Current research on Digital Twin(DT)based Prognostics and Health Management(PHM)focuses on establishment of DT through integration of real-time data from various sources to facilitate comprehensive product monitoring ...Current research on Digital Twin(DT)based Prognostics and Health Management(PHM)focuses on establishment of DT through integration of real-time data from various sources to facilitate comprehensive product monitoring and health management.However,there still exist gaps in the seamless integration of DT and PHM,as well as in the development of DT multi-field coupling modeling and its dynamic update mechanism.When the product experiences long-period degradation under load spectrum,it is challenging to describe the dynamic evolution of the health status and degradation progression accurately.In addition,DT update algorithms are difficult to be integrated simultaneously by current methods.This paper proposes an innovative dual loop DT based PHM framework,in which the first loop establishes the basic dynamic DT with multi-filed coupling,and the second loop implements the PHM and the abnormal detection to provide the interaction between the dual loops through updating mechanism.The proposed method pays attention to the internal state changes with degradation and interactive mapping with dynamic parameter updating.Furthermore,the Independence Principle for the abnormal detection is proposed to refine the theory of DT.Events at the first loop focus on accurate modeling of multi-field coupling,while the events at the second loop focus on real-time occurrence of anomalies and the product degradation trend.The interaction and collaboration between different loop models are also discussed.Finally,the Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor(PMSM)is used to verify the proposed method.The results show that the modeling method proposed can accurately track the lifecycle performance changes of the entity and carry out remaining life prediction and health management effectively.展开更多
Transportation electrification is essential for decarbonizing transport. Currently, lithium-ion batteries are the primary power source for electric vehicles (EVs). However, there is still a significant journey ahead b...Transportation electrification is essential for decarbonizing transport. Currently, lithium-ion batteries are the primary power source for electric vehicles (EVs). However, there is still a significant journey ahead before EVs can establish themselves as the dominant force in the global automotive market. Concerns such as range anxiety, battery aging, and safety issues remain significant challenges.展开更多
In view of class imbalance in data-driven modeling for Prognostics and Health Management(PHM),existing classification methods may fail in generating effective fault prediction models for the on-board high-speed train ...In view of class imbalance in data-driven modeling for Prognostics and Health Management(PHM),existing classification methods may fail in generating effective fault prediction models for the on-board high-speed train control equipment.A virtual sample generation solution based on Generative Adversarial Network(GAN)is proposed to overcome this shortcoming.Aiming at augmenting the sample classes with the imbalanced data problem,the GAN-based virtual sample generation strategy is embedded into the establishment of fault prediction models.Under the PHM framework of the on-board train control system,the virtual sample generation principle and the detailed procedures are presented.With the enhanced class-balancing mechanism and the designed sample augmentation logic,the PHM scheme of the on-board train control equipment has powerful data condition adaptability and can effectively predict the fault probability and life cycle status.Practical data from a specific type of on-board train control system is employed for the validation of the presented solution.The comparative results indicate that GAN-based sample augmentation is capable of achieving a desirable sample balancing level and enhancing the performance of correspondingly derived fault prediction models for the Condition-based Maintenance(CBM)operations.展开更多
Scientific research frequently involves the use of computational tools and methods.Providing thorough documentation,open-source code,and data–the creation of reproducible computational research(RCR)–helps others und...Scientific research frequently involves the use of computational tools and methods.Providing thorough documentation,open-source code,and data–the creation of reproducible computational research(RCR)–helps others understand a researcher’s work.In this study,we investigate the state of reproducible computational research,broadly,and from within the field of prognostics and health management(PHM).In a text mining survey of more than 300 articles,we show that fewer than 1%of PHM researchers make their code and data available to others.To promote the RCR further,our work also highlights several personal benefits for those engaged in the practice.Finally,we introduce an open-source software tool,called PyPHM,to assist PHM researchers in accessing and preprocessing common industrial datasets.展开更多
Digital technologies are becoming more pervasive and industrial companies are exploiting them to enhance the potentialities related to Prognostics and Health Management(PHM).Indeed,PHM allows to evaluate the health st...Digital technologies are becoming more pervasive and industrial companies are exploiting them to enhance the potentialities related to Prognostics and Health Management(PHM).Indeed,PHM allows to evaluate the health state of the physical assets as well as to predict their future behaviour.To be effective in developing PHM programs,the most critical assets should be identified so to direct modelling efforts.Several techniques could be adopted to evaluate asset criticality;in industrial practice,criticality analysis is amongst the most utilised.Despite the advancement of artificial intelligence for data analysis and predictions,the criticality analysis,which is built upon both quantitative and qualitative data,has not been improved accordingly.It is the goal of this work to propose an ontological formalisation of a multi-attribute criticality analysis in order to i)fix the semantics behind the terms involved in the analysis,ii)standardize and uniform the way criticality analysis is performed,and iii)take advantage of the reasoning capabilities to automatically evaluate asset criticality and associate a suitable maintenance strategy.The developed ontology,called MOCA,is tested in a food company featuring a global footprint.The application shows that MOCA can accomplish the prefixed goals;specifically,high priority assets towards which direct PHM programs are identified.In the long run,ontologies could serve as a unique knowledge base that integrate multiple data and information across facilities in a consistent way.As such,they will enable advanced analytics to take place,allowing to move towards cognitive Cyber Physical Systems that enhance business performance for companies spread worldwide.展开更多
Recently,considerable attention has been paid to the installation of renewable energy capacity to mitigate global CO_(2) emissions.H_(2) produced using water electrolysis and renewable energy is regarded as a clean en...Recently,considerable attention has been paid to the installation of renewable energy capacity to mitigate global CO_(2) emissions.H_(2) produced using water electrolysis and renewable energy is regarded as a clean energy carrier,generating electricity without CO_(2) emissions,called‘Green H 2’.In this paper,a prognostics and health man-agement model for an alkaline water electrolyzer was proposed to predict the load voltage on the electrolyzer to obtain the state of health information.The prognostics and health management model was developed by training historical operating data via machine learning models,support vector machine and gaussian process regression,showing the root mean square error of 1.28×10^(−3) and 8.03×10^(−6).In addition,a techno-economic analysis was performed for a green H_(2) production system,composed of 1 MW of photovoltaic plant and 1 MW of alkaline water electrolyzer,to provide economic insights and feasibility of the system.A levelized cost of H_(2) of$6.89 kgH_(2)−1 was calculated and the potential to reach the levelized cost of H_(2) from steam methane reforming with carbon capture and storage was shown by considering the learning rate of the photovoltaic module and elec-trolyzer.Finally,the replacement of the alkaline water electrolyzer at around 10 years was preferred to increase the net present value from the green H_(2) production system when capital expenditure and replacement cost are low enough.展开更多
Health management permits the reliability of a system and plays a increasingly important role for achieving efficient system-level maintenance.It has been used for remaining useful life（RUL） prognostics of electroni...Health management permits the reliability of a system and plays a increasingly important role for achieving efficient system-level maintenance.It has been used for remaining useful life（RUL） prognostics of electronics-rich system including avionics.Prognostics and health management（PHM） have become highly desirable to provide avionics with system level health management.This paper presents a health management and fusion prognostic model for avionics system,combining three baseline prognostic approaches that are model-based,data-driven and knowledge-based approaches,and integrates merits as well as eliminates some limitations of each single approach to achieve fusion prognostics and improved prognostic performance of RUL estimation.A fusion model built upon an optimal linear combination forecast model is then utilized to fuse single prognostic algorithm representing the three baseline approaches correspondingly,and the presented case study shows that the fusion prognostics can provide RUL estimation more accurate and more robust than either algorithm alone.展开更多
In this paper, a data-driven prognostic model capable to deal with different sources of uncertainty is proposed. The main novelty factor is the application of a mathematical framework, namely a Random Fuzzy Variable (...In this paper, a data-driven prognostic model capable to deal with different sources of uncertainty is proposed. The main novelty factor is the application of a mathematical framework, namely a Random Fuzzy Variable (RFV) approach, for the representation and propagation of the different uncertainty sources affecting </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Prognostic Health Management (PHM) applications: measurement, future and model uncertainty. </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">In this way, it is possible to deal not only with measurement noise and model parameters uncertainty due to the stochastic nature of the degradation process, but also with systematic effects, such as systematic errors in the measurement process, incomplete knowledge of the degradation process, subjective belief about model parameters. Furthermore, the low analytical complexity of the employed prognostic model allows to easily propagate the measurement and parameters uncertainty into the RUL forecast, with no need of extensive Monte Carlo loops, so that low requirements in terms of computation power are needed. The model has been applied to two real application cases, showing high accuracy output, resulting in a potential</span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">ly</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> effective tool for predictive maintenance in different industrial sectors.展开更多
Condition monitoring is increasingly used to anticipate and detect failures of industrial machines.Failures of machines can cause high maintenance or replacement costs.If neglected,it may result in catastrophic accide...Condition monitoring is increasingly used to anticipate and detect failures of industrial machines.Failures of machines can cause high maintenance or replacement costs.If neglected,it may result in catastrophic accidents leading to production shrinkage.The potential failure would negatively affect the profitability of the company,including production shut down,cost of spare parts,cost of labor,damage of reputation,risk of injury to people and the environment.In recent years,condition-based maintenance( CBM) and prognostic and health management( PHM) are developed and formed a strong connection among science,engineering,computer,reliability,communication,management,etc.Computerized maintenance management systems( CMMS) store a lot of data regarding the fault diagnosis and life prediction of the machinery equipment.It's too necessary to uncover useful knowledge from the huge amount of data.It's vital to find the ways to obtain useful and concise information from these data.This information can be of great influence in the decision making of managers.This article is a review of intelligent approaches in machinery faults diagnosis and prediction based on PHM and CBM.展开更多
Prognostics and health management （PHM） is very important to guarantee the reliability and safety of aerospace systems, and sensing and test are the precondition of PHM. Integrating design for testability into early...Prognostics and health management （PHM） is very important to guarantee the reliability and safety of aerospace systems, and sensing and test are the precondition of PHM. Integrating design for testability into early design stage of system early design stage is deemed as a fundamental way to improve PHM performance, and testability model is the base of testability analysis and design. This paper discusses a hierarchical model-based approach to testability modeling and analysis for heading attitude system health management. Quantified directed graph, of which the nodes represent components and tests and the directed edges represent fault propagation paths, is used to describe fault-test dependency, and quantitative testability information is assigned to nodes and directed edges. The fault dependencies between nodes can be obtained by functional fault analysis methodology that captures the physical architecture and material flows such as energy, heat, data, and so on. By incorporating physics of failure models into component, the dynamic process of a failing or degrading component can be projected onto system behavior, i.e., system symptoms. Then, the analysis of extended failure modes, mechanisms and effects is utilized to construct fault evolution-test dependency. Using this integrated model, the designers and system analysts can assess the test suite＇s fault detectability, fault isolability and fault predictability. And heading attitude system application results show that the proposed model can support testability analysis and design for PHM very well.展开更多
Rolling element bearings are machine components used to allow circular movement and hence deliver forces between components of machines used in diverse areas of industry.The likelihood of failure has the propensity of...Rolling element bearings are machine components used to allow circular movement and hence deliver forces between components of machines used in diverse areas of industry.The likelihood of failure has the propensity of increasing under prolonged operation and varying working conditions.Hence, the accurate fault severity categorization of bearings is vital in diagnosing faults that arise in rotating machinery.The variability and complexity of the recorded vibration signals pose a great hurdle to distinguishing unique characteristic fault features.In this paper, the efficacy and the leverage of a pre-trained convolutional neural network(CNN) is harnessed in the implementation of a robust fault classification model.In the absence of sufficient data, this method has a high-performance rate.Initially, a modified VGG16 architecture is used to extract discriminating features from new samples and serves as input to a classifier.The raw vibration data are strategically segmented and transformed into two representations which are trained separately and jointly.The proposed approach is carried out on bearing vibration data and shows high-performance results.In addition to successfully implementing a robust fault classification model, a prognostic framework is developed by constructing a health indicator(HI) under varying operating conditions for a given fault condition.展开更多
The reliable,rapid,and accurate Remaining Useful Life(RUL)prognostics of aircraft power supply and distribution system are essential for enhancing the reliability and stability of system and reducing the life-cycle co...The reliable,rapid,and accurate Remaining Useful Life(RUL)prognostics of aircraft power supply and distribution system are essential for enhancing the reliability and stability of system and reducing the life-cycle costs.To achieve the reliable,rapid,and accurate RUL prognostics,the balance between accuracy and computational burden deserves more attention.In addition,the uncertainty is intrinsically present in RUL prognostic process.Due to the limitation of the uncertainty quantification,the point-wise prognostics strategy is not trustworthy.A Dual Adaptive Sliding-window Hybrid(DASH)RUL probabilistic prognostics strategy is proposed to tackle these deficiencies.The DASH strategy contains two adaptive mechanisms,the adaptive Long Short-Term Memory-Polynomial Regression(LSTM-PR)hybrid prognostics mechanism and the adaptive sliding-window Kernel Density Estimation(KDE)probabilistic prognostics mechanism.Owing to the dual adaptive mechanisms,the DASH strategy can achieve the balance between accuracy and computational burden and obtain the trustworthy probabilistic prognostics.Based on the degradation dataset of aircraft electromagnetic contactors,the superiority of DASH strategy is validated.In terms of probabilistic,point-wise and integrated prognostics performance,the proposed strategy increases by 66.89%,81.73% and 25.84%on average compared with the baseline methods and their variants.展开更多
Prognostics and health management （PHM） significantly improves system availability and reliability, and reduces the cost of system operations. Design for testability （DFT） developed concurrently with system design...Prognostics and health management （PHM） significantly improves system availability and reliability, and reduces the cost of system operations. Design for testability （DFT） developed concurrently with system design is an important way to improve PHM capability. Testability modeling and analysis are the foundation of DFT. This paper proposes a novel approach of testability modeling and analysis based on failure evolution mechanisms. At the component level, the fault progression-related information of each unit under test （UUT） in a system is obtained by means of failure modes, evolution mechanisms, effects and criticality analysis （FMEMECA）, and then the failure-symptom dependency can be generated. At the system level, the dynamic attributes of UUTs are assigned by using the bond graph methodology, and then the symptom-test dependency can be obtained by means of the functional flow method. Based on the failure-symptom and symptom-test dependencies, testability analysis for PHM systems can be realized. A shunt motor is used to verify the application of the approach proposed in this paper. Experimental results show that this approach is able to be applied to testability modeling and analysis for PHM systems very well, and the analysis results can provide a guide for engineers to design for testability in order to improve PHM performance.展开更多
The test selection and optimization （TSO） can improve the abilities of fault diagnosis, prognosis and health-state evalua- tion for prognostics and health management （PHM） systems. Traditionally, TSO mainly focuse...The test selection and optimization （TSO） can improve the abilities of fault diagnosis, prognosis and health-state evalua- tion for prognostics and health management （PHM） systems. Traditionally, TSO mainly focuses on fault detection and isolation, but they cannot provide an effective guide for the design for testability （DFT） to improve the PHM performance level. To solve the problem, a model of TSO for PHM systems is proposed. Firstly, through integrating the characteristics of fault severity and propa- gation time, and analyzing the test timing and sensitivity, a testability model based on failure evolution mechanism model （FEMM） for PHM systems is built up. This model describes the fault evolution- test dependency using the fault-symptom parameter matrix and symptom parameter-test matrix. Secondly, a novel method of in- herent testability analysis for PHM systems is developed based on the above information. Having completed the analysis, a TSO model, whose objective is to maximize fault trackability and mini- mize the test cost, is proposed through inherent testability analysis results, and an adaptive simulated annealing genetic algorithm （ASAGA） is introduced to solve the TSO problem. Finally, a case of a centrifugal pump system is used to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed models and methods. The results show that the proposed technology is important for PHM systems to select and optimize the test set in order to improve their performance level.展开更多
State of health(SoH) estimation plays a key role in smart battery health prognostic and management.However,poor generalization,lack of labeled data,and unused measurements during aging are still major challenges to ac...State of health(SoH) estimation plays a key role in smart battery health prognostic and management.However,poor generalization,lack of labeled data,and unused measurements during aging are still major challenges to accurate SoH estimation.Toward this end,this paper proposes a self-supervised learning framework to boost the performance of battery SoH estimation.Different from traditional data-driven methods which rely on a considerable training dataset obtained from numerous battery cells,the proposed method achieves accurate and robust estimations using limited labeled data.A filter-based data preprocessing technique,which enables the extraction of partial capacity-voltage curves under dynamic charging profiles,is applied at first.Unsupervised learning is then used to learn the aging characteristics from the unlabeled data through an auto-encoder-decoder.The learned network parameters are transferred to the downstream SoH estimation task and are fine-tuned with very few sparsely labeled data,which boosts the performance of the estimation framework.The proposed method has been validated under different battery chemistries,formats,operating conditions,and ambient.The estimation accuracy can be guaranteed by using only three labeled data from the initial 20% life cycles,with overall errors less than 1.14% and error distribution of all testing scenarios maintaining less than 4%,and robustness increases with aging.Comparisons with other pure supervised machine learning methods demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method.This simple and data-efficient estimation framework is promising in real-world applications under a variety of scenarios.展开更多
Convolutional neural networks(CNNs)are well suited to bearing fault classification due to their ability to learn discriminative spectro-temporal patterns.However,gathering sufficient cases of faulty conditions in real...Convolutional neural networks(CNNs)are well suited to bearing fault classification due to their ability to learn discriminative spectro-temporal patterns.However,gathering sufficient cases of faulty conditions in real-world engineering scenarios to train an intelligent diagnosis system is challenging.This paper proposes a fault diagnosis method combining several augmentation schemes to alleviate the problem of limited fault data.We begin by identifying relevant parameters that influence the construction of a spectrogram.We leverage the uncertainty principle in processing time-frequency domain signals,making it impossible to simultaneously achieve good time and frequency resolutions.A key determinant of this phenomenon is the window function's choice and length used in implementing the shorttime Fourier transform.The Gaussian,Kaiser,and rectangular windows are selected in the experimentation due to their diverse characteristics.The overlap parameter's size also influences the outcome and resolution of the spectrogram.A 50%overlap is used in the original data transformation,and±25%is used in implementing an effective augmentation policy to which two-stage regular CNN can be applied to achieve improved performance.The best model reaches an accuracy of 99.98%and a cross-domain accuracy of 92.54%.When combined with data augmentation,the proposed model yields cutting-edge results.展开更多
The integration of IoT and Deep Learning(DL)has significantly advanced real-time health monitoring and predictive maintenance in prognostic and health management(PHM).Electrocardiograms(ECGs)are widely used for cardio...The integration of IoT and Deep Learning(DL)has significantly advanced real-time health monitoring and predictive maintenance in prognostic and health management(PHM).Electrocardiograms(ECGs)are widely used for cardiovascular disease(CVD)diagnosis,but fluctuating signal patterns make classification challenging.Computer-assisted automated diagnostic tools that enhance ECG signal categorization using sophisticated algorithms and machine learning are helping healthcare practitioners manage greater patient populations.With this motivation,the study proposes a DL framework leveraging the PTB-XL ECG dataset to improve CVD diagnosis.Deep Transfer Learning(DTL)techniques extract features,followed by feature fusion to eliminate redundancy and retain the most informative features.Utilizing the African Vulture Optimization Algorithm(AVOA)for feature selection is more effective than the standard methods,as it offers an ideal balance between exploration and exploitation that results in an optimal set of features,improving classification performance while reducing redundancy.Various machine learning classifiers,including Support Vector Machine(SVM),eXtreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost),Adaptive Boosting(AdaBoost),and Extreme Learning Machine(ELM),are used for further classification.Additionally,an ensemble model is developed to further improve accuracy.Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model achieves the highest accuracy of 96.31%,highlighting its effectiveness in enhancing CVD diagnosis.展开更多
Implementing an efficient real-time prognostics and health management (PHM) framework improves safety and reduces maintenance costs in complex engineering systems.However, research on PHM framework development for rad...Implementing an efficient real-time prognostics and health management (PHM) framework improves safety and reduces maintenance costs in complex engineering systems.However, research on PHM framework development for radar systems is limited. Furthermore, typical PHM approaches are centralized, do not scale well, and are challenging to implement.This paper proposes an integrated PHM framework for radar systems based on system structural decomposition to enhance reliability and support maintenance actions. The complexity challenge associated with implementing PHM at the system level is addressed by dividing the radar system into subsystems. Subsequently, optimal measurement point selection and sensor placement algorithms are formulated for effective data acquisition. Local modules are developed for each subsystem health assessment, fault diagnosis, and fault prediction without a centralized controller. Maintenance decisions are based on each local module’s fault diagnosis and prediction results. To further improve the effectiveness of the prognostics stage, the feasibility of integrating deep learning (DL) models is also investigated.Several experiments with different degradation patterns are performed to evaluate the effectiveness of the framework’s DLbased prognostics model. The proposed framework facilitates transitioning from traditional reactive maintenance practices to a predictive maintenance approach, thereby reducing downtime and improving the overall availability of radar systems.展开更多
Accurate estimation of the remaining useful life(RUL)and health state for rollers is of great significance to hot rolling production.It can provide decision support for roller management so as to improve the productiv...Accurate estimation of the remaining useful life(RUL)and health state for rollers is of great significance to hot rolling production.It can provide decision support for roller management so as to improve the productivity of the hot rolling process.In addition,the RUL prediction for rollers is helpful in transitioning from the current regular maintenance strategy to conditional-based maintenance.Therefore,a new method that can extract coarse-grained and fine-grained features from batch data to predict the RUL of the rollers is proposed in this paper.Firstly,a new deep learning network architecture based on recurrent neural networks that can make full use of the extracted coarsegrained fine-grained features to estimate the heath indicator(HI)is developed,where the HI is able to indicate the health state of the roller.Following that,a state-space model is constructed to describe the HI,and the probabilistic distribution of RUL can be estimated by extrapolating the HI degradation model to a predefined failure threshold.Finally,application to a hot strip mill is given to verify the effectiveness of the proposed methods using data collected from an industrial site,and the relatively low RMSE and MAE values demonstrate its advantages compared with some other popular deep learning methods.展开更多
Prognostics and health management(PHM)has gotten considerable attention in the background of Industry 4.0.Battery PHM contributes to the reliable and safe operation of electric devices.Nevertheless,relevant reviews ar...Prognostics and health management(PHM)has gotten considerable attention in the background of Industry 4.0.Battery PHM contributes to the reliable and safe operation of electric devices.Nevertheless,relevant reviews are still continuously updated over time.In this paper,we browsed extensive literature related to battery PHM from 2018to 2023 and summarized advances in battery PHM field,including battery testing and public datasets,fault diagnosis and prediction methods,health status estimation and health management methods.The last topic includes state of health estimation methods,remaining useful life prediction methods and predictive maintenance methods.Each of these categories is introduced and discussed in details.Based on this survey,we accordingly discuss challenges left to battery PHM,and provide future research opportunities.This research systematically reviews recent research about battery PHM from the perspective of key PHM steps and provide some valuable prospects for researchers and practitioners.展开更多
基金co-supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.U223321251875014)+1 种基金the Beijing Natural Science Foundation,China(No.L221008)the China Scholarship Council(No.202106020001).
文摘Current research on Digital Twin(DT)based Prognostics and Health Management(PHM)focuses on establishment of DT through integration of real-time data from various sources to facilitate comprehensive product monitoring and health management.However,there still exist gaps in the seamless integration of DT and PHM,as well as in the development of DT multi-field coupling modeling and its dynamic update mechanism.When the product experiences long-period degradation under load spectrum,it is challenging to describe the dynamic evolution of the health status and degradation progression accurately.In addition,DT update algorithms are difficult to be integrated simultaneously by current methods.This paper proposes an innovative dual loop DT based PHM framework,in which the first loop establishes the basic dynamic DT with multi-filed coupling,and the second loop implements the PHM and the abnormal detection to provide the interaction between the dual loops through updating mechanism.The proposed method pays attention to the internal state changes with degradation and interactive mapping with dynamic parameter updating.Furthermore,the Independence Principle for the abnormal detection is proposed to refine the theory of DT.Events at the first loop focus on accurate modeling of multi-field coupling,while the events at the second loop focus on real-time occurrence of anomalies and the product degradation trend.The interaction and collaboration between different loop models are also discussed.Finally,the Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor(PMSM)is used to verify the proposed method.The results show that the modeling method proposed can accurately track the lifecycle performance changes of the entity and carry out remaining life prediction and health management effectively.
文摘Transportation electrification is essential for decarbonizing transport. Currently, lithium-ion batteries are the primary power source for electric vehicles (EVs). However, there is still a significant journey ahead before EVs can establish themselves as the dominant force in the global automotive market. Concerns such as range anxiety, battery aging, and safety issues remain significant challenges.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(U2268206,T2222015)Beijing Natural Science Foundation(4232031)+1 种基金Key Fields Project of DEGP(2021ZDZX1110)Shenzhen Science and Technology Program(CJGJZD20220517141801004).
文摘In view of class imbalance in data-driven modeling for Prognostics and Health Management(PHM),existing classification methods may fail in generating effective fault prediction models for the on-board high-speed train control equipment.A virtual sample generation solution based on Generative Adversarial Network(GAN)is proposed to overcome this shortcoming.Aiming at augmenting the sample classes with the imbalanced data problem,the GAN-based virtual sample generation strategy is embedded into the establishment of fault prediction models.Under the PHM framework of the on-board train control system,the virtual sample generation principle and the detailed procedures are presented.With the enhanced class-balancing mechanism and the designed sample augmentation logic,the PHM scheme of the on-board train control equipment has powerful data condition adaptability and can effectively predict the fault probability and life cycle status.Practical data from a specific type of on-board train control system is employed for the validation of the presented solution.The comparative results indicate that GAN-based sample augmentation is capable of achieving a desirable sample balancing level and enhancing the performance of correspondingly derived fault prediction models for the Condition-based Maintenance(CBM)operations.
文摘Scientific research frequently involves the use of computational tools and methods.Providing thorough documentation,open-source code,and data–the creation of reproducible computational research(RCR)–helps others understand a researcher’s work.In this study,we investigate the state of reproducible computational research,broadly,and from within the field of prognostics and health management(PHM).In a text mining survey of more than 300 articles,we show that fewer than 1%of PHM researchers make their code and data available to others.To promote the RCR further,our work also highlights several personal benefits for those engaged in the practice.Finally,we introduce an open-source software tool,called PyPHM,to assist PHM researchers in accessing and preprocessing common industrial datasets.
文摘Digital technologies are becoming more pervasive and industrial companies are exploiting them to enhance the potentialities related to Prognostics and Health Management(PHM).Indeed,PHM allows to evaluate the health state of the physical assets as well as to predict their future behaviour.To be effective in developing PHM programs,the most critical assets should be identified so to direct modelling efforts.Several techniques could be adopted to evaluate asset criticality;in industrial practice,criticality analysis is amongst the most utilised.Despite the advancement of artificial intelligence for data analysis and predictions,the criticality analysis,which is built upon both quantitative and qualitative data,has not been improved accordingly.It is the goal of this work to propose an ontological formalisation of a multi-attribute criticality analysis in order to i)fix the semantics behind the terms involved in the analysis,ii)standardize and uniform the way criticality analysis is performed,and iii)take advantage of the reasoning capabilities to automatically evaluate asset criticality and associate a suitable maintenance strategy.The developed ontology,called MOCA,is tested in a food company featuring a global footprint.The application shows that MOCA can accomplish the prefixed goals;specifically,high priority assets towards which direct PHM programs are identified.In the long run,ontologies could serve as a unique knowledge base that integrate multiple data and information across facilities in a consistent way.As such,they will enable advanced analytics to take place,allowing to move towards cognitive Cyber Physical Systems that enhance business performance for companies spread worldwide.
基金This research was supported by the Hydrogen Energy Innovation Technology Development Program of the National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF)funded by the Korean government(Ministry of Science and ICT(MSIT))(NRF-2019M3E6A1064290)supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF)grant funded by the Korea government(NRF-2019M1A2A2065614).
文摘Recently,considerable attention has been paid to the installation of renewable energy capacity to mitigate global CO_(2) emissions.H_(2) produced using water electrolysis and renewable energy is regarded as a clean energy carrier,generating electricity without CO_(2) emissions,called‘Green H 2’.In this paper,a prognostics and health man-agement model for an alkaline water electrolyzer was proposed to predict the load voltage on the electrolyzer to obtain the state of health information.The prognostics and health management model was developed by training historical operating data via machine learning models,support vector machine and gaussian process regression,showing the root mean square error of 1.28×10^(−3) and 8.03×10^(−6).In addition,a techno-economic analysis was performed for a green H_(2) production system,composed of 1 MW of photovoltaic plant and 1 MW of alkaline water electrolyzer,to provide economic insights and feasibility of the system.A levelized cost of H_(2) of$6.89 kgH_(2)−1 was calculated and the potential to reach the levelized cost of H_(2) from steam methane reforming with carbon capture and storage was shown by considering the learning rate of the photovoltaic module and elec-trolyzer.Finally,the replacement of the alkaline water electrolyzer at around 10 years was preferred to increase the net present value from the green H_(2) production system when capital expenditure and replacement cost are low enough.
文摘Health management permits the reliability of a system and plays a increasingly important role for achieving efficient system-level maintenance.It has been used for remaining useful life（RUL） prognostics of electronics-rich system including avionics.Prognostics and health management（PHM） have become highly desirable to provide avionics with system level health management.This paper presents a health management and fusion prognostic model for avionics system,combining three baseline prognostic approaches that are model-based,data-driven and knowledge-based approaches,and integrates merits as well as eliminates some limitations of each single approach to achieve fusion prognostics and improved prognostic performance of RUL estimation.A fusion model built upon an optimal linear combination forecast model is then utilized to fuse single prognostic algorithm representing the three baseline approaches correspondingly,and the presented case study shows that the fusion prognostics can provide RUL estimation more accurate and more robust than either algorithm alone.
文摘In this paper, a data-driven prognostic model capable to deal with different sources of uncertainty is proposed. The main novelty factor is the application of a mathematical framework, namely a Random Fuzzy Variable (RFV) approach, for the representation and propagation of the different uncertainty sources affecting </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Prognostic Health Management (PHM) applications: measurement, future and model uncertainty. </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">In this way, it is possible to deal not only with measurement noise and model parameters uncertainty due to the stochastic nature of the degradation process, but also with systematic effects, such as systematic errors in the measurement process, incomplete knowledge of the degradation process, subjective belief about model parameters. Furthermore, the low analytical complexity of the employed prognostic model allows to easily propagate the measurement and parameters uncertainty into the RUL forecast, with no need of extensive Monte Carlo loops, so that low requirements in terms of computation power are needed. The model has been applied to two real application cases, showing high accuracy output, resulting in a potential</span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">ly</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> effective tool for predictive maintenance in different industrial sectors.
基金Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,China(No.DUT17GF214)
文摘Condition monitoring is increasingly used to anticipate and detect failures of industrial machines.Failures of machines can cause high maintenance or replacement costs.If neglected,it may result in catastrophic accidents leading to production shrinkage.The potential failure would negatively affect the profitability of the company,including production shut down,cost of spare parts,cost of labor,damage of reputation,risk of injury to people and the environment.In recent years,condition-based maintenance( CBM) and prognostic and health management( PHM) are developed and formed a strong connection among science,engineering,computer,reliability,communication,management,etc.Computerized maintenance management systems( CMMS) store a lot of data regarding the fault diagnosis and life prediction of the machinery equipment.It's too necessary to uncover useful knowledge from the huge amount of data.It's vital to find the ways to obtain useful and concise information from these data.This information can be of great influence in the decision making of managers.This article is a review of intelligent approaches in machinery faults diagnosis and prediction based on PHM and CBM.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51175502)
文摘Prognostics and health management （PHM） is very important to guarantee the reliability and safety of aerospace systems, and sensing and test are the precondition of PHM. Integrating design for testability into early design stage of system early design stage is deemed as a fundamental way to improve PHM performance, and testability model is the base of testability analysis and design. This paper discusses a hierarchical model-based approach to testability modeling and analysis for heading attitude system health management. Quantified directed graph, of which the nodes represent components and tests and the directed edges represent fault propagation paths, is used to describe fault-test dependency, and quantitative testability information is assigned to nodes and directed edges. The fault dependencies between nodes can be obtained by functional fault analysis methodology that captures the physical architecture and material flows such as energy, heat, data, and so on. By incorporating physics of failure models into component, the dynamic process of a failing or degrading component can be projected onto system behavior, i.e., system symptoms. Then, the analysis of extended failure modes, mechanisms and effects is utilized to construct fault evolution-test dependency. Using this integrated model, the designers and system analysts can assess the test suite＇s fault detectability, fault isolability and fault predictability. And heading attitude system application results show that the proposed model can support testability analysis and design for PHM very well.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42027805)National Aeronautical Fund (ASFC-2017 2080005)National Key R&D Program of China (2017YFC03 07100)。
文摘Rolling element bearings are machine components used to allow circular movement and hence deliver forces between components of machines used in diverse areas of industry.The likelihood of failure has the propensity of increasing under prolonged operation and varying working conditions.Hence, the accurate fault severity categorization of bearings is vital in diagnosing faults that arise in rotating machinery.The variability and complexity of the recorded vibration signals pose a great hurdle to distinguishing unique characteristic fault features.In this paper, the efficacy and the leverage of a pre-trained convolutional neural network(CNN) is harnessed in the implementation of a robust fault classification model.In the absence of sufficient data, this method has a high-performance rate.Initially, a modified VGG16 architecture is used to extract discriminating features from new samples and serves as input to a classifier.The raw vibration data are strategically segmented and transformed into two representations which are trained separately and jointly.The proposed approach is carried out on bearing vibration data and shows high-performance results.In addition to successfully implementing a robust fault classification model, a prognostic framework is developed by constructing a health indicator(HI) under varying operating conditions for a given fault condition.
基金co-supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.52272403,52402506)Natural Science Basic Research Program of Shaanxi,China(Nos.2022JC-27,2023-JC-QN-0599)。
文摘The reliable,rapid,and accurate Remaining Useful Life(RUL)prognostics of aircraft power supply and distribution system are essential for enhancing the reliability and stability of system and reducing the life-cycle costs.To achieve the reliable,rapid,and accurate RUL prognostics,the balance between accuracy and computational burden deserves more attention.In addition,the uncertainty is intrinsically present in RUL prognostic process.Due to the limitation of the uncertainty quantification,the point-wise prognostics strategy is not trustworthy.A Dual Adaptive Sliding-window Hybrid(DASH)RUL probabilistic prognostics strategy is proposed to tackle these deficiencies.The DASH strategy contains two adaptive mechanisms,the adaptive Long Short-Term Memory-Polynomial Regression(LSTM-PR)hybrid prognostics mechanism and the adaptive sliding-window Kernel Density Estimation(KDE)probabilistic prognostics mechanism.Owing to the dual adaptive mechanisms,the DASH strategy can achieve the balance between accuracy and computational burden and obtain the trustworthy probabilistic prognostics.Based on the degradation dataset of aircraft electromagnetic contactors,the superiority of DASH strategy is validated.In terms of probabilistic,point-wise and integrated prognostics performance,the proposed strategy increases by 66.89%,81.73% and 25.84%on average compared with the baseline methods and their variants.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51175502)
文摘Prognostics and health management （PHM） significantly improves system availability and reliability, and reduces the cost of system operations. Design for testability （DFT） developed concurrently with system design is an important way to improve PHM capability. Testability modeling and analysis are the foundation of DFT. This paper proposes a novel approach of testability modeling and analysis based on failure evolution mechanisms. At the component level, the fault progression-related information of each unit under test （UUT） in a system is obtained by means of failure modes, evolution mechanisms, effects and criticality analysis （FMEMECA）, and then the failure-symptom dependency can be generated. At the system level, the dynamic attributes of UUTs are assigned by using the bond graph methodology, and then the symptom-test dependency can be obtained by means of the functional flow method. Based on the failure-symptom and symptom-test dependencies, testability analysis for PHM systems can be realized. A shunt motor is used to verify the application of the approach proposed in this paper. Experimental results show that this approach is able to be applied to testability modeling and analysis for PHM systems very well, and the analysis results can provide a guide for engineers to design for testability in order to improve PHM performance.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(51175502)
文摘The test selection and optimization （TSO） can improve the abilities of fault diagnosis, prognosis and health-state evalua- tion for prognostics and health management （PHM） systems. Traditionally, TSO mainly focuses on fault detection and isolation, but they cannot provide an effective guide for the design for testability （DFT） to improve the PHM performance level. To solve the problem, a model of TSO for PHM systems is proposed. Firstly, through integrating the characteristics of fault severity and propa- gation time, and analyzing the test timing and sensitivity, a testability model based on failure evolution mechanism model （FEMM） for PHM systems is built up. This model describes the fault evolution- test dependency using the fault-symptom parameter matrix and symptom parameter-test matrix. Secondly, a novel method of in- herent testability analysis for PHM systems is developed based on the above information. Having completed the analysis, a TSO model, whose objective is to maximize fault trackability and mini- mize the test cost, is proposed through inherent testability analysis results, and an adaptive simulated annealing genetic algorithm （ASAGA） is introduced to solve the TSO problem. Finally, a case of a centrifugal pump system is used to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed models and methods. The results show that the proposed technology is important for PHM systems to select and optimize the test set in order to improve their performance level.
基金funded by the “SMART BATTERY” project, granted by Villum Foundation in 2021 (project number 222860)。
文摘State of health(SoH) estimation plays a key role in smart battery health prognostic and management.However,poor generalization,lack of labeled data,and unused measurements during aging are still major challenges to accurate SoH estimation.Toward this end,this paper proposes a self-supervised learning framework to boost the performance of battery SoH estimation.Different from traditional data-driven methods which rely on a considerable training dataset obtained from numerous battery cells,the proposed method achieves accurate and robust estimations using limited labeled data.A filter-based data preprocessing technique,which enables the extraction of partial capacity-voltage curves under dynamic charging profiles,is applied at first.Unsupervised learning is then used to learn the aging characteristics from the unlabeled data through an auto-encoder-decoder.The learned network parameters are transferred to the downstream SoH estimation task and are fine-tuned with very few sparsely labeled data,which boosts the performance of the estimation framework.The proposed method has been validated under different battery chemistries,formats,operating conditions,and ambient.The estimation accuracy can be guaranteed by using only three labeled data from the initial 20% life cycles,with overall errors less than 1.14% and error distribution of all testing scenarios maintaining less than 4%,and robustness increases with aging.Comparisons with other pure supervised machine learning methods demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method.This simple and data-efficient estimation framework is promising in real-world applications under a variety of scenarios.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(42027805)the National Aeronautical Fund(ASFC-20172080005)。
文摘Convolutional neural networks(CNNs)are well suited to bearing fault classification due to their ability to learn discriminative spectro-temporal patterns.However,gathering sufficient cases of faulty conditions in real-world engineering scenarios to train an intelligent diagnosis system is challenging.This paper proposes a fault diagnosis method combining several augmentation schemes to alleviate the problem of limited fault data.We begin by identifying relevant parameters that influence the construction of a spectrogram.We leverage the uncertainty principle in processing time-frequency domain signals,making it impossible to simultaneously achieve good time and frequency resolutions.A key determinant of this phenomenon is the window function's choice and length used in implementing the shorttime Fourier transform.The Gaussian,Kaiser,and rectangular windows are selected in the experimentation due to their diverse characteristics.The overlap parameter's size also influences the outcome and resolution of the spectrogram.A 50%overlap is used in the original data transformation,and±25%is used in implementing an effective augmentation policy to which two-stage regular CNN can be applied to achieve improved performance.The best model reaches an accuracy of 99.98%and a cross-domain accuracy of 92.54%.When combined with data augmentation,the proposed model yields cutting-edge results.
基金funded by Researchers Supporting ProjectNumber(RSPD2025R947),King Saud University,Riyadh,Saudi Arabia.
文摘The integration of IoT and Deep Learning(DL)has significantly advanced real-time health monitoring and predictive maintenance in prognostic and health management(PHM).Electrocardiograms(ECGs)are widely used for cardiovascular disease(CVD)diagnosis,but fluctuating signal patterns make classification challenging.Computer-assisted automated diagnostic tools that enhance ECG signal categorization using sophisticated algorithms and machine learning are helping healthcare practitioners manage greater patient populations.With this motivation,the study proposes a DL framework leveraging the PTB-XL ECG dataset to improve CVD diagnosis.Deep Transfer Learning(DTL)techniques extract features,followed by feature fusion to eliminate redundancy and retain the most informative features.Utilizing the African Vulture Optimization Algorithm(AVOA)for feature selection is more effective than the standard methods,as it offers an ideal balance between exploration and exploitation that results in an optimal set of features,improving classification performance while reducing redundancy.Various machine learning classifiers,including Support Vector Machine(SVM),eXtreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost),Adaptive Boosting(AdaBoost),and Extreme Learning Machine(ELM),are used for further classification.Additionally,an ensemble model is developed to further improve accuracy.Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model achieves the highest accuracy of 96.31%,highlighting its effectiveness in enhancing CVD diagnosis.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China (42027805)。
文摘Implementing an efficient real-time prognostics and health management (PHM) framework improves safety and reduces maintenance costs in complex engineering systems.However, research on PHM framework development for radar systems is limited. Furthermore, typical PHM approaches are centralized, do not scale well, and are challenging to implement.This paper proposes an integrated PHM framework for radar systems based on system structural decomposition to enhance reliability and support maintenance actions. The complexity challenge associated with implementing PHM at the system level is addressed by dividing the radar system into subsystems. Subsequently, optimal measurement point selection and sensor placement algorithms are formulated for effective data acquisition. Local modules are developed for each subsystem health assessment, fault diagnosis, and fault prediction without a centralized controller. Maintenance decisions are based on each local module’s fault diagnosis and prediction results. To further improve the effectiveness of the prognostics stage, the feasibility of integrating deep learning (DL) models is also investigated.Several experiments with different degradation patterns are performed to evaluate the effectiveness of the framework’s DLbased prognostics model. The proposed framework facilitates transitioning from traditional reactive maintenance practices to a predictive maintenance approach, thereby reducing downtime and improving the overall availability of radar systems.
基金the Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)(61873024,61773053)the China Central Universities of USTB(FRF-TP-19-049A1Z)the National Key RD Program of China(2017YFB0306403)。
文摘Accurate estimation of the remaining useful life(RUL)and health state for rollers is of great significance to hot rolling production.It can provide decision support for roller management so as to improve the productivity of the hot rolling process.In addition,the RUL prediction for rollers is helpful in transitioning from the current regular maintenance strategy to conditional-based maintenance.Therefore,a new method that can extract coarse-grained and fine-grained features from batch data to predict the RUL of the rollers is proposed in this paper.Firstly,a new deep learning network architecture based on recurrent neural networks that can make full use of the extracted coarsegrained fine-grained features to estimate the heath indicator(HI)is developed,where the HI is able to indicate the health state of the roller.Following that,a state-space model is constructed to describe the HI,and the probabilistic distribution of RUL can be estimated by extrapolating the HI degradation model to a predefined failure threshold.Finally,application to a hot strip mill is given to verify the effectiveness of the proposed methods using data collected from an industrial site,and the relatively low RMSE and MAE values demonstrate its advantages compared with some other popular deep learning methods.
基金Supported by Tianjin Municipal Education Commission of China (Grant No. 2023KJ303)National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 12121002, 51975355)
文摘Prognostics and health management(PHM)has gotten considerable attention in the background of Industry 4.0.Battery PHM contributes to the reliable and safe operation of electric devices.Nevertheless,relevant reviews are still continuously updated over time.In this paper,we browsed extensive literature related to battery PHM from 2018to 2023 and summarized advances in battery PHM field,including battery testing and public datasets,fault diagnosis and prediction methods,health status estimation and health management methods.The last topic includes state of health estimation methods,remaining useful life prediction methods and predictive maintenance methods.Each of these categories is introduced and discussed in details.Based on this survey,we accordingly discuss challenges left to battery PHM,and provide future research opportunities.This research systematically reviews recent research about battery PHM from the perspective of key PHM steps and provide some valuable prospects for researchers and practitioners.
