatio-temporal change rice planting area climate change Northeast China
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China's economic development stage and its spatiotemporal evolution: A prefectural-level analysis 被引量:16
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作者 QI Yuanjing YANG Yu JIN Fengjun 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2013年第2期297-314,共18页
As important mechanisms of regional strategy and policy, prefecture-level regions have played an increasingly significant role in the development of China's economy. However, little research has grasped the essence o... As important mechanisms of regional strategy and policy, prefecture-level regions have played an increasingly significant role in the development of China's economy. However, little research has grasped the essence of the economic development stage and the spatio-temporal evolution process at the prefecture level; this may lead to biased policies and their ineffective implementations. Based on Chenery's economic development theory, this paper identifies China's economic development stages at both national and prefectural levels. Both the Global Moran I index and the Getis-Ord Gi* index are employed to investigate the spatio-temporal evolution of China's economic development from 1990 to 2010. Major conclusions can be drawn as follows. (1) China's economic development is generally in the state of agglomeration. It entered the Primary Production Stage in 1990, and the Middle Industrialized Stage in 2010, with a 'balanced-unbalanced-gradually rebalanced' pattern in the process. (2) China's rapid economic growth experienced a spatial shift from the coastal areas to the the inland areas. Most advanced cities in mid-western China can be roughly categorized into regional hub cities and resource-dependent cities. (3) Hot spots in China's economy moved northward and westward. The interactions between cities and prefectures became weaker in Eastern China, while cities and prefectures in Central and Western China were still at the stage of individual development, with limited effect on the surrounding cities. (4) While the overall growth rate of China's economy has gradually slowed down during the past two decades, the growth rate of cities and prefectures in Central and Western China was much faster than those in coastal areas. (5) Areas rich in resources, such as Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia, have become the new hot spots of economic growth in recent years. For these regions, however, more attention needs to be paid to their unbalanced industrial structures and the lagging social development against the backdrop of the rapid economic growth, driven predominantly by the exploitation of resources. 展开更多
关键词 economic development stage spatial pattern spatio-temporal evolution prefectural-level regions
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Spatio-temporal Variability of Northern Hemipheric Sea Level Pressure(SLP)and Precipitation over the Mid-to-Low Reaches of the Yangtze River 被引量:13
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作者 韩雪 魏凤英 +1 位作者 Yves M.TOURRE 董文杰 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第3期458-466,共9页
The spatio-temporal variability of Northern Hemisphere Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and precipitation over the mid-to-low reaches of the Yangtze River (PMLY) is analyzed jointly using the multi-taper/singular value de... The spatio-temporal variability of Northern Hemisphere Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and precipitation over the mid-to-low reaches of the Yangtze River (PMLY) is analyzed jointly using the multi-taper/singular value decomposition method (MTM-SVD). Statistically significant narrow frequency bands are obtained from the local fractional variance (LFV) spectrum. Significant interdecadal (i.e., 16-to-18-year periods) and interannual (i.e., 3-to-6-year periods) signals are identified. Moreover, a significant quasi-biennial signal is identified but only for PMLY data. The spatial joint evolution of patterns obtained for peaks in the LFV spectrum sheds light on relationships between SLP and PMLY: the Arctic Oscillation (AO) modulates the variability of the PMLY while the interannual variability of PMLY is in phase with the Northern Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Northern Pacific Oscillation (NPO). 展开更多
关键词 MTM-SVD coupled spatio-temporal characteristics
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Spatio-temporal dynamics of maize cropping system in Northeast China between 1980 and 2010 by using spatial production allocation model 被引量:13
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作者 TAN Jieyang YANG Peng +6 位作者 LIU Zhenhuan WU Wenbin ZHANG Li LI Zhipeng YOU Liangzhi TANG Huajun LI Zhengguo 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2014年第3期397-410,共14页
Understanding crop patterns and their changes on regional scale is a critical re- quirement for projecting agro-ecosystem dynamics. However, tools and methods for mapping the distribution of crop area and yield are st... Understanding crop patterns and their changes on regional scale is a critical re- quirement for projecting agro-ecosystem dynamics. However, tools and methods for mapping the distribution of crop area and yield are still lacking. Based on the cross-entropy theory, a spatial production allocation model (SPAM) has been developed for presenting spa- tio-temporal dynamics of maize cropping system in Northeast China during 1980-2010. The simulated results indicated that (1) maize sown area expanded northwards to 48~N before 2000, after that the increased sown area mainly occurred in the central and southern parts of Northeast China. Meanwhile, maize also expanded eastwards to 127°E and lower elevation (less than 100 m) as well as higher elevation (mainly distributed between 200 m and 350 m); (2) maize yield has been greatly promoted for most planted area of Northeast China, espe- cially in the planted zone between 42°N and 48°N, while the yield increase was relatively homogeneous without obvious longitudinal variations for whole region; (3) maize planting density increased gradually to a moderately high level over the investigated period, which reflected the trend of aggregation of maize cultivation driven by market demand. 展开更多
关键词 spring maize spatial production allocation model spatio-temporal pattern Northeast China
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Spatio-temporal patterns of drought in North Xinjiang, China, 1961–2012 based on meteorological drought index 被引量:8
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作者 WU Yanfeng Batur BAKE +1 位作者 ZHANG Jusong Hamid RASULOV 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2015年第4期527-543,共17页
Drought, which is one of the most frequently occurring severe hazards with long time scales and cov- ering wide geographical areas, is a natural phenomenon resulting in significant economic losses in agriculture and i... Drought, which is one of the most frequently occurring severe hazards with long time scales and cov- ering wide geographical areas, is a natural phenomenon resulting in significant economic losses in agriculture and industry. Drought is caused by an imbalance between the inputs of and the demand for water which is insufficient to meet the demands of human activities and the eco-environment. As a major arid and semi-arid area and an important agricultural region in Northwest China, North Xinjiang (NX) shows great vulnerability to drought. In this paper, the characteristics of inter-annual and seasonal drought were analyzed in terms of drought occurrence and drought coverage, by using the composite index of meteorological drought and the data of daily precipitation, air temperature, wind speed, relative humidity and sunshine duration from 38 meteorological stations during the period 1961-2012. Trend analysis, wavelet analysis and empirical orthogonal function were also applied to investigate change trend, period and regional characteristics, respectively. In NX, annual and seasonal drought occurrence and drought coverage all showed a decreasing trend that was most significant in winter (with rates of-0.26 month/10a and -15.46%, respectively), and drought occurrence in spring and summer were more frequent than that in autumn and winter. Spatially, drought was severe in eastern regions but mild in western regions of NX. Annual and seasonal drought occurrence at 38 meteorological stations displayed decreasing trends and were most significant in "Shi- hezi-Urumqi-Changji", which can help to alleviate severe drought hazards for local agricultural production and improve human livelihood. NX can be approximately classified into three sub-regions (severe drought region, moder- ate drought region and mild drought region), which were calculated from annual drought frequencies. The cross wavelet transform suggested that SOl (Southern Oscillation Index), AOI (Arctic Oscillation Index), AAOI (Antarctic Oscillation Index), PAOI (Pacific/North American Oscillation Index) and NAOI (North Atlantic Oscillation Index) have significant correlation with the variation of drought occurrence in NX. To prevent and mitigate the occurrence of drought disasters in NX, agricultural and government managers should pay more attention to those drought events that occur in spring and summer. 展开更多
关键词 DROUGHT spatio-temporal pattern drought indices North Xinjiang
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Spatio-Temporal Changes of Soil Salinity in Arid Areas of South Xinjiang Using Electromagnetic Induction 被引量:10
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作者 LI Xiao-ming YANG Jing-song +2 位作者 LIU Mei-xian LIU Guang-ming YU Mei 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2012年第8期1365-1376,共12页
The aim of this paper was to research the spatio-temporal changes in total soluble salt content (TS) in a typical arid region of South Xinjiang, China, where the climate is arid and soil salinization happens easily.... The aim of this paper was to research the spatio-temporal changes in total soluble salt content (TS) in a typical arid region of South Xinjiang, China, where the climate is arid and soil salinization happens easily. The total soluble salt content was interpreted by measurements made in the horizontal mode with EM38 and EM31. The electromagnetic induction (EM) surveys were made three times with the apparent soil electrical conductivity (ECa) measurements taken at 3 873 locations in Nov. 2008, 4 807 locations in Apr. 2009 and 6 324 locations in Nov. 2009, respectively. For interpreting the ECa measurements into total soluble salt content, calibtion sites were needed for EM survey of each time, e.g., 66 sites were selected in Nov. 2008 to measure ECa, and soils-core samples were taken by different depth layers of 0-10, 10-20 and 20-40 cm at the same time. On every time duplicate samples were taken at five sites to allevaite the local-scale variability, and soil temperatures in different layers through the profiles were also measured. Factors including TS, pH, water content, bulk density were analyzed by lab experiments. ECa calibration equations were obtained by linear regression analysis, which indicated that soil salinity was one primary concern to ECa with a determination coefficient of 0.792 in 0-10 cm layer, 0.711 in 10-20 cm layer and 0.544 in 20-40 cm layer, respectively. The maps of spatial distribution were predicted by Kriging interpolation, which showed that the high soil salinity was located near the drainage canal, which validated the trend effect caused by the irrigation canal and the drainage canal. And by comparing the soil salinity in different layers, the soluble salt accumulated to the top soil surface only in the area where the soil salinization was serious, and in the other areas, the soil salinity trended to increase from the top soil surface to 40 cm depth. Temporal changes showed that the soil salinity in November was higher than that in April, and the soil salinization trended to aggravate, especially in the top soil layer of 0-10 cm. 展开更多
关键词 spatio-temporal changes soil salinity South Xinjiang electromagnetic induction (EM) KRIGING
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Spatio-temporal analysis of urbanization and land and water resources efficiency of oasis cities in Tarim River Basin 被引量:13
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作者 YANG Yu LIU Yi 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2014年第3期509-525,共17页
This paper examines the spatial pattern of land and water resources as well as urbanization and their interactions in the Tarim River Basin, Xinjiang, China. In order to do so, we extract the data associated with effi... This paper examines the spatial pattern of land and water resources as well as urbanization and their interactions in the Tarim River Basin, Xinjiang, China. In order to do so, we extract the data associated with efficiency of land and water resources and urbanization for the years of 1995, 2000, 2005 and 2008. Specifically the paper investigates the extent to which agglomeration of population and economic activities varies geographically and inter- plays with spatial pattern of resources efficiency through computation of Global Moran's I index, Getis-Ord Gi* index and a coordinated development model. The method used provides clear evidence that urbanization, land and water resources efficiency have shown uneven spatial pattern due to oasis distribution, climate, and initial phase of urban development. Some conclusions can be drawn as follows. (1) Agglomeration and dispersion of urbanization are not consistent with those of land and water resources efficiency. (2) Evolution of the hot and cold spots of urbanization, and land and water resources efficiency, in different trajecto- ries, indicate that there are no significant interactions between them. (3) The evidence that numbers of hot and cold spots of the three factors present varying structures reveals the dominance of unequal urban development in the study area. (4) Significant differences are also found between sub-river basins in terms of the three factors, which is a reflection of the complex physical geography of the area. (5) The degree of coordinated development of cities in the Tarim River Basin is generally low in part as a reflection of difference in spatial patterns of the three factors. It is also shown that the pattern of the degree of coordinated development is relatively stable compared with evolution of hot and cold spots of the three factors. 展开更多
关键词 ESDA Tarim River Basin oasis cities land and water resources efficiency spatio-temporal variation
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