In this paper, the Schwarz Information Criterion (SIC) is used to detect the change points in polynomial regression models. Switching quadratic regression models with same amount of model deviation and switching polyn...In this paper, the Schwarz Information Criterion (SIC) is used to detect the change points in polynomial regression models. Switching quadratic regression models with same amount of model deviation and switching polynomial regression models with different amount of model deviation for different segments of regression are considered. The number of separate regimes and their corresponding regression orders are assume to be known. The method is then applied to cable data sets and the change points are successfully detected.展开更多
There is a lack of studies when dealing with the comparison between regression methods and machine learning(ML)-type methods in terms of their ability to interpret and describe how the components of a bituminous mixtu...There is a lack of studies when dealing with the comparison between regression methods and machine learning(ML)-type methods in terms of their ability to interpret and describe how the components of a bituminous mixture affect mechanistic performance.At the same time,artificial intelligence(AI)-driven approaches are becoming more popular in analysing asphalt mixtures,yet there are limited comparisons of regression and machine learning(ML)models for mechanistic performance interpretation.Consequently,a comparison of AI and statistical approaches is presented in this study for predicting bituminous mixture properties such as stiffness,fatigue resistance,and tensile strength.Some of the important input features are bitumen content,crumb rubber content,and air void content.The research uses random forest model(RFM),linear regression model(LRM),and polynomial regression model(PRM).RFM and PRM achieved an R^(2) as high as 0.94,with mean absolute error(MAE)less than 2.5,and are,therefore,good predictive models.Interestingly,RFM works best in one-third of instances,particularly when dealing with outliers,whereas traditional statistical models work better in two-thirds of instances.The results highlight AI's value in bituminous mixture optimisation,where RFM showed good prediction accuracy.In 30%of the cases,AI models outperformed the conventional statistical approaches.At the same time,analyses show that model performance varies significantly with scenarios and that even if AI models capture complex nonlinear relationships,they must not override DOE principles.展开更多
文摘In this paper, the Schwarz Information Criterion (SIC) is used to detect the change points in polynomial regression models. Switching quadratic regression models with same amount of model deviation and switching polynomial regression models with different amount of model deviation for different segments of regression are considered. The number of separate regimes and their corresponding regression orders are assume to be known. The method is then applied to cable data sets and the change points are successfully detected.
基金sustained them with this research(including Eng.Giuseppe Colicchio)and the European Commission for its financial contribution to the LIFE SILENT project“Sustainable Innovations for Long-life Environmental Noise Technologies”(LIFE22-ENV-IT-LIFE-SILENT/101114310.Acronym:LIFE22-ENV-ITLIFE SILENT)the LIFE SNEAK Project“Optimised Surfaces Against Noise and Vibrations Produced by Tramway Track and Road Traffic”(LIFE20 ENV/IT/000181.Acronym:LIFE SNEAK).
文摘There is a lack of studies when dealing with the comparison between regression methods and machine learning(ML)-type methods in terms of their ability to interpret and describe how the components of a bituminous mixture affect mechanistic performance.At the same time,artificial intelligence(AI)-driven approaches are becoming more popular in analysing asphalt mixtures,yet there are limited comparisons of regression and machine learning(ML)models for mechanistic performance interpretation.Consequently,a comparison of AI and statistical approaches is presented in this study for predicting bituminous mixture properties such as stiffness,fatigue resistance,and tensile strength.Some of the important input features are bitumen content,crumb rubber content,and air void content.The research uses random forest model(RFM),linear regression model(LRM),and polynomial regression model(PRM).RFM and PRM achieved an R^(2) as high as 0.94,with mean absolute error(MAE)less than 2.5,and are,therefore,good predictive models.Interestingly,RFM works best in one-third of instances,particularly when dealing with outliers,whereas traditional statistical models work better in two-thirds of instances.The results highlight AI's value in bituminous mixture optimisation,where RFM showed good prediction accuracy.In 30%of the cases,AI models outperformed the conventional statistical approaches.At the same time,analyses show that model performance varies significantly with scenarios and that even if AI models capture complex nonlinear relationships,they must not override DOE principles.
