BACKGROUND Gastric cancer is the most common malignancy of the digestive system and surgical resection is the primary treatment.Advances in surgical technology have reduced the risk of complications after radical gast...BACKGROUND Gastric cancer is the most common malignancy of the digestive system and surgical resection is the primary treatment.Advances in surgical technology have reduced the risk of complications after radical gastrectomy;however,post-surgical pancreatic fistula remain a serious issue.These fistulas can lead to abdominal infections,anastomotic leakage,increased costs,and pain;thus,early diagnosis and prevention are crucial for a better prognosis.Currently,C-reactive protein(CRP),procalcitonin(PCT),and total bilirubin(TBil)levels are used to predict post-operative infections and anastomotic leakage.However,their predictive value for pancreatic fistula after radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer remains unclear.The present study was conducted to determine their predictive value.AIM To determine the predictive value of CRP,PCT,and TBil levels for pancreatic fistula after gastric cancer surgery.METHODS In total,158 patients who underwent radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer at our hospital between January 2019 and January 2023 were included.The patients were assigned to a pancreatic fistula group or a non-pancreatic fistula group.Multivariate logistic analysis was conducted to assess the factors influencing development of a fistula.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves were used to determine the predictive value of serum CRP,PCT,and TBil levels on day 1 postsurgery.RESULTS On day 1 post-surgery,the CRP,PCT,and TBil levels were significantly higher in the pancreatic fistula group than in the non-pancreatic fistula group(P<0.05).A higher fistula grade was associated with higher levels of the indices.Univariate analysis revealed significant differences in the presence of diabetes,hyperlipidemia,pancreatic injury,splenectomy,and the biomarker levels(P<0.05).Logistic multivariate analysis identified diabetes,hyperlipidemia,pancreatic injury,CRP level,and PCT level as independent risk factors.ROC curves yielded predictive values for CRP,PCT,and TBil levels,with the PCT level having the highest area under the curve(AUC)of 0.80[95%confidence interval(CI):0.72-0.90].Combined indicators improved the predictive value,with an AUC of 0.86(95%CI:0.78-0.93).CONCLUSION Elevated CRP,PCT,and TBil levels predict risk of pancreatic fistula post-gastrectomy for gastric cancer.展开更多
Objective:To evaluate the predictive value of secreted phosphoprotein 1(SPP1)gene expression for postoperative survival in patients with advanced liver cancer undergoing hepatic artery interventional chemoembolization...Objective:To evaluate the predictive value of secreted phosphoprotein 1(SPP1)gene expression for postoperative survival in patients with advanced liver cancer undergoing hepatic artery interventional chemoembolization treatment.Method:Bioinformatics methods,including gene ontology(GO)and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes(KEGG)pathway analysis,were used to identify genes related to survival prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)patients.A retrospective analysis of 115 advanced liver cancer patients treated between January 2016 and October 2017 was conducted.Patients were categorized into SPP1 high-expression(n=89)and low-expression groups(n=26).Additionally,115 healthy individuals served as the control group.The relationship between SPP1 expression and clinical pathological features was analyzed.A 60-month follow-up and logistic regression analysis identified risk factors affecting survival.Results:SPP1 mRNA expression was significantly higher in liver cancer patients compared to healthy controls(P<0.05).SPP1 expression levels were significantly associated with tumor size,Child-Pugh grading,lymph node metastasis,and BCLC staging(P<0.05).High SPP1 expression,along with tumor size,Child-Pugh grading,lymph node metastasis,and BCLC staging,were independent risk factors for survival(P<0.05).The 60-month survival rate was 17.39%,with a median survival of 40 months in the low-expression group versus 18 months in the high-expression group(P<0.05).Conclusion:SPP1 expression is significantly upregulated in advanced liver cancer patients and has predictive value for postoperative survival following hepatic artery chemoembolization treatment.SPP1,combined with clinical indicators such as tumor size,Child-Pugh grading,lymph node metastasis,and BCLC staging,may serve as a prognostic biomarker for interventional treatment outcomes.展开更多
Objective:To investigate the diagnostic and predictive value of MRI features combined with clinical indicators for prostate cancer(PCa)and clinically significant prostate cancer(csPCa),and to establish a non-invasive ...Objective:To investigate the diagnostic and predictive value of MRI features combined with clinical indicators for prostate cancer(PCa)and clinically significant prostate cancer(csPCa),and to establish a non-invasive combined model.Methods:A total of 36 patients with pathologically confirmed benign lesions(44 foci)and 23 patients with PCa(49 foci),including 25 foci of csPCa and 68 foci of non-csPCa,were included.SyMRI quantitative maps and clinical indicators were collected,and 224 imaging features were extracted.The intra-and inter-group correlation coefficients(ICC)for each feature were calculated using intra-and inter-group correlation analysis,and features with an ICC>0.75 were selected as stable features that could be reproducibly extracted.Independent predictors were screened using logistic regression to construct single and combined models,and the performance was evaluated using ROC curves.Results:Age,PSAD,PD map contrast,and T2 map joint entropy were significantly higher in the PCa group compared to the benign group,while the median ADC was significantly lower(p<0.05).The above-mentioned indicators were significantly correlated with PCa and csPCa,and the diagnostic performance of the combined model was superior to that of a single MRI or clinical model.Conclusion:MRI features combined with PSAD can effectively differentiate PCa and predict csPCa,providing a non-invasive quantitative diagnostic basis for clinical practice.展开更多
BACKGROUND:The major issue with intraoperative cholangiography (IOC) is whether its diagnostic accuracy for common bile duct (CBD) stones matches that of other diagnostic procedures,and thus,whether it will become a r...BACKGROUND:The major issue with intraoperative cholangiography (IOC) is whether its diagnostic accuracy for common bile duct (CBD) stones matches that of other diagnostic procedures,and thus,whether it will become a routine diagnostic procedure.The current study aimed to address the main determinants of CBD stone diagnosis in IOC among an Iranian population.METHODS:In a retrospective review database-based study conducted in Taleghani Hospital in Tehran between 2006 and 2008,baseline data and perioperative information of 2060 patients (male to female ratio 542:1518,mean age 53.7 years) who were candidates for cholecystectomy and underwent concomitant IOC for confirming CBD stones were reviewed.The predictive power of this procedure for diagnosis of abnormal biliary ducts with the focus on biliary stones was determined.RESULTS:Overall mortality and morbidity following cholecystectomy in the study population were 0.6% and 2.6%,respectively.Both early mortality and morbidity due to cholecystectomy were higher in male than female.The prevalence of CBD stones in IOC was 3.4% (5.2% in male and 2.8% in female,P=0.008).Among those without gallstones,8.7% had CBD stones and only 3.1% had concomitant gallstones and CBD stones.The main predictors of stone appearance as an abnormal feature of IOC during cholecystectomy were:advanced age (OR=1.022,P=0.001),male gender (OR=1.498,P=0.050),history of abdominal surgery (OR=1.543,P=0.040) and preoperative endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (OR=5.400,P<0.001).CONCLUSIONS:IOC is a safe and accurate method for the assessment of bile duct anatomy and stones.Therefore,the routine use of IOC within cholecystectomy seems reasonable and is recommended.展开更多
BACKGROUND The incidence of esophageal cancer is high,and its prognosis is poor.Endoscopic submucosal dissection(ESD)is an important,minimally invasive treatment for early esophageal cancer,but the risk of postoperati...BACKGROUND The incidence of esophageal cancer is high,and its prognosis is poor.Endoscopic submucosal dissection(ESD)is an important,minimally invasive treatment for early esophageal cancer,but the risk of postoperative bleeding affects its efficacy.AIM To explore risk factors of bleeding after ESD and evaluate the predictive value of a gradient boosting machine(GBM)model for postoperative bleeding.METHODS The clinical data of 178 early esophageal cancer patients who underwent ESD at the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from October 2019 to October 2024 were analyzed retrospectively.Patients were divided into two groups(bleeding and non-bleeding).Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses identified risk factors for postoperative bleeding,leading to the construction of the GBM prediction model.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve evaluated the predictive efficacy of the GBM model and bleeding after ESD trend from Japan(BEST-J)score.RESULTS Among 178 patients who received ESD treatment,29 cases(16.29%)had bleeding,and 149 cases(83.71%)had no bleeding.The average BEST-J score and the proportion of high-risk and extremely high-risk patients were higher in the bleeding group than in the non-bleeding group(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that tumor size≥3 cm,surgical bleeding,and Creactive protein(CRP)were independent risk factors for bleeding after ESD in patients with early esophageal cancer(P<0.05).The ROC curve showed that the area under the curve of the GBM prediction model based on the influencing factors was greater than that of the BEST-J score(0.818 vs 0.653,P<0.05).CONCLUSION The GBM prediction model based on tumor size≥3 cm,surgical bleeding,and high CRP levels is more effective than the BEST-J score at predicting bleeding after ESD.展开更多
Coronary artery disease is the leading cause of death in advanced countries and its prevalence is increasing among the developing countries.Cardiac computed tomography(CT) has been increasingly used in the diagnosis o...Coronary artery disease is the leading cause of death in advanced countries and its prevalence is increasing among the developing countries.Cardiac computed tomography(CT) has been increasingly used in the diagnosis of coronary artery disease due to its rapid improvements in multislice CT scanners over the last decade,and this less-invasive technique has become a potentially effective alternative to invasive coronary angiography.Quantifying the amount of coronary artery calcium with cardiac CT has been widely accepted as a reliable non-invasive technique for predicting risk of future cardiovascular events.However,the main question that remains uncertain is whether routine,widespread coronary artery calcium scoring in an individual patient will result in an overall improvement in quality of care and clinical outcomes.In this commentary,we discuss a current issue of the clinical value of coronary artery calcium scoring with regard to its value of predicting adverse cardiac events.We also discuss the applications of coronary artery calcium scores in patients with different risk groups.展开更多
Aim: To determine the predictive value of the hypo-osmotic swelling (HOS) test to identify viable, non-motile sperm. Methods: Semen samples from 20 men with severe asthenozoospermia underwent traditional seminal analy...Aim: To determine the predictive value of the hypo-osmotic swelling (HOS) test to identify viable, non-motile sperm. Methods: Semen samples from 20 men with severe asthenozoospermia underwent traditional seminal analysis, eosin-nigrosin (EN) staining and the HOS test. A further EN stain was then performed on a HOS pre-treated aliquot and a total of 2000 further sperm examined. Results: The median sperm density was 5.1 million/mL (IQR 4.3-13.1) and the median motility was 3.0 % (IQR 0-7). Seven samples showed complete asthenozoospermia. Initial EN staining showed 59 % viability (range 48-69) despite the poor standard parameters and 47 % (range 33-61) in the complete asthenozoospermia subgroup. The HOS test showed 49.9 % reacted overall (range 40-59) and 41.7 % (range 22-61) in the complete asthenozoospermia subgroup. The combined HOS/EN stain showed the positive predictive value of the HOS test to identify viable sperm was 84.2 % overall and 79.7 % in the complete asthenozoospermia subgroup. Conclusion: The HOS test can effectively predict sperm viability in patients with severe and complete asthenozoospermia.展开更多
As one of the earliest markers for predicting pregnancy outcomes, human chorionic gonadotropin(h CG) values have been inconclusive on reliability of the prediction after frozen and fresh embryo transfer(ET). In this r...As one of the earliest markers for predicting pregnancy outcomes, human chorionic gonadotropin(h CG) values have been inconclusive on reliability of the prediction after frozen and fresh embryo transfer(ET). In this retrospective study, patients with positive h CG(day 12 after transfer) were included to examine the h CG levels and their predictive value for pregnancy outcomes following 214 fresh and 1513 vitrified-warmed single-blastocyst transfer cycles. For patients who got clinical pregnancy, the mean initial h CG value was significantly higher after frozen cycles than fresh cycles, and the similar result was demonstrated for patients with live births(LB). The difference in h CG value existed even after adjusting for the potential covariates. The area under curves(AUC) and threshold values calculated by receiver operator characteristic curves were 0.944 and 213.05 m IU/m L for clinical pregnancy after fresh ET, 0.894 and 399.50 m IU/m L for clinical pregnancy after frozen ET, 0.812 and 222.86 m IU/m L for LB after fresh ET, and 0.808 and 410.80 m IU/mL for LB after frozen ET with acceptable sensitivity and specificity, respectively. In conclusion, single frozen blastocyst transfer leads to higher initial h CG values than single fresh blastocyst transfer, and the initial h CG level is a reliable predictive factor for predicting IVF outcomes.展开更多
This study aimed to compare the predictive value of six selected anthropometric indicators for benign prostatic hyperplasia(BPH).Males over 50 years of age who underwent health examinations at the Health Management Ce...This study aimed to compare the predictive value of six selected anthropometric indicators for benign prostatic hyperplasia(BPH).Males over 50 years of age who underwent health examinations at the Health Management Center of the Second Xiangya Hospital,Central South University(Changsha,China)from June to December 2020 were enrolled in this study.The characteristic data were collected,including basic anthropometric indices,lipid parameters,six anthropometric indicators,prostate-specific antigen,and total prostate volume.The odds ratios(ORs)with 95%confidence intervals(95%CIs)for all anthropometric parameters and BPH were calculated using binary logistic regression.To assess the diagnostic capability of each indicator for BPH and identify the appropriate cutoff values,receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves and the related areas under the curves(AUCs)were utilized.All six indicators had diagnostic value for BPH(all P≤0.001).The visceral adiposity index(VAI;AUC:0.797,95%CI:0.759–0.834)had the highest AUC and therefore the highest diagnostic value.This was followed by the cardiometabolic index(CMI;AUC:0.792,95%CI:0.753–0.831),lipid accumulation product(LAP;AUC:0.766,95%CI:0.723–0.809),waist-to-hip ratio(WHR;AUC:0.660,95%CI:0.609–0.712),waist-to-height ratio(WHtR;AUC:0.639,95%CI:0.587–0.691),and body mass index(BMI;AUC:0.592,95%CI:0.540–0.643).The sensitivity of CMI was the highest(92.1%),and WHtR had the highest specificity of 94.1%.CMI consistently showed the highest OR in the binary logistic regression analysis.BMI,WHtR,WHR,VAI,CMI,and LAP all influence the occurrence of BPH in middle-aged and older men(all P≤0.001),and CMI is the best predictor of BPH.展开更多
BACKGROUND Melanoma is a highly malignant skin tumour, and is one of the most rapidly growing malignant tumors in recent years. According to statistics, the morbidity of cancer increases with age, accounting for 1.6% ...BACKGROUND Melanoma is a highly malignant skin tumour, and is one of the most rapidly growing malignant tumors in recent years. According to statistics, the morbidity of cancer increases with age, accounting for 1.6% of new cancer cases and 0.6% of deaths worldwide. Melanoma has a serious impact on society and families, thus it is of great significance to find biological markers related to the diagnosis and treatment of melanoma.AIM To explore the expression and predictive value of mir-489 and mir-21 in melanoma metastasis.METHODS A total of 60 patients with malignant melanoma treated at our hospital from June2017 to December 2018 were selected as a research group, while 40 healthy subjects were selected as a control group. qRT-PCR technique was used to detect miR-489 and miR-21 in serum of the two groups. ROC curve was drawn to evaluate the predictive value and diagnostic efficiency. Spearman test was used for correlation analysis. Logistic single-and multiple-factor analyses were performed to identify the risk factors related to melanoma metastasis.RESULTS The expression of miR-489 in the research group was significantly lower than that in the control group(P < 0.001). However, the expression of miR-21 in the research group was significantly higher than that in the control group(P < 0.001).The expression of miR-489 and miR-21 was related to TNM stage and metastasis(P < 0.001). In the diagnosis of melanoma patients, the sensitivity, specificity, and AUC of miR-489 alone were 75.56%, 80.00%, and 0.852, respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, and AUC of miR-21 alone were 77.78%, 82.22%, and 0.844,respectively. MiR-489 was negatively correlated with TNM stage of melanoma(r=-0.612, P < 0.001), while miR-21 was positively correlated with TNM stage(r =0.609, P < 0.001). Logistic single-and multiple-factor regression analyses showed that TNM stage, miR-489, and mir-21 were independent risk factors for malignant melanoma metastasis.CONCLUSION MiR-489 and miR-21 may participate in the process of melanoma occurrence,development, and metastasis, and can be used as potential serum biomarkers for melanoma metastasis diagnosis and disease assessment.展开更多
BACKGROUND Acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(AECOPD)is often combined with respiratory failure,which increases the patient's morbidity and mortality.Diaphragm ultrasound(DUS)has developed...BACKGROUND Acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(AECOPD)is often combined with respiratory failure,which increases the patient's morbidity and mortality.Diaphragm ultrasound(DUS)has developed rapidly in the field of critical care in recent years.Studies with DUS monitoring diaphragm-related rapid shallow breathing index have demonstrated important results in guiding intensive care unit patients out of the ventilator.Early prediction of the indications for withdrawal of non-invasive ventilator and early evaluation of patients to avoid or reduce disease progression are very important.AIM To explore the predictive value of DUS indexes for non-invasive ventilation outcome in patients with AECOPD.METHODS Ninety-four patients with AECOPD who received mechanical ventilation in our hospital from January 2022 to December 2023 were retrospectively analyzed,and they were divided into a successful ventilation group(68 cases)and a failed ventilation group(26 cases)according to the outcome of ventilation.The clinical data of patients with successful and failed noninvasive ventilation were compared,and the independent predictors of noninvasive ventilation outcomes in AECOPD patients were identified by multivariate logistic regression analysis.RESULTS There were no significant differences in gender,age,body mass index,complications,systolic pressure,heart rate,mean arterial pressure,respiratory rate,oxygen saturation,partial pressure of oxygen,oxygenation index,or time of inspiration between patients with successful and failed mechanical ventilation(P>0.05).The patients with successful noninvasive ventilation had shorter hospital stays and lower partial pressure of carbon dioxide(PaCO_(2))than those with failed treatment,while potential of hydrogen(pH),diaphragm thickening fraction(DTF),diaphragm activity,and diaphragm movement time were significantly higher than those with failed treatment(P<0.05).pH[odds ratio(OR)=0.005,P<0.05],PaCO_(2)(OR=0.430,P<0.05),and DTF(OR=0.570,P<0.05)were identified to be independent factors influencing the outcome of mechanical ventilation in AECOPD patients.CONCLUSION The DUS index DTF can better predict the outcome of non-invasive ventilation in AECOPD patients.展开更多
This paper discusses how the positive and negative predictive values vary withcontrary variations of sensitivity and specificity at a certain disease prevalence.Let thesensitiviy be Se and the specificity be Sp at the...This paper discusses how the positive and negative predictive values vary withcontrary variations of sensitivity and specificity at a certain disease prevalence.Let thesensitiviy be Se and the specificity be Sp at the initial cutoff point,correspondingly Se’and Sp’ at a new cutoff point:A=Se’/Se:B-(1-Sp’)/(1-Sp):C=Sp’/Sp;D=(I-Se’)/(I-Se).Moving the cutoff point from the initial point to the new point,if the contrary variationsof the sensitivity and specificity satisfy the inequality A】B,then the positive predictivevalue increases,otherwise it decreases or remains unchanged.If the variations satisfy theinequality C】D,then the negative prcdictive value increases,otherwise it decreasses or re-mains unchanged.展开更多
<strong>Objective:</strong> To assess the diagnostic accuracy and predictive values of clinical symptoms in patients with suspected mild COVID-19 to identify target groups for self-isolation and outpatient...<strong>Objective:</strong> To assess the diagnostic accuracy and predictive values of clinical symptoms in patients with suspected mild COVID-19 to identify target groups for self-isolation and outpatient treatment without additional testing. <strong>Methods:</strong> We conducted an open-label prospective study in patients aged 18 to 72 years with suspected mild COVID-19. The clinical diagnosis was based on the acute onset of such symptoms as olfactory dysfunction, hyperthermia, myalgia, nasal congestion, nasal discharge, cough, rhinolalia, sore throat, without pneumonia in persons in contact with a confirmed case of COVID-19. The physician assessed clinical symptoms using a 4-point scale. The patient self-assessed clinical symptoms using a ten-point visual analogue scale (VAS). All enrolled patients underwent laboratory testing to confirm the diagnosis of COVID-19. <strong>Results:</strong> Of the 120 patients underwent testing, the diagnosis of mild COVID-19 was confirmed in 96 patients and ruled out in 24 patients. When assessing symptoms by a physician according to the correlation analysis, hyperthermia, myalgia, nasal congestion and rhinolalia have a positive predictive value with a significance level of more than 0.6. When self-assessing symptoms by a patient, fever, myalgia and nasal congestion have a diagnostic accuracy with a significance level of more than 0.5. Nasal discharge, cough and sore throat have negative predictive values. <strong>Conclusion: </strong>The presence of these symptoms in patients with an acute onset of the disease can help to make a clinical diagnosis of coronavirus disease and identify target groups for self-isolation and outpatient treatment without additional testing. Highly suspect asymptomatic patients are not considered as those who have possible mild COVID-19 infection.展开更多
The notion that animals could be used as predictive models in science has been influenced by relatively recent developments in the fields of complexity science, evolutionary and developmental biology, genetics, and ev...The notion that animals could be used as predictive models in science has been influenced by relatively recent developments in the fields of complexity science, evolutionary and developmental biology, genetics, and evolutionary biology in general. Combined with empirical evidence, which has led scientists in drug development to acknowledge that a new, nonanimal model is needed, a theory—not a hypothesis—has been formed to explain why animals function well as models for humans at lower levels of organization but are unable to predict outcomes at higher levels of organization. Trans-Species Modeling Theory (TSMT) places the empirical evidence in the context of a scientific theory and thus, from a scientific perspective, the issue of where animals can and cannot be used in science has arguably been settled. Yet, some in various areas of science or science-related fields continue to demand that more evidence be offered before the use of animal models in medical research and testing be abandoned on scientific grounds. In this article, I examine TSMT, the empirical evidence surrounding the use of animal models, and the opinions of experts. I contrast these facts with the opinions and positions of those that have a direct or indirect vested interest—financial or otherwise—in animal models. I then discuss the ethical implications regarding research constructed to find cures and treatments for humans.展开更多
BACKGROUND Preoperative therapy is widely used in locally advanced rectal cancer.It can improve local control of rectal cancer.However,there are few indicators that can predict the effect of preoperative chemotherapy ...BACKGROUND Preoperative therapy is widely used in locally advanced rectal cancer.It can improve local control of rectal cancer.However,there are few indicators that can predict the effect of preoperative chemotherapy accurately.AIM To investigate whether the increase in serumα-fetoprotein(AFP)can predict better efficacy of preoperative chemotherapy.METHODS This was a retrospective study.We analyzed 125 patients admitted between 2017 and 2019 with locally advanced rectal cancer.All patients received six cycles of preoperative chemotherapy(mFOLFOX6 every 2 wk).Serum AFP of 26 patients rose slightly after three or four cycles of chemotherapy,and fell to normal again within 2 mo.The other 99 patients had a normal level of serum AFP during chemotherapy.Patients were divided into two groups(AFP risen and AFP normal).According to postoperative pathology,we compared tumor regression and complete response rate between the two groups.The primary outcome measure was the tumor regression grade(TRG)after chemotherapy.The difference in pathological complete response between the two groups was also investigated.RESULTS There were no tumor progression and distant metastasis in both groups during preoperative chemotherapy.Patients in the AFP risen group achieved better TRG 0/1 than those in the AFP normal group(61.5%vs 39.4%).The increase in AFP was a significant predictor for better tumor regression[χ2=4.144,odds ratio(OR)=2.666,P=0.04].In the AFP risen group,the complete response rate was 30.8%,which was higher than in the AFP normal group(30.8%vs 12.1%,χ2=4.542,OR=3.251,P=0.03).CONCLUSION Patients with a slight increase in serum AFP can achieve better tumor regression during preoperative chemotherapy,and are more likely to achieve pathological complete response.展开更多
BACKGROUND Irritable bowel syndrome(IBS)is a common functional bowel disease that shares features with many organic diseases and cannot be accurately diagnosed by symptom-based criteria.Alarm symptoms have long been a...BACKGROUND Irritable bowel syndrome(IBS)is a common functional bowel disease that shares features with many organic diseases and cannot be accurately diagnosed by symptom-based criteria.Alarm symptoms have long been applied in the clinical diagnosis of IBS.However,no study has explored the predictive value of alarm symptoms in suspected IBS patients based on the latest Rome IV criteria.AIM To investigate the predictive value of alarm symptoms in suspected IBS patients based on the Rome IV criteria.METHODS In this multicenter cross-sectional study,we collected data from 730 suspected IBS patients evaluated at 3 tertiary care centers from August 2018 to August 2019.Patients with IBS-like symptoms who completed colonoscopy during the study period were initially identified by investigators through medical records.Eligible patients completed questionnaires,underwent laboratory tests,and were assigned to the IBS or organic disease group according to colonoscopy findings and pathology results(if a biopsy was taken).Independent risk factors for organic disease were explored by logistic regression analysis,and the positive predictive value(PPV)and missed diagnosis rate were calculated.RESULTS The incidence of alarm symptoms in suspected IBS patients was 75.34%.Anemia[odds ratio(OR)=2.825,95%confidence interval(CI):1.273-6.267,P=0.011],fecal occult blood[OR=1.940(95%CI:1.041-3.613),P=0.037],unintended weight loss(P=0.009),female sex[OR=0.560(95%CI:0.330-0.949),P=0.031]and marital status(P=0.030)were independently correlated with organic disease.The prevalence of organic disease was 10.41%in suspected IBS patients.The PPV of alarm symptoms for organic disease was highest for anemia(22.92%),fecal occult blood(19.35%)and unintended weight loss(16.48%),and it was 100%when these three factors were combined.The PPV and missed diagnosis rate for diagnosing IBS were 91.67%and 74.77%when all alarm symptoms were combined with Rome IV and 92.09%and 34.10%when only fecal occult blood,unintended weight loss and anemia were combined with Rome IV,respectively.CONCLUSION Anemia,fecal occult blood and unintended weight loss have high predictive value for organic disease in suspected IBS patients and can help identify patients requiring further examination but are not recommended as exclusion criteria for IBS.展开更多
In this retrospective study, a total of 275 solid masses were examined for cytopathologic diagnosis. Twenty four percent (67/275) of these cytologic samples were followed by surgical biopsy and histopathologic diagnos...In this retrospective study, a total of 275 solid masses were examined for cytopathologic diagnosis. Twenty four percent (67/275) of these cytologic samples were followed by surgical biopsy and histopathologic diagnosis, allowing for comparisons. On average, the cutaneous and subcutaneous solid masses were recognized when the dogs were aged between 6 and 9 years old. The origins of the solid masses included connective tissue tumors 37.1% (23/62), epithelial tissue tumors 33.9% (21/62), round cell tumors 19.4% (12/62), masses of inflammatory lesions 4.8% (3/62) and lesions due to other causes 4.8% (3/62). The sensitivity and positive predictive value (PPV) of cytopathology in the diagnosis of solid masses were 93% (62/67) and 97% (62/64), respectively. Generally, neo-plasms were over diagnosed by cytopathology as was indicated by the positive predictive value. Both the sensitivity and the PPV of cytopathology comparative to histopathology in the diagnosis of inflammatory processes were 100% (3/3). The inflammatory lesions were eventually confirmed as necrotizing myositis, necro-suppurative cystitis and endocrine inflammatory dermatopathy based on histopathology. Less than 8% (5/67) of samples were incorrectly diagnosed by cytology. The study showed high accuracy between cytological and histopathological examination of solid masses in dogs, and thus a reliable diagnostic tool in patient care.展开更多
[Objectives]To explore the clinical nursing value of predictive nursing intervention in patients with deep venous thrombosis of lower extremities after cesarean section.[Methods]From December 2022 to April 2023,105 pr...[Objectives]To explore the clinical nursing value of predictive nursing intervention in patients with deep venous thrombosis of lower extremities after cesarean section.[Methods]From December 2022 to April 2023,105 pregnant and lying-in women who were hospitalized in the Gynecology Department of Pingquan Hospital and underwent cesarean section and met the inclusion criteria were included as the study objects.According to the medical records,they were divided into observation group(n=52 cases)and control group(n=53 cases).The clinical experimental subjects were divided into two groups.One group was the control group with routine nursing,and the other group was the observation group with predictive nursing intervention.The number of cases of deep venous thrombosis of lower extremities in the two groups was recorded to evaluate the clinical value.[Results]The incidence of deep venous thrombosis of lower extremities in the two groups after cesarean section was compared,and it was suggested that the incidence of the observation group was lower than that of the control group(P<0.05).[Conclusions]Special predictive nursing intervention can greatly reduce the incidence of deep venous thrombosis of lower extremities after cesarean section,improve nursing satisfaction,and improve clinical efficacy,which is worthy of recommendation.展开更多
AIM:To determine which features of history and demographics predict a diagnosis of malignancy or peptic stricture in patients presenting with dysphagia.METHODS:A prospective case-control study of 2000 consecutive refe...AIM:To determine which features of history and demographics predict a diagnosis of malignancy or peptic stricture in patients presenting with dysphagia.METHODS:A prospective case-control study of 2000 consecutive referrals(1031 female,age range:17-103 years) to a rapid access service for dysphagia,based in a teaching hospital within the United Kingdom,over 7 years.The service consists of a nurse-led telephone triage followed by investigation(barium swallow or gastroscopy),if appropriate,within 2 wk.Logistic regression analysis of demographic and clinical variables was performed.This includes age,sex,duration of dysphagia,whether to liquids or solids,and whether there are associated features(reflux,odynophagia,weight loss,regurgitation).We determined odds ratio(OR) for these variables for the diagnoses of malignancy and peptic stricture.We determined the value of the Edinburgh Dysphagia Score(EDS) in predicting cancer in our cohort.Multivariate logistic regression was performed and P < 0.05 considered significant.The local ethics committee confirmed ethics approval was not required(audit).RESULTS:The commonest diagnosis is gastro-esophageal reflux disease(41.3%).Malignancy(11.0%) and peptic stricture(10.0%) were also relatively common.Malignancies were diagnosed by histology(97%) or on radiological criteria,either sequential barium swallows showing progression of disease or unequivocal evidence of malignancy on computed tomography.The majority of malignancies were esophago-gastric in origin but ear,nose and throat tumors,pancreatic cancer and extrinsic compression from lung or mediastinal metastatic cancer were also found.Malignancy was statistically more frequent in older patients(aged >73 years,OR 1.1-3.3,age < 60 years 6.5%,60-73 years 11.2%,> 73 years 11.8%,P < 0.05),males(OR 2.2-4.8,males 14.5%,females 5.6%,P < 0.0005),short duration of dysphagia(≤ 8 wk,OR 4.5-20.7,16.6%,8-26 wk 14.5%,> 26 wk 2.5%,P < 0.0005),progressive symptoms(OR 1.3-2.6:progressive 14.8%,intermittent 9.3%,P < 0.001),with weight loss of ≥ 2 kg(OR 2.5-5.1,weight loss 22.1%,without weight loss 6.4%,P < 0.0005) and without reflux(OR 1.2-2.5,reflux 7.2%,no reflux 15.5%,P < 0.0005).The likelihood of malignancy was greater in those who described true dysphagia(food or drink sticking within 5 s of swallowing than those who did not(15.1%vs 5.2% respectively,P < 0.001).The sensitivity,specificity,positive predictive value and negative predictive value of the EDS were 98.4%,9.3%,11.8% and 98.0% respectively.Three patients with an EDS of 3(high risk EDS ≥ 3.5) had malignancy.Unlike the original validation cohort,there was no difference in likelihood of malignancy based on level of dysphagia(pharyngeal level dysphagia 11.9% vs mid sternal or lower sternal dysphagia 12.4%).Peptic stricture was statistically more frequent in those with longer duration of symptoms(> 6 mo,OR 1.2-2.9,≤ 8 wk 9.8%,8-26 wk 10.6%,> 26 wk 15.7%,P < 0.05) and over 60 s(OR 1.2-3.0,age < 60 years 6.2%,60-73 years 10.2%,> 73 years 10.6%,P < 0.05).CONCLUSION:Malignancy and peptic stricture are frequent findings in those referred with dysphagia.The predictive value for associated features could help determine need for fast track investigation whilst reducing service pressures.展开更多
文摘BACKGROUND Gastric cancer is the most common malignancy of the digestive system and surgical resection is the primary treatment.Advances in surgical technology have reduced the risk of complications after radical gastrectomy;however,post-surgical pancreatic fistula remain a serious issue.These fistulas can lead to abdominal infections,anastomotic leakage,increased costs,and pain;thus,early diagnosis and prevention are crucial for a better prognosis.Currently,C-reactive protein(CRP),procalcitonin(PCT),and total bilirubin(TBil)levels are used to predict post-operative infections and anastomotic leakage.However,their predictive value for pancreatic fistula after radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer remains unclear.The present study was conducted to determine their predictive value.AIM To determine the predictive value of CRP,PCT,and TBil levels for pancreatic fistula after gastric cancer surgery.METHODS In total,158 patients who underwent radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer at our hospital between January 2019 and January 2023 were included.The patients were assigned to a pancreatic fistula group or a non-pancreatic fistula group.Multivariate logistic analysis was conducted to assess the factors influencing development of a fistula.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves were used to determine the predictive value of serum CRP,PCT,and TBil levels on day 1 postsurgery.RESULTS On day 1 post-surgery,the CRP,PCT,and TBil levels were significantly higher in the pancreatic fistula group than in the non-pancreatic fistula group(P<0.05).A higher fistula grade was associated with higher levels of the indices.Univariate analysis revealed significant differences in the presence of diabetes,hyperlipidemia,pancreatic injury,splenectomy,and the biomarker levels(P<0.05).Logistic multivariate analysis identified diabetes,hyperlipidemia,pancreatic injury,CRP level,and PCT level as independent risk factors.ROC curves yielded predictive values for CRP,PCT,and TBil levels,with the PCT level having the highest area under the curve(AUC)of 0.80[95%confidence interval(CI):0.72-0.90].Combined indicators improved the predictive value,with an AUC of 0.86(95%CI:0.78-0.93).CONCLUSION Elevated CRP,PCT,and TBil levels predict risk of pancreatic fistula post-gastrectomy for gastric cancer.
基金Medical Research Project of Xi’an Science and Technology Bureau“Molecular Mechanism of miR-1305 Competitive Endogenous circRNA in the Development of Liver Cancer”(Project No.22YXYJ0134)General Project of Key Research and Development Program of Shaanxi Provincial Department of Science and Technology“Mechanism Study on the Inhibition of Liver Cancer Invasion and Metastasis by Downregulating METTL3 and Reducing the m6A Modification Level of MMP3 with Honokiol”(Project No.2023-YBSF-631)。
文摘Objective:To evaluate the predictive value of secreted phosphoprotein 1(SPP1)gene expression for postoperative survival in patients with advanced liver cancer undergoing hepatic artery interventional chemoembolization treatment.Method:Bioinformatics methods,including gene ontology(GO)and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes(KEGG)pathway analysis,were used to identify genes related to survival prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)patients.A retrospective analysis of 115 advanced liver cancer patients treated between January 2016 and October 2017 was conducted.Patients were categorized into SPP1 high-expression(n=89)and low-expression groups(n=26).Additionally,115 healthy individuals served as the control group.The relationship between SPP1 expression and clinical pathological features was analyzed.A 60-month follow-up and logistic regression analysis identified risk factors affecting survival.Results:SPP1 mRNA expression was significantly higher in liver cancer patients compared to healthy controls(P<0.05).SPP1 expression levels were significantly associated with tumor size,Child-Pugh grading,lymph node metastasis,and BCLC staging(P<0.05).High SPP1 expression,along with tumor size,Child-Pugh grading,lymph node metastasis,and BCLC staging,were independent risk factors for survival(P<0.05).The 60-month survival rate was 17.39%,with a median survival of 40 months in the low-expression group versus 18 months in the high-expression group(P<0.05).Conclusion:SPP1 expression is significantly upregulated in advanced liver cancer patients and has predictive value for postoperative survival following hepatic artery chemoembolization treatment.SPP1,combined with clinical indicators such as tumor size,Child-Pugh grading,lymph node metastasis,and BCLC staging,may serve as a prognostic biomarker for interventional treatment outcomes.
文摘Objective:To investigate the diagnostic and predictive value of MRI features combined with clinical indicators for prostate cancer(PCa)and clinically significant prostate cancer(csPCa),and to establish a non-invasive combined model.Methods:A total of 36 patients with pathologically confirmed benign lesions(44 foci)and 23 patients with PCa(49 foci),including 25 foci of csPCa and 68 foci of non-csPCa,were included.SyMRI quantitative maps and clinical indicators were collected,and 224 imaging features were extracted.The intra-and inter-group correlation coefficients(ICC)for each feature were calculated using intra-and inter-group correlation analysis,and features with an ICC>0.75 were selected as stable features that could be reproducibly extracted.Independent predictors were screened using logistic regression to construct single and combined models,and the performance was evaluated using ROC curves.Results:Age,PSAD,PD map contrast,and T2 map joint entropy were significantly higher in the PCa group compared to the benign group,while the median ADC was significantly lower(p<0.05).The above-mentioned indicators were significantly correlated with PCa and csPCa,and the diagnostic performance of the combined model was superior to that of a single MRI or clinical model.Conclusion:MRI features combined with PSAD can effectively differentiate PCa and predict csPCa,providing a non-invasive quantitative diagnostic basis for clinical practice.
文摘BACKGROUND:The major issue with intraoperative cholangiography (IOC) is whether its diagnostic accuracy for common bile duct (CBD) stones matches that of other diagnostic procedures,and thus,whether it will become a routine diagnostic procedure.The current study aimed to address the main determinants of CBD stone diagnosis in IOC among an Iranian population.METHODS:In a retrospective review database-based study conducted in Taleghani Hospital in Tehran between 2006 and 2008,baseline data and perioperative information of 2060 patients (male to female ratio 542:1518,mean age 53.7 years) who were candidates for cholecystectomy and underwent concomitant IOC for confirming CBD stones were reviewed.The predictive power of this procedure for diagnosis of abnormal biliary ducts with the focus on biliary stones was determined.RESULTS:Overall mortality and morbidity following cholecystectomy in the study population were 0.6% and 2.6%,respectively.Both early mortality and morbidity due to cholecystectomy were higher in male than female.The prevalence of CBD stones in IOC was 3.4% (5.2% in male and 2.8% in female,P=0.008).Among those without gallstones,8.7% had CBD stones and only 3.1% had concomitant gallstones and CBD stones.The main predictors of stone appearance as an abnormal feature of IOC during cholecystectomy were:advanced age (OR=1.022,P=0.001),male gender (OR=1.498,P=0.050),history of abdominal surgery (OR=1.543,P=0.040) and preoperative endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (OR=5.400,P<0.001).CONCLUSIONS:IOC is a safe and accurate method for the assessment of bile duct anatomy and stones.Therefore,the routine use of IOC within cholecystectomy seems reasonable and is recommended.
文摘BACKGROUND The incidence of esophageal cancer is high,and its prognosis is poor.Endoscopic submucosal dissection(ESD)is an important,minimally invasive treatment for early esophageal cancer,but the risk of postoperative bleeding affects its efficacy.AIM To explore risk factors of bleeding after ESD and evaluate the predictive value of a gradient boosting machine(GBM)model for postoperative bleeding.METHODS The clinical data of 178 early esophageal cancer patients who underwent ESD at the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from October 2019 to October 2024 were analyzed retrospectively.Patients were divided into two groups(bleeding and non-bleeding).Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses identified risk factors for postoperative bleeding,leading to the construction of the GBM prediction model.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve evaluated the predictive efficacy of the GBM model and bleeding after ESD trend from Japan(BEST-J)score.RESULTS Among 178 patients who received ESD treatment,29 cases(16.29%)had bleeding,and 149 cases(83.71%)had no bleeding.The average BEST-J score and the proportion of high-risk and extremely high-risk patients were higher in the bleeding group than in the non-bleeding group(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that tumor size≥3 cm,surgical bleeding,and Creactive protein(CRP)were independent risk factors for bleeding after ESD in patients with early esophageal cancer(P<0.05).The ROC curve showed that the area under the curve of the GBM prediction model based on the influencing factors was greater than that of the BEST-J score(0.818 vs 0.653,P<0.05).CONCLUSION The GBM prediction model based on tumor size≥3 cm,surgical bleeding,and high CRP levels is more effective than the BEST-J score at predicting bleeding after ESD.
文摘Coronary artery disease is the leading cause of death in advanced countries and its prevalence is increasing among the developing countries.Cardiac computed tomography(CT) has been increasingly used in the diagnosis of coronary artery disease due to its rapid improvements in multislice CT scanners over the last decade,and this less-invasive technique has become a potentially effective alternative to invasive coronary angiography.Quantifying the amount of coronary artery calcium with cardiac CT has been widely accepted as a reliable non-invasive technique for predicting risk of future cardiovascular events.However,the main question that remains uncertain is whether routine,widespread coronary artery calcium scoring in an individual patient will result in an overall improvement in quality of care and clinical outcomes.In this commentary,we discuss a current issue of the clinical value of coronary artery calcium scoring with regard to its value of predicting adverse cardiac events.We also discuss the applications of coronary artery calcium scores in patients with different risk groups.
文摘Aim: To determine the predictive value of the hypo-osmotic swelling (HOS) test to identify viable, non-motile sperm. Methods: Semen samples from 20 men with severe asthenozoospermia underwent traditional seminal analysis, eosin-nigrosin (EN) staining and the HOS test. A further EN stain was then performed on a HOS pre-treated aliquot and a total of 2000 further sperm examined. Results: The median sperm density was 5.1 million/mL (IQR 4.3-13.1) and the median motility was 3.0 % (IQR 0-7). Seven samples showed complete asthenozoospermia. Initial EN staining showed 59 % viability (range 48-69) despite the poor standard parameters and 47 % (range 33-61) in the complete asthenozoospermia subgroup. The HOS test showed 49.9 % reacted overall (range 40-59) and 41.7 % (range 22-61) in the complete asthenozoospermia subgroup. The combined HOS/EN stain showed the positive predictive value of the HOS test to identify viable sperm was 84.2 % overall and 79.7 % in the complete asthenozoospermia subgroup. Conclusion: The HOS test can effectively predict sperm viability in patients with severe and complete asthenozoospermia.
文摘As one of the earliest markers for predicting pregnancy outcomes, human chorionic gonadotropin(h CG) values have been inconclusive on reliability of the prediction after frozen and fresh embryo transfer(ET). In this retrospective study, patients with positive h CG(day 12 after transfer) were included to examine the h CG levels and their predictive value for pregnancy outcomes following 214 fresh and 1513 vitrified-warmed single-blastocyst transfer cycles. For patients who got clinical pregnancy, the mean initial h CG value was significantly higher after frozen cycles than fresh cycles, and the similar result was demonstrated for patients with live births(LB). The difference in h CG value existed even after adjusting for the potential covariates. The area under curves(AUC) and threshold values calculated by receiver operator characteristic curves were 0.944 and 213.05 m IU/m L for clinical pregnancy after fresh ET, 0.894 and 399.50 m IU/m L for clinical pregnancy after frozen ET, 0.812 and 222.86 m IU/m L for LB after fresh ET, and 0.808 and 410.80 m IU/mL for LB after frozen ET with acceptable sensitivity and specificity, respectively. In conclusion, single frozen blastocyst transfer leads to higher initial h CG values than single fresh blastocyst transfer, and the initial h CG level is a reliable predictive factor for predicting IVF outcomes.
文摘This study aimed to compare the predictive value of six selected anthropometric indicators for benign prostatic hyperplasia(BPH).Males over 50 years of age who underwent health examinations at the Health Management Center of the Second Xiangya Hospital,Central South University(Changsha,China)from June to December 2020 were enrolled in this study.The characteristic data were collected,including basic anthropometric indices,lipid parameters,six anthropometric indicators,prostate-specific antigen,and total prostate volume.The odds ratios(ORs)with 95%confidence intervals(95%CIs)for all anthropometric parameters and BPH were calculated using binary logistic regression.To assess the diagnostic capability of each indicator for BPH and identify the appropriate cutoff values,receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves and the related areas under the curves(AUCs)were utilized.All six indicators had diagnostic value for BPH(all P≤0.001).The visceral adiposity index(VAI;AUC:0.797,95%CI:0.759–0.834)had the highest AUC and therefore the highest diagnostic value.This was followed by the cardiometabolic index(CMI;AUC:0.792,95%CI:0.753–0.831),lipid accumulation product(LAP;AUC:0.766,95%CI:0.723–0.809),waist-to-hip ratio(WHR;AUC:0.660,95%CI:0.609–0.712),waist-to-height ratio(WHtR;AUC:0.639,95%CI:0.587–0.691),and body mass index(BMI;AUC:0.592,95%CI:0.540–0.643).The sensitivity of CMI was the highest(92.1%),and WHtR had the highest specificity of 94.1%.CMI consistently showed the highest OR in the binary logistic regression analysis.BMI,WHtR,WHR,VAI,CMI,and LAP all influence the occurrence of BPH in middle-aged and older men(all P≤0.001),and CMI is the best predictor of BPH.
文摘BACKGROUND Melanoma is a highly malignant skin tumour, and is one of the most rapidly growing malignant tumors in recent years. According to statistics, the morbidity of cancer increases with age, accounting for 1.6% of new cancer cases and 0.6% of deaths worldwide. Melanoma has a serious impact on society and families, thus it is of great significance to find biological markers related to the diagnosis and treatment of melanoma.AIM To explore the expression and predictive value of mir-489 and mir-21 in melanoma metastasis.METHODS A total of 60 patients with malignant melanoma treated at our hospital from June2017 to December 2018 were selected as a research group, while 40 healthy subjects were selected as a control group. qRT-PCR technique was used to detect miR-489 and miR-21 in serum of the two groups. ROC curve was drawn to evaluate the predictive value and diagnostic efficiency. Spearman test was used for correlation analysis. Logistic single-and multiple-factor analyses were performed to identify the risk factors related to melanoma metastasis.RESULTS The expression of miR-489 in the research group was significantly lower than that in the control group(P < 0.001). However, the expression of miR-21 in the research group was significantly higher than that in the control group(P < 0.001).The expression of miR-489 and miR-21 was related to TNM stage and metastasis(P < 0.001). In the diagnosis of melanoma patients, the sensitivity, specificity, and AUC of miR-489 alone were 75.56%, 80.00%, and 0.852, respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, and AUC of miR-21 alone were 77.78%, 82.22%, and 0.844,respectively. MiR-489 was negatively correlated with TNM stage of melanoma(r=-0.612, P < 0.001), while miR-21 was positively correlated with TNM stage(r =0.609, P < 0.001). Logistic single-and multiple-factor regression analyses showed that TNM stage, miR-489, and mir-21 were independent risk factors for malignant melanoma metastasis.CONCLUSION MiR-489 and miR-21 may participate in the process of melanoma occurrence,development, and metastasis, and can be used as potential serum biomarkers for melanoma metastasis diagnosis and disease assessment.
文摘BACKGROUND Acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(AECOPD)is often combined with respiratory failure,which increases the patient's morbidity and mortality.Diaphragm ultrasound(DUS)has developed rapidly in the field of critical care in recent years.Studies with DUS monitoring diaphragm-related rapid shallow breathing index have demonstrated important results in guiding intensive care unit patients out of the ventilator.Early prediction of the indications for withdrawal of non-invasive ventilator and early evaluation of patients to avoid or reduce disease progression are very important.AIM To explore the predictive value of DUS indexes for non-invasive ventilation outcome in patients with AECOPD.METHODS Ninety-four patients with AECOPD who received mechanical ventilation in our hospital from January 2022 to December 2023 were retrospectively analyzed,and they were divided into a successful ventilation group(68 cases)and a failed ventilation group(26 cases)according to the outcome of ventilation.The clinical data of patients with successful and failed noninvasive ventilation were compared,and the independent predictors of noninvasive ventilation outcomes in AECOPD patients were identified by multivariate logistic regression analysis.RESULTS There were no significant differences in gender,age,body mass index,complications,systolic pressure,heart rate,mean arterial pressure,respiratory rate,oxygen saturation,partial pressure of oxygen,oxygenation index,or time of inspiration between patients with successful and failed mechanical ventilation(P>0.05).The patients with successful noninvasive ventilation had shorter hospital stays and lower partial pressure of carbon dioxide(PaCO_(2))than those with failed treatment,while potential of hydrogen(pH),diaphragm thickening fraction(DTF),diaphragm activity,and diaphragm movement time were significantly higher than those with failed treatment(P<0.05).pH[odds ratio(OR)=0.005,P<0.05],PaCO_(2)(OR=0.430,P<0.05),and DTF(OR=0.570,P<0.05)were identified to be independent factors influencing the outcome of mechanical ventilation in AECOPD patients.CONCLUSION The DUS index DTF can better predict the outcome of non-invasive ventilation in AECOPD patients.
文摘This paper discusses how the positive and negative predictive values vary withcontrary variations of sensitivity and specificity at a certain disease prevalence.Let thesensitiviy be Se and the specificity be Sp at the initial cutoff point,correspondingly Se’and Sp’ at a new cutoff point:A=Se’/Se:B-(1-Sp’)/(1-Sp):C=Sp’/Sp;D=(I-Se’)/(I-Se).Moving the cutoff point from the initial point to the new point,if the contrary variationsof the sensitivity and specificity satisfy the inequality A】B,then the positive predictivevalue increases,otherwise it decreases or remains unchanged.If the variations satisfy theinequality C】D,then the negative prcdictive value increases,otherwise it decreasses or re-mains unchanged.
文摘<strong>Objective:</strong> To assess the diagnostic accuracy and predictive values of clinical symptoms in patients with suspected mild COVID-19 to identify target groups for self-isolation and outpatient treatment without additional testing. <strong>Methods:</strong> We conducted an open-label prospective study in patients aged 18 to 72 years with suspected mild COVID-19. The clinical diagnosis was based on the acute onset of such symptoms as olfactory dysfunction, hyperthermia, myalgia, nasal congestion, nasal discharge, cough, rhinolalia, sore throat, without pneumonia in persons in contact with a confirmed case of COVID-19. The physician assessed clinical symptoms using a 4-point scale. The patient self-assessed clinical symptoms using a ten-point visual analogue scale (VAS). All enrolled patients underwent laboratory testing to confirm the diagnosis of COVID-19. <strong>Results:</strong> Of the 120 patients underwent testing, the diagnosis of mild COVID-19 was confirmed in 96 patients and ruled out in 24 patients. When assessing symptoms by a physician according to the correlation analysis, hyperthermia, myalgia, nasal congestion and rhinolalia have a positive predictive value with a significance level of more than 0.6. When self-assessing symptoms by a patient, fever, myalgia and nasal congestion have a diagnostic accuracy with a significance level of more than 0.5. Nasal discharge, cough and sore throat have negative predictive values. <strong>Conclusion: </strong>The presence of these symptoms in patients with an acute onset of the disease can help to make a clinical diagnosis of coronavirus disease and identify target groups for self-isolation and outpatient treatment without additional testing. Highly suspect asymptomatic patients are not considered as those who have possible mild COVID-19 infection.
文摘The notion that animals could be used as predictive models in science has been influenced by relatively recent developments in the fields of complexity science, evolutionary and developmental biology, genetics, and evolutionary biology in general. Combined with empirical evidence, which has led scientists in drug development to acknowledge that a new, nonanimal model is needed, a theory—not a hypothesis—has been formed to explain why animals function well as models for humans at lower levels of organization but are unable to predict outcomes at higher levels of organization. Trans-Species Modeling Theory (TSMT) places the empirical evidence in the context of a scientific theory and thus, from a scientific perspective, the issue of where animals can and cannot be used in science has arguably been settled. Yet, some in various areas of science or science-related fields continue to demand that more evidence be offered before the use of animal models in medical research and testing be abandoned on scientific grounds. In this article, I examine TSMT, the empirical evidence surrounding the use of animal models, and the opinions of experts. I contrast these facts with the opinions and positions of those that have a direct or indirect vested interest—financial or otherwise—in animal models. I then discuss the ethical implications regarding research constructed to find cures and treatments for humans.
基金the China-Japan Friendship Hospital Institutional Review Board,No.2021-117-K75.Youth Foundation of China–Japan Friendship Hospital,No.2019-1-QN-42。
文摘BACKGROUND Preoperative therapy is widely used in locally advanced rectal cancer.It can improve local control of rectal cancer.However,there are few indicators that can predict the effect of preoperative chemotherapy accurately.AIM To investigate whether the increase in serumα-fetoprotein(AFP)can predict better efficacy of preoperative chemotherapy.METHODS This was a retrospective study.We analyzed 125 patients admitted between 2017 and 2019 with locally advanced rectal cancer.All patients received six cycles of preoperative chemotherapy(mFOLFOX6 every 2 wk).Serum AFP of 26 patients rose slightly after three or four cycles of chemotherapy,and fell to normal again within 2 mo.The other 99 patients had a normal level of serum AFP during chemotherapy.Patients were divided into two groups(AFP risen and AFP normal).According to postoperative pathology,we compared tumor regression and complete response rate between the two groups.The primary outcome measure was the tumor regression grade(TRG)after chemotherapy.The difference in pathological complete response between the two groups was also investigated.RESULTS There were no tumor progression and distant metastasis in both groups during preoperative chemotherapy.Patients in the AFP risen group achieved better TRG 0/1 than those in the AFP normal group(61.5%vs 39.4%).The increase in AFP was a significant predictor for better tumor regression[χ2=4.144,odds ratio(OR)=2.666,P=0.04].In the AFP risen group,the complete response rate was 30.8%,which was higher than in the AFP normal group(30.8%vs 12.1%,χ2=4.542,OR=3.251,P=0.03).CONCLUSION Patients with a slight increase in serum AFP can achieve better tumor regression during preoperative chemotherapy,and are more likely to achieve pathological complete response.
基金Supported by the Key Research and Development Program of Shaanxi Province,No.2017ZDXMSF-046.
文摘BACKGROUND Irritable bowel syndrome(IBS)is a common functional bowel disease that shares features with many organic diseases and cannot be accurately diagnosed by symptom-based criteria.Alarm symptoms have long been applied in the clinical diagnosis of IBS.However,no study has explored the predictive value of alarm symptoms in suspected IBS patients based on the latest Rome IV criteria.AIM To investigate the predictive value of alarm symptoms in suspected IBS patients based on the Rome IV criteria.METHODS In this multicenter cross-sectional study,we collected data from 730 suspected IBS patients evaluated at 3 tertiary care centers from August 2018 to August 2019.Patients with IBS-like symptoms who completed colonoscopy during the study period were initially identified by investigators through medical records.Eligible patients completed questionnaires,underwent laboratory tests,and were assigned to the IBS or organic disease group according to colonoscopy findings and pathology results(if a biopsy was taken).Independent risk factors for organic disease were explored by logistic regression analysis,and the positive predictive value(PPV)and missed diagnosis rate were calculated.RESULTS The incidence of alarm symptoms in suspected IBS patients was 75.34%.Anemia[odds ratio(OR)=2.825,95%confidence interval(CI):1.273-6.267,P=0.011],fecal occult blood[OR=1.940(95%CI:1.041-3.613),P=0.037],unintended weight loss(P=0.009),female sex[OR=0.560(95%CI:0.330-0.949),P=0.031]and marital status(P=0.030)were independently correlated with organic disease.The prevalence of organic disease was 10.41%in suspected IBS patients.The PPV of alarm symptoms for organic disease was highest for anemia(22.92%),fecal occult blood(19.35%)and unintended weight loss(16.48%),and it was 100%when these three factors were combined.The PPV and missed diagnosis rate for diagnosing IBS were 91.67%and 74.77%when all alarm symptoms were combined with Rome IV and 92.09%and 34.10%when only fecal occult blood,unintended weight loss and anemia were combined with Rome IV,respectively.CONCLUSION Anemia,fecal occult blood and unintended weight loss have high predictive value for organic disease in suspected IBS patients and can help identify patients requiring further examination but are not recommended as exclusion criteria for IBS.
文摘In this retrospective study, a total of 275 solid masses were examined for cytopathologic diagnosis. Twenty four percent (67/275) of these cytologic samples were followed by surgical biopsy and histopathologic diagnosis, allowing for comparisons. On average, the cutaneous and subcutaneous solid masses were recognized when the dogs were aged between 6 and 9 years old. The origins of the solid masses included connective tissue tumors 37.1% (23/62), epithelial tissue tumors 33.9% (21/62), round cell tumors 19.4% (12/62), masses of inflammatory lesions 4.8% (3/62) and lesions due to other causes 4.8% (3/62). The sensitivity and positive predictive value (PPV) of cytopathology in the diagnosis of solid masses were 93% (62/67) and 97% (62/64), respectively. Generally, neo-plasms were over diagnosed by cytopathology as was indicated by the positive predictive value. Both the sensitivity and the PPV of cytopathology comparative to histopathology in the diagnosis of inflammatory processes were 100% (3/3). The inflammatory lesions were eventually confirmed as necrotizing myositis, necro-suppurative cystitis and endocrine inflammatory dermatopathy based on histopathology. Less than 8% (5/67) of samples were incorrectly diagnosed by cytology. The study showed high accuracy between cytological and histopathological examination of solid masses in dogs, and thus a reliable diagnostic tool in patient care.
基金Chengde Science and Technology Plan Self-financing Project(202303A084).
文摘[Objectives]To explore the clinical nursing value of predictive nursing intervention in patients with deep venous thrombosis of lower extremities after cesarean section.[Methods]From December 2022 to April 2023,105 pregnant and lying-in women who were hospitalized in the Gynecology Department of Pingquan Hospital and underwent cesarean section and met the inclusion criteria were included as the study objects.According to the medical records,they were divided into observation group(n=52 cases)and control group(n=53 cases).The clinical experimental subjects were divided into two groups.One group was the control group with routine nursing,and the other group was the observation group with predictive nursing intervention.The number of cases of deep venous thrombosis of lower extremities in the two groups was recorded to evaluate the clinical value.[Results]The incidence of deep venous thrombosis of lower extremities in the two groups after cesarean section was compared,and it was suggested that the incidence of the observation group was lower than that of the control group(P<0.05).[Conclusions]Special predictive nursing intervention can greatly reduce the incidence of deep venous thrombosis of lower extremities after cesarean section,improve nursing satisfaction,and improve clinical efficacy,which is worthy of recommendation.
文摘AIM:To determine which features of history and demographics predict a diagnosis of malignancy or peptic stricture in patients presenting with dysphagia.METHODS:A prospective case-control study of 2000 consecutive referrals(1031 female,age range:17-103 years) to a rapid access service for dysphagia,based in a teaching hospital within the United Kingdom,over 7 years.The service consists of a nurse-led telephone triage followed by investigation(barium swallow or gastroscopy),if appropriate,within 2 wk.Logistic regression analysis of demographic and clinical variables was performed.This includes age,sex,duration of dysphagia,whether to liquids or solids,and whether there are associated features(reflux,odynophagia,weight loss,regurgitation).We determined odds ratio(OR) for these variables for the diagnoses of malignancy and peptic stricture.We determined the value of the Edinburgh Dysphagia Score(EDS) in predicting cancer in our cohort.Multivariate logistic regression was performed and P < 0.05 considered significant.The local ethics committee confirmed ethics approval was not required(audit).RESULTS:The commonest diagnosis is gastro-esophageal reflux disease(41.3%).Malignancy(11.0%) and peptic stricture(10.0%) were also relatively common.Malignancies were diagnosed by histology(97%) or on radiological criteria,either sequential barium swallows showing progression of disease or unequivocal evidence of malignancy on computed tomography.The majority of malignancies were esophago-gastric in origin but ear,nose and throat tumors,pancreatic cancer and extrinsic compression from lung or mediastinal metastatic cancer were also found.Malignancy was statistically more frequent in older patients(aged >73 years,OR 1.1-3.3,age < 60 years 6.5%,60-73 years 11.2%,> 73 years 11.8%,P < 0.05),males(OR 2.2-4.8,males 14.5%,females 5.6%,P < 0.0005),short duration of dysphagia(≤ 8 wk,OR 4.5-20.7,16.6%,8-26 wk 14.5%,> 26 wk 2.5%,P < 0.0005),progressive symptoms(OR 1.3-2.6:progressive 14.8%,intermittent 9.3%,P < 0.001),with weight loss of ≥ 2 kg(OR 2.5-5.1,weight loss 22.1%,without weight loss 6.4%,P < 0.0005) and without reflux(OR 1.2-2.5,reflux 7.2%,no reflux 15.5%,P < 0.0005).The likelihood of malignancy was greater in those who described true dysphagia(food or drink sticking within 5 s of swallowing than those who did not(15.1%vs 5.2% respectively,P < 0.001).The sensitivity,specificity,positive predictive value and negative predictive value of the EDS were 98.4%,9.3%,11.8% and 98.0% respectively.Three patients with an EDS of 3(high risk EDS ≥ 3.5) had malignancy.Unlike the original validation cohort,there was no difference in likelihood of malignancy based on level of dysphagia(pharyngeal level dysphagia 11.9% vs mid sternal or lower sternal dysphagia 12.4%).Peptic stricture was statistically more frequent in those with longer duration of symptoms(> 6 mo,OR 1.2-2.9,≤ 8 wk 9.8%,8-26 wk 10.6%,> 26 wk 15.7%,P < 0.05) and over 60 s(OR 1.2-3.0,age < 60 years 6.2%,60-73 years 10.2%,> 73 years 10.6%,P < 0.05).CONCLUSION:Malignancy and peptic stricture are frequent findings in those referred with dysphagia.The predictive value for associated features could help determine need for fast track investigation whilst reducing service pressures.
