In this paper, we consider median unbiased estimation of bivariate predictive regression models with non-normal, heavy-tailed or heteroscedastic errors. We construct confidence intervals and median unbiased estimator ...In this paper, we consider median unbiased estimation of bivariate predictive regression models with non-normal, heavy-tailed or heteroscedastic errors. We construct confidence intervals and median unbiased estimator for the parameter of interest. We show that the proposed estimator has better predictive potential than the usual least squares estimator via simulation. An empirical application to finance is given. And a possible extension of the estimation procedure to cointegration models is also described.展开更多
In our previous research,a logistic regression prediction model for hepatotoxicity of Chinese herbal medicines based on the four properties,five flavors and channel tropism has been successfully established.However,co...In our previous research,a logistic regression prediction model for hepatotoxicity of Chinese herbal medicines based on the four properties,five flavors and channel tropism has been successfully established.However,could Chinese herbal medicines efficacy also be applied to predict the hepatotoxicity of Chinese herbal medicines?Therefore,a logistic regression prediction model for hepatotoxicity of Chinese herbal medicines based on Chinese herbal medicines efficacy has been tentatively set up to study the correlations of hepatotoxic and nonhepatotoxic Chinese herbal medicines with efficacy by using a chi-square test for two-way unordered categorical data.Logistic regression prediction model was established and the accuracy of the prediction by this model was evaluated.It has been found that the hepatotoxicity and nonhepatotoxicity of Chinese herbal medicines were weakly related to the efficacy,and the coefficient was 0.295.There were 20 variables from Chinese herbal medicines efficacy analyzed with unconditional logistic regression,and 6 variables,rectifying Qi and relieving pain,clearing heat and disinhibiting dampness,invigorating blood and stopping pain,invigorating blood and relieving swelling,killing worms and relieving fright were chosen to establish the logistic regression prediction model,with the optimal cutoff value being 0.250.Dissipating cold and relieving pain(DCRP),clearing heat and disinhibiting dampness,invigorating blood and relieving pain(IBRP),invigorating blood and relieving swelling,killing worms,and relieving fright were the variables to affect the hepatotoxicity and the established logistic regression prediction model had predictive power for hepatotoxicity of Chinese herbal medicines to a certain degree.展开更多
Soil mineralized nitrogen(N)is a vital component of soil N supply capacity and an important N source for rice growth.Unveiling N mineralization(Nm)process characteristics and developing a simple and effective approach...Soil mineralized nitrogen(N)is a vital component of soil N supply capacity and an important N source for rice growth.Unveiling N mineralization(Nm)process characteristics and developing a simple and effective approach to evaluate soil Nm are imperative to guide N fertilizer application and enhance its efficiency in various paddy soils with different physicochemical properties.Soil properties are important driving factors contributing to soil Nm differences and must be considered to achieve effective N management.Nevertheless,discrepancies in Nm capacity and other key influencing factors remain uncertain.To address this knowledge gap,this study collected 52 paddy soil samples from Taihu Lake Basin,China,which possess vastly different physicochemical properties.The samples were subjected to a 112-d submerged anaerobic incubation experiment at a constant temperature to obtain the soil Nm characteristics.Reaction kinetics models,including one-pool exponential model,two-pool exponential model,and effective cumulative temperature model,were employed to compare characteristic differences between Nm potential(Nmp)and short-term accumulated mineralized N(Amn)processes in relation to soil physicochemical properties.Based on these relationships,simplified Nmp prediction methods for paddy soils were established.The results revealed that the Nmp values were 145.18,88.64,and 21.03 mg kg-1 in paddy soils with pH<6.50,6.50≤pH≤7.50,and pH>7.50,respectively.Significantly,short-term Amn at day 14 showed a good correlation(P<0.01)with Nmp(R2=0.94),indicating that the prevailing short-term incubation experiment is an acceptable marker for Nmp.Moreover,Nmp correlated well with the ultraviolet absorbance value at 260 nm based on NaHCO3 extraction(Na260),further streamlining the Nmp estimation method.The incorporation of easily obtainable soil properties,including pH,total N(TN),and the ratio of total organic carbon to TN(C/N),alongside Na260 for Nmp evaluation allowed the multiple regression model,Nmp=58.62×TN-23.18×pH+13.08×C/N+86.96×Na260,to achieve a high prediction accuracy(R2=0.95).The reliability of this prediction was further validated with published data of paddy soils in the same region and other rice regions,demonstrating the regional applicability and prospects of this model.This study underscored the roles of soil properties in Nm characteristics and mechanisms and established a site-specific prediction model based on rapid extractions and edaphic properties of paddy soils,paving the way for developing rapid and precise Nm prediction models.展开更多
基金The NNSF(10571073)of china,and 985 project of Jilin University.
文摘In this paper, we consider median unbiased estimation of bivariate predictive regression models with non-normal, heavy-tailed or heteroscedastic errors. We construct confidence intervals and median unbiased estimator for the parameter of interest. We show that the proposed estimator has better predictive potential than the usual least squares estimator via simulation. An empirical application to finance is given. And a possible extension of the estimation procedure to cointegration models is also described.
基金This work was supported by the Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.82074306)the Shenzhen Health and Family Planning System Research Project(No.SZBC2018007)the Project of Traditional Chinese Medicine Bureau of Guangdong Province(No.20201073).
文摘In our previous research,a logistic regression prediction model for hepatotoxicity of Chinese herbal medicines based on the four properties,five flavors and channel tropism has been successfully established.However,could Chinese herbal medicines efficacy also be applied to predict the hepatotoxicity of Chinese herbal medicines?Therefore,a logistic regression prediction model for hepatotoxicity of Chinese herbal medicines based on Chinese herbal medicines efficacy has been tentatively set up to study the correlations of hepatotoxic and nonhepatotoxic Chinese herbal medicines with efficacy by using a chi-square test for two-way unordered categorical data.Logistic regression prediction model was established and the accuracy of the prediction by this model was evaluated.It has been found that the hepatotoxicity and nonhepatotoxicity of Chinese herbal medicines were weakly related to the efficacy,and the coefficient was 0.295.There were 20 variables from Chinese herbal medicines efficacy analyzed with unconditional logistic regression,and 6 variables,rectifying Qi and relieving pain,clearing heat and disinhibiting dampness,invigorating blood and stopping pain,invigorating blood and relieving swelling,killing worms and relieving fright were chosen to establish the logistic regression prediction model,with the optimal cutoff value being 0.250.Dissipating cold and relieving pain(DCRP),clearing heat and disinhibiting dampness,invigorating blood and relieving pain(IBRP),invigorating blood and relieving swelling,killing worms,and relieving fright were the variables to affect the hepatotoxicity and the established logistic regression prediction model had predictive power for hepatotoxicity of Chinese herbal medicines to a certain degree.
基金supported by the Youth Innovation Promotion Association of Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.Y201956)the Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program by China Association for Science and Technology(No.2023QNRC001)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2017YFD200104).
文摘Soil mineralized nitrogen(N)is a vital component of soil N supply capacity and an important N source for rice growth.Unveiling N mineralization(Nm)process characteristics and developing a simple and effective approach to evaluate soil Nm are imperative to guide N fertilizer application and enhance its efficiency in various paddy soils with different physicochemical properties.Soil properties are important driving factors contributing to soil Nm differences and must be considered to achieve effective N management.Nevertheless,discrepancies in Nm capacity and other key influencing factors remain uncertain.To address this knowledge gap,this study collected 52 paddy soil samples from Taihu Lake Basin,China,which possess vastly different physicochemical properties.The samples were subjected to a 112-d submerged anaerobic incubation experiment at a constant temperature to obtain the soil Nm characteristics.Reaction kinetics models,including one-pool exponential model,two-pool exponential model,and effective cumulative temperature model,were employed to compare characteristic differences between Nm potential(Nmp)and short-term accumulated mineralized N(Amn)processes in relation to soil physicochemical properties.Based on these relationships,simplified Nmp prediction methods for paddy soils were established.The results revealed that the Nmp values were 145.18,88.64,and 21.03 mg kg-1 in paddy soils with pH<6.50,6.50≤pH≤7.50,and pH>7.50,respectively.Significantly,short-term Amn at day 14 showed a good correlation(P<0.01)with Nmp(R2=0.94),indicating that the prevailing short-term incubation experiment is an acceptable marker for Nmp.Moreover,Nmp correlated well with the ultraviolet absorbance value at 260 nm based on NaHCO3 extraction(Na260),further streamlining the Nmp estimation method.The incorporation of easily obtainable soil properties,including pH,total N(TN),and the ratio of total organic carbon to TN(C/N),alongside Na260 for Nmp evaluation allowed the multiple regression model,Nmp=58.62×TN-23.18×pH+13.08×C/N+86.96×Na260,to achieve a high prediction accuracy(R2=0.95).The reliability of this prediction was further validated with published data of paddy soils in the same region and other rice regions,demonstrating the regional applicability and prospects of this model.This study underscored the roles of soil properties in Nm characteristics and mechanisms and established a site-specific prediction model based on rapid extractions and edaphic properties of paddy soils,paving the way for developing rapid and precise Nm prediction models.
