The study aims to investigate county-level variations of the COVID-19 disease and vaccination rate. The COVID-19 data was acquired from usafact.org, and the vaccination records were acquired from the Ohio vaccination ...The study aims to investigate county-level variations of the COVID-19 disease and vaccination rate. The COVID-19 data was acquired from usafact.org, and the vaccination records were acquired from the Ohio vaccination tracker dashboard. GIS-based exploratory analysis was conducted to select four variables (poverty, black race, population density, and vaccination) to explain COVID-19 occurrence during the study period. Consequently, spatial statistical techniques such as Moran’s I, Hot Spot Analysis, Spatial Lag Model (SLM), and Spatial Error Model (SEM) were used to explain the COVID-19 occurrence and vaccination rate across the 88 counties in Ohio. The result of the Local Moran’s I analysis reveals that the epicenters of COVID-19 and vaccination followed the same patterns. Indeed, counties like Summit, Franklin, Fairfield, Hamilton, and Medina were categorized as epicenters for both COVID-19 occurrence and vaccination rate. The SEM seems to be the best model for both COVID-19 and vaccination rates, with R2 values of 0.68 and 0.70, respectively. The GWR analysis proves to be better than Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), and the distribution of R2 in the GWR is uneven throughout the study area for both COVID-19 cases and vaccinations. Some counties have a high R2 of up to 0.70 for both COVID-19 cases and vaccinations. The outcomes of the regression analyses show that the SEM models can explain 68% - 70% of COVID-19 cases and vaccination across the entire counties within the study period. COVID-19 cases and vaccination rates exhibited significant positive associations with black race and poverty throughout the study area.展开更多
Energy planning and solar plant site selections are vital strategic decisions and one of the most complex executive challenges in the interconnected procedures.It is essential to study the potential renewable energy s...Energy planning and solar plant site selections are vital strategic decisions and one of the most complex executive challenges in the interconnected procedures.It is essential to study the potential renewable energy sources in Afghanistan to select the most sustainable sites for solar power production in populated cities.This study is based on the combination of a Geographic Information System,Remote sensing,and multi-criteria decision-making technique to evaluate the optimal placement of photovoltaic solar power plants in the Kabul province,capital of Afghanistan.Two models,Analytical Hierarchy Process(AHP)and Analytical Network Process(ANP),were used to select suitable areas for establishing a solar power plant.The application of the proposed model has been made possible by integrating four constraints such as climate,environmental,topography,and economical which comprised twelve criteria:solar radiation,yearly average rainfall,land slope,aspect,land use,dust,geology and proximity to faults,main roads,Normalized difference vegetation index,urban areas river and water bodies.The findings indicate that there is no considerable difference between the results of both models since both models identified more than 20%of the total area of Kabul province in suitable classes.Outputs maps conclude that northern and southern parts of Kabul city and the eastern part of Kabul province came to the range of suitable areas.It can be concluded that Kabul province is a source of sufficient potential for producing solar electricity.The results of this study can support the plans of the Afghanistan government in solar energy production and the implementation of photovoltaic power plants.展开更多
It is our goal to make today’s and future cities smart,sustainable and resilient.In order to achieve this,it is fundamental to understand how each city works,to formalize the knowledge gained and to apply it to a cit...It is our goal to make today’s and future cities smart,sustainable and resilient.In order to achieve this,it is fundamental to understand how each city works,to formalize the knowledge gained and to apply it to a city model as the base for simulations that can generate future scenarios with a high level of probability.The nature of this model,which must cover design,qualitative and quantitative aspects,has changed over time.In this study,we focus on the role of the spatial dimension and of geometry in a city model.Emerging from being a dominating generative force in ancient cities,spatial modeling has developed into an underlying description language for present and future cities to define functions and properties of the city in space and time.The example of the stocks and flows model applied to the city depicts where and how spatial modeling influences the design,construction and performance of the future Smart City.展开更多
The increasing frequency of extreme weather events raises the likelihood of forest wildfires.Therefore,establishing an effective fire prediction model is vital for protecting human life and property,and the environmen...The increasing frequency of extreme weather events raises the likelihood of forest wildfires.Therefore,establishing an effective fire prediction model is vital for protecting human life and property,and the environment.This study aims to build a prediction model to understand the spatial characteristics and piecewise effects of forest fire drivers.Using monthly grid data from 2006 to 2020,a modeling study analyzed fire occurrences during the September to April fire season in Fujian Province,China.We compared the fitting performance of the logistic regression model(LRM),the generalized additive logistic model(GALM),and the spatial generalized additive logistic model(SGALM).The results indicate that SGALMs had the best fitting results and the highest prediction accuracy.Meteorological factors significantly impacted forest fires in Fujian Province.Areas with high fire incidence were mainly concentrated in the northwest and southeast.SGALMs improved the fitting effect of fire prediction models by considering spatial effects and the flexible fitting ability of nonlinear interpretation.This model provides piecewise interpretations of forest wildfire occurrences,which can be valuable for relevant departments and will assist forest managers in refining prevention measures based on temporal and spatial differences.展开更多
In this paper,we consider the following spatial Solow-Swan model with density-dependent motion■whereσ>0,α∈(0,1)andΩ⊂ℝn(n≥1)is a bounded domain with smooth boundary andϕ∈C3([0,∞)),ϕ(s)>0 for all s≥0.We p...In this paper,we consider the following spatial Solow-Swan model with density-dependent motion■whereσ>0,α∈(0,1)andΩ⊂ℝn(n≥1)is a bounded domain with smooth boundary andϕ∈C3([0,∞)),ϕ(s)>0 for all s≥0.We prove that if■then there exists a unique time-globally classical solution(u,v)for all n≥1,such a solution is bounded and satisfies u≥0,v>0.Moreover,we show that the above solution will convergence to the steady state(1,1)exponentially in L^(∞)as t→∞.展开更多
Cities are important carriers of green innovation.The foundation for accelerating China's ecological civilization construction and fostering regionally coordinated and sustainable development is quantitative analy...Cities are important carriers of green innovation.The foundation for accelerating China's ecological civilization construction and fostering regionally coordinated and sustainable development is quantitative analysis of the spatial evolution pattern and influencing factors of urban green innovation,as well as revealing the development differences between regions.This study's research object includes 284 Chinese cities that are at the prefecture level or above,excluding Xizang,Hong Kong,Macao,and Taiwan of China due to incomplete data.The spatial evolution characteristics of urban green innovation in China between 2005 and 2021 are comprehensively described using the gravity center model and boxplot analysis.The factors that affect urban green innovation are examined using the spatial Durbin model(SDM).The findings indicate that:1)over the period of the study,the gravity center of urban green innovation in China has always been distributed in the Henan-Anhui border region,showing a migration characteristic of‘initially shifting northeast,subsequently southeast',and the migration speed has gradually increased.2)Although there are also noticeable disparities in east-west,the north-south gap is the main cause of the shift in China's urban green innovation gravity center.The primary areas of urban green innovation in China are the cities with green innovation levels higher than the median.3)The main influencing factor of urban green innovation is the industrial structure level.The effect of the financial development level,the government intervention level,and the openness to the outside world degree on urban green innovation is weakened in turn.The environmental regulation degree is not truly influencing urban green innovation.The impact of various factors on green innovation across cities of different sizes,exhibiting heterogeneity.This study is conducive to broadening the academic community's comprehension of the spatial evolution characteristics of urban green innovation and offering a theoretical framework for developing policies for the all-encompassing green transformation of social and economic growth.展开更多
Smart cities,a new kind of urbanization,offer a means of achieving the condition in which environmental conservation and economic growth are mutually beneficial.As a result,it is important to think about whether and h...Smart cities,a new kind of urbanization,offer a means of achieving the condition in which environmental conservation and economic growth are mutually beneficial.As a result,it is important to think about whether and how the development of smart cities might support the high-quality growth of urban economies.Based on the panel data of 163 prefecture-level cities in China from 2009–2018,the green total factor productivity(GTFP)of each prefecture-level city is measured using the SBM-GML model,and the appropriate spatial econometric model is screened by various types of tests.The spatial effect of smart city construction on GFTP is studied,and it is concluded that the pilot cities have a significant positive spatial spillover effect.The decomposition econometric model also shows that the pilot cities have a significant positive spatial spillover effect,and it also indicating that the smart city construction can also drive the surrounding cities to jointly improve the quality of economic development.Finally,the robustness of the spatial effect of smart city policy is also verified by changing the spatial measurement model and the type of spatial weight matrix,which also shows that the results of the spatial spillover effect of smart city construction are reliable.展开更多
Modeling the spatial distribution of soil heavy metals is important in determining the safety of contaminated soils for agricultural use. This study utilized 60 topsoil samples (0 - 30 cm), multispectral images (Senti...Modeling the spatial distribution of soil heavy metals is important in determining the safety of contaminated soils for agricultural use. This study utilized 60 topsoil samples (0 - 30 cm), multispectral images (Sentinel-2), spectral indices, and ancillary data to model the spatial distribution of heavy metals in the soils along the Nairobi River. The model was generated using the Random Forest package in R. Using R2 to assess the prediction accuracy, the Random Forest model generated satisfactory results for all the elements. It also ranked the variables in order of their importance in the overall prediction. Spectral indices were the most important variables within the rankings. From the predicted topsoil maps, there were high concentrations of Cadmium on the easterly end of the river. Cadmium is an impurity in detergents, and this section is in close proximity to the Nairobi water sewerage plant, which could be a direct source of Cadmium. Some farms had Zinc levels which were above the World Health Organization recommended limit. The Random Forest model performed satisfactorily. However, the predictions can be improved further if the spatial resolutions of the various variables are increased and through the addition of more predictor variables.展开更多
High quality infrastructure is crucial to economic success and the sustainability of society.Infrastructures for services,such as transport,energy,and water supply,also have long lead times,and therefore require effec...High quality infrastructure is crucial to economic success and the sustainability of society.Infrastructures for services,such as transport,energy,and water supply,also have long lead times,and therefore require effective long-term planning.In this paper,we report on work undertaken as part of the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium to construct long-term models of demographic change which can help to inform infrastructure planning for transport,energy,and water as well as IT and waste.A set of demographic microsimulation models(MSM),which are spatially disaggregate to the geography of UK Local Authorities,provides a high level of detail for understanding the drivers of changing patterns of demand.However,although robust forecasting models are required to support projections based on the notion of‘predict-and-provide,’the potential for behavioral adaptation is also an important consideration in this context.In this paper,we therefore establish a framework for linkage of a MSM of household composition,with behavior relating to the consumption of energy.We will investigate variations in household energy consumption within and between different household groups.An appropriate range of household types will be defined through the application of decision trees to consumption data from a detailed survey produced by the UK Department of Energy and Climate Change.From this,analysis conclusions will be drawn about the impact of changing demographics at both household and individual level,and about the potential effect of behavioral adjustments for different household groups.展开更多
By analyzing the topographic features of past landslides since 1980s and the main land-cover types （including change information） in landslide-prone area, modeled spatial distribution of landslide hazard in upper Mi...By analyzing the topographic features of past landslides since 1980s and the main land-cover types （including change information） in landslide-prone area, modeled spatial distribution of landslide hazard in upper Minjiang River Basin was studied based on spatial analysis of GIS in this paper. Results of GIS analysis showed that landslide occurrence in this region closely related to topographic feature. Most areas with high hazard probability were deep-sheared gorge. Most of them in investigation occurred assembly in areas with elevation lower than 3 000 m, due to fragile topographic conditions and intensive human disturbances. Land-cover type, including its change information, was likely an important environmental factor to trigger landslide. Destroy of vegetation driven by increase of population and its demands augmented the probability of landslide in steep slope.展开更多
This study used spatial autoregression(SAR)model and geographically weighted regression(GWR)model to model the spatial patterns of farmland density and its temporal change in Gucheng County,Hubei Province,China in 199...This study used spatial autoregression(SAR)model and geographically weighted regression(GWR)model to model the spatial patterns of farmland density and its temporal change in Gucheng County,Hubei Province,China in 1999 and 2009,and discussed the difference between global and local spatial autocorrelations in terms of spatial heterogeneity and non-stationarity.Results showed that strong spatial positive correlations existed in the spatial distributions of farmland density,its temporal change and the driving factors,and the coefficients of spatial autocorrelations decreased as the spatial lag distance increased.SAR models revealed the global spatial relations between dependent and independent variables,while the GWR model showed the spatially varying fitting degree and local weighting coefficients of driving factors and farmland indices(i.e.,farmland density and temporal change).The GWR model has smooth process when constructing the farmland spatial model.The coefficients of GWR model can show the accurate influence degrees of different driving factors on the farmland at different geographical locations.The performance indices of GWR model showed that GWR model produced more accurate simulation results than other models at different times,and the improvement precision of GWR model was obvious.The global and local farmland models used in this study showed different characteristics in the spatial distributions of farmland indices at different scales,which may provide the theoretical basis for farmland protection from the influence of different driving factors.展开更多
The ionosphere, as the largest and least predictable error source, its behavior cannot be observed at all places simultaneously. The confidence bound, called the grid ionospheric vertical error(GIVE), can only be dete...The ionosphere, as the largest and least predictable error source, its behavior cannot be observed at all places simultaneously. The confidence bound, called the grid ionospheric vertical error(GIVE), can only be determined with the aid of a threat model which is used to restrict the expected ionospheric behavior. However, the spatial threat model at present widespread used, which is based on fit radius and relative centroid metric(RCM), is too conservative or the resulting GIVEs will be too large and will reduce the availability of satellite-based augmentation system(SBAS). In this paper, layered two-dimensional parameters, the vertical direction double RCMs, are introduced based on the spatial variability of the ionosphere. Comparing with the traditional threat model, the experimental results show that the user ionospheric vertical error(UIVE) average reduction rate reaches 16%. And the 95% protection level of conterminous United States(CONUS) is 28%, even under disturbed days, which reaches about 5% reduction rates.The results show that the system service performance has been improved better.展开更多
Nitrate nitrogen(NO_(3)^(-)N)from agricultural activities and in industrial wastewater has become the main source of groundwater pollution,which has raised widespread concerns,particularly in arid and semi-arid river ...Nitrate nitrogen(NO_(3)^(-)N)from agricultural activities and in industrial wastewater has become the main source of groundwater pollution,which has raised widespread concerns,particularly in arid and semi-arid river basins with little water that meets relevant standards.This study aimed to investigate the performance of spatial and non-spatial regression models in modeling nitrate pollution in a semi-intensive farming region of Iran.To perform the modeling of the groundwater's NO_(3)^(-)N concentration,both natural and anthropogenic factors affecting groundwater NO_(3)^(-)N were selected.The results of Moran's I test showed that groundwater nitrate concentration had a significant spatial dependence on the density of wells,distance from streams,total annual precipitation,and distance from roads in the study area.This study provided a way to estimate nitrate pollution using both natural and anthropogenic factors in arid and semi-arid areas where only a few factors are available.Spatial regression methods with spatial correlation structures are effective tools to support spatial decision-making in water pollution control.展开更多
Temporal and spatial scales play important roles in fishery ecology,and an inappropriate spatio-temporal scale may result in large errors in modeling fish distribution.The objective of this study is to evaluate the ro...Temporal and spatial scales play important roles in fishery ecology,and an inappropriate spatio-temporal scale may result in large errors in modeling fish distribution.The objective of this study is to evaluate the roles of spatio-temporal scales in habitat suitability modeling,with the western stock of winter-spring cohort of neon flying squid （Ornmastrephes bartramii） in the northwest Pacific Ocean as an example.In this study,the fishery-dependent data from the Chinese Mainland Squid Jigging Technical Group and sea surface temperature （SST） from remote sensing during August to October of 2003-2008 were used.We evaluated the differences in a habitat suitability index model resulting from aggregating data with 36 different spatial scales with a combination of three latitude scales （0.5°,1 ° and 2°）,four longitude scales （0.5°,1°,2° and 4°）,and three temporal scales （week,fortnight,and month）.The coefficients of variation （CV） of the weekly,biweekly and monthly suitability index （SI） were compared to determine which temporal and spatial scales of SI model are more precise.This study shows that the optimal temporal and spatial scales with the lowest CV are month,and 0.5° latitude and 0.5° longitude for O.bartramii in the northwest Pacific Ocean.This suitability index model developed with an optimal scale can be cost-effective in improving forecasting fishing ground and requires no excessive sampling efforts.We suggest that the uncertainty associated with spatial and temporal scales used in data aggregations needs to be considered in habitat suitability modeling.展开更多
Estimating safety effectiveness of roadway improvements and countermeasures,using cross-sectional models,generally requires large amounts of data such as road geometric and traffic-related characteristics at road segm...Estimating safety effectiveness of roadway improvements and countermeasures,using cross-sectional models,generally requires large amounts of data such as road geometric and traffic-related characteristics at road segment levels.These models do not consider all confounding crash contributory factors such as driving culture and environmental conditions at the segment level due to a lack of readily available data.This may result in inaccurate models representing actual conditions at road segment levels,followed by erroneous estimations of safety effectiveness.To minimize the effect of not including such variables,this study develops a new methodology to estimate safety effectiveness of roadway countermeasures,based on generalized linear mixed models,assuming zeroinflated Poisson distribution for the response,and adjusting for spatial autocorrelation using the spatial random effect.The Bayesian approach,with Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation,was used to make inference on this model with computational efficiency.Results showed that incorporating a spatial random effect into the models provided better model fit than non-spatial models;hence,estimated safety effectiveness based on such models is more accurate.The proposed approach is a methodological advancement in traffic safety,which allows evaluation of safety effectiveness or roadway improvements when data are not readily available.展开更多
Presented a study on the design and implementation of spatial data modelingand application in the spatial data organization and management of a coalfield geologicalenvironment database.Based on analysis of a number of...Presented a study on the design and implementation of spatial data modelingand application in the spatial data organization and management of a coalfield geologicalenvironment database.Based on analysis of a number of existing data models and takinginto account the unique data structure and characteristic, methodology and key techniquesin the object-oriented spatial data modeling were proposed for the coalfield geological environment.The model building process was developed using object-oriented technologyand the Unified Modeling Language (UML) on the platform of ESRI geodatabase datamodels.A case study of spatial data modeling in UML was presented with successful implementationin the spatial database of the coalfield geological environment.The modelbuilding and implementation provided an effective way of representing the complexity andspecificity of coalfield geological environment spatial data and an integrated managementof spatial and property data.展开更多
The spread of an advantageous mutation through a population is of fundamental interest in population genetics. While the classical Moran model is formulated for a well-mixed population, it has long been recognized tha...The spread of an advantageous mutation through a population is of fundamental interest in population genetics. While the classical Moran model is formulated for a well-mixed population, it has long been recognized that in real-world applications, the population usually has an explicit spatial structure which can significantly influence the dynamics. In the context of cancer initiation in epithelial tissue, several recent works have analyzed the dynamics of advantageous mutant spread on integer lattices, using the biased voter model from particle systems theory. In this spatial version of the Moran model, individuals first reproduce according to their fitness and then replace a neighboring individual. From a biological standpoint, the opposite dynamics, where individuals first die and are then replaced by a neighboring individual according to its fitness, are equally relevant. Here, we investigate this death-birth analogue of the biased voter model. We construct the process mathematically, derive the associated dual process, establish bounds on the survival probability of a single mutant, and prove that the process has an asymptotic shape. We also briefly discuss alternative birth-death and death-birth dynamics, depending on how the mutant fitness advantage affects the dynamics. We show that birth-death and death-birth formulations of the biased voter model are equivalent when fitness affects the former event of each update of the model, whereas the birth-death model is fundamentally different from the death-birth model when fitness affects the latter event.展开更多
This study aims to reveal the spatial structural characteristics of 1,652 Ethnic-Minority Villages(EMV)in China and to analyze the mechanisms driving their spatial heterogeneity.EMV are a special type of settlement sp...This study aims to reveal the spatial structural characteristics of 1,652 Ethnic-Minority Villages(EMV)in China and to analyze the mechanisms driving their spatial heterogeneity.EMV are a special type of settlement space that preserve a large number of historical traces of the ethnic culture of ancient China.They are important carriers of China’s excellent traditional culture and are key to the implementation of rural revitalization strategies.In this study,1652 EMV in China were selected as the research subjects.The Nearest Neighbor Index,kernel density,and spatial autocorrelation index were employed to reveal the spatial structural characteristics of minority villages.Neural network models,spatial lag models,and geographical detectors were used to analyze the formation mechanism of spatial heterogeneity in EMV.The results indicate that:(1)EMV exhibit significant spatial differentiation characterized by“single-core with multiple surrounding sub-centers,”“polarization between east and west,”“decreasing quantity from southwest to east coast to northeast to northwest,”and“large dispersion with small agglomeration.”(2)EMV are mainly distributed in areas rich in intangible cultural heritage,with high vegetation coverage and low altitude,far from central cities,and having limited arable land and an underdeveloped economy and transportation,particularly in shaded or riverbank areas.(3)Distance from the nearest river(X3),distance from central cities(X8),national intangible cultural heritage(X9),and NDVI(X10)were the main driving factors affecting the spatial distribution of EMV,whereas elevation(X1)and GDP(X5)had the weakest influence.As EMV are a relatively unique territorial spatial unit,the identification of their spatial heterogeneity characteristics not only deepens the research content of settlement geography,but also involves the assessment,protection,and development of Minority Villages,which is of great significance for the inheritance and utilization of excellent ethnic cultures in the era.展开更多
As the number of high-density buildings has increased,the management of property with complex condominium ownership has become an ongoing challenge in property registration and management.The three-dimensional(3D)mode...As the number of high-density buildings has increased,the management of property with complex condominium ownership has become an ongoing challenge in property registration and management.The three-dimensional(3D)modeling of condominium ownership has emerged as an effective means of meeting this challenge and has attracted great attention from fields such as geographical information science,urban planning and management,and property administration.Much progress has been made in building 3D models of condominium ownership;however,existing studies are all on a case-by-case basis and have left some critical issues unsolved,such as vague ownership boundaries,spatial rights without physical counterparts,and the unfixed spatial extent.The purpose of this study is to construct a 3D building ownership model with multiple levels of detail in the context of Chinese law to overcome the defects of 3D models above.This 3D model is presented in a case study of China by subdividing ownership boundaries based on clarifying the internal structure of condominium ownership,embedding the apportionment mechanism,and integrating the semantics,attributes,and geometry associated with the physical and legal entity of the condominium.The proposed 3D model is implemented by extending Building Information Modeling(BIM)based on the Industry Foundation Classes(IFC)and inheriting legal information from Land Administration Domain Model(LADM).In this study,examples of condominium ownership from three real legal dispute cases in China are analyzed and tested.The study clearly demonstrates that the proposed model can provide a better cognitive understanding of the legal space of property by rendering unambiguous ownership boundaries and presenting the spatial internal structure of ownership,which offers solid technical support for dealing with property registration and many legal dispute cases about condominium ownership.展开更多
Based on a newly proposed spatial data model Spatial Chromatic Model(SCM),we developed a spatial coding scheme,called the full-coded Ordinary Arranged Chromatic Diagram(full-OACD).As a type of spatial tessellation,ful...Based on a newly proposed spatial data model Spatial Chromatic Model(SCM),we developed a spatial coding scheme,called the full-coded Ordinary Arranged Chromatic Diagram(full-OACD).As a type of spatial tessellation,full-OACD partitions a geographic space into a number of subspaces,such as cells,edges,and vertices.These subspaces are called spatial particles and are assigned with unique codes chromatic codes.The generation,structure,computation,and properties of full-OACD are introduced.Relations between particulate chromatic codes and spatial topology are investigated.Full-OACD is a kind of new discrete spatial coordinate system where the information of real-world entities is embedded.Full-OACD provides an informative and meaningful spatial coding framework for spatial topological analysis and many other potential applications in geospatial information science.展开更多
文摘The study aims to investigate county-level variations of the COVID-19 disease and vaccination rate. The COVID-19 data was acquired from usafact.org, and the vaccination records were acquired from the Ohio vaccination tracker dashboard. GIS-based exploratory analysis was conducted to select four variables (poverty, black race, population density, and vaccination) to explain COVID-19 occurrence during the study period. Consequently, spatial statistical techniques such as Moran’s I, Hot Spot Analysis, Spatial Lag Model (SLM), and Spatial Error Model (SEM) were used to explain the COVID-19 occurrence and vaccination rate across the 88 counties in Ohio. The result of the Local Moran’s I analysis reveals that the epicenters of COVID-19 and vaccination followed the same patterns. Indeed, counties like Summit, Franklin, Fairfield, Hamilton, and Medina were categorized as epicenters for both COVID-19 occurrence and vaccination rate. The SEM seems to be the best model for both COVID-19 and vaccination rates, with R2 values of 0.68 and 0.70, respectively. The GWR analysis proves to be better than Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), and the distribution of R2 in the GWR is uneven throughout the study area for both COVID-19 cases and vaccinations. Some counties have a high R2 of up to 0.70 for both COVID-19 cases and vaccinations. The outcomes of the regression analyses show that the SEM models can explain 68% - 70% of COVID-19 cases and vaccination across the entire counties within the study period. COVID-19 cases and vaccination rates exhibited significant positive associations with black race and poverty throughout the study area.
文摘Energy planning and solar plant site selections are vital strategic decisions and one of the most complex executive challenges in the interconnected procedures.It is essential to study the potential renewable energy sources in Afghanistan to select the most sustainable sites for solar power production in populated cities.This study is based on the combination of a Geographic Information System,Remote sensing,and multi-criteria decision-making technique to evaluate the optimal placement of photovoltaic solar power plants in the Kabul province,capital of Afghanistan.Two models,Analytical Hierarchy Process(AHP)and Analytical Network Process(ANP),were used to select suitable areas for establishing a solar power plant.The application of the proposed model has been made possible by integrating four constraints such as climate,environmental,topography,and economical which comprised twelve criteria:solar radiation,yearly average rainfall,land slope,aspect,land use,dust,geology and proximity to faults,main roads,Normalized difference vegetation index,urban areas river and water bodies.The findings indicate that there is no considerable difference between the results of both models since both models identified more than 20%of the total area of Kabul province in suitable classes.Outputs maps conclude that northern and southern parts of Kabul city and the eastern part of Kabul province came to the range of suitable areas.It can be concluded that Kabul province is a source of sufficient potential for producing solar electricity.The results of this study can support the plans of the Afghanistan government in solar energy production and the implementation of photovoltaic power plants.
基金This research is funded by ETH Zürich and by the Singapore National Research FoundationThe publication is supported under the Campus for Research Excellence And Technological Enterprise(CREATE)program.
文摘It is our goal to make today’s and future cities smart,sustainable and resilient.In order to achieve this,it is fundamental to understand how each city works,to formalize the knowledge gained and to apply it to a city model as the base for simulations that can generate future scenarios with a high level of probability.The nature of this model,which must cover design,qualitative and quantitative aspects,has changed over time.In this study,we focus on the role of the spatial dimension and of geometry in a city model.Emerging from being a dominating generative force in ancient cities,spatial modeling has developed into an underlying description language for present and future cities to define functions and properties of the city in space and time.The example of the stocks and flows model applied to the city depicts where and how spatial modeling influences the design,construction and performance of the future Smart City.
基金supported by the Fujian Provincial Science and Technology Program“University-Industry Cooperation Project”(2024Y4015)National Key R&D Plan of Strategic International Scientific and Technological Innovation Cooperation Project(2018YFE0207800).
文摘The increasing frequency of extreme weather events raises the likelihood of forest wildfires.Therefore,establishing an effective fire prediction model is vital for protecting human life and property,and the environment.This study aims to build a prediction model to understand the spatial characteristics and piecewise effects of forest fire drivers.Using monthly grid data from 2006 to 2020,a modeling study analyzed fire occurrences during the September to April fire season in Fujian Province,China.We compared the fitting performance of the logistic regression model(LRM),the generalized additive logistic model(GALM),and the spatial generalized additive logistic model(SGALM).The results indicate that SGALMs had the best fitting results and the highest prediction accuracy.Meteorological factors significantly impacted forest fires in Fujian Province.Areas with high fire incidence were mainly concentrated in the northwest and southeast.SGALMs improved the fitting effect of fire prediction models by considering spatial effects and the flexible fitting ability of nonlinear interpretation.This model provides piecewise interpretations of forest wildfire occurrences,which can be valuable for relevant departments and will assist forest managers in refining prevention measures based on temporal and spatial differences.
基金supported by the Jilin Scientific and Technological Development Program(20210101466JC).
文摘In this paper,we consider the following spatial Solow-Swan model with density-dependent motion■whereσ>0,α∈(0,1)andΩ⊂ℝn(n≥1)is a bounded domain with smooth boundary andϕ∈C3([0,∞)),ϕ(s)>0 for all s≥0.We prove that if■then there exists a unique time-globally classical solution(u,v)for all n≥1,such a solution is bounded and satisfies u≥0,v>0.Moreover,we show that the above solution will convergence to the steady state(1,1)exponentially in L^(∞)as t→∞.
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42371192)Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province(No.2023JJ30100)Social Science Foundation of Hunan Province(No.23ZDAJ023,23YBA133)。
文摘Cities are important carriers of green innovation.The foundation for accelerating China's ecological civilization construction and fostering regionally coordinated and sustainable development is quantitative analysis of the spatial evolution pattern and influencing factors of urban green innovation,as well as revealing the development differences between regions.This study's research object includes 284 Chinese cities that are at the prefecture level or above,excluding Xizang,Hong Kong,Macao,and Taiwan of China due to incomplete data.The spatial evolution characteristics of urban green innovation in China between 2005 and 2021 are comprehensively described using the gravity center model and boxplot analysis.The factors that affect urban green innovation are examined using the spatial Durbin model(SDM).The findings indicate that:1)over the period of the study,the gravity center of urban green innovation in China has always been distributed in the Henan-Anhui border region,showing a migration characteristic of‘initially shifting northeast,subsequently southeast',and the migration speed has gradually increased.2)Although there are also noticeable disparities in east-west,the north-south gap is the main cause of the shift in China's urban green innovation gravity center.The primary areas of urban green innovation in China are the cities with green innovation levels higher than the median.3)The main influencing factor of urban green innovation is the industrial structure level.The effect of the financial development level,the government intervention level,and the openness to the outside world degree on urban green innovation is weakened in turn.The environmental regulation degree is not truly influencing urban green innovation.The impact of various factors on green innovation across cities of different sizes,exhibiting heterogeneity.This study is conducive to broadening the academic community's comprehension of the spatial evolution characteristics of urban green innovation and offering a theoretical framework for developing policies for the all-encompassing green transformation of social and economic growth.
基金Jilin Province Social Science Project:Path Analysis and Empirical Research on Empowering Rural Industry Integration with Digital Economy in Jilin Province 2023B40Key Project of Education Science Planning in Jilin Province:Exploration of Talent Training Model for Economic Statistics Majors in Universities Based on OBE Theory-Taking Jilin Jianzhu University as an Example.ZD22028.
文摘Smart cities,a new kind of urbanization,offer a means of achieving the condition in which environmental conservation and economic growth are mutually beneficial.As a result,it is important to think about whether and how the development of smart cities might support the high-quality growth of urban economies.Based on the panel data of 163 prefecture-level cities in China from 2009–2018,the green total factor productivity(GTFP)of each prefecture-level city is measured using the SBM-GML model,and the appropriate spatial econometric model is screened by various types of tests.The spatial effect of smart city construction on GFTP is studied,and it is concluded that the pilot cities have a significant positive spatial spillover effect.The decomposition econometric model also shows that the pilot cities have a significant positive spatial spillover effect,and it also indicating that the smart city construction can also drive the surrounding cities to jointly improve the quality of economic development.Finally,the robustness of the spatial effect of smart city policy is also verified by changing the spatial measurement model and the type of spatial weight matrix,which also shows that the results of the spatial spillover effect of smart city construction are reliable.
文摘Modeling the spatial distribution of soil heavy metals is important in determining the safety of contaminated soils for agricultural use. This study utilized 60 topsoil samples (0 - 30 cm), multispectral images (Sentinel-2), spectral indices, and ancillary data to model the spatial distribution of heavy metals in the soils along the Nairobi River. The model was generated using the Random Forest package in R. Using R2 to assess the prediction accuracy, the Random Forest model generated satisfactory results for all the elements. It also ranked the variables in order of their importance in the overall prediction. Spectral indices were the most important variables within the rankings. From the predicted topsoil maps, there were high concentrations of Cadmium on the easterly end of the river. Cadmium is an impurity in detergents, and this section is in close proximity to the Nairobi water sewerage plant, which could be a direct source of Cadmium. Some farms had Zinc levels which were above the World Health Organization recommended limit. The Random Forest model performed satisfactorily. However, the predictions can be improved further if the spatial resolutions of the various variables are increased and through the addition of more predictor variables.
基金The research reported in this paper was part of the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium(ITRC)funded by the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council under program grant EP/I01344X/1.
文摘High quality infrastructure is crucial to economic success and the sustainability of society.Infrastructures for services,such as transport,energy,and water supply,also have long lead times,and therefore require effective long-term planning.In this paper,we report on work undertaken as part of the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium to construct long-term models of demographic change which can help to inform infrastructure planning for transport,energy,and water as well as IT and waste.A set of demographic microsimulation models(MSM),which are spatially disaggregate to the geography of UK Local Authorities,provides a high level of detail for understanding the drivers of changing patterns of demand.However,although robust forecasting models are required to support projections based on the notion of‘predict-and-provide,’the potential for behavioral adaptation is also an important consideration in this context.In this paper,we therefore establish a framework for linkage of a MSM of household composition,with behavior relating to the consumption of energy.We will investigate variations in household energy consumption within and between different household groups.An appropriate range of household types will be defined through the application of decision trees to consumption data from a detailed survey produced by the UK Department of Energy and Climate Change.From this,analysis conclusions will be drawn about the impact of changing demographics at both household and individual level,and about the potential effect of behavioral adjustments for different household groups.
文摘By analyzing the topographic features of past landslides since 1980s and the main land-cover types （including change information） in landslide-prone area, modeled spatial distribution of landslide hazard in upper Minjiang River Basin was studied based on spatial analysis of GIS in this paper. Results of GIS analysis showed that landslide occurrence in this region closely related to topographic feature. Most areas with high hazard probability were deep-sheared gorge. Most of them in investigation occurred assembly in areas with elevation lower than 3 000 m, due to fragile topographic conditions and intensive human disturbances. Land-cover type, including its change information, was likely an important environmental factor to trigger landslide. Destroy of vegetation driven by increase of population and its demands augmented the probability of landslide in steep slope.
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.40601073,41101192,41201571)Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(No.2011PY112,2011QC041,2011QC091)Huazhong Agricultural University Scientific&Technological Self-innovation Foundation(No.2011SC21)
文摘This study used spatial autoregression(SAR)model and geographically weighted regression(GWR)model to model the spatial patterns of farmland density and its temporal change in Gucheng County,Hubei Province,China in 1999 and 2009,and discussed the difference between global and local spatial autocorrelations in terms of spatial heterogeneity and non-stationarity.Results showed that strong spatial positive correlations existed in the spatial distributions of farmland density,its temporal change and the driving factors,and the coefficients of spatial autocorrelations decreased as the spatial lag distance increased.SAR models revealed the global spatial relations between dependent and independent variables,while the GWR model showed the spatially varying fitting degree and local weighting coefficients of driving factors and farmland indices(i.e.,farmland density and temporal change).The GWR model has smooth process when constructing the farmland spatial model.The coefficients of GWR model can show the accurate influence degrees of different driving factors on the farmland at different geographical locations.The performance indices of GWR model showed that GWR model produced more accurate simulation results than other models at different times,and the improvement precision of GWR model was obvious.The global and local farmland models used in this study showed different characteristics in the spatial distributions of farmland indices at different scales,which may provide the theoretical basis for farmland protection from the influence of different driving factors.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41304024)
文摘The ionosphere, as the largest and least predictable error source, its behavior cannot be observed at all places simultaneously. The confidence bound, called the grid ionospheric vertical error(GIVE), can only be determined with the aid of a threat model which is used to restrict the expected ionospheric behavior. However, the spatial threat model at present widespread used, which is based on fit radius and relative centroid metric(RCM), is too conservative or the resulting GIVEs will be too large and will reduce the availability of satellite-based augmentation system(SBAS). In this paper, layered two-dimensional parameters, the vertical direction double RCMs, are introduced based on the spatial variability of the ionosphere. Comparing with the traditional threat model, the experimental results show that the user ionospheric vertical error(UIVE) average reduction rate reaches 16%. And the 95% protection level of conterminous United States(CONUS) is 28%, even under disturbed days, which reaches about 5% reduction rates.The results show that the system service performance has been improved better.
文摘Nitrate nitrogen(NO_(3)^(-)N)from agricultural activities and in industrial wastewater has become the main source of groundwater pollution,which has raised widespread concerns,particularly in arid and semi-arid river basins with little water that meets relevant standards.This study aimed to investigate the performance of spatial and non-spatial regression models in modeling nitrate pollution in a semi-intensive farming region of Iran.To perform the modeling of the groundwater's NO_(3)^(-)N concentration,both natural and anthropogenic factors affecting groundwater NO_(3)^(-)N were selected.The results of Moran's I test showed that groundwater nitrate concentration had a significant spatial dependence on the density of wells,distance from streams,total annual precipitation,and distance from roads in the study area.This study provided a way to estimate nitrate pollution using both natural and anthropogenic factors in arid and semi-arid areas where only a few factors are available.Spatial regression methods with spatial correlation structures are effective tools to support spatial decision-making in water pollution control.
基金funded by National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (863 Program,2012AA092303)Project of Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation (12231203900)+2 种基金Industrialization Program of National Development and Reform Commission (2159999)National Science and Technology Support Program (2013BAD13B01)Shanghai Leading Academic Discipline Project
文摘Temporal and spatial scales play important roles in fishery ecology,and an inappropriate spatio-temporal scale may result in large errors in modeling fish distribution.The objective of this study is to evaluate the roles of spatio-temporal scales in habitat suitability modeling,with the western stock of winter-spring cohort of neon flying squid （Ornmastrephes bartramii） in the northwest Pacific Ocean as an example.In this study,the fishery-dependent data from the Chinese Mainland Squid Jigging Technical Group and sea surface temperature （SST） from remote sensing during August to October of 2003-2008 were used.We evaluated the differences in a habitat suitability index model resulting from aggregating data with 36 different spatial scales with a combination of three latitude scales （0.5°,1 ° and 2°）,four longitude scales （0.5°,1°,2° and 4°）,and three temporal scales （week,fortnight,and month）.The coefficients of variation （CV） of the weekly,biweekly and monthly suitability index （SI） were compared to determine which temporal and spatial scales of SI model are more precise.This study shows that the optimal temporal and spatial scales with the lowest CV are month,and 0.5° latitude and 0.5° longitude for O.bartramii in the northwest Pacific Ocean.This suitability index model developed with an optimal scale can be cost-effective in improving forecasting fishing ground and requires no excessive sampling efforts.We suggest that the uncertainty associated with spatial and temporal scales used in data aggregations needs to be considered in habitat suitability modeling.
文摘Estimating safety effectiveness of roadway improvements and countermeasures,using cross-sectional models,generally requires large amounts of data such as road geometric and traffic-related characteristics at road segment levels.These models do not consider all confounding crash contributory factors such as driving culture and environmental conditions at the segment level due to a lack of readily available data.This may result in inaccurate models representing actual conditions at road segment levels,followed by erroneous estimations of safety effectiveness.To minimize the effect of not including such variables,this study develops a new methodology to estimate safety effectiveness of roadway countermeasures,based on generalized linear mixed models,assuming zeroinflated Poisson distribution for the response,and adjusting for spatial autocorrelation using the spatial random effect.The Bayesian approach,with Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation,was used to make inference on this model with computational efficiency.Results showed that incorporating a spatial random effect into the models provided better model fit than non-spatial models;hence,estimated safety effectiveness based on such models is more accurate.The proposed approach is a methodological advancement in traffic safety,which allows evaluation of safety effectiveness or roadway improvements when data are not readily available.
基金Supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Shanxi Province(2008011028-2)
文摘Presented a study on the design and implementation of spatial data modelingand application in the spatial data organization and management of a coalfield geologicalenvironment database.Based on analysis of a number of existing data models and takinginto account the unique data structure and characteristic, methodology and key techniquesin the object-oriented spatial data modeling were proposed for the coalfield geological environment.The model building process was developed using object-oriented technologyand the Unified Modeling Language (UML) on the platform of ESRI geodatabase datamodels.A case study of spatial data modeling in UML was presented with successful implementationin the spatial database of the coalfield geological environment.The modelbuilding and implementation provided an effective way of representing the complexity andspecificity of coalfield geological environment spatial data and an integrated managementof spatial and property data.
基金supported in part by the NIH grant R01CA241134supported in part by the NSF grant CMMI-1552764+3 种基金supported in part by the NSF grants DMS-1349724 and DMS-2052465supported in part by the NSF grant CCF-1740761supported in part by the U.S.-Norway Fulbright Foundation and the Research Council of Norway R&D Grant 309273supported in part by the Norwegian Centennial Chair grant and the Doctoral Dissertation Fellowship from the University of Minnesota.
文摘The spread of an advantageous mutation through a population is of fundamental interest in population genetics. While the classical Moran model is formulated for a well-mixed population, it has long been recognized that in real-world applications, the population usually has an explicit spatial structure which can significantly influence the dynamics. In the context of cancer initiation in epithelial tissue, several recent works have analyzed the dynamics of advantageous mutant spread on integer lattices, using the biased voter model from particle systems theory. In this spatial version of the Moran model, individuals first reproduce according to their fitness and then replace a neighboring individual. From a biological standpoint, the opposite dynamics, where individuals first die and are then replaced by a neighboring individual according to its fitness, are equally relevant. Here, we investigate this death-birth analogue of the biased voter model. We construct the process mathematically, derive the associated dual process, establish bounds on the survival probability of a single mutant, and prove that the process has an asymptotic shape. We also briefly discuss alternative birth-death and death-birth dynamics, depending on how the mutant fitness advantage affects the dynamics. We show that birth-death and death-birth formulations of the biased voter model are equivalent when fitness affects the former event of each update of the model, whereas the birth-death model is fundamentally different from the death-birth model when fitness affects the latter event.
文摘This study aims to reveal the spatial structural characteristics of 1,652 Ethnic-Minority Villages(EMV)in China and to analyze the mechanisms driving their spatial heterogeneity.EMV are a special type of settlement space that preserve a large number of historical traces of the ethnic culture of ancient China.They are important carriers of China’s excellent traditional culture and are key to the implementation of rural revitalization strategies.In this study,1652 EMV in China were selected as the research subjects.The Nearest Neighbor Index,kernel density,and spatial autocorrelation index were employed to reveal the spatial structural characteristics of minority villages.Neural network models,spatial lag models,and geographical detectors were used to analyze the formation mechanism of spatial heterogeneity in EMV.The results indicate that:(1)EMV exhibit significant spatial differentiation characterized by“single-core with multiple surrounding sub-centers,”“polarization between east and west,”“decreasing quantity from southwest to east coast to northeast to northwest,”and“large dispersion with small agglomeration.”(2)EMV are mainly distributed in areas rich in intangible cultural heritage,with high vegetation coverage and low altitude,far from central cities,and having limited arable land and an underdeveloped economy and transportation,particularly in shaded or riverbank areas.(3)Distance from the nearest river(X3),distance from central cities(X8),national intangible cultural heritage(X9),and NDVI(X10)were the main driving factors affecting the spatial distribution of EMV,whereas elevation(X1)and GDP(X5)had the weakest influence.As EMV are a relatively unique territorial spatial unit,the identification of their spatial heterogeneity characteristics not only deepens the research content of settlement geography,but also involves the assessment,protection,and development of Minority Villages,which is of great significance for the inheritance and utilization of excellent ethnic cultures in the era.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant number 41871298].
文摘As the number of high-density buildings has increased,the management of property with complex condominium ownership has become an ongoing challenge in property registration and management.The three-dimensional(3D)modeling of condominium ownership has emerged as an effective means of meeting this challenge and has attracted great attention from fields such as geographical information science,urban planning and management,and property administration.Much progress has been made in building 3D models of condominium ownership;however,existing studies are all on a case-by-case basis and have left some critical issues unsolved,such as vague ownership boundaries,spatial rights without physical counterparts,and the unfixed spatial extent.The purpose of this study is to construct a 3D building ownership model with multiple levels of detail in the context of Chinese law to overcome the defects of 3D models above.This 3D model is presented in a case study of China by subdividing ownership boundaries based on clarifying the internal structure of condominium ownership,embedding the apportionment mechanism,and integrating the semantics,attributes,and geometry associated with the physical and legal entity of the condominium.The proposed 3D model is implemented by extending Building Information Modeling(BIM)based on the Industry Foundation Classes(IFC)and inheriting legal information from Land Administration Domain Model(LADM).In this study,examples of condominium ownership from three real legal dispute cases in China are analyzed and tested.The study clearly demonstrates that the proposed model can provide a better cognitive understanding of the legal space of property by rendering unambiguous ownership boundaries and presenting the spatial internal structure of ownership,which offers solid technical support for dealing with property registration and many legal dispute cases about condominium ownership.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(grant number:41971373)Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province(grant number:LY17D10005).
文摘Based on a newly proposed spatial data model Spatial Chromatic Model(SCM),we developed a spatial coding scheme,called the full-coded Ordinary Arranged Chromatic Diagram(full-OACD).As a type of spatial tessellation,full-OACD partitions a geographic space into a number of subspaces,such as cells,edges,and vertices.These subspaces are called spatial particles and are assigned with unique codes chromatic codes.The generation,structure,computation,and properties of full-OACD are introduced.Relations between particulate chromatic codes and spatial topology are investigated.Full-OACD is a kind of new discrete spatial coordinate system where the information of real-world entities is embedded.Full-OACD provides an informative and meaningful spatial coding framework for spatial topological analysis and many other potential applications in geospatial information science.
