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Ecological Dynamics of a Logistic Population Model with Impulsive Age-selective Harvesting
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作者 DAI Xiangjun JIAO Jianjun 《应用数学》 北大核心 2026年第1期72-79,共8页
In this paper,we establish and study a single-species logistic model with impulsive age-selective harvesting.First,we prove the ultimate boundedness of the solutions of the system.Then,we obtain conditions for the asy... In this paper,we establish and study a single-species logistic model with impulsive age-selective harvesting.First,we prove the ultimate boundedness of the solutions of the system.Then,we obtain conditions for the asymptotic stability of the trivial solution and the positive periodic solution.Finally,numerical simulations are presented to validate our results.Our results show that age-selective harvesting is more conducive to sustainable population survival than non-age-selective harvesting. 展开更多
关键词 The logistic population model Selective harvesting Asymptotic stability EXTINCTION
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Modeling of Precipitation over Africa:Progress,Challenges,and Prospects
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作者 A.A.AKINSANOLA C.N.WENHAJI +21 位作者 R.BARIMALALA P.-A.MONERIE R.D.DIXON A.T.TAMOFFO M.O.ADENIYI V.ONGOMA I.DIALLO M.GUDOSHAVA C.M.WAINWRIGHT R.JAMES K.C.SILVERIO A.FAYE S.S.NANGOMBE M.W.POKAM D.A.VONDOU N.C.G.HART I.PINTO M.KILAVI S.HAGOS E.N.RAJAGOPAL R.K.KOLLI S.JOSEPH 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2026年第1期59-86,共28页
In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and cha... In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and change.Likewise,this period has seen a significant increase in our understanding of the physical processes and mechanisms that drive precipitation and its variability across different regions of Africa.By leveraging a large volume of climate model outputs,numerous studies have investigated the model representation of African precipitation as well as underlying physical processes.These studies have assessed whether the physical processes are well depicted and whether the models are fit for informing mitigation and adaptation strategies.This paper provides a review of the progress in precipitation simulation overAfrica in state-of-the-science climate models and discusses the major issues and challenges that remain. 展开更多
关键词 RAINFALL MONSOON climate modeling CORDEX CMIP6 convection-permitting models
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Design optimization and FEA of B-6 and B-7 levels ballistics armor:A modelling approach
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作者 Muhammad Naveed CHU Jinkui +1 位作者 Atif Ur Rehman Arsalan Hyder 《大连理工大学学报》 北大核心 2026年第1期66-77,共12页
Utilizing finite element analysis,the ballistic protection provided by a combination of perforated D-shaped and base armor plates,collectively referred to as radiator armor,is evaluated.ANSYS Explicit Dynamics is empl... Utilizing finite element analysis,the ballistic protection provided by a combination of perforated D-shaped and base armor plates,collectively referred to as radiator armor,is evaluated.ANSYS Explicit Dynamics is employed to simulate the ballistic impact of 7.62 mm armor-piercing projectiles on Aluminum AA5083-H116 and Steel Secure 500 armors,focusing on the evaluation of material deformation and penetration resistance at varying impact points.While the D-shaped armor plate is penetrated by the armor-piercing projectiles,the combination of the perforated D-shaped and base armor plates successfully halts penetration.A numerical model based on the finite element method is developed using software such as SolidWorks and ANSYS to analyze the interaction between radiator armor and bullet.The perforated design of radiator armor is to maintain airflow for radiator function,with hole sizes smaller than the bullet core diameter to protect radiator assemblies.Predictions are made regarding the brittle fracture resulting from the projectile core′s bending due to asymmetric impact,and the resulting fragments failed to penetrate the perforated base armor plate.Craters are formed on the surface of the perforated D-shaped armor plate due to the impact of projectile fragments.The numerical model accurately predicts hole growth and projectile penetration upon impact with the armor,demonstrating effective protection of the radiator assemblies by the radiator armor. 展开更多
关键词 radiator armor ballistics simulation Johnson-Cook model armor-piercing projectile perforated D-shaped armor plate
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Do Higher Horizontal Resolution Models Perform Better?
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作者 Shoji KUSUNOKI 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2026年第1期259-262,共4页
Climate model prediction has been improved by enhancing model resolution as well as the implementation of sophisticated physical parameterization and refinement of data assimilation systems[section 6.1 in Wang et al.(... Climate model prediction has been improved by enhancing model resolution as well as the implementation of sophisticated physical parameterization and refinement of data assimilation systems[section 6.1 in Wang et al.(2025)].In relation to seasonal forecasting and climate projection in the East Asian summer monsoon season,proper simulation of the seasonal migration of rain bands by models is a challenging and limiting factor[section 7.1 in Wang et al.(2025)]. 展开更多
关键词 enhancing model resolution refinement data assimilation systems section climate model climate projection higher horizontal resolution seasonal forecasting simulation seasonal migration rain bands model resolution
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A Predictive Model for the Elastic Modulus of High-Strength Concrete Based on Coarse Aggregate Characteristics
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作者 LI Liangshun LI Huajian +2 位作者 HUANG Fali YANG Zhiqiang DONG Haoliang 《Journal of Wuhan University of Technology(Materials Science)》 2026年第1期121-137,共17页
To investigate the influence of coarse aggregate parent rock properties on the elastic modulus of concrete,the mineralogical properties and stress-strain curves of granite and dolomite parent rocks,as well as the stre... To investigate the influence of coarse aggregate parent rock properties on the elastic modulus of concrete,the mineralogical properties and stress-strain curves of granite and dolomite parent rocks,as well as the strength and elastic modulus of mortar and concrete prepared with mechanism aggregates of the corresponding lithology,and the stress-strain curves of concrete were investigated.In this paper,a coarse aggregate and mortar matrix bonding assumption is proposed,and a prediction model for the elastic modulus of mortar is established by considering the lithology of the mechanism sand and the slurry components.An equivalent coarse aggregate elastic modulus model was established by considering factors such as coarse aggregate particle size,volume fraction,and mortar thickness between coarse aggregates.Based on the elastic modulus of the equivalent coarse aggregate and the remaining mortar,a prediction model for the elastic modulus of the two and three components of concrete in series and then in parallel was established,and the predicted values differed from the measured values within 10%.It is proposed that the coarse aggregate elastic modulus in highstrength concrete is the most critical factor affecting the elastic modulus of concrete,and as the coarse aggregate elastic modulus increases by 27.7%,the concrete elastic modulus increases by 19.5%. 展开更多
关键词 elastic modulus prediction model MINERALOGICAL influence mechanism
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An effective deep-learning prediction of Arctic sea-ice concentration based on the U-Net model
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作者 Yifan Xie Ke Fan +2 位作者 Hongqing Yang Yi Fan Shengping He 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2026年第1期34-40,共7页
Current shipping,tourism,and resource development requirements call for more accurate predictions of the Arctic sea-ice concentration(SIC).However,due to the complex physical processes involved,predicting the spatiote... Current shipping,tourism,and resource development requirements call for more accurate predictions of the Arctic sea-ice concentration(SIC).However,due to the complex physical processes involved,predicting the spatiotemporal distribution of Arctic SIC is more challenging than predicting its total extent.In this study,spatiotemporal prediction models for monthly Arctic SIC at 1-to 3-month leads are developed based on U-Net-an effective convolutional deep-learning approach.Based on explicit Arctic sea-ice-atmosphere interactions,11 variables associated with Arctic sea-ice variations are selected as predictors,including observed Arctic SIC,atmospheric,oceanic,and heat flux variables at 1-to 3-month leads.The prediction skills for the monthly Arctic SIC of the test set(from January 2018 to December 2022)are evaluated by examining the mean absolute error(MAE)and binary accuracy(BA).Results showed that the U-Net model had lower MAE and higher BA for Arctic SIC compared to two dynamic climate prediction systems(CFSv2 and NorCPM).By analyzing the relative importance of each predictor,the prediction accuracy relies more on the SIC at the 1-month lead,but on the surface net solar radiation flux at 2-to 3-month leads.However,dynamic models show limited prediction skills for surface net solar radiation flux and other physical processes,especially in autumn.Therefore,the U-Net model can be used to capture the connections among these key physical processes associated with Arctic sea ice and thus offers a significant advantage in predicting Arctic SIC. 展开更多
关键词 Arctic sea-ice concentration Deep-learning prediction U-Net model CFSv2 NorCPM
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Tail clamping induces anxiety-like behaviors and visceral hypersensitivity in rat models of non-erosive reflux disease
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作者 Mi Lv Xin Liu +6 位作者 Kai-Yue Huang Yu-Xi Wang Zheng Wang Li-Li Han Hui Che Lin Lv Feng-Yun Wang 《World Journal of Psychiatry》 2026年第1期356-368,共13页
BACKGROUND Non-erosive reflux disease(NERD),the main gastroesophageal reflux subtype,features reflux symptoms without mucosal damage.Anxiety links to visceral hypersensitivity in NERD,yet mechanisms and animal models ... BACKGROUND Non-erosive reflux disease(NERD),the main gastroesophageal reflux subtype,features reflux symptoms without mucosal damage.Anxiety links to visceral hypersensitivity in NERD,yet mechanisms and animal models are unclear.AIM To establish a translational NERD rat model with anxiety comorbidity via tail clamping and study corticotropin-releasing hormone(CRH)-mediated neuroimmune pathways in visceral hypersensitivity and esophageal injury.METHODS Sprague-Dawley(SD)and Wistar rats were grouped into sham,model,and modified groups(n=10 each).The treatments for the modified groups were as follows:SD rats received ovalbumin/aluminum hydroxide suspension+acid perfusion±tail clamping(40 minutes/day for 7 days),while Wistar rats received fructose water+tail clamping.Esophageal pathology,visceral sensitivity,and behavior were assessed.Serum CRH,calcitonin gene-related peptide(CGRP),5-hydroxytryptamine(5-HT),and mast cell tryptase(MCT)and central amygdala(CeA)CRH mRNA were measured via ELISA and qRT-PCR.RESULTS Tail clamping induced anxiety,worsening visceral hypersensitivity(lower abdominal withdrawal reflex thresholds,P<0.05)and esophageal injury(dilated intercellular spaces and mitochondrial edema).Both models showed raised serum CRH,CGRP,5-HT,and MCT(P<0.01)and CeA CRH mRNA expression(P<0.01).Behavioral tests confirmed anxiety-like phenotypes.NERD-anxiety rats showed clinical-like symptom severity without erosion.CONCLUSION Tail clamping induces anxiety in NERD models,worsening visceral hypersensitivity via CRH neuroimmune dysregulation,offering a translational model and highlighting CRH as a treatment target. 展开更多
关键词 Non-erosive reflux disease Anxiety and depression Animal model Tail-clamping Corticotropin hormones
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Processing map for oxide dispersion strengthening Cu alloys based on experimental results and machine learning modelling
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作者 Le Zong Lingxin Li +8 位作者 Lantian Zhang Xuecheng Jin Yong Zhang Wenfeng Yang Pengfei Liu Bin Gan Liujie Xu Yuanshen Qi Wenwen Sun 《International Journal of Minerals,Metallurgy and Materials》 2026年第1期292-305,共14页
Oxide dispersion strengthened(ODS)alloys are extensively used owing to high thermostability and creep strength contributed from uniformly dispersed fine oxides particles.However,the existence of these strengthening pa... Oxide dispersion strengthened(ODS)alloys are extensively used owing to high thermostability and creep strength contributed from uniformly dispersed fine oxides particles.However,the existence of these strengthening particles also deteriorates the processability and it is of great importance to establish accurate processing maps to guide the thermomechanical processes to enhance the formability.In this study,we performed particle swarm optimization-based back propagation artificial neural network model to predict the high temperature flow behavior of 0.25wt%Al2O3 particle-reinforced Cu alloys,and compared the accuracy with that of derived by Arrhenius-type constitutive model and back propagation artificial neural network model.To train these models,we obtained the raw data by fabricating ODS Cu alloys using the internal oxidation and reduction method,and conducting systematic hot compression tests between 400 and800℃with strain rates of 10^(-2)-10 S^(-1).At last,processing maps for ODS Cu alloys were proposed by combining processing parameters,mechanical behavior,microstructure characterization,and the modeling results achieved a coefficient of determination higher than>99%. 展开更多
关键词 oxide dispersion strengthened Cu alloys constitutive model machine learning hot deformation processing maps
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Growing a Rural Future--A young Ugandan channels insights from China’s model villages to build a more resilient,cooperative and forward-looking Busoga
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作者 LI XIAOYU 《ChinAfrica》 2026年第1期56-57,共2页
In the lush heart of Uganda’s Busoga sub-region,Isaac Imaka is charting a new course for rural development.After seven years in national media,he left the newsroom and stepped into the soil.The former reporter with t... In the lush heart of Uganda’s Busoga sub-region,Isaac Imaka is charting a new course for rural development.After seven years in national media,he left the newsroom and stepped into the soil.The former reporter with the Daily Monitor was driven by the belief that communities like his in Jinja North deserved more than chronic poverty and hand-to-mouth survival. 展开更多
关键词 community resilience Uganda rural development model villages rural future Busoga sub region cooperative development rural journalism
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Effects of noninvasive brain stimulation on motor functions in animal models of ischemia and trauma in the central nervous system
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作者 Seda Demir Gereon R.Fink +1 位作者 Maria A.Rueger Stefan J.Blaschke 《Neural Regeneration Research》 2026年第4期1264-1276,共13页
Noninvasive brain stimulation techniques offer promising therapeutic and regenerative prospects in neurological diseases by modulating brain activity and improving cognitive and motor functions.Given the paucity of kn... Noninvasive brain stimulation techniques offer promising therapeutic and regenerative prospects in neurological diseases by modulating brain activity and improving cognitive and motor functions.Given the paucity of knowledge about the underlying modes of action and optimal treatment modalities,a thorough translational investigation of noninvasive brain stimulation in preclinical animal models is urgently needed.Thus,we reviewed the current literature on the mechanistic underpinnings of noninvasive brain stimulation in models of central nervous system impairment,with a particular emphasis on traumatic brain injury and stroke.Due to the lack of translational models in most noninvasive brain stimulation techniques proposed,we found this review to the most relevant techniques used in humans,i.e.,transcranial magnetic stimulation and transcranial direct current stimulation.We searched the literature in Pub Med,encompassing the MEDLINE and PMC databases,for studies published between January 1,2020 and September 30,2024.Thirty-five studies were eligible.Transcranial magnetic stimulation and transcranial direct current stimulation demonstrated distinct strengths in augmenting rehabilitation post-stroke and traumatic brain injury,with emerging mechanistic evidence.Overall,we identified neuronal,inflammatory,microvascular,and apoptotic pathways highlighted in the literature.This review also highlights a lack of translational surrogate parameters to bridge the gap between preclinical findings and their clinical translation. 展开更多
关键词 noninvasive brain stimulation preclinical modeling STROKE transcranial direct current stimulation transcranial magnetic stimulation traumatic brain injury
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Risk factors for paternal perinatal depression in Chinese advanced maternal age couples:A regression mixture model
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作者 Xing Yin Juan Du +1 位作者 Shao-Lian Cai Xing-Qiang Chen 《World Journal of Psychiatry》 2026年第1期267-277,共11页
BACKGROUND Paternal perinatal depression(PPD)is closely associated with maternal mental health challenges,marital strain,and adverse child developmental outcomes.Despite its significant impact,PPD remains under-recogn... BACKGROUND Paternal perinatal depression(PPD)is closely associated with maternal mental health challenges,marital strain,and adverse child developmental outcomes.Despite its significant impact,PPD remains under-recognized in family-centered clinical practice.Concurrently,against the backdrop of rising rates of delayed marriage and China’s Maternity Incentive Policy,the proportion of women giving birth at an advanced maternal age is increasing.Nevertheless,research specifically examining PPD among spouses of older mothers remains critically scarce,both in China and globally.AIM To investigate PPD and its influencing factors in Chinese advanced maternal age families.METHODS This cross-sectional study included 358 participants;it was conducted among fathers of pregnant women of advanced maternal age at five hospitals in the Pearl River Delta region of China from September 2023 to June 2024.Data were collected via a general information questionnaire,the Social Support Rating Scale,and the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale.Latent profile analysis and regression mixture models(RMMs)were adopted to analyze the latent PPD types and factors that influenced PPD.RESULTS The incidence of PPD was 16.48%,and three profiles were identified:Low-symptomatic(175 cases,48.89%),monophasic(140 cases,39.10%),and high-symptomatic(43 cases,12.01%).The RMM analysis revealed that first pregnancy,low income(<¥3000/month),part-time work,and a history of abnormal pregnancy were positively associated with the high-symptomatic type(P<0.05).Conversely,high subjective support and support utilization were negatively associated with the high-symptomatic type compared with the low-symptomatic type(P<0.05).Good couple relationships,high objective and subjective support,and high support utilization were negatively associated with monophasic disorder(P<0.05).CONCLUSION PPD incidence is high among Chinese fathers with advanced maternal age partners,and the characteristics of depression are varied.Healthcare practitioners should prioritize individuals with low levels of social support. 展开更多
关键词 Advanced maternal age Paternal perinatal depression Fathers’mental health Regression mixture model Advanced-age pregnancy Latent profile analysis
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Novel therapies for myasthenia gravis:Translational research from animal models to clinical application
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作者 Benedetta Sorrenti Christian Laurini +4 位作者 Luca Bosco Camilla Mirella Maria Strano Adele Ratti Yuri Matteo Falzone Stefano Carlo Previtali 《Neural Regeneration Research》 2026年第5期1834-1848,共15页
Myasthenia gravis is a chronic autoimmune disorder that affects the neuromuscular junction leading to fluctuating skeletal muscle fatigability. The majority of myasthenia gravis patients have detectable antibodies in ... Myasthenia gravis is a chronic autoimmune disorder that affects the neuromuscular junction leading to fluctuating skeletal muscle fatigability. The majority of myasthenia gravis patients have detectable antibodies in their serum, targeting acetylcholine receptor, muscle-specific kinase, or related proteins. Current treatment for myasthenia gravis involves symptomatic therapy, immunosuppressive drugs such as corticosteroids, azathioprine, and mycophenolate mofetil, and thymectomy, which is primarily indicated in patients with thymoma or thymic hyperplasia. However, this condition continues to pose significant challenges including an unpredictable and variable disease progression, differing response to individual therapies, and substantial longterm side effects associated with standard treatments(including an increased risk of infections, osteoporosis, and diabetes), underscoring the necessity for a more personalized approach to treatment. Furthermore, about fifteen percent of patients, called “refractory myasthenia gravis patients”, do not respond adequately to standard therapies. In this context, the introduction of molecular therapies has marked a significant advance in myasthenia gravis management. Advances in understanding myasthenia gravis pathogenesis, especially the role of pathogenic antibodies, have driven the development of these biological drugs, which offer more selective, rapid, and safer alternatives to traditional immunosuppressants. This review aims to provide a comprehensive overview of emerging therapeutic strategies targeting specific immune pathways in myasthenia gravis, with a particular focus on preclinical evidence, therapeutic rationale, and clinical translation of B-cell depletion therapies, neonatal Fc receptor inhibitors, and complement inhibitors. 展开更多
关键词 acetylcholine receptor(AChR) animal models B-cell depletion biological therapies COMPLEMENT IMMUNOTHERAPY muscle-specific kinase(Mu SK) neonatal Fc receptor
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Human cerebral organoids:Complex,versatile,and human-relevant models of neural development and brain diseases
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作者 Raquel Coronel Rosa González-Sastre +8 位作者 Patricia Mateos-Martínez Laura Maeso Elena Llorente-Beneyto Sabela Martín-Benito Viviana S.Costa Gagosian Leonardo Foti Ma Carmen González-Caballero Victoria López-Alonso Isabel Liste 《Neural Regeneration Research》 2026年第3期837-854,共18页
The brain is the most complex human organ,and commonly used models,such as two-dimensional-cell cultures and animal brains,often lack the sophistication needed to accurately use in research.In this context,human cereb... The brain is the most complex human organ,and commonly used models,such as two-dimensional-cell cultures and animal brains,often lack the sophistication needed to accurately use in research.In this context,human cerebral organoids have emerged as valuable tools offering a more complex,versatile,and human-relevant system than traditional animal models,which are often unable to replicate the intricate architecture and functionality of the human brain.Since human cerebral organoids are a state-of-the-art model for the study of neurodevelopment and different pathologies affecting the brain,this field is currently under constant development,and work in this area is abundant.In this review,we give a complete overview of human cerebral organoids technology,starting from the different types of protocols that exist to generate different human cerebral organoids.We continue with the use of brain organoids for the study of brain pathologies,highlighting neurodevelopmental,psychiatric,neurodegenerative,brain tumor,and infectious diseases.Because of the potential value of human cerebral organoids,we describe their use in transplantation,drug screening,and toxicology assays.We also discuss the technologies available to study cell diversity and physiological characteristics of organoids.Finally,we summarize the limitations that currently exist in the field,such as the development of vasculature and microglia,and highlight some of the novel approaches being pursued through bioengineering. 展开更多
关键词 assembloids BIOENGINEERING challenges disease modeling drug screening and toxicology human brain organoids human pluripotent stem cells neurodegenerative diseases NEURODEVELOPMENT VASCULARIZATION
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粤港澳大湾区中医药健康产业发展的SWOT-PEST模型分析 被引量:1
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作者 徐志红 庞震苗 《卫生软科学》 2025年第5期22-28,共7页
本文基于SWOT-PEST分析法,从政治、经济、社会和技术4个维度探讨了粤港澳大湾区中医药健康产业发展的优势、劣势、机会与威胁。政策优势为产业提供了强有力的支持,但政策执行的滞后性和跨部门协调不足可能削弱其实际效果;经济实力为产... 本文基于SWOT-PEST分析法,从政治、经济、社会和技术4个维度探讨了粤港澳大湾区中医药健康产业发展的优势、劣势、机会与威胁。政策优势为产业提供了强有力的支持,但政策执行的滞后性和跨部门协调不足可能削弱其实际效果;经济实力为产业奠定了坚实的市场基础和资金支持,但相关企业仍面临土地、人工成本上升带来的运营压力;社会需求和文化底蕴为产业提供了广阔的市场前景,但消费者对中医药的认知偏差是市场拓展的隐形界限;技术优势为产业的数字化转型和智能化升级提供了强大支撑,但创新力不足与成果转化效率瓶颈仍是亟待突破的难题。对此,提出创新驱动打造中医药健康产业新生态、优化政策协同、加强科技创新与成果转化、加强人才培养与引进以及拓宽国际合作视野等发展对策。 展开更多
关键词 中医药健康产业 swot-pest模型 粤港澳大湾区
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基于SWOT-PEST分析的慢性病防控医防融合现状及对策
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作者 李丽清 李闯 曾传美 《中国医院》 北大核心 2025年第7期35-38,共4页
开展慢性病防控医防融合可使健康服务关口前移,从源头上预防慢性病发生,延缓并发症出现,可以节约医疗成本、减轻疾病负担及提高医疗资源利用率。为有效推进慢性病防控医防融合工作的有序开展,借助SWOT-PEST分析工具,从政治、经济、社会... 开展慢性病防控医防融合可使健康服务关口前移,从源头上预防慢性病发生,延缓并发症出现,可以节约医疗成本、减轻疾病负担及提高医疗资源利用率。为有效推进慢性病防控医防融合工作的有序开展,借助SWOT-PEST分析工具,从政治、经济、社会和技术等方面综合分析慢性病防控医防融合的优势、劣势、机遇及挑战,为开展慢性病健康管理提出有针对性的对策与建议。 展开更多
关键词 慢病防控 医防融合 医防协同 swot-pest 慢病管理
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新型公共文化空间视域下图书馆服务模式重构研究——基于SWOT-PEST分析
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作者 雒虹 时莹 霍彩玲 《山东图书馆学刊》 2025年第2期22-27,共6页
新型公共文化空间建设是图书馆服务现代化转型的关键命题。本文通过构建服务模式5W要素框架和SWOTPEST矩阵,从静态到动态系统解构了图书馆服务模式重构升级的驱动要素与战略路径。结合广东、浙江等地实践案例,探索新型公共文化空间治理... 新型公共文化空间建设是图书馆服务现代化转型的关键命题。本文通过构建服务模式5W要素框架和SWOTPEST矩阵,从静态到动态系统解构了图书馆服务模式重构升级的驱动要素与战略路径。结合广东、浙江等地实践案例,探索新型公共文化空间治理中图书馆服务模式优化重构的实践范式。研究发现,新型公共文化空间为图书馆服务模式重构提供了新的契机,通过“空间—技术—价值—制度”路径优化资源配置、创新服务模式、提升服务效能等,更好地满足用户多样化、个性化的文化需求,推动图书馆服务向更高层次发展。 展开更多
关键词 新型公共文化空间 图书馆 服务创新 swot-pest
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基于Hybrid Model的浙江省太阳总辐射估算及其时空分布特征
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作者 顾婷婷 潘娅英 张加易 《气象科学》 2025年第2期176-181,共6页
利用浙江省两个辐射站的观测资料,对地表太阳辐射模型Hybrid Model在浙江省的适用性进行评估分析。在此基础上,利用Hybrid Model重建浙江省71个站点1971—2020年的地表太阳辐射日数据集,并分析其时空变化特征。结果表明:Hybrid Model模... 利用浙江省两个辐射站的观测资料,对地表太阳辐射模型Hybrid Model在浙江省的适用性进行评估分析。在此基础上,利用Hybrid Model重建浙江省71个站点1971—2020年的地表太阳辐射日数据集,并分析其时空变化特征。结果表明:Hybrid Model模拟效果良好,和A-P模型计算结果进行对比,杭州站的平均误差、均方根误差、平均绝对百分比误差分别为2.01 MJ·m^(-2)、2.69 MJ·m^(-2)和18.02%,而洪家站的平均误差、均方根误差、平均绝对百分比误差分别为1.41 MJ·m^(-2)、1.85 MJ·m^(-2)和11.56%,误差均低于A-P模型,且Hybrid Model在各月模拟的误差波动较小。浙江省近50 a平均地表总辐射在3733~5060 MJ·m^(-2),高值区主要位于浙北平原及滨海岛屿地区。1971—2020年浙江省太阳总辐射呈明显减少的趋势,气候倾向率为-72 MJ·m^(-2)·(10 a)^(-1),并在1980s初和2000年中期发生了突变减少。 展开更多
关键词 Hybrid model 太阳总辐射 误差分析 时空分布
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基于SWOT-PEST模型和消费者偏好调查的广西咖啡产业发展现状及对策研究
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作者 钟云婕 麦荷 +4 位作者 岑庆静 郑学娜 赵媛 陈赶林 任二芳 《农业研究与应用》 2025年第4期336-349,共14页
【目的】广西作为中国新兴咖啡产区,凭借其独特的地理气候条件与毗邻东盟的区位优势,逐步形成以咖啡种植与加工为主的特色产业。本研究旨在系统评估广西咖啡产业发展态势,探索优化路径,为科学规划广西乃至全国咖啡产业发展提供有益参考... 【目的】广西作为中国新兴咖啡产区,凭借其独特的地理气候条件与毗邻东盟的区位优势,逐步形成以咖啡种植与加工为主的特色产业。本研究旨在系统评估广西咖啡产业发展态势,探索优化路径,为科学规划广西乃至全国咖啡产业发展提供有益参考和理论支撑。【方法】在结合实地调研、文献分析、问卷调查等多种方法收集广西咖啡产业链及线下消费者偏好数据基础上,搭建SWOT-PEST矩阵,从政府、经济、社会、技术4个维度对广西咖啡产业的内部优势、劣势和外部机遇、风险进行全面分析,厘清广西咖啡产业发展的内外部条件、市场需求特征及核心制约因素,进而提出差异化发展策略。【结果】研究发现,广西咖啡产业具备政府重视、区位优势、咖啡氛围浓厚、产业链初步建立与政策鼓励、市场潜力巨大、科技创新变革等优势与机遇,但同时也面临部门联动有待加强、产业链附加值偏低、品牌认知度不高、技术标准化缺失和国际局势波动、市场竞争加剧、气候变化等不足和挑战。【结论】综合消费者偏好和宏观消费数据分析的结果,本土化、健康化、场景化是未来咖啡产业市场开拓的关键。建议广西咖啡产业实施多维策略:在增长型策略上要充分放大政策与区位优势,编制全产业链规划,科学、高效实现广西咖啡产业“种植—加工—贸易”全链条增值;在防御型策略上要强化科技攻关与人才培养,推广抗逆品种与标准化技术,夯实产业自身硬实力;在转型策略上要以消费升级为驱动,发展中下游产业,打造“广西风味”产品,推动咖旅融合;在多元经营策略上要开发“咖啡+文旅”“咖啡+大健康”等创新模式,提升品牌叙事能力。 展开更多
关键词 咖啡 swot-pest模型 消费者偏好 发展策略 广西
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果桑产业发展态势及发展策略研究——基于对夏津县桑产业的SWOT-PEST分析 被引量:2
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作者 尹训刚 周振亚 +1 位作者 刘得汉 李佳颖 《中国果树》 2025年第2期123-134,共12页
果桑产业是赋能乡村振兴、助力农民增收的新兴特色产业,夏津县是我国果桑产业的优势区域和典型代表,研究夏津县果桑产业的发展态势和发展路径,对全国果桑产业的发展具有重要的示范作用和借鉴意义。在实地调研和查阅文献的基础上,采用SWO... 果桑产业是赋能乡村振兴、助力农民增收的新兴特色产业,夏津县是我国果桑产业的优势区域和典型代表,研究夏津县果桑产业的发展态势和发展路径,对全国果桑产业的发展具有重要的示范作用和借鉴意义。在实地调研和查阅文献的基础上,采用SWOT-PEST模型,从政治、经济、社会、技术4个维度对夏津县果桑产业的自身优势、劣势及面临的机遇和威胁进行全面分析。研究发现,夏津县果桑产业具备当地政府重视、产业链条初步完善、历史文化深厚、技术支撑良好及政策大力支持、开发潜力巨大、社会价值多元、高新科技应用等优势和机遇,但同时也面临政策合力不足、产品结构单一、比较优势下降、核心科技缺乏及土地约束严重、市场竞争激烈、产品认可度低、技术装备相对落后等不足和挑战。在此基础上,提出加快增长、扭转被动、多元经营、防御风险等发展策略,以期为夏津县乃至全国果桑产业的持续发展提供有益参考。 展开更多
关键词 果桑产业 发展态势 发展策略 夏津 swot-pest分析
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基于24Model的动火作业事故致因文本挖掘 被引量:1
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作者 牛茂辉 李威君 +1 位作者 刘音 王璐 《中国安全科学学报》 北大核心 2025年第3期151-158,共8页
为探究工业动火作业事故的根源,提出一种基于“2-4”模型(24Model)的文本挖掘方法。首先,收集整理220篇动火作业事故报告,并作为数据集,构建基于来自变换器的双向编码器表征量(BERT)的24Model分类器,使用预训练模型训练和评估事故报告... 为探究工业动火作业事故的根源,提出一种基于“2-4”模型(24Model)的文本挖掘方法。首先,收集整理220篇动火作业事故报告,并作为数据集,构建基于来自变换器的双向编码器表征量(BERT)的24Model分类器,使用预训练模型训练和评估事故报告数据集,构建分类模型;然后,通过基于BERT的关键字提取算法(KeyBERT)和词频-逆文档频率(TF-IDF)算法的组合权重,结合24Model框架,建立动火作业事故文本关键词指标体系;最后,通过文本挖掘关键词之间的网络共现关系,分析得到事故致因之间的相互关联。结果显示,基于BERT的24Model分类器模型能够系统准确地判定动火作业事故致因类别,通过组合权重筛选得到4个层级关键词指标体系,其中安全管理体系的权重最大,结合共现网络分析得到动火作业事故的7项关键致因。 展开更多
关键词 “2-4”模型(24model) 动火作业 事故致因 文本挖掘 指标体系
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