To estimate percentiles of a response distribution, the transformed response rule of Wetherill and Robbins-Monro sequential design were proposed under Log-Logistic model. Based on responses data, a necessary and suffi...To estimate percentiles of a response distribution, the transformed response rule of Wetherill and Robbins-Monro sequential design were proposed under Log-Logistic model. Based on responses data, a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of maximum likelihood estimators and then the calculating formula were presented. After a simulation study, the proposed approach was applied to 65# detonator. Numerical results showed that estimators of percentiles from the proposed approach are robust to the parametric models lacking information on the original response distribution.展开更多
Testing the equality of percentiles (quantiles) between populations is an effective method for robust, nonparametric comparison, especially when the distributions are asymmetric or irregularly shaped. Unlike global no...Testing the equality of percentiles (quantiles) between populations is an effective method for robust, nonparametric comparison, especially when the distributions are asymmetric or irregularly shaped. Unlike global nonparametric tests for homogeneity such as the Kolmogorv-Smirnov test, testing the equality of a set of percentiles (i.e., a percentile profile) yields an estimate of the location and extent of the differences between the populations along the entire domain. The Wald test using bootstrap estimates of variance of the order statistics provides a unified method for hypothesis testing of functions of the population percentiles. Simulation studies are conducted to show performance of the method under various scenarios and to give suggestions on its use. Several examples are given to illustrate some useful applications to real data.展开更多
BACKGROUND Identification of myocardial injury has traditionally relied on high-sensitivity troponin T(hs-TnT)levels exceeding the 99th percentile threshold.However,patients with detectable hs-TnT levels below this th...BACKGROUND Identification of myocardial injury has traditionally relied on high-sensitivity troponin T(hs-TnT)levels exceeding the 99th percentile threshold.However,patients with detectable hs-TnT levels below this threshold represent a heterogeneous group with an inadequately characterized risk profile.AIM To investigate the association between hs-TnT levels below the 99th percentile and the presence of diabetic kidney disease(DKD)in patients with diabetes mellitus.METHODS This study analyzed data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey obtained between 1999 and 2004,focusing on adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus.Serum hs-TnT concentrations were evaluated.DKD was defined as impaired glomerular filtration rate(<60 mL/minute/1.73 m^(2)),proteinuria(urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio of≥30 mg/g),or both conditions in patients with diabetes mellitus.Weighted multivariable logistic regression analysis and restricted cubic spline analyses were employed to examine the independent association between hs-TnT and DKD,with the likelihood ratio test being used to evaluate nonlinearity.RESULTS The study included 2505 patients with a mean age of 55.02(standard error:0.72)years,of whom 44.87%were females.Among the participants,909(32.34%)were diagnosed with DKD.Multivariable logistic regression analysis indicated that,compared to the lowest tertile of hs-TnT(<5.93 ng/L),tertile 2(5.94-9.79 ng/L)had an odds ratio of 1.25(95%confidence interval:0.77-2.02,P=0.350),while tertile 3(9.80-21.88 ng/L)had an odds ratio of 2.07(95%confidence interval:1.13-3.80,P=0.022),with a significant trend(P for trend=0.022).Smoothed curve fitting demonstrated a linear association between hs-TnT levels and DKD in the overall population(P=0.061 for nonlinearity)and in male(P=0.136 for nonlinearity)and female(P=0.067 for nonlinearity)subgroups.Further stratification and sensitivity analyses yielded consistent conclusions.CONCLUSION Our study findings suggest that in individuals with type 2 diabetes,detectable hs-TnT levels below the 99th percentile are associated with DKD.展开更多
Extreme weather and climatic phenomena, such as heatwaves, cold waves, floods and droughts, are expected to become more common and have a significant impact on ecosystems, biodiversity, and society. Devastating disast...Extreme weather and climatic phenomena, such as heatwaves, cold waves, floods and droughts, are expected to become more common and have a significant impact on ecosystems, biodiversity, and society. Devastating disasters are mostly caused by record-breaking extreme events, which are becoming more frequent throughout the world, including Tanzania. A clear global signal of an increase in warm days and nights and a decrease in cold days and nights has been observed. The present study assessed the trends of annual extreme temperature indices during the period of 1982 to 2022 from 29 meteorological stations in which the daily minimum and maximum data were obtained from NASA/POWER. The Mann-Kendall and Sen slope estimator were employed for trend analysis calculation over the study area. The analyzed data have indicated for the most parts, the country has an increase in warm days and nights, extreme warm days and nights and a decrease in cold days and nights, extreme cold days and nights. It has been disclosed that the number of warm nights and days is on the rise, with the number of warm nights trending significantly faster than the number of warm days. The percentile-based extreme temperature indices exhibited more noticeable changes than the absolute extreme temperature indices. Specifically, 66% and 97% of stations demonstrated positive increasing trends in warm days (TX90p) and nights (TN90p), respectively. Conversely, the cold indices demonstrated 41% and 97% negative decreasing trends in TX10p and TN10p, respectively. The results are seemingly consistent with the observed temperature extreme trends in various parts of the world as indicated in IPCC reports.展开更多
Two approaches of statistical downscaling were applied to indices of temperature extremes based on percentiles of daily maximum and minimum temperature observations at Beijing station in summer during 1960-2008. One w...Two approaches of statistical downscaling were applied to indices of temperature extremes based on percentiles of daily maximum and minimum temperature observations at Beijing station in summer during 1960-2008. One was to downscale daily maximum and minimum temperatures by using EOF analysis and stepwise linear regression at first, then to calculate the indices of extremes; the other was to directly downseale the percentile-based indices by using seasonal large-scale temperature and geo-potential height records. The cross-validation results showed that the latter approach has a better performance than the former. Then, the latter approach was applied to 48 meteorological stations in northern China. The cross- validation results for all 48 stations showed close correlation between the percentile-based indices and the seasonal large-scale variables. Finally, future scenarios of indices of temperature extremes in northern China were projected by applying the statistical downsealing to Hadley Centre Coupled Model Version 3 （HadCM3） simulations under the Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 （RCP 4.5） scenario of the Fifth Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project （CMIP5）. The results showed that the 90th percentile of daily maximum temperatures will increase by about 1.5℃, and the 10th of daily minimum temperatures will increase by about 2℃ during the period 2011- 35 relative to 1980-99.展开更多
The paper focuses on measuring self-similarity using few techniques by an index called Hurst index which is a self-similarity parameter. It has been evident that Internet traffic exhibits self-similarity. Motivated by...The paper focuses on measuring self-similarity using few techniques by an index called Hurst index which is a self-similarity parameter. It has been evident that Internet traffic exhibits self-similarity. Motivated by this fact, real time web users at various centers considered here as traffic and it has been examined by various methods to test the self-similarity. The results from the experiments carried out verify that the traffic examined in the present study is self similar using a new method based on some descriptive measures;for example percentiles have been applied to compute Hurst parameter which gives intensity of the self-similarity. Numerical results and analysis we discussed and presented here play a significant role to improve the services at web centers in the view of quality of service (QOS).展开更多
Purpose:A new point of view in the study of impact is introduced.Design/methodology/approach:Using fundamental theorems in real analysis we study the convergence of well-known impact measures.Findings:We show that poi...Purpose:A new point of view in the study of impact is introduced.Design/methodology/approach:Using fundamental theorems in real analysis we study the convergence of well-known impact measures.Findings:We show that pointwise convergence is maintained by all well-known impact bundles(such as the h-,g-,and R-bundle)and that theμ-bundle even maintains uniform convergence.Based on these results,a classification of impact bundles is given.Research limitations:As for all impact studies,it is just impossible to study all measures in depth.Practical implications:It is proposed to include convergence properties in the study of impact measures.Originality/value:This article is the first to present a bundle classification based on convergence properties of impact bundles.展开更多
In large sample studies where distributions may be skewed and not readily transformed to symmetry, it may be of greater interest to compare different distributions in terms of percentiles rather than means. For exampl...In large sample studies where distributions may be skewed and not readily transformed to symmetry, it may be of greater interest to compare different distributions in terms of percentiles rather than means. For example, it may be more informative to compare two or more populations with respect to their within population distributions by testing the hypothesis that their corresponding respective 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles are equal. As a generalization of the median test, the proposed test statistic is asymptotically distributed as Chi-square with degrees of freedom dependent upon the number of percentiles tested and constraints of the null hypothesis. Results from simulation studies are used to validate the nominal 0.05 significance level under the null hypothesis, and asymptotic power properties that are suitable for testing equality of percentile profiles against selected profile discrepancies for a variety of underlying distributions. A pragmatic example is provided to illustrate the comparison of the percentile profiles for four body mass index distributions.展开更多
Impacts of returns on assets are not instantaneously felt, since there is lag period. In this paper we consider the problem of developing a model for the conditional QPDL （quantile polynomial distributed lag） and in...Impacts of returns on assets are not instantaneously felt, since there is lag period. In this paper we consider the problem of developing a model for the conditional QPDL （quantile polynomial distributed lag） and investigate the influences of the conditioning variables on the location, scale and shape parameters of the QPDL model. As an economic application, we consider the production of rubber and its price returns ofSri Lanka. From the analysis we observed that the QPDL model applications were better estimators than the PDL （Polynomial Distributed Lag） models.展开更多
The study assessed changes in rainfall variability and the frequency of extreme events (very wet and very dry) in the state of S?o Paulo, Brazil, for a 40-year period that divided into two sub-groups: 1973-1992 (P1) a...The study assessed changes in rainfall variability and the frequency of extreme events (very wet and very dry) in the state of S?o Paulo, Brazil, for a 40-year period that divided into two sub-groups: 1973-1992 (P1) and 1993-2012 (P2). Data of 79 rain gauge stations were selected to represent the different climatic and geomorphological domains of the state. The annual pattern was evaluated through the scale and the shape parameters of the gamma distribution and the 95th and the 5th percentiles thresholds, the latter also employed to evaluate the seasonal spatial patterns (rainy season, Oct.-Mar. and sub-humid to dry season, Apr.-Sep.). Results showed that the average precipitation was similar in P1 and P2, but S?o Paulo evolved to a pattern of increased irregularity in the rainfall distribution, with a rise of approximately 10% in the number of extremes between 1973 and 2012, especially in the very dry occurrences, and in the north and west of the state, which are the least rainy regions. Moreover, while 55% of the evaluated rain gauges recorded more extreme wet episodes in P2, 76% registered more dry extreme episodes in the same period. Some very dry or very wet events recorded after the 40-year period evaluated were discussed in terms of the associated weather patterns and their impacts on society and attested to the validity of the results found in the quantitative assessment. The qualitative analysis indicates that if the trends of more irregular distribution of rain and increase in extreme events persist, as pointed out by the gamma and percentile analyses, they would continue to bring serious effects on the natural and social systems in the state, which is the most populous and has the strongest and most diversified economy in Brazil.展开更多
Using the observed daily temperatures from 756 stations in China during the period from 1951 to 2009 extensive and persistent extreme cold events (EPECEs) were defined according to the following three steps:1) a stati...Using the observed daily temperatures from 756 stations in China during the period from 1951 to 2009 extensive and persistent extreme cold events (EPECEs) were defined according to the following three steps:1) a station was defined as an extreme cold station (ECS) if the observed temperature was lower than its 10th percentile threshold;2) an extensive extreme cold event was determined to be present if the approximated area occupied by the ECSs was more than 10% of the total area of China (83rd percentile) on its starting day and the maximum area occupied by the ECSs was at least 20% of the total area of China (96th percentile);and 3) an EPECE was determined to be present if the extensive extreme cold event lasted for at least for eight days.52 EPECEs were identified in this manner,and these identification results were also verified using other reliable data.On the basis of cluster analysis,five types of EPECEs were classified according to the spatial distribution of ECSs at their most extensive time over the course of the EPECE.展开更多
The Statistical Priority-based Multiple Access Protocol(SPMA)is the de facto standard for Tactical Target Network Technology(TTNT)and has also been implemented in ad hoc networks.In this paper,we present a non-preempt...The Statistical Priority-based Multiple Access Protocol(SPMA)is the de facto standard for Tactical Target Network Technology(TTNT)and has also been implemented in ad hoc networks.In this paper,we present a non-preemptive M/M/1/K queuing model to analyze the performance of different priorities in SPMA in terms of average packet loss rate and delay.And based on this queuing model,we designed a percentile scoring system combined with Q-learning algorithm to optimize the protocol parameters.The simulation results show that our theoretical model is closely matched with the reality,and the proposed algorithm improves the efficiency and accuracy in finding the optimal parameter set of SPMA protocol.展开更多
This study designed an approach to derive land-cover in the South Africa with insufficient ground samples, and made a case demonstration in Nzhelele and Levhuvu catchments, South Africa. The method was developed based...This study designed an approach to derive land-cover in the South Africa with insufficient ground samples, and made a case demonstration in Nzhelele and Levhuvu catchments, South Africa. The method was developed based on an integration of Landsat 8, Sentinel-1, and Shuttle Radar Topography Mission(SRTM) Digital Elevation Model(DEM), and the Google Earth Engine(GEE) platform. Random forest classifier with 300 trees is employed as land-cover classification model. In order to overcome the defect of insufficient ground data, the stratified sampling method was used to generate the training and validation samples from the existing land-cover product. Likewise, in order to recognize different land-cover categories, the percentile and monthly median composites were employed to expand input metrics of random forest classifier. Results showed that the overall accuracy of the land-cover of Nzhelele and Levhuvu catchments, South Africa in 2017–2018 reached to 76.43%. Three important results can be drawn from our research. 1) The participation of Sentinel-1 data can slightly improve overall accuracy of land-cover while its contribution on land-cover classification varied with land types. 2) Under-fitting problem was observed in the training of non-dominant land-cover categories using the random sampling, the stratified sampling method is recommended to make sure the classification accuracy of non-dominant classes. 3) When related reflectance bands participated in the training process, individual Normalized Difference Vegetation index(NDVI), Enhanced Vegetation Index(EVI), Soil Adjusted Vegetation Index(SAVI), Normalized Difference Built-up Index(NDBI) have little effect on final land-cover classification result.展开更多
This work focuses on the evaluation of the seismic hazard for Romania using earthquake catalogues generated by a Monte Carlo approach. The seismicity of Romania can be attributed to the Vrancea intermediate-depth seis...This work focuses on the evaluation of the seismic hazard for Romania using earthquake catalogues generated by a Monte Carlo approach. The seismicity of Romania can be attributed to the Vrancea intermediate-depth seismic source and to 13 other crustal seismic sources. The recurrence times of large magnitude seismic events（both crustal and subcrustal）, as well as the moment release rates are computed using simulated earthquake catalogues. The results show that the largest contribution to the overall moment release for the crustal seismic sources is from the seismic regions in Bulgaria, while the seismic regions in Romania contribute less than 5% of the overall moment release. In addition, the computations show that the moment release rate for the Vrancea subcrustal seismic source is about ten times larger than that of all the crustal seismic sources. Finally, the Monte Carlo approach is used to evaluate the seismic hazard for 20 cities in Romania with populations larger than 100,000 inhabitants. The results show some differences between the seismic hazard values obtained through Monte-Carlo simulation and those in the Romanian seismic design code P100-1/2013, notably for cities situated in the western part of Romania that are influenced by local crustal seismic sources.展开更多
Virility and sexual pleasure have long been associated with penile size and this,in turn,has typically been linked to some anthropometric measurements,such as foot size or height,leading to various misconceptions from...Virility and sexual pleasure have long been associated with penile size and this,in turn,has typically been linked to some anthropometric measurements,such as foot size or height,leading to various misconceptions from both men and women.Our intention is to estimate penile size parameters in Argentina and evaluate the correlation between penile size and certain anthropometric measurements.This is a cross-sectional,descriptive,multicenter,and observational study.Male patients who underwent a urological procedure were included in four hospitals located in different regions of the country.Different anthropometric measurements were obtained:height,weight,penile circumference,flaccid and stretched length,and foot length.A total of 8o0 patients were evaluated.Mean left foot was 26.4 cm.Mean flaccid penile length was 11.4(95%confidence interval[CI]:8-14)cm,and mean penile circumference was 10.1(95%CI:8-12)cm.Finally,mean stretched penis was 15.2(95%CI:11-18.5)cm.We can confirm that estimates of the average penile measurements in Argentina are flaccid penis length of 11.4 cm,penile circumference of 10.1 cm,and stretching the penis to the maximum in flaccidity of 15.2 cm.Correlations between flaccid penis length,stretched out,penile circumference,height,weight,and length of the left foot were evaluated,finding low or no correlation between those mentioned,exceptforflaccidand stretched length.展开更多
This study focuses on meeting the challenges of big data visualization by using of data reduction methods based the feature selection methods.To reduce the volume of big data and minimize model training time(Tt)while ...This study focuses on meeting the challenges of big data visualization by using of data reduction methods based the feature selection methods.To reduce the volume of big data and minimize model training time(Tt)while maintaining data quality.We contributed to meeting the challenges of big data visualization using the embedded method based“Select from model(SFM)”method by using“Random forest Importance algorithm(RFI)”and comparing it with the filter method by using“Select percentile(SP)”method based chi square“Chi2”tool for selecting the most important features,which are then fed into a classification process using the logistic regression(LR)algorithm and the k-nearest neighbor(KNN)algorithm.Thus,the classification accuracy(AC)performance of LRis also compared to theKNN approach in python on eight data sets to see which method produces the best rating when feature selection methods are applied.Consequently,the study concluded that the feature selection methods have a significant impact on the analysis and visualization of the data after removing the repetitive data and the data that do not affect the goal.After making several comparisons,the study suggests(SFMLR)using SFM based on RFI algorithm for feature selection,with LR algorithm for data classify.The proposal proved its efficacy by comparing its results with recent literature.展开更多
There are diverse products related to human buttocks, which need to be designed, manufactured and evaluated with 3D buttock model. The 3D buttock model used in present research field is just simple approximate model s...There are diverse products related to human buttocks, which need to be designed, manufactured and evaluated with 3D buttock model. The 3D buttock model used in present research field is just simple approximate model similar to human buttocks. The 3D buttock percentile model is highly desired in the ergonomics design and evaluation for these products. So far, there is no research on the percentile sizing system of human 3D buttock model. So the purpose of this paper is to develop a new method for building three-dimensional buttock percentile model in computer system. After scanning the 3D shape of buttocks, the cloud data of 3D points is imported into the reverse engineering software（Geomagic） for the reconstructing of the buttock surface model. Five characteristic dimensions of the buttock are measured through mark-points after models being imported into engineering software CATIA. A series of space points are obtained by the intersecting of the cutting slices and 3D buttock surface model, and then are ordered based on the sequence number of the horizontal and vertical slices. The 1st, 5th, 50 th, 95 th, 99 th percentile values of the five dimensions and the spatial coordinate values of the space points are obtained, and used to reconstruct percentile buttock models. This research proposes a establishing method of percentile sizing system of buttock 3D model based on the percentile values of the ischial tuberosities diameter, the distances from margin to ischial tuberosity and the space coordinates value of coordinate points, for establishing the Nth percentile 3D buttock model and every special buttock types model. The proposed method also serves as a useful guidance for the other 3D percentile models establishment for other part in human body with characteristic points.展开更多
Bangladesh is a flood prone country where precipitation amount is irregular but sometimes extreme. Among the climatic parameters, precipitation is assumed as one of the vital indicators of ongoing climate change scena...Bangladesh is a flood prone country where precipitation amount is irregular but sometimes extreme. Among the climatic parameters, precipitation is assumed as one of the vital indicators of ongoing climate change scenarios and is equally important for tea production. In this study, 7 and 9 tea estates of Sylhet and Sreemangal were selected to analyze tea production in relation to extreme precipitation intensity. Precipitation patterns namely 90<sup>th</sup>, 95<sup>th</sup> and 99<sup>th</sup> percentile were analyzed to find out the contribution of extreme precipitation and tea production. To attain the objectives, 3 hourly, daily, monthly, and total precipitation data from 1971 to 2014 were collected from Bangladesh Meteorological Department and Bangladesh Agricultural Development Board. Tea production data were collected from Bangladesh Tea Board, Sylhet. To find out extreme level of precipitation 90<sup>th</sup>, 95<sup>th</sup>, 99<sup>th</sup> percentile precipitation days were identified and analyzed. The analyses show that 1974, 1976, 1977, 1993, 1988, 1990, 2000, 2001, 2002, and 2004 were extreme precipitation years. The average precipitation of Sylhet was higher in 2000 than in 1992 and 2014. In Sreemangal, extreme precipitation was higher in 2014 than in 1992 and 2000. For both the regions, tea production was higher in 2000 and lower in 1992 and 2014. The result shows that more extreme precipitation was responsible for higher amount of tea production. The results suggest that extreme precipitation intensity was one of the responsible factors for higher amount of tea production in Sylhet and Sreemangal.展开更多
文摘To estimate percentiles of a response distribution, the transformed response rule of Wetherill and Robbins-Monro sequential design were proposed under Log-Logistic model. Based on responses data, a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of maximum likelihood estimators and then the calculating formula were presented. After a simulation study, the proposed approach was applied to 65# detonator. Numerical results showed that estimators of percentiles from the proposed approach are robust to the parametric models lacking information on the original response distribution.
文摘Testing the equality of percentiles (quantiles) between populations is an effective method for robust, nonparametric comparison, especially when the distributions are asymmetric or irregularly shaped. Unlike global nonparametric tests for homogeneity such as the Kolmogorv-Smirnov test, testing the equality of a set of percentiles (i.e., a percentile profile) yields an estimate of the location and extent of the differences between the populations along the entire domain. The Wald test using bootstrap estimates of variance of the order statistics provides a unified method for hypothesis testing of functions of the population percentiles. Simulation studies are conducted to show performance of the method under various scenarios and to give suggestions on its use. Several examples are given to illustrate some useful applications to real data.
基金This study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of the Second Affiliated Hospital of Gannan Medical University(approval No.EFYJ20240113007).
文摘BACKGROUND Identification of myocardial injury has traditionally relied on high-sensitivity troponin T(hs-TnT)levels exceeding the 99th percentile threshold.However,patients with detectable hs-TnT levels below this threshold represent a heterogeneous group with an inadequately characterized risk profile.AIM To investigate the association between hs-TnT levels below the 99th percentile and the presence of diabetic kidney disease(DKD)in patients with diabetes mellitus.METHODS This study analyzed data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey obtained between 1999 and 2004,focusing on adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus.Serum hs-TnT concentrations were evaluated.DKD was defined as impaired glomerular filtration rate(<60 mL/minute/1.73 m^(2)),proteinuria(urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio of≥30 mg/g),or both conditions in patients with diabetes mellitus.Weighted multivariable logistic regression analysis and restricted cubic spline analyses were employed to examine the independent association between hs-TnT and DKD,with the likelihood ratio test being used to evaluate nonlinearity.RESULTS The study included 2505 patients with a mean age of 55.02(standard error:0.72)years,of whom 44.87%were females.Among the participants,909(32.34%)were diagnosed with DKD.Multivariable logistic regression analysis indicated that,compared to the lowest tertile of hs-TnT(<5.93 ng/L),tertile 2(5.94-9.79 ng/L)had an odds ratio of 1.25(95%confidence interval:0.77-2.02,P=0.350),while tertile 3(9.80-21.88 ng/L)had an odds ratio of 2.07(95%confidence interval:1.13-3.80,P=0.022),with a significant trend(P for trend=0.022).Smoothed curve fitting demonstrated a linear association between hs-TnT levels and DKD in the overall population(P=0.061 for nonlinearity)and in male(P=0.136 for nonlinearity)and female(P=0.067 for nonlinearity)subgroups.Further stratification and sensitivity analyses yielded consistent conclusions.CONCLUSION Our study findings suggest that in individuals with type 2 diabetes,detectable hs-TnT levels below the 99th percentile are associated with DKD.
文摘Extreme weather and climatic phenomena, such as heatwaves, cold waves, floods and droughts, are expected to become more common and have a significant impact on ecosystems, biodiversity, and society. Devastating disasters are mostly caused by record-breaking extreme events, which are becoming more frequent throughout the world, including Tanzania. A clear global signal of an increase in warm days and nights and a decrease in cold days and nights has been observed. The present study assessed the trends of annual extreme temperature indices during the period of 1982 to 2022 from 29 meteorological stations in which the daily minimum and maximum data were obtained from NASA/POWER. The Mann-Kendall and Sen slope estimator were employed for trend analysis calculation over the study area. The analyzed data have indicated for the most parts, the country has an increase in warm days and nights, extreme warm days and nights and a decrease in cold days and nights, extreme cold days and nights. It has been disclosed that the number of warm nights and days is on the rise, with the number of warm nights trending significantly faster than the number of warm days. The percentile-based extreme temperature indices exhibited more noticeable changes than the absolute extreme temperature indices. Specifically, 66% and 97% of stations demonstrated positive increasing trends in warm days (TX90p) and nights (TN90p), respectively. Conversely, the cold indices demonstrated 41% and 97% negative decreasing trends in TX10p and TN10p, respectively. The results are seemingly consistent with the observed temperature extreme trends in various parts of the world as indicated in IPCC reports.
基金jointly sponsored by the National Basic Research Program of China "973" Program (Grant No. 2012CB956200)the Knowledge Innovation Project (Grant No. KZCX2-EW-202)the Strategic Priority Research Program (Grant No. XDA05090103) of the Chinese Academy of Sciences
文摘Two approaches of statistical downscaling were applied to indices of temperature extremes based on percentiles of daily maximum and minimum temperature observations at Beijing station in summer during 1960-2008. One was to downscale daily maximum and minimum temperatures by using EOF analysis and stepwise linear regression at first, then to calculate the indices of extremes; the other was to directly downseale the percentile-based indices by using seasonal large-scale temperature and geo-potential height records. The cross-validation results showed that the latter approach has a better performance than the former. Then, the latter approach was applied to 48 meteorological stations in northern China. The cross- validation results for all 48 stations showed close correlation between the percentile-based indices and the seasonal large-scale variables. Finally, future scenarios of indices of temperature extremes in northern China were projected by applying the statistical downsealing to Hadley Centre Coupled Model Version 3 （HadCM3） simulations under the Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 （RCP 4.5） scenario of the Fifth Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project （CMIP5）. The results showed that the 90th percentile of daily maximum temperatures will increase by about 1.5℃, and the 10th of daily minimum temperatures will increase by about 2℃ during the period 2011- 35 relative to 1980-99.
文摘The paper focuses on measuring self-similarity using few techniques by an index called Hurst index which is a self-similarity parameter. It has been evident that Internet traffic exhibits self-similarity. Motivated by this fact, real time web users at various centers considered here as traffic and it has been examined by various methods to test the self-similarity. The results from the experiments carried out verify that the traffic examined in the present study is self similar using a new method based on some descriptive measures;for example percentiles have been applied to compute Hurst parameter which gives intensity of the self-similarity. Numerical results and analysis we discussed and presented here play a significant role to improve the services at web centers in the view of quality of service (QOS).
基金The author thanks Li Li(National Science Library,CAS)for drawing Figure 1.
文摘Purpose:A new point of view in the study of impact is introduced.Design/methodology/approach:Using fundamental theorems in real analysis we study the convergence of well-known impact measures.Findings:We show that pointwise convergence is maintained by all well-known impact bundles(such as the h-,g-,and R-bundle)and that theμ-bundle even maintains uniform convergence.Based on these results,a classification of impact bundles is given.Research limitations:As for all impact studies,it is just impossible to study all measures in depth.Practical implications:It is proposed to include convergence properties in the study of impact measures.Originality/value:This article is the first to present a bundle classification based on convergence properties of impact bundles.
文摘In large sample studies where distributions may be skewed and not readily transformed to symmetry, it may be of greater interest to compare different distributions in terms of percentiles rather than means. For example, it may be more informative to compare two or more populations with respect to their within population distributions by testing the hypothesis that their corresponding respective 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles are equal. As a generalization of the median test, the proposed test statistic is asymptotically distributed as Chi-square with degrees of freedom dependent upon the number of percentiles tested and constraints of the null hypothesis. Results from simulation studies are used to validate the nominal 0.05 significance level under the null hypothesis, and asymptotic power properties that are suitable for testing equality of percentile profiles against selected profile discrepancies for a variety of underlying distributions. A pragmatic example is provided to illustrate the comparison of the percentile profiles for four body mass index distributions.
文摘Impacts of returns on assets are not instantaneously felt, since there is lag period. In this paper we consider the problem of developing a model for the conditional QPDL （quantile polynomial distributed lag） and investigate the influences of the conditioning variables on the location, scale and shape parameters of the QPDL model. As an economic application, we consider the production of rubber and its price returns ofSri Lanka. From the analysis we observed that the QPDL model applications were better estimators than the PDL （Polynomial Distributed Lag） models.
文摘The study assessed changes in rainfall variability and the frequency of extreme events (very wet and very dry) in the state of S?o Paulo, Brazil, for a 40-year period that divided into two sub-groups: 1973-1992 (P1) and 1993-2012 (P2). Data of 79 rain gauge stations were selected to represent the different climatic and geomorphological domains of the state. The annual pattern was evaluated through the scale and the shape parameters of the gamma distribution and the 95th and the 5th percentiles thresholds, the latter also employed to evaluate the seasonal spatial patterns (rainy season, Oct.-Mar. and sub-humid to dry season, Apr.-Sep.). Results showed that the average precipitation was similar in P1 and P2, but S?o Paulo evolved to a pattern of increased irregularity in the rainfall distribution, with a rise of approximately 10% in the number of extremes between 1973 and 2012, especially in the very dry occurrences, and in the north and west of the state, which are the least rainy regions. Moreover, while 55% of the evaluated rain gauges recorded more extreme wet episodes in P2, 76% registered more dry extreme episodes in the same period. Some very dry or very wet events recorded after the 40-year period evaluated were discussed in terms of the associated weather patterns and their impacts on society and attested to the validity of the results found in the quantitative assessment. The qualitative analysis indicates that if the trends of more irregular distribution of rain and increase in extreme events persist, as pointed out by the gamma and percentile analyses, they would continue to bring serious effects on the natural and social systems in the state, which is the most populous and has the strongest and most diversified economy in Brazil.
基金supportedby the National Key Technologies R&D Program of China (Grant No. 2009BAC51B02)the Special Funds for Meteorology Scientific Research on Public Cause (Grant No. GYHY201106015)
文摘Using the observed daily temperatures from 756 stations in China during the period from 1951 to 2009 extensive and persistent extreme cold events (EPECEs) were defined according to the following three steps:1) a station was defined as an extreme cold station (ECS) if the observed temperature was lower than its 10th percentile threshold;2) an extensive extreme cold event was determined to be present if the approximated area occupied by the ECSs was more than 10% of the total area of China (83rd percentile) on its starting day and the maximum area occupied by the ECSs was at least 20% of the total area of China (96th percentile);and 3) an EPECE was determined to be present if the extensive extreme cold event lasted for at least for eight days.52 EPECEs were identified in this manner,and these identification results were also verified using other reliable data.On the basis of cluster analysis,five types of EPECEs were classified according to the spatial distribution of ECSs at their most extensive time over the course of the EPECE.
基金supported by national fundamental research key project (No. JCKY2017203B082)
文摘The Statistical Priority-based Multiple Access Protocol(SPMA)is the de facto standard for Tactical Target Network Technology(TTNT)and has also been implemented in ad hoc networks.In this paper,we present a non-preemptive M/M/1/K queuing model to analyze the performance of different priorities in SPMA in terms of average packet loss rate and delay.And based on this queuing model,we designed a percentile scoring system combined with Q-learning algorithm to optimize the protocol parameters.The simulation results show that our theoretical model is closely matched with the reality,and the proposed algorithm improves the efficiency and accuracy in finding the optimal parameter set of SPMA protocol.
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.4171101213,41561144013,41991232)National Key R&D Program of China(No.2016YFC0503401,2016YFA0600304)International Partnership Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.121311KYSB20170004)。
文摘This study designed an approach to derive land-cover in the South Africa with insufficient ground samples, and made a case demonstration in Nzhelele and Levhuvu catchments, South Africa. The method was developed based on an integration of Landsat 8, Sentinel-1, and Shuttle Radar Topography Mission(SRTM) Digital Elevation Model(DEM), and the Google Earth Engine(GEE) platform. Random forest classifier with 300 trees is employed as land-cover classification model. In order to overcome the defect of insufficient ground data, the stratified sampling method was used to generate the training and validation samples from the existing land-cover product. Likewise, in order to recognize different land-cover categories, the percentile and monthly median composites were employed to expand input metrics of random forest classifier. Results showed that the overall accuracy of the land-cover of Nzhelele and Levhuvu catchments, South Africa in 2017–2018 reached to 76.43%. Three important results can be drawn from our research. 1) The participation of Sentinel-1 data can slightly improve overall accuracy of land-cover while its contribution on land-cover classification varied with land types. 2) Under-fitting problem was observed in the training of non-dominant land-cover categories using the random sampling, the stratified sampling method is recommended to make sure the classification accuracy of non-dominant classes. 3) When related reflectance bands participated in the training process, individual Normalized Difference Vegetation index(NDVI), Enhanced Vegetation Index(EVI), Soil Adjusted Vegetation Index(SAVI), Normalized Difference Built-up Index(NDBI) have little effect on final land-cover classification result.
基金Romanian Ministry of Education and Scientific Research (MECS) under the Grant Number 72/2012
文摘This work focuses on the evaluation of the seismic hazard for Romania using earthquake catalogues generated by a Monte Carlo approach. The seismicity of Romania can be attributed to the Vrancea intermediate-depth seismic source and to 13 other crustal seismic sources. The recurrence times of large magnitude seismic events（both crustal and subcrustal）, as well as the moment release rates are computed using simulated earthquake catalogues. The results show that the largest contribution to the overall moment release for the crustal seismic sources is from the seismic regions in Bulgaria, while the seismic regions in Romania contribute less than 5% of the overall moment release. In addition, the computations show that the moment release rate for the Vrancea subcrustal seismic source is about ten times larger than that of all the crustal seismic sources. Finally, the Monte Carlo approach is used to evaluate the seismic hazard for 20 cities in Romania with populations larger than 100,000 inhabitants. The results show some differences between the seismic hazard values obtained through Monte-Carlo simulation and those in the Romanian seismic design code P100-1/2013, notably for cities situated in the western part of Romania that are influenced by local crustal seismic sources.
文摘Virility and sexual pleasure have long been associated with penile size and this,in turn,has typically been linked to some anthropometric measurements,such as foot size or height,leading to various misconceptions from both men and women.Our intention is to estimate penile size parameters in Argentina and evaluate the correlation between penile size and certain anthropometric measurements.This is a cross-sectional,descriptive,multicenter,and observational study.Male patients who underwent a urological procedure were included in four hospitals located in different regions of the country.Different anthropometric measurements were obtained:height,weight,penile circumference,flaccid and stretched length,and foot length.A total of 8o0 patients were evaluated.Mean left foot was 26.4 cm.Mean flaccid penile length was 11.4(95%confidence interval[CI]:8-14)cm,and mean penile circumference was 10.1(95%CI:8-12)cm.Finally,mean stretched penis was 15.2(95%CI:11-18.5)cm.We can confirm that estimates of the average penile measurements in Argentina are flaccid penis length of 11.4 cm,penile circumference of 10.1 cm,and stretching the penis to the maximum in flaccidity of 15.2 cm.Correlations between flaccid penis length,stretched out,penile circumference,height,weight,and length of the left foot were evaluated,finding low or no correlation between those mentioned,exceptforflaccidand stretched length.
文摘This study focuses on meeting the challenges of big data visualization by using of data reduction methods based the feature selection methods.To reduce the volume of big data and minimize model training time(Tt)while maintaining data quality.We contributed to meeting the challenges of big data visualization using the embedded method based“Select from model(SFM)”method by using“Random forest Importance algorithm(RFI)”and comparing it with the filter method by using“Select percentile(SP)”method based chi square“Chi2”tool for selecting the most important features,which are then fed into a classification process using the logistic regression(LR)algorithm and the k-nearest neighbor(KNN)algorithm.Thus,the classification accuracy(AC)performance of LRis also compared to theKNN approach in python on eight data sets to see which method produces the best rating when feature selection methods are applied.Consequently,the study concluded that the feature selection methods have a significant impact on the analysis and visualization of the data after removing the repetitive data and the data that do not affect the goal.After making several comparisons,the study suggests(SFMLR)using SFM based on RFI algorithm for feature selection,with LR algorithm for data classify.The proposal proved its efficacy by comparing its results with recent literature.
文摘There are diverse products related to human buttocks, which need to be designed, manufactured and evaluated with 3D buttock model. The 3D buttock model used in present research field is just simple approximate model similar to human buttocks. The 3D buttock percentile model is highly desired in the ergonomics design and evaluation for these products. So far, there is no research on the percentile sizing system of human 3D buttock model. So the purpose of this paper is to develop a new method for building three-dimensional buttock percentile model in computer system. After scanning the 3D shape of buttocks, the cloud data of 3D points is imported into the reverse engineering software（Geomagic） for the reconstructing of the buttock surface model. Five characteristic dimensions of the buttock are measured through mark-points after models being imported into engineering software CATIA. A series of space points are obtained by the intersecting of the cutting slices and 3D buttock surface model, and then are ordered based on the sequence number of the horizontal and vertical slices. The 1st, 5th, 50 th, 95 th, 99 th percentile values of the five dimensions and the spatial coordinate values of the space points are obtained, and used to reconstruct percentile buttock models. This research proposes a establishing method of percentile sizing system of buttock 3D model based on the percentile values of the ischial tuberosities diameter, the distances from margin to ischial tuberosity and the space coordinates value of coordinate points, for establishing the Nth percentile 3D buttock model and every special buttock types model. The proposed method also serves as a useful guidance for the other 3D percentile models establishment for other part in human body with characteristic points.
文摘Bangladesh is a flood prone country where precipitation amount is irregular but sometimes extreme. Among the climatic parameters, precipitation is assumed as one of the vital indicators of ongoing climate change scenarios and is equally important for tea production. In this study, 7 and 9 tea estates of Sylhet and Sreemangal were selected to analyze tea production in relation to extreme precipitation intensity. Precipitation patterns namely 90<sup>th</sup>, 95<sup>th</sup> and 99<sup>th</sup> percentile were analyzed to find out the contribution of extreme precipitation and tea production. To attain the objectives, 3 hourly, daily, monthly, and total precipitation data from 1971 to 2014 were collected from Bangladesh Meteorological Department and Bangladesh Agricultural Development Board. Tea production data were collected from Bangladesh Tea Board, Sylhet. To find out extreme level of precipitation 90<sup>th</sup>, 95<sup>th</sup>, 99<sup>th</sup> percentile precipitation days were identified and analyzed. The analyses show that 1974, 1976, 1977, 1993, 1988, 1990, 2000, 2001, 2002, and 2004 were extreme precipitation years. The average precipitation of Sylhet was higher in 2000 than in 1992 and 2014. In Sreemangal, extreme precipitation was higher in 2014 than in 1992 and 2000. For both the regions, tea production was higher in 2000 and lower in 1992 and 2014. The result shows that more extreme precipitation was responsible for higher amount of tea production. The results suggest that extreme precipitation intensity was one of the responsible factors for higher amount of tea production in Sylhet and Sreemangal.
