Testicular torsion is a urological emergency that requires prompt diagnosis and treatment,accounting for 10%-15%of cases of acute scrotum.[1]It occurs most frequently during the perinatal period and adolescence and ca...Testicular torsion is a urological emergency that requires prompt diagnosis and treatment,accounting for 10%-15%of cases of acute scrotum.[1]It occurs most frequently during the perinatal period and adolescence and can occur at any age.[2]The incidence of testicular torsion is 1/4,000 in males under 25 years of age and 1/160 in males over 25 years of age.[3]Unilateral torsion is relatively common,with a higher incidence on the left side.Testicular torsion is typically managed through surgical exploration.Necrotic testes,identified by a black appearance,require orchiectomy.[4]展开更多
Malaria remains a major public health challenge necessitating accurate predictive models to inform effective intervention strategies in Sierra Leone. This study compares the performance of Holt-Winters’ Exponential S...Malaria remains a major public health challenge necessitating accurate predictive models to inform effective intervention strategies in Sierra Leone. This study compares the performance of Holt-Winters’ Exponential Smoothing, Harmonic, and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models using data from January 2018 to December 2023, incorporating both historical case records from Sierra Leone’s Health Management Information System (HMIS) and meteorological variables including humidity, precipitation, and temperature. The ANN model demonstrated superior performance, achieving a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 4.74% before including climatic variables. This was further reduced to 3.9% with the inclusion of climatic variables, outperforming traditional models like Holt-Winters and Harmonic, which yielded MAPEs of 22.53% and 17.90% respectively. The ANN’s success is attributed to its ability to capture complex, non-linear relationships in the data, particularly when enhanced with relevant climatic variables. Using the optimized ANN model, we forecasted malaria cases for the next 24 months, predicting a steady increase from January 2024 to December 2025, with seasonal peaks. This study underscores the potential of machine learning approaches, particularly ANNs, in epidemiological modelling and highlights the importance of integrating environmental factors into malaria prediction models, recommending the ANN model for informing more targeted and efficient malaria control strategies to improve public health outcomes in Sierra Leone and similar settings.展开更多
BACKGROUND Stomal complications though small in early postoperative period,but poses significant morbidity,therapeutic challenge,delay in adjuvant treatment and sometimes even leads to mortality.Predictive model for e...BACKGROUND Stomal complications though small in early postoperative period,but poses significant morbidity,therapeutic challenge,delay in adjuvant treatment and sometimes even leads to mortality.Predictive model for early detection of stomal complications is important to improve the outcome.A model including patients and disease related factors,intraoperative surgical techniques and biochemical markers would be a better determinant to anticipate early stomal complications.Incorporation of emerging tools and technology such as artificial intelligence(AI),will further improve the prediction.AIM To identify various risk factors and models for prediction of early post operative stomal complications in colorectal cancer(CRC)surgery.METHODS Published literatures on early postoperative stomal complications in CRC surgery were systematically reviewed between 1995 and 2024 from online search engines PubMed and MEDLINE.RESULTS Twenty-four observational studies focused on identifying various risk factors for early post operative stomal complications in CRC surgery were analyzed.Stomal complications in CRC are influenced by several factors such as disease factors,patient-specific characteristics,and surgical techniques.There are some biomarkers and tools loke AI which may play significant roles in early detection.CONCLUSION Careful analysis of these factors,changes in biochemical parameters,and application of AI,a predictive model for stomal complications can be generated,to help in early detection,prompt action to achieve better outcomes.展开更多
Workpiece rotational grinding is widely used in the ultra-precision machining of hard and brittle semiconductor materials,including single-crystal silicon,silicon carbide,and gallium arsenide.Surface roughness and sub...Workpiece rotational grinding is widely used in the ultra-precision machining of hard and brittle semiconductor materials,including single-crystal silicon,silicon carbide,and gallium arsenide.Surface roughness and subsurface damage depth(SDD)are crucial indicators for evaluating the surface quality of these materials after grinding.Existing prediction models lack general applicability and do not accurately account for the complex material behavior under grinding conditions.This paper introduces novel models for predicting both surface roughness and SDD in hard and brittle semiconductor materials.The surface roughness model uniquely incorporates the material’s elastic recovery properties,revealing the significant impact of these properties on prediction accuracy.The SDD model is distinguished by its analysis of the interactions between abrasive grits and the workpiece,as well as the mechanisms governing stress-induced damage evolution.The surface roughness model and SDD model both establish a stable relationship with the grit depth of cut(GDC).Additionally,we have developed an analytical relationship between the GDC and grinding process parameters.This,in turn,enables the establishment of an analytical framework for predicting surface roughness and SDD based on grinding process parameters,which cannot be achieved by previous models.The models were validated through systematic experiments on three different semiconductor materials,demonstrating excellent agreement with experimental data,with prediction errors of 6.3%for surface roughness and6.9%for SDD.Additionally,this study identifies variations in elastic recovery and material plasticity as critical factors influencing surface roughness and SDD across different materials.These findings significantly advance the accuracy of predictive models and broaden their applicability for grinding hard and brittle semiconductor materials.展开更多
BACKGROUND Low rectal cancer poses a significant surgical challenge because of its close proximity to the anal sphincter,often requiring radical resection with permanent colostomy to achieve oncological safety.Revisit...BACKGROUND Low rectal cancer poses a significant surgical challenge because of its close proximity to the anal sphincter,often requiring radical resection with permanent colostomy to achieve oncological safety.Revisited rectal anatomy,advances in surgical techniques and neoadjuvant therapies have enabled the possibility of sphincter-preserving procedures,however,it is uniformly not applicable.Selecting appropriate candidates for sphincter preservation is crucial,as an illadvised approach may compromise oncological outcome or lead to poor functional outcomes.Currently there is no consensus-which clinical,anatomical,or molecular factors most accurately predict the feasibility of sphincter-preserving surgery(SPS)in this subset of patients.By identifying these predictors,the study seeks to support improved patient selection,enhance surgical planning,and ultimately contribute to better functional and oncological outcomes in patients with low rectal cancer.AIM To identify predictive factors that determine the feasibility of SPS in patients with low rectal cancer.METHODS A comprehensive literature search was conducted using PubMed/MEDLINE databases.The search focused on various factors influencing the feasibility of SPS in low rectal cancer.These included patient-related factors,anatomical considerations,findings from different imaging modalities,advancements in diagnostic tools and techniques,and the role of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.The relevance of each factor in predicting the potential for sphincter preservation was critically analyzed and presented based on the current evidence RESULTS Multiple studies have identified a range of predictive factors influencing the feasibility of SPS in low rectal cancer.Patient-related factors include age,sex,preoperative continence status,comorbidities,and body mass index.Anatomical considerations,such as tumor distance from the anal verge,involvement of the external anal sphincter,and levator ani muscles,also play a critical role.Additionally,a favourable response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy has been associated with improved suitability for sphincter preservation.Several biomarkers,such as inflammatory markers like interleukins and C-reactive protein,as well as tumor markers like carcinoembryonic antigen,are important.Molecular markers,including BRAF and KRAS mutations and microsatellite instability status,have been linked to prognosis and may further guide decision-making regarding sphincter-preserving approaches.Artificial intelligence(AI)can further add in to select an ideal patient for sphincter preservation.CONCLUSION SPS is feasible in low rectal cancer and depends on patient factors,tumor anatomy and biology,preoperative treatment response,and biomarkers.In addition,tools and technology including AI can further help in selecting an ideal patient for long term optimal outcome.展开更多
BACKGROUND The trend of risk prediction models for diabetic peripheral neuropathy(DPN)is increasing,but few studies focus on the quality of the model and its practical application.AIM To conduct a comprehensive system...BACKGROUND The trend of risk prediction models for diabetic peripheral neuropathy(DPN)is increasing,but few studies focus on the quality of the model and its practical application.AIM To conduct a comprehensive systematic review and rigorous evaluation of prediction models for DPN.METHODS A meticulous search was conducted in PubMed,EMBASE,Cochrane,CNKI,Wang Fang DATA,and VIP Database to identify studies published until October 2023.The included and excluded criteria were applied by the researchers to screen the literature.Two investigators independently extracted data and assessed the quality using a data extraction form and a bias risk assessment tool.Disagreements were resolved through consultation with a third investigator.Data from the included studies were extracted utilizing the Checklist for Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modelling Studies.Additionally,the bias risk and applicability of the models were evaluated by the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool.RESULTS The systematic review included 14 studies with a total of 26 models.The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the 26 models was 0.629-0.938.All studies had high risks of bias,mainly due to participants,outcomes,and analysis.The most common predictors included glycated hemoglobin,age,duration of diabetes,lipid abnormalities,and fasting blood glucose.CONCLUSION The predictor model presented good differentiation,calibration,but there were significant methodological flaws and high risk of bias.Future studies should focus on improving the study design and study report,updating the model and verifying its adaptability and feasibility in clinical practice.展开更多
BACKGROUND Colorectal polyps are precancerous diseases of colorectal cancer.Early detection and resection of colorectal polyps can effectively reduce the mortality of colorectal cancer.Endoscopic mucosal resection(EMR...BACKGROUND Colorectal polyps are precancerous diseases of colorectal cancer.Early detection and resection of colorectal polyps can effectively reduce the mortality of colorectal cancer.Endoscopic mucosal resection(EMR)is a common polypectomy proce-dure in clinical practice,but it has a high postoperative recurrence rate.Currently,there is no predictive model for the recurrence of colorectal polyps after EMR.AIM To construct and validate a machine learning(ML)model for predicting the risk of colorectal polyp recurrence one year after EMR.METHODS This study retrospectively collected data from 1694 patients at three medical centers in Xuzhou.Additionally,a total of 166 patients were collected to form a prospective validation set.Feature variable screening was conducted using uni-variate and multivariate logistic regression analyses,and five ML algorithms were used to construct the predictive models.The optimal models were evaluated based on different performance metrics.Decision curve analysis(DCA)and SHapley Additive exPlanation(SHAP)analysis were performed to assess clinical applicability and predictor importance.RESULTS Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified 8 independent risk factors for colorectal polyp recurrence one year after EMR(P<0.05).Among the models,eXtreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost)demonstrated the highest area under the curve(AUC)in the training set,internal validation set,and prospective validation set,with AUCs of 0.909(95%CI:0.89-0.92),0.921(95%CI:0.90-0.94),and 0.963(95%CI:0.94-0.99),respectively.DCA indicated favorable clinical utility for the XGBoost model.SHAP analysis identified smoking history,family history,and age as the top three most important predictors in the model.CONCLUSION The XGBoost model has the best predictive performance and can assist clinicians in providing individualized colonoscopy follow-up recommendations.展开更多
Accurate prediction of coal reservoir permeability is crucial for engineering applications,including coal mining,coalbed methane(CBM)extraction,and carbon storage in deep unmineable coal seams.Owing to the inherent he...Accurate prediction of coal reservoir permeability is crucial for engineering applications,including coal mining,coalbed methane(CBM)extraction,and carbon storage in deep unmineable coal seams.Owing to the inherent heterogeneity and complex internal structure of coal,a well-established method for predicting permeability based on microscopic fracture structures remains elusive.This paper presents a novel integrated approach that leverages the intrinsic relationship between microscopic fracture structure and permeability to construct a predictive model for coal permeability.The proposed framework encompasses data generation through the integration of three-dimensional(3D)digital core analysis and numerical simulations,followed by data-driven modeling via machine learning(ML)techniques.Key data-driven strategies,including feature selection and hyperparameter tuning,are employed to improve model performance.We propose and evaluate twelve data-driven models,including multilayer perceptron(MLP),random forest(RF),and hybrid methods.The results demonstrate that the ML model based on the RF algorithm achieves the highest accuracy and best generalization capability in predicting permeability.This method enables rapid estimation of coal permeability by inputting two-dimensional(2D)computed tomography images or parameters of the microscopic fracture structure,thereby providing an accurate and efficient means of permeability prediction.展开更多
BACKGROUND Patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)frequently experience exacerbations requiring multiple hospitalizations over prolonged disease courses,which predispose them to generalized anxiety d...BACKGROUND Patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)frequently experience exacerbations requiring multiple hospitalizations over prolonged disease courses,which predispose them to generalized anxiety disorder(GAD).This comorbidity exacerbates breathing difficulties,activity limitations,and social isolation.While previous studies predominantly employed the GAD 7-item scale for screening,this approach is somewhat subjective.The current literature on predictive models for GAD risk in patients with COPD is limited.AIM To construct and validate a GAD risk prediction model to aid healthcare professionals in preventing the onset of GAD.METHODS This retrospective analysis encompassed patients with COPD treated at our institution from July 2021 to February 2024.The patients were categorized into a modeling(MO)group and a validation(VA)group in a 7:3 ratio on the basis of the occurrence of GAD.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were utilized to construct the risk prediction model,which was visualized using forest plots.The model’s performance was evaluated using Hosmer-Lemeshow(H-L)goodness-of-fit test and receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis.RESULTS A total of 271 subjects were included,with 190 in the MO group and 81 in the VA group.GAD was identified in 67 patients with COPD,resulting in a prevalence rate of 24.72%(67/271),with 49 cases(18.08%)in the MO group and 18 cases(22.22%)in the VA group.Significant differences were observed between patients with and without GAD in terms of educational level,average household income,smoking history,smoking index,number of exacerbations in the past year,cardiovascular comorbidities,disease knowledge,and personality traits(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that lower education levels,household income<3000 China yuan,smoking history,smoking index≥400 cigarettes/year,≥two exacerbations in the past year,cardiovascular comorbidities,complete lack of disease information,and introverted personality were significant risk factors for GAD in the MO group(P<0.05).ROC analysis indicated that the area under the curve for predicting GAD in the MO and VA groups was 0.978 and 0.960.The H-L test yieldedχ^(2) values of 6.511 and 5.179,with P=0.275 and 0.274.Calibration curves demonstrated good agreement between predicted and actual GAD occurrence risks.CONCLUSION The developed predictive model includes eight independent risk factors:Educational level,household income,smoking history,smoking index,number of exacerbations in the past year,presence of cardiovascular comorbidities,level of disease knowledge,and personality traits.This model effectively predicts the onset of GAD in patients with COPD,enabling early identification of high-risk individuals and providing a basis for early preventive interventions by nursing staff.展开更多
BACKGROUND Difficulty of colonoscopy insertion(DCI)significantly affects colonoscopy effectiveness and serves as a key quality indicator.Predicting and evaluating DCI risk preoperatively is crucial for optimizing intr...BACKGROUND Difficulty of colonoscopy insertion(DCI)significantly affects colonoscopy effectiveness and serves as a key quality indicator.Predicting and evaluating DCI risk preoperatively is crucial for optimizing intraoperative strategies.AIM To evaluate the predictive performance of machine learning(ML)algorithms for DCI by comparing three modeling approaches,identify factors influencing DCI,and develop a preoperative prediction model using ML algorithms to enhance colonoscopy quality and efficiency.METHODS This cross-sectional study enrolled 712 patients who underwent colonoscopy at a tertiary hospital between June 2020 and May 2021.Demographic data,past medical history,medication use,and psychological status were collected.The endoscopist assessed DCI using the visual analogue scale.After univariate screening,predictive models were developed using multivariable logistic regression,least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)regression,and random forest(RF)algorithms.Model performance was evaluated based on discrimination,calibration,and decision curve analysis(DCA),and results were visualized using nomograms.RESULTS A total of 712 patients(53.8%male;mean age 54.5 years±12.9 years)were included.Logistic regression analysis identified constipation[odds ratio(OR)=2.254,95%confidence interval(CI):1.289-3.931],abdominal circumference(AC)(77.5–91.9 cm,OR=1.895,95%CI:1.065-3.350;AC≥92 cm,OR=1.271,95%CI:0.730-2.188),and anxiety(OR=1.071,95%CI:1.044-1.100)as predictive factors for DCI,validated by LASSO and RF methods.Model performance revealed training/validation sensitivities of 0.826/0.925,0.924/0.868,and 1.000/0.981;specificities of 0.602/0.511,0.510/0.562,and 0.977/0.526;and corresponding area under the receiver operating characteristic curves(AUCs)of 0.780(0.737-0.823)/0.726(0.654-0.799),0.754(0.710-0.798)/0.723(0.656-0.791),and 1.000(1.000-1.000)/0.754(0.688-0.820),respectively.DCA indicated optimal net benefit within probability thresholds of 0-0.9 and 0.05-0.37.The RF model demonstrated superior diagnostic accuracy,reflected by perfect training sensitivity(1.000)and highest validation AUC(0.754),outperforming other methods in clinical applicability.CONCLUSION The RF-based model exhibited superior predictive accuracy for DCI compared to multivariable logistic and LASSO regression models.This approach supports individualized preoperative optimization,enhancing colonoscopy quality through targeted risk stratification.展开更多
BACKGROUND:Intracranial hemorrhage (ICH),a severe complication among adults receiving extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO),is often related to poor outcomes.This study aimed to establish a predictive model for I...BACKGROUND:Intracranial hemorrhage (ICH),a severe complication among adults receiving extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO),is often related to poor outcomes.This study aimed to establish a predictive model for ICH in adults receiving ECMO treatment.METHODS:Adults who received ECMO between January 2017 and June 2022 were the subjects of a single-center retrospective study.Patients under the age of 18 years old,with acute ICH before ECMO,with less than 24 h of ECMO support,and with incomplete data were excluded.ICH was diagnosed by a head computed tomography scan.The outcomes included the incidence of ICH,in-hosptial mortality and 28-day mortality.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify relevant risk factors of ICH,and a predictive model of ICH with a nomogram was constructed.RESULTS:Among the 227 patients included,22 developed ICH during ECMO.Patients with ICH had higher in-hospital mortality (90.9%vs.47.8%,P=0.001) and higher 28-day mortality (81.8%vs.47.3%,P=0.001) than patients with non-ICH.ICH was associated with decreased grey-white-matter ratio (GWR)(OR=0.894,95%CI:0.841–0.951,P<0.001),stroke history (OR=4.265,95%CI:1.052–17.291,P=0.042),fresh frozen plasma (FFP) transfusion (OR=1.208,95%CI:1.037–1.408,P=0.015)and minimum platelet (PLT) count during ECMO support (OR=0.977,95%CI:0.958–0.996,P=0.019).The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the ICH predictive model was 0.843 (95%CI:0.762–0.924,P<0.001).CONCLUSION:ECMO-treated patients with ICH had a higher risk of death.GWR,stroke history,FFP transfusion,and the minimum PLT count were independently associated with ICH,and the ICH predictive model showed that these parameters performed well as diagnostic tools.展开更多
Objective:To evaluate the use of infrared thermography technology for objective and quantitative syndrome differentiation and treatment in traditional Chinese medicine(TCM),specifically in patients with Chaihu Guizhi ...Objective:To evaluate the use of infrared thermography technology for objective and quantitative syndrome differentiation and treatment in traditional Chinese medicine(TCM),specifically in patients with Chaihu Guizhi Ganjiang Decoction syndrome.Methods:Data were collected from over 100 patients diagnosed with Chaihu Guizhi Ganjiang Decoction syndrome at Professor Li Leyu’s endocrinology clinic,Zhongshan Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine,Guangdong Province,between April 2021 and April 2022.Body surface temperature data were obtained using the MTI-EXPRO-2013-B infrared thermography system.Principal component analysis(PCA)was applied to differentiate temperature distribution characteristics between genders,and a neural network prediction model was constructed for syndrome diagnosis.Results:Infrared thermography effectively captured surface temperature characteristics of patients with Chaihu Guizhi Ganjiang Decoction syndrome.PCA identified one principal component with a variance explanation rate of 73.953%for females and two principal components with a cumulative variance explanation rate of 77.627%for males.The neural network model demonstrated high predictive performance,with an area under the ROC curve of 0.9743 for the training set and 0.9889 for the validation set.Sensitivity was 1,specificity 0.8636,precision 0.8846,accuracy 0.9333,and the F1 score 0.9388.Conclusion:Infrared thermography provides an innovative,objective,and quantitative method for syndrome differentiation and treatment in TCM.It represents a significant advancement in transitioning from traditional empirical approaches to modern,visualized,and precise diagnosis and treatment.This study underscores the potential of integrating advanced technologies in TCM for enhanced clinical application and modernization.展开更多
BACKGROUND Acute myocardial infarction(AMI)combined with ventricular septal perforation(VSR)is still a highly fatal condition in the era of reperfusion therapy.The incidence rate has decreased to 0.2%-0.4%due to the p...BACKGROUND Acute myocardial infarction(AMI)combined with ventricular septal perforation(VSR)is still a highly fatal condition in the era of reperfusion therapy.The incidence rate has decreased to 0.2%-0.4%due to the popularization of percutaneous coronary intervention.However,the risk is significantly increased for those who fail to undergo revascularization in time,and the mortality rate remains high.The current core contradiction in clinical practice lies in the selection of surgical timing,and the disparity in medical resources significantly affects prognosis.There is an urgent need to optimize the identification of high-risk populations and individualized treatment strategies.AIM To investigate the clinical features,determine the prognostic factors,and develop a predictive model for 30-day mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction complicated by ventricular septal rupture(AMI-VSR)residing in high-altitude regions.METHODS This study retrospectively analyzed 48 AMI-VSR patients admitted to a Yunnan hospital from 2017 to 2024,with the establishment of survival(n=30)and mortality(n=18)groups based on patients’survival status.Risk factors were identified by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.A nomogram model was developed using R software and validated via receiver operating characteristic(ROC)analysis and calibration curves.RESULTS Age,uric acid(UA),interleukin-6(IL-6),and low hemoglobin(Hb)were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality(odds ratios:1.147,1.006,1.034,and 0.941,respectively;P<0.05).The nomogram demonstrated excellent discrimination(area under the ROC curve=0.939)and calibration(Hosmer-Lemeshowχ²=2.268,P=0.971).In addition,patients’poor outcomes could be synergistically predicted by IL-6 and UA,advanced age,and reduced Hb.CONCLUSION This study highlights age,UA,IL-6,and Hb as critical predictors of mortality in AMI-VSR patients at high altitudes.The validated nomogram provides a practical tool for early risk stratification and tailored interventions,addressing gaps in managing this high-risk population in resource-limited settings.展开更多
BACKGROUND The discrepancy between endoscopic biopsy pathology and the overall pathology of gastric low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia(LGIN)presents challenges in developing diagnostic and treatment protocols.AIM To ...BACKGROUND The discrepancy between endoscopic biopsy pathology and the overall pathology of gastric low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia(LGIN)presents challenges in developing diagnostic and treatment protocols.AIM To develop a risk prediction model for the pathological upgrading of gastric LGIN to aid clinical diagnosis and treatment.METHODS We retrospectively analyzed data from patients newly diagnosed with gastric LGIN who underwent complete endoscopic resection within 6 months at the First Medical Center of Chinese People’s Liberation Army General Hospital between January 2008 and December 2023.A risk prediction model for the pathological progression of gastric LGIN was constructed and evaluated for accuracy and clinical applicability.RESULTS A total of 171 patients were included in this study:93 patients with high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia or early gastric cancer and 78 with LGIN.The logistic stepwise regression model demonstrated a sensitivity and specificity of 0.868 and 0.800,respectively,while the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)regression model showed sensitivity and specificity values of 0.842 and 0.840,respectively.The area under the curve(AUC)for the logistic model was 0.896,slightly lower than the AUC of 0.904 for the LASSO model.Internal validation with 30%of the data yielded AUC scores of 0.908 for the logistic model and 0.905 for the LASSO model.The LASSO model provided greater utility in clinical decision-making.CONCLUSION A risk prediction model for the pathological upgrading of gastric LGIN based on white-light and magnifying endoscopic features can accurately and effectively guide clinical diagnosis and treatment.展开更多
Ferroptosis,an iron-dependent form of programmed cell death,has garnered significant attention in tumor research in recent years.Its core characteristics include aberrant accumulation of lipid peroxides and impairment...Ferroptosis,an iron-dependent form of programmed cell death,has garnered significant attention in tumor research in recent years.Its core characteristics include aberrant accumulation of lipid peroxides and impairment of antioxidant defense mechanisms,such as dysfunction of glutathione peroxidase 4.These fea-tures are closely intertwined with the initiation,progression,and therapeutic resistance of hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC).This review presents a systematic overview of the fundamental molecular mechanisms underlying ferroptosis,en-compassing iron metabolism,lipid metabolism,and the antioxidant system.Fur-thermore,it summarizes the potential applications of targeting ferroptosis in liver cancer treatment,including the mechanisms of action of anticancer agents(e.g.,sorafenib)and relevant ferroptosis-related enzymes.Against the backdrop of the growing potential of artificial intelligence(AI)in liver cancer research,various AI-based predictive models for liver cancer are being increasingly developed.On the one hand,this review examines the mechanisms of ferroptosis in HCC to explore novel early detection markers for liver cancer,to provide new insights for the development of AI-based early diagnostic models.On the other hand,it syn-thesizes the current research progress of existing liver cancer predictive models while summarizing key challenges that AI predictive models may encounter in the diagnosis and treatment of HCC.展开更多
BACKGROUND Patients with cirrhosis with hepatopulmonary syndrome(HPS)have a poorer prognosis.The disease has a subtle onset,symptoms are easily masked,clinical attention is insufficient,and misdiagnosis rates are high...BACKGROUND Patients with cirrhosis with hepatopulmonary syndrome(HPS)have a poorer prognosis.The disease has a subtle onset,symptoms are easily masked,clinical attention is insufficient,and misdiagnosis rates are high.AIM To compare the clinical characteristics of patients with cirrhosis,cirrhosis combined with intrapulmonary vascular dilatation(IPVD),and HPS,and to establish predictive models for IPVD and HPS.METHODS Patients with cirrhosis were prospectively screened at a liver-specialized university teaching hospital.Clinical information and blood samples were collected,and biomarker levels in blood samples were measured.Patients with cirrhosis were divided into three groups:Those with pure cirrhosis,those with combined IPVD,and those with HPS based on contrast-enhanced transthoracic echocardiography results and the pulmonary alveolar-arterial oxygen gradient values.Univariate logistic regression and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator(LASSO)regression methods were utilized to identify risk factors for IPVD and HPS,and nomograms were constructed to predict IPVD and HPS.RESULTS A total of 320 patients were analyzed,with 101 diagnosed with IPVD,of whom 54 were diagnosed with HPS.There were statistically significant differences in clinical parameters among these three groups of patients.Among the tested biomarkers,sphingosine 1 phosphate,angiopoietin-2,and platelet-derived growth factor BB were significantly associated with IPVD and HPS in patients with cirrhosis.Following LASSO logistic regression screening,prediction models for IPVD and HPS were established.The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for IPVD prediction was 0.792(95%confidence interval[CI]:0.737-0.847),and for HPS prediction was 0.891(95%CI:0.848-0.934).CONCLUSION This study systematically compared the clinical characteristics of patients with cirrhosis,IPVD,and HPS,and constructed predictive models for IPVD and HPS based on clinical parameters and laboratory indicators.These models showed good predictive value for IPVD and HPS in patients with cirrhosis.They can assist clinicians in the early prognosis assessment of patients with cirrhosis,ultimately benefiting the patients.展开更多
BACKGROUND At present,there is a lack of non-invasive indicators to evaluate the changes in endoscopic activity between two visits for patients with Crohn's disease(CD).AIM To develop a model for predicting whethe...BACKGROUND At present,there is a lack of non-invasive indicators to evaluate the changes in endoscopic activity between two visits for patients with Crohn's disease(CD).AIM To develop a model for predicting whether endoscopic activity will improve in CD patients.METHODS This is a single-center retrospective study that included patients diagnosed with CD from January 2014 to December 2022.The patients were randomly divided into a modeling group(70%)and an internal validation group(30%),with an external validation group from January 2023 to March 2024.Univariate and binary logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify independent risk factors,which were used to construct a nomogram model.The model's performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves,calibration curves,and decision curve analysis(DCA).Additionally,further sensitivity analyses were performed.RESULTS One hundred seventy patients were included in the training group,while 64 were included in the external validation group.A binary logistic stepwise regression analysis revealed that the changes in the amplitudes of albumin(ALB)and fibrinogen(FIB)were independent risk factors for endoscopic improvement.A nomogram model was developed based on these risk factors.The area under the curve of the model for the training group,internal validation group,and external validation group were 0.802,0.788,and 0.787,respectively.The average absolute errors of the calibration curves were 0.011,0.016,and 0.018,respectively.DCA indicated that the model performs well in clinical practice.Additionally,sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the model has strong robustness and applicability.CONCLUSION Our study shows that changes in the amplitudes of ALB and FIB are effective predictors of endoscopic improvement in patients with CD during follow-up visits compared to their previous ones.展开更多
BACKGROUND The risk factors and prediction models for diabetic foot(DF)remain incompletely understood,with several potential factors still requiring in-depth investigations.AIM To identify risk factors for new-onset D...BACKGROUND The risk factors and prediction models for diabetic foot(DF)remain incompletely understood,with several potential factors still requiring in-depth investigations.AIM To identify risk factors for new-onset DF and develop a robust prediction model for hospitalized patients with type 2 diabetes.METHODS We included 6301 hospitalized patients with type 2 diabetes from January 2016 to December 2021.A univariate Cox model and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator analyses were applied to select the appropriate predictors.Nonlinear associations between continuous variables and the risk of DF were explored using restricted cubic spline functions.The Cox model was further employed to evaluate the impact of risk factors on DF.The area under the curve(AUC)was measured to evaluate the accuracy of the prediction model.RESULTS Seventy-five diabetic inpatients experienced DF.The incidence density of DF was 4.5/1000 person-years.A long duration of diabetes,lower extremity arterial disease,lower serum albumin,fasting plasma glucose(FPG),and diabetic nephropathy were independently associated with DF.Among these risk factors,the serum albumin concentration was inversely associated with DF,with a hazard ratio(HR)and 95%confidence interval(CI)of 0.91(0.88-0.95)(P<0.001).Additionally,a U-shaped nonlinear relationship was observed between the FPG level and DF.After adjusting for other variables,the HRs and 95%CI for FPG<4.4 mmol/L and≥7.0 mmol/L were 3.99(1.55-10.25)(P=0.004)and 3.12(1.66-5.87)(P<0.001),respectively,which was greater than the mid-range level(4.4-6.9 mmol/L).The AUC for predicting DF over 3 years was 0.797.CONCLUSION FPG demonstrated a U-shaped relationship with DF.Serum albumin levels were negatively associated with DF.The prediction nomogram model of DF showed good discrimination ability using diabetes duration,lower extremity arterial disease,serum albumin,FPG,and diabetic nephropathy(Clinicaltrial.gov NCT05519163).展开更多
BACKGROUND Research has shown that several factors can influence postoperative abnormal liver function;however,most studies on this issue have focused specifically on hepatic and cardiac surgeries,leaving limited rese...BACKGROUND Research has shown that several factors can influence postoperative abnormal liver function;however,most studies on this issue have focused specifically on hepatic and cardiac surgeries,leaving limited research on contributing factors in other types of surgeries.AIM To identify the risk factors for early postoperative abnormal liver function in multiple surgery types and construct a risk prediction model.METHODS This retrospective cohort study involved 3720 surgical patients from 5 surgical departments at Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine.Patients were divided into abnormal(n=108)and normal(n=3612)groups based on liver function post-surgery.Univariate analysis and LASSO regression screened variables,followed by logistic regression to identify risk factors.A prediction model was constructed based on the variables selected via logistic re-gression.The goodness-of-fit of the model was evaluated using the Hosm-er–Lemeshow test,while discriminatory ability was measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.Calibration curves were plotted to visualize the consistency between predicted probabilities and observed outcomes.RESULTS The key factors contributing to abnormal liver function after surgery include elevated aspartate aminotransferase and alanine aminotransferase levels and reduced platelet counts pre-surgery,as well as the sevoflurane use during the procedure,among others.CONCLUSION The above factors collectively represent notable risk factors for postoperative liver function injury,and the prediction model developed based on these factors demonstrates strong predictive efficacy.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(82371709).
文摘Testicular torsion is a urological emergency that requires prompt diagnosis and treatment,accounting for 10%-15%of cases of acute scrotum.[1]It occurs most frequently during the perinatal period and adolescence and can occur at any age.[2]The incidence of testicular torsion is 1/4,000 in males under 25 years of age and 1/160 in males over 25 years of age.[3]Unilateral torsion is relatively common,with a higher incidence on the left side.Testicular torsion is typically managed through surgical exploration.Necrotic testes,identified by a black appearance,require orchiectomy.[4]
文摘Malaria remains a major public health challenge necessitating accurate predictive models to inform effective intervention strategies in Sierra Leone. This study compares the performance of Holt-Winters’ Exponential Smoothing, Harmonic, and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models using data from January 2018 to December 2023, incorporating both historical case records from Sierra Leone’s Health Management Information System (HMIS) and meteorological variables including humidity, precipitation, and temperature. The ANN model demonstrated superior performance, achieving a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 4.74% before including climatic variables. This was further reduced to 3.9% with the inclusion of climatic variables, outperforming traditional models like Holt-Winters and Harmonic, which yielded MAPEs of 22.53% and 17.90% respectively. The ANN’s success is attributed to its ability to capture complex, non-linear relationships in the data, particularly when enhanced with relevant climatic variables. Using the optimized ANN model, we forecasted malaria cases for the next 24 months, predicting a steady increase from January 2024 to December 2025, with seasonal peaks. This study underscores the potential of machine learning approaches, particularly ANNs, in epidemiological modelling and highlights the importance of integrating environmental factors into malaria prediction models, recommending the ANN model for informing more targeted and efficient malaria control strategies to improve public health outcomes in Sierra Leone and similar settings.
文摘BACKGROUND Stomal complications though small in early postoperative period,but poses significant morbidity,therapeutic challenge,delay in adjuvant treatment and sometimes even leads to mortality.Predictive model for early detection of stomal complications is important to improve the outcome.A model including patients and disease related factors,intraoperative surgical techniques and biochemical markers would be a better determinant to anticipate early stomal complications.Incorporation of emerging tools and technology such as artificial intelligence(AI),will further improve the prediction.AIM To identify various risk factors and models for prediction of early post operative stomal complications in colorectal cancer(CRC)surgery.METHODS Published literatures on early postoperative stomal complications in CRC surgery were systematically reviewed between 1995 and 2024 from online search engines PubMed and MEDLINE.RESULTS Twenty-four observational studies focused on identifying various risk factors for early post operative stomal complications in CRC surgery were analyzed.Stomal complications in CRC are influenced by several factors such as disease factors,patient-specific characteristics,and surgical techniques.There are some biomarkers and tools loke AI which may play significant roles in early detection.CONCLUSION Careful analysis of these factors,changes in biochemical parameters,and application of AI,a predictive model for stomal complications can be generated,to help in early detection,prompt action to achieve better outcomes.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2022YFB3605902)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(52375411,52293402)。
文摘Workpiece rotational grinding is widely used in the ultra-precision machining of hard and brittle semiconductor materials,including single-crystal silicon,silicon carbide,and gallium arsenide.Surface roughness and subsurface damage depth(SDD)are crucial indicators for evaluating the surface quality of these materials after grinding.Existing prediction models lack general applicability and do not accurately account for the complex material behavior under grinding conditions.This paper introduces novel models for predicting both surface roughness and SDD in hard and brittle semiconductor materials.The surface roughness model uniquely incorporates the material’s elastic recovery properties,revealing the significant impact of these properties on prediction accuracy.The SDD model is distinguished by its analysis of the interactions between abrasive grits and the workpiece,as well as the mechanisms governing stress-induced damage evolution.The surface roughness model and SDD model both establish a stable relationship with the grit depth of cut(GDC).Additionally,we have developed an analytical relationship between the GDC and grinding process parameters.This,in turn,enables the establishment of an analytical framework for predicting surface roughness and SDD based on grinding process parameters,which cannot be achieved by previous models.The models were validated through systematic experiments on three different semiconductor materials,demonstrating excellent agreement with experimental data,with prediction errors of 6.3%for surface roughness and6.9%for SDD.Additionally,this study identifies variations in elastic recovery and material plasticity as critical factors influencing surface roughness and SDD across different materials.These findings significantly advance the accuracy of predictive models and broaden their applicability for grinding hard and brittle semiconductor materials.
文摘BACKGROUND Low rectal cancer poses a significant surgical challenge because of its close proximity to the anal sphincter,often requiring radical resection with permanent colostomy to achieve oncological safety.Revisited rectal anatomy,advances in surgical techniques and neoadjuvant therapies have enabled the possibility of sphincter-preserving procedures,however,it is uniformly not applicable.Selecting appropriate candidates for sphincter preservation is crucial,as an illadvised approach may compromise oncological outcome or lead to poor functional outcomes.Currently there is no consensus-which clinical,anatomical,or molecular factors most accurately predict the feasibility of sphincter-preserving surgery(SPS)in this subset of patients.By identifying these predictors,the study seeks to support improved patient selection,enhance surgical planning,and ultimately contribute to better functional and oncological outcomes in patients with low rectal cancer.AIM To identify predictive factors that determine the feasibility of SPS in patients with low rectal cancer.METHODS A comprehensive literature search was conducted using PubMed/MEDLINE databases.The search focused on various factors influencing the feasibility of SPS in low rectal cancer.These included patient-related factors,anatomical considerations,findings from different imaging modalities,advancements in diagnostic tools and techniques,and the role of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.The relevance of each factor in predicting the potential for sphincter preservation was critically analyzed and presented based on the current evidence RESULTS Multiple studies have identified a range of predictive factors influencing the feasibility of SPS in low rectal cancer.Patient-related factors include age,sex,preoperative continence status,comorbidities,and body mass index.Anatomical considerations,such as tumor distance from the anal verge,involvement of the external anal sphincter,and levator ani muscles,also play a critical role.Additionally,a favourable response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy has been associated with improved suitability for sphincter preservation.Several biomarkers,such as inflammatory markers like interleukins and C-reactive protein,as well as tumor markers like carcinoembryonic antigen,are important.Molecular markers,including BRAF and KRAS mutations and microsatellite instability status,have been linked to prognosis and may further guide decision-making regarding sphincter-preserving approaches.Artificial intelligence(AI)can further add in to select an ideal patient for sphincter preservation.CONCLUSION SPS is feasible in low rectal cancer and depends on patient factors,tumor anatomy and biology,preoperative treatment response,and biomarkers.In addition,tools and technology including AI can further help in selecting an ideal patient for long term optimal outcome.
基金Supported by Capital’s Funds for Health Improvement and Research,No.2024-4-4135.
文摘BACKGROUND The trend of risk prediction models for diabetic peripheral neuropathy(DPN)is increasing,but few studies focus on the quality of the model and its practical application.AIM To conduct a comprehensive systematic review and rigorous evaluation of prediction models for DPN.METHODS A meticulous search was conducted in PubMed,EMBASE,Cochrane,CNKI,Wang Fang DATA,and VIP Database to identify studies published until October 2023.The included and excluded criteria were applied by the researchers to screen the literature.Two investigators independently extracted data and assessed the quality using a data extraction form and a bias risk assessment tool.Disagreements were resolved through consultation with a third investigator.Data from the included studies were extracted utilizing the Checklist for Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modelling Studies.Additionally,the bias risk and applicability of the models were evaluated by the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool.RESULTS The systematic review included 14 studies with a total of 26 models.The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the 26 models was 0.629-0.938.All studies had high risks of bias,mainly due to participants,outcomes,and analysis.The most common predictors included glycated hemoglobin,age,duration of diabetes,lipid abnormalities,and fasting blood glucose.CONCLUSION The predictor model presented good differentiation,calibration,but there were significant methodological flaws and high risk of bias.Future studies should focus on improving the study design and study report,updating the model and verifying its adaptability and feasibility in clinical practice.
文摘BACKGROUND Colorectal polyps are precancerous diseases of colorectal cancer.Early detection and resection of colorectal polyps can effectively reduce the mortality of colorectal cancer.Endoscopic mucosal resection(EMR)is a common polypectomy proce-dure in clinical practice,but it has a high postoperative recurrence rate.Currently,there is no predictive model for the recurrence of colorectal polyps after EMR.AIM To construct and validate a machine learning(ML)model for predicting the risk of colorectal polyp recurrence one year after EMR.METHODS This study retrospectively collected data from 1694 patients at three medical centers in Xuzhou.Additionally,a total of 166 patients were collected to form a prospective validation set.Feature variable screening was conducted using uni-variate and multivariate logistic regression analyses,and five ML algorithms were used to construct the predictive models.The optimal models were evaluated based on different performance metrics.Decision curve analysis(DCA)and SHapley Additive exPlanation(SHAP)analysis were performed to assess clinical applicability and predictor importance.RESULTS Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified 8 independent risk factors for colorectal polyp recurrence one year after EMR(P<0.05).Among the models,eXtreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost)demonstrated the highest area under the curve(AUC)in the training set,internal validation set,and prospective validation set,with AUCs of 0.909(95%CI:0.89-0.92),0.921(95%CI:0.90-0.94),and 0.963(95%CI:0.94-0.99),respectively.DCA indicated favorable clinical utility for the XGBoost model.SHAP analysis identified smoking history,family history,and age as the top three most important predictors in the model.CONCLUSION The XGBoost model has the best predictive performance and can assist clinicians in providing individualized colonoscopy follow-up recommendations.
基金supported by the Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.LY23E040001)Fundamental Research Funding Project of Zhejiang Province,China(Project Category A,Grant No.2022YW06)National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2023YFF0614902).
文摘Accurate prediction of coal reservoir permeability is crucial for engineering applications,including coal mining,coalbed methane(CBM)extraction,and carbon storage in deep unmineable coal seams.Owing to the inherent heterogeneity and complex internal structure of coal,a well-established method for predicting permeability based on microscopic fracture structures remains elusive.This paper presents a novel integrated approach that leverages the intrinsic relationship between microscopic fracture structure and permeability to construct a predictive model for coal permeability.The proposed framework encompasses data generation through the integration of three-dimensional(3D)digital core analysis and numerical simulations,followed by data-driven modeling via machine learning(ML)techniques.Key data-driven strategies,including feature selection and hyperparameter tuning,are employed to improve model performance.We propose and evaluate twelve data-driven models,including multilayer perceptron(MLP),random forest(RF),and hybrid methods.The results demonstrate that the ML model based on the RF algorithm achieves the highest accuracy and best generalization capability in predicting permeability.This method enables rapid estimation of coal permeability by inputting two-dimensional(2D)computed tomography images or parameters of the microscopic fracture structure,thereby providing an accurate and efficient means of permeability prediction.
基金Supported by the Henan Provincial Health Commission,No.232102310145.
文摘BACKGROUND Patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)frequently experience exacerbations requiring multiple hospitalizations over prolonged disease courses,which predispose them to generalized anxiety disorder(GAD).This comorbidity exacerbates breathing difficulties,activity limitations,and social isolation.While previous studies predominantly employed the GAD 7-item scale for screening,this approach is somewhat subjective.The current literature on predictive models for GAD risk in patients with COPD is limited.AIM To construct and validate a GAD risk prediction model to aid healthcare professionals in preventing the onset of GAD.METHODS This retrospective analysis encompassed patients with COPD treated at our institution from July 2021 to February 2024.The patients were categorized into a modeling(MO)group and a validation(VA)group in a 7:3 ratio on the basis of the occurrence of GAD.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were utilized to construct the risk prediction model,which was visualized using forest plots.The model’s performance was evaluated using Hosmer-Lemeshow(H-L)goodness-of-fit test and receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis.RESULTS A total of 271 subjects were included,with 190 in the MO group and 81 in the VA group.GAD was identified in 67 patients with COPD,resulting in a prevalence rate of 24.72%(67/271),with 49 cases(18.08%)in the MO group and 18 cases(22.22%)in the VA group.Significant differences were observed between patients with and without GAD in terms of educational level,average household income,smoking history,smoking index,number of exacerbations in the past year,cardiovascular comorbidities,disease knowledge,and personality traits(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that lower education levels,household income<3000 China yuan,smoking history,smoking index≥400 cigarettes/year,≥two exacerbations in the past year,cardiovascular comorbidities,complete lack of disease information,and introverted personality were significant risk factors for GAD in the MO group(P<0.05).ROC analysis indicated that the area under the curve for predicting GAD in the MO and VA groups was 0.978 and 0.960.The H-L test yieldedχ^(2) values of 6.511 and 5.179,with P=0.275 and 0.274.Calibration curves demonstrated good agreement between predicted and actual GAD occurrence risks.CONCLUSION The developed predictive model includes eight independent risk factors:Educational level,household income,smoking history,smoking index,number of exacerbations in the past year,presence of cardiovascular comorbidities,level of disease knowledge,and personality traits.This model effectively predicts the onset of GAD in patients with COPD,enabling early identification of high-risk individuals and providing a basis for early preventive interventions by nursing staff.
基金the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry(No.ChiCTR2000040109)approved by the Hospital Ethics Committee(No.20210130017).
文摘BACKGROUND Difficulty of colonoscopy insertion(DCI)significantly affects colonoscopy effectiveness and serves as a key quality indicator.Predicting and evaluating DCI risk preoperatively is crucial for optimizing intraoperative strategies.AIM To evaluate the predictive performance of machine learning(ML)algorithms for DCI by comparing three modeling approaches,identify factors influencing DCI,and develop a preoperative prediction model using ML algorithms to enhance colonoscopy quality and efficiency.METHODS This cross-sectional study enrolled 712 patients who underwent colonoscopy at a tertiary hospital between June 2020 and May 2021.Demographic data,past medical history,medication use,and psychological status were collected.The endoscopist assessed DCI using the visual analogue scale.After univariate screening,predictive models were developed using multivariable logistic regression,least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)regression,and random forest(RF)algorithms.Model performance was evaluated based on discrimination,calibration,and decision curve analysis(DCA),and results were visualized using nomograms.RESULTS A total of 712 patients(53.8%male;mean age 54.5 years±12.9 years)were included.Logistic regression analysis identified constipation[odds ratio(OR)=2.254,95%confidence interval(CI):1.289-3.931],abdominal circumference(AC)(77.5–91.9 cm,OR=1.895,95%CI:1.065-3.350;AC≥92 cm,OR=1.271,95%CI:0.730-2.188),and anxiety(OR=1.071,95%CI:1.044-1.100)as predictive factors for DCI,validated by LASSO and RF methods.Model performance revealed training/validation sensitivities of 0.826/0.925,0.924/0.868,and 1.000/0.981;specificities of 0.602/0.511,0.510/0.562,and 0.977/0.526;and corresponding area under the receiver operating characteristic curves(AUCs)of 0.780(0.737-0.823)/0.726(0.654-0.799),0.754(0.710-0.798)/0.723(0.656-0.791),and 1.000(1.000-1.000)/0.754(0.688-0.820),respectively.DCA indicated optimal net benefit within probability thresholds of 0-0.9 and 0.05-0.37.The RF model demonstrated superior diagnostic accuracy,reflected by perfect training sensitivity(1.000)and highest validation AUC(0.754),outperforming other methods in clinical applicability.CONCLUSION The RF-based model exhibited superior predictive accuracy for DCI compared to multivariable logistic and LASSO regression models.This approach supports individualized preoperative optimization,enhancing colonoscopy quality through targeted risk stratification.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (82072159)。
文摘BACKGROUND:Intracranial hemorrhage (ICH),a severe complication among adults receiving extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO),is often related to poor outcomes.This study aimed to establish a predictive model for ICH in adults receiving ECMO treatment.METHODS:Adults who received ECMO between January 2017 and June 2022 were the subjects of a single-center retrospective study.Patients under the age of 18 years old,with acute ICH before ECMO,with less than 24 h of ECMO support,and with incomplete data were excluded.ICH was diagnosed by a head computed tomography scan.The outcomes included the incidence of ICH,in-hosptial mortality and 28-day mortality.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify relevant risk factors of ICH,and a predictive model of ICH with a nomogram was constructed.RESULTS:Among the 227 patients included,22 developed ICH during ECMO.Patients with ICH had higher in-hospital mortality (90.9%vs.47.8%,P=0.001) and higher 28-day mortality (81.8%vs.47.3%,P=0.001) than patients with non-ICH.ICH was associated with decreased grey-white-matter ratio (GWR)(OR=0.894,95%CI:0.841–0.951,P<0.001),stroke history (OR=4.265,95%CI:1.052–17.291,P=0.042),fresh frozen plasma (FFP) transfusion (OR=1.208,95%CI:1.037–1.408,P=0.015)and minimum platelet (PLT) count during ECMO support (OR=0.977,95%CI:0.958–0.996,P=0.019).The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the ICH predictive model was 0.843 (95%CI:0.762–0.924,P<0.001).CONCLUSION:ECMO-treated patients with ICH had a higher risk of death.GWR,stroke history,FFP transfusion,and the minimum PLT count were independently associated with ICH,and the ICH predictive model showed that these parameters performed well as diagnostic tools.
基金Zhongshan Science and Technology Bureau Project“The Application of Infrared Thermography in the Syndrome Differentiation of Chaihu Guizhi Ganjiang Decoction”(Project No.2021B1066)Zhongshan Science and Technology Bureau Project“Exploring the Diagnostic Approach of the TCM Syndrome Type‘Chaihu Guizhi Ganjiang Decoction’Based on Infrared Thermal Imaging Systems and Digital Modeling Methods of Ancient and Modern Literature”(Project No.2022B1131)。
文摘Objective:To evaluate the use of infrared thermography technology for objective and quantitative syndrome differentiation and treatment in traditional Chinese medicine(TCM),specifically in patients with Chaihu Guizhi Ganjiang Decoction syndrome.Methods:Data were collected from over 100 patients diagnosed with Chaihu Guizhi Ganjiang Decoction syndrome at Professor Li Leyu’s endocrinology clinic,Zhongshan Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine,Guangdong Province,between April 2021 and April 2022.Body surface temperature data were obtained using the MTI-EXPRO-2013-B infrared thermography system.Principal component analysis(PCA)was applied to differentiate temperature distribution characteristics between genders,and a neural network prediction model was constructed for syndrome diagnosis.Results:Infrared thermography effectively captured surface temperature characteristics of patients with Chaihu Guizhi Ganjiang Decoction syndrome.PCA identified one principal component with a variance explanation rate of 73.953%for females and two principal components with a cumulative variance explanation rate of 77.627%for males.The neural network model demonstrated high predictive performance,with an area under the ROC curve of 0.9743 for the training set and 0.9889 for the validation set.Sensitivity was 1,specificity 0.8636,precision 0.8846,accuracy 0.9333,and the F1 score 0.9388.Conclusion:Infrared thermography provides an innovative,objective,and quantitative method for syndrome differentiation and treatment in TCM.It represents a significant advancement in transitioning from traditional empirical approaches to modern,visualized,and precise diagnosis and treatment.This study underscores the potential of integrating advanced technologies in TCM for enhanced clinical application and modernization.
基金Supported by Science and Technology Department of Yunnan Province-Kunming Medical University,Kunming Medical Joint Special Project-Surface Project,No.202401AY070001-164Yunnan Provincial Department of Science and Technology Science and Technology Plan Project-Major Science and Technology Special Projects,No.202405AJ310003+1 种基金Yunnan Provincial Department of Science and Technology Science and Technology Plan Project-Key Research and Development Program,No.202103AC100004Yunnan Province Science and Technology Department Key Research and Development Plan,No.202103AC100002.
文摘BACKGROUND Acute myocardial infarction(AMI)combined with ventricular septal perforation(VSR)is still a highly fatal condition in the era of reperfusion therapy.The incidence rate has decreased to 0.2%-0.4%due to the popularization of percutaneous coronary intervention.However,the risk is significantly increased for those who fail to undergo revascularization in time,and the mortality rate remains high.The current core contradiction in clinical practice lies in the selection of surgical timing,and the disparity in medical resources significantly affects prognosis.There is an urgent need to optimize the identification of high-risk populations and individualized treatment strategies.AIM To investigate the clinical features,determine the prognostic factors,and develop a predictive model for 30-day mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction complicated by ventricular septal rupture(AMI-VSR)residing in high-altitude regions.METHODS This study retrospectively analyzed 48 AMI-VSR patients admitted to a Yunnan hospital from 2017 to 2024,with the establishment of survival(n=30)and mortality(n=18)groups based on patients’survival status.Risk factors were identified by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.A nomogram model was developed using R software and validated via receiver operating characteristic(ROC)analysis and calibration curves.RESULTS Age,uric acid(UA),interleukin-6(IL-6),and low hemoglobin(Hb)were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality(odds ratios:1.147,1.006,1.034,and 0.941,respectively;P<0.05).The nomogram demonstrated excellent discrimination(area under the ROC curve=0.939)and calibration(Hosmer-Lemeshowχ²=2.268,P=0.971).In addition,patients’poor outcomes could be synergistically predicted by IL-6 and UA,advanced age,and reduced Hb.CONCLUSION This study highlights age,UA,IL-6,and Hb as critical predictors of mortality in AMI-VSR patients at high altitudes.The validated nomogram provides a practical tool for early risk stratification and tailored interventions,addressing gaps in managing this high-risk population in resource-limited settings.
基金Supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China,No.2022YFC2503600。
文摘BACKGROUND The discrepancy between endoscopic biopsy pathology and the overall pathology of gastric low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia(LGIN)presents challenges in developing diagnostic and treatment protocols.AIM To develop a risk prediction model for the pathological upgrading of gastric LGIN to aid clinical diagnosis and treatment.METHODS We retrospectively analyzed data from patients newly diagnosed with gastric LGIN who underwent complete endoscopic resection within 6 months at the First Medical Center of Chinese People’s Liberation Army General Hospital between January 2008 and December 2023.A risk prediction model for the pathological progression of gastric LGIN was constructed and evaluated for accuracy and clinical applicability.RESULTS A total of 171 patients were included in this study:93 patients with high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia or early gastric cancer and 78 with LGIN.The logistic stepwise regression model demonstrated a sensitivity and specificity of 0.868 and 0.800,respectively,while the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)regression model showed sensitivity and specificity values of 0.842 and 0.840,respectively.The area under the curve(AUC)for the logistic model was 0.896,slightly lower than the AUC of 0.904 for the LASSO model.Internal validation with 30%of the data yielded AUC scores of 0.908 for the logistic model and 0.905 for the LASSO model.The LASSO model provided greater utility in clinical decision-making.CONCLUSION A risk prediction model for the pathological upgrading of gastric LGIN based on white-light and magnifying endoscopic features can accurately and effectively guide clinical diagnosis and treatment.
基金Supported by Henan Provincial Science and Technology Research Project,No.252102311168 and No.242102310066the Medical Education Research Project in Henan Province,No.WJLX2024153.
文摘Ferroptosis,an iron-dependent form of programmed cell death,has garnered significant attention in tumor research in recent years.Its core characteristics include aberrant accumulation of lipid peroxides and impairment of antioxidant defense mechanisms,such as dysfunction of glutathione peroxidase 4.These fea-tures are closely intertwined with the initiation,progression,and therapeutic resistance of hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC).This review presents a systematic overview of the fundamental molecular mechanisms underlying ferroptosis,en-compassing iron metabolism,lipid metabolism,and the antioxidant system.Fur-thermore,it summarizes the potential applications of targeting ferroptosis in liver cancer treatment,including the mechanisms of action of anticancer agents(e.g.,sorafenib)and relevant ferroptosis-related enzymes.Against the backdrop of the growing potential of artificial intelligence(AI)in liver cancer research,various AI-based predictive models for liver cancer are being increasingly developed.On the one hand,this review examines the mechanisms of ferroptosis in HCC to explore novel early detection markers for liver cancer,to provide new insights for the development of AI-based early diagnostic models.On the other hand,it syn-thesizes the current research progress of existing liver cancer predictive models while summarizing key challenges that AI predictive models may encounter in the diagnosis and treatment of HCC.
基金Supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China,No.2022YFC2305002Beijing Natural Science Foundation,No.7232079+1 种基金Middle-aged and Young Talent Incubation Programs(Clinical Research)of Beijing Youan Hospital,No.BJYAYY-YN2022-12,No.BJYAYY-YN2022-13,and No.BJYAYY-YN2022-01the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation,No.2023M732410 and No.2024T170595.
文摘BACKGROUND Patients with cirrhosis with hepatopulmonary syndrome(HPS)have a poorer prognosis.The disease has a subtle onset,symptoms are easily masked,clinical attention is insufficient,and misdiagnosis rates are high.AIM To compare the clinical characteristics of patients with cirrhosis,cirrhosis combined with intrapulmonary vascular dilatation(IPVD),and HPS,and to establish predictive models for IPVD and HPS.METHODS Patients with cirrhosis were prospectively screened at a liver-specialized university teaching hospital.Clinical information and blood samples were collected,and biomarker levels in blood samples were measured.Patients with cirrhosis were divided into three groups:Those with pure cirrhosis,those with combined IPVD,and those with HPS based on contrast-enhanced transthoracic echocardiography results and the pulmonary alveolar-arterial oxygen gradient values.Univariate logistic regression and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator(LASSO)regression methods were utilized to identify risk factors for IPVD and HPS,and nomograms were constructed to predict IPVD and HPS.RESULTS A total of 320 patients were analyzed,with 101 diagnosed with IPVD,of whom 54 were diagnosed with HPS.There were statistically significant differences in clinical parameters among these three groups of patients.Among the tested biomarkers,sphingosine 1 phosphate,angiopoietin-2,and platelet-derived growth factor BB were significantly associated with IPVD and HPS in patients with cirrhosis.Following LASSO logistic regression screening,prediction models for IPVD and HPS were established.The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for IPVD prediction was 0.792(95%confidence interval[CI]:0.737-0.847),and for HPS prediction was 0.891(95%CI:0.848-0.934).CONCLUSION This study systematically compared the clinical characteristics of patients with cirrhosis,IPVD,and HPS,and constructed predictive models for IPVD and HPS based on clinical parameters and laboratory indicators.These models showed good predictive value for IPVD and HPS in patients with cirrhosis.They can assist clinicians in the early prognosis assessment of patients with cirrhosis,ultimately benefiting the patients.
文摘BACKGROUND At present,there is a lack of non-invasive indicators to evaluate the changes in endoscopic activity between two visits for patients with Crohn's disease(CD).AIM To develop a model for predicting whether endoscopic activity will improve in CD patients.METHODS This is a single-center retrospective study that included patients diagnosed with CD from January 2014 to December 2022.The patients were randomly divided into a modeling group(70%)and an internal validation group(30%),with an external validation group from January 2023 to March 2024.Univariate and binary logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify independent risk factors,which were used to construct a nomogram model.The model's performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves,calibration curves,and decision curve analysis(DCA).Additionally,further sensitivity analyses were performed.RESULTS One hundred seventy patients were included in the training group,while 64 were included in the external validation group.A binary logistic stepwise regression analysis revealed that the changes in the amplitudes of albumin(ALB)and fibrinogen(FIB)were independent risk factors for endoscopic improvement.A nomogram model was developed based on these risk factors.The area under the curve of the model for the training group,internal validation group,and external validation group were 0.802,0.788,and 0.787,respectively.The average absolute errors of the calibration curves were 0.011,0.016,and 0.018,respectively.DCA indicated that the model performs well in clinical practice.Additionally,sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the model has strong robustness and applicability.CONCLUSION Our study shows that changes in the amplitudes of ALB and FIB are effective predictors of endoscopic improvement in patients with CD during follow-up visits compared to their previous ones.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.81972947Academic Promotion Programme of Shandong First Medical University,No.2019LJ005.
文摘BACKGROUND The risk factors and prediction models for diabetic foot(DF)remain incompletely understood,with several potential factors still requiring in-depth investigations.AIM To identify risk factors for new-onset DF and develop a robust prediction model for hospitalized patients with type 2 diabetes.METHODS We included 6301 hospitalized patients with type 2 diabetes from January 2016 to December 2021.A univariate Cox model and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator analyses were applied to select the appropriate predictors.Nonlinear associations between continuous variables and the risk of DF were explored using restricted cubic spline functions.The Cox model was further employed to evaluate the impact of risk factors on DF.The area under the curve(AUC)was measured to evaluate the accuracy of the prediction model.RESULTS Seventy-five diabetic inpatients experienced DF.The incidence density of DF was 4.5/1000 person-years.A long duration of diabetes,lower extremity arterial disease,lower serum albumin,fasting plasma glucose(FPG),and diabetic nephropathy were independently associated with DF.Among these risk factors,the serum albumin concentration was inversely associated with DF,with a hazard ratio(HR)and 95%confidence interval(CI)of 0.91(0.88-0.95)(P<0.001).Additionally,a U-shaped nonlinear relationship was observed between the FPG level and DF.After adjusting for other variables,the HRs and 95%CI for FPG<4.4 mmol/L and≥7.0 mmol/L were 3.99(1.55-10.25)(P=0.004)and 3.12(1.66-5.87)(P<0.001),respectively,which was greater than the mid-range level(4.4-6.9 mmol/L).The AUC for predicting DF over 3 years was 0.797.CONCLUSION FPG demonstrated a U-shaped relationship with DF.Serum albumin levels were negatively associated with DF.The prediction nomogram model of DF showed good discrimination ability using diabetes duration,lower extremity arterial disease,serum albumin,FPG,and diabetic nephropathy(Clinicaltrial.gov NCT05519163).
基金Supported by Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine Science and Technology Research Special Project,No.YN2023WSSQ01State Key Laboratory of Traditional Chinese Medicine Syndrome.
文摘BACKGROUND Research has shown that several factors can influence postoperative abnormal liver function;however,most studies on this issue have focused specifically on hepatic and cardiac surgeries,leaving limited research on contributing factors in other types of surgeries.AIM To identify the risk factors for early postoperative abnormal liver function in multiple surgery types and construct a risk prediction model.METHODS This retrospective cohort study involved 3720 surgical patients from 5 surgical departments at Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine.Patients were divided into abnormal(n=108)and normal(n=3612)groups based on liver function post-surgery.Univariate analysis and LASSO regression screened variables,followed by logistic regression to identify risk factors.A prediction model was constructed based on the variables selected via logistic re-gression.The goodness-of-fit of the model was evaluated using the Hosm-er–Lemeshow test,while discriminatory ability was measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.Calibration curves were plotted to visualize the consistency between predicted probabilities and observed outcomes.RESULTS The key factors contributing to abnormal liver function after surgery include elevated aspartate aminotransferase and alanine aminotransferase levels and reduced platelet counts pre-surgery,as well as the sevoflurane use during the procedure,among others.CONCLUSION The above factors collectively represent notable risk factors for postoperative liver function injury,and the prediction model developed based on these factors demonstrates strong predictive efficacy.
