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Annual precipitation gray forecast in disaster year of Chedaren debris flow
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作者 MENG Fanqi LI Guangjie 《Global Geology》 2009年第2期105-108,共4页
The Chedaren ravine belongs to high-prone areas of debris flow in Jilin Province, which threaten the local people' s life and security seriously. The authors used the residual correction theory to amend the GM ( 1,... The Chedaren ravine belongs to high-prone areas of debris flow in Jilin Province, which threaten the local people' s life and security seriously. The authors used the residual correction theory to amend the GM ( 1, 1 ) model and forecast annual precipitation in disaster year of the Chedaren ravine ; it provides scientific foundation for early warning of debris flow disaster in the rainy season based on weather forecast. The prediction resuits show that annual precipitation is 724.7 mm in 2009 ; the region will probably occur large-scale debris flow during the rainy season. 展开更多
关键词 residual error correction debris flow precipitation forecast
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A numerical method for solutions of Lotka-Volterra predator-prey model with time-delay
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作者 Suayip Yiizbasl Murat Karacaylr 《International Journal of Biomathematics》 SCIE 2018年第2期283-298,共16页
In this paper, we present a numerical scheme to obtain polynomial approximations for the solutions of continuous time-delayed population models for two interacting species. The method includes taking inner product of ... In this paper, we present a numerical scheme to obtain polynomial approximations for the solutions of continuous time-delayed population models for two interacting species. The method includes taking inner product of a set of monomials with a vector obtained from the problem under consideration. Doing this, the problem is transformed to a non- linear system of algebraic equations. This system is then solved, yielding coefficients of the approximate polynomial solutions. In addition, the technique of residual correction, which aims to increase the accuracy of the approximate solution by estimating its error, is discussed in some detail. The method and the residual correction technique are illustrated with two examples. 展开更多
关键词 Continuous population models delay differential equations Lotka Volterraequation inner product residual error correction.
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