Using observations and models from phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP6),this study analyzes the performance of CMIP6 models in simulating the vertical structure of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation...Using observations and models from phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP6),this study analyzes the performance of CMIP6 models in simulating the vertical structure of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation(QBO)and its impacts on eastern China surface air temperature(SAT),with empirical orthogonal function(EOF)analysis.The first leading mode(EOF1)of the QBO leads to an overall cooling/warming over eastern China via the QBO’s subtropical path and Holton-Tan effect,while the second leading mode(EOF2)of the QBO tends to cause an east-west dipole of SAT anomalies between eastern and western China due to a strong Holton-Tan effect.Most models with a self-generated QBO can capture both westerly and easterly QBO anomalies in the mid-lower stratosphere in EOF1 and only westerly anomalies in EOF2.The multi-model ensemble mean can reproduce the eastern China SAT anomalies that are statistically significant and related to EOF1-like QBO events.However,the intensity of these anomalies is relatively weaker,attributable to the weak Pacific response to the subtropical effect of the QBO.In contrast,most models fail to induce a strong Holton-Tan effect and a Northern Annular Mode pattern in the polar region during the EOF2-like QBO events,resulting in weak and insignificant eastern China SAT anomalies on average.Overall,the models with a better representation of polar and Pacific responses to the QBO’s vertical structure exhibit a more reasonable eastern China SAT response,although such a response is weaker than observed.展开更多
As a prominent mode of variability in the tropical stratosphere on the interannual timescale,the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation(QBO)can significantly influence global atmospheric circulation and weather patterns.This stud...As a prominent mode of variability in the tropical stratosphere on the interannual timescale,the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation(QBO)can significantly influence global atmospheric circulation and weather patterns.This study explores the dynamic processes of QBO disruptions using the integrated climate model of the China Meteorological Administration(CMA)by nudging the tropical zonal winds toward observations.A comparative analysis with ERA5 reanalysis data shows that the nudged runs accurately replicate the general characteristics of the QBO,including the alternating QBO wind regimes and QBO disruption events.The evolution of the QBO winds is diagnosed using empirical orthogonal function and root-mean-square difference analyses,and the rarity of the disruption events is confirmed in the CMA model.Different aspects of the QBO disruptions and the relevant dynamics are present in the model.Firstly,the momentum budget analysis highlights the crucial roles of extratropical Rossby waves and non-orographic gravity waves in the transition from westerly to easterly winds during a disruption.Secondly,Kelvin waves and non-orographic gravity waves explain much of the transition from easterly to westerly winds near 40 hPa.Thirdly,the positive tendency from enhanced vertical advection further accelerates westerly momentum development via secondary meridional circulation.These findings underscore the importance of nudging techniques in understanding QBO dynamics,which provides valuable insights for future climate model improvements toward better forecasting QBO-related climate variability.Notably,due to model limitations,no QBO disruptions were simulated in the free-run experiments.展开更多
We investigated the interannual variations of the winter stratospheric polar vortex in this paper. EOF analysis shows that two modes of variability dominate the stratospheric polar vortex on interannual timescales The...We investigated the interannual variations of the winter stratospheric polar vortex in this paper. EOF analysis shows that two modes of variability dominate the stratospheric polar vortex on interannual timescales The leading mode （EOF1） reflects the intensity variation of the polar vortex and is characterized by a geopotential height seesaw between the polar region and the mid-latitudes. The second one （EOF2） exhibits variation in the zonal asymmetric part of the polar vortex, which mainly describes the stationary planetary wave activity. As the strongest interannual variation signal in the atmosphere, the QBO has been shown to influence mainly the strength of the polar vortex. On the other hand, the ENSO cycle, as the strongest interannual variation signal in the ocean, has been shown to be mainly associated with the variation of stationary planetary wave activity in the stratosphere. Possible influences of the stratospheric polar vortex on the tropospheric circulation are also discussed in this paper.展开更多
The QBO (quasi-biennial oscillation) in the climate system, with a mean cycle-length slightly above or below 2 years, is studied in a simple forced dynamical system. The fundamental cause of the quasi-biennial periodi...The QBO (quasi-biennial oscillation) in the climate system, with a mean cycle-length slightly above or below 2 years, is studied in a simple forced dynamical system. The fundamental cause of the quasi-biennial periodicity of the QBO is nonlinear resonance of the system to the seasonal forcing that is modulated by the 11-yr solar cycle. For a given nonlinearity, the cycle-length and the amplitude of the QBO depend on the intensity of both the unmodulated seasonal cycle and the 11-yr solar cycle, which may be one of the reasons why the QBO properties in climate vary with time and space.展开更多
Anomalous changes of zonal wind quasi-biennial oscillation(QBO)in winter 2015−2016 have received close attention.Combining radiosonde and satellite observations and reanalysis data,we investigate anomalous changes in ...Anomalous changes of zonal wind quasi-biennial oscillation(QBO)in winter 2015−2016 have received close attention.Combining radiosonde and satellite observations and reanalysis data,we investigate anomalous changes in temperature and ozone QBOs from the lower to middle stratosphere.As wind shear direction is reversed due to unexpected changes of zonal wind QBO at about 24−30 km,the shortest cold phase at 21−27 km appears in temperature QBO.This is different from the completely interrupted westward phase in zonal wind QBO,while the longest cold phase above almost 27 km lasts for 2−3 years from 2015 to 2017,owing to the absence of corresponding warm phase.Meridional scale reduction of temperature QBO causes a small temperature anomaly,thus the thermal wind relationship looks seemingly different from that in the other regular QBO cycles.QBO in the ozone mixing ratio anomaly shows a double-peak with inverse phase,and its phase below(above)30 km is in agreement with(opposite to)the phase of temperature QBO because of different control mechanisms of ozone.Following temperature QBO variation,QBO in the ozone mixing ratio anomaly exhibits a less positive phase at 20−30 km in 2016−2017,and a very long positive phase above 30 km from 2015 to 2017.QBO in total column ozone shows a small peak in winter 2016−2017 since ozone is mainly concentrated at 20 to 30 km.Anomalous changes of temperature and ozone QBOs due to unexpected QBO zonal wind variation can be well-explained according to thermal wind balance and thermodynamic balance.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42120104001,42192563 and 42005010)the Shanghai Sailing Program(Grant No.23YF1401400).
文摘Using observations and models from phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP6),this study analyzes the performance of CMIP6 models in simulating the vertical structure of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation(QBO)and its impacts on eastern China surface air temperature(SAT),with empirical orthogonal function(EOF)analysis.The first leading mode(EOF1)of the QBO leads to an overall cooling/warming over eastern China via the QBO’s subtropical path and Holton-Tan effect,while the second leading mode(EOF2)of the QBO tends to cause an east-west dipole of SAT anomalies between eastern and western China due to a strong Holton-Tan effect.Most models with a self-generated QBO can capture both westerly and easterly QBO anomalies in the mid-lower stratosphere in EOF1 and only westerly anomalies in EOF2.The multi-model ensemble mean can reproduce the eastern China SAT anomalies that are statistically significant and related to EOF1-like QBO events.However,the intensity of these anomalies is relatively weaker,attributable to the weak Pacific response to the subtropical effect of the QBO.In contrast,most models fail to induce a strong Holton-Tan effect and a Northern Annular Mode pattern in the polar region during the EOF2-like QBO events,resulting in weak and insignificant eastern China SAT anomalies on average.Overall,the models with a better representation of polar and Pacific responses to the QBO’s vertical structure exhibit a more reasonable eastern China SAT response,although such a response is weaker than observed.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42275056).
文摘As a prominent mode of variability in the tropical stratosphere on the interannual timescale,the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation(QBO)can significantly influence global atmospheric circulation and weather patterns.This study explores the dynamic processes of QBO disruptions using the integrated climate model of the China Meteorological Administration(CMA)by nudging the tropical zonal winds toward observations.A comparative analysis with ERA5 reanalysis data shows that the nudged runs accurately replicate the general characteristics of the QBO,including the alternating QBO wind regimes and QBO disruption events.The evolution of the QBO winds is diagnosed using empirical orthogonal function and root-mean-square difference analyses,and the rarity of the disruption events is confirmed in the CMA model.Different aspects of the QBO disruptions and the relevant dynamics are present in the model.Firstly,the momentum budget analysis highlights the crucial roles of extratropical Rossby waves and non-orographic gravity waves in the transition from westerly to easterly winds during a disruption.Secondly,Kelvin waves and non-orographic gravity waves explain much of the transition from easterly to westerly winds near 40 hPa.Thirdly,the positive tendency from enhanced vertical advection further accelerates westerly momentum development via secondary meridional circulation.These findings underscore the importance of nudging techniques in understanding QBO dynamics,which provides valuable insights for future climate model improvements toward better forecasting QBO-related climate variability.Notably,due to model limitations,no QBO disruptions were simulated in the free-run experiments.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No.2009CB421405)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 40775035 and 40730952)
文摘We investigated the interannual variations of the winter stratospheric polar vortex in this paper. EOF analysis shows that two modes of variability dominate the stratospheric polar vortex on interannual timescales The leading mode （EOF1） reflects the intensity variation of the polar vortex and is characterized by a geopotential height seesaw between the polar region and the mid-latitudes. The second one （EOF2） exhibits variation in the zonal asymmetric part of the polar vortex, which mainly describes the stationary planetary wave activity. As the strongest interannual variation signal in the atmosphere, the QBO has been shown to influence mainly the strength of the polar vortex. On the other hand, the ENSO cycle, as the strongest interannual variation signal in the ocean, has been shown to be mainly associated with the variation of stationary planetary wave activity in the stratosphere. Possible influences of the stratospheric polar vortex on the tropospheric circulation are also discussed in this paper.
基金This work was supported by the Director's Funds of LASG and the Innovative Funds of the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences.
文摘The QBO (quasi-biennial oscillation) in the climate system, with a mean cycle-length slightly above or below 2 years, is studied in a simple forced dynamical system. The fundamental cause of the quasi-biennial periodicity of the QBO is nonlinear resonance of the system to the seasonal forcing that is modulated by the 11-yr solar cycle. For a given nonlinearity, the cycle-length and the amplitude of the QBO depend on the intensity of both the unmodulated seasonal cycle and the 11-yr solar cycle, which may be one of the reasons why the QBO properties in climate vary with time and space.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(through grants 41974176 and 41674151).
文摘Anomalous changes of zonal wind quasi-biennial oscillation(QBO)in winter 2015−2016 have received close attention.Combining radiosonde and satellite observations and reanalysis data,we investigate anomalous changes in temperature and ozone QBOs from the lower to middle stratosphere.As wind shear direction is reversed due to unexpected changes of zonal wind QBO at about 24−30 km,the shortest cold phase at 21−27 km appears in temperature QBO.This is different from the completely interrupted westward phase in zonal wind QBO,while the longest cold phase above almost 27 km lasts for 2−3 years from 2015 to 2017,owing to the absence of corresponding warm phase.Meridional scale reduction of temperature QBO causes a small temperature anomaly,thus the thermal wind relationship looks seemingly different from that in the other regular QBO cycles.QBO in the ozone mixing ratio anomaly shows a double-peak with inverse phase,and its phase below(above)30 km is in agreement with(opposite to)the phase of temperature QBO because of different control mechanisms of ozone.Following temperature QBO variation,QBO in the ozone mixing ratio anomaly exhibits a less positive phase at 20−30 km in 2016−2017,and a very long positive phase above 30 km from 2015 to 2017.QBO in total column ozone shows a small peak in winter 2016−2017 since ozone is mainly concentrated at 20 to 30 km.Anomalous changes of temperature and ozone QBOs due to unexpected QBO zonal wind variation can be well-explained according to thermal wind balance and thermodynamic balance.
