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Mechanisms of ferroptosis in primary hepatocellular carcinoma and progress of artificial intelligence-based predictive modeling in hepatocellular carcinoma
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作者 Jiang-Feng Han Zi-Yao Jia +5 位作者 Xiang Fan Xue-Yan Zhao Li-Ye Cheng Yu-Xuan Xia Xiao-Ran Ji Wen-Qiao Zang 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 2025年第41期6-25,共20页
Ferroptosis,an iron-dependent form of programmed cell death,has garnered significant attention in tumor research in recent years.Its core characteristics include aberrant accumulation of lipid peroxides and impairment... Ferroptosis,an iron-dependent form of programmed cell death,has garnered significant attention in tumor research in recent years.Its core characteristics include aberrant accumulation of lipid peroxides and impairment of antioxidant defense mechanisms,such as dysfunction of glutathione peroxidase 4.These fea-tures are closely intertwined with the initiation,progression,and therapeutic resistance of hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC).This review presents a systematic overview of the fundamental molecular mechanisms underlying ferroptosis,en-compassing iron metabolism,lipid metabolism,and the antioxidant system.Fur-thermore,it summarizes the potential applications of targeting ferroptosis in liver cancer treatment,including the mechanisms of action of anticancer agents(e.g.,sorafenib)and relevant ferroptosis-related enzymes.Against the backdrop of the growing potential of artificial intelligence(AI)in liver cancer research,various AI-based predictive models for liver cancer are being increasingly developed.On the one hand,this review examines the mechanisms of ferroptosis in HCC to explore novel early detection markers for liver cancer,to provide new insights for the development of AI-based early diagnostic models.On the other hand,it syn-thesizes the current research progress of existing liver cancer predictive models while summarizing key challenges that AI predictive models may encounter in the diagnosis and treatment of HCC. 展开更多
关键词 Ferroptosis Liver cancer SORAFENIB Ferroptosis-related enzymes Artificial intelligence prediction model Ferroptosis-related noncoding RNAs
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Risk factors and predictive modeling of early postoperative liver function abnormalities
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作者 Lin Zhong Hao-Yuan Wang +5 位作者 Xiao-Na Li Qiong Ling Ning Hao Xiang-Yu Li Gao-Feng Zhao Min Liao 《World Journal of Hepatology》 2025年第8期233-243,共11页
BACKGROUND Research has shown that several factors can influence postoperative abnormal liver function;however,most studies on this issue have focused specifically on hepatic and cardiac surgeries,leaving limited rese... BACKGROUND Research has shown that several factors can influence postoperative abnormal liver function;however,most studies on this issue have focused specifically on hepatic and cardiac surgeries,leaving limited research on contributing factors in other types of surgeries.AIM To identify the risk factors for early postoperative abnormal liver function in multiple surgery types and construct a risk prediction model.METHODS This retrospective cohort study involved 3720 surgical patients from 5 surgical departments at Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine.Patients were divided into abnormal(n=108)and normal(n=3612)groups based on liver function post-surgery.Univariate analysis and LASSO regression screened variables,followed by logistic regression to identify risk factors.A prediction model was constructed based on the variables selected via logistic re-gression.The goodness-of-fit of the model was evaluated using the Hosm-er–Lemeshow test,while discriminatory ability was measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.Calibration curves were plotted to visualize the consistency between predicted probabilities and observed outcomes.RESULTS The key factors contributing to abnormal liver function after surgery include elevated aspartate aminotransferase and alanine aminotransferase levels and reduced platelet counts pre-surgery,as well as the sevoflurane use during the procedure,among others.CONCLUSION The above factors collectively represent notable risk factors for postoperative liver function injury,and the prediction model developed based on these factors demonstrates strong predictive efficacy. 展开更多
关键词 Perioperative period Abnormal liver function Risk factor Univariate analysis Risk prediction model
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Predictive Modeling of Comorbid Anxiety in Young Hypertensive Patients Based on a Machine Learning Approach
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作者 Haiyan Xiao Aide Fan +1 位作者 Zhiyong Liu Keping Yang 《Journal of Clinical and Nursing Research》 2025年第4期130-136,共7页
Objective:To analyze the risk factors of anxiety in young hypertensive patients and build a prediction model to provide a scientific basis for clinical diagnosis and treatment.Methods:According to the research content... Objective:To analyze the risk factors of anxiety in young hypertensive patients and build a prediction model to provide a scientific basis for clinical diagnosis and treatment.Methods:According to the research content,young hypertensive patients admitted to the hospital from January 2022 to December 2024 were selected as the research object and at least 950 patients were included according to the sample size calculation.According to the existence of anxiety,950 patients were divided into control group(n=650)and observation group(n=300),and the clinical data of all patients were collected for univariate analysis and multivariate Logistic regression analysis to get the risk factors of hypertension patients complicated with anxiety in.All patients were randomly divided into a training set(n=665)and a test set(n=285)according to the ratio of 7:3,and the evaluation efficiency of different prediction models was obtained by using machine learning algorithm.To evaluate the clinical application effect of the prediction model.Results:(1)Univariate analysis showed that age,BMI,education background,marital status,smoking,drinking,sleep disorder,family history of hypertension,history of diabetes,history of hyperlipidemia,history of cerebral infarction,and TC were important risk factors for young hypertensive patients complicated with anxiety.(2)Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that hypertension history,drinking history,coronary heart disease history,diabetes history,BMI,TC,and TG are important independent risk factors for young hypertensive patients complicated with anxiety.(3)Extra Trees has the highest predictive power for young people with hypertension complicated with anxiety,while Decision-Tree has the lowest predictive power.Conclusion:Hypertension history,drinking history,coronary heart disease history,diabetes history,BMI,TC,and TG are important independent risk factors that affect the anxiety of young hypertensive patients.Extra Trees model has the best prediction efficiency among different groups of models. 展开更多
关键词 Machine learning method Youth hypertension ANXIETY Prediction model
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Predictive modeling for postoperative delirium in elderly patients with abdominal malignancies using synthetic minority oversampling technique 被引量:4
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作者 Wen-Jing Hu Gang Bai +6 位作者 Yan Wang Dong-Mei Hong Jin-Hua Jiang Jia-Xun Li Yin Hua Xin-Yu Wang Ying Chen 《World Journal of Gastrointestinal Oncology》 SCIE 2024年第4期1227-1235,共9页
BACKGROUND Postoperative delirium,particularly prevalent in elderly patients after abdominal cancer surgery,presents significant challenges in clinical management.AIM To develop a synthetic minority oversampling techn... BACKGROUND Postoperative delirium,particularly prevalent in elderly patients after abdominal cancer surgery,presents significant challenges in clinical management.AIM To develop a synthetic minority oversampling technique(SMOTE)-based model for predicting postoperative delirium in elderly abdominal cancer patients.METHODS In this retrospective cohort study,we analyzed data from 611 elderly patients who underwent abdominal malignant tumor surgery at our hospital between September 2020 and October 2022.The incidence of postoperative delirium was recorded for 7 d post-surgery.Patients were divided into delirium and non-delirium groups based on the occurrence of postoperative delirium or not.A multivariate logistic regression model was used to identify risk factors and develop a predictive model for postoperative delirium.The SMOTE technique was applied to enhance the model by oversampling the delirium cases.The model’s predictive accuracy was then validated.RESULTS In our study involving 611 elderly patients with abdominal malignant tumors,multivariate logistic regression analysis identified significant risk factors for postoperative delirium.These included the Charlson comorbidity index,American Society of Anesthesiologists classification,history of cerebrovascular disease,surgical duration,perioperative blood transfusion,and postoperative pain score.The incidence rate of postoperative delirium in our study was 22.91%.The original predictive model(P1)exhibited an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.862.In comparison,the SMOTE-based logistic early warning model(P2),which utilized the SMOTE oversampling algorithm,showed a slightly lower but comparable area under the curve of 0.856,suggesting no significant difference in performance between the two predictive approaches.CONCLUSION This study confirms that the SMOTE-enhanced predictive model for postoperative delirium in elderly abdominal tumor patients shows performance equivalent to that of traditional methods,effectively addressing data imbalance. 展开更多
关键词 Elderly patients Abdominal cancer Postoperative delirium Synthetic minority oversampling technique predictive modeling Surgical outcomes
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Predictive modeling for post operative delirium in elderly 被引量:1
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作者 Chris B Lamprecht Abeer Dagra Brandon Lucke-Wold 《World Journal of Gastrointestinal Oncology》 SCIE 2024年第9期3761-3764,共4页
Delirium,a complex neurocognitive syndrome,frequently emerges following surgery,presenting diverse manifestations and considerable obstacles,especially among the elderly.This editorial delves into the intricate phenom... Delirium,a complex neurocognitive syndrome,frequently emerges following surgery,presenting diverse manifestations and considerable obstacles,especially among the elderly.This editorial delves into the intricate phenomenon of postoperative delirium(POD),shedding light on a study that explores POD in elderly individuals undergoing abdominal malignancy surgery.The study examines pathophysiology and predictive determinants,offering valuable insights into this challenging clinical scenario.Employing the synthetic minority oversampling technique,a predictive model is developed,incorporating critical risk factors such as comorbidity index,anesthesia grade,and surgical duration.There is an urgent need for accurate risk factor identification to mitigate POD incidence.While specific to elderly patients with abdominal malignancies,the findings contribute significantly to understanding delirium pathophysiology and prediction.Further research is warranted to establish standardized predictive for enhanced generalizability. 展开更多
关键词 Post-operative delirium Elderly delirium Neurocognitive syndrome NEUROTRANSMITTERS Abdominal malignancy predictive model Synthetic minority oversampling technique
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Geological Controls and Prospectivity Mapping for Manganese Ore Deposits Using Predictive Modeling Comparison:An Integration of Outcrop and Remote Sensing Data,Sinai Microplate,Egypt 被引量:1
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作者 Sara Zamzam 《Journal of Earth Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第2期588-608,共21页
One of the most controversial minerals in their origin and occurrence around the world is manganese deposits.The Abu Zenima area is rated one of the most economically important places where manganese ore deposits(Mn O... One of the most controversial minerals in their origin and occurrence around the world is manganese deposits.The Abu Zenima area is rated one of the most economically important places where manganese ore deposits(Mn ODs)are located in the southwest Sinai microplate,Egypt.These deposits are confined with the Um Bogma Formation(UBF)and the reserves of this region are relatively small.In this study,optical and radar data are used in a new challenge as an attempt to reach the closest controls and setting of Mn ODs.Moreover,Frequency Ratio(FR)and Logistic Regression(LogR)predictive models are applied to integrate different geospatial thematic maps,to predict new potential resource zones for increasing the ranges of mining quarries.Landsat8 OLI,Sentinel-2A Multi Spectral Instrument and Radar(Sentinel-1B)data are combined for mapping Mn ODs locations and their relationship with geological structures and the surrounding rocks.Band ratio,Principal and Independent Component Analysis techniques and four classification algorithms were implemented to the optical’VNIR and SWIR bands.Unusually,the interferometric processing steps for Sentinel-1 data were made for understanding the tectonic features in the area.The FR and LogR models are validated during fieldwork with known Mn ODs locations.Results indicate that processed images are capable of differentiation of UBF which broadly distributed in the central and southern parts of the area.Mn ODs possibly formed by thermal events that attributed to paleo-volcanic events before the rift stage.The high accuracy of LogR model(0.902)suggests that high Mn ODs potential zones are identified within the intersected fault zones near granitic units.This integration is recommended for discriminating hydrothermally Mn ODs in other arid geographic regions. 展开更多
关键词 manganese deposits Abu Zenima Landsat8 oli sentinel data fault zones predictive modeling remote sensing
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Automated soil resources mapping based on decision tree and Bayesian predictive modeling 被引量:1
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作者 周斌 张新刚 王人潮 《Journal of Zhejiang University Science》 EI CSCD 2004年第7期782-795,共14页
This article presents two approaches for automated building of knowledge bases of soil resources mapping. These methods used decision tree and Bayesian predictive modeling, respectively to generate knowledge from tra... This article presents two approaches for automated building of knowledge bases of soil resources mapping. These methods used decision tree and Bayesian predictive modeling, respectively to generate knowledge from training data. With these methods, building a knowledge base for automated soil mapping is easier than using the conventional knowledge acquisition approach. The knowledge bases built by these two methods were used by the knowledge classifier for soil type classification of the Longyou area, Zhejiang Province, China using TM bi-temporal imageries and GIS data. To evaluate the performance of the resultant knowledge bases, the classification results were compared to existing soil map based on field survey. The accuracy assessment and analysis of the resultant soil maps suggested that the knowledge bases built by these two methods were of good quality for mapping distribution model of soil classes over the study area. 展开更多
关键词 Soil mapping Decision tree Bayesian predictive modeling Knowledge-based classification Rule extracting
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Predictive modeling in neurocritical care using causal artificial intelligence 被引量:2
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作者 Johnny Dang Amos Lal +3 位作者 Laure Flurin Amy James Ognjen Gajic Alejandro A Rabinstein 《World Journal of Critical Care Medicine》 2021年第4期112-119,共8页
Artificial intelligence(AI)and digital twin models of various systems have long been used in industry to test products quickly and efficiently.Use of digital twins in clinical medicine caught attention with the develo... Artificial intelligence(AI)and digital twin models of various systems have long been used in industry to test products quickly and efficiently.Use of digital twins in clinical medicine caught attention with the development of Archimedes,an AI model of diabetes,in 2003.More recently,AI models have been applied to the fields of cardiology,endocrinology,and undergraduate medical education.The use of digital twins and AI thus far has focused mainly on chronic disease management,their application in the field of critical care medicine remains much less explored.In neurocritical care,current AI technology focuses on interpreting electroencephalography,monitoring intracranial pressure,and prognosticating outcomes.AI models have been developed to interpret electroencephalograms by helping to annotate the tracings,detecting seizures,and identifying brain activation in unresponsive patients.In this mini-review we describe the challenges and opportunities in building an actionable AI model pertinent to neurocritical care that can be used to educate the newer generation of clinicians and augment clinical decision making. 展开更多
关键词 Artificial intelligence Digital twin Critical care NEUROLOGY Causal artificial intelligence predictive modeling
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Analysis of the Resolution of Crime Using Predictive Modeling 被引量:1
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作者 Keshab R. Dahal Jiba N. Dahal +1 位作者 Kenneth R. Goward Oluremi Abayami 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2020年第3期600-610,共11页
There has been evidence of crime in the US since colonization. In this article, we analyze the crime statistics of San Francisco and its resolution of crime recorded from January to September of the year 2018. We defi... There has been evidence of crime in the US since colonization. In this article, we analyze the crime statistics of San Francisco and its resolution of crime recorded from January to September of the year 2018. We define resolution of crime as a target variable and study its relationship with other variables. We make several classification models to predict resolution of crime using several data mining techniques and suggest the best model for predicting resolution. 展开更多
关键词 Machine Learning Classification Model Comparison predictive modeling Resolution of Crime
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MultiDMet: Designing a Hybrid Multidimensional Metrics Framework to Predictive Modeling for Performance Evaluation and Feature Selection
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作者 Tesfay Gidey Hailu Taye Abdulkadir Edris 《Intelligent Information Management》 2023年第6期391-425,共35页
In a competitive digital age where data volumes are increasing with time, the ability to extract meaningful knowledge from high-dimensional data using machine learning (ML) and data mining (DM) techniques and making d... In a competitive digital age where data volumes are increasing with time, the ability to extract meaningful knowledge from high-dimensional data using machine learning (ML) and data mining (DM) techniques and making decisions based on the extracted knowledge is becoming increasingly important in all business domains. Nevertheless, high-dimensional data remains a major challenge for classification algorithms due to its high computational cost and storage requirements. The 2016 Demographic and Health Survey of Ethiopia (EDHS 2016) used as the data source for this study which is publicly available contains several features that may not be relevant to the prediction task. In this paper, we developed a hybrid multidimensional metrics framework for predictive modeling for both model performance evaluation and feature selection to overcome the feature selection challenges and select the best model among the available models in DM and ML. The proposed hybrid metrics were used to measure the efficiency of the predictive models. Experimental results show that the decision tree algorithm is the most efficient model. The higher score of HMM (m, r) = 0.47 illustrates the overall significant model that encompasses almost all the user’s requirements, unlike the classical metrics that use a criterion to select the most appropriate model. On the other hand, the ANNs were found to be the most computationally intensive for our prediction task. Moreover, the type of data and the class size of the dataset (unbalanced data) have a significant impact on the efficiency of the model, especially on the computational cost, and the interpretability of the parameters of the model would be hampered. And the efficiency of the predictive model could be improved with other feature selection algorithms (especially hybrid metrics) considering the experts of the knowledge domain, as the understanding of the business domain has a significant impact. 展开更多
关键词 predictive modeling Hybrid Metrics Feature Selection Model Selection Algorithm Analysis Machine Learning
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A Predictive Modeling Based on Regression and Artificial Neural Network Analysis of Laser Transformation Hardening for Cylindrical Steel Workpieces
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作者 Ahmed Ghazi Jerniti Abderazzak El Ouafi Noureddine Barka 《Journal of Surface Engineered Materials and Advanced Technology》 2016年第4期149-163,共15页
Laser surface hardening is a very promising hardening process for ferrous alloys where transformations occur during cooling after laser heating in the solid state. The characteristics of the hardened surface depend on... Laser surface hardening is a very promising hardening process for ferrous alloys where transformations occur during cooling after laser heating in the solid state. The characteristics of the hardened surface depend on the physicochemical properties of the material as well as the heating system parameters. To exploit the benefits presented by the laser hardening process, it is necessary to develop an integrated strategy to control the process parameters in order to produce desired hardened surface attributes without being forced to use the traditional and fastidious trial and error procedures. This study presents a comprehensive modelling approach for predicting the hardened surface physical and geometrical attributes. The laser surface transformation hardening of cylindrical AISI 4340 steel workpieces is modeled using the conventional regression equation method as well as artificial neural network method. The process parameters included in the study are laser power, beam scanning speed, and the workpiece rotational speed. The upper and the lower limits for each parameter are chosen considering the start of the transformation hardening and the maximum hardened zone without surface melting. The resulting models are able to predict the depths representing the maximum hardness zone, the hardness drop zone, and the overheated zone without martensite transformation. Because of its ability to model highly nonlinear problems, the ANN based model presents the best modelling results and can predict the hardness profile with good accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 Heat Treatment Laser Surface Hardening Hardness predictive modeling Regression Analysis Artificial Neural Network Cylindrical Steel Workpieces AISI 4340 Steel Nd:Yag Laser System
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Predictive modeling of 30-day readmission risk of diabetes patients by logistic regression,artificial neural network,and EasyEnsemble 被引量:1
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作者 Xiayu Xiang Chuanyi Liu +2 位作者 Yanchun Zhang Wei Xiang Binxing Fang 《Asian Pacific Journal of Tropical Medicine》 SCIE CAS 2021年第9期417-428,共12页
Objective:To determine the most influential data features and to develop machine learning approaches that best predict hospital readmissions among patients with diabetes.Methods:In this retrospective cohort study,we s... Objective:To determine the most influential data features and to develop machine learning approaches that best predict hospital readmissions among patients with diabetes.Methods:In this retrospective cohort study,we surveyed patient statistics and performed feature analysis to identify the most influential data features associated with readmissions.Classification of all-cause,30-day readmission outcomes were modeled using logistic regression,artificial neural network,and Easy Ensemble.F1 statistic,sensitivity,and positive predictive value were used to evaluate the model performance.Results:We identified 14 most influential data features(4 numeric features and 10 categorical features)and evaluated 3 machine learning models with numerous sampling methods(oversampling,undersampling,and hybrid techniques).The deep learning model offered no improvement over traditional models(logistic regression and Easy Ensemble)for predicting readmission,whereas the other two algorithms led to much smaller differences between the training and testing datasets.Conclusions:Machine learning approaches to record electronic health data offer a promising method for improving readmission prediction in patients with diabetes.But more work is needed to construct datasets with more clinical variables beyond the standard risk factors and to fine-tune and optimize machine learning models. 展开更多
关键词 Electronic health records Hospital readmissions Feature analysis predictive models Imbalanced learning DIABETES
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Predictive Modeling and Parameter Optimization of Cutting Forces During Orbital Drilling 被引量:1
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作者 单以才 李亮 +2 位作者 何宁 秦晓杰 章婷 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI 2014年第5期521-529,共9页
To optimize cutting control parameters and provide scientific evidence for controlling cutting forces,cutting force modeling and cutting control parameter optimization are researched with one tool adopted to orbital d... To optimize cutting control parameters and provide scientific evidence for controlling cutting forces,cutting force modeling and cutting control parameter optimization are researched with one tool adopted to orbital drill holes in aluminum alloy 6061.Firstly,four cutting control parameters(tool rotation speed,tool revolution speed,axial feeding pitch and tool revolution radius)and affecting cutting forces are identified after orbital drilling kinematics analysis.Secondly,hybrid level orthogonal experiment method is utilized in modeling experiment.By nonlinear regression analysis,two quadratic prediction models for axial and radial forces are established,where the above four control parameters are used as input variables.Then,model accuracy and cutting control parameters are analyzed.Upon axial and radial forces models,two optimal combinations of cutting control parameters are obtained for processing a13mm hole,corresponding to the minimum axial force and the radial force respectively.Finally,each optimal combination is applied in verification experiment.The verification experiment results of cutting force are in good agreement with prediction model,which confirms accracy of the research method in practical production. 展开更多
关键词 orbital drilling cutting force hybrid level orthogonal experiment method prediction model parameter optimization
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Predictive Modeling for Growth and Enterotoxin Production of Staphylococcus aureus in Milk 被引量:1
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作者 Dang Fang-fang Jiang Yu-jun +7 位作者 Pan Rui-li Zhuang Ke-jin Wang Hui Sun Lu-hong Wang Rui Zhao Feng Li Tie-jing Man Chao-xin 《Journal of Northeast Agricultural University(English Edition)》 CAS 2018年第3期81-89,共9页
Predictive microbiology was utilized to model Staphylococcus aureus (S. aureus) growth and staphylococcal enterotoxin A (SEA) production in milk in this study. The modifed logistic model, modifed Gompertz model an... Predictive microbiology was utilized to model Staphylococcus aureus (S. aureus) growth and staphylococcal enterotoxin A (SEA) production in milk in this study. The modifed logistic model, modifed Gompertz model and Baranyi model were applied to model growth data of S. aureus between 15℃ and 37℃. Model comparisons indicated that Baranyi model described the growth data more accurately than two others with a mean square error of 0.0129. Growth rates generated from Baranyi model matched the observed ones with a bias factor of 0.999 and an accuracy factor of 1.01, and ft a square root model with respect to temperature; other two modifed models both overestimated the observed ones. SEA amount began to be detected when the cell number reached106.4 cfu ? mL-1, and showed the linear correlation with time. Besides, the rate of SEA production ftted an exponential relationship as a function of temperature. Predictions based on the study could be applied to indicate possible growth of S. aureus and prevent the occurrence of staphylococcal food poisoning. 展开更多
关键词 Staphylococcus aureus staphylococcal enterotoxin A MILK predictive model
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The habitation Model Trend Calculation(MTC):A new effective tool for predictive modeling in archaeology
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作者 George Malaperdas Nikolaos Zacharias 《Geo-Spatial Information Science》 SCIE CSCD 2019年第4期314-331,I0008,共19页
The aim of this paper is to create and present a new archaeological predictive model via GIS,incorporating what archaeologists consider the most important criterion absent of similar past models,that of critical think... The aim of this paper is to create and present a new archaeological predictive model via GIS,incorporating what archaeologists consider the most important criterion absent of similar past models,that of critical thinking.The new model suggested in this paper is named habitation Model Trend Calculation(MTC)and is not only integrates the archaeological questions with a critical view,but it can be easily adjusted,according to the conditions or the questions concerning the archaeological community.Furthermore,it uses new topographical and geomorphological indexes such as Topographical Index(TPI),Hillslope and Landform Classification that give a new sense of the topographical and geomorphological characteristics of the examined area;therefore this model is a more powerful tool compared to older models that did not use new topographical and geomorphological indexes.The success of the created model is checked as a case study in the region of Messenia,Greece during the Mycenaean era.The region of Messenia is considered as one of the most important Mycenaean regions of Greece due to the great number and the importance of Mycenaean sites identified.For the present paper,140 habitation sites were divided into four hierarchical categories(centers,large villages,villages,and farms)based on the extent and the plurality of the tholos tombs that exist in the broader region and according to the hierarchical categorization used by the archaeologists who have studied the area.The new predictive model presented in this work can assist in solving a series of criticisms that have been expressed in the previous studies regarding such models.Additionally,in the case of Mycenaean Messenia,the model shows excellent results in relation to the habitats of the time. 展开更多
关键词 GIS Mycenaean Messenia predictive model ARCHAEOLOGY habitation Model Trend Calculation(MTC) analytical hierarchy process(AHP) spatial analysis
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Applicative limitations of sediment transport on predictive modeling in geomorphology
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作者 WEIXiang LIZhanbin 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2004年第1期94-104,共11页
Sources of uncertainty or error that arise in attempting to scale up the results of laboratory-scale sediment transport studies for predictive modeling of geomorphic systems include: (i) model imperfec... Sources of uncertainty or error that arise in attempting to scale up the results of laboratory-scale sediment transport studies for predictive modeling of geomorphic systems include: (i) model imperfection, (ii) omission of important processes, (iii) lack of knowledge of initial conditions, (iv) sensitivity to initial conditions, (v) unresolved heterogeneity, (vi) occurrence of external forcing, and (vii) inapplicability of the factor of safety concept. Sources of uncertainty that are unimportant or that can be controlled at small scales and over short time scales become important in large-scale applications and over long time scales. Control and repeatability, hallmarks of laboratory-scale experiments, are usually lacking at the large scales characteristic of geomorphology. Heterogeneity is an important concomitant of size, and tends to make large systems unique. Uniqueness implies that prediction cannot be based upon first-principles quantitative modeling alone, but must be a function of system history as well. Periodic data collection, feedback, and model updating are essential where site-specific prediction is required. 展开更多
关键词 sediment transport geomorphic systems predictive models
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Laboratory study and predictive modeling for thaw subsidence in deep permafrost
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作者 ZhaoHui Joey Yang Gabriel TPierce 《Research in Cold and Arid Regions》 CSCD 2021年第2期95-106,共12页
Oil wells on the North Slope of Alaska pass through deep deposits of permafrost. The heat transferred during their operation causes localized thawing, resulting in ground subsidence adjacent to the well casings. This ... Oil wells on the North Slope of Alaska pass through deep deposits of permafrost. The heat transferred during their operation causes localized thawing, resulting in ground subsidence adjacent to the well casings. This subsidence has a damaging effect, causing the casings to compress, deform, and potentially fail. This paper presents the results of a laboratory study of the thaw consolidation strain of deep permafrost and its predictive modeling. Tests were performed to determine strains due to thaw and post-thaw loading, as well as soil index properties. Results, together with data from an earlier testing program, were used to produce empirical models for predicting strains and ground subsidence. Four distinct strain cases were analyzed with three models by multiple regression analyses, and the best-fitting model was selected for each case. Models were further compared in a ground subsidence prediction using a shared subsurface profile. Laboratory results indicate that strains due to thaw and post-thaw testing in deep core permafrost are insensitive to depth and are more strongly influenced by stress redistributions and the presence of ice lenses and inclusions. Modeling results show that the most statistically valid and useful models were those constructed using moisture content, porosity, and degree of saturation. The applicability of these models was validated by comparison with results from Finite Element modeling. 展开更多
关键词 deep permafrost thaw consolidation strain predictive models multiple regression analysis
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A field guide for aging passerine nestlings using growth data and predictive modeling
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作者 Audrey A.Sanchez Andrew W.Bartlow +7 位作者 Allison M.Chan Jeanne M.Fair Aaron A.Skinner Kelly Hutchins Maria A.Musgrave Emily M.Phillips Brent E.Thompson Charles D.Hathcock 《Avian Research》 CSCD 2021年第2期141-149,共9页
Background:Accurate nestling age is valuable for studies on nesting strategies,productivity,and impacts on repro-ductive success.Most aging guides consist of descriptions and photographs that are time consuming to rea... Background:Accurate nestling age is valuable for studies on nesting strategies,productivity,and impacts on repro-ductive success.Most aging guides consist of descriptions and photographs that are time consuming to read and subjective to interpret.The Western Bluebird(Sialia mexicana)is a secondary cavity-nesting passerine that nests in coniferous and open deciduous forests.Nest box programs for cavity-nesting species have provided suitable nesting locations and opportunities for data collection on nestling growth and development.Methods:We developed models for predicting the age of Western Bluebird nestlings from morphometric meas-urements using model training and validation.These were developed for mass,tarsus,and two different culmen measurements.Results:Our models were accurate to within less than a day,and each model worked best for a specific age range.The mass and tarsus models can be used to estimate the ages of Western Bluebird nestlings 0-10 days old and were accurate to within 0.5 days for mass and 0.7 days for tarsus.The culmen models can be used to estimate ages of nest-lings 0-15 days old and were also accurate to within less than a day.The daily mean,minimum,and maximum values of each morphometric measurement are provided and can be used in the field for accurate nestling age estimations in real time.Conclusions:The model training and validation procedures used here demonstrate that this method can create aging models that are highly accurate.The methods can be applied to any passerine species provided sufficient nest-ling morphometric data are available. 展开更多
关键词 Cavity-nesting Nest boxes Nestling development predictive models Western Bluebird
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Modeling and control of automatic voltage regulation for a hydropower plant using advanced model predictive control 被引量:1
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作者 Ebunle Akupan Rene Willy Stephen Tounsi Fokui 《Global Energy Interconnection》 2025年第2期269-285,共17页
Fluctuating voltage levels in power grids necessitate automatic voltage regulators(AVRs)to ensure stability.This study examined the modeling and control of AVR in hydroelectric power plants using model predictive cont... Fluctuating voltage levels in power grids necessitate automatic voltage regulators(AVRs)to ensure stability.This study examined the modeling and control of AVR in hydroelectric power plants using model predictive control(MPC),which utilizes an extensive mathe-matical model of the voltage regulation system to optimize the control actions over a defined prediction horizon.This predictive feature enables MPC to minimize voltage deviations while accounting for operational constraints,thereby improving stability and performance under dynamic conditions.Thefindings were compared with those derived from an optimal proportional integral derivative(PID)con-troller designed using the artificial bee colony(ABC)algorithm.Although the ABC-PID method adjusts the PID parameters based on historical data,it may be difficult to adapt to real-time changes in system dynamics under constraints.Comprehensive simulations assessed both frameworks,emphasizing performance metrics such as disturbance rejection,response to load changes,and resilience to uncertainties.The results show that both MPC and ABC-PID methods effectively achieved accurate voltage regulation;however,MPC excelled in controlling overshoot and settling time—recording 0.0%and 0.25 s,respectively.This demonstrates greater robustness compared to conventional control methods that optimize PID parameters based on performance criteria derived from actual system behavior,which exhibited settling times and overshoots exceeding 0.41 s and 5.0%,respectively.The controllers were implemented using MATLAB/Simulink software,indicating a significant advancement for power plant engineers pursuing state-of-the-art automatic voltage regulations. 展开更多
关键词 Automatic voltage regulation Artificial bee colony Evolutionary techniques Model predictive control PID controller HYDROPOWER
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Nonlinear predictive modeling of building rates incorporating filament compression deformations in 3D printed geopolymer concrete
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作者 Wei CHEN Jinlong PAN +4 位作者 Binrong ZHU Jinsheng HAN Yamei ZHANG Yuandi QIAN Qian YU 《Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering》 2025年第3期458-476,共19页
3D printed concrete undergoes compressive deformation when printed fresh, often overlooked by traditional methods, impacting buildability prediction accuracy. In this paper, the buildability prediction model is modifi... 3D printed concrete undergoes compressive deformation when printed fresh, often overlooked by traditional methods, impacting buildability prediction accuracy. In this paper, the buildability prediction model is modified by incorporating the Mohr–Coulomb damage criterion and focusing on the compressive deformation during the printing process. The prediction model combines the following key components: 1) the utilization of bilinear stress−time loading curves to simulate nonlinear stress−time loading curves during the actual printing process;2) conducting uniaxial unconfined compression tests on cylindrical fresh specimens with different aspect ratios (ranging from 0.25 to 2) to extract the stress–strain response of the material;3) the refinement of material parameters (including elastic modulus and plastic yield stress) and their variations with aspect ratio derived from the uniaxial unconfined tests. The material experimentation results indicate that the green strength exponentially decreases with increasing aspect ratio, while Young’s modulus exhibits a linear increase with the same parameter. Experimental comparisons were made during hollow drum printing tests using two different printing materials against the Mohr–Coulomb buildability prediction model. The results from these experiments demonstrate the improved accuracy of the new model in predicting failure heights (with relative error rates of 5.4% and 10.5%). 展开更多
关键词 3D concrete printing BUILDABILITY green strength Young’s modulus nonlinear building prediction model
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