Accurate prediction of main-engine rotational speed(RPM)is pivotal for en-ergy-efficient ship operation and compliance with emerging carbon-intensity regulations.Existing approaches either rely on computationally inte...Accurate prediction of main-engine rotational speed(RPM)is pivotal for en-ergy-efficient ship operation and compliance with emerging carbon-intensity regulations.Existing approaches either rely on computationally intensive phys-ics-based models or data-driven methods that neglect hydrodynamic con-straints and suffer from label noise in mandatory reporting data.We propose a physics-informed LightGBM framework that fuses high-resolution AIS tra-jectories,meteorological re-analyses and EU MRV logs through a temporally anchored,multi-source alignment protocol.A dual LightGBM ensemble(L1/L2)predicts RPM under laden and ballast conditions.Validation on a Panamax tanker(366 days)yields−1.52 rpm(−3%)error;ballast accuracy surpasses laden by 1.7%.展开更多
基金support from the“Ocean-going Vessel Meteorological Navigation System”project funded under the Key Core Technology Breakthrough Program for Transportation Equipment(GJ-2025-01)COSCO Shipping Group’s Third Batch of Scientific Research Projects from the 14th Five-Year Plan.
文摘Accurate prediction of main-engine rotational speed(RPM)is pivotal for en-ergy-efficient ship operation and compliance with emerging carbon-intensity regulations.Existing approaches either rely on computationally intensive phys-ics-based models or data-driven methods that neglect hydrodynamic con-straints and suffer from label noise in mandatory reporting data.We propose a physics-informed LightGBM framework that fuses high-resolution AIS tra-jectories,meteorological re-analyses and EU MRV logs through a temporally anchored,multi-source alignment protocol.A dual LightGBM ensemble(L1/L2)predicts RPM under laden and ballast conditions.Validation on a Panamax tanker(366 days)yields−1.52 rpm(−3%)error;ballast accuracy surpasses laden by 1.7%.
