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A prediction model for high-geothermal rockburst intensity using a genetic projection pursuit algorithm
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作者 Meiben Gao Tianbin Li +4 位作者 Shixin Ji Shiming Bai Yan Zhang Zhihao He Liang Zhang 《Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering》 2025年第12期7612-7627,共16页
High-temperature rockbursts pose a critical challenge in deep underground engineering and resource exploitation.Consequently,predicting high-geothermal rockbursts has become a key scientific objective.In this paper,a ... High-temperature rockbursts pose a critical challenge in deep underground engineering and resource exploitation.Consequently,predicting high-geothermal rockbursts has become a key scientific objective.In this paper,a genetic projection pursuit algorithm(GPPA)is proposed for the prediction of high-geothermal rockbursts by introducing the coefficient K,and utilizing multiple empirical criteria(Wet index,σc/σt,σθ/σc,andσ1/σc).Four empirical criteria were statistically analyzed for 147 sets of rockburst cases,yielding accuracies of 40%,39%,46%and 29%,respectively.After the implantation of optimal segmentation,there was an enhancement in accuracy by 12%,9%,6%,and 19%,respectively.Theσθ/σc criterion exhibited superior performance,with a baseline accuracy of 46%.The GPPA model was tested and validated using four characteristic parameters(Wet index,σc/σt,σθ/σc,andσ1/σc)as inputs,revealing that the error ranged between 0.07 and 0.41.Successful validation was performed in the Sangzhuling Tunnel(four slight rockbursts)and Qirehataer Diversion Tunnel(one moderate rockburst),which matched field observations.Consequently,the proposed model offers guidance for predicting high-geothermal rockburst hazards. 展开更多
关键词 Rockburst criterion Thermal impacts Genetic projection pursuit algorithm(GPPA) sangzhuling tunnel Qirehataer diversion tunnel
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