1研究背景地震是地球内部运动的一种力学过程,其动力来源于地球内部。但当震源区处于临界状态时,外界因素如固体潮等的影响在一定条件下可能会引起系统的突变而发生地震(Cochran et al,2004;Tanaka et al,2004;Cadicheanu et al,2007;Ta...1研究背景地震是地球内部运动的一种力学过程,其动力来源于地球内部。但当震源区处于临界状态时,外界因素如固体潮等的影响在一定条件下可能会引起系统的突变而发生地震(Cochran et al,2004;Tanaka et al,2004;Cadicheanu et al,2007;Tanaka,2010)。针对潮汐触发地震的问题,国内外学者做了大量研究工作,主要集中在以下3个方面:一是对部分地区地震活动和月相的相关关系研究,结果显示,地震在某些月相附近发生的几率相对较高;二是基于潮汐应力分量的地震调制研究,通常是将潮汐应力分解为南北、东西、垂直3个方向,其中水平分量与地震的关系往往被作为研究的重点;三是利用一定的统计方法分析潮汐相位角,通过严格定量的大样本检验,其中Schuster检验应用较多,通过p值变化来反映潮汐与地震的关系。展开更多
For earthquakes(ML≥2.0) that occurred from January 2006 to October 2018 around the Ms5.7 Xingwen earthquake occurred on 16 December 2018 in Xingwen,Sichuan province,China,we statistically investigated the correlation...For earthquakes(ML≥2.0) that occurred from January 2006 to October 2018 around the Ms5.7 Xingwen earthquake occurred on 16 December 2018 in Xingwen,Sichuan province,China,we statistically investigated the correlation between the phase of Earth's rotation and the occurrence of earthquakes via Schuster's test to determine the signals that triggered earthquakes before the Ms5.7 Xingwen event.The results were evaluated based on the P-value where a smaller P-value corresponded to a higher correlation between the occurrence of an earthquake and Earth's rotation.We investigated the spatial distribution of Pvalues in the region around the epicenter of the Ms5.7 Xingwen event,and obtained a result exhibiting a extremely low-P-value region.The松5.7 event occurred inside near the northern boundary of this region.Furthermore,we analyzed the temporal evolution of P-values for earthquakes that occurred within the extremely low-P-value region and found that some extremely low P-values(less that 0.1%),i.e.,significant correlation,were calculated for earthquakes that occurred before the胚5.7 Xingwen earthquake.Among sixty・one earthquakes with the lowest P-value,occurred from May 2014 to April 2018,a vast majority of them occurred during the acceleration of Earth's rotation.The lower P-value obtained in this study reveals that the Xingwen source body probably was extremely unstable prior to the occurrence of the Ms5.7 Xingwen earthquake.展开更多
Research of tidal triggering of earthquakes in recent years is systematically reviewed,focusing on the relationship between the phases of the moon and seismic activity,earthquakes triggered by tidal forces and its com...Research of tidal triggering of earthquakes in recent years is systematically reviewed,focusing on the relationship between the phases of the moon and seismic activity,earthquakes triggered by tidal forces and its components,based on the large sample statistics to discuss the tidal triggering of an earthquake.The relationship between the phase of the moon and seismic activity is a preliminary study of tidal triggering of earthquakes,and the modulation ratio is a quantitative description of it.Using the resolution of tidal stress to study seismic activity is a way to reveal the relationship between the tides and earthquakes from the mechanics point of view.Large sample statistics is another way to study the relationship between the tidal and earthquake from the view of statistics.In many statistical methods,Schuster's test is used more widely,which takes many factors into account,such as focal mechanism,tidal stress,and statistical tests to quantitatively analyze the tidal triggering effect on earthquakes.展开更多
文摘1研究背景地震是地球内部运动的一种力学过程,其动力来源于地球内部。但当震源区处于临界状态时,外界因素如固体潮等的影响在一定条件下可能会引起系统的突变而发生地震(Cochran et al,2004;Tanaka et al,2004;Cadicheanu et al,2007;Tanaka,2010)。针对潮汐触发地震的问题,国内外学者做了大量研究工作,主要集中在以下3个方面:一是对部分地区地震活动和月相的相关关系研究,结果显示,地震在某些月相附近发生的几率相对较高;二是基于潮汐应力分量的地震调制研究,通常是将潮汐应力分解为南北、东西、垂直3个方向,其中水平分量与地震的关系往往被作为研究的重点;三是利用一定的统计方法分析潮汐相位角,通过严格定量的大样本检验,其中Schuster检验应用较多,通过p值变化来反映潮汐与地震的关系。
基金supported by National Key R&D Program of China (No. 2018YFC1503405)
文摘For earthquakes(ML≥2.0) that occurred from January 2006 to October 2018 around the Ms5.7 Xingwen earthquake occurred on 16 December 2018 in Xingwen,Sichuan province,China,we statistically investigated the correlation between the phase of Earth's rotation and the occurrence of earthquakes via Schuster's test to determine the signals that triggered earthquakes before the Ms5.7 Xingwen event.The results were evaluated based on the P-value where a smaller P-value corresponded to a higher correlation between the occurrence of an earthquake and Earth's rotation.We investigated the spatial distribution of Pvalues in the region around the epicenter of the Ms5.7 Xingwen event,and obtained a result exhibiting a extremely low-P-value region.The松5.7 event occurred inside near the northern boundary of this region.Furthermore,we analyzed the temporal evolution of P-values for earthquakes that occurred within the extremely low-P-value region and found that some extremely low P-values(less that 0.1%),i.e.,significant correlation,were calculated for earthquakes that occurred before the胚5.7 Xingwen earthquake.Among sixty・one earthquakes with the lowest P-value,occurred from May 2014 to April 2018,a vast majority of them occurred during the acceleration of Earth's rotation.The lower P-value obtained in this study reveals that the Xingwen source body probably was extremely unstable prior to the occurrence of the Ms5.7 Xingwen earthquake.
基金the National Science&Technology Pillar Program,China(2008BAC38B03)
文摘Research of tidal triggering of earthquakes in recent years is systematically reviewed,focusing on the relationship between the phases of the moon and seismic activity,earthquakes triggered by tidal forces and its components,based on the large sample statistics to discuss the tidal triggering of an earthquake.The relationship between the phase of the moon and seismic activity is a preliminary study of tidal triggering of earthquakes,and the modulation ratio is a quantitative description of it.Using the resolution of tidal stress to study seismic activity is a way to reveal the relationship between the tides and earthquakes from the mechanics point of view.Large sample statistics is another way to study the relationship between the tidal and earthquake from the view of statistics.In many statistical methods,Schuster's test is used more widely,which takes many factors into account,such as focal mechanism,tidal stress,and statistical tests to quantitatively analyze the tidal triggering effect on earthquakes.
