With the widespread adoption of electric vehicles and energy storage systems,predicting the remaining useful life(RUL)of lithium-ion batteries(LIBs)is critical for enhancing system reliability and enabling predictive ...With the widespread adoption of electric vehicles and energy storage systems,predicting the remaining useful life(RUL)of lithium-ion batteries(LIBs)is critical for enhancing system reliability and enabling predictive maintenance.Traditional RUL prediction methods often exhibit reduced accuracy during the nonlinear aging stages of batteries and struggle to accommodate complex degradation processes.This paper introduces a novel adaptive long short-term memory(LSTM)approach that dynamically adjusts observation and prediction horizons to optimize predictive performance across various aging stages.The proposed method employs principal component analysis(PCA)for dimensionality reduction on publicly available NASA and Mendeley battery datasets to extract health indicators(HIs)and applies K-means clustering to segment the battery lifecycle into three aging stages(run-in,linear aging,and nonlinear aging),providing aging-stage-based input features for the model.Experimental results show that,in the NASA dataset,the adaptive LSTM reduces the MAE and RMSE by 0.042 and 0.043,respectively,compared to the CNN,demonstrating its effectiveness in mitigating error accumulation during the nonlinear aging stage.However,in the Mendeley dataset,the average prediction accuracy of the adaptive LSTM is slightly lower than that of the CNN and Transformer.These findings indicate that defining aging-stage-based adaptive observation and prediction horizons for LSTM can effectively enhance its performance in predicting battery RUL across the entire lifecycle.展开更多
锂离子电池剩余使用寿命(remaining useful life,RUL)预测对电池的使用维护极为重要,提出一种基于差分电压和Elman神经网络预测锂离子电池RUL的方法。首先,根据美国国家航天航空局(National Aeronautics and Space Administration,NASA...锂离子电池剩余使用寿命(remaining useful life,RUL)预测对电池的使用维护极为重要,提出一种基于差分电压和Elman神经网络预测锂离子电池RUL的方法。首先,根据美国国家航天航空局(National Aeronautics and Space Administration,NASA)的锂离子电池数据集,分析电池差分电压曲线和充放电曲线,提取电池容量退化特征量;其次,通过Pearson法分析特征量之间的相关性,将充电差分电压曲线初始拐点值、放电差分电压曲线峰值、放电时间、静置时间作为电池RUL预测的间接健康因子;最后,建立以上述间接健康因子为输入,电池容量为输出的Elman神经网络,进行锂离子电池的RUL预测。基于不同间接健康因子和不同神经网络的四种电池容量预测对比实验表明,在间接健康因子中加入充电差分电压曲线初始拐点值和放电差分电压曲线峰值可以提高电池寿命预测精度,Elman神经网络可准确预测电池容量。基于不同循环次数预测电池RUL,预测的平均均方根误差为1.55%。展开更多
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.62403475).
文摘With the widespread adoption of electric vehicles and energy storage systems,predicting the remaining useful life(RUL)of lithium-ion batteries(LIBs)is critical for enhancing system reliability and enabling predictive maintenance.Traditional RUL prediction methods often exhibit reduced accuracy during the nonlinear aging stages of batteries and struggle to accommodate complex degradation processes.This paper introduces a novel adaptive long short-term memory(LSTM)approach that dynamically adjusts observation and prediction horizons to optimize predictive performance across various aging stages.The proposed method employs principal component analysis(PCA)for dimensionality reduction on publicly available NASA and Mendeley battery datasets to extract health indicators(HIs)and applies K-means clustering to segment the battery lifecycle into three aging stages(run-in,linear aging,and nonlinear aging),providing aging-stage-based input features for the model.Experimental results show that,in the NASA dataset,the adaptive LSTM reduces the MAE and RMSE by 0.042 and 0.043,respectively,compared to the CNN,demonstrating its effectiveness in mitigating error accumulation during the nonlinear aging stage.However,in the Mendeley dataset,the average prediction accuracy of the adaptive LSTM is slightly lower than that of the CNN and Transformer.These findings indicate that defining aging-stage-based adaptive observation and prediction horizons for LSTM can effectively enhance its performance in predicting battery RUL across the entire lifecycle.
文摘锂离子电池剩余使用寿命(remaining useful life,RUL)预测对电池的使用维护极为重要,提出一种基于差分电压和Elman神经网络预测锂离子电池RUL的方法。首先,根据美国国家航天航空局(National Aeronautics and Space Administration,NASA)的锂离子电池数据集,分析电池差分电压曲线和充放电曲线,提取电池容量退化特征量;其次,通过Pearson法分析特征量之间的相关性,将充电差分电压曲线初始拐点值、放电差分电压曲线峰值、放电时间、静置时间作为电池RUL预测的间接健康因子;最后,建立以上述间接健康因子为输入,电池容量为输出的Elman神经网络,进行锂离子电池的RUL预测。基于不同间接健康因子和不同神经网络的四种电池容量预测对比实验表明,在间接健康因子中加入充电差分电压曲线初始拐点值和放电差分电压曲线峰值可以提高电池寿命预测精度,Elman神经网络可准确预测电池容量。基于不同循环次数预测电池RUL,预测的平均均方根误差为1.55%。
