The impact of different global and local variables in urban development processes requires a systematic study to fully comprehend the underlying complexities in them.The interplay between such variables is crucial for...The impact of different global and local variables in urban development processes requires a systematic study to fully comprehend the underlying complexities in them.The interplay between such variables is crucial for modelling urban growth to closely reflects reality.Despite extensive research,ambiguity remains about how variations in these input variables influence urban densification.In this study,we conduct a global sensitivity analysis(SA)using a multinomial logistic regression(MNL)model to assess the model’s explanatory and predictive power.We examine the influence of global variables,including spatial resolution,neighborhood size,and density classes,under different input combinations at a provincial scale to understand their impact on densification.Additionally,we perform a stepwise regression to identify the significant explanatory variables that are important for understanding densification in the Brussels Metropolitan Area(BMA).Our results indicate that a finer spatial resolution of 50 m and 100 m,smaller neighborhood size of 5×5 and 3×3,and specific density classes—namely 3(non-built-up,low and high built-up)and 4(non-built-up,low,medium and high built-up)—optimally explain and predict urban densification.In line with the same,the stepwise regression reveals that models with a coarser resolution of 300 m lack significant variables,reflecting a lower explanatory power for densification.This approach aids in identifying optimal and significant global variables with higher explanatory power for understanding and predicting urban densification.Furthermore,these findings are reproducible in a global urban context,offering valuable insights for planners,modelers and geographers in managing future urban growth and minimizing modelling.展开更多
In clinical research,subgroup analysis can help identify patient groups that respond better or worse to specific treatments,improve therapeutic effect and safety,and is of great significance in precision medicine.This...In clinical research,subgroup analysis can help identify patient groups that respond better or worse to specific treatments,improve therapeutic effect and safety,and is of great significance in precision medicine.This article considers subgroup analysis methods for longitudinal data containing multiple covariates and biomarkers.We divide subgroups based on whether a linear combination of these biomarkers exceeds a predetermined threshold,and assess the heterogeneity of treatment effects across subgroups using the interaction between subgroups and exposure variables.Quantile regression is used to better characterize the global distribution of the response variable and sparsity penalties are imposed to achieve variable selection of covariates and biomarkers.The effectiveness of our proposed methodology for both variable selection and parameter estimation is verified through random simulations.Finally,we demonstrate the application of this method by analyzing data from the PA.3 trial,further illustrating the practicality of the method proposed in this paper.展开更多
Damage to electrical equipment in an earthquake can lead to power outage of power systems.Seismic fragility analysis is a common method to assess the seismic reliability of electrical equipment.To further guarantee th...Damage to electrical equipment in an earthquake can lead to power outage of power systems.Seismic fragility analysis is a common method to assess the seismic reliability of electrical equipment.To further guarantee the efficiency of analysis,multi-source uncertainties including the structure itself and seismic excitation need to be considered.A method for seismic fragility analysis that reflects structural and seismic parameter uncertainty was developed in this study.The proposed method used a random sampling method based on Latin hypercube sampling(LHS)to account for the structure parameter uncertainty and the group structure characteristics of electrical equipment.Then,logistic Lasso regression(LLR)was used to find the seismic fragility surface based on double ground motion intensity measures(IM).The seismic fragility based on the finite element model of an±1000 kV main transformer(UHVMT)was analyzed using the proposed method.The results show that the seismic fragility function obtained by this method can be used to construct the relationship between the uncertainty parameters and the failure probability.The seismic fragility surface did not only provide the probabilities of seismic damage states under different IMs,but also had better stability than the fragility curve.Furthermore,the sensitivity analysis of the structural parameters revealed that the elastic module of the bushing and the height of the high-voltage bushing may have a greater influence.展开更多
This article presents a mathematical model addressing a scenario involving a hybrid nanofluid flow between two infinite parallel plates.One plate remains stationary,while the other moves downward at a squeezing veloci...This article presents a mathematical model addressing a scenario involving a hybrid nanofluid flow between two infinite parallel plates.One plate remains stationary,while the other moves downward at a squeezing velocity.The space between these plates contains a Darcy-Forchheimer porous medium.A mixture of water-based fluid with gold(Au)and silicon dioxide(Si O2)nanoparticles is formulated.In contrast to the conventional Fourier's heat flux equation,this study employs the Cattaneo-Christov heat flux equation.A uniform magnetic field is applied perpendicular to the flow direction,invoking magnetohydrodynamic(MHD)effects.Further,the model accounts for Joule heating,which is the heat generated when an electric current passes through the fluid.The problem is solved via NDSolve in MATHEMATICA.Numerical and statistical analyses are conducted to provide insights into the behavior of the nanomaterials between the parallel plates with respect to the flow,energy transport,and skin friction.The findings of this study have potential applications in enhancing cooling systems and optimizing thermal management strategies.It is observed that the squeezing motion generates additional pressure gradients within the fluid,which enhances the flow rate but reduces the frictional drag.Consequently,the fluid is pushed more vigorously between the plates,increasing the flow velocity.As the fluid experiences higher flow rates due to the increased squeezing effect,it spends less time in the region between the plates.The thermal relaxation,however,abruptly changes the temperature,leading to a decrease in the temperature fluctuations.展开更多
Objective To explore the clinical characteristics and methods for syndrome differentiation prediction,as well as to construct a predictive model for Qi deficiency and blood stasis syndrome in patients with acute ische...Objective To explore the clinical characteristics and methods for syndrome differentiation prediction,as well as to construct a predictive model for Qi deficiency and blood stasis syndrome in patients with acute ischemic stroke(AIS).Methods This study employed a retrospective case-control design to analyze patients with AIS who received inpatient treatment at the Neurology Department of The First Hospital of Hunan University of Chinese Medicine from January 1,2013 to December 31,2022.AIS patients meeting the diagnostic criteria for Qi deficiency and blood stasis syndrome were stratified into case group,while those without Qi deficiency and blood stasis syndrome were stratified into control group.The demographic characteristics(age and gender),clinical parameters[time from onset to admission,National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale(NIHSS)score,and blood pressure],past medical history,traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)diagnostic characteristics(tongue and pulse),neurological symptoms and signs,imaging findings[magnetic resonance imaging-diffusion weighted imaging(MRI-DWI)],and biochemical indicators of the two groups were collected and compared.The indicators with statistical difference(P<0.05)in univariate analysis were included in multivariate logistic regression analysis to evaluate their predictive value for the diagnosis of Qi deficiency and blood stasis syndrome,and the predictive model was constructed by receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis.Results The study included 1035 AIS patients,with 404 cases in case group and 631 cases in control group.Compared with control group,patients in case group were significantly older,had extended onset-to-admission time,lower diastolic blood pressure,and lower NIHSS scores(P<0.05).Case group showed lower incidence of hypertension history(P<0.05).Regarding tongue and pulse characteristics,pale and dark tongue colors,white tongue coating,fine pulse,astringent pulse,and sinking pulse were more common in case group.Imaging examinations demonstrated higher proportions of centrum semiovale infarction,cerebral atrophy,and vertebral artery stenosis in case group(P<0.05).Among biochemical indicators,case group showed higher proportions of elevated fasting blood glucose and glycated hemoglobin(HbA1c),while lower proportions of elevated white blood cell count,reduced hemoglobin,and reduced high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C)(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified significant predictors for Qi deficiency and blood stasis syndrome including:fine pulse[odds ratio(OR)=4.38],astringent pulse(OR=3.67),superficial sensory abnormalities(OR=1.86),centrum semiovale infarction(OR=1.57),cerebral atrophy(OR=1.55),vertebral artery stenosis(OR=1.62),and elevated HbA1c(OR=3.52).The ROC curve analysis of the comprehensive prediction model yielded an area under the curve(AUC)of 0.878[95%confidence interval(CI)=0.855-0.900].Conclusion This study finds out that Qi deficiency and blood stasis syndrome represents one of the primary types of AIS.Fine pulse,astringent pulse,superficial sensory abnormalities,centrum semiovale infarction,cerebral atrophy,vertebral artery stenosis,elevated blood glucose,elevated HbA1c,pale and dark tongue colors,and white tongue coating are key objective diagnostic indicators for the syndrome differentiation of AIS with Qi deficiency and blood stasis syndrome.Based on these indicators,a syndrome differentiation prediction model has been developed,offering a more objective basis for clinical diagnosis,and help to rapidly identify this syndrome in clinical practice and reduce misdiagnosis and missed diagnosis.展开更多
Taking into account the characteristics of non-Newtonian fluids and the influence of latent heat of wax crystallization,this study establishes physical and mathematical models for the synergy of tubular heating and me...Taking into account the characteristics of non-Newtonian fluids and the influence of latent heat of wax crystallization,this study establishes physical and mathematical models for the synergy of tubular heating and mechanical stirring during the waxy crude oil heating process.Numerical calculations are conducted using the sliding grid technique and FVM.The focus of this study is on the impact of stirring rate(τ),horizontal deflection angle(θ1),vertical deflection angle(θ2),and stirring diameter(D)on the heating effect of crude oil.Our results show that asτincreases from 200 rpm to 500 rpm and D increases from 400 mm to 600 mm,there is an improvement in the average crude oil temperature and temperature uniformity.Additionally,heating efficiency increases by 0.5%and 1%,while the volume of the low-temperature region decreases by 57.01 m^(3) and 36.87 m3,respectively.Asθ1 andθ2 increase from 0°to 12°,the average crude oil temperature,temperature uniformity,and heating efficiency decrease,while the volume of the low-temperature region remains basically the same.Grey correlation analysis is used to rank the importance of stirring parameters in the following order:τ>θ1>θ2>D.Subsequently,multiple regression analysis is used to quantitatively describe the relationship between different stirring parameters and heat transfer evaluation indices through equations.Finally,based on entropy generation minimization,the stirring parameters with optimal heat transfer performance are obtained when τ=350 rpm,θ1=θ2=0°,and D=500 mm.展开更多
Traditionally,passenger comfort in vehicles is perceived as being most influenced by acceleration and jerk.Consequently,the current research primarily focuses on developing control algorithms to limit the maximum acce...Traditionally,passenger comfort in vehicles is perceived as being most influenced by acceleration and jerk.Consequently,the current research primarily focuses on developing control algorithms to limit the maximum acceleration and jerk of the vehicle in order to improve passenger comfort.However,naturalistic driving studies demonstrate that such simple characteristics are insufficient for accurately evaluating passenger comfort.This study identifies motion complexity as a key factor of passenger comfort.A series of naturalistic driving studies are conducted,during which passenger comfort is assessed using a 5-point Likert scale.Moreover,a real-time passenger comfort measurement based on electromyography(EMG)and stepwise regression is proposed to facilitate seamless data collection.Time-series features representing motion complexity are then introduced to better describe passenger comfort.Hierarchical regression confirms that simple characteristics of motion are insufficient to explain passenger comfort,and shows that the proposed motion complexity features have a substantial effect on passenger comfort.Finally,a machine learning-based real-time passenger comfort estimation method is developed according to the foregoing findings.Experimental results show that the proposed method can accurately estimate passenger comfort in real-time using only vehicle motion information.The findings of this study suggest that vehicle motion complexity should be considered in future passenger comfort studies.展开更多
The spatial distribution of overburden layer thickness(OLT)is crucial for landslide susceptibility prediction and slope stability analysis.Due to OLT spatial heterogeneity in hillslope regions,combined with the diffic...The spatial distribution of overburden layer thickness(OLT)is crucial for landslide susceptibility prediction and slope stability analysis.Due to OLT spatial heterogeneity in hillslope regions,combined with the difficulty and time consumption of OLT sample collection,accurately predicting OLT distribution remains a challenging.To address this,a novel framework has been developed.First,OLT samples are collected through field surveys,remote sensing,and geological drilling.Next,the heterogeneity of OLT’s spatial distribution is analyzed using the probability distribution of OLT samples and their horizontal and vertical distributions.The OLT samples are categorized and the small sample categories are expanded using the synthetic minority over-sampling technique(SMOTE).The slope position is selected as a key conditioning factor.Subsequently,16 conditioning factors are applied to construct OLT prediction model using the random forest regression algorithm.Weights are assigned to each OLT sample category to balance the uneven distribution of sample sizes.Finally,the Pearson correlation coefficient,mean absolute error(MAE),root mean square error(RMSE),and Lin’s concordance correlation coefficient(Lin’s CCC)are employed to validate the OLT prediction results.The Huangtan town serves as the case study.Results show:(1)heterogeneity analysis,SMOTE-based OLT sample expansion strategy and slope position selection can significantly mitigate the effect of spatial heterogeneity on OLT prediction.(2)The Pearson correlation coefficient,RMSE,MAE and Lin’s CCC values are 0.84,1.173,1.378 and 0.804,respectively,indicating excellent prediction performance.This research provides an effective solution for predicting OLT distribution in hillslope regions.展开更多
Landslides are significant natural geological hazards.Landslide susceptibility evaluation involves the quantitative assessment and prediction of potential landslide locations and their probabilities.Research has explo...Landslides are significant natural geological hazards.Landslide susceptibility evaluation involves the quantitative assessment and prediction of potential landslide locations and their probabilities.Research has explored susceptibility assessment methods based on spatial-scale analysis.This evaluation integrates two models—global and local scale—using a CNN model and a PSO-CNN coupled model.Key aspects include selecting evaluation factors and optimizing model parameters for landslide susceptibility at different scales.A major focus of current landslide research is utilizing prediction results to enhance prevention and control measures.展开更多
In oil and gas exploration,elucidating the complex interdependencies among geological variables is paramount.Our study introduces the application of sophisticated regression analysis method at the forefront,aiming not...In oil and gas exploration,elucidating the complex interdependencies among geological variables is paramount.Our study introduces the application of sophisticated regression analysis method at the forefront,aiming not just at predicting geophysical logging curve values but also innovatively mitigate hydrocarbon depletion observed in geochemical logging.Through a rigorous assessment,we explore the efficacy of eight regression models,bifurcated into linear and nonlinear groups,to accommodate the multifaceted nature of geological datasets.Our linear model suite encompasses the Standard Equation,Ridge Regression,Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator,and Elastic Net,each presenting distinct advantages.The Standard Equation serves as a foundational benchmark,whereas Ridge Regression implements penalty terms to counteract overfitting,thus bolstering model robustness in the presence of multicollinearity.The Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator for variable selection functions to streamline models,enhancing their interpretability,while Elastic Net amalgamates the merits of Ridge Regression and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator,offering a harmonized solution to model complexity and comprehensibility.On the nonlinear front,Gradient Descent,Kernel Ridge Regression,Support Vector Regression,and Piecewise Function-Fitting methods introduce innovative approaches.Gradient Descent assures computational efficiency in optimizing solutions,Kernel Ridge Regression leverages the kernel trick to navigate nonlinear patterns,and Support Vector Regression is proficient in forecasting extremities,pivotal for exploration risk assessment.The Piecewise Function-Fitting approach,tailored for geological data,facilitates adaptable modeling of variable interrelations,accommodating abrupt data trend shifts.Our analysis identifies Ridge Regression,particularly when augmented by Piecewise Function-Fitting,as superior in recouping hydrocarbon losses,and underscoring its utility in resource quantification refinement.Meanwhile,Kernel Ridge Regression emerges as a noteworthy strategy in ameliorating porosity-logging curve prediction for well A,evidencing its aptness for intricate geological structures.This research attests to the scientific ascendancy and broad-spectrum relevance of these regression techniques over conventional methods while heralding new horizons for their deployment in the oil and gas sector.The insights garnered from these advanced modeling strategies are set to transform geological and engineering practices in hydrocarbon prediction,evaluation,and recovery.展开更多
In view of the composition analysis and identification of ancient glass products, L1 regularization, K-Means cluster analysis, elbow rule and other methods were comprehensively used to build logical regression, cluste...In view of the composition analysis and identification of ancient glass products, L1 regularization, K-Means cluster analysis, elbow rule and other methods were comprehensively used to build logical regression, cluster analysis, hyper-parameter test and other models, and SPSS, Python and other tools were used to obtain the classification rules of glass products under different fluxes, sub classification under different chemical compositions, hyper-parameter K value test and rationality analysis. Research can provide theoretical support for the protection and restoration of ancient glass relics.展开更多
[Objectives] To analyze the influencing factors of fixed defects in patients with catheter fixation in clinical nursing work, in order to provide the best catheter fixation nursing plan for patients.[Methods] 176 inpa...[Objectives] To analyze the influencing factors of fixed defects in patients with catheter fixation in clinical nursing work, in order to provide the best catheter fixation nursing plan for patients.[Methods] 176 inpatients with indwelling catheter from surgical system of Taihe Hospital in Shiyan City from August 2022 to March 2023 were selected. Using a retrospective analysis method, the influencing factors of catheter fixation defects in the study subjects were divided into two categories based on objective characteristics: type I non modifiable influencing factors and type II modifiable influencing factors. Using the standard for catheter fixation defects, whether the patient had catheter fixation defects was determined. After classified and statistically analyzed item by item, binary Logistic multiple regression analysis was used to identify the influencing factors.[Results] The occurrence of catheter fixation defects in patients with catheter fixation was related to factors such as whether the patient was evaluated before fixation, whether the fixation method was standardized and systematic, whether there was sufficient communication between nurses and patients, and the patient s knowledge of catheter fixation. It was also influenced by factors such as the patient s age, catheterization site, catheterization number, catheterization duration, where there was a consciousness disorder, educational level, and external environmental temperature.[Conclusions] Early attention to the key factors affecting patients with catheter fixation defects can effectively prevent adverse factors and provide patients with the best catheter fixation nursing plan to improve nursing quality.展开更多
Road traffic crashes are becoming thorny issues being faced worldwide.Traffic crashes are spatiotemporal events and the research on the spatiotemporal patterns and variation trends of traffic crashes has been carried ...Road traffic crashes are becoming thorny issues being faced worldwide.Traffic crashes are spatiotemporal events and the research on the spatiotemporal patterns and variation trends of traffic crashes has been carried out.However,the impact of built environment on traffic crash spatiotemporal trends has not received much attention.Moreover,the spatial non-stationarity between the variation trends of traffic crashes and their influencing factors is usually neglected.To make up for the lack of analysis of built environment factors influencing spatiotemporal hotspot trends in traffic crashes,this paper proposed a method of“ST-GWLR”for analyzing the influence of built environment factors on spatiotemporal hotspot trends of traffic crashes by combining the spatiotemporal hotspot trend analysis and Geographically Weighted Logistic Regression(GWLR)modeling methods.Firstly,the traffic crash spatiotemporal hotspot trends were explored using the space-time cube model,hotspot analysis,and Mann-Kendall trend test.Then,the GWLR was introduced to capture the spatial non-stationarity neglected by the classic Global Logistic Regression(GLR)model,to improve the accuracy of the model estimation.GWLR model is used for the first time to analyze the significant local correlation between the traffic crash spatiotemporal hotspot trends and the built environment factors,to accurately and effectively identify the built environment factors that have significant influences on the hotspot trends of traffic crashes.The performance of the GWLR models and GLR models was examined and compared sufficiently.The results showed that the proposed ST-GWLR,which captured spatial non-stationarity,performed better than the classic GLR combined with spatiotemporal analysis,and improved the prediction accuracy of the models by 14.9%,13.9%,and 15.1%,respectively.There were significant local correlations between intensifying hotspots and persistent hotspots of traffic crashes and the built environment factors.The findings of this paper have positive implications for traffic safety management and urban built environment planning.展开更多
Because of the difficulty to obtain the traffic flow information of lanes at non-detector intersections in most metropolises of the world,based on the relationships between the lanes of signal-controlled intersections...Because of the difficulty to obtain the traffic flow information of lanes at non-detector intersections in most metropolises of the world,based on the relationships between the lanes of signal-controlled intersections,cluster analysis and stepwise regression are integrated to predict the traffic volume of lanes at non-detector isolated controlled intersections.First cluster analysis is used to cluster the lanes of non-detector isolated signal-controlled intersections and the lanes of all signal-controlled intersections with detectors.Then, by the results of cluster analysis,the traffic volume samples are selected randomly and stepwise regression is used to predict the traffic volume of lanes at non-detector isolated signal-controlled intersections.The method is tested by the traffic volume data of lanes of the road network of Nanjing city.The problem of predicting the traffic volume of lanes at non-detector isolated signal-controlled intersections was resolved and can be widely used in urban traffic flow guidance and urban traffic control in cities without enough intersections equipped with detectors.展开更多
[Objective] The research aimed to study the significant influence factors of the population variations of oriental fruit fly. [Method] Using stepwise regression analysis, the population variations law of oriental frui...[Objective] The research aimed to study the significant influence factors of the population variations of oriental fruit fly. [Method] Using stepwise regression analysis, the population variations law of oriental fruit fly in Jianshui County of Yunnan province and the meteorological factors that caused its occurrence were analyzed. And the regression model was built. Finally, the regression model was tested on the basis of the data in Jianshui County of Yunnan Province during 2004-2006.[Result] The main meteorological factors that influenced the occurrence of oriental fruit fly were relative humidity, the lowest monthly temperature and rainfall. [Conclusion] This study will provide certain reference for the prediction researches on the time, quantity and occurrence peak of oriental fruit fly.展开更多
BACKGROUND Diabetic retinopathy(DR)is a common complication of diabetes and the leading cause of visual impairment and blindness.It has a serious impact on the mental and physical health of patients.AIM To evaluate th...BACKGROUND Diabetic retinopathy(DR)is a common complication of diabetes and the leading cause of visual impairment and blindness.It has a serious impact on the mental and physical health of patients.AIM To evaluate the anxiety and depression status of patients with DR,we examined their influencing factors.METHODS Two hundred patients with DR admitted to the outpatient and inpatient departments of ophthalmology and endocrinology at our hospital were selected.A questionnaire was conducted to collect general patient information.Depression and anxiety were assessed using the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 and Sevenitem Generalized Anxiety Disorder scale,respectively.The diabetes specific quality of life scale and Social Support Rating Scale were used to assess the quality of life of patients with DR and their social support,respectively.Logistic regression analysis was used to assess the correlations.RESULTS The prevalence of depression and anxiety were 26%(52/200)and 14%(28/200),respectively.Regression analysis revealed that social support was associated with depression[odds ratio(OR)=0.912,95%confidence interval(CI):0.893-0.985]and anxiety(OR=0.863,95%CI:0.672-0.994).Good quality of life(diabetes specific quality of life scale score<40)was a protective factor against anxiety(OR=0.738,95%CI:0.567-0.936)and depression(OR=0.573,95%CI:0.4566-0.784).Visual impairment significantly increased the likelihood of depression(OR=1.198,95%CI:1.143-1.324)and anxiety(OR=1.746,95%CI:1.282-2.359).Additionally,prolonged diabetes duration and history of hypertension were significant risk factors for both conditions,along with a family history of diabetes.CONCLUSION Key factors influencing anxiety and depression in patients with DR include social support,quality of life,visual impairment,duration of diabetes,family history of diabetes,and history of hypertension.展开更多
Laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy(LIBS)has become a widely used atomic spectroscopic technique for rapid coal analysis.However,the vast amount of spectral information in LIBS contains signal uncertainty,which can a...Laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy(LIBS)has become a widely used atomic spectroscopic technique for rapid coal analysis.However,the vast amount of spectral information in LIBS contains signal uncertainty,which can affect its quantification performance.In this work,we propose a hybrid variable selection method to improve the performance of LIBS quantification.Important variables are first identified using Pearson's correlation coefficient,mutual information,least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)and random forest,and then filtered and combined with empirical variables related to fingerprint elements of coal ash content.Subsequently,these variables are fed into a partial least squares regression(PLSR).Additionally,in some models,certain variables unrelated to ash content are removed manually to study the impact of variable deselection on model performance.The proposed hybrid strategy was tested on three LIBS datasets for quantitative analysis of coal ash content and compared with the corresponding data-driven baseline method.It is significantly better than the variable selection only method based on empirical knowledge and in most cases outperforms the baseline method.The results showed that on all three datasets the hybrid strategy for variable selection combining empirical knowledge and data-driven algorithms achieved the lowest root mean square error of prediction(RMSEP)values of 1.605,3.478 and 1.647,respectively,which were significantly lower than those obtained from multiple linear regression using only 12 empirical variables,which are 1.959,3.718 and 2.181,respectively.The LASSO-PLSR model with empirical support and 20 selected variables exhibited a significantly improved performance after variable deselection,with RMSEP values dropping from 1.635,3.962 and 1.647 to 1.483,3.086 and 1.567,respectively.Such results demonstrate that using empirical knowledge as a support for datadriven variable selection can be a viable approach to improve the accuracy and reliability of LIBS quantification.展开更多
A multivariable regression analysis of the in-situ stress field, which considers the non-linear deformation behavior of faults in practical projects, is presented based on a newly developed three-dimensional displacem...A multivariable regression analysis of the in-situ stress field, which considers the non-linear deformation behavior of faults in practical projects, is presented based on a newly developed three-dimensional displacement discontinuity method （DDM） program. The Bar- ton-Bandis model and the Kulhaway model are adopted as the normal and the tangential deformation model of faults, respectively, where the Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion is satisfied. In practical projects, the values of the mechanical parameters of rock and faults are restricted in a bounded range for in-situ test, and the optimal mechanical parameters are obtained from this range by a loop. Comparing with the traditional finite element method （FEM）, the DDM regression results are more accurate.展开更多
The blast-induced ground vibration prediction using scaled distance regression analysis is one of the most popular methods employed by engineers for many decades. It uses the maximum charge per delay and distance of m...The blast-induced ground vibration prediction using scaled distance regression analysis is one of the most popular methods employed by engineers for many decades. It uses the maximum charge per delay and distance of monitoring as the major factors for predicting the peak particle velocity(PPV). It is established that the PPV is caused by the maximum charge per delay which varies with the distance of monitoring and site geology. While conducting a production blasting, the waves induced by blasting of different holes interfere destructively with each other, which may result in higher PPV than the predicted value with scaled distance regression analysis. This phenomenon of interference/superimposition of waves is not considered while using scaled distance regression analysis. In this paper, an attempt has been made to compare the predicted values of blast-induced ground vibration using multi-hole trial blasting with single-hole blasting in an opencast coal mine under the same geological condition. Further,the modified prediction equation for the multi-hole trial blasting was obtained using single-hole regression analysis. The error between predicted and actual values of multi-hole blast-induced ground vibration was found to be reduced by 8.5%.展开更多
This paper presents an analysis to forecast the loads of an isolated area where the history of load is not available or the history may not represent the realistic demand of electricity. The analysis is done through l...This paper presents an analysis to forecast the loads of an isolated area where the history of load is not available or the history may not represent the realistic demand of electricity. The analysis is done through linear regression and based on the identification of factors on which electrical load growth depends. To determine the identification factors, areas are selected whose histories of load growth rate known and the load growth deciding factors are similar to those of the isolated area. The proposed analysis is applied to an isolated area of Bangladesh, called Swandip where a past history of electrical load demand is not available and also there is no possibility of connecting the area with the main land grid system.展开更多
基金funded by the INTER program and cofunded by the Fond National de la Recherche,Luxembourg(FNR)and the Fund for Scientific Research-FNRS,Belgium(F.R.S-FNRS),T.0233.20-‘Sustainable Residential Densification’project(SusDens,2020–2024).
文摘The impact of different global and local variables in urban development processes requires a systematic study to fully comprehend the underlying complexities in them.The interplay between such variables is crucial for modelling urban growth to closely reflects reality.Despite extensive research,ambiguity remains about how variations in these input variables influence urban densification.In this study,we conduct a global sensitivity analysis(SA)using a multinomial logistic regression(MNL)model to assess the model’s explanatory and predictive power.We examine the influence of global variables,including spatial resolution,neighborhood size,and density classes,under different input combinations at a provincial scale to understand their impact on densification.Additionally,we perform a stepwise regression to identify the significant explanatory variables that are important for understanding densification in the Brussels Metropolitan Area(BMA).Our results indicate that a finer spatial resolution of 50 m and 100 m,smaller neighborhood size of 5×5 and 3×3,and specific density classes—namely 3(non-built-up,low and high built-up)and 4(non-built-up,low,medium and high built-up)—optimally explain and predict urban densification.In line with the same,the stepwise regression reveals that models with a coarser resolution of 300 m lack significant variables,reflecting a lower explanatory power for densification.This approach aids in identifying optimal and significant global variables with higher explanatory power for understanding and predicting urban densification.Furthermore,these findings are reproducible in a global urban context,offering valuable insights for planners,modelers and geographers in managing future urban growth and minimizing modelling.
基金Supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Province(2022J011177,2024J01903)the Key Project of Fujian Provincial Education Department(JZ230054)。
文摘In clinical research,subgroup analysis can help identify patient groups that respond better or worse to specific treatments,improve therapeutic effect and safety,and is of great significance in precision medicine.This article considers subgroup analysis methods for longitudinal data containing multiple covariates and biomarkers.We divide subgroups based on whether a linear combination of these biomarkers exceeds a predetermined threshold,and assess the heterogeneity of treatment effects across subgroups using the interaction between subgroups and exposure variables.Quantile regression is used to better characterize the global distribution of the response variable and sparsity penalties are imposed to achieve variable selection of covariates and biomarkers.The effectiveness of our proposed methodology for both variable selection and parameter estimation is verified through random simulations.Finally,we demonstrate the application of this method by analyzing data from the PA.3 trial,further illustrating the practicality of the method proposed in this paper.
基金National Key R&D Program of China under Grant Nos.2018YFC1504504 and 2018YFC0809404。
文摘Damage to electrical equipment in an earthquake can lead to power outage of power systems.Seismic fragility analysis is a common method to assess the seismic reliability of electrical equipment.To further guarantee the efficiency of analysis,multi-source uncertainties including the structure itself and seismic excitation need to be considered.A method for seismic fragility analysis that reflects structural and seismic parameter uncertainty was developed in this study.The proposed method used a random sampling method based on Latin hypercube sampling(LHS)to account for the structure parameter uncertainty and the group structure characteristics of electrical equipment.Then,logistic Lasso regression(LLR)was used to find the seismic fragility surface based on double ground motion intensity measures(IM).The seismic fragility based on the finite element model of an±1000 kV main transformer(UHVMT)was analyzed using the proposed method.The results show that the seismic fragility function obtained by this method can be used to construct the relationship between the uncertainty parameters and the failure probability.The seismic fragility surface did not only provide the probabilities of seismic damage states under different IMs,but also had better stability than the fragility curve.Furthermore,the sensitivity analysis of the structural parameters revealed that the elastic module of the bushing and the height of the high-voltage bushing may have a greater influence.
文摘This article presents a mathematical model addressing a scenario involving a hybrid nanofluid flow between two infinite parallel plates.One plate remains stationary,while the other moves downward at a squeezing velocity.The space between these plates contains a Darcy-Forchheimer porous medium.A mixture of water-based fluid with gold(Au)and silicon dioxide(Si O2)nanoparticles is formulated.In contrast to the conventional Fourier's heat flux equation,this study employs the Cattaneo-Christov heat flux equation.A uniform magnetic field is applied perpendicular to the flow direction,invoking magnetohydrodynamic(MHD)effects.Further,the model accounts for Joule heating,which is the heat generated when an electric current passes through the fluid.The problem is solved via NDSolve in MATHEMATICA.Numerical and statistical analyses are conducted to provide insights into the behavior of the nanomaterials between the parallel plates with respect to the flow,energy transport,and skin friction.The findings of this study have potential applications in enhancing cooling systems and optimizing thermal management strategies.It is observed that the squeezing motion generates additional pressure gradients within the fluid,which enhances the flow rate but reduces the frictional drag.Consequently,the fluid is pushed more vigorously between the plates,increasing the flow velocity.As the fluid experiences higher flow rates due to the increased squeezing effect,it spends less time in the region between the plates.The thermal relaxation,however,abruptly changes the temperature,leading to a decrease in the temperature fluctuations.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(U22A20377)Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province of China(23C0168).
文摘Objective To explore the clinical characteristics and methods for syndrome differentiation prediction,as well as to construct a predictive model for Qi deficiency and blood stasis syndrome in patients with acute ischemic stroke(AIS).Methods This study employed a retrospective case-control design to analyze patients with AIS who received inpatient treatment at the Neurology Department of The First Hospital of Hunan University of Chinese Medicine from January 1,2013 to December 31,2022.AIS patients meeting the diagnostic criteria for Qi deficiency and blood stasis syndrome were stratified into case group,while those without Qi deficiency and blood stasis syndrome were stratified into control group.The demographic characteristics(age and gender),clinical parameters[time from onset to admission,National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale(NIHSS)score,and blood pressure],past medical history,traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)diagnostic characteristics(tongue and pulse),neurological symptoms and signs,imaging findings[magnetic resonance imaging-diffusion weighted imaging(MRI-DWI)],and biochemical indicators of the two groups were collected and compared.The indicators with statistical difference(P<0.05)in univariate analysis were included in multivariate logistic regression analysis to evaluate their predictive value for the diagnosis of Qi deficiency and blood stasis syndrome,and the predictive model was constructed by receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis.Results The study included 1035 AIS patients,with 404 cases in case group and 631 cases in control group.Compared with control group,patients in case group were significantly older,had extended onset-to-admission time,lower diastolic blood pressure,and lower NIHSS scores(P<0.05).Case group showed lower incidence of hypertension history(P<0.05).Regarding tongue and pulse characteristics,pale and dark tongue colors,white tongue coating,fine pulse,astringent pulse,and sinking pulse were more common in case group.Imaging examinations demonstrated higher proportions of centrum semiovale infarction,cerebral atrophy,and vertebral artery stenosis in case group(P<0.05).Among biochemical indicators,case group showed higher proportions of elevated fasting blood glucose and glycated hemoglobin(HbA1c),while lower proportions of elevated white blood cell count,reduced hemoglobin,and reduced high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C)(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified significant predictors for Qi deficiency and blood stasis syndrome including:fine pulse[odds ratio(OR)=4.38],astringent pulse(OR=3.67),superficial sensory abnormalities(OR=1.86),centrum semiovale infarction(OR=1.57),cerebral atrophy(OR=1.55),vertebral artery stenosis(OR=1.62),and elevated HbA1c(OR=3.52).The ROC curve analysis of the comprehensive prediction model yielded an area under the curve(AUC)of 0.878[95%confidence interval(CI)=0.855-0.900].Conclusion This study finds out that Qi deficiency and blood stasis syndrome represents one of the primary types of AIS.Fine pulse,astringent pulse,superficial sensory abnormalities,centrum semiovale infarction,cerebral atrophy,vertebral artery stenosis,elevated blood glucose,elevated HbA1c,pale and dark tongue colors,and white tongue coating are key objective diagnostic indicators for the syndrome differentiation of AIS with Qi deficiency and blood stasis syndrome.Based on these indicators,a syndrome differentiation prediction model has been developed,offering a more objective basis for clinical diagnosis,and help to rapidly identify this syndrome in clinical practice and reduce misdiagnosis and missed diagnosis.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant no.52304065)China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(Grant no.2022MD723759).
文摘Taking into account the characteristics of non-Newtonian fluids and the influence of latent heat of wax crystallization,this study establishes physical and mathematical models for the synergy of tubular heating and mechanical stirring during the waxy crude oil heating process.Numerical calculations are conducted using the sliding grid technique and FVM.The focus of this study is on the impact of stirring rate(τ),horizontal deflection angle(θ1),vertical deflection angle(θ2),and stirring diameter(D)on the heating effect of crude oil.Our results show that asτincreases from 200 rpm to 500 rpm and D increases from 400 mm to 600 mm,there is an improvement in the average crude oil temperature and temperature uniformity.Additionally,heating efficiency increases by 0.5%and 1%,while the volume of the low-temperature region decreases by 57.01 m^(3) and 36.87 m3,respectively.Asθ1 andθ2 increase from 0°to 12°,the average crude oil temperature,temperature uniformity,and heating efficiency decrease,while the volume of the low-temperature region remains basically the same.Grey correlation analysis is used to rank the importance of stirring parameters in the following order:τ>θ1>θ2>D.Subsequently,multiple regression analysis is used to quantitatively describe the relationship between different stirring parameters and heat transfer evaluation indices through equations.Finally,based on entropy generation minimization,the stirring parameters with optimal heat transfer performance are obtained when τ=350 rpm,θ1=θ2=0°,and D=500 mm.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.52221005)Tsinghua-Toyota Joint Research Fund.
文摘Traditionally,passenger comfort in vehicles is perceived as being most influenced by acceleration and jerk.Consequently,the current research primarily focuses on developing control algorithms to limit the maximum acceleration and jerk of the vehicle in order to improve passenger comfort.However,naturalistic driving studies demonstrate that such simple characteristics are insufficient for accurately evaluating passenger comfort.This study identifies motion complexity as a key factor of passenger comfort.A series of naturalistic driving studies are conducted,during which passenger comfort is assessed using a 5-point Likert scale.Moreover,a real-time passenger comfort measurement based on electromyography(EMG)and stepwise regression is proposed to facilitate seamless data collection.Time-series features representing motion complexity are then introduced to better describe passenger comfort.Hierarchical regression confirms that simple characteristics of motion are insufficient to explain passenger comfort,and shows that the proposed motion complexity features have a substantial effect on passenger comfort.Finally,a machine learning-based real-time passenger comfort estimation method is developed according to the foregoing findings.Experimental results show that the proposed method can accurately estimate passenger comfort in real-time using only vehicle motion information.The findings of this study suggest that vehicle motion complexity should be considered in future passenger comfort studies.
基金funded by the Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42407241,42272326 and 52222905)Jiangxi Provincial Natural Science Foundation(Nos.20242BAB20241,20242BAB23052 and 20242BAB24001).
文摘The spatial distribution of overburden layer thickness(OLT)is crucial for landslide susceptibility prediction and slope stability analysis.Due to OLT spatial heterogeneity in hillslope regions,combined with the difficulty and time consumption of OLT sample collection,accurately predicting OLT distribution remains a challenging.To address this,a novel framework has been developed.First,OLT samples are collected through field surveys,remote sensing,and geological drilling.Next,the heterogeneity of OLT’s spatial distribution is analyzed using the probability distribution of OLT samples and their horizontal and vertical distributions.The OLT samples are categorized and the small sample categories are expanded using the synthetic minority over-sampling technique(SMOTE).The slope position is selected as a key conditioning factor.Subsequently,16 conditioning factors are applied to construct OLT prediction model using the random forest regression algorithm.Weights are assigned to each OLT sample category to balance the uneven distribution of sample sizes.Finally,the Pearson correlation coefficient,mean absolute error(MAE),root mean square error(RMSE),and Lin’s concordance correlation coefficient(Lin’s CCC)are employed to validate the OLT prediction results.The Huangtan town serves as the case study.Results show:(1)heterogeneity analysis,SMOTE-based OLT sample expansion strategy and slope position selection can significantly mitigate the effect of spatial heterogeneity on OLT prediction.(2)The Pearson correlation coefficient,RMSE,MAE and Lin’s CCC values are 0.84,1.173,1.378 and 0.804,respectively,indicating excellent prediction performance.This research provides an effective solution for predicting OLT distribution in hillslope regions.
基金Jiangxi Provincial Innovative Training Project“Post-earthquake Landslide Risk Evaluation Study under Spatial Scale Modelling”(Project No.:S202311318050)。
文摘Landslides are significant natural geological hazards.Landslide susceptibility evaluation involves the quantitative assessment and prediction of potential landslide locations and their probabilities.Research has explored susceptibility assessment methods based on spatial-scale analysis.This evaluation integrates two models—global and local scale—using a CNN model and a PSO-CNN coupled model.Key aspects include selecting evaluation factors and optimizing model parameters for landslide susceptibility at different scales.A major focus of current landslide research is utilizing prediction results to enhance prevention and control measures.
文摘In oil and gas exploration,elucidating the complex interdependencies among geological variables is paramount.Our study introduces the application of sophisticated regression analysis method at the forefront,aiming not just at predicting geophysical logging curve values but also innovatively mitigate hydrocarbon depletion observed in geochemical logging.Through a rigorous assessment,we explore the efficacy of eight regression models,bifurcated into linear and nonlinear groups,to accommodate the multifaceted nature of geological datasets.Our linear model suite encompasses the Standard Equation,Ridge Regression,Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator,and Elastic Net,each presenting distinct advantages.The Standard Equation serves as a foundational benchmark,whereas Ridge Regression implements penalty terms to counteract overfitting,thus bolstering model robustness in the presence of multicollinearity.The Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator for variable selection functions to streamline models,enhancing their interpretability,while Elastic Net amalgamates the merits of Ridge Regression and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator,offering a harmonized solution to model complexity and comprehensibility.On the nonlinear front,Gradient Descent,Kernel Ridge Regression,Support Vector Regression,and Piecewise Function-Fitting methods introduce innovative approaches.Gradient Descent assures computational efficiency in optimizing solutions,Kernel Ridge Regression leverages the kernel trick to navigate nonlinear patterns,and Support Vector Regression is proficient in forecasting extremities,pivotal for exploration risk assessment.The Piecewise Function-Fitting approach,tailored for geological data,facilitates adaptable modeling of variable interrelations,accommodating abrupt data trend shifts.Our analysis identifies Ridge Regression,particularly when augmented by Piecewise Function-Fitting,as superior in recouping hydrocarbon losses,and underscoring its utility in resource quantification refinement.Meanwhile,Kernel Ridge Regression emerges as a noteworthy strategy in ameliorating porosity-logging curve prediction for well A,evidencing its aptness for intricate geological structures.This research attests to the scientific ascendancy and broad-spectrum relevance of these regression techniques over conventional methods while heralding new horizons for their deployment in the oil and gas sector.The insights garnered from these advanced modeling strategies are set to transform geological and engineering practices in hydrocarbon prediction,evaluation,and recovery.
文摘In view of the composition analysis and identification of ancient glass products, L1 regularization, K-Means cluster analysis, elbow rule and other methods were comprehensively used to build logical regression, cluster analysis, hyper-parameter test and other models, and SPSS, Python and other tools were used to obtain the classification rules of glass products under different fluxes, sub classification under different chemical compositions, hyper-parameter K value test and rationality analysis. Research can provide theoretical support for the protection and restoration of ancient glass relics.
文摘[Objectives] To analyze the influencing factors of fixed defects in patients with catheter fixation in clinical nursing work, in order to provide the best catheter fixation nursing plan for patients.[Methods] 176 inpatients with indwelling catheter from surgical system of Taihe Hospital in Shiyan City from August 2022 to March 2023 were selected. Using a retrospective analysis method, the influencing factors of catheter fixation defects in the study subjects were divided into two categories based on objective characteristics: type I non modifiable influencing factors and type II modifiable influencing factors. Using the standard for catheter fixation defects, whether the patient had catheter fixation defects was determined. After classified and statistically analyzed item by item, binary Logistic multiple regression analysis was used to identify the influencing factors.[Results] The occurrence of catheter fixation defects in patients with catheter fixation was related to factors such as whether the patient was evaluated before fixation, whether the fixation method was standardized and systematic, whether there was sufficient communication between nurses and patients, and the patient s knowledge of catheter fixation. It was also influenced by factors such as the patient s age, catheterization site, catheterization number, catheterization duration, where there was a consciousness disorder, educational level, and external environmental temperature.[Conclusions] Early attention to the key factors affecting patients with catheter fixation defects can effectively prevent adverse factors and provide patients with the best catheter fixation nursing plan to improve nursing quality.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers 42101449,42090012 and 61825103]the Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province,China[grant numbers 2022CFB773 and 2020CFA001]+2 种基金the Key Research and Development Program of Hubei Province,China[grant number 2022BAA048]the Chutian Scholar Program of Hubei Provincethe Yellow Crane Talent Scheme.
文摘Road traffic crashes are becoming thorny issues being faced worldwide.Traffic crashes are spatiotemporal events and the research on the spatiotemporal patterns and variation trends of traffic crashes has been carried out.However,the impact of built environment on traffic crash spatiotemporal trends has not received much attention.Moreover,the spatial non-stationarity between the variation trends of traffic crashes and their influencing factors is usually neglected.To make up for the lack of analysis of built environment factors influencing spatiotemporal hotspot trends in traffic crashes,this paper proposed a method of“ST-GWLR”for analyzing the influence of built environment factors on spatiotemporal hotspot trends of traffic crashes by combining the spatiotemporal hotspot trend analysis and Geographically Weighted Logistic Regression(GWLR)modeling methods.Firstly,the traffic crash spatiotemporal hotspot trends were explored using the space-time cube model,hotspot analysis,and Mann-Kendall trend test.Then,the GWLR was introduced to capture the spatial non-stationarity neglected by the classic Global Logistic Regression(GLR)model,to improve the accuracy of the model estimation.GWLR model is used for the first time to analyze the significant local correlation between the traffic crash spatiotemporal hotspot trends and the built environment factors,to accurately and effectively identify the built environment factors that have significant influences on the hotspot trends of traffic crashes.The performance of the GWLR models and GLR models was examined and compared sufficiently.The results showed that the proposed ST-GWLR,which captured spatial non-stationarity,performed better than the classic GLR combined with spatiotemporal analysis,and improved the prediction accuracy of the models by 14.9%,13.9%,and 15.1%,respectively.There were significant local correlations between intensifying hotspots and persistent hotspots of traffic crashes and the built environment factors.The findings of this paper have positive implications for traffic safety management and urban built environment planning.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.50378016).
文摘Because of the difficulty to obtain the traffic flow information of lanes at non-detector intersections in most metropolises of the world,based on the relationships between the lanes of signal-controlled intersections,cluster analysis and stepwise regression are integrated to predict the traffic volume of lanes at non-detector isolated controlled intersections.First cluster analysis is used to cluster the lanes of non-detector isolated signal-controlled intersections and the lanes of all signal-controlled intersections with detectors.Then, by the results of cluster analysis,the traffic volume samples are selected randomly and stepwise regression is used to predict the traffic volume of lanes at non-detector isolated signal-controlled intersections.The method is tested by the traffic volume data of lanes of the road network of Nanjing city.The problem of predicting the traffic volume of lanes at non-detector isolated signal-controlled intersections was resolved and can be widely used in urban traffic flow guidance and urban traffic control in cities without enough intersections equipped with detectors.
基金Supported by National Key Technology R&D Program in the11th Five Year Plan of China(2006BAD10A14)~~
文摘[Objective] The research aimed to study the significant influence factors of the population variations of oriental fruit fly. [Method] Using stepwise regression analysis, the population variations law of oriental fruit fly in Jianshui County of Yunnan province and the meteorological factors that caused its occurrence were analyzed. And the regression model was built. Finally, the regression model was tested on the basis of the data in Jianshui County of Yunnan Province during 2004-2006.[Result] The main meteorological factors that influenced the occurrence of oriental fruit fly were relative humidity, the lowest monthly temperature and rainfall. [Conclusion] This study will provide certain reference for the prediction researches on the time, quantity and occurrence peak of oriental fruit fly.
文摘BACKGROUND Diabetic retinopathy(DR)is a common complication of diabetes and the leading cause of visual impairment and blindness.It has a serious impact on the mental and physical health of patients.AIM To evaluate the anxiety and depression status of patients with DR,we examined their influencing factors.METHODS Two hundred patients with DR admitted to the outpatient and inpatient departments of ophthalmology and endocrinology at our hospital were selected.A questionnaire was conducted to collect general patient information.Depression and anxiety were assessed using the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 and Sevenitem Generalized Anxiety Disorder scale,respectively.The diabetes specific quality of life scale and Social Support Rating Scale were used to assess the quality of life of patients with DR and their social support,respectively.Logistic regression analysis was used to assess the correlations.RESULTS The prevalence of depression and anxiety were 26%(52/200)and 14%(28/200),respectively.Regression analysis revealed that social support was associated with depression[odds ratio(OR)=0.912,95%confidence interval(CI):0.893-0.985]and anxiety(OR=0.863,95%CI:0.672-0.994).Good quality of life(diabetes specific quality of life scale score<40)was a protective factor against anxiety(OR=0.738,95%CI:0.567-0.936)and depression(OR=0.573,95%CI:0.4566-0.784).Visual impairment significantly increased the likelihood of depression(OR=1.198,95%CI:1.143-1.324)and anxiety(OR=1.746,95%CI:1.282-2.359).Additionally,prolonged diabetes duration and history of hypertension were significant risk factors for both conditions,along with a family history of diabetes.CONCLUSION Key factors influencing anxiety and depression in patients with DR include social support,quality of life,visual impairment,duration of diabetes,family history of diabetes,and history of hypertension.
基金financial supports from National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.62205172)Huaneng Group Science and Technology Research Project(No.HNKJ22-H105)Tsinghua University Initiative Scientific Research Program and the International Joint Mission on Climate Change and Carbon Neutrality。
文摘Laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy(LIBS)has become a widely used atomic spectroscopic technique for rapid coal analysis.However,the vast amount of spectral information in LIBS contains signal uncertainty,which can affect its quantification performance.In this work,we propose a hybrid variable selection method to improve the performance of LIBS quantification.Important variables are first identified using Pearson's correlation coefficient,mutual information,least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)and random forest,and then filtered and combined with empirical variables related to fingerprint elements of coal ash content.Subsequently,these variables are fed into a partial least squares regression(PLSR).Additionally,in some models,certain variables unrelated to ash content are removed manually to study the impact of variable deselection on model performance.The proposed hybrid strategy was tested on three LIBS datasets for quantitative analysis of coal ash content and compared with the corresponding data-driven baseline method.It is significantly better than the variable selection only method based on empirical knowledge and in most cases outperforms the baseline method.The results showed that on all three datasets the hybrid strategy for variable selection combining empirical knowledge and data-driven algorithms achieved the lowest root mean square error of prediction(RMSEP)values of 1.605,3.478 and 1.647,respectively,which were significantly lower than those obtained from multiple linear regression using only 12 empirical variables,which are 1.959,3.718 and 2.181,respectively.The LASSO-PLSR model with empirical support and 20 selected variables exhibited a significantly improved performance after variable deselection,with RMSEP values dropping from 1.635,3.962 and 1.647 to 1.483,3.086 and 1.567,respectively.Such results demonstrate that using empirical knowledge as a support for datadriven variable selection can be a viable approach to improve the accuracy and reliability of LIBS quantification.
基金financially supported by the Western Transport Technical Project of the Ministry of Transport, China (No. 2009318000046)
文摘A multivariable regression analysis of the in-situ stress field, which considers the non-linear deformation behavior of faults in practical projects, is presented based on a newly developed three-dimensional displacement discontinuity method （DDM） program. The Bar- ton-Bandis model and the Kulhaway model are adopted as the normal and the tangential deformation model of faults, respectively, where the Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion is satisfied. In practical projects, the values of the mechanical parameters of rock and faults are restricted in a bounded range for in-situ test, and the optimal mechanical parameters are obtained from this range by a loop. Comparing with the traditional finite element method （FEM）, the DDM regression results are more accurate.
文摘The blast-induced ground vibration prediction using scaled distance regression analysis is one of the most popular methods employed by engineers for many decades. It uses the maximum charge per delay and distance of monitoring as the major factors for predicting the peak particle velocity(PPV). It is established that the PPV is caused by the maximum charge per delay which varies with the distance of monitoring and site geology. While conducting a production blasting, the waves induced by blasting of different holes interfere destructively with each other, which may result in higher PPV than the predicted value with scaled distance regression analysis. This phenomenon of interference/superimposition of waves is not considered while using scaled distance regression analysis. In this paper, an attempt has been made to compare the predicted values of blast-induced ground vibration using multi-hole trial blasting with single-hole blasting in an opencast coal mine under the same geological condition. Further,the modified prediction equation for the multi-hole trial blasting was obtained using single-hole regression analysis. The error between predicted and actual values of multi-hole blast-induced ground vibration was found to be reduced by 8.5%.
文摘This paper presents an analysis to forecast the loads of an isolated area where the history of load is not available or the history may not represent the realistic demand of electricity. The analysis is done through linear regression and based on the identification of factors on which electrical load growth depends. To determine the identification factors, areas are selected whose histories of load growth rate known and the load growth deciding factors are similar to those of the isolated area. The proposed analysis is applied to an isolated area of Bangladesh, called Swandip where a past history of electrical load demand is not available and also there is no possibility of connecting the area with the main land grid system.
