This study proposes a novel forecasting framework that simultaneously captures the strong periodicity and irregular meteorological fluctuations inherent in solar radiation time series.Existing approaches typically def...This study proposes a novel forecasting framework that simultaneously captures the strong periodicity and irregular meteorological fluctuations inherent in solar radiation time series.Existing approaches typically define inter-regional correlations using either simple correlation coefficients or distance-based measures when applying spatio-temporal graph neural networks(STGNNs).However,such definitions are prone to generating spurious correlations due to the dominance of periodic structures.To address this limitation,we adopt the Elastic-Band Transform(EBT)to decompose solar radiation into periodic and amplitude-modulated components,which are then modeled independently with separate graph neural networks.The periodic component,characterized by strong nationwide correlations,is learned with a relatively simple architecture,whereas the amplitude-modulated component is modeled with more complex STGNNs that capture climatological similarities between regions.The predictions from the two components are subsequently recombined to yield final forecasts that integrate both periodic patterns and aperiodic variability.The proposed framework is validated with multiple STGNN architectures,and experimental results demonstrate improved predictive accuracy and interpretability compared to conventional methods.展开更多
Photovoltaic(PV)power generation is undergoing significant growth and serves as a key driver of the global energy transition.However,its intermittent nature,which fluctuates with weather conditions,has raised concerns...Photovoltaic(PV)power generation is undergoing significant growth and serves as a key driver of the global energy transition.However,its intermittent nature,which fluctuates with weather conditions,has raised concerns about grid stability.Accurate PV power prediction has been demonstrated as crucial for power system operation and scheduling,enabling power slope control,fluctuation mitigation,grid stability enhancement,and reliable data support for secure grid operation.However,existing prediction models primarily target centralized PV plants,largely neglecting the spatiotemporal coupling dynamics and output uncertainties inherent to distributed PV systems.This study proposes a novel Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Network(STGNN)architecture for distributed PV power generation prediction,designed to enhance distributed photovoltaic(PV)power generation forecasting accuracy and support regional grid scheduling.This approach models each PV power plant as a node in an undirected graph,with edges representing correlations between plants to capture spatial dependencies.The model comprises multiple Sparse Attention-based Adaptive Spatio-Temporal(SAAST)blocks.The SAAST blocks include sparse temporal attention,sparse spatial attention,an adaptive Graph Convolutional Network(GCN),and a temporal convolution network(TCN).These components eliminate weak temporal and spatial correlations,better represent dynamic spatial dependencies,and further enhance prediction accuracy.Finally,multi-dimensional comparative experiments between the STGNN and other models on the DKASC PV dataset demonstrate its superior performance in terms of accuracy and goodness-of-fit for distributed PV power generation prediction.展开更多
False Data Injection Attack(FDIA),a disruptive cyber threat,is becoming increasingly detrimental to smart grids with the deepening integration of information technology and physical power systems,leading to system unr...False Data Injection Attack(FDIA),a disruptive cyber threat,is becoming increasingly detrimental to smart grids with the deepening integration of information technology and physical power systems,leading to system unreliability,data integrity loss and operational vulnerability exposure.Given its widespread harm and impact,conducting in-depth research on FDIA detection is vitally important.This paper innovatively introduces a FDIA detection scheme:A Protected Federated Deep Learning(ProFed),which leverages Federated Averaging algorithm(FedAvg)as a foundational framework to fortify data security,harnesses pre-trained enhanced spatial-temporal graph neural networks(STGNN)to perform localized model training and integrates the Cheon-Kim-Kim-Song(CKKS)homomorphic encryption system to secure sensitive information.Simulation tests on IEEE 14-bus and IEEE 118-bus systems demonstrate that our proposed method outperforms other state-of-the-art detection methods across all evaluation metrics,with peak improvements reaching up to 35%.展开更多
The rapid growth and increasing complexity of Internet of Things(IoT)devices have made network intrusion detection a critical challenge,especially in edge computing environments where data privacy is a primary concern...The rapid growth and increasing complexity of Internet of Things(IoT)devices have made network intrusion detection a critical challenge,especially in edge computing environments where data privacy is a primary concern.Machine learning-based intrusion detection techniques enhance IoT network security but often require centralized network data,posing significant risks to data privacy and security.Although federated learning(FL)-based network intrusion detection methods have emerged in recent years to address privacy concerns,they have not fully leveraged the advantages of graph neural networks(GNNs)for intrusion detection.To address this issue,we propose a federated spatiotemporal graph convolutional network(FedSTGCN)model,which integrates the capabilities of spatiotemporal GNNs(STGNNs)and federated learning.This framework enables collaborative model training across distributed IoT devices without requiring the sharing of raw data,thereby improving network intrusion detection accuracy while preserving data privacy.Extensive experiments are conducted on two widely used IoT intrusion detection datasets to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.The results demonstrate that FedSTGCN outperforms other methods in both binary and multiclass classification tasks,achieving over 97%accuracy in binary classification tasks and over 92%weighted F1-score in multiclass classification tasks.展开更多
基金supported by Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF)funded by the Ministry of Education(RS-2023-00249743).
文摘This study proposes a novel forecasting framework that simultaneously captures the strong periodicity and irregular meteorological fluctuations inherent in solar radiation time series.Existing approaches typically define inter-regional correlations using either simple correlation coefficients or distance-based measures when applying spatio-temporal graph neural networks(STGNNs).However,such definitions are prone to generating spurious correlations due to the dominance of periodic structures.To address this limitation,we adopt the Elastic-Band Transform(EBT)to decompose solar radiation into periodic and amplitude-modulated components,which are then modeled independently with separate graph neural networks.The periodic component,characterized by strong nationwide correlations,is learned with a relatively simple architecture,whereas the amplitude-modulated component is modeled with more complex STGNNs that capture climatological similarities between regions.The predictions from the two components are subsequently recombined to yield final forecasts that integrate both periodic patterns and aperiodic variability.The proposed framework is validated with multiple STGNN architectures,and experimental results demonstrate improved predictive accuracy and interpretability compared to conventional methods.
基金supported by the State Grid Corporation of China Headquarters Science and Technology Project“Research on Key Technologies for Power System Source-Load Forecasting and Regulation Capacity Assessment Oriented towards Major Weather Processes”(4000-202355381A-2-3-XG).
文摘Photovoltaic(PV)power generation is undergoing significant growth and serves as a key driver of the global energy transition.However,its intermittent nature,which fluctuates with weather conditions,has raised concerns about grid stability.Accurate PV power prediction has been demonstrated as crucial for power system operation and scheduling,enabling power slope control,fluctuation mitigation,grid stability enhancement,and reliable data support for secure grid operation.However,existing prediction models primarily target centralized PV plants,largely neglecting the spatiotemporal coupling dynamics and output uncertainties inherent to distributed PV systems.This study proposes a novel Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Network(STGNN)architecture for distributed PV power generation prediction,designed to enhance distributed photovoltaic(PV)power generation forecasting accuracy and support regional grid scheduling.This approach models each PV power plant as a node in an undirected graph,with edges representing correlations between plants to capture spatial dependencies.The model comprises multiple Sparse Attention-based Adaptive Spatio-Temporal(SAAST)blocks.The SAAST blocks include sparse temporal attention,sparse spatial attention,an adaptive Graph Convolutional Network(GCN),and a temporal convolution network(TCN).These components eliminate weak temporal and spatial correlations,better represent dynamic spatial dependencies,and further enhance prediction accuracy.Finally,multi-dimensional comparative experiments between the STGNN and other models on the DKASC PV dataset demonstrate its superior performance in terms of accuracy and goodness-of-fit for distributed PV power generation prediction.
基金supported in part by the Sichuan Science and Technology Program(2024YFHZ0015)the Key Laboratory of Data Protection and Intelligent Management,Ministry of Education,Sichuan University(SCUSACXYD202401).
文摘False Data Injection Attack(FDIA),a disruptive cyber threat,is becoming increasingly detrimental to smart grids with the deepening integration of information technology and physical power systems,leading to system unreliability,data integrity loss and operational vulnerability exposure.Given its widespread harm and impact,conducting in-depth research on FDIA detection is vitally important.This paper innovatively introduces a FDIA detection scheme:A Protected Federated Deep Learning(ProFed),which leverages Federated Averaging algorithm(FedAvg)as a foundational framework to fortify data security,harnesses pre-trained enhanced spatial-temporal graph neural networks(STGNN)to perform localized model training and integrates the Cheon-Kim-Kim-Song(CKKS)homomorphic encryption system to secure sensitive information.Simulation tests on IEEE 14-bus and IEEE 118-bus systems demonstrate that our proposed method outperforms other state-of-the-art detection methods across all evaluation metrics,with peak improvements reaching up to 35%.
文摘The rapid growth and increasing complexity of Internet of Things(IoT)devices have made network intrusion detection a critical challenge,especially in edge computing environments where data privacy is a primary concern.Machine learning-based intrusion detection techniques enhance IoT network security but often require centralized network data,posing significant risks to data privacy and security.Although federated learning(FL)-based network intrusion detection methods have emerged in recent years to address privacy concerns,they have not fully leveraged the advantages of graph neural networks(GNNs)for intrusion detection.To address this issue,we propose a federated spatiotemporal graph convolutional network(FedSTGCN)model,which integrates the capabilities of spatiotemporal GNNs(STGNNs)and federated learning.This framework enables collaborative model training across distributed IoT devices without requiring the sharing of raw data,thereby improving network intrusion detection accuracy while preserving data privacy.Extensive experiments are conducted on two widely used IoT intrusion detection datasets to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.The results demonstrate that FedSTGCN outperforms other methods in both binary and multiclass classification tasks,achieving over 97%accuracy in binary classification tasks and over 92%weighted F1-score in multiclass classification tasks.
