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On-Line Tuning Scheme for the Generalized Predictive Controller via Simulation Optimization
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作者 Li Shaoyuan Institute of Automation, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200030, P. R. China 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2003年第2期57-62,共6页
Predictive control has recently received much attention from researchers. However a challenging problem to be solved is how to tune the parameters of the predictive controller. So far, only few guidelines related to t... Predictive control has recently received much attention from researchers. However a challenging problem to be solved is how to tune the parameters of the predictive controller. So far, only few guidelines related to tuning of the parameters of predictive controllers have been provided in literature. In practice, these parameters are generally off-line determined by the designers' experience. From the point of view of process control, it is difficult to find out the optimal parameters for the control system based on a single quadratic performance index, which is used in the standard predictive control algorithm. The fuzzy decision-making function is investigated in this paper. Firstly, M control actions are achieved by unconstrained predictive control algorithm, and fuzzy goals and fuzzy constraints are then calculated and the global satisfaction degree is obtained by fuzzy inference. Moreover, the weighting coefficient λ in the cost function is tuned using simulation optimization according to the fuzzy criteria. 展开更多
关键词 predictive control simulation optimization fuzzy decision-making.
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Predictive Control in Fuzzy Dynamic Environment
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作者 Li Shaoyuan Xi Yugeng 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2000年第4期24-29,共6页
This paper investigates the use of fuzzy decision making in predictive control. The use of fuzzy goals and fuzzy constraints in predictive control allows for a more flexible aggregation of the control objectives than ... This paper investigates the use of fuzzy decision making in predictive control. The use of fuzzy goals and fuzzy constraints in predictive control allows for a more flexible aggregation of the control objectives than the usual weighting sum of squared errors. Compared to the standard quadratic objective function, with the fuzzy decision-making approach, the designer has more freedom in specifying the desired process behavior. 展开更多
关键词 fuzzy predictive control fuzzy goals fuzzy constraints optimization.?
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Neuro-fuzzy predictive control for nonlinear application
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作者 陈东祥 王刚 吕世霞 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2008年第6期763-766,共4页
Aiming at the unsatisfactory dynamic performances of conventional model predictive control (MPC) in a highly nonlinear process, a scheme employed the fuzzy neural network to realize the nonlinear process is proposed. ... Aiming at the unsatisfactory dynamic performances of conventional model predictive control (MPC) in a highly nonlinear process, a scheme employed the fuzzy neural network to realize the nonlinear process is proposed. The neuro-fuzzy predictor has the capability of achieving high predictive accuracy due to its nonlinear mapping and interpolation features, and adaptively updating network parameters by a learning procedure to reduce the model errors caused by changes of the process under control. To cope with the difficult problem of nonlinear optimization, Pepanaqi method was applied to search the optimal or suboptimal solution. Comparisons were made among the objective function values of alternatives in initial space. The search was then confined to shrink the smaller region according to results of comparisons. The convergent point was finally approached to be considered as the optimal or suboptimal solution. Experimental results of the neuro-fuzzy predictive control for drier application reveal that the proposed control scheme has less tracking errors and can smooth control actions, which is applicable to changes of drying condition. 展开更多
关键词 model predictive control fuzzy neural network nonlinear optimization adaptive control
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Model predictive control for unprotected left-turn based on sequential convex programming
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作者 Changlong Hao Yuan Zhang Yuanqing Xia 《Journal of Automation and Intelligence》 2024年第4期230-239,共10页
In autonomous driving,an unprotected left turn is a highly challenging scenario.It refers to the situation where there is no dedicated traffic signal controlling the left turns;instead,left-turning vehicles rely on th... In autonomous driving,an unprotected left turn is a highly challenging scenario.It refers to the situation where there is no dedicated traffic signal controlling the left turns;instead,left-turning vehicles rely on the same traffic signal as the through traffic.This presents a significant challenge,as left-turning vehicles may encounter oncoming traffic with high speeds and pedestrians crossing against red lights.To address this issue,we propose a Model Predictive Control(MPC)framework to predict high-quality future trajectories.In particular,we have adopted the infinity norm to describe the obstacle avoidance for rectangular vehicles.The high degree of non-convexity due to coupling terms in our model makes its optimization challenging.Our way to solve it is to employ Sequential Convex Optimization(SCP)to approximate the original non-convex problem near certain initial solutions.Our method performs well in the comparison with the widely used sampling-based planning methods. 展开更多
关键词 Autonomous driving decision-making Planning and control Model predictive control optimization
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Multi-objective Model Predictive Control of Grid-connected Three-level Inverter Based on Hierarchical Optimization
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作者 Ting Liu Yong Li +4 位作者 Li Jiang Jianghu Wan Jiaqi Yu Chao Ding Yijia Cao 《Chinese Journal of Electrical Engineering》 CSCD 2021年第1期63-72,共10页
In order to solve the problem of weighting factors selection in the conventional finite-control-set model predictive control for a grid-connected three-level inverter,an improved multi-objective model predictive contr... In order to solve the problem of weighting factors selection in the conventional finite-control-set model predictive control for a grid-connected three-level inverter,an improved multi-objective model predictive control without weighting factors based on hierarchical optimization is proposed.Four control objectives are considered in this strategy.The grid current and neutral-point voltage of the DC-link are taken as the objectives in the first optimization hierarchy,and by using fuzzy satisfaction decision,several feasible candidates of voltage vectors are determined.Then,the average switching frequency and common-mode voltage are optimized in the second hierarchy.The average ranking criterion is introduced to sort the objective functions,and the best voltage vector is obtained to realize the coordinated control of multiple objectives.At last,the effectiveness of the proposed strategy is verified by simulation results. 展开更多
关键词 Multi-objective model predictive control grid-connected three-level inverter hierarchical optimization fuzzy satisfaction decision average ranking criterion
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Enhanced Water Quality Control Based on Predictive Optimization for Smart Fish Farming
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作者 Azimbek Khudoyberdiev Mohammed Abdul Jaleel +1 位作者 Israr Ullah DoHyeun Kim 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2023年第6期5471-5499,共29页
The requirement for high-quality seafood is a global challenge in today’s world due to climate change and natural resource limitations.Internet of Things(IoT)based Modern fish farming systems can significantly optimi... The requirement for high-quality seafood is a global challenge in today’s world due to climate change and natural resource limitations.Internet of Things(IoT)based Modern fish farming systems can significantly optimize seafood production by minimizing resource utilization and improving healthy fish production.This objective requires intensive monitoring,prediction,and control by optimizing leading factors that impact fish growth,including temperature,the potential of hydrogen(pH),water level,and feeding rate.This paper proposes the IoT based predictive optimization approach for efficient control and energy utilization in smart fish farming.The proposed fish farm control mechanism has a predictive optimization to deal with water quality control and efficient energy consumption problems.Fish farm indoor and outdoor values are applied to predict the water quality parameters,whereas a novel objective function is proposed to achieve an optimal fish growth environment based on predicted parameters.Fuzzy logic control is utilized to calculate control parameters for IoT actuators based on predictive optimal water quality parameters by minimizing energy consumption.To evaluate the efficiency of the proposed system,the overall approach has been deployed to the fish tank as a case study,and a number of experiments have been carried out.The results show that the predictive optimization module allowed the water quality parameters to be maintained at the optimal level with nearly 30%of energy efficiency at the maximum actuator control rate compared with other control levels. 展开更多
关键词 Smart fish farming internet of things(IoT) predictive optimization objective function fuzzy logic control(FLC)
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Fuzzy Logic for Solving an Optimal Control Problem of Hypoxemic Hypoxia Tissue Blood Carbon Dioxide Exchange during Physical Activity 被引量:1
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作者 Jean Marie Ntaganda Mahamat Saleh Daoussa Haggar Benjamin Mampassi 《Open Journal of Applied Sciences》 2014年第11期501-514,共14页
This paper aims at using of an approach integrating the fuzzy logic strategy for hypoxemic hypoxia tissue blood carbon dioxide human optimal control problem. To test the efficiency of this strategy, the authors propos... This paper aims at using of an approach integrating the fuzzy logic strategy for hypoxemic hypoxia tissue blood carbon dioxide human optimal control problem. To test the efficiency of this strategy, the authors propose a numerical comparison with the direct method by taking the values of determinant parameters of cardiovascular-respiratory system for a 30 years old woman in jogging as her regular physical activity. The results are in good agreement with experimental data. 展开更多
关键词 fuzzy LOGIC optimal control MEMBERSHIP Function MEMBERSHIP DEGREE Hypoxemic-Hypoxia Pressure Carbon Dioxide Oxygen Numerical simulation
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Distribution Inventory Cost Optimization Under Grey and Fuzzy Uncertainty
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作者 LIU Dongbo HUANG Dao CHEN Yujua 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 CAS 2006年第5期1238-1242,共5页
The grey fuzzy variable was defined for the two fold uncertain parameters combining grey and fuzziness factors. On the basis of the credibility and chance measure of grey fuzzy variables, the distribution center inven... The grey fuzzy variable was defined for the two fold uncertain parameters combining grey and fuzziness factors. On the basis of the credibility and chance measure of grey fuzzy variables, the distribution center inventory uncertain programming model was presented. The grey fuzzy simulation technology can generate input-output data for the uncertain functions. The neural network trained from the inputoutput data can approximate the uncertain functions. The designed hybrid intelligent algorithm by embedding the trained neural network into genetic algorithm can optimize the general grey fuzzy programming problems. Finally, one numerical example is provided to illustrate the effectiveness of the model and the hybrid intelligent algorithm. 展开更多
关键词 grey fuzzy variable grey fuzzy simulation neural network genetic algorithm inventory control supply chain optimization
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Fuzzy Logic Approach for Solving an Optimal Control Problem of an Uninfected Hepatitis B Virus Dynamics
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作者 Jean Marie Ntaganda Marcel Gahamanyi 《Applied Mathematics》 2015年第9期1524-1537,共14页
We aimed in this paper to use fuzzy logic approach to solve a hepatitis B virus optimal control problem. The approach efficiency is tested through a numerical comparison with the direct method by taking the values of ... We aimed in this paper to use fuzzy logic approach to solve a hepatitis B virus optimal control problem. The approach efficiency is tested through a numerical comparison with the direct method by taking the values of determinant parameters of this disease for people administrating the drugs. Final results of both numerical methods are in good agreement with experimental data. 展开更多
关键词 fuzzy LOGIC optimal control MEMBERSHIP Function MEMBERSHIP DEGREE HEPATITIS B VIRUS Numerical simulation
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Fuzzy Logic Strategy for Solving an Optimal Control Problem of Glucose and Insulin in Diabetic Human
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作者 Jean Marie Ntaganda 《Open Journal of Applied Sciences》 2013年第7期421-429,共9页
This paper aims at the development of an approach integrating the fuzzy logic strategy for a glucose and insulin in diabetic human optimal control problem. To test the efficiency of this strategy, the author proposes ... This paper aims at the development of an approach integrating the fuzzy logic strategy for a glucose and insulin in diabetic human optimal control problem. To test the efficiency of this strategy, the author proposes a numerical comparison with the indirect method. The results are in good agreement with experimental data. 展开更多
关键词 fuzzy LOGIC optimal control MEMBERSHIP Function MEMBERSHIP DEGREE GLUCOSE INSULIN Numerical simulation
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Fuzzy Logic Strategy for Solving an Optimal Control Problem of Therapeutic Hepatitis C Virus Dynamics
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作者 Jean Marie Ntaganda Mahamat Saleh Daoussa Haggar Benjamin Mampassi 《Open Journal of Applied Sciences》 2015年第9期527-541,共15页
This paper aims at the development of an approach integrating the fuzzy logic strategy for a therapeutic hepatitis C virus dynamics optimal control problem. To test the efficiency of this strategy, the authors propose... This paper aims at the development of an approach integrating the fuzzy logic strategy for a therapeutic hepatitis C virus dynamics optimal control problem. To test the efficiency of this strategy, the authors propose a numerical comparison with the direct method by taking the values of determinant parameters of this disease for people administrating the drugs. The results are in good agreement with experimental data. 展开更多
关键词 fuzzy Logic optimal control MEMBERSHIP Function MEMBERSHIP Degree HEPATITIS C VIRUS Uninfected HEPATOCYTES INFECTED HEPATOCYTES Numerical simulation
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IDBO-Fuzzy-PID控制器在立磨机液压控制中的应用
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作者 李玲 刘佳芸 +2 位作者 李瑶 程福安 解妙霞 《中南大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2025年第9期3724-3736,共13页
为解决立磨机液压控制系统存在的非线性、时变性问题,本文提出了一种基于改进蜣螂算法(improved dung beetle optimizer,IDBO)的模糊PID控制器(IDBO-Fuzzy-PID)。首先,基于立磨机液压位置控制系统模型,设计模糊PID控制器以实时调整控制... 为解决立磨机液压控制系统存在的非线性、时变性问题,本文提出了一种基于改进蜣螂算法(improved dung beetle optimizer,IDBO)的模糊PID控制器(IDBO-Fuzzy-PID)。首先,基于立磨机液压位置控制系统模型,设计模糊PID控制器以实时调整控制参数;其次,针对DBO算法存在的种群多样性匮乏、全局搜索能力弱、易陷局部最优等不足,引入佳点集与反向学习、自适应繁殖偷窃及自适应混合变异3种策略进行改进,并通过多类型测试函数验证IDBO收敛速度及求解精度;最后,构建联合仿真平台,验证控制器在随机干扰与系统参数波动条件下的控制性能。研究结果表明:本文提出的IDBO-Fuzzy-PID控制器具有良好的跟踪性能与时变适应性,系统平衡点附近上升、调节时间最短,基本无超调至目标位移;在外界扰动条件下,液压杆振幅降至0.252 mm,较PID控制器降幅达71.3%,其抗干扰性能最优;在系统参数波动条件下,其稳定性未受显著影响,正弦波跟踪性能最优。该控制器通过动态调整参数以快速补偿液压杆位移的偏差,有效抑制了磨辊的波动,提升了磨粉工艺的稳定性。 展开更多
关键词 立磨机 液压控制 模糊PID控制 蜣螂优化算法 联合仿真
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Real-time multi-step prediction control for BP network with delay 被引量:8
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作者 张吉礼 欧进萍 于达仁 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2000年第2期82-86,共5页
Real time multi step prediction of BP network based on dynamical compensation of system characteristics is suggested by introducing the first and second derivatives of the system and network outputs into the network i... Real time multi step prediction of BP network based on dynamical compensation of system characteristics is suggested by introducing the first and second derivatives of the system and network outputs into the network input layer, and real time multi step prediction control is proposed for the BP network with delay on the basis of the results of real time multi step prediction, to achieve the simulation of real time fuzzy control of the delayed time system. 展开更多
关键词 DELAYED time system multi STEP prediction BP network COMPENSATION of DYNAMICAL characteristics fuzzy control simulation
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Microscopic sand production simulation and visual sanding pattern description in weakly consolidated sandstone reservoirs 被引量:5
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作者 Chang-Yin Dong Bo Zhou +4 位作者 Fan-Sheng Huang Lei Zhang Yi-Zhong Zhao Yang Song Jun-Yu Deng 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2022年第1期279-295,共17页
To visually describe the sanding pattern,this study constructs a new particle-scale microstructure model of weakly consolidated formation,and develop the corresponding methodology to simulate the sanding process and p... To visually describe the sanding pattern,this study constructs a new particle-scale microstructure model of weakly consolidated formation,and develop the corresponding methodology to simulate the sanding process and predict sand cavity shape.The microstructure model is a particle-objective model,which focuses on the random sedimentation of every sand grain.In the microstructure,every particle has its own size,sphericity and inclination angle.It is used to simulate the actual structure of cemented granular materials,which considers the heterogeneity and randomness of reservoir properties,provides the initial status for subsequent sanding simulation.With the particle detachment criteria,the microscopic simulation of sanding can be visually implemented to investigate the pattern and cavity shapes caused by sand production.The results indicate that sanding always starts initially from the borehole border,and then extends along the weakly consolidated plane,showing obvious characteristic of randomness.Three typical microscopic sanding patterns,concerning pore liquefaction,pseudo wormhole and continuous collapse,are proposed to illustrate the sanding mechanism in weakly consolidated reservoirs.The nonuniformity of sanding performance depends on the heterogeneous distribution of reservoir properties,such as rock strength and particle size.Finally,the three sanding patterns are verified by visually experimental work.The proposed integrated methodology is capable of predicting and describing the sanding cavity shape of an oil well after long-term sanding production,and providing the focus objective of future sand control measure. 展开更多
关键词 Weakly consolidated reservoir Particle-scale microstructure model Microcosmic sanding process simulation Visual sanding cavity description Sanding prediction Sand control optimization
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无线网络控制系统的Fuzzy-PD控制器设计与仿真 被引量:1
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作者 彭丽萍 郭静 彭晨 《工矿自动化》 2009年第11期33-36,共4页
基于网络控制仿真软件TrueTime以及Matlab/Simulink环境构建了一个无线网络控制系统仿真模型,对系统模型和控制策略进行了仿真实验;设计了一种Fuzzy-PD控制器,提出了一种无线网络控制器参数离线优化的方法,即利用ITAE作为重要参考指标对... 基于网络控制仿真软件TrueTime以及Matlab/Simulink环境构建了一个无线网络控制系统仿真模型,对系统模型和控制策略进行了仿真实验;设计了一种Fuzzy-PD控制器,提出了一种无线网络控制器参数离线优化的方法,即利用ITAE作为重要参考指标对Fuzzy-PD控制器进行离线调整,通过调整Fuzzy-PD控制器的转换参数改善控制器在不同网络带宽占用率下的控制性能。仿真结果验证了Fuzzy-PD控制算法优于传统的PD控制算法和Fuzzy控制算法。 展开更多
关键词 无线网络控制系统 仿真模型 控制策略 参数优化 fuzzy-PD ITAE Matlab TRUE TIME
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基于改进粒子群算法的燃料电池公交车模糊能量管理策略
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作者 彭子奇 朱志莹 +2 位作者 徐政 杨品海 杨杭栋 《电气技术》 2026年第1期57-63,72,共8页
在燃料电池系统中引入动力电池作为辅助能量源可以优化功率分配方式,提高整车经济性。对于具备燃料电池和动力电池的混合动力汽车,传统模糊能量管理策略存在主观性强、适应性差等缺陷,容易造成燃料电池功率波动剧烈、寿命缩短等问题。因... 在燃料电池系统中引入动力电池作为辅助能量源可以优化功率分配方式,提高整车经济性。对于具备燃料电池和动力电池的混合动力汽车,传统模糊能量管理策略存在主观性强、适应性差等缺陷,容易造成燃料电池功率波动剧烈、寿命缩短等问题。因此,本文在模糊逻辑控制的基础上,提出改进粒子群算法,以氢耗量最小为目标,优化隶属度函数。依托Matlab/Simulink和AVL Cruise M平台搭建仿真模型,以城市公交循环工况、重型商用车辆工况作为典型工况进行仿真实验。结果表明,所提策略能够使燃料电池的输出功率更加平稳,且能够有效降低两种工况下的氢耗量,提高了整车经济性。 展开更多
关键词 燃料电池汽车 仿真模型 能量管理策略 模糊控制 改进粒子群算法
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一种自学习Fuzzy控制器
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作者 秦丽江 金丕彦 《南京航空航天大学学报》 CAS CSCD 1994年第S1期158-162,共5页
为了提高Puzzy控制器的性能,适当调整Fuzzy控制规则是很重要的。本文利用参考Fuzzy集的概念给出了一种便于规则调整的Fuzzy控制算法。由于这种算法避免了输入和输出数值域上的离散化,所以具有较强的灵活性。为了... 为了提高Puzzy控制器的性能,适当调整Fuzzy控制规则是很重要的。本文利用参考Fuzzy集的概念给出了一种便于规则调整的Fuzzy控制算法。由于这种算法避免了输入和输出数值域上的离散化,所以具有较强的灵活性。为了估计Fuzzy控制器的性能,本文利用了参考模型。通过参考模型与被控对象输出的偏差来实时调整Fuzzy控制规则,构成了自学习Fuzzy控制器。仿真结果表明,自学习性能是令人满意的。 展开更多
关键词 模糊控制 自寻最佳系统 仿真 规则修正 自学习
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车辆半车半主动悬挂系统PSO-Fuzzy混合控制策略 被引量:1
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作者 赵羊羊 雒琦 +4 位作者 韩威 牟晓斌 田斌 马圣杰 吴向峰 《农业装备与车辆工程》 2023年第10期32-37,共6页
为了提升车辆半车半主动悬挂系统模糊控制精度,研究了一种基于PSO寻优的Fuzzy控制算法。根据车辆半车半主动悬挂系统力学原理建立动力学模型,用2个Fuzzy控制器分别控制前后转向架二系悬挂中的磁流变阻尼器,以此设计Fuzzy控制策略。利用... 为了提升车辆半车半主动悬挂系统模糊控制精度,研究了一种基于PSO寻优的Fuzzy控制算法。根据车辆半车半主动悬挂系统力学原理建立动力学模型,用2个Fuzzy控制器分别控制前后转向架二系悬挂中的磁流变阻尼器,以此设计Fuzzy控制策略。利用PSO算法对Fuzzy控制器的量化因子Ka、Kv及比例因子Ki进行优化,得到PSO-Fuzzy控制策略。MATLAB/Simulink仿真结果表明,相比Fuzzy控制,基于PSO-Fuzzy优化控制下的车辆半车半主动悬挂系统性能得到显著提高,取得了更好的控制效果。 展开更多
关键词 半车半主动悬挂系统 fuzzy控制 PSO优化 MATLAB/simulINK仿真
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基于自适应时域MPC的无人车轨迹跟踪控制 被引量:1
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作者 丁承君 耿宇坤 +2 位作者 胡健鑫 王逸桐 王镇林 《科学技术与工程》 北大核心 2025年第23期9883-9891,共9页
为了提高无人车在不同路面附着系数和车速下的轨迹跟踪控制性能,提出一种自适应时域模型预测控制(model predictive control,MPC)算法。首先,基于三自由度车辆动力学模型设计MPC轨迹跟踪控制器。其次,引入融合准反射学习和高斯变异的粒... 为了提高无人车在不同路面附着系数和车速下的轨迹跟踪控制性能,提出一种自适应时域模型预测控制(model predictive control,MPC)算法。首先,基于三自由度车辆动力学模型设计MPC轨迹跟踪控制器。其次,引入融合准反射学习和高斯变异的粒子群优化算法(particle swarm optimization,PSO)对时域参数优化,获得不同工况下的离线最优时域数据集。然后,利用自适应神经模糊推理系统(adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system,ANFIS)对数据集训练,得到能够自适应调整时域的控制系统。最后,通过Carsim和Simulink联合仿真和实车验证。结果表明:自适应时域MPC控制器在不同工况下的轨迹跟踪精度和稳定性均得到了较大幅度的提高,且该算法具有较好的实用性。 展开更多
关键词 模型预测控制 轨迹跟踪 粒子群优化算法(PSO) 自适应神经模糊推理系统(ANFIS)
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滚动预报优化调度模式下水库防洪和发电效益分析 被引量:1
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作者 黎良辉 曹志明 +3 位作者 万迪文 何中政 李邦浩 兰芳 《水利水电技术(中英文)》 北大核心 2025年第8期192-203,共12页
【目的】水库调度是目前水资源综合利用的重要非工程措施。近年来,随着水文预报技术水平的提升,结合水文预报开展水库优化调度日渐受到关注。然而水库滚动预报优化调度下防洪和发电效益影响机制尚不明晰。【方法】针对此问题,研究建立... 【目的】水库调度是目前水资源综合利用的重要非工程措施。近年来,随着水文预报技术水平的提升,结合水文预报开展水库优化调度日渐受到关注。然而水库滚动预报优化调度下防洪和发电效益影响机制尚不明晰。【方法】针对此问题,研究建立了水库滚动预报优化调度模型,采用控制变量法分析了不同的洪水量级、预见期和汛期水位动态控制上限对水库防洪和发电效益的影响,以峡江水库为对象开展实例研究。【结果】结果表明:(1)水库洪水削峰率随汛期水位动态控制上限增加呈现逐渐减小的趋势;(2)水库发电量随着汛期水位动态控制上限的增高而增大,同时最大下泄流量也在增加;(3)洪水量级越大,水库调度达到最大削峰效果所需预见期逐渐减少;(4)考虑预报不确定性和确定性来水条件下的防洪滚动预报优化调度结果差别较小。【结论】综上所述,在水库防洪滚动预报优化调度模式下,洪水量级、预见期和汛期水位动态控制上限对水库防洪和发电效益影响存在规律,结合可靠的预报信息,提高水库汛限水位在风险可控的前提下能够提高发电效益。以50 a一遇洪水为例,当预见期为72 h时,汛期水位动态控制上限为43.5 m与46 m条件相比,平均削峰率仅仅提高0.46%(约104 m^(3)/s),但平均发电量减少30.55%(约1555.57万kWh)。 展开更多
关键词 滚动预报优化调度 防洪调度 发电调度 洪水预见期 汛限水位 洪水预报 流量 数值模拟
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